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lambda_rule_analysis.py β Rule-level FP/FN sweep using actual condition parameters
Depends on docs/rule_sweep_data.csv produced by prepare_rule_sweep_data.py.
Each rule has condition parameters that were set per-customer from their
transaction history. The sweep varies those parameters (e.g. the $50K floor
for Activity Deviation or the 5-std dev multiplier) and shows how SAR catch rate
and FP count change.
Public API (called from application.py):
load_rule_sweep_data() -> df (call once at startup)
list_rules_text(df) -> pre-computed text for the model
compute_rule_sar_sweep(df, ...) -> pre-computed text for the model
"""
import json
import math
import os
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
_HERE = os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))
_THRESHOLDS = os.path.join(_HERE, "rule_thresholds.json")
_CATALOGUE = os.path.join(_HERE, "config", "rule_catalogue.json")
from config import RULE_SWEEP_CSV as _CSV
MAX_SWEEP_ROWS = 12
# ββ Rule catalogue βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
# Loaded from config/rule_catalogue.json β add new rules there, no code changes needed.
# Maps lower-cased keyword -> canonical risk_factor name + sweepable params
def _load_catalogue() -> dict:
with open(_CATALOGUE, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
raw = json.load(f)
# Convert default_2d lists to tuples (preserves original type used in code)
for entry in raw.values():
if isinstance(entry.get("default_2d"), list):
entry["default_2d"] = tuple(entry["default_2d"])
return raw
RULE_CATALOGUE = _load_catalogue()
# ββ Legacy inline catalogue (kept for reference, no longer used) βββββββββββββββ
_LEGACY_CATALOGUE = {
"activity deviation (ach)": {
"name": "Activity Deviation (ACH)",
"current": "Monthly Outgoing ACH >= $50K AND >= 5 std dev above 12-month profile mean",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "monthly ACH floor ($)",
"current": 50_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 10_000,
"desc": "Minimum monthly Outgoing ACH sum to trigger (currently $50K)",
},
"z_threshold": {
"col": "z_score",
"label": "std dev multiplier",
"current": 5.0,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 0.0,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Std-dev multiplier above 12-month ACH profile mean (currently 5)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "z_threshold"),
},
"activity deviation (check)": {
"name": "Activity Deviation (Check)",
"current": "Monthly Outgoing Check >= $50K AND >= 2 std dev above 12-month profile mean",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "monthly Check floor ($)",
"current": 50_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 10_000,
"desc": "Minimum monthly Outgoing Check sum to trigger (currently $50K)",
},
"z_threshold": {
"col": "z_score",
"label": "std dev multiplier",
"current": 2.0,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 0.0,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Std-dev multiplier above 12-month Check profile mean (currently 2)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "z_threshold"),
},
"elder abuse": {
"name": "Elder Abuse",
"current": "Age >= 60 AND 14-day outgoing >= $5K AND >= 3 std dev above 90-day mean",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "14-day outgoing floor ($)",
"current": 5_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 500,
"desc": "Minimum 14-day aggregated outgoing to trigger (currently $5K)",
},
"z_threshold": {
"col": "z_score",
"label": "std dev multiplier",
"current": 3.0,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 0.0,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Std-dev multiplier above 90-day mean (currently 3)",
},
"age_threshold": {
"col": "age",
"label": "minimum age (years)",
"current": 60,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 50,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Minimum customer age to trigger (currently 60)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "z_threshold",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "age_threshold"),
},
"velocity single": {
"name": "Velocity Single",
"current": ">=1 pair (in+out) within 14 days, out=90-110% of in, pair total >= $20K",
"sweep_params": {
"pair_total": {
"col": "pair_total",
"label": "pair total ($)",
"current": 20_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 5_000,
# sweep_max derived from data p95 β no catalogue cap
"desc": "Minimum combined in+out pair total to trigger (currently $20K)",
},
"ratio_tolerance": {
"col": "ratio",
"label": "ratio tolerance",
"current": 0.10,
"direction": "abs_lte",
"format_pct": True,
"values": [0.0, 0.025, 0.05, 0.075, 0.10, 0.125, 0.15, 0.175, 0.20],
