File size: 9,834 Bytes
03e7fda
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
"""

features/feature_engineering.py

---------------------------------

Computes 12 engineered features per activity for ML models.

"""

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from datetime import datetime
from typing import Optional

REFERENCE_DATE = datetime(2024, 6, 1)

ISSUE_SEVERITY_WEIGHTS = {
    "design_change": 3.0,
    "inspection_fail": 2.0,
    "scope_creep": 2.0,
    "weather": 1.0,
    "material_delay": 1.5,
    "labor_shortage": 1.5,
    "equipment_breakdown": 1.0,
    "safety": 0.5,
}

SEVERITY_MULTIPLIER = {"low": 0.5, "medium": 1.0, "high": 1.5, "critical": 2.5}


def engineer_features(

    activities: pd.DataFrame,

    loader,

    today: Optional[datetime] = None,

) -> pd.DataFrame:
    """

    Compute all 12 features for every activity in the dataframe.



    Parameters

    ----------

    activities : pd.DataFrame  β€” activities to featurize

    loader     : DataLoader    β€” for accessing updates, issues, boq, etc.

    today      : datetime      β€” reference date (defaults to REFERENCE_DATE)



    Returns

    -------

    pd.DataFrame with original columns + 12 new feature columns

    """
    if today is None:
        today = REFERENCE_DATE

    today = pd.Timestamp(today)
    df = activities.copy()

    # ── Ensure date columns are Timestamps ──────────────────────────────────
    date_cols = ["planned_start_date", "planned_end_date",
                 "actual_start_date", "actual_end_date"]
    for col in date_cols:
        if col in df.columns:
            df[col] = pd.to_datetime(df[col], errors="coerce")

    # ── Feature 1: planned_duration ──────────────────────────────────────────
    df["planned_duration"] = (
        df["planned_end_date"] - df["planned_start_date"]
    ).dt.days.clip(lower=1)

    # ── Feature 2: elapsed_days ──────────────────────────────────────────────
    def elapsed(row):
        start = row.get("actual_start_date") or row.get("planned_start_date")
        if pd.isna(start):
            return 0
        start = pd.Timestamp(start)
        if row["status"] == "completed" and not pd.isna(row.get("actual_end_date")):
            return max(1, (pd.Timestamp(row["actual_end_date"]) - start).days)
        return max(1, (today - start).days)

    df["elapsed_days"] = df.apply(elapsed, axis=1)

    # ── Feature 3: progress_rate (% per day) ────────────────────────────────
    prog = df.get("progress", pd.Series(0, index=df.index))
    df["progress"] = pd.to_numeric(prog, errors="coerce").fillna(0)
    df["progress_rate"] = (df["progress"] / df["elapsed_days"]).clip(0, 20)

    # ── Feature 4: schedule_variance (days late at start) ───────────────────
    if "schedule_variance_days" in df.columns:
        df["schedule_variance"] = pd.to_numeric(
            df["schedule_variance_days"], errors="coerce").fillna(0)
    else:
        def sch_var(row):
            planned = row.get("planned_start_date")
            actual = row.get("actual_start_date")
            if pd.isna(planned) or pd.isna(actual):
                return 0
            return (pd.Timestamp(actual) - pd.Timestamp(planned)).days
        df["schedule_variance"] = df.apply(sch_var, axis=1)

    # ── Feature 5: delay_ratio (actual/planned β€” for completed) ─────────────
    def delay_ratio(row):
        if "actual_duration_days" in row and not pd.isna(row["actual_duration_days"]):
            pd_dur = max(row["planned_duration"], 1)
            return row["actual_duration_days"] / pd_dur
        return 1.0

    df["delay_ratio"] = df.apply(delay_ratio, axis=1)

    # ── Features 6 & 7: issue_count + issue_severity_score ──────────────────
    all_issues = loader.issues
    if not all_issues.empty:
        def issue_stats(activity_id):
            iss = all_issues[all_issues["activity_id"] == activity_id]
            open_iss = iss[iss["status"] == "open"]
            count = len(open_iss)
            score = 0.0
            for _, row in open_iss.iterrows():
                cat_w = ISSUE_SEVERITY_WEIGHTS.get(row.get("category", ""), 1.0)
                sev_m = SEVERITY_MULTIPLIER.get(row.get("severity", "medium"), 1.0)
                score += cat_w * sev_m
            return count, score

        issue_data = df["id"].apply(lambda aid: pd.Series(
            issue_stats(aid), index=["issue_count", "issue_severity_score"]
        ))
        df["issue_count"] = issue_data["issue_count"]
        df["issue_severity_score"] = issue_data["issue_severity_score"]
    else:
        df["issue_count"] = 0
        df["issue_severity_score"] = 0.0

