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cea1951 | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 | # streamlit_app.py
"""
Credit Invisibility Solver โ Streamlit App
Run: streamlit run streamlit_app.py
"""
import streamlit as st
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import shap
import lightgbm as lgb
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import matplotlib
matplotlib.use("Agg")
import json
import joblib
import os
import plotly.graph_objects as go
from sentence_transformers import SentenceTransformer
from sklearn.decomposition import PCA
# โโโ Page config โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
st.set_page_config(
page_title="Credit Invisibility Solver",
page_icon="๐ณ",
layout="wide",
initial_sidebar_state="expanded",
)
# โโโ Custom CSS โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
st.markdown("""
<style>
.main-header { font-size: 2.4rem; font-weight: 800; color: #1565C0; text-align: center; padding: 1rem 0; }
.metric-card { background: linear-gradient(135deg, #1565C0, #42A5F5); border-radius: 12px;
padding: 1.2rem; color: white; text-align: center; }
.risk-high { background: #FFEBEE; border-left: 5px solid #F44336; padding: 1rem; border-radius: 8px; }
.risk-medium { background: #FFF8E1; border-left: 5px solid #FF9800; padding: 1rem; border-radius: 8px; }
.risk-low { background: #E8F5E9; border-left: 5px solid #4CAF50; padding: 1rem; border-radius: 8px; }
.sidebar-section { font-size: 0.9rem; color: #666; margin-bottom: 0.4rem; font-weight: 600; }
</style>
""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
# โโโ Load artifacts โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
MODEL_DIR = "./models"
@st.cache_resource
def load_models():
models = []
for i in range(1, 6):
path = f"{MODEL_DIR}/lgbm_fold_{i}.txt"
if os.path.exists(path):
m = lgb.Booster(model_file=path)
models.append(m)
return models
@st.cache_resource
def load_artifacts():
pca = joblib.load(f"{MODEL_DIR}/pca.pkl") if os.path.exists(f"{MODEL_DIR}/pca.pkl") else None
scaler = joblib.load(f"{MODEL_DIR}/scaler.pkl") if os.path.exists(f"{MODEL_DIR}/scaler.pkl") else None
fc_path = f"{MODEL_DIR}/feature_cols.json"
if os.path.exists(fc_path):
with open(fc_path) as f:
feature_cols = json.load(f)
else:
feature_cols = []
return pca, scaler, feature_cols
@st.cache_resource
def load_sbert():
try:
return SentenceTransformer("all-MiniLM-L6-v2")
except Exception:
return None
# โโโ Helper functions โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
def build_single_applicant_features(inputs: dict, pca, sbert) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""Transform raw user inputs into model-ready features."""
income = inputs["income"]
credit = inputs["credit_amount"]
age = inputs["age"]
emp_yrs = inputs["employment_years"]
ext1 = inputs["ext_score_1"]
ext2 = inputs["ext_score_2"]
ext3 = inputs["ext_score_3"]
# Build a synthetic text for NLP embedding
literacy = "strong financial planning habits" if np.mean([ext1,ext2,ext3]) > 0.6 else (
"moderate financial awareness" if np.mean([ext1,ext2,ext3]) > 0.4 else
"limited financial experience")
text = (
f"Applicant aged {age:.0f} years with annual income of {income:.0f}. "
f"Requesting credit of {credit:.0f}. Employed for {emp_yrs:.1f} years. "
f"Client demonstrates {literacy}. External score: {np.mean([ext1,ext2,ext3]):.2f}. "
f"{'Owns property.' if inputs['owns_realty'] else 'No property.'} "
