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"""
HMM-SVR Trading Bot with Simulated Exchange
Long-term trading strategy using HMM regime detection and SVR volatility prediction.
Checks for trading signals every 3 hours - designed for position trading, not high-frequency.
"""
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from typing import Optional
from apscheduler.schedulers.background import BackgroundScheduler
from apscheduler.triggers.interval import IntervalTrigger
import simulated_exchange
from models import TradingSession, Trade
from sqlmodel import Session, select
from database import engine
import uuid
from strategy_handlers import HMMSVRStrategyHandler
# Active trading sessions
simulated_sessions = {}
class SimulatedTradingSession:
"""
HMM-SVR Trading Bot Session
Long-only strategy using regime detection - checks every 3 hours
"""
def __init__(self, session_id: str, user_email: str, symbol: str,
trade_amount: float, duration_minutes: int):
self.session_id = session_id
self.user_email = user_email
self.strategy = "hmm_svr" # Only strategy supported
self.symbol = symbol # e.g., "BTCUSDT"
self.trade_amount = trade_amount
self.duration_minutes = duration_minutes
# Parse trading pair (e.g., BTCUSDT -> BTC, USDT)
if symbol.endswith("USDT"):
self.base_asset = symbol[:-4]
self.quote_asset = "USDT"
else:
self.base_asset = symbol
self.quote_asset = "USDT"
# Session state
self.is_running = True
self.start_time = datetime.now()
self.end_time = self.start_time + timedelta(minutes=duration_minutes)
self.total_pnl = 0.0
self.trades_count = 0
self.position = None # None or 'LONG' (no SHORT for long-term strategy)
self.entry_price = None
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] {symbol} -> {self.base_asset}/{self.quote_asset}")
# Auto-train model if not exists
self._ensure_model_trained()
# Initialize HMM-SVR strategy handler
try:
self.handler = HMMSVRStrategyHandler(symbol=self.base_asset)
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β
Strategy initialized")
except Exception as e:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β Init failed: {e}")
raise
# Scheduler - checks every 3 hours
self.scheduler = BackgroundScheduler()
self.scheduler.add_job(
func=self._trading_loop,
trigger=IntervalTrigger(hours=3),
id=f"hmm_svr_{session_id}",
name=f"HMM-SVR Bot - {symbol}",
replace_existing=True
)
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] Session created | Duration: {duration_minutes}min | Amount: ${trade_amount}")
def _ensure_model_trained(self):
"""Check if model exists, train if not"""
try:
from model_manager import load_model, train_and_save_model
# Check if model exists
model_data = load_model(self.base_asset)
if model_data is None:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] π No model found for {self.base_asset}, training now...")
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β³ Training on historical data (this may take 30-60 seconds)...")
# Train model
result = train_and_save_model(self.base_asset, n_states=3)
if result and 'error' not in result:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β
Model trained successfully for {self.base_asset}")
else:
error_msg = result.get('error', 'Unknown error') if result else 'Training failed'
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β οΈ Model training failed: {error_msg}")
else:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β
Model already trained for {self.base_asset}")
except Exception as e:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β οΈ Error checking/training model: {e}")
def start(self):
"""Start the trading bot"""
self.scheduler.start()
self._trading_loop() # First check immediately
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β
Started - next check in 3 hours")
def stop(self, close_positions: bool = False):
"""Stop the trading bot"""
self.is_running = False
self.scheduler.shutdown(wait=False)
if close_positions and self.position:
self._close_position()
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] βΉοΈ Stopped | Trades: {self.trades_count} | P&L: ${self.total_pnl:.2f}")
def _trading_loop(self):
"""Main check - runs every 3 hours"""
try:
if not self.is_running:
return
if datetime.now() >= self.end_time:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] Session expired")
_cleanup_expired_session(self.session_id)
return
# Get current price
price = simulated_exchange.get_current_price(self.base_asset, self.quote_asset)
if price is None:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β Could not fetch {self.symbol} price")
return
# Get signal from HMM-SVR model
signal, position_size = self.handler.get_signal(price)
# Log check
elapsed_hours = (datetime.now() - self.start_time).total_seconds() / 3600
position_str = self.position or 'NONE'
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β° Check | {elapsed_hours:.1f}h | ${price:,.2f} | {signal} {position_size}x | Pos: {position_str}")
# Execute based on signal (long-only strategy)
if signal == "BUY" and self.position is None:
self._open_long_position(price, position_size)
elif signal == "SELL" and self.position == "LONG":
self._close_position(price)
except Exception as e:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β Error: {e}")
def _open_long_position(self, price: float, position_size: float = 1.0):
"""Open a LONG position (BUY) with leverage multiplier"""
# Apply position size multiplier (0x, 1x, or 3x)
leveraged_amount = self.trade_amount * position_size
quantity = leveraged_amount / price
success, trade_info = simulated_exchange.execute_buy(
symbol=self.base_asset,
quote_symbol=self.quote_asset,
amount_to_buy=quantity,
user_email=self.user_email
)
if success:
self.position = "LONG"
self.entry_price = price
self._save_trade_to_db(trade_info)
leverage_str = f" ({position_size}x)" if position_size != 1.0 else ""
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] π LONG opened: {quantity:.8f} {self.base_asset} @ ${price:,.2f}{leverage_str}")
else:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β Failed to open position")
def _close_position(self, current_price: float = None):
"""Close LONG position by selling"""
if not self.position:
return
if current_price is None:
current_price = simulated_exchange.get_current_price(self.base_asset, self.quote_asset)
if current_price is None:
return
# Sell all holdings to close position
balance = simulated_exchange.get_balance(self.base_asset, self.user_email)
if balance > 0.00001:
success, trade_info = simulated_exchange.execute_sell(
symbol=self.base_asset,
quote_symbol=self.quote_asset,
amount_to_sell=balance,
user_email=self.user_email
)
if success:
pnl = (current_price - self.entry_price) * balance
self.total_pnl += pnl
self._save_trade_to_db(trade_info, pnl=pnl)
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β
LONG closed | P&L: ${pnl:.2f}")
else:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β Failed to close position")
self.position = None
self.entry_price = None
def _save_trade_to_db(self, trade_info: dict, pnl: Optional[float] = None):
"""Save trade to database"""
try:
with Session(engine) as session:
trade = Trade(
session_id=self.session_id,
user_email=self.user_email,
symbol=trade_info['symbol'],
side=trade_info['side'],
price=trade_info['price'],
quantity=trade_info['quantity'],
total=trade_info.get('total', trade_info.get('cost', 0)),
pnl=pnl,
executed_at=datetime.now()
)
session.add(trade)
session.commit()
# Only increment after successful DB save
self.trades_count += 1
except Exception as e:
print(f"[SimTrading] Error saving trade: {e}")
def get_status(self) -> dict:
"""Get current session status"""
return {
'session_id': self.session_id,
'strategy': self.strategy,
'symbol': self.symbol,
'is_running': self.is_running,
'position': self.position,
'entry_price': self.entry_price,
'trades_count': self.trades_count,
'total_pnl': self.total_pnl,
'start_time': self.start_time.isoformat(),
'end_time': self.end_time.isoformat(),
'time_remaining': max(0, (self.end_time - datetime.now()).total_seconds())
}
def start_simulated_trading(user_email: str, symbol: str,
trade_amount: float, duration_minutes: int, **kwargs) -> dict:
"""
Start HMM-SVR trading bot session
Args:
user_email: User identifier
symbol: Trading pair (e.g., "BTCUSDT")
trade_amount: Amount per trade in USDT
duration_minutes: How long to run
Returns:
Session info dictionary
"""
session_id = str(uuid.uuid4())
# Create and start session
session = SimulatedTradingSession(
session_id=session_id,
user_email=user_email,
symbol=symbol,
trade_amount=trade_amount,
duration_minutes=duration_minutes
)
session.start()
simulated_sessions[session_id] = session
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] β
Session {session_id} active")
# Save to database
try:
with Session(engine) as db_session:
db_trading_session = TradingSession(
session_id=session_id,
user_email=user_email,
strategy="hmm_svr",
symbol=symbol,
trade_amount=trade_amount,
duration_minutes=duration_minutes,
start_time=datetime.now(),
is_running=True
)
db_session.add(db_trading_session)
db_session.commit()
except Exception as e:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] DB error: {e}")
return {
'session_id': session_id,
'message': f'HMM-SVR trading bot started for {symbol}',
'status': session.get_status()
}
def _cleanup_expired_session(session_id: str):
"""Clean up expired session"""
if session_id in simulated_sessions:
session = simulated_sessions[session_id]
session.stop(close_positions=False)
# Update database
try:
with Session(engine) as db_session:
stmt = select(TradingSession).where(TradingSession.session_id == session_id)
db_trading_session = db_session.exec(stmt).first()
if db_trading_session:
db_trading_session.is_running = False
db_trading_session.end_time = datetime.now()
db_trading_session.total_pnl = session.total_pnl
db_trading_session.trades_count = session.trades_count
db_session.add(db_trading_session)
db_session.commit()
except Exception as e:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] DB error: {e}")
del simulated_sessions[session_id]
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] Session expired")
def stop_simulated_trading(session_id: str, close_positions: bool = False) -> dict:
"""Stop trading bot session"""
if session_id not in simulated_sessions:
return {'error': 'Session not found'}
session = simulated_sessions[session_id]
session.stop(close_positions=close_positions)
# Update database
try:
with Session(engine) as db_session:
stmt = select(TradingSession).where(TradingSession.session_id == session_id)
db_trading_session = db_session.exec(stmt).first()
if db_trading_session:
db_trading_session.is_running = False
db_trading_session.end_time = datetime.now()
db_trading_session.total_pnl = session.total_pnl
db_trading_session.trades_count = session.trades_count
db_session.add(db_trading_session)
db_session.commit()
except Exception as e:
print(f"[HMM-SVR Bot] DB error: {e}")
del simulated_sessions[session_id]
return {
'session_id': session_id,
'message': 'Bot stopped',
'total_pnl': session.total_pnl,
'trades_count': session.trades_count
}
def get_simulated_session_status(session_id: str) -> dict:
"""Get bot session status"""
if session_id not in simulated_sessions:
return {'error': 'Session not found'}
return simulated_sessions[session_id].get_status()
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