Spaces:
Runtime error
Runtime error
added app
Browse files- .gitignore +5 -0
- .idea/.gitignore +8 -0
- app.py +312 -0
.gitignore
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BTC-Autoformer.ipynb
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BTC_Dataset_to_huggingface.ipynb
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huggingface_model.ipynb
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app_backtest.py
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.idea/*
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.idea/.gitignore
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# Default ignored files
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/shelf/
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/workspace.xml
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# Editor-based HTTP Client requests
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/httpRequests/
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# Datasource local storage ignored files
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/dataSources/
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/dataSources.local.xml
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app.py
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| 1 |
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# Standard library imports
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| 2 |
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from typing import Optional, Iterable
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| 3 |
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| 4 |
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# Third-party library imports
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| 5 |
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from transformers import PretrainedConfig, AutoformerForPrediction
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| 6 |
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from functools import lru_cache, partial
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| 7 |
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| 8 |
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import gradio as gr
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| 9 |
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import spaces
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| 10 |
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import torch
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| 11 |
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import pandas as pd
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| 12 |
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| 13 |
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# External imports
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| 14 |
+
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| 15 |
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# GluonTS imports
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| 16 |
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from gluonts.dataset.field_names import FieldName
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| 17 |
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from gluonts.transform import (
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| 18 |
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AddAgeFeature,
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| 19 |
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AddObservedValuesIndicator,
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| 20 |
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AddTimeFeatures,
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| 21 |
+
AsNumpyArray,
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| 22 |
+
Chain,
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| 23 |
+
ExpectedNumInstanceSampler,
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| 24 |
+
InstanceSplitter,
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| 25 |
+
RemoveFields,
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| 26 |
+
TestSplitSampler,
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| 27 |
+
Transformation,
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| 28 |
+
ValidationSplitSampler,
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| 29 |
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VstackFeatures,
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| 30 |
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RenameFields,
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| 31 |
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)
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| 32 |
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from gluonts.time_feature import time_features_from_frequency_str
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| 33 |
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from gluonts.transform.sampler import InstanceSampler
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| 34 |
+
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| 35 |
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# Hugging Face Datasets imports
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| 36 |
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from datasets import Dataset, Features, Value, Sequence, load_dataset