f"{'Has dependents.' if inputs['has_children'] else 'No children.'}"
)
# NLP embed + PCA
if sbert is not None:
emb = sbert.encode([text], normalize_embeddings=True)
if pca is not None:
emb = pca.transform(emb)
nlp_dict = {f"NLP_EMB_{i}": emb[0][i] for i in range(emb.shape[1])}
else:
# Demo mode โ deterministic pseudo-embeddings
n_dims = pca.n_components_ if pca is not None else 32
nlp_dict = {f"NLP_EMB_{i}": 0.0 for i in range(n_dims)}
# Tabular features
tab_dict = {
"AMT_INCOME_TOTAL": income,
"AMT_CREDIT": credit,
"AMT_ANNUITY": inputs["annuity"],
"AMT_GOODS_PRICE": credit * 0.9,
"DAYS_BIRTH": -age * 365,
"DAYS_EMPLOYED": -emp_yrs * 365,
"EXT_SOURCE_1": ext1,
"EXT_SOURCE_2": ext2,
"EXT_SOURCE_3": ext3,
"EXT_SOURCE_MEAN": np.mean([ext1, ext2, ext3]),
"EXT_SOURCE_MIN": np.min([ext1, ext2, ext3]),
"EXT_SOURCE_PROD": ext1 * ext2 * ext3,
"EXT_SOURCE_STD": np.std([ext1, ext2, ext3]),
"EXT1_EXT2_INTERACTION": ext1 * ext2,
"EXT2_EXT3_INTERACTION": ext2 * ext3,
"CREDIT_INCOME_RATIO": credit / (income + 1),
"ANNUITY_INCOME_RATIO": inputs["annuity"] / (income + 1),
"CREDIT_TERM": inputs["annuity"] / (credit + 1),
"AGE_YEARS": age,
"EMPLOYMENT_YEARS": emp_yrs,
"EMPLOYED_RATIO": emp_yrs / (age + 1),
"INCOME_PER_PERSON": income / (inputs["family_size"] + 1),
"CNT_FAM_MEMBERS": inputs["family_size"],
"CNT_CHILDREN": inputs["n_children"],
"CHILDREN_RATIO": inputs["n_children"] / (inputs["family_size"] + 1),
"FLAG_OWN_REALTY": int(inputs["owns_realty"]),
"FLAG_OWN_CAR": int(inputs["owns_car"]),
"HAS_CAR_REALTY": int(inputs["owns_realty"] and inputs["owns_car"]),
"DOCUMENT_COUNT": inputs["doc_count"],
"TOTAL_ENQUIRIES": inputs["total_enquiries"],
"BUREAU_COUNT": inputs["bureau_count"],
"BUREAU_ACTIVE_COUNT": inputs["bureau_active"],
}
feat = {**tab_dict, **nlp_dict}
return pd.DataFrame([feat])
def predict_risk(df_feat: pd.DataFrame, models: list, feature_cols: list) -> float:
"""Ensemble predict across all loaded fold models."""
# Align columns โ fill missing with 0
for col in feature_cols:
if col not in df_feat.columns:
df_feat[col] = 0.0
df_feat = df_feat[feature_cols]
preds = [m.predict(df_feat, num_iteration=m.best_iteration) for m in models]
return float(np.mean(preds))
def risk_band(score: float) -> tuple:
if score < 0.15:
return "LOW RISK", "risk-low", "#4CAF50", "โ
"
elif score < 0.40:
return "MEDIUM RISK", "risk-medium", "#FF9800", "โ ๏ธ"
else:
return "HIGH RISK", "risk-high", "#F44336", "๐จ"
def get_shap_values(model, df_feat, feature_cols):
for col in feature_cols:
if col not in df_feat.columns:
df_feat[col] = 0.0
df_feat = df_feat[feature_cols]
explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model)
sv = explainer.shap_values(df_feat)
if isinstance(sv, list):
sv = sv[1]
return sv, explainer.expected_value if not isinstance(explainer.expected_value, list) else explainer.expected_value[1], df_feat
# โโโ Main App โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
def main():
st.markdown('<h1 class="main-header">๐ณ Credit Invisibility Solver</h1>', unsafe_allow_html=True)
st.markdown(
"<p style='text-align:center; color:#555; font-size:1.1rem;'>"
"Alternative data ML pipeline to score the 1.7B credit-invisible population"
"</p>", unsafe_allow_html=True
)
st.divider()
# Load models
try:
models = load_models()
pca, scaler, feature_cols = load_artifacts()
sbert = load_sbert()
model_loaded = len(models) > 0
except Exception as e:
st.error(f"โ ๏ธ Could not load models: {e}. Running in demo mode.")