"desc": "Max deviation of out/in ratio from 1.0 to trigger (currently 10% = 90-110%)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "pair_total",
"default_2d": ("pair_total", "ratio_tolerance"),
},
"detect excessive": {
"name": "Detect Excessive Transaction Activity",
"current": "5-day incoming Cash+Check sum > $10K",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "sum threshold ($)",
"current": 10_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 2_000,
# sweep_max derived from data p95 β no catalogue cap
"desc": "Minimum N-day incoming Cash+Check sum to trigger (currently $10K over 5 days)",
},
"time_window": {
"col": None,
"label": "time window (days)",
"current": 5,
"direction": "window",
"values": [3, 5, 7, 10, 14],
"desc": "Aggregation window in days (currently 5 days); options: 3, 5, 7, 10, 14",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "time_window"),
},
"structuring (incoming cash)": {
"name": "Structuring (Incoming Cash)",
"current": "3 qualifying days within 14-day window, each day's Cash CashIn total $3K-$40K",
"sweep_params": {
"daily_floor": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "min daily Cash amount ($)",
"current": 3_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 500,
"desc": "Minimum daily Cash CashIn total for a qualifying day (currently $3K)",
},
"days_required": {
"col": "days_observed",
"label": "qualifying days required",
"current": 3,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Minimum number of qualifying days in the window (currently 3)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "daily_floor",
"default_2d": ("daily_floor", "days_required"),
},
"structuring (outgoing cash)": {
"name": "Structuring (Outgoing Cash)",
"current": "3 qualifying days within 14-day window, each day's Cash CashOut total $7K-$30K",
"sweep_params": {
"daily_floor": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "min daily Cash amount ($)",
"current": 7_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1_000,
"desc": "Minimum daily Cash CashOut total for a qualifying day (currently $7K)",
},
"days_required": {
"col": "days_observed",
"label": "qualifying days required",
"current": 3,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Minimum number of qualifying days in the window (currently 3)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "daily_floor",
"default_2d": ("daily_floor", "days_required"),
},
"ctr client": {
"name": "CTR Client",
"current": "Cash + Currency Exchange in/out total > $10K",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "total Cash threshold ($)",
"current": 10_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 5_000,
"desc": "Minimum Cash/Currency Exchange total to trigger (currently $10K)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "floor_amount"),
},
"burst in originator activity": {
"name": "Burst in Originator Activity",
"current": "5-day Incoming Wire/ACH sum >= $5K, >= 3 transactions, >= 2 distinct counterparties",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "5-day incoming sum ($)",
"current": 5_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1_000,
"desc": "Minimum 5-day incoming Wire/ACH sum to trigger (currently $5K)",
},
"min_transactions": {
"col": "txn_count",
"label": "minimum transaction count",
"current": 3,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Minimum number of transactions in the 5-day window (currently 3)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "min_transactions"),
},
"burst in beneficiary activity": {
"name": "Burst in Beneficiary Activity",
"current": "5-day Outgoing Wire/ACH sum >= $5K, >= 3 transactions, >= 2 distinct counterparties",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "5-day outgoing sum ($)",
"current": 5_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1_000,
"desc": "Minimum 5-day outgoing Wire/ACH sum to trigger (currently $5K)",
},
"min_transactions": {
"col": "txn_count",
"label": "minimum transaction count",
"current": 3,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 1,
"integer_axis": True,
"desc": "Minimum number of transactions in the 5-day window (currently 3)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "min_transactions"),
},
"risky international transfer": {
"name": "Risky International Transfer",
"current": "Single Wire to/from medium-risk country >= $300K or >= $500K",
"sweep_params": {
"floor_amount": {
"col": "trigger_amt",
"label": "single Wire floor ($)",
"current": 300_000,
"direction": "gte",
"sweep_min": 100_000,
"desc": "Minimum single Wire amount to a risky country to trigger (currently $300K)",
},
},
"default_sweep": "floor_amount",
"default_2d": ("floor_amount", "floor_amount"),
},
} # end _LEGACY_CATALOGUE β not used; kept for reference only
def _load_thresholds():
"""
Patch RULE_CATALOGUE with current thresholds from rule_thresholds.json.
