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Runtime error
Runtime error
Commit ·
ac0f7d0
1
Parent(s): ec323ea
new push
Browse files- Dockerfile +11 -3
- app.py +131 -65
- models/model_drawdown.joblib +0 -3
- models/model_params.joblib +0 -3
- models/model_profit.joblib +0 -3
- requirements.txt +3 -1
- train_strategy_models.py +384 -0
Dockerfile
CHANGED
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@@ -23,15 +23,23 @@ RUN pip install --no-cache-dir \
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xgboost>=1.4.2 \
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joblib>=1.0.1 \
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pydantic>=1.8.2 \
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python-multipart>=0.0.5
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# Copie des fichiers avec les bonnes permissions
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COPY --chown=user requirements.txt $HOME/app/
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RUN pip install --no-cache-dir -r requirements.txt
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# Copie
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COPY --chown=user ./app.py $HOME/app/
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# Variable d'environnement pour le port
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ENV PORT=7860
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xgboost>=1.4.2 \
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joblib>=1.0.1 \
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pydantic>=1.8.2 \
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python-multipart>=0.0.5 \
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pandas>=1.3.0 \
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ta>=0.7.0
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# Création des répertoires nécessaires
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RUN mkdir -p $HOME/app/models
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# Copie des fichiers avec les bonnes permissions
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COPY --chown=user requirements.txt $HOME/app/
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RUN pip install --no-cache-dir -r requirements.txt
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# Copie des fichiers Python
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COPY --chown=user ./train_strategy_models.py $HOME/app/
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COPY --chown=user ./app.py $HOME/app/
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# Création du répertoire models s'il n'existe pas déjà
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RUN mkdir -p $HOME/app/models
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# Variable d'environnement pour le port
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ENV PORT=7860
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app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -1,10 +1,21 @@
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from fastapi import FastAPI, HTTPException
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from fastapi.middleware.cors import CORSMiddleware
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from pydantic import BaseModel
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import
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import numpy as np
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import os
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from pathlib import Path
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# Créer l'application FastAPI
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app = FastAPI(title="Strategy Selector API")
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# Obtenir le chemin absolu du dossier models
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BASE_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent
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MODELS_DIR = BASE_DIR / "models"
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print(f"Dossier de base : {BASE_DIR}")
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print(f"Dossier des modèles : {MODELS_DIR}")
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# Charger les modèles
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try:
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# Vérifier si le dossier models existe
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if not MODELS_DIR.exists():
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"Le dossier models n'existe pas : {MODELS_DIR}")
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# Vérifier si les fichiers existent
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model_files = ["model_profit.joblib", "model_drawdown.joblib", "model_params.joblib"]
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for file in model_files:
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if not (MODELS_DIR / file).exists():
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"Fichier manquant : {file}")
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# Charger les modèles
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model_profit = joblib.load(MODELS_DIR / "model_profit.joblib")
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model_drawdown = joblib.load(MODELS_DIR / "model_drawdown.joblib")
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model_params = joblib.load(MODELS_DIR / "model_params.joblib")
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print("Modèles chargés avec succès")
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print(f"Dossier des modèles : {MODELS_DIR}")
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print(f"Contenu du dossier : {list(MODELS_DIR.glob('*'))}")
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except Exception as e:
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print(f"Erreur lors du chargement des modèles : {str(e)}")
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raise
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class MarketData(BaseModel):
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RSI: float
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ADX: float
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Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal: int
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ADX_Stoch_Volatility_MA_Signal: int
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@app.get("/")
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async def read_root():
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return {
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@app.get("/health")
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async def health_check():
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@app.post("/predict")
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async def predict(data: MarketData):
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try:
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#
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features
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features
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data.Ichimoku_ADX_Volatility_Signal,
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data.BB_Stoch_ATR_Signal,
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data.Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal,
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data.ADX,
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data.Volatility_20,
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data.MACD
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])
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features_array = np.array(features).reshape(1, -1)
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#
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}
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print(f"Réponse : {response}")
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return response
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except Exception as e:
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"""
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Récupère le signal de la stratégie sélectionnée
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"""
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signals = [
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data.Ichimoku_ADX_Volatility_Signal,
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data.BB_Stoch_ATR_Signal,
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data.Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal,
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data.ADX_Stoch_Volatility_MA_Signal
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]
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return signals[strategy_index]
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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import uvicorn
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from fastapi import FastAPI, HTTPException, UploadFile, File