model_loaded = False
models, pca, scaler, feature_cols = [], None, None, []
# โโ Sidebar โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
with st.sidebar:
st.image("https://img.shields.io/badge/Model-LightGBM%20%2B%20XGBoost-brightgreen", use_container_width=True)
st.markdown("### ๐๏ธ Applicant Profile")
st.markdown('<div class="sidebar-section">Financial Info</div>', unsafe_allow_html=True)
income = st.number_input("Annual Income (โน)", 10000, 10000000, 250000, step=10000)
credit_amount = st.number_input("Requested Credit (โน)", 10000, 5000000, 500000, step=10000)
annuity = st.number_input("Monthly Annuity (โน)", 1000, 200000, 15000, step=1000)
st.markdown('<div class="sidebar-section">Personal Info</div>', unsafe_allow_html=True)
age = st.slider("Age (years)", 20, 70, 35)
employment_yrs = st.slider("Employment Years", 0, 40, 5)
family_size = st.slider("Family Size", 1, 10, 3)
n_children = st.slider("Number of Children", 0, 5, 0)
st.markdown('<div class="sidebar-section">Assets</div>', unsafe_allow_html=True)
owns_realty = st.checkbox("Owns Property", True)
owns_car = st.checkbox("Owns Car", False)
st.markdown('<div class="sidebar-section">Credit Bureau Signals</div>', unsafe_allow_html=True)
ext_score_1 = st.slider("External Score 1 (Bureau)", 0.0, 1.0, 0.6, 0.01)
ext_score_2 = st.slider("External Score 2 (Behaviour)", 0.0, 1.0, 0.55, 0.01)
ext_score_3 = st.slider("External Score 3 (Alt Data)", 0.0, 1.0, 0.50, 0.01)
bureau_count = st.number_input("# Previous Bureau Enquiries", 0, 50, 2)
bureau_active = st.number_input("# Active Bureau Credits", 0, 20, 1)
total_enquiries= st.number_input("# Total Loan Enquiries", 0, 100, 3)
doc_count = st.number_input("# Documents Submitted", 0, 20, 5)
predict_btn = st.button("๐ฎ Score Applicant", use_container_width=True, type="primary")
# โโ Main Panels โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
col1, col2, col3 = st.columns(3)
inputs = dict(
income=income, credit_amount=credit_amount, annuity=annuity,
age=age, employment_years=employment_yrs, family_size=family_size,
n_children=n_children, owns_realty=owns_realty, owns_car=owns_car,
ext_score_1=ext_score_1, ext_score_2=ext_score_2, ext_score_3=ext_score_3,
bureau_count=bureau_count, bureau_active=bureau_active,
total_enquiries=total_enquiries, doc_count=doc_count, has_children=n_children>0,
)
if predict_btn or True: # Show demo on load
with st.spinner("Running ML pipeline..."):
df_feat = build_single_applicant_features(inputs, pca, sbert)
if model_loaded:
risk_score = predict_risk(df_feat, models, feature_cols)
else:
# Demo mode โ compute heuristic score
risk_score = float(np.clip(
0.9 - 0.4*np.mean([ext_score_1,ext_score_2,ext_score_3])
- 0.1*(employment_yrs/40)
+ 0.15*(credit_amount/income if income>0 else 0.5)
+ np.random.normal(0, 0.02),
0.01, 0.99
))
label, css_class, color, icon = risk_band(risk_score)
credit_score = int(300 + (1 - risk_score) * 550) # map to 300-850 range
# โโ KPI Row โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
col1.metric("Default Probability", f"{risk_score*100:.1f}%", delta=f"{(risk_score-0.5)*100:+.1f}% vs avg")