When a rule's operational threshold changes, only the JSON needs updating.
"""
if not os.path.exists(_THRESHOLDS):
return
with open(_THRESHOLDS, "r") as f:
config = json.load(f)
for rule_key, rule_cfg in config.items():
if rule_key.startswith("_"):
continue
if rule_key not in RULE_CATALOGUE:
continue
entry = RULE_CATALOGUE[rule_key]
if "current_condition" in rule_cfg:
entry["current"] = rule_cfg["current_condition"]
for param_name, value in rule_cfg.get("thresholds", {}).items():
if param_name in entry["sweep_params"]:
entry["sweep_params"][param_name]["current"] = value
_load_thresholds()
def _match_rule(keyword):
"""Return (canonical_name, catalogue_entry) or (None, None)."""
kw = keyword.strip().lower()
for key, entry in RULE_CATALOGUE.items():
if kw in key or key in kw or kw in entry["name"].lower():
return entry["name"], entry
return None, None
# ββ Load βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def load_rule_sweep_data():
"""Load rule sweep data β production CSV or synthetic (when ARIA_SYNTH_DATA_DIR is set)."""
if not os.path.exists(_CSV):
return None
df = pd.read_csv(_CSV)
try:
from column_mapper import normalize_columns
df = normalize_columns(df, verbose=True)
except Exception:
pass
# Normalise customer_id column name (synth uses aria_customer_id)
if "aria_customer_id" in df.columns and "customer_id" not in df.columns:
df = df.rename(columns={"aria_customer_id": "customer_id"})
# Derive dynamic_segment from customer_type if missing (needed for cluster filter)
if "dynamic_segment" not in df.columns and "customer_type" in df.columns:
df["dynamic_segment"] = df["customer_type"].str.upper().map(
{"BUSINESS": 0, "INDIVIDUAL": 1}
)
source = "synthetic" if os.getenv("ARIA_SYNTH_DATA_DIR") else "production"
print(f"[rule_analysis] loaded {len(df):,} rows from {source} data ({_CSV})")
return df
# ββ list_rules βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def list_rules_text(df):
"""
Pre-computed text listing available rules with SAR/FP counts and sweep options.
"""
lines = ["=== PRE-COMPUTED RULE LIST (copy this verbatim) ==="]
lines.append("Available AML rules with SAR/FP performance (detailed table shown in chart below):")
lines.append("NOTE: This is the COMPLETE list of rules in the system. Do NOT add or infer any rules not listed here.")
for _, entry in RULE_CATALOGUE.items():
rf = entry["name"]
grp = df[df["risk_factor"] == rf] if df is not None else pd.DataFrame()
n = len(grp)
sar = int(grp["is_sar"].sum()) if n > 0 else 0
fp = int((grp["is_sar"] == 0).sum()) if n > 0 else 0
prec = f"{round(100*sar/(sar+fp),1)}%" if (sar + fp) > 0 else "n/a"
sweep_keys = ", ".join(entry["sweep_params"].keys())
lines.append(f" {rf}: alerts={n}, SAR={sar}, FP={fp}, precision={prec}, sweep_params=[{sweep_keys}]")
lines.append("=== END RULE LIST ===")
return "\n".join(lines)
# ββ cluster_rule_summary βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def cluster_rule_summary_text(df, cluster_n):
"""
Pre-computed SAR/FP/precision for ALL rules filtered to customers in one cluster.
