pitch_dash / src /model.py
rsm-roguchi
update
752a595
from __future__ import annotations
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from typing import Dict, Optional, Tuple
from sklearn.impute import SimpleImputer
from sklearn.preprocessing import RobustScaler, StandardScaler, FunctionTransformer
from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline
from sklearn.neighbors import NearestNeighbors
# NEW: medoids (robust, nearest-exemplar clustering)
from sklearn_extra.cluster import KMedoids
ARCH_FEATURES = [
"velo",
"ivb_in",
"hb_as_in",
"rel_height",
"rel_side",
"spin",
"csw",
"whiff_rate",
"gb_rate",
"zone_pct",
]
# ---------- existing helpers (unchanged API) ----------
def winsorize_df(df: pd.DataFrame, cols, lower=0.01, upper=0.99):
q_low = df[cols].quantile(lower)
q_hi = df[cols].quantile(upper)
return df.assign(**{c: df[c].clip(q_low[c], q_hi[c]) for c in cols})
def groupwise_z(df: pd.DataFrame, cols, group_col="pitch_type"):
df = df.copy()
def _z(g):
return (g - g.mean()) / (g.std(ddof=0) + 1e-8)
gz_cols = []
for c in cols:
gz = f"{c}_gz"
df[gz] = df.groupby(group_col)[c].transform(_z)
gz_cols.append(gz)
return df, gz_cols
def _preprocessor(
gz_feats: list[str], weights: Optional[Dict[str, float]] = None
) -> Pipeline:
"""
Consistent preprocessing for clustering and neighbor search.
Applies impute -> robust scale -> standardize -> optional weights.
"""
steps = [
("imputer", SimpleImputer(strategy="median")),
("robust", RobustScaler()),
("std", StandardScaler(with_mean=True, with_std=True)),
]
if weights:
w = np.array(
[weights.get(f.replace("_gz", ""), 1.0) for f in gz_feats], dtype=float
)
steps.append(
(
"weights",
FunctionTransformer(lambda X: X * w, feature_names_out="one-to-one"),
)
)
return Pipeline(steps)
# ---------- local, neighbor-aware label smoothing (kept) ----------
def _contextual_smooth_labels(
Xs: np.ndarray,
labels: np.ndarray,
n_neighbors: int = 15,
vote_thresh: float = 0.6,
margin: float = 0.0,
max_iters: int = 2,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Reassign labels by local kNN majority with a confidence threshold.
- vote_thresh: minimum fraction of neighbors that must agree to flip (e.g., 0.6)
- margin: require the neighbor-majority centroid to be at least 'margin' closer
than the current cluster center (0.0 = no distance guard)
"""
n = len(labels)
labels = labels.copy()
knn = NearestNeighbors(n_neighbors=min(n, n_neighbors + 1), metric="manhattan").fit(
Xs
)
dists, idxs = knn.kneighbors(Xs)
def centroids(lbls):
Cs = []
for k in np.unique(lbls):
Cs.append(Xs[lbls == k].mean(axis=0))
return {k: c for k, c in zip(np.unique(lbls), Cs)}
for _ in range(max_iters):
C = centroids(labels)
changed = 0
for i in range(n):
neigh = idxs[i][1:] # drop self
neigh_lbls = labels[neigh]
vals, counts = np.unique(neigh_lbls, return_counts=True)
j = np.argmax(counts)
maj_label, maj_frac = vals[j], counts[j] / len(neigh_lbls)
if maj_frac < vote_thresh or maj_label == labels[i]:
continue
if margin > 0.0:
cur_c = C[labels[i]]
maj_c = C[maj_label]
di_cur = np.linalg.norm(Xs[i] - cur_c)
di_maj = np.linalg.norm(Xs[i] - maj_c)
if di_maj >= di_cur - margin:
continue
labels[i] = maj_label
changed += 1
if changed == 0:
break
return labels
# ---------- API: fit + comps (drop-in) ----------
def fit_kmeans(df_feat: pd.DataFrame, k: int = 20, random_state: int = 42):
"""
DROP-IN REPLACEMENT:
- Uses K-MEDOIDS with MANHATTAN distance (closest-neighbor–friendly).