col2.metric("Alt Credit Score", f"{credit_score}", delta=None)
col3.metric("Risk Band", f"{icon} {label}", delta=None)
st.divider()
# โโ Risk Card โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
st.markdown(f'<div class="{css_class}"><b>{icon} Risk Assessment: {label}</b><br>'
f'Default probability: <b>{risk_score*100:.1f}%</b> | '
f'Alternative credit score: <b>{credit_score}/850</b></div>',
unsafe_allow_html=True)
st.divider()
# โโ Tabs โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
tab1, tab2, tab3, tab4 = st.tabs(["๐ Score Breakdown", "๐ SHAP Explainability", "๐ Drift Simulation", "๐ Feature Profile"])
with tab1:
c1, c2 = st.columns(2)
# Gauge chart
fig_gauge = go.Figure(go.Indicator(
mode="gauge+number+delta",
value=credit_score,
delta={"reference": 650, "valueformat": ".0f"},
title={"text": "Alternative Credit Score", "font": {"size": 18}},
gauge={
"axis": {"range": [300, 850]},
"bar": {"color": color},
"steps": [
{"range": [300, 550], "color": "#FFEBEE"},
{"range": [550, 650], "color": "#FFF8E1"},
{"range": [650, 750], "color": "#E8F5E9"},
{"range": [750, 850], "color": "#C8E6C9"},
],
"threshold": {"line": {"color": "red", "width": 4}, "thickness": 0.75, "value": 650},
}
))
fig_gauge.update_layout(height=280, margin=dict(t=30, b=10))
c1.plotly_chart(fig_gauge, use_container_width=True)
# Risk factor radar
categories = ["External Scores", "Income Stability", "Credit Utilisation", "Payment Behaviour", "Alt Data"]
ext_val = np.mean([ext_score_1, ext_score_2, ext_score_3])
values = [
ext_val,
min(employment_yrs / 20, 1.0),
max(0, 1 - credit_amount / (income + 1) / 3),
ext_val * 0.9,
min(doc_count / 10, 1.0),
]
fig_radar = go.Figure(go.Scatterpolar(
r=values + [values[0]],
theta=categories + [categories[0]],
fill="toself", fillcolor=f"rgba{tuple(int(color.lstrip('#')[i:i+2],16) for i in (0,2,4)) + (0.2,)}",
line=dict(color=color, width=2),
name="Applicant"
))
fig_radar.update_layout(
polar=dict(radialaxis=dict(visible=True, range=[0,1])),
height=280, margin=dict(t=30, b=10),
title="Risk Factor Radar"
)
c2.plotly_chart(fig_radar, use_container_width=True)
with tab2:
if model_loaded and models:
st.markdown("#### SHAP Feature Attribution")
st.info("SHAP values show how each feature pushes the default probability up โ or down โ")
sv, base_val, df_aligned = get_shap_values(models[0], df_feat.copy(), feature_cols)
# Sort by absolute SHAP
shap_df = pd.DataFrame({
"Feature": df_aligned.columns,
"SHAP": sv[0],
"Value": df_aligned.iloc[0].values,
}).sort_values("SHAP", key=abs, ascending=False).head(15)
colors = ["#F44336" if v > 0 else "#4CAF50" for v in shap_df["SHAP"]]
fig_shap = go.Figure(go.Bar(
x=shap_df["SHAP"], y=shap_df["Feature"],
orientation="h", marker_color=colors,
text=[f"{v:+.4f}" for v in shap_df["SHAP"]], textposition="outside",
))
fig_shap.update_layout(
title="Top 15 SHAP Feature Contributions (Red = Increases Risk, Green = Decreases)",
xaxis_title="SHAP Value", height=500,
margin=dict(l=150)
)
st.plotly_chart(fig_shap, use_container_width=True)
else:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Load trained models to see SHAP explanations.")
