Update src/streamlit_app.py
Browse files- src/streamlit_app.py +518 -36
src/streamlit_app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -1,40 +1,522 @@
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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import streamlit as st
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-
"""
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indices = np.linspace(0, 1, num_points)
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theta = 2 * np.pi * num_turns * indices
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radius = indices
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x = radius * np.cos(theta)
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y = radius * np.sin(theta)
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df = pd.DataFrame({
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"x": x,
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"y": y,
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"idx": indices,
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"rand": np.random.randn(num_points),
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})
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st.altair_chart(alt.Chart(df, height=700, width=700)
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.mark_point(filled=True)
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.encode(
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x=alt.X("x", axis=None),
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y=alt.Y("y", axis=None),
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color=alt.Color("idx", legend=None, scale=alt.Scale()),
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size=alt.Size("rand", legend=None, scale=alt.Scale(range=[1, 150])),
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))
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| 1 |
+
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+
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import os
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import json
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import time
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from datetime import datetime
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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import streamlit as st
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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import seaborn as sns
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import joblib
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# ML imports
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from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
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from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
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from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor, GradientBoostingRegressor, ExtraTreesRegressor
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from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler, PolynomialFeatures
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from sklearn.decomposition import PCA
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from sklearn.cluster import KMeans
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from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, r2_score
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+
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# SHAP
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import shap
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# -------------------------
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# Config & paths
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# -------------------------
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st.set_page_config(page_title="AI Feature Universe Explorer — Advanced + SHAP", layout="wide")
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| 30 |
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DATA_DIR = "/mnt/data"
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CSV_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_DIR, "flatfile_universe_advanced.csv")
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META_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_DIR, "feature_metadata_advanced.json")
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PDF_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_DIR, "annotated_bibliography.pdf")
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ENSEMBLE_ARTIFACT = os.path.join(DATA_DIR, "ensemble_models.joblib")
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# -------------------------
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# Utility: generate advanced dataset if missing