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from fastapi.middleware.cors import CORSMiddleware
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from pydantic import BaseModel
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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import joblib
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import os
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from pathlib import Path
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from io import StringIO
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from typing import Dict, Any
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import json
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# Import des fonctions de train_strategy_models.py
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from train_strategy_models import (
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preprocess_data,
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train_models,
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save_models
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)
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# Créer l'application FastAPI
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app = FastAPI(title="Strategy Selector API")
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# Obtenir le chemin absolu du dossier models
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BASE_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent
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MODELS_DIR = BASE_DIR / "models"
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MODELS_DIR.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
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print(f"Dossier de base : {BASE_DIR}")
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print(f"Dossier des modèles : {MODELS_DIR}")
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class MarketData(BaseModel):
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RSI: float
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ADX: float
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Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal: int
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ADX_Stoch_Volatility_MA_Signal: int
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class TrainingResponse(BaseModel):
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status: str
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message: str
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details: Dict[str, Any]
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def load_models():
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"""Charge les modèles existants"""
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try:
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model_profit = joblib.load(MODELS_DIR / "model_profit.joblib")
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model_drawdown = joblib.load(MODELS_DIR / "model_drawdown.joblib")
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model_params = joblib.load(MODELS_DIR / "model_params.joblib")
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return model_profit, model_drawdown, model_params
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except:
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return None, None, None
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@app.get("/")
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async def read_root():
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return {
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@app.get("/health")
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async def health_check():
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"""
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Endpoint pour vérifier l'état de l'API et des modèles
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"""
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model_profit, model_drawdown, model_params = load_models()
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return {
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"status": "healthy",
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"models_loaded": all([model_profit, model_drawdown, model_params]),
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"models_path": str(MODELS_DIR),
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"available_endpoints": [
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"/train (POST) - Entraîner les modèles",
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"/predict (POST) - Faire des prédictions",
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"/health (GET) - Vérifier l'état"
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]
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}
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@app.post("/train")
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async def train_from_csv(file: UploadFile = File(...)) -> TrainingResponse:
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"""
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Endpoint pour entraîner les modèles à partir des données CSV
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"""
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try:
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# Lire le contenu du fichier
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content = await file.read()
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content_str = content.decode('utf-8')
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# Convertir en DataFrame
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df = pd.read_csv(StringIO(content_str), parse_dates=['Date'], index_col='Date')
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print(f"Données reçues : {len(df)} lignes")
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# Prétraiter les données
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df_processed = preprocess_data(df)
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print("Prétraitement terminé")
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# Entraîner les modèles
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model_profit, model_drawdown, features, strategies, split_info = train_models(df_processed)
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print("Entraînement terminé")
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# Sauvegarder les modèles
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save_models(model_profit, model_drawdown, features, strategies, split_info)
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print("Modèles sauvegardés")
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return TrainingResponse(
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status="success",
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message="Modèles entraînés avec succès",
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details={
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"data_shape": df.shape,
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"training_period": {
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"start": str(df.index[0]),
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"end": str(df.index[-1])
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},
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"split_info": split_info,
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"features": features,
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"strategies": strategies
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}
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)
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except Exception as e:
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raise HTTPException(
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status_code=500,
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detail=f"Erreur lors de l'entraînement : {str(e)}"
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)
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@app.post("/predict")
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async def predict(data: MarketData):
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"""
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Endpoint pour faire des prédictions avec les modèles entraînés
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"""
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try:
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# Charger les modèles
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model_profit, model_drawdown, model_params = load_models()
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if not all([model_profit, model_drawdown, model_params]):
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raise HTTPException(
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status_code=400,
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detail="Modèles non disponibles. Veuillez d'abord entraîner les modèles."
