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- Edit this `README.md` markdown file to author your organization card.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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+ # Tuva Project: Open-Source Healthcare Modeling
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+ Welcome to the Tuva ML Models Hub an open-source ecosystem for healthcare risk prediction, cost benchmarking, and expected value modeling.
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+ ---
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+ ## Mission
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+ The Tuva Project is dedicated to democratizing healthcare knowledge.
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+ We believe that access to robust models — especially those that help forecast cost, risk, and utilization — should not be locked behind paywalls or proprietary systems.
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+ These models are typically:
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+ - Expensive to build and maintain
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+ - Trained on complex healthcare data
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+ - Essential for policy, research, and actuarial strategy
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+ By open-sourcing these tools, we empower health systems, researchers, and startups to build with transparency and scale with trust.
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+ ---
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+ ## What You'll Find Here
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+ This hub is a growing library of machine learning models designed to support:
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+ - Cost prediction
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+ - Encounter forecasting
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+ - Risk stratification
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+ - Benchmarking for Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial populations
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+ Each model includes:
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+ - Trained model artifacts (e.g., `.pkl`, `.joblib`)
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+ - Scripts for running predictions
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+ - Complete documentation and evaluation metrics
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+ ---
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+ ## Current Focus: Medicare (CMS)
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+ Our initial models use de-identified CMS data to support:
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+ - Member-level benchmark modeling
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+ - Annual medical expenditure prediction
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+ - Encounter group classification
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+ - Concurrent and prospective cost estimation
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+ Models like the **Encounter Cost Prediction Model** are trained on the 2020 Medicare Standard Analytic Files (SAF), using standardized preprocessing and evaluation pipelines.
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+ ---
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+ ## What's Next
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+ We are expanding to include:
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+ - Commercial claims models (e.g., ESI, employer-based populations)
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+ - Medicaid utilization and cost models
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+ - Models for clinical risk, readmissions, and chronic condition forecasting
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+ ---
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+ ## Contribute
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+ This hub is open to community contributions.
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+ If you're working on a healthcare machine learning model and want to share it:
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+ 1. Fork one of our repositories
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+ 2. Upload your trained model and code
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+ 3. Document your inputs, outputs, and evaluation
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+ 4. Open a pull request or reach out to our team
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+ We are especially interested in contributions in the areas of:
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+ - Medicaid modeling
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+ - Longitudinal health data
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+ - Risk adjustment or stratification
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+ - Claims and cost prediction at scale
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+ ---
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+ ## Contact
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+ Tuva Project Team
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+ Website: [https://tuvahealth.org](https://tuvahealth.org)
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+ Email: hello@tuvahealth.org
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+ ---
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+ We believe risk modeling should be open infrastructure.
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+ Help us build a future where healthcare knowledge is free and shared.