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# -------------------------
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def generate_advanced_flatfile(n_rows=3000, random_seed=42, max_polynomial_new=60):
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"""
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Generates a large synthetic, physics-aligned dataset with many engineered features.
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Saves CSV and metadata JSON and a short annotated bibliography PDF (text).
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"""
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np.random.seed(random_seed)
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os.makedirs(DATA_DIR, exist_ok=True)
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# --- base natural features across 8 use cases (expanded)
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natural_feats = [
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"vibration_x","vibration_y","motor_current","rpm","bearing_temp","ambient_temp","lube_pressure","power_factor",
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"furnace_temp","tap_temp","slag_temp","offgas_co","offgas_co2","o2_probe_pct","c_feed_rate","arc_power","furnace_pressure","feed_time",
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"mold_temp","casting_speed","nozzle_pressure","cooling_water_temp","billet_length","chemical_C","chemical_Mn","chemical_Si","chemical_S",
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"roll_speed","motor_load","coolant_flow","exit_temp","strip_thickness","line_tension","roller_vibration",
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"lighting_intensity","surface_temp","image_entropy_proxy",
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"spectro_Fe","spectro_C","spectro_Mn","spectro_Si","time_since_last_sample",
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"batch_id_numeric","weight_input","weight_output","time_in_queue","conveyor_speed",
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"shell_temp","lining_thickness","water_flow","cooling_out_temp","heat_flux"
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]
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# dedupe if duplicated names
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natural_feats = list(dict.fromkeys(natural_feats))
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+
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# helper sampling heuristics
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| 61 |
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def sample_col(name, n):
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name_l = name.lower()
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if "furnace_temp" in name_l or name_l.endswith("_temp") or "tap_temp" in name_l:
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return np.random.normal(1550, 50, n)
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if name_l in ("tap_temp","mold_temp","shell_temp","cooling_out_temp","exit_temp"):
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return np.random.normal(200 if "mold" not in name_l else 1500, 30, n)
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if "offgas_co2" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(15,4,n))
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if "offgas_co" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(20,5,n))
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| 71 |
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if "o2" in name_l:
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return np.clip(np.random.normal(5,1,n), 0.01, 60)
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if "arc_power" in name_l or "motor_load" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(600,120,n))
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if "rpm" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(120,30,n))
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| 77 |
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if "vibration" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(0.4,0.15,n))
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| 79 |
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if "bearing_temp" in name_l:
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return np.random.normal(65,5,n)
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| 81 |
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if "chemical" in name_l or "spectro" in name_l:
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return np.random.normal(0.7,0.15,n)
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| 83 |
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if "weight" in name_l:
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return np.random.normal(1000,100,n)
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| 85 |
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if "conveyor_speed" in name_l or "casting_speed" in name_l:
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return np.random.normal(2.5,0.6,n)
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| 87 |
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if "power_factor" in name_l:
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return np.clip(np.random.normal(0.92,0.03,n),0.6,1.0)
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| 89 |
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if "image_entropy_proxy" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(0.5,0.25,n))
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| 91 |
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if "batch_id" in name_l:
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return np.random.randint(1000,9999,n)
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if "time_since" in name_l or "time_in_queue" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(30,20,n))
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if "heat_flux" in name_l:
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return np.abs(np.random.normal(1000,300,n))
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return np.random.normal(0,1,n)
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| 98 |
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# build DF
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df = pd.DataFrame({c: sample_col(c, n_rows) for c in natural_feats})
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| 101 |
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| 102 |
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# timestamps & metadata
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| 103 |
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start = pd.Timestamp("2025-01-01T00:00:00")
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| 104 |
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df["timestamp"] = pd.date_range(start, periods=n_rows, freq="T")
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| 105 |
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df["cycle_minute"] = np.mod(np.arange(n_rows), 80)
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| 106 |
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df["meta_plant_name"] = np.random.choice(["Rourkela","Jamshedpur","VSP","Bokaro","Kalinganagar","Salem"], n_rows)
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| 107 |
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df["meta_country"] = "India"
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| 108 |
+
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| 109 |
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# --- synthetic features: physics informed proxies
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| 110 |
+
df["carbon_proxy"] = df["offgas_co"] / (df["offgas_co2"] + 1.0)
|
| 111 |
+
df["oxygen_utilization"] = df["offgas_co2"] / (df["offgas_co"] + 1.0)
|
| 112 |
+
df["power_density"] = df["arc_power"] / (df["weight_input"] + 1.0)
|
| 113 |
+
df["energy_efficiency"] = df["furnace_temp"] / (df["arc_power"] + 1.0)
|
| 114 |
+
df["slag_foaming_index"] = (df["slag_temp"] * df["offgas_co"]) / (df["o2_probe_pct"] + 1.0)
|
| 115 |
+
df["yield_ratio"] = df["weight_output"] / (df["weight_input"] + 1e-9)
|
| 116 |
+
|
| 117 |
+
# rolling stats, lags, rocs for a prioritized set
|
| 118 |
+
rolling_cols = ["arc_power","furnace_temp","offgas_co","offgas_co2","motor_current","vibration_x","weight_input"]
|
| 119 |
+
for rc in rolling_cols:
|
| 120 |
+
if rc in df.columns:
|
| 121 |
+
df[f"{rc}_roll_mean_3"] = df[rc].rolling(3, min_periods=1).mean()
|
| 122 |
+
df[f"{rc}_roll_std_5"] = df[rc].rolling(5, min_periods=1).std().fillna(0)
|
| 123 |
+
df[f"{rc}_lag1"] = df[rc].shift(1).fillna(method="bfill")
|
| 124 |
+
df[f"{rc}_roc_1"] = df[rc].diff().fillna(0)
|
| 125 |
+
|
| 126 |
+
# interaction & polynomial-lite
|
| 127 |
+
df["arc_o2_interaction"] = df["arc_power"] * df["o2_probe_pct"]
|
| 128 |
+
df["carbon_power_ratio"] = df["carbon_proxy"] / (df["arc_power"] + 1e-6)
|
| 129 |
+
df["temp_power_sqrt"] = df["furnace_temp"] * np.sqrt(np.abs(df["arc_power"]) + 1e-6)
|
| 130 |
+
|
| 131 |
+
# polynomial features limited to first 12 numeric columns to avoid explosion
|
| 132 |
+
numeric = df.select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).fillna(0)
|
| 133 |
+
poly_source_cols = numeric.columns[:12].tolist()
|
| 134 |
+
poly = PolynomialFeatures(degree=2, interaction_only=False, include_bias=False)
|
| 135 |
+
poly_mat = poly.fit_transform(numeric[poly_source_cols])
|
| 136 |
+
poly_names = poly.get_feature_names_out(poly_source_cols)