- Returns (df_with_clusters, scaler_pipeline, kmedoids_model, knn_index).
"""
df = df_feat.dropna(subset=ARCH_FEATURES).copy()
# Light winsorization: dampen outliers without warping scale
df[ARCH_FEATURES] = df[ARCH_FEATURES].clip(
df[ARCH_FEATURES].quantile(0.01),
df[ARCH_FEATURES].quantile(0.99),
axis=1,
)
# Consistent preprocessing for clustering and neighbors
scaler = _preprocessor(ARCH_FEATURES, weights=None)
Xs = scaler.fit_transform(df[ARCH_FEATURES].values)
# K-Medoids with Manhattan distance -> emphasizes true nearest relationships
km = KMedoids(
n_clusters=k,
metric="manhattan",
init="k-medoids++",
max_iter=500,
random_state=random_state,
)
labels = km.fit_predict(Xs)
df["cluster"] = labels
# NN index in the SAME space & metric
nn = NearestNeighbors(n_neighbors=8, metric="manhattan").fit(Xs)
return df, scaler, km, nn
def nearest_comps(
row: pd.Series,
df_fit: pd.DataFrame,
scaler: Pipeline,
nn: NearestNeighbors,
within_pitch_type: bool = True,
k: int = 6,
):
"""
Nearest comps in the SAME preprocessed space and metric (Manhattan).
If within_pitch_type=True, restricts candidates to the same pitch_type.
"""
# Ensure all required features exist
missing = [c for c in ARCH_FEATURES if c not in df_fit.columns]
if missing:
raise KeyError(f"nearest_comps: df_fit is missing required features: {missing}")
# Query vector in the exact same space as clustering
xq = scaler.transform(row[ARCH_FEATURES].values.reshape(1, -1))
# Columns to return
cols = [
"player_name",
"pitch_type",
"p_throws",
"velo",
"ivb_in",
"hb_as_in",
"whiff_rate",
"gb_rate",
"cluster",
]
# Per-pitch-type neighborhood (preferred)
if within_pitch_type and "pitch_type" in df_fit.columns:
ptype = row.get("pitch_type")
if isinstance(ptype, str):
sub = df_fit[df_fit["pitch_type"] == ptype].copy()
if not sub.empty:
Xsub = scaler.transform(sub[ARCH_FEATURES].values)
k_loc = min(len(sub), max(2, k + 1)) # +1 to allow excluding self
knn_local = NearestNeighbors(n_neighbors=k_loc, metric="manhattan").fit(
Xsub
)
dists, inds = knn_local.kneighbors(xq, n_neighbors=k_loc)
cand = sub.iloc[inds[0]].copy()
cand["_dist"] = dists[0]
# Prefer excluding the same player if present
pname = row.get("player_name", None)
if pname is not None and "player_name" in cand.columns:
cand = cand[cand["player_name"] != pname]
return (
cand.sort_values("_dist")
.drop(columns=["_dist"], errors="ignore")[cols]
.head(k)
)
# Global fallback: use provided NN (already fit in Manhattan space)
k_glob = min(len(df_fit), max(2, k + 1))
dists, inds = nn.kneighbors(xq, n_neighbors=k_glob)
cand = df_fit.iloc[inds[0]].copy()
if within_pitch_type and "pitch_type" in df_fit.columns:
ptype = row.get("pitch_type")
if isinstance(ptype, str):
cand = cand[cand["pitch_type"] == ptype]
pname = row.get("player_name", None)
if pname is not None and "player_name" in cand.columns:
cand = cand[cand["player_name"] != pname]
cand["_dist"] = dists[0][: len(cand)] if len(dists[0]) >= len(cand) else 0.0
return (
cand.sort_values("_dist").drop(columns=["_dist"], errors="ignore")[cols].head(k)
)
# Make public API explicit (unchanged)
__all__ = ["ARCH_FEATURES", "fit_kmeans", "nearest_comps"]