import crypto from 'node:crypto'; import { loadLocalEnv } from '../gaokao/lib/env.mjs'; import { withDb } from '../gaokao/lib/db.mjs'; loadLocalEnv(); const modelName = process.env.REASONING_MODEL || 'gemini-3.5-flash'; const maxMatches = Number(process.env.SCORE_ANALYSIS_MAX_MATCHES || 8); function stableHash(value) { return crypto.createHash('sha256').update(JSON.stringify(value)).digest('hex').slice(0, 24); } function extractJson(text) { const fenced = text.match(/```json\s*([\s\S]*?)```/i); const raw = fenced?.[1] || text; const start = raw.indexOf('{'); const end = raw.lastIndexOf('}'); if (start < 0 || end < start) throw new Error('score analysis response did not include JSON'); return JSON.parse(raw.slice(start, end + 1)); } async function ensureTable(pool) { await pool.query(` create table if not exists worldcup_score_analyses ( match_id text primary key references worldcup_matches(id), status text not null, model text, predicted_score text, score_probabilities jsonb not null default '[]'::jsonb, summary_zh text, reasoning_md text, basis jsonb not null default '{}'::jsonb, input_fingerprint text, error_message text, created_at timestamptz not null default now(), updated_at timestamptz not null default now() ) `); } async function callGemini(systemPrompt, userPrompt) { const apiKey = process.env.VECTORENGINE_GEMINI_KEY || process.env.VECTORENGINE_API_KEY; if (!apiKey) throw new Error('VECTORENGINE_GEMINI_KEY is not configured'); const apiBase = (process.env.VECTORENGINE_API_BASE || 'https://api.vectorengine.cn/v1').replace(/\/$/, ''); const response = await fetch(`${apiBase}/chat/completions`, { method: 'POST', headers: { Authorization: `Bearer ${apiKey}`, 'Content-Type': 'application/json', }, body: JSON.stringify({ model: modelName, temperature: Number(process.env.SCORE_ANALYSIS_TEMPERATURE || 0.35), messages: [ { role: 'system', content: systemPrompt }, { role: 'user', content: userPrompt }, ], }), signal: AbortSignal.timeout(Number(process.env.SCORE_ANALYSIS_TIMEOUT_MS || 90000)), }); if (!response.ok) { const raw = await response.text().catch(() => ''); throw new Error(raw || `score analysis request failed: ${response.status}`); } const data = await response.json(); return data?.choices?.[0]?.message?.content || ''; } async function getEligibleMatches(pool) { const result = await pool.query(` select m.id, m.kickoff_utc, ht.name_zh as home_name_zh, at.name_zh as away_name_zh, count(distinct o.id) as odds_count, count(distinct w.id) as weather_count from worldcup_matches m join worldcup_teams ht on ht.id = m.home_team_id join worldcup_teams at on at.id = m.away_team_id join worldcup_weather_snapshots w on w.match_id = m.id join worldcup_market_odds_snapshots o on o.match_id = m.id and o.market_key = 'h2h' and o.home_odds is not null and o.draw_odds is not null and o.away_odds is not null left join worldcup_score_analyses a on a.match_id = m.id and a.status = 'success' where m.status in ('scheduled', 'active') and a.match_id is null group by m.id, m.kickoff_utc, ht.name_zh, at.name_zh order by m.kickoff_utc limit $1 `, [maxMatches]); return result.rows; } async function getContext(pool, matchId) { const matchRes = await pool.query(` select m.id, m.stage, m.round, m.kickoff_utc, m.home_team_id, m.away_team_id, ht.name_zh as home_name_zh, ht.name_en as home_name_en, at.name_zh as away_name_zh, at.name_en as away_name_en, v.name as venue_name, v.city as venue_city, v.country as venue_country from worldcup_matches m left join worldcup_teams ht on ht.id = m.home_team_id left join worldcup_teams at on at.id = m.away_team_id left join worldcup_venues v on v.id = m.venue_id where m.id = $1 `, [matchId]); if (!matchRes.rows[0]) throw new Error(`Match not found: ${matchId}`); const match = matchRes.rows[0]; const rankingsRes = await pool.query(` with ranked as ( select team_id, ranking_type, rank, rating, row_number() over (partition by team_id, ranking_type order by ranking_date desc) rn from worldcup_team_rankings where team_id in ($1, $2) ) select team_id, ranking_type, rank, rating from ranked where rn = 1 `, [match.home_team_id, match.away_team_id]); const formRes = await pool.query(` with ranked as ( select team_id, match_date, opponent_name_raw, competition, result, goals_for, goals_against, opponent_elo, row_number() over (partition by team_id order by match_date desc) rn from worldcup_team_form where team_id in ($1, $2) ) select * from ranked where rn <= 10 order by team_id, match_date desc `, [match.home_team_id, match.away_team_id]); const weatherRes = await pool.query(` select forecast_time, temperature_c, apparent_temperature_c, humidity_pct, precipitation_probability_pct, precipitation_mm, wind_speed_kmh, wind_gusts_kmh, weather_code from worldcup_weather_snapshots where match_id = $1 order by snapshot_time desc limit 1 `, [matchId]); const oddsRes = await