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)
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# Préparer les features dans le bon ordre
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features = model_params['features']
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X = np.array([[
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data.Ichimoku_ADX_Volatility_Signal,
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data.BB_Stoch_ATR_Signal,
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data.Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal,
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data.ADX,
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data.Volatility_20,
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data.MACD
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]])
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# Faire les prédictions
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profit_strategy_idx = model_profit.predict(X)[0]
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drawdown_strategy_idx = model_drawdown.predict(X)[0]
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# Obtenir les noms des stratégies
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strategies = model_params['strategies']
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# Récupérer les signaux correspondants
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signals = [
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data.Ichimoku_ADX_Volatility_Signal,
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data.BB_Stoch_ATR_Signal,
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data.Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal,
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data.ADX_Stoch_Volatility_MA_Signal
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]
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return {
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"best_profit_strategy": strategies[profit_strategy_idx],
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"best_profit_signal": signals[profit_strategy_idx],
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"best_drawdown_strategy": strategies[drawdown_strategy_idx],
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"best_drawdown_signal": signals[drawdown_strategy_idx]
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}
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except Exception as e:
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raise HTTPException(
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status_code=500,
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detail=f"Erreur lors de la prédiction : {str(e)}"
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)
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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import uvicorn
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version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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oid sha256:df58af35ba26e6d8c412ac4874e6d99f0c9a5476549d4e7d10a1ccddfdb74819
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size 496205
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version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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oid sha256:d3a2388fefcb35864aaa64d1ee5d8e2228cf7c6ed0a307610d57dd8fb314bed0
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size 260
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models/model_profit.joblib
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@@ -1,3 +0,0 @@
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| 1 |
-
version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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| 2 |
-
oid sha256:aa5950828eb9be49ec5d2f9fe77619b07b60ec674490e5ab914c9b661f79c24b
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| 3 |
-
size 556198
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requirements.txt
CHANGED
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@@ -5,4 +5,6 @@ scikit-learn>=0.24.2
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| 5 |
xgboost>=1.4.2
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| 6 |
joblib>=1.0.1
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| 7 |
pydantic>=1.8.2