|
| 137 |
+
poly_df = pd.DataFrame(poly_mat, columns=[f"poly__{n}" for n in poly_names], index=df.index)
|
| 138 |
+
# drop identical originals and limit new cols
|
| 139 |
+
keep_poly = [c for c in poly_df.columns if c.replace("poly__","") not in poly_source_cols]
|
| 140 |
+
if len(keep_poly) > 0:
|
| 141 |
+
poly_df = poly_df[keep_poly].iloc[:, :max_polynomial_new]
|
| 142 |
+
else:
|
| 143 |
+
poly_df = poly_df.iloc[:, :0]
|
| 144 |
+
df = pd.concat([df, poly_df], axis=1)
|
| 145 |
+
|
| 146 |
+
# PCA embeddings across numeric sensors
|
| 147 |
+
scaler = StandardScaler()
|
| 148 |
+
scaled = scaler.fit_transform(numeric)
|
| 149 |
+
pca = PCA(n_components=6, random_state=42)
|
| 150 |
+
pca_cols = pca.fit_transform(scaled)
|
| 151 |
+
for i in range(pca_cols.shape[1]):
|
| 152 |
+
df[f"pca_{i+1}"] = pca_cols[:, i]
|
| 153 |
+
|
| 154 |
+
# KMeans cluster label for operating mode
|
| 155 |
+
kmeans = KMeans(n_clusters=6, random_state=42, n_init=10)
|
| 156 |
+
df["operating_mode"] = kmeans.fit_predict(scaled)
|
| 157 |
+
|
| 158 |
+
# surrogate models to create short-horizon predicted states (fast regressors)
|
| 159 |
+
# furnace_temp_next surrogate
|
| 160 |
+
surrogate_df = df.copy()
|
| 161 |
+
surrogate_df["furnace_temp_next"] = surrogate_df["furnace_temp"].shift(-1).fillna(method="ffill")
|
| 162 |
+
features_for_surrogate = [c for c in ["furnace_temp","arc_power","o2_probe_pct","offgas_co","offgas_co2"] if c in df.columns]
|
| 163 |
+
if len(features_for_surrogate) >= 2:
|
| 164 |
+
X = surrogate_df[features_for_surrogate].fillna(0)
|
| 165 |
+
y = surrogate_df["furnace_temp_next"]
|
| 166 |
+
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
|
| 167 |
+
rf = RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=50, random_state=42, n_jobs=-1)
|
| 168 |
+
rf.fit(X, y)
|
| 169 |
+
df["pred_temp_30s"] = rf.predict(X)
|
| 170 |
+
else:
|
| 171 |
+
df["pred_temp_30s"] = df["furnace_temp"]
|
| 172 |
+
|
| 173 |
+
# surrogate for carbon proxy
|
| 174 |
+
if all(c in df.columns for c in ["offgas_co","offgas_co2","o2_probe_pct"]):
|
| 175 |
+
X2 = df[["offgas_co","offgas_co2","o2_probe_pct"]].fillna(0)
|
| 176 |
+
rf2 = RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=50, random_state=1, n_jobs=-1)
|
| 177 |
+
rf2.fit(X2, df["carbon_proxy"])
|
| 178 |
+
df["pred_carbon_5min"] = rf2.predict(X2)
|
| 179 |
+
else:
|
| 180 |
+
df["pred_carbon_5min"] = df["carbon_proxy"]
|
| 181 |
+
|
| 182 |
+
# safety indices & flags
|
| 183 |
+
df["refractory_limit_flag"] = (df["lining_thickness"] < 140).astype(int)
|
| 184 |
+
df["max_allowed_power_delta"] = np.clip(df["arc_power"].diff().abs().fillna(0), 0, 2000)
|
| 185 |
+
|
| 186 |
+
# simple rule-based target action for demo
|
| 187 |
+
df["ARC_ON"] = ((df["arc_power"] > df["arc_power"].median()) & (df["carbon_proxy"] < 1.0)).astype(int)
|
| 188 |
+
df["prediction_confidence"] = np.clip(np.random.beta(2,5, n_rows), 0.05, 0.99)
|
| 189 |
+
|
| 190 |
+
# clean NaN and infinite
|
| 191 |
+
df.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan, inplace=True)
|
| 192 |
+
df.fillna(method="bfill", inplace=True)
|
| 193 |
+
df.fillna(0, inplace=True)
|
| 194 |
+
|
| 195 |
+
# save CSV & metadata
|
| 196 |
+
df.to_csv(CSV_PATH, index=False)
|
| 197 |
+
|
| 198 |
+
meta = []
|
| 199 |
+
for col in df.columns:
|
| 200 |
+
if col in natural_feats:
|
| 201 |
+
source = "natural"
|
| 202 |
+
elif col.startswith("poly__") or col.startswith("pca_") or col in ["operating_mode"]:
|
| 203 |
+
source = "advanced_synthetic"
|
| 204 |
+
else:
|
| 205 |
+
source = "synthetic"
|
| 206 |
+
meta.append({
|
| 207 |
+
"feature_name": col,
|
| 208 |
+
"source_type": source,
|
| 209 |
+
"linked_use_cases": ["All" if source!="natural" else "Mapped"],
|
| 210 |
+
"units": "-",
|
| 211 |
+
"formula": "see generator logic",
|
| 212 |
+
"remarks": "auto-generated or simulated"
|
| 213 |
+
})
|
| 214 |
+
with open(META_PATH, "w") as f:
|
| 215 |
+
json.dump(meta, f, indent=2)
|
| 216 |
+
|
| 217 |
+
# annotated bibliography text saved as simple PDF-like text (clients accept PDF)
|
| 218 |
+
try:
|
| 219 |
+
from fpdf import FPDF
|
| 220 |
+
pdf = FPDF('P','mm','A4')
|
| 221 |
+
pdf.add_page()
|
| 222 |
+
pdf.set_font("Helvetica","B",14)
|
| 223 |
+
pdf.cell(0,8,"Annotated Bibliography - Metallurgical AI (Selected Papers)", ln=True)
|
| 224 |
+
pdf.ln(2)
|
| 225 |
+
pdf.set_font("Helvetica","",10)
|
| 226 |
+
pdf.cell(0,6,"Generated: " + datetime.utcnow().strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M UTC"), ln=True)
|
| 227 |
+
pdf.ln(4)
|
| 228 |
+
bib_items = [
|
| 229 |
+
("A Survey of Data-Driven Soft Sensing in Ironmaking Systems","Yan et al. (2024)","Review of soft-sensors; supports gas proxies, lags, PCA."),
|
| 230 |
+
("Optimisation of Oxygen Blowing Process using RL","Ojeda Roldan et al. (2022)","RL for oxygen control; motivates surrogate predicted states & safety indices."),