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| 37 |
+
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| 38 |
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# GluonTS Loader imports
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| 39 |
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from gluonts.dataset.loader import as_stacked_batches
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| 40 |
+
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| 41 |
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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| 42 |
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import matplotlib.dates as mdates
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| 43 |
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import numpy as np
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| 44 |
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| 45 |
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def convert_to_pandas_period(date, freq):
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| 46 |
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return pd.Period(date, freq)
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| 47 |
+
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| 48 |
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def transform_start_field(batch, freq):
|
| 49 |
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batch["start"] = [convert_to_pandas_period(date, freq) for date in batch["start"]]
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| 50 |
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return batch
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| 51 |
+
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| 52 |
+
def create_transformation(freq: str, config: PretrainedConfig, prediction_length: int) -> Transformation:
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| 53 |
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remove_field_names = []
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| 54 |
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if config.num_static_real_features == 0:
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| 55 |
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remove_field_names.append(FieldName.FEAT_STATIC_REAL)
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| 56 |
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if config.num_dynamic_real_features == 0:
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| 57 |
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remove_field_names.append(FieldName.FEAT_DYNAMIC_REAL)
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| 58 |
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if config.num_static_categorical_features == 0:
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| 59 |
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remove_field_names.append(FieldName.FEAT_STATIC_CAT)
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| 60 |
+
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| 61 |
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# a bit like torchvision.transforms.Compose
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| 62 |
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return Chain(
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| 63 |
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# step 1: remove static/dynamic fields if not specified
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| 64 |
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[RemoveFields(field_names=remove_field_names)]
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| 65 |
+
# step 2: convert the data to NumPy (potentially not needed)
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| 66 |
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+ (
|
| 67 |
+
[
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| 68 |
+
AsNumpyArray(
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| 69 |
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field=FieldName.FEAT_STATIC_CAT,
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| 70 |
+
expected_ndim=1,
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| 71 |
+
dtype=int,
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| 72 |
+
)
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| 73 |
+
]
|
| 74 |
+
if config.num_static_categorical_features > 0
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| 75 |
+
else []
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| 76 |
+
)
|
| 77 |
+
+ (
|
| 78 |
+
[
|
| 79 |
+
AsNumpyArray(
|
| 80 |
+
field=FieldName.FEAT_STATIC_REAL,
|
| 81 |
+
expected_ndim=1,
|
| 82 |
+
)
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| 83 |
+
]
|
| 84 |
+
if config.num_static_real_features > 0
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| 85 |
+
else []
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| 86 |
+
)
|
| 87 |
+
+ [
|
| 88 |
+
AsNumpyArray(
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| 89 |
+
field=FieldName.TARGET,
|
| 90 |
+
# we expect an extra dim for the multivariate case:
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| 91 |
+
expected_ndim=1 if config.input_size == 1 else 2,
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| 92 |