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| 8 |
-
python-multipart>=0.0.5
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| 5 |
xgboost>=1.4.2
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| 6 |
joblib>=1.0.1
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| 7 |
pydantic>=1.8.2
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| 8 |
+
python-multipart>=0.0.5
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| 9 |
+
pandas>=1.3.0
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| 10 |
+
ta>=0.7.0
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train_strategy_models.py
ADDED
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@@ -0,0 +1,384 @@
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|
| 1 |
+
import pandas as pd
|
| 2 |
+
import numpy as np
|
| 3 |
+
from xgboost import XGBClassifier
|
| 4 |
+
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report
|
| 5 |
+
import ta
|
| 6 |
+
import joblib
|
| 7 |
+
import os
|
| 8 |
+
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, TimeSeriesSplit
|
| 9 |
+
|
| 10 |
+
def preprocess_data(df):
|
| 11 |
+
"""Prétraitement des données avec calcul des indicateurs techniques"""
|
| 12 |
+
|
| 13 |
+
# Convertir les colonnes en float si nécessaire
|
| 14 |
+
price_columns = ['Close', 'High', 'Low', 'Open']
|
| 15 |
+
for col in price_columns:
|
| 16 |
+
df[col] = pd.to_numeric(df[col], errors='coerce')
|
| 17 |
+
|
| 18 |
+
# Calculer les indicateurs techniques
|
| 19 |
+
# RSI
|
| 20 |
+
df['RSI'] = ta.momentum.RSIIndicator(df['Close'], window=14).rsi()
|
| 21 |
+
|
| 22 |
+
# ADX
|
| 23 |
+
adx = ta.trend.ADXIndicator(df['High'], df['Low'], df['Close'], window=14)
|
| 24 |
+
df['ADX'] = adx.adx()
|
| 25 |
+
|
| 26 |
+
# Volatilité
|
| 27 |
+
df['Volatility_20'] = df['Close'].rolling(window=20).std()
|
| 28 |
+
|
| 29 |
+
# MACD
|
| 30 |
+
macd = ta.trend.MACD(df['Close'])
|
| 31 |
+
df['MACD'] = macd.macd()
|
| 32 |
+
|
| 33 |
+
# Ichimoku
|
| 34 |
+
ichimoku = ta.trend.IchimokuIndicator(df['High'], df['Low'])
|
| 35 |
+
df['Tenkan_sen'] = ichimoku.ichimoku_conversion_line()
|
| 36 |
+
df['Kijun_sen'] = ichimoku.ichimoku_base_line()
|
| 37 |
+
df['Senkou_Span_A'] = ichimoku.ichimoku_a()
|
| 38 |
+
df['Senkou_Span_B'] = ichimoku.ichimoku_b()
|
| 39 |
+
df['Chikou_Span'] = df['Close'].shift(-26)
|
| 40 |
+
|
| 41 |
+
# Calcul des signaux des stratégies
|
| 42 |
+
df['Ichimoku_ADX_Volatility_Signal'] = calculate_ichimoku_adx_volatility_signal(df)
|
| 43 |
+
df['BB_Stoch_ATR_Signal'] = calculate_bb_stoch_atr_signal(df)
|
| 44 |
+
df['Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal'] = calculate_chikou_macd_signal(df)
|
| 45 |
+
df['ADX_Stoch_Volatility_MA_Signal'] = calculate_adx_stoch_volatility_signal(df)
|
| 46 |
+
|
| 47 |
+
# Ajouter les colonnes temporelles
|
| 48 |
+
df['hour'] = pd.to_datetime(df.index).hour
|
| 49 |
+
df['day'] = pd.to_datetime(df.index).day
|
| 50 |
+
df['month'] = pd.to_datetime(df.index).month
|
| 51 |
+
|
| 52 |
+
return df
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
def calculate_ichimoku_adx_volatility_signal(df):
|
| 55 |
+
"""Calcul du signal Ichimoku + ADX + Volatilité"""
|
| 56 |
+
signal = np.zeros(len(df))
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
+
# Conditions pour le signal
|
| 59 |
+
bullish = (df['Close'] > df['Senkou_Span_A']) & \
|
| 60 |
+
(df['Close'] > df['Senkou_Span_B']) & \
|
| 61 |
+
(df['ADX'] > 25) & \
|
| 62 |
+
(df['Volatility_20'] < df['Volatility_20'].rolling(5).mean())
|
| 63 |
+
|
| 64 |
+
bearish = (df['Close'] < df['Senkou_Span_A']) & \
|
| 65 |
+
(df['Close'] < df['Senkou_Span_B']) & \
|
| 66 |
+
(df['ADX'] > 25) & \
|
| 67 |
+
(df['Volatility_20'] < df['Volatility_20'].rolling(5).mean())
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
signal[bullish] = 1
|
| 70 |
+
signal[bearish] = -1
|
| 71 |
+
|
| 72 |
+
return signal
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
def calculate_bb_stoch_atr_signal(df):
|
| 75 |
+
"""Calcul du signal Bollinger + Stochastique + ATR"""
|
| 76 |
+
bb = ta.volatility.BollingerBands(df['Close'])
|
| 77 |
+
stoch = ta.momentum.StochasticOscillator(df['High'], df['Low'], df['Close'])
|
| 78 |
+
atr = ta.volatility.AverageTrueRange(df['High'], df['Low'], df['Close'])
|
| 79 |
+
|
| 80 |
+
signal = np.zeros(len(df))
|
| 81 |
+
|
| 82 |
+
bullish = (df['Close'] < bb.bollinger_lband()) & \
|
| 83 |
+
(stoch.stoch() < 20) & \
|
| 84 |
+