|
| 231 |
+
("Analyzing the Energy Efficiency of Electric Arc Furnace","Zhuo et al. (2024)","Energy KPIs (kWh/t) motivate power_density & energy_efficiency features."),
|
| 232 |
+
("BOF/Endpoint prediction techniques","Springer (2024)","Endpoint prediction; supports temporal lags and cycle encoding."),
|
| 233 |
+
("Dynamic EAF modeling & slag foaming","MacRosty et al.","Physics priors for slag_foaming_index and refractory health modeling.")
|
| 234 |
+
]
|
| 235 |
+
for title, auth, note in bib_items:
|
| 236 |
+
pdf.set_font("Helvetica","B",11)
|
| 237 |
+
pdf.multi_cell(0,6, f"{title} — {auth}")
|
| 238 |
+
pdf.set_font("Helvetica","",10)
|
| 239 |
+
pdf.multi_cell(0,5, f"Notes: {note}")
|
| 240 |
+
pdf.ln(2)
|
| 241 |
+
pdf.output(PDF_PATH)
|
| 242 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 243 |
+
# fallback: simple text file
|
| 244 |
+
with open(PDF_PATH.replace(".pdf",".txt"), "w") as tf:
|
| 245 |
+
tf.write("Annotated bibliography generated. Install fpdf for PDF output.\n")
|
| 246 |
+
return CSV_PATH, META_PATH, PDF_PATH
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 249 |
+
# Ensure dataset exists
|
| 250 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 251 |
+
if not os.path.exists(CSV_PATH) or not os.path.exists(META_PATH):
|
| 252 |
+
with st.spinner("Generating advanced feature universe (this may take ~20-60s)..."):
|
| 253 |
+
CSV_PATH, META_PATH, PDF_PATH = generate_advanced_flatfile(n_rows=3000, random_seed=42, max_polynomial_new=80)
|
| 254 |
+
st.success(f"Generated dataset and metadata: {CSV_PATH}")
|
| 255 |
+
|
| 256 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 257 |
+
# Load data & metadata (cached)
|
| 258 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 259 |
+
@st.cache_data
|
| 260 |
+
def load_data(csv_path=CSV_PATH, meta_path=META_PATH):
|
| 261 |
+
df_local = pd.read_csv(csv_path)
|
| 262 |
+
with open(meta_path, "r") as f:
|
| 263 |
+
meta_local = json.load(f)
|
| 264 |
+
return df_local, pd.DataFrame(meta_local)
|
| 265 |
+
|
| 266 |
+
df, meta_df = load_data()
|
| 267 |
+
|
| 268 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 269 |
+
# Sidebar filters & UI
|
| 270 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 271 |
+
st.sidebar.title("🔎 Feature Explorer - Advanced + SHAP")
|
| 272 |
+
feat_types = sorted(meta_df["source_type"].unique().tolist())
|
| 273 |
+
selected_types = st.sidebar.multiselect("Feature type", feat_types, default=feat_types)
|
| 274 |
+
numeric_cols = df.select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).columns.tolist()
|
| 275 |
+
|
| 276 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 277 |
+
# Main tabs
|
| 278 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 279 |
+
st.title("Steel Authority of India Limited (SHAP-enabled)")
|
| 280 |
+
tabs = st.tabs([
|
| 281 |
+
"Features",
|
| 282 |
+
"Visualize",
|
| 283 |
+
"Correlations",
|
| 284 |
+
"Stats",
|
| 285 |
+
"Ensemble + SHAP",
|
| 286 |
+
"Target & Business Impact",
|
| 287 |
+
"Bibliography"
|
| 288 |
+
])
|
| 289 |
+
|
| 290 |
+
# ----- Features tab
|
| 291 |
+
with tabs[0]:
|
| 292 |
+
st.subheader("Feature metadata")
|
| 293 |
+
filtered_meta = meta_df[meta_df["source_type"].isin(selected_types)]
|
| 294 |
+
st.dataframe(filtered_meta[["feature_name","source_type","formula","remarks"]].rename(columns={"feature_name":"Feature"}), height=400)
|
| 295 |
+
st.markdown(f"Total features loaded: **{df.shape[1]}** | Rows: **{df.shape[0]}**")
|
| 296 |
+
|
| 297 |
+
# ----- Visualize tab
|
| 298 |
+
with tabs[1]:
|
| 299 |
+
st.subheader("Feature visualization")
|
| 300 |
+
col = st.selectbox("Choose numeric feature", numeric_cols, index=0)
|
| 301 |
+
bins = st.slider("Histogram bins", 10, 200, 50)
|
| 302 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8,4))
|
| 303 |
+
sns.histplot(df[col], bins=bins, kde=True, ax=ax)
|
| 304 |
+
ax.set_title(col)
|
| 305 |
+
st.pyplot(fig)
|
| 306 |
+
st.write(df[col].describe().to_frame().T)
|
| 307 |
+
|
| 308 |
+
# ----- Correlations tab
|
| 309 |
+
with tabs[2]:
|
| 310 |
+
st.subheader("Correlation explorer")
|
| 311 |
+
default_corr = numeric_cols[:20] if len(numeric_cols) >= 20 else numeric_cols
|
| 312 |
+
corr_sel = st.multiselect("Select features (min 2)", numeric_cols, default=default_corr)
|
| 313 |
+
if len(corr_sel) >= 2:
|
| 314 |
+
corr = df[corr_sel].corr()
|
| 315 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(10,8))
|
| 316 |
+
sns.heatmap(corr, cmap="coolwarm", center=0, ax=ax)
|
| 317 |
+
st.pyplot(fig)
|
| 318 |
+
else:
|
| 319 |
+
st.info("Choose at least 2 numeric features to compute correlation.")
|
| 320 |
+
|
| 321 |
+
# ----- Stats tab
|
| 322 |
+
with tabs[3]:
|
| 323 |
+
st.subheader("Summary statistics (numeric features)")
|
| 324 |
+
st.dataframe(df.describe().T.style.format("{:.3f}"), height=500)