    # ── Feature 8: boq_complexity ────────────────────────────────────────────
    all_boq = loader.boq
    if not all_boq.empty:
        def boq_complexity(activity_id):
            b = all_boq[all_boq["activity_id"] == activity_id]
            if b.empty:
                return 0.0
            count_score = len(b)
            if "total_price" in b.columns and "total_cost" in b.columns:
                variance = (b["total_price"] - b["total_cost"]).sum() / max(b["total_cost"].sum(), 1)
                return count_score + variance * 0.1
            return count_score

        df["boq_complexity"] = df["id"].apply(boq_complexity)
    else:
        df["boq_complexity"] = 0.0

    # ── Feature 9: parent_delay (binary) ────────────────────────────────────
    def parent_delayed(row):
        pred_id = row.get("depends_on")
        if not pred_id or (isinstance(pred_id, float) and np.isnan(pred_id)):
            return 0
        pred_mask = df["id"] == pred_id
        if pred_mask.any():
            pred_row = df[pred_mask].iloc[0]
            return 1 if pred_row.get("schedule_variance", 0) > 2 else 0
        return 0

    df["parent_delay"] = df.apply(parent_delayed, axis=1)

    # ── Feature 10: historical_avg_delay (by category) ─────────────────────
    completed_acts = df[df["status"] == "completed"].copy()
    if len(completed_acts) > 0:
        hist_delay = (
            completed_acts.groupby("category")["delay_ratio"]
            .mean()
            .reset_index(name="historical_avg_delay")
        )
        df = df.merge(hist_delay, on="category", how="left")
        df["historical_avg_delay"] = df["historical_avg_delay"].fillna(1.0)
    else:
        df["historical_avg_delay"] = 1.0

    # ── Features 11 & 12: progress_velocity_7d + progress_acceleration ──────
    all_updates = loader.daily_updates
    if not all_updates.empty:
        all_updates = all_updates.copy()
        all_updates["date"] = pd.to_datetime(all_updates["date"], errors="coerce")
        if "daily_increment" not in all_updates.columns and "reported_progress" in all_updates.columns:
            all_updates = all_updates.sort_values(["activity_id", "date"])
            all_updates["daily_increment"] = (
                all_updates.groupby("activity_id")["reported_progress"].diff().fillna(0)
            )

        def velocity_and_accel(activity_id):
            upd = all_updates[all_updates["activity_id"] == activity_id].sort_values("date")
            if upd.empty:
                return 0.0, 0.0
            recent = upd.tail(14)
            vel_14 = recent["daily_increment"].mean() if len(recent) > 0 else 0
            vel_7 = upd.tail(7)["daily_increment"].mean() if len(upd) >= 7 else vel_14
            prev_7 = upd.iloc[-14:-7]["daily_increment"].mean() if len(upd) >= 14 else vel_7
            accel = vel_7 - prev_7
            return float(vel_7), float(accel)

        vel_data = df["id"].apply(lambda aid: pd.Series(
            velocity_and_accel(aid), index=["progress_velocity_7d", "progress_acceleration"]
        ))
        df["progress_velocity_7d"] = vel_data["progress_velocity_7d"]
        df["progress_acceleration"] = vel_data["progress_acceleration"]
    else:
        df["progress_velocity_7d"] = df["progress_rate"]
        df["progress_acceleration"] = 0.0

    return df


FEATURE_COLS = [
    "planned_duration", "elapsed_days", "progress_rate", "schedule_variance",
    "delay_ratio", "issue_count", "issue_severity_score", "boq_complexity",
    "parent_delay", "historical_avg_delay", "progress_velocity_7d", "progress_acceleration",
]

TARGET_COL = "delay_ratio"

CATEGORY_COLS = ["category", "project_type"]


def get_ml_ready(df: pd.DataFrame):
    """

    Returns X (features), y (target) arrays for ML training.

    Only uses completed activities with non-null targets.

    """
    from sklearn.preprocessing import LabelEncoder
    df = df.copy()
    # Encode categorical columns
    for cat_col in CATEGORY_COLS:
        if cat_col in df.columns:
            le = LabelEncoder()
            df[f"{cat_col}_enc"] = le.fit_transform(df[cat_col].astype(str))

    feat_cols = FEATURE_COLS + [f"{c}_enc" for c in CATEGORY_COLS if c in df.columns]
    feat_cols = [c for c in feat_cols if c in df.columns]

    y_col = TARGET_COL
    mask = df[y_col].notna() & df["status"].isin(["completed"])
    return df[mask][feat_cols], df[mask][y_col], feat_cols