(atr.average_true_range() < atr.average_true_range().rolling(5).mean())
|
| 85 |
+
|
| 86 |
+
bearish = (df['Close'] > bb.bollinger_hband()) & \
|
| 87 |
+
(stoch.stoch() > 80) & \
|
| 88 |
+
(atr.average_true_range() < atr.average_true_range().rolling(5).mean())
|
| 89 |
+
|
| 90 |
+
signal[bullish] = 1
|
| 91 |
+
signal[bearish] = -1
|
| 92 |
+
|
| 93 |
+
return signal
|
| 94 |
+
|
| 95 |
+
def calculate_chikou_macd_signal(df):
|
| 96 |
+
"""Calcul du signal Chikou Span + MACD"""
|
| 97 |
+
signal = np.zeros(len(df))
|
| 98 |
+
|
| 99 |
+
bullish = (df['Chikou_Span'] > df['Close'].shift(26)) & \
|
| 100 |
+
(df['MACD'] > 0)
|
| 101 |
+
|
| 102 |
+
bearish = (df['Chikou_Span'] < df['Close'].shift(26)) & \
|
| 103 |
+
(df['MACD'] < 0)
|
| 104 |
+
|
| 105 |
+
signal[bullish] = 1
|
| 106 |
+
signal[bearish] = -1
|
| 107 |
+
|
| 108 |
+
return signal
|
| 109 |
+
|
| 110 |
+
def calculate_adx_stoch_volatility_signal(df):
|
| 111 |
+
"""Calcul du signal ADX + Stochastique + Volatilité"""
|
| 112 |
+
stoch = ta.momentum.StochasticOscillator(df['High'], df['Low'], df['Close'])
|
| 113 |
+
|
| 114 |
+
signal = np.zeros(len(df))
|
| 115 |
+
|
| 116 |
+
bullish = (df['ADX'] > 25) & \
|
| 117 |
+
(stoch.stoch() < 20) & \
|
| 118 |
+
(df['Volatility_20'] < df['Volatility_20'].rolling(5).mean())
|
| 119 |
+
|
| 120 |
+
bearish = (df['ADX'] > 25) & \
|
| 121 |
+
(stoch.stoch() > 80) & \
|
| 122 |
+
(df['Volatility_20'] < df['Volatility_20'].rolling(5).mean())
|
| 123 |
+
|
| 124 |
+
signal[bullish] = 1
|
| 125 |
+
signal[bearish] = -1
|
| 126 |
+
|
| 127 |
+
return signal
|
| 128 |
+
|
| 129 |
+
def calculate_strategy_performance(df, strategies, look_ahead=10):
|
| 130 |
+
"""
|
| 131 |
+
Calcule les performances (profit et drawdown) pour chaque stratégie
|
| 132 |
+
"""
|
| 133 |
+
max_profits = np.zeros((len(df), len(strategies)))
|
| 134 |
+
max_drawdowns = np.zeros((len(df), len(strategies)))
|
| 135 |
+
|
| 136 |
+
for i in range(len(df) - look_ahead):
|
| 137 |
+
close_start = df['Close'].iloc[i]
|
| 138 |
+
future_closes = df['Close'].iloc[i:i + look_ahead + 1].values
|
| 139 |
+
future_highs = df['High'].iloc[i:i + look_ahead + 1].values
|
| 140 |
+
future_lows = df['Low'].iloc[i:i + look_ahead + 1].values
|
| 141 |
+
|
| 142 |
+
for j, strategy in enumerate(strategies):
|
| 143 |
+
signal = df[strategy].iloc[i]
|
| 144 |
+
|
| 145 |
+
if signal == 1: # Achat
|
| 146 |
+
max_profit = (max(future_highs) - close_start) / close_start * 100
|
| 147 |
+
max_drawdown = (close_start - min(future_lows)) / close_start * 100
|
| 148 |
+
max_profits[i, j] = max_profit
|
| 149 |
+
max_drawdowns[i, j] = max_drawdown if max_drawdown > 0 else 0
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
elif signal == -1: # Vente
|
| 152 |
+
max_profit = (close_start - min(future_lows)) / close_start * 100
|
| 153 |
+
max_drawdown = (max(future_highs) - close_start) / close_start * 100
|
| 154 |
+
max_profits[i, j] = max_profit
|
| 155 |
+
max_drawdowns[i, j] = max_drawdown if max_drawdown > 0 else 0
|
| 156 |
+
|
| 157 |
+
else: # Neutre
|
| 158 |
+
max_profits[i, j] = 0
|
| 159 |
+
max_drawdowns[i, j] = 0
|
| 160 |
+
|
| 161 |
+
# Identifier la meilleure stratégie pour le profit
|
| 162 |
+
best_strategy_max_profit = np.argmax(max_profits, axis=1)
|
| 163 |
+
|
| 164 |
+
# Identifier la stratégie qui minimise le drawdown
|
| 165 |
+
best_strategy_max_drawdown = np.full(len(df), -1, dtype=int)
|
| 166 |
+
for i in range(len(df)):
|
| 167 |
+
active_strategies = np.where(max_drawdowns[i, :] > 0)[0]
|
| 168 |
+
if len(active_strategies) > 0:
|
| 169 |
+
min_drawdown_idx = active_strategies[np.argmin(max_drawdowns[i, active_strategies])]
|
| 170 |
+
best_strategy_max_drawdown[i] = min_drawdown_idx
|
| 171 |
+
|
| 172 |
+
return best_strategy_max_profit, best_strategy_max_drawdown
|
| 173 |
+
|
| 174 |
+
def train_models(df):
|
| 175 |
+
"""Entraînement des modèles de sélection de stratégie avec split temporel"""
|
| 176 |
+
|
| 177 |
+
strategies = [
|
| 178 |
+
'Ichimoku_ADX_Volatility_Signal',
|
| 179 |
+
'BB_Stoch_ATR_Signal',
|
| 180 |
+
'Chikou_MACD_Pente_Signal',
|
| 181 |
+
'ADX_Stoch_Volatility_MA_Signal'
|
| 182 |
+
]
|
| 183 |
+
|
| 184 |
+
continuous_features = ['RSI', 'ADX', 'Volatility_20', 'MACD']
|
| 185 |
+
features = strategies + continuous_features
|
| 186 |
+
|
| 187 |
+
# Calcul des meilleures stratégies basé sur les performances
|
| 188 |
+
print("Calcul des performances des stratégies...")