|
| 325 |
+
|
| 326 |
+
# ----- Ensemble + SHAP tab
|
| 327 |
+
with tabs[4]:
|
| 328 |
+
st.subheader("Ensemble modeling sandbox (fast) + SHAP explainability")
|
| 329 |
+
# Feature & target selector
|
| 330 |
+
target = st.selectbox("Target variable", numeric_cols, index=numeric_cols.index("furnace_temp") if "furnace_temp" in numeric_cols else 0)
|
| 331 |
+
default_features = [c for c in numeric_cols if c != target][:50] # preselect up to 50 features default
|
| 332 |
+
features = st.multiselect("Model input features (select many; start with defaults)", numeric_cols, default=default_features)
|
| 333 |
+
sample_size = st.slider("Sample rows to use for training (speed vs fidelity)", min_value=200, max_value=min(4000, df.shape[0]), value=1000, step=100)
|
| 334 |
+
train_button = st.button("Train ensemble & compute SHAP (recommended sample only)")
|
| 335 |
+
|
| 336 |
+
if train_button:
|
| 337 |
+
with st.spinner("Preparing data and training ensemble..."):
|
| 338 |
+
sub_df = df[features + [target]].sample(n=sample_size, random_state=42)
|
| 339 |
+
X = sub_df[features].fillna(0)
|
| 340 |
+
y = sub_df[target].fillna(0)
|
| 341 |
+
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
|
| 342 |
+
# models
|
| 343 |
+
models = {
|
| 344 |
+
"Linear": LinearRegression(),
|
| 345 |
+
"RandomForest": RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=150, random_state=42, n_jobs=-1),
|
| 346 |
+
"GradientBoosting": GradientBoostingRegressor(n_estimators=150, random_state=42),
|
| 347 |
+
"ExtraTrees": ExtraTreesRegressor(n_estimators=150, random_state=42, n_jobs=-1)
|
| 348 |
+
}
|
| 349 |
+
preds = {}
|
| 350 |
+
results = []
|
| 351 |
+
for name, m in models.items():
|
| 352 |
+
m.fit(X_train, y_train)
|
| 353 |
+
p = m.predict(X_test)
|
| 354 |
+
preds[name] = p
|
| 355 |
+
results.append({"Model": name, "R2": r2_score(y_test, p), "RMSE": float(np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_test, p)))})
|
| 356 |
+
# ensemble average
|
| 357 |
+
ensemble_pred = np.column_stack(list(preds.values())).mean(axis=1)
|
| 358 |
+
results.append({"Model": "EnsembleAvg", "R2": r2_score(y_test, ensemble_pred), "RMSE": float(np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_test, ensemble_pred)))})
|
| 359 |
+
st.dataframe(pd.DataFrame(results).set_index("Model").round(4))
|
| 360 |
+
|
| 361 |
+
# scatter
|
| 362 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8,4))
|
| 363 |
+
ax.scatter(y_test, ensemble_pred, alpha=0.5)
|
| 364 |
+
ax.plot([y_test.min(), y_test.max()], [y_test.min(), y_test.max()], "r--")
|
| 365 |
+
ax.set_xlabel("Actual"); ax.set_ylabel("Predicted (Ensemble)")
|
| 366 |
+
st.pyplot(fig)
|
| 367 |
+
|
| 368 |
+
# save the models (lightweight)
|
| 369 |
+
joblib.dump(models, ENSEMBLE_ARTIFACT)
|
| 370 |
+
st.success(f"Saved ensemble models to {ENSEMBLE_ARTIFACT}")
|
| 371 |
+
|
| 372 |
+
# ---------- SHAP explainability ----------
|
| 373 |
+
st.markdown("### SHAP Explainability — pick a model to explain (Tree models recommended)")
|
| 374 |
+
explain_model_name = st.selectbox("Model to explain", list(models.keys()), index= list(models.keys()).index("RandomForest") if "RandomForest" in models else 0)
|
| 375 |
+
explainer_sample = st.slider("Number of rows to use for SHAP explanation (memory heavy)", 50, min(1500, sample_size), value=300, step=50)
|
| 376 |
+
|
| 377 |
+
# Use a Tree explainer if possible; otherwise KernelExplainer (slow)
|
| 378 |
+
model_to_explain = models[explain_model_name]
|
| 379 |
+
X_shap = X_test.copy()
|
| 380 |
+
if explainer_sample < X_shap.shape[0]:
|
| 381 |
+
X_shap_for = X_shap.sample(n=explainer_sample, random_state=42)
|
| 382 |
+
else:
|
| 383 |
+
X_shap_for = X_shap
|
| 384 |
+
|
| 385 |
+
with st.spinner("Computing SHAP values (this may take a while for large SHAP sample)..."):
|
| 386 |
+
try:
|
| 387 |
+
if hasattr(model_to_explain, "predict") and (explain_model_name in ["RandomForest","ExtraTrees","GradientBoosting"]):
|
| 388 |
+
explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model_to_explain)
|
| 389 |
+
shap_values = explainer.shap_values(X_shap_for)
|
| 390 |
+
# summary plot
|
| 391 |
+
import warnings
|
| 392 |
+
warnings.filterwarnings("ignore", category=UserWarning, module="matplotlib")
|
| 393 |
+
fig_shap = plt.figure(figsize=(8,6))
|
| 394 |
+
shap.summary_plot(shap_values, X_shap_for, show=False)
|
| 395 |
+
st.pyplot(fig_shap)
|
| 396 |
+
else:
|
| 397 |
+
# fallback: use KernelExplainer on small sample (very slow)
|
| 398 |
+
explainer = shap.KernelExplainer(model_to_explain.predict, shap.sample(X_train, 100))
|
| 399 |
+
shap_values = explainer.shap_values(X_shap_for, nsamples=100)
|
| 400 |
+
fig_shap = plt.figure(figsize=(8,6))
|
| 401 |
+
shap.summary_plot(shap_values, X_shap_for, show=False)
|
| 402 |
+
st.pyplot(fig_shap)
|
| 403 |
+
st.success("SHAP summary plotted.")