pool.query(` with ranked as ( select bookmaker_key, bookmaker_title, market_key, market_title, home_odds, draw_odds, away_odds, last_update, row_number() over ( partition by bookmaker_key, market_key order by coalesce(last_update, snapshot_time) desc, snapshot_time desc ) rn from worldcup_market_odds_snapshots where match_id = $1 and market_key = 'h2h' and home_odds is not null and draw_odds is not null and away_odds is not null ) select * from ranked where rn = 1 order by bookmaker_title `, [matchId]); const tournamentResultsRes = await pool.query(` select m.id, m.stage, m.round, m.kickoff_utc, m.home_team_id, m.away_team_id, ht.name_zh as home_name_zh, at.name_zh as away_name_zh, m.home_score_90, m.away_score_90, case when m.home_score_90 > m.away_score_90 then m.home_team_id when m.away_score_90 > m.home_score_90 then m.away_team_id else 'draw' end as result_side from worldcup_matches m left join worldcup_teams ht on ht.id = m.home_team_id left join worldcup_teams at on at.id = m.away_team_id where m.status = 'finished' and m.home_score_90 is not null and m.away_score_90 is not null and ( m.home_team_id in ($1, $2) or m.away_team_id in ($1, $2) ) order by m.kickoff_utc desc limit 12 `, [match.home_team_id, match.away_team_id]); return { match, rankings: rankingsRes.rows, recent_form: formRes.rows, weather: weatherRes.rows[0] || null, odds: oddsRes.rows, tournament_results: tournamentResultsRes.rows, }; } async function saveAnalysis(pool, matchId, payload) { await pool.query(` insert into worldcup_score_analyses ( match_id, status, model, predicted_score, score_probabilities, summary_zh, reasoning_md, basis, input_fingerprint, error_message, updated_at ) values ($1,$2,$3,$4,$5::jsonb,$6,$7,$8::jsonb,$9,$10,now()) on conflict (match_id) do update set status = excluded.status, model = excluded.model, predicted_score = excluded.predicted_score, score_probabilities = excluded.score_probabilities, summary_zh = excluded.summary_zh, reasoning_md = excluded.reasoning_md, basis = excluded.basis, input_fingerprint = excluded.input_fingerprint, error_message = excluded.error_message, updated_at = now() `, [ matchId, payload.status, payload.model || null, payload.predicted_score || null, JSON.stringify(payload.score_probabilities || []), payload.summary_zh || null, payload.reasoning_md || null, JSON.stringify(payload.basis || {}), payload.input_fingerprint || null, payload.error_message || null, ]); } function buildPrompt(context) { const systemPrompt = `你是世界杯预测分析师。你必须基于给定的结构化数据,输出比分概率,而不是泛泛聊天。 要求: - 使用中文。 - 结合 Elo/FIFA 排名、近 10 场状态、本届已完赛表现、天气、赔率盘口。 - 不要声称掌握未提供的首发或伤病。 - 如果本届已完赛数据与长期实力数据矛盾,要明确说明哪一项权重更高以及原因。 - 盘口只作为市场共识补充,不要机械等同于最终概率。 - 给出 5 个最可能比分及概率,概率总和不必为 100%,但每个概率必须合理。 - 推理要比一句话更充分,必须包含主要证据、反向风险和比分路径。 - 输出必须是一个 JSON 对象,不要 markdown,不要额外文字。 JSON schema: { "predicted_score": "2-1", "score_probabilities": [ {"score": "2-1", "probability": 0.14, "label_zh": "主队小胜"} ], "summary_zh": "一句话结论", "reasoning_md": "Markdown 格式的推理依据,建议包含:结论、模型基础、本届比赛表现、盘口信号、天气影响、比分路径、风险因素。", "basis": { "main_factors": ["Elo/FIFA差距", "本届比赛表现", "市场赔率", "天气"], "data_quality": "complete" } }`; return { systemPrompt, userPrompt: JSON.stringify(context, null, 2), }; } async function main() { const apiKey = process.env.VECTORENGINE_GEMINI_KEY || process.env.VECTORENGINE_API_KEY; if (!apiKey) { console.log('[score-analysis] VECTORENGINE_GEMINI_KEY is not configured; skipping score analysis'); return; } await withDb(async (pool) => { await ensureTable(pool); const matches = await getEligibleMatches(pool); console.log(`[score-analysis] eligible=${matches.length} max=${maxMatches}`); let success = 0; let failed = 0; for (const match of matches) { try { const context = await getContext(pool, match.id); if (!context.weather || !context.odds.length) { console.log(`[score-analysis] skip ${match.id} missing complete weather/odds`); continue; } const fingerprint = stableHash(context); const { systemPrompt, userPrompt } = buildPrompt(context); const raw = await callGemini(systemPrompt, userPrompt); const parsed = extractJson(raw); await saveAnalysis(pool, match.id, { status: 'success', model: modelName, predicted_score: parsed.predicted_score, score_probabilities: parsed.score_probabilities || [], summary_zh: parsed.summary_zh || '', reasoning_md: parsed.reasoning_md || '', basis: parsed.basis || {}, input_fingerprint: fingerprint, }); success += 1; console.log(`[score-analysis] ${match.id} ${match.home_name_zh} vs ${match.away_name_zh} predicted=${parsed.predicted_score}`); } catch (error) { failed += 1; await saveAnalysis(pool, match.id, { status: 'failed', model: modelName, error_message: error.message || String(error), }).catch(() => {}); console.warn(`[score-analysis] ${match.id} failed: ${error.message || error}`); } } console.log(`[score-analysis] complete success=${success} failed=${failed}`); }); } await main();