|
| 189 |
+
best_strategy_max_profit, best_strategy_max_drawdown = calculate_strategy_performance(df, strategies)
|
| 190 |
+
|
| 191 |
+
# Préparation des données
|
| 192 |
+
X = df[features].values
|
| 193 |
+
y_profit = best_strategy_max_profit
|
| 194 |
+
y_drawdown = best_strategy_max_drawdown
|
| 195 |
+
|
| 196 |
+
# Supprimer les lignes où y_drawdown est -1
|
| 197 |
+
valid_drawdown_mask = y_drawdown != -1
|
| 198 |
+
X_drawdown = X[valid_drawdown_mask]
|
| 199 |
+
y_drawdown = y_drawdown[valid_drawdown_mask]
|
| 200 |
+
|
| 201 |
+
# Division temporelle des données (80% train, 20% test)
|
| 202 |
+
train_size_profit = int(len(X) * 0.8)
|
| 203 |
+
train_size_drawdown = int(len(X_drawdown) * 0.8)
|
| 204 |
+
|
| 205 |
+
# Split pour le modèle de profit
|
| 206 |
+
X_train_profit = X[:train_size_profit]
|
| 207 |
+
X_test_profit = X[train_size_profit:]
|
| 208 |
+
y_train_profit = y_profit[:train_size_profit]
|
| 209 |
+
y_test_profit = y_profit[train_size_profit:]
|
| 210 |
+
|
| 211 |
+
# Split pour le modèle de drawdown
|
| 212 |
+
X_train_drawdown = X_drawdown[:train_size_drawdown]
|
| 213 |
+
X_test_drawdown = X_drawdown[train_size_drawdown:]
|
| 214 |
+
y_train_drawdown = y_drawdown[:train_size_drawdown]
|
| 215 |
+
y_test_drawdown = y_drawdown[train_size_drawdown:]
|
| 216 |
+
|
| 217 |
+
# Afficher la distribution temporelle
|
| 218 |
+
print("\nPériode d'entraînement profit:")
|
| 219 |
+
print(f"Du : {df.index[0]}")
|
| 220 |
+
print(f"Au : {df.index[train_size_profit-1]}")
|
| 221 |
+
print("\nPériode de test profit:")
|
| 222 |
+
print(f"Du : {df.index[train_size_profit]}")
|
| 223 |
+
print(f"Au : {df.index[-1]}")
|
| 224 |
+
|
| 225 |
+
# Validation avec TimeSeriesSplit
|
| 226 |
+
tscv = TimeSeriesSplit(n_splits=5)
|
| 227 |
+
|
| 228 |
+
# Entraînement du modèle de profit
|
| 229 |
+
print("\nEntraînement du modèle de profit maximal...")