|
| 404 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 405 |
+
st.error(f"SHAP failed: {e}")
|
| 406 |
+
# per-instance explanation waterfall
|
| 407 |
+
st.markdown("#### Explain a single prediction (waterfall):")
|
| 408 |
+
idx_choice = st.number_input("Row index (0..n_test-1)", min_value=0, max_value=X_shap.shape[0]-1, value=0)
|
| 409 |
+
try:
|
| 410 |
+
row = X_shap_for.iloc[[idx_choice]]
|
| 411 |
+
if explain_model_name in ["RandomForest","ExtraTrees","GradientBoosting"]:
|
| 412 |
+
expl = shap.TreeExplainer(model_to_explain)
|
| 413 |
+
shap_vals_row = expl.shap_values(row)
|
| 414 |
+
exp_val = expl.expected_value
|
| 415 |
+
shap_vals = shap_vals_row
|
| 416 |
+
|
| 417 |
+
# Handle tree models returning arrays for single target
|
| 418 |
+
if isinstance(exp_val, (list, np.ndarray)) and not np.isscalar(exp_val):
|
| 419 |
+
exp_val = exp_val[0]
|
| 420 |
+
if isinstance(shap_vals, list):
|
| 421 |
+
shap_vals = shap_vals[0]
|
| 422 |
+
|
| 423 |
+
exp_val = expl.expected_value
|
| 424 |
+
shap_vals = shap_vals_row
|
| 425 |
+
|
| 426 |
+
# Handle multi-output case
|
| 427 |
+
if isinstance(exp_val, (list, np.ndarray)) and not np.isscalar(exp_val):
|
| 428 |
+
exp_val = exp_val[0]
|
| 429 |
+
if isinstance(shap_vals, list):
|
| 430 |
+
shap_vals = shap_vals[0]
|
| 431 |
+
|
| 432 |
+
# Plot safely across SHAP versions
|
| 433 |
+
try:
|
| 434 |
+
explanation = shap.Explanation(
|
| 435 |
+
values=shap_vals[0],
|
| 436 |
+
base_values=exp_val,
|
| 437 |
+
data=row.iloc[0],
|
| 438 |
+
feature_names=row.columns.tolist()
|
| 439 |
+
)
|
| 440 |
+
plot_obj = shap.plots.waterfall(explanation, show=False)
|
| 441 |
+
|
| 442 |
+
# If SHAP returns Axes instead of Figure, wrap it
|
| 443 |
+
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
|
| 444 |
+
if hasattr(plot_obj, "figure"):
|
| 445 |
+
fig2 = plot_obj.figure
|
| 446 |
+
else:
|
| 447 |
+
fig2 = plt.gcf()
|
| 448 |
+
|
| 449 |
+
st.pyplot(fig2)
|
| 450 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 451 |
+
st.warning(f"Waterfall plotting failed gracefully: {e}")
|
| 452 |
+
|
| 453 |
+
|
| 454 |
+
else:
|
| 455 |
+
st.info("Per-instance waterfall not available for this model type in fallback.")
|
| 456 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 457 |
+
st.warning(f"Could not plot waterfall: {e}")
|
| 458 |
+
|
| 459 |
+
|
| 460 |
+
# ----- 📌 Target & Business Impact tab
|
| 461 |
+
with tabs[5]:
|
| 462 |
+
st.subheader("🎯 Recommended Target Variables by Use Case")
|
| 463 |
+
st.markdown("Each use case maps to a practical target variable that drives measurable business impact.")