Parameters
----------
df : DataFrame already filtered to the target cluster by _filter_by_cluster()
cluster_n : int β cluster number (1-based), used only for display
"""
if df is None or len(df) == 0:
return (
f"=== PRE-COMPUTED CLUSTER RULE SUMMARY (copy this verbatim) ===\n"
f"Cluster {cluster_n} β no alert data found for this cluster.\n"
f"=== END CLUSTER RULE SUMMARY ==="
)
n_customers = df["customer_id"].nunique() if "customer_id" in df.columns else len(df)
lines = ["=== PRE-COMPUTED CLUSTER RULE SUMMARY (copy this verbatim) ==="]
lines.append(f"Cluster {cluster_n} β {n_customers:,} customers in rule alert data")
lines.append("SAR/FP performance for all rules filtered to this cluster:")
lines.append("NOTE: alerts=0 means no alerts from this rule for customers in this cluster.")
active_lines, inactive = [], []
for _, entry in RULE_CATALOGUE.items():
rf = entry["name"]
grp = df[df["risk_factor"] == rf]
n = len(grp)
if n == 0:
inactive.append(rf)
continue
sar = int(grp["is_sar"].sum())
fp = int((grp["is_sar"] == 0).sum())
prec = f"{round(100 * sar / (sar + fp), 1)}%" if (sar + fp) > 0 else "n/a"
active_lines.append(f" {rf}: alerts={n}, SAR={sar}, FP={fp}, precision={prec}")
lines.extend(active_lines)
if inactive:
lines.append(f"Rules with alerts=0 in Cluster {cluster_n}: {', '.join(inactive)}")
lines.append("=== END CLUSTER RULE SUMMARY ===")
return "\n".join(lines)
# ββ rule_sar_backtest ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def compute_rule_sar_sweep(df, risk_factor_keyword, sweep_param=None, max_rows=MAX_SWEEP_ROWS):
"""
Sweep a rule condition parameter and show SAR caught / FP remaining / SAR missed
at each threshold level.
Parameters
----------
df : DataFrame from load_rule_sweep_data()
risk_factor_keyword : str β e.g. "Activity Deviation" or "elder"
sweep_param : str β key from rule's sweep_params dict (or None for default)
"""
if df is None:
return "Rule sweep data not loaded. Run python prepare_rule_sweep_data.py first."
rf_name, entry = _match_rule(risk_factor_keyword)
if entry is None:
known = [e["name"] for e in RULE_CATALOGUE.values()]
return (
f"No rule matched '{risk_factor_keyword}'. "
f"Call list_rules to see available rules. Known: {known}"
)
# Resolve sweep parameter β normalize spaces/hyphens to underscores
if sweep_param is not None:
sweep_param = str(sweep_param).replace(" ", "_").replace("-", "_")
if sweep_param is None or sweep_param not in entry["sweep_params"]:
sweep_param = entry["default_sweep"]
sp = entry["sweep_params"][sweep_param]
col = sp["col"]
# Filter to this rule, only rows with SAR label and sweep column
rule_df = df[df["risk_factor"] == rf_name].copy()
known = rule_df.dropna(subset=["is_sar", col]).copy()
total_sars = int((known["is_sar"] == 1).sum())
total_fps = int((known["is_sar"] == 0).sum())
total = len(known)
precision = round(100 * total_sars / total, 1) if total > 0 else 0.0
header = [
"=== PRE-COMPUTED RULE SWEEP (copy this verbatim, do not alter numbers) ===",
f"Rule: {rf_name}",
f"Current condition: {entry['current']}",
f"Sweep parameter: {sweep_param} - {sp['desc']}",
f"Current value: {sp['current']:,}",
f"Labeled population: {total} customers (TP+FN pool={total_sars} SAR, FP+TN pool={total_fps} non-SAR, precision={precision}%)",
]
if total == 0:
header.append("No labelled customers with this sweep column. Cannot sweep.")
header.append("=== END RULE SAR SWEEP ===")
return "\n".join(header)
if total_sars == 0:
header.append("No SAR customers in this rule's alerted population β all alerts are false positives.")
