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README.md
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sdk: static
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---
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# Tuva Project: Open-Source Healthcare Modeling
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Welcome to the Tuva ML Models Hub — an open-source ecosystem for healthcare risk prediction, cost benchmarking, and expected value modeling.
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---
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## Mission
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The Tuva Project is dedicated to democratizing healthcare knowledge.
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We believe that access to robust models — especially those that help forecast cost, risk, and utilization — should not be locked behind paywalls or proprietary systems.
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These models are typically:
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- Expensive to build and maintain
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- Trained on complex healthcare data
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- Essential for policy, research, and actuarial strategy
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By open-sourcing these tools, we empower health systems, researchers, and startups to build with transparency and scale with trust.
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---
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## What You'll Find Here
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This hub is a growing library of machine learning models designed to support:
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- Cost prediction
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- Encounter forecasting
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- Risk stratification
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- Benchmarking for Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial populations
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Each model includes:
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- Trained model artifacts (e.g., `.pkl`, `.joblib`)
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- Scripts for running predictions
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- Complete documentation and evaluation metrics
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---
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## Current Focus: Medicare (CMS)
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Our initial models use de-identified CMS data to support:
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- Member-level benchmark modeling
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- Annual medical expenditure prediction
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- Encounter group classification
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- Concurrent and prospective cost estimation
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Models like the **Encounter Cost Prediction Model** are trained on the 2020 Medicare Standard Analytic Files (SAF), using standardized preprocessing and evaluation pipelines.
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---
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## What's Next
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We are expanding to include:
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- Commercial claims models (e.g., ESI, employer-based populations)
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- Medicaid utilization and cost models
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- Models for clinical risk, readmissions, and chronic condition forecasting
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---
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## Contribute
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This hub is open to community contributions.
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If you're working on a healthcare machine learning model and want to share it:
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1. Fork one of our repositories
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2. Upload your trained model and code
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3. Document your inputs, outputs, and evaluation
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4. Open a pull request or reach out to our team
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We are especially interested in contributions in the areas of:
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- Medicaid modeling
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- Longitudinal health data
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- Risk adjustment or stratification
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- Claims and cost prediction at scale
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---
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## Contact
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Tuva Project Team
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Website: [https://tuvahealth.org](https://tuvahealth.org)
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Email: hello@tuvahealth.org
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---
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We believe risk modeling should be open infrastructure.
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Help us build a future where healthcare knowledge is free and shared.
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