Thibaut Forest