|
| 230 |
+
model_profit = XGBClassifier(
|
| 231 |
+
n_estimators=100,
|
| 232 |
+
learning_rate=0.1,
|
| 233 |
+
max_depth=5,
|
| 234 |
+
random_state=42,
|
| 235 |
+
eval_metric='mlogloss'
|
| 236 |
+
)
|
| 237 |
+
|
| 238 |
+
# Validation croisée temporelle pour le modèle de profit
|
| 239 |
+
print("\nValidation croisée temporelle pour le modèle de profit:")
|
| 240 |
+
for fold, (train_index, val_index) in enumerate(tscv.split(X_train_profit)):
|
| 241 |
+
X_fold_train, X_fold_val = X_train_profit[train_index], X_train_profit[val_index]
|
| 242 |
+
y_fold_train, y_fold_val = y_train_profit[train_index], y_train_profit[val_index]
|
| 243 |
+
|
| 244 |
+
model_profit.fit(X_fold_train, y_fold_train)
|
| 245 |
+
fold_score = model_profit.score(X_fold_val, y_fold_val)
|
| 246 |
+
print(f"Fold {fold + 1} - Score: {fold_score:.4f}")
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
# Entraînement final sur l'ensemble complet d'entraînement
|
| 249 |
+
model_profit.fit(
|
| 250 |
+
X_train_profit,
|
| 251 |
+
y_train_profit,
|
| 252 |
+
eval_set=[(X_train_profit, y_train_profit), (X_test_profit, y_test_profit)],
|
| 253 |
+
verbose=True
|
| 254 |
+
)
|
| 255 |
+
|
| 256 |
+
# Même processus pour le modèle de drawdown
|
| 257 |
+
print("\nEntraînement du modèle de drawdown minimal...")
|
| 258 |
+
model_drawdown = XGBClassifier(
|
| 259 |
+
n_estimators=100,
|
| 260 |
+
learning_rate=0.1,
|
| 261 |
+
max_depth=5,
|
| 262 |
+
random_state=42,
|
| 263 |
+
eval_metric='mlogloss'
|
| 264 |
+
)
|
| 265 |
+
|
| 266 |
+
print("\nValidation croisée temporelle pour le modèle de drawdown:")
|
| 267 |
+
for fold, (train_index, val_index) in enumerate(tscv.split(X_train_drawdown)):
|
| 268 |
+
X_fold_train, X_fold_val = X_train_drawdown[train_index], X_train_drawdown[val_index]
|
| 269 |
+
y_fold_train, y_fold_val = y_train_drawdown[train_index], y_train_drawdown[val_index]
|
| 270 |
+
|
| 271 |
+
model_drawdown.fit(X_fold_train, y_fold_train)
|
| 272 |
+
fold_score = model_drawdown.score(X_fold_val, y_fold_val)
|
| 273 |
+
print(f"Fold {fold + 1} - Score: {fold_score:.4f}")
|
| 274 |
+
|
| 275 |
+
# Entraînement final
|
| 276 |
+
model_drawdown.fit(
|
| 277 |
+
X_train_drawdown,
|
| 278 |
+
y_train_drawdown,
|
| 279 |
+
eval_set=[(X_train_drawdown, y_train_drawdown), (X_test_drawdown, y_test_drawdown)],
|
| 280 |
+
verbose=True
|
| 281 |
+
)
|
| 282 |
+
|
| 283 |
+
# Évaluation des modèles
|
| 284 |
+
y_pred_profit = model_profit.predict(X_test_profit)
|
| 285 |
+
y_pred_drawdown = model_drawdown.predict(X_test_drawdown)
|
| 286 |
+
|
| 287 |
+
print("\nPerformance du modèle de profit maximal sur les données de test:")
|
| 288 |
+
print(classification_report(
|
| 289 |
+
y_test_profit,
|
| 290 |
+
y_pred_profit,
|
| 291 |
+
target_names=strategies
|
| 292 |
+
))
|
| 293 |
+
|
| 294 |
+
print("\nPerformance du modèle de drawdown minimal sur les données de test:")
|
| 295 |
+
print(classification_report(
|
| 296 |
+
y_test_drawdown,
|
| 297 |
+
y_pred_drawdown,
|
| 298 |
+
target_names=strategies
|
| 299 |
+
))
|
| 300 |
+
|
| 301 |
+
# Sauvegarder les périodes d'entraînement et de test
|
| 302 |
+
split_info = {
|
| 303 |
+
'profit': {
|
| 304 |
+
'train_start': df.index[0],
|
| 305 |
+
'train_end': df.index[train_size_profit-1],
|
| 306 |
+
'test_start': df.index[train_size_profit],
|
| 307 |
+
'test_end': df.index[-1]
|