+
),
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| 93 |
+
# step 3: handle the NaN's by filling in the target with zero
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| 94 |
+
# and return the mask (which is in the observed values)
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| 95 |
+
# true for observed values, false for nan's
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| 96 |
+
# the decoder uses this mask (no loss is incurred for unobserved values)
|
| 97 |
+
# see loss_weights inside the xxxForPrediction model
|
| 98 |
+
AddObservedValuesIndicator(
|
| 99 |
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target_field=FieldName.TARGET,
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| 100 |
+
output_field=FieldName.OBSERVED_VALUES,
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| 101 |
+
),
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| 102 |
+
# step 4: add temporal features based on freq of the dataset
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| 103 |
+
# and the desired prediction length
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| 104 |
+
AddTimeFeatures(
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| 105 |
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start_field=FieldName.START,
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| 106 |
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target_field=FieldName.TARGET,
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| 107 |
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output_field=FieldName.FEAT_TIME,
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| 108 |
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time_features=time_features_from_frequency_str(freq),
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| 109 |
+
pred_length=prediction_length,
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| 110 |
+
),
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| 111 |
+
# step 5: add another temporal feature (just a single number)
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| 112 |
+
# tells the model where in its life the value of the time series is,
|
| 113 |
+
# sort of a running counter
|
| 114 |
+
AddAgeFeature(
|
| 115 |
+
target_field=FieldName.TARGET,
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| 116 |
+
output_field=FieldName.FEAT_AGE,
|
| 117 |
+
pred_length=prediction_length,
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| 118 |
+
log_scale=True,
|
| 119 |
+
),
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| 120 |
+
# step 6: vertically stack all the temporal features into the key FEAT_TIME
|
| 121 |
+
VstackFeatures(
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| 122 |
+
output_field=FieldName.FEAT_TIME,
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| 123 |
+
input_fields=[FieldName.FEAT_TIME, FieldName.FEAT_AGE]
|
| 124 |
+
+ (
|
| 125 |
+
[FieldName.FEAT_DYNAMIC_REAL]
|
| 126 |
+
if config.num_dynamic_real_features > 0
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| 127 |
+
else []
|
| 128 |
+
),
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| 129 |
+
),
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| 130 |
+
# step 7: rename to match HuggingFace names
|
| 131 |
+
RenameFields(
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| 132 |
+
mapping={
|
| 133 |
+
FieldName.FEAT_STATIC_CAT: "static_categorical_features",
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| 134 |
+
FieldName.FEAT_STATIC_REAL: "static_real_features",
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| 135 |
+
FieldName.FEAT_TIME: "time_features",
|
| 136 |
+
FieldName.TARGET: "values",
|
| 137 |
+
FieldName.OBSERVED_VALUES: "observed_mask",
|
| 138 |
+
}
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| 139 |
+
),
|
| 140 |
+
]
|
| 141 |
+
)
|
| 142 |
+
|
| 143 |
+
def create_instance_splitter(
|
| 144 |
+
config: PretrainedConfig,
|
| 145 |
+
mode: str,
|
| 146 |
+
prediction_length: int,
|
| 147 |
+
train_sampler: Optional[InstanceSampler] = None,
|
| 148 |
+
validation_sampler: Optional[InstanceSampler] = None,
|
| 149 |
+
) -> Transformation:
|
| 150 |
+
assert mode in ["train", "validation", "test"]
|
| 151 |
+
|
| 152 |
+
instance_sampler = {
|
| 153 |
+
"train": train_sampler
|
| 154 |
+
or ExpectedNumInstanceSampler(
|
| 155 |
+
num_instances=1.0, min_future=prediction_length
|
| 156 |
+
),
|
| 157 |
+
"validation": validation_sampler
|
| 158 |
+
or ValidationSplitSampler(min_future=prediction_length),
|
| 159 |
+
"test": TestSplitSampler(),
|
| 160 |
+
}[mode]
|
| 161 |
+
|
| 162 |
+
return InstanceSplitter(
|
| 163 |
+
target_field="values",
|
| 164 |
+
is_pad_field=FieldName.IS_PAD,
|
| 165 |
+
start_field=FieldName.START,
|
| 166 |
+
forecast_start_field=FieldName.FORECAST_START,
|
| 167 |
+
instance_sampler=instance_sampler,
|
| 168 |
+
past_length=config.context_length + max(config.lags_sequence),
|
| 169 |
+
future_length=prediction_length,
|
| 170 |
+
time_series_fields=["time_features", "observed_mask"],
|
| 171 |
+
)
|
| 172 |
+
|
| 173 |
+
def create_test_dataloader(
|
| 174 |
+
config: PretrainedConfig,
|
| 175 |
+
freq: str,
|
| 176 |
+
data: Dataset,
|
| 177 |
+
batch_size: int,
|
| 178 |
+
prediction_length: int,
|
| 179 |
+
**kwargs,
|
| 180 |
+
):
|
| 181 |
+
PREDICTION_INPUT_NAMES = [
|
| 182 |
+
"past_time_features",
|