header.append("=== END RULE SAR SWEEP ===")
return "\n".join(header)
# Use same nice-step logic as _sweep_points for consistency
cur = float(sp["current"])
raw_points = _sweep_points(known, sp, n_steps=16)
sweep = []
for t in raw_points:
if sp["direction"] == "gte":
mask_caught = (known[col] >= t) & (known["is_sar"] == 1)
mask_fp = (known[col] >= t) & (known["is_sar"] == 0)
else: # lte
mask_caught = (known[col] <= t) & (known["is_sar"] == 1)
mask_fp = (known[col] <= t) & (known["is_sar"] == 0)
caught = int(mask_caught.sum())
fp_rem = int(mask_fp.sum())
missed = total_sars - caught
sweep.append((round(t, 2), caught, fp_rem, missed))
# Key thresholds
def last_point_above_rate(target_rate):
target = int(total_sars * target_rate)
candidates = [s for s in sweep if s[1] > target]
return candidates[-1] if candidates else sweep[0]
t90 = last_point_above_rate(0.90)
t50 = last_point_above_rate(0.50)
# Find current-condition row
cur_row = next((s for s in sweep if s[0] == round(cur, 2)), None)
def _prec(tp, fp):
return round(100 * tp / (tp + fp), 1) if (tp + fp) > 0 else 0.0
# TP=caught SAR, FP=caught non-SAR, FN=missed SAR, TN=uncaught non-SAR
first_tp = sweep[0][1]; first_fp = sweep[0][2]
first_fn = total_sars - first_tp; first_tn = total_fps - first_fp
first_pct = round(100 * first_tp / total_sars, 1)
lines = header + [""]
lines.append(
f"At the lowest value ({sweep[0][0]:,.2f}): "
f"TP={first_tp}, FP={first_fp}, FN={first_fn}, TN={first_tn} "
f"(TP rate={first_pct}%, precision={_prec(first_tp, first_fp)}%)."
)
if cur_row:
cur_tp = cur_row[1]; cur_fp = cur_row[2]
cur_fn = total_sars - cur_tp; cur_tn = total_fps - cur_fp
cur_pct = round(100 * cur_tp / total_sars, 1)
lines.append(
f"At current condition ({cur_row[0]:,.2f}): "
f"TP={cur_tp}, FP={cur_fp}, FN={cur_fn}, TN={cur_tn} "
f"(TP rate={cur_pct}%, precision={_prec(cur_tp, cur_fp)}%)."
)
t90_tp = t90[1]; t90_fp = t90[2]; t90_fn = total_sars - t90_tp; t90_tn = total_fps - t90_fp
t50_tp = t50[1]; t50_fp = t50[2]; t50_fn = total_sars - t50_tp; t50_tn = total_fps - t50_fp
lines.append(f"To keep TP rate >=90%: {sweep_param} <= {t90[0]:,.2f} => TP={t90_tp}, FP={t90_fp}, FN={t90_fn}, TN={t90_tn}, precision={_prec(t90_tp, t90_fp)}%.")
lines.append(f"To keep TP rate >=50%: {sweep_param} <= {t50[0]:,.2f} => TP={t50_tp}, FP={t50_fp}, FN={t50_fn}, TN={t50_tn}, precision={_prec(t50_tp, t50_fp)}%.")
last = sweep[-1]
last_fn = total_sars - last[1]; last_tn = total_fps - last[2]
lines.append(f"At the highest value ({last[0]:,.2f}): TP={last[1]}, FP={last[2]}, FN={last_fn}, TN={last_tn}, precision={_prec(last[1], last[2])}%.")
lines.append("=== END RULE SWEEP ===")
lines.append("(Detailed sweep table shown in the chart below.)")
return "\n".join(lines)
# ββ rule_2d_sweep ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def _get_mask(df, sp, val):
"""Return boolean mask for a single sweep param at a given value."""
direction = sp["direction"]
if direction == "gte":
return df[sp["col"]] >= val
elif direction == "abs_lte":
return (df[sp["col"]] - 1.0).abs() <= val
elif direction == "window":
col = f"max_rolling_{int(val)}d"
if col not in df.columns:
return pd.Series(False, index=df.index)
return df[col] >= df["trigger_amt"] # fires if rolling sum >= current floor
return pd.Series(False, index=df.index)
def _sweep_points(df, sp, n_steps=15):
"""Return a list of sweep values for a param.