| 308 |
+
},
|
| 309 |
+
'drawdown': {
|
| 310 |
+
'train_start': df.index[valid_drawdown_mask][0],
|
| 311 |
+
'train_end': df.index[valid_drawdown_mask][train_size_drawdown-1],
|
| 312 |
+
'test_start': df.index[valid_drawdown_mask][train_size_drawdown],
|
| 313 |
+
'test_end': df.index[valid_drawdown_mask][-1]
|
| 314 |
+
}
|
| 315 |
+
}
|
| 316 |
+
|
| 317 |
+
return model_profit, model_drawdown, features, strategies, split_info
|
| 318 |
+
|
| 319 |
+
def save_models(model_profit, model_drawdown, features, strategies, split_info):
|
| 320 |
+
"""Sauvegarde des modèles entraînés et leurs paramètres"""
|
| 321 |
+
if not os.path.exists('models'):
|
| 322 |
+
os.makedirs('models')
|
| 323 |
+
|
| 324 |
+
joblib.dump(model_profit, 'models/model_profit.joblib')
|
| 325 |
+
joblib.dump(model_drawdown, 'models/model_drawdown.joblib')
|
| 326 |
+
|
| 327 |
+
model_params = {
|
| 328 |
+
'features': features,
|
| 329 |
+
'strategies': strategies,
|
| 330 |
+
'split_info': split_info # Sauvegarder les périodes d'entraînement et de test
|
| 331 |
+
}
|
| 332 |
+
joblib.dump(model_params, 'models/model_params.joblib')
|
| 333 |
+
|
| 334 |
+
print("Modèles et paramètres sauvegardés dans le dossier 'models/'")
|
| 335 |
+
|
| 336 |
+
def predict_best_strategy(new_data):
|
| 337 |
+
"""
|
| 338 |
+
Prédit la meilleure stratégie pour de nouvelles données
|
| 339 |
+
"""
|
| 340 |
+
# Charger les modèles et paramètres
|
| 341 |
+
model_profit = joblib.load('models/model_profit.joblib')
|
| 342 |
+
model_drawdown = joblib.load('models/model_drawdown.joblib')
|
| 343 |
+
params = joblib.load('models/model_params.joblib')
|
| 344 |
+
|
| 345 |
+
# Prétraiter les nouvelles données
|
| 346 |
+
processed_data = preprocess_data(new_data)
|
| 347 |
+
|
| 348 |
+
# Préparer les features
|
| 349 |
+
X = processed_data[params['features']].values
|
| 350 |
+
|
| 351 |
+
# Faire les prédictions
|
| 352 |
+
profit_strategy_idx = model_profit.predict(X)
|
| 353 |
+
drawdown_strategy_idx = model_drawdown.predict(X)
|
| 354 |
+
|
| 355 |
+
# Obtenir les probabilités de prédiction
|
| 356 |
+
profit_proba = model_profit.predict_proba(X)
|
| 357 |
+
drawdown_proba = model_drawdown.predict_proba(X)
|
| 358 |
+
|
| 359 |
+
# Convertir les indices en noms de stratégies
|
| 360 |
+
profit_strategy = params['strategies'][profit_strategy_idx[-1]]
|
| 361 |
+
drawdown_strategy = params['strategies'][drawdown_strategy_idx[-1]]
|
| 362 |
+
|
| 363 |
+
return {
|
| 364 |
+
'best_profit_strategy': profit_strategy,
|
| 365 |
+
'profit_confidence': float(np.max(profit_proba[-1])),
|
| 366 |
+
'best_drawdown_strategy': drawdown_strategy,
|
| 367 |
+
'drawdown_confidence': float(np.max(drawdown_proba[-1]))
|
| 368 |
+
}
|
| 369 |
+
|
| 370 |
+
def main():
|
| 371 |
+
print("Chargement des données...")
|
| 372 |
+
df=pd.read_csv('EURUSD_4H.csv',sep=';',index_col=0,parse_dates=True)
|
| 373 |
+
|
| 374 |
+
print("Prétraitement des données...")
|
| 375 |
+
df = preprocess_data(df)
|
| 376 |
+
|
| 377 |
+
print("Entraînement des modèles...")
|
| 378 |
+
model_profit, model_drawdown, features, strategies, split_info = train_models(df)
|
| 379 |
+
|
| 380 |
+
print("Sauvegarde des modèles...")
|
| 381 |
+
save_models(model_profit, model_drawdown, features, strategies, split_info)
|
| 382 |
+
|
| 383 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 384 |
+
main()
|