# Show mock
mock_features = ["EXT_SOURCE_MEAN","CREDIT_INCOME_RATIO","AGE_YEARS","EMPLOYMENT_YEARS","BUREAU_COUNT",
"EXT_SOURCE_3","NLP_EMB_0","ANNUITY_INCOME_RATIO","EXT_SOURCE_1","TOTAL_ENQUIRIES"]
mock_shap = np.array([-0.35, 0.28, -0.18, -0.12, 0.09, -0.22, -0.08, 0.15, -0.11, 0.06])
colors = ["#F44336" if v > 0 else "#4CAF50" for v in mock_shap]
fig_mock = go.Figure(go.Bar(
x=mock_shap, y=mock_features, orientation="h",
marker_color=colors, text=[f"{v:+.3f}" for v in mock_shap], textposition="outside"
))
fig_mock.update_layout(title="Demo SHAP (load models for real values)", height=400, margin=dict(l=200))
st.plotly_chart(fig_mock, use_container_width=True)
with tab3:
st.markdown("#### Concept Drift Sensitivity Analysis")
st.markdown("How does this applicant's risk score change under economic shocks?")
income_mults = np.linspace(0.2, 1.0, 9)
drift_scores = []
for mult in income_mults:
drift_inp = dict(inputs)
drift_inp["income"] = inputs["income"] * mult
df_d = build_single_applicant_features(drift_inp, pca, sbert)
if model_loaded:
s = predict_risk(df_d, models, feature_cols)
else:
s = float(np.clip(risk_score + (1-mult)*0.25, 0, 0.99))
drift_scores.append(s)
fig_drift = go.Figure()
fig_drift.add_trace(go.Scatter(
x=income_mults*100, y=[s*100 for s in drift_scores],
mode="lines+markers", name="Default Probability",
line=dict(color="#F44336", width=2.5),
marker=dict(size=8, color=[
"#4CAF50" if s < 0.15 else "#FF9800" if s < 0.4 else "#F44336"
for s in drift_scores
])
))
fig_drift.add_hline(y=40, line_dash="dash", line_color="orange", annotation_text="Medium Risk Threshold")
fig_drift.add_hline(y=15, line_dash="dash", line_color="green", annotation_text="Low Risk Threshold")
fig_drift.update_layout(
title="Default Probability vs Income Shock Severity",
xaxis_title="Remaining Income (%)", yaxis_title="Default Probability (%)",
height=400
)
st.plotly_chart(fig_drift, use_container_width=True)
with tab4:
st.markdown("#### Applicant Feature Summary")
profile_data = {
"Feature": ["Annual Income", "Requested Credit", "Credit/Income Ratio", "Age",
"Employment Years", "Ext Score (Mean)", "Alt Credit Score", "Family Size"],
"Value": [f"โน{income:,.0f}", f"โน{credit_amount:,.0f}",
f"{credit_amount/max(income,1):.2f}x", f"{age} yrs",
f"{employment_yrs} yrs", f"{np.mean([ext_score_1,ext_score_2,ext_score_3]):.3f}",
f"{credit_score}/850", f"{family_size} members"],
"Status": ["โ
" if income > 200000 else "โ ๏ธ",
"โ
" if credit_amount < income*3 else "โ ๏ธ",
"โ
" if credit_amount/max(income,1) < 2.5 else "๐จ",
"โ
", "โ
" if employment_yrs > 2 else "โ ๏ธ",
"โ
" if np.mean([ext_score_1,ext_score_2,ext_score_3]) > 0.5 else "๐จ",
"โ
" if credit_score > 650 else "โ ๏ธ", "โ
"],
}
st.dataframe(pd.DataFrame(profile_data), use_container_width=True, hide_index=True)
# โโ Footer โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
st.divider()
st.markdown(
"<p style='text-align:center; font-size:0.8rem; color:#999;'>"
"Built with LightGBM + XGBoost + Sentence-BERT + SHAP + River (ADWIN) + W&B | "
"Home Credit Default Risk Dataset | "
"For the 1.7B credit-invisible ๐"
"</p>", unsafe_allow_html=True
)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main() |