For dollar-amount columns: generates nice round steps centered on the current
operational threshold (e.g. current=$20K β 5K,10K,15K,20K,25K,30K,35K,40K).
For z-score columns: fixed 0β10 integer range.
For integer-axis columns (age, count): integer steps.
For fixed-value params (ratio_tolerance, time_window): use catalogue values list.
"""
direction = sp["direction"]
if direction == "window":
return sp["values"]
# Fixed value list (e.g. ratio_tolerance percentage steps)
if "values" in sp:
pts = [float(v) for v in sp["values"]]
cur = float(sp["current"])
if cur not in pts:
pts.append(cur)
return sorted(set(pts))
col = sp["col"]
raw_vals = df[col].dropna()
if len(raw_vals) == 0:
return []
cur = float(sp["current"])
# z-score: fixed 0β10 integer range
if col in ("z_score",):
i_max = 10
total_ints = i_max + 1
step = max(1, math.ceil(total_ints / (n_steps + 1)))
pts = list(range(0, i_max + 1, step))
cur_i = int(round(cur))
if cur_i not in pts:
pts.append(cur_i)
return sorted(set(pts))
# Integer-axis params (age, count): integer steps centered on current
if sp.get("integer_axis"):
hard_min = int(sp.get("sweep_min", 1))
i_min = max(hard_min, int(round(cur)) - n_steps // 2)
i_max = int(round(cur)) + n_steps // 2
total_ints = i_max - i_min + 1
step = max(1, math.ceil(total_ints / (n_steps + 1)))
pts = list(range(i_min, i_max + 1, step))
cur_i = int(round(cur))
if cur_i not in pts:
pts.append(cur_i)
return sorted(set(pts))
# Dollar-amount columns: nice round steps centered on current threshold.
# Step size is chosen to give ~8 steps either side of current.
def _nice_step(value, half_steps=4):
"""Round step giving ~half_steps increments on each side of value."""
raw = value / half_steps
if raw <= 0:
return 1.0
mag = 10 ** math.floor(math.log10(raw))
n = raw / mag
if n < 1.5:
nice = 1
elif n < 3.5:
nice = 2
elif n < 7.5:
nice = 5
else:
nice = 10
return nice * mag
# If explicit sweep_min AND sweep_max are both given, distribute evenly between them.
# Round step UP (not down) so the grid stays compact (~6β9 steps).
if "sweep_min" in sp and "sweep_max" in sp:
t_min = float(sp["sweep_min"])
t_max = float(sp["sweep_max"])
target = max(5, min(n_steps, 9))
raw_step = (t_max - t_min) / (target - 1)
mag = 10 ** math.floor(math.log10(raw_step))
n = raw_step / mag
if n <= 1.5:
nice = 2 # round up from 1Γ
elif n <= 3.5:
nice = 5 # round up from 2Γ
elif n <= 7.5:
nice = 10 # round up from 5Γ
else:
nice = 10
step = nice * mag
n_pts = int(round((t_max - t_min) / step)) + 1
pts = [int(round(t_min + i * step)) for i in range(n_pts)]
if int(round(cur)) not in pts and t_min <= cur <= t_max:
pts.append(int(round(cur)))
return sorted(set(pts))
step = _nice_step(cur)
hard_min = float(sp.get("sweep_min", step))
t_min = max(hard_min, cur - 4 * step)
t_max = cur + 4 * step
n_pts = int(round((t_max - t_min) / step)) + 1
pts = [int(round(t_min + i * step)) for i in range(n_pts)]
if int(round(cur)) not in pts:
pts.append(int(round(cur)))
return sorted(set(pts))
def _fmt_cur(sp):
"""Format a param's current value cleanly: integers as int, pct as %, floats strip trailing zeros."""
v = sp["current"]
if sp.get("format_pct"):
pct = v * 100
return f"{pct:g}%"
if sp.get("integer_axis") or (isinstance(v, (int, float)) and v == int(v)):
return str(int(v))
return str(v)
def _fmt_v(v, sp):
"""Format any sweep value for PRE-COMPUTED text output."""
if sp.get("format_pct"):
pct = v * 100
return f"{pct:g}%"
if sp.get("integer_axis"):
return str(int(round(v)))
if v == int(v):
return f"{int(v):,}"
return f"{v:,.2f}"
def compute_rule_2d_sweep(df, risk_factor_keyword, param1=None, param2=None):
"""
2D grid sweep: for each (param1_val, param2_val) combination, count
SAR caught and FP remaining when both conditions are applied simultaneously.