| 183 |
+
"past_values",
|
| 184 |
+
"past_observed_mask",
|
| 185 |
+
"future_time_features",
|
| 186 |
+
]
|
| 187 |
+
if config.num_static_categorical_features > 0:
|
| 188 |
+
PREDICTION_INPUT_NAMES.append("static_categorical_features")
|
| 189 |
+
|
| 190 |
+
if config.num_static_real_features > 0:
|
| 191 |
+
PREDICTION_INPUT_NAMES.append("static_real_features")
|
| 192 |
+
|
| 193 |
+
transformation = create_transformation(freq, config, prediction_length)
|
| 194 |
+
transformed_data = transformation.apply(data, is_train=False)
|
| 195 |
+
|
| 196 |
+
# we create a Test Instance splitter which will sample the very last
|
| 197 |
+
# context window seen during training only for the encoder.
|
| 198 |
+
instance_sampler = create_instance_splitter(
|
| 199 |
+
config, "test", prediction_length=prediction_length
|
| 200 |
+
)
|
| 201 |
+
|
| 202 |
+
# we apply the transformations in test mode
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| 203 |
+
testing_instances = instance_sampler.apply(transformed_data, is_train=False)
|
| 204 |
+
|
| 205 |
+
return as_stacked_batches(
|
| 206 |
+
testing_instances,
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| 207 |
+
batch_size=batch_size,
|
| 208 |
+
output_type=torch.tensor,
|
| 209 |
+
field_names=PREDICTION_INPUT_NAMES,
|
| 210 |
+
)
|
| 211 |
+
|
| 212 |
+
def plot(ts_index, test_dataset, forecasts, prediction_length):
|
| 213 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 8), facecolor='white')
|
| 214 |
+
|
| 215 |
+
# Length of the target data
|
| 216 |
+
target_length = len(test_dataset[ts_index]['target'])
|
| 217 |
+
|
| 218 |
+
# Creating a period range for the entire dataset plus forecast period
|
| 219 |
+
index = pd.period_range(
|
| 220 |
+
start=test_dataset[ts_index]['start'],
|
| 221 |
+
periods=target_length + prediction_length,
|
| 222 |
+
freq='1D'
|
| 223 |
+
).to_timestamp()
|
| 224 |
+
|
| 225 |
+
# Plotting actual data
|
| 226 |
+
ax.plot(
|
| 227 |
+
index[:target_length],
|
| 228 |
+
test_dataset[ts_index]['target'],
|
| 229 |
+
label="Actual"
|
| 230 |
+
)
|
| 231 |
+
|
| 232 |
+
# Plotting the forecast data
|
| 233 |
+
# Forecast starts right after the last actual data point
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| 234 |
+
forecast_start_index = target_length
|
| 235 |
+
ax.plot(
|
| 236 |
+
index[forecast_start_index:],
|
| 237 |
+
forecasts[ts_index][0][:prediction_length], # Use forecasts[ts_index][0][:prediction_length] to slice the forecast values
|
| 238 |
+
label="Prediction"
|
| 239 |
+
)
|
| 240 |
+
|
| 241 |
+
ax.set_ylim(0, 140000)
|
| 242 |
+
ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(mdates.MonthLocator(bymonth=(1, 7)))
|
| 243 |
+
ax.xaxis.set_minor_locator(mdates.MonthLocator())
|
| 244 |
+
|
| 245 |
+
plt.legend()
|
| 246 |
+
return fig
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
|
| 249 |
+
|
| 250 |
+
zero = torch.Tensor([0]).cuda()
|
| 251 |
+
print(zero.device) # <-- 'cpu' 🤔
|
| 252 |
+
|
| 253 |
+
@spaces.GPU
|
| 254 |
+
def do_prediction(days_to_predict: int):
|
| 255 |
+
device = zero.device
|
| 256 |
+
|
| 257 |
+
# Define the desired prediction length
|
| 258 |
+
prediction_length = 7 # Number of time steps to predict into the future
|
| 259 |
+
freq = "1D" # Daily frequency
|
| 260 |
+
|
| 261 |
+
dataset = load_dataset("thesven/BTC-Daily-Avg-Market-Value")
|
| 262 |
+
|
| 263 |
+
dataset['test'].set_transform(partial(transform_start_field, freq=freq))
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
model = AutoformerForPrediction.from_pretrained("thesven/BTC-Autoformer-v1")
|
| 266 |
+
config = model.config
|
| 267 |
+
print(f"Config: {config}")
|
| 268 |
+
|
| 269 |
+
test_dataloader = create_test_dataloader(
|
| 270 |
+
config=config,
|
| 271 |
+
freq=freq,
|
| 272 |
+
data=dataset['test'],
|
| 273 |
+
batch_size=64,
|
| 274 |
+
prediction_length=prediction_length,
|
| 275 |
+
)
|
| 276 |
+
|
| 277 |
+
model.to(device)
|
| 278 |
+
model.eval()
|
| 279 |
+
|
| 280 |
+
forecasts = []
|
| 281 |
+
|
| 282 |
+
for batch in test_dataloader:
|
| 283 |
+
outputs = model.generate(
|
| 284 |
+
static_categorical_features=batch["static_categorical_features"].to(device)
|
| 285 |
+
if config.num_static_categorical_features > 0
|
| 286 |
+
else None,
|
| 287 |
+
static_real_features=batch["static_real_features"].to(device)
|
| 288 |
+
if config.num_static_real_features > 0
|
| 289 |
+
else None,
|
| 290 |
+
past_time_features=batch["past_time_features"].to(device),
|
| 291 |
+
past_values=batch["past_values"].to(device),
|
| 292 |
+
future_time_features=batch["future_time_features"].to(device),
|
| 293 |
+
past_observed_mask=batch["past_observed_mask"].to(device),
|
| 294 |
+
)
|
| 295 |
+
forecasts.append(outputs.sequences.cpu().numpy())
|
| 296 |
+
|
| 297 |
+
forecasts = np.vstack(forecasts)
|
| 298 |
+
|
| 299 |
+
print(forecasts.shape)
|
| 300 |
+
|
| 301 |
+
return plot(0, dataset['test'], forecasts, prediction_length)
|
| 302 |
+
|
| 303 |
+
|
| 304 |
+
interface = gr.Interface(
|
| 305 |
+
fn=do_prediction,
|
| 306 |
+
inputs=gr.Slider(minimum=1, maximum=30, step=1, label="Days to Predict"),
|
| 307 |
+
outputs="plot",
|
| 308 |
+
title="Prediction Plot",
|
| 309 |
+
description="Adjust the slider to set the number of days to predict.",
|
| 310 |
+
allow_flagging=False, # Disable flagging for simplicity
|
| 311 |
+
)
|
| 312 |
+
interface.launch()
|