|
| 464 |
+
|
| 465 |
+
target_table = pd.DataFrame([
|
| 466 |
+
["Predictive Maintenance (Mills, Motors, Compressors)", "bearing_temp / time_to_failure", "Rises before mechanical failure; early warning", "₹10–30 L per asset/year"],
|
| 467 |
+
["Blast Furnace / EAF Data Intelligence", "furnace_temp / tap_temp", "Central control variable, linked to energy and quality", "₹20–60 L/year"],
|
| 468 |
+
["Casting Quality Optimization", "defect_probability / solidification_rate", "Determines billet quality; control nozzle & cooling", "₹50 L/year yield gain"],
|
| 469 |
+
["Rolling Mill Energy Optimization", "energy_per_ton / exit_temp", "Directly tied to energy efficiency", "₹5–10 L/year per kWh/t"],
|
| 470 |
+
["Surface Defect Detection (Vision AI)", "defect_probability", "Quality metric from CNN", "1–2 % yield gain"],
|
| 471 |
+
["Material Composition & Alloy Mix AI", "deviation_from_target_grade", "Predict deviation, suggest corrections", "₹20 L/year raw material savings"],
|
| 472 |
+
["Inventory & Yield Optimization", "yield_ratio (output/input)", "Linked to WIP and process yield", "₹1 Cr+/year"],
|
| 473 |
+
["Refractory & Cooling Loss Prediction", "lining_thickness / heat_loss_rate", "Predict wear for planned maintenance", "₹40 L/year downtime savings"]], columns=["Use Case", "Target Variable", "Why It’s Ideal", "Business Leverage"])
|
| 474 |
+
|
| 475 |
+
st.dataframe(target_table, use_container_width=True)
|
| 476 |
+
|
| 477 |
+
st.markdown("---")
|
| 478 |
+
st.subheader(" Business Framing for Clients")
|
| 479 |
+
st.markdown("These metrics show approximate annual benefits from small process improvements.")
|
| 480 |
+
|
| 481 |
+
business_table = pd.DataFrame([
|
| 482 |
+
["Energy consumption", "400 kWh/ton", "₹35–60 L"],
|
| 483 |
+
["Electrode wear", "1.8 kg/ton", "₹10 L"],
|
| 484 |
+
["Refractory wear", "3 mm/heat", "₹15 L"],
|
| 485 |
+
["Oxygen usage", "40 Nm³/ton", "₹20 L"],
|
| 486 |
+
["Yield loss", "2 %", "₹50 L – ₹1 Cr"],
|
| 487 |
+
], columns=["Metric", "Typical Value (EAF India)", "5 % Improvement → Annual ₹ Value"])
|
| 488 |
+
|
| 489 |
+
st.dataframe(business_table, use_container_width=True)
|
| 490 |
+
st.info("These numbers are indicative averages; actual benefits depend on plant capacity and process efficiency.")
|
| 491 |
+
|
| 492 |
+
# ----- 📚 Bibliography tab
|
| 493 |
+
with tabs[6]:
|
| 494 |
+
st.subheader("📚 Annotated Bibliography & Feature Justification")
|
| 495 |
+
st.markdown("""
|
| 496 |
+
This section summarizes published research supporting the feature design and modeling choices.
|
| 497 |
+
""")
|
| 498 |
+
|
| 499 |
+
bib_data = [
|
| 500 |
+
("A Survey of Data-Driven Soft Sensing in Ironmaking Systems", "Yan et al. (2024)", "Supports gas proxies, lags, PCA for off-gas and temperature correlation."),
|
| 501 |
+
("Optimisation of Oxygen Blowing Process using RL", "Ojeda Roldan et al. (2022)", "Reinforcement learning for oxygen control; motivates surrogate predicted states & safety indices."),
|
| 502 |
+
("Analyzing the Energy Efficiency of Electric Arc Furnace", "Zhuo et al. (2024)", "Energy KPIs (kWh/t) motivate power_density & energy_efficiency features."),
|
| 503 |
+
("BOF/Endpoint Prediction Techniques", "Springer (2024)", "Endpoint prediction; supports temporal lags and cycle encoding."),
|
| 504 |
+
("Dynamic EAF Modeling & Slag Foaming", "MacRosty et al.", "Physics priors for slag_foaming_index and refractory health modeling."),
|
| 505 |
+
]
|
| 506 |
+
|
| 507 |
+
bib_df = pd.DataFrame(bib_data, columns=["Paper Title", "Authors / Year", "Relevance to Feature Engineering"])
|
| 508 |
+
st.dataframe(bib_df, use_container_width=True)
|
| 509 |
|
| 510 |
+
st.markdown("""
|
| 511 |
+
**Feature-to-Research Mapping Summary:**
|
| 512 |
+
- Gas probes & soft-sensing → `carbon_proxy`, `oxygen_utilization`
|
| 513 |
+
- Power & energy proxies → `power_density`, `energy_efficiency`
|
| 514 |
+
- Temporal features → rolling means, lags, cycle progress indicators
|
| 515 |
+
- Surrogate features → `pred_temp_30s`, `pred_carbon_5min`
|
| 516 |
+
- PCA / clustering → operating mode compression
|
| 517 |
+
""")
|
| 518 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 519 |
+
# Footer / Notes
|
| 520 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 521 |
+
st.markdown("---")
|
| 522 |
+
st.markdown("**Notes:** This dataset is synthetic and for demo/prototyping. Real plant integration requires NDA, data on-boarding, sensor mapping, and plant safety checks before any control actions.")
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