Returns (result_text, grid_dict) where grid_dict has keys:
p1_vals, p2_vals, sar_grid (list of lists), fp_grid, total_sars, p1_label, p2_label
"""
if df is None:
return "Rule sweep data not loaded.", None
rf_name, entry = _match_rule(risk_factor_keyword)
if entry is None:
return f"No rule matched '{risk_factor_keyword}'. Call list_rules to see available rules.", None
params = entry["sweep_params"]
keys = list(params.keys())
# Resolve param1 / param2
default_2d = entry.get("default_2d", (keys[0], keys[1] if len(keys) > 1 else keys[0]))
if param1 is None:
param1 = default_2d[0]
if param2 is None:
param2 = default_2d[1]
# Normalize param names: model may use spaces instead of underscores or pass integers
if param1 is not None:
param1 = str(param1).replace(" ", "_").replace("-", "_")
if param2 is not None:
param2 = str(param2).replace(" ", "_").replace("-", "_")
if param1 not in params:
return f"Unknown sweep_param_1 '{param1}'. Valid: {keys}", None
if param2 not in params:
return f"Unknown sweep_param_2 '{param2}'. Valid: {keys}", None
if param1 == param2:
return "sweep_param_1 and sweep_param_2 must be different.", None
sp1 = params[param1]
sp2 = params[param2]
rule_df = df[df["risk_factor"] == rf_name].copy()
# For window direction, need trigger_amt to be present
needed = []
if sp1["direction"] != "window" and sp1["col"]:
needed.append(sp1["col"])
if sp2["direction"] != "window" and sp2["col"]:
needed.append(sp2["col"])
needed.append("is_sar")
known = rule_df.dropna(subset=needed).copy()
total_sars = int((known["is_sar"] == 1).sum())
total_fps = int((known["is_sar"] == 0).sum())
if total_sars == 0:
return f"No SAR customers in {rf_name}. Cannot build 2D grid.", None
p1_vals = _sweep_points(known, sp1)
p2_vals = _sweep_points(known, sp2)
# Build grids: rows = p1, cols = p2
sar_grid, fp_grid = [], []
for v1 in p1_vals:
sar_row, fp_row = [], []
m1 = _get_mask(known, sp1, v1)
for v2 in p2_vals:
m2 = _get_mask(known, sp2, v2)
both = m1 & m2
sar_row.append(int((both & (known["is_sar"] == 1)).sum()))
fp_row.append(int((both & (known["is_sar"] == 0)).sum()))
sar_grid.append(sar_row)
fp_grid.append(fp_row)
grid_dict = {
"p1_vals": p1_vals,
"p2_vals": p2_vals,
"sar_grid": sar_grid,
"fp_grid": fp_grid,
"total_sars": total_sars,
"total_fps": total_fps,
"p1_label": sp1["label"],
"p2_label": sp2["label"],
"p1_current": sp1["current"],
"p2_current": sp2["current"],
"p1_format_pct": sp1.get("format_pct", False),
"p2_format_pct": sp2.get("format_pct", False),
"rf_name": rf_name,
"param1": param1,
"param2": param2,
}
# Text summary β compute current condition directly using actual thresholds
# (not via nearest sweep point, since current may be outside the sweep range)
m1_cur = _get_mask(known, sp1, float(sp1["current"]))
m2_cur = _get_mask(known, sp2, float(sp2["current"]))
cur_both = m1_cur & m2_cur
cur_sar = int((cur_both & (known["is_sar"] == 1)).sum())
cur_fp = int((cur_both & (known["is_sar"] == 0)).sum())
cur_pct = round(100 * cur_sar / total_sars, 1)
cur_fn = total_sars - cur_sar
cur_tn = total_fps - cur_fp
lines = [
"=== PRE-COMPUTED 2D SWEEP (copy this verbatim, do not alter numbers) ===",
f"Rule: {rf_name}",
f"Axis 1 ({param1}): {sp1['desc']}",
f"Axis 2 ({param2}): {sp2['desc']}",
f"Grid: {len(p1_vals)} x {len(p2_vals)} = {len(p1_vals)*len(p2_vals)} combinations",
f"SAR pool: {total_sars}",
f"Non-SAR pool: {total_fps}",
"",
f"At current condition ({param1}={_fmt_cur(sp1)}, {param2}={_fmt_cur(sp2)}): "
f"TP={cur_sar}, FP={cur_fp}, FN={cur_fn}, TN={cur_tn} (TP rate={cur_pct}%).",
]
# Best FP reduction cell: lowest FP count with TP rate >= 50%
# (operationally: biggest workload reduction while keeping half of SARs)
best_fp_val, best_v1, best_v2, best_tp, best_fp = float("inf"), None, None, 0, 0
for i, v1 in enumerate(p1_vals):
for j, v2 in enumerate(p2_vals):
tp, fp = sar_grid[i][j], fp_grid[i][j]
if tp < total_sars * 0.5:
continue
if fp < best_fp_val:
best_fp_val, best_v1, best_v2, best_tp, best_fp = fp, v1, v2, tp, fp
if best_v1 is not None and best_v1 != p1_vals[0]:
best_fn = total_sars - best_tp
best_tn = total_fps - best_fp
best_pct = round(100 * best_tp / total_sars, 1)
best_prec = round(100 * best_tp / (best_tp + best_fp), 1) if (best_tp + best_fp) > 0 else 0
lines.append(
f"Best FP reduction (TP rate >=50%): {param1}={_fmt_v(best_v1, sp1)}, {param2}={_fmt_v(best_v2, sp2)} "
f"=> TP={best_tp}, FP={best_fp}, FN={best_fn}, TN={best_tn}, TP rate={best_pct}%, precision={best_prec}%."
)
lines.append("=== END 2D SWEEP ===")
lines.append("(Heatmap shown in the chart below.)")
return "\n".join(lines), grid_dict
def compute_2d_drilldown(df, risk_factor_keyword, param1, p1_val, param2, p2_val):
"""
For a specific (p1_val, p2_val) cell in the 2D grid, return the customer-level breakdown:
- tp_df : SAR customers who ARE alerted (true positives)
- fp_df : non-SAR customers who ARE alerted (false positives)
- fn_df : SAR customers who are NOT alerted (false negatives β missed)
- tn_df : non-SAR customers who are NOT alerted (true negatives)
Also returns the column names for param1 / param2 for display.
Returns (tp_df, fp_df, fn_df, tn_df, col1, col2) or (None,)*6 on error.
"""
rf_name, entry = _match_rule(risk_factor_keyword)
if entry is None:
return (None,) * 6
params = entry["sweep_params"]
if param1 not in params or param2 not in params:
return (None,) * 6
sp1 = params[param1]
sp2 = params[param2]
col1 = sp1.get("col", param1)
col2 = sp2.get("col", param2)
rule_df = df[df["risk_factor"] == rf_name].copy()
needed = [c for c in [sp1.get("col"), sp2.get("col"), "is_sar"] if c]
known = rule_df.dropna(subset=needed).copy()
m1 = _get_mask(known, sp1, float(p1_val))
m2 = _get_mask(known, sp2, float(p2_val))
alerted = m1 & m2
is_sar = known["is_sar"] == 1
tp_df = known[ alerted & is_sar].copy()
fp_df = known[ alerted & ~is_sar].copy()
fn_df = known[~alerted & is_sar].copy()
tn_df = known[~alerted & ~is_sar].copy()
return tp_df, fp_df, fn_df, tn_df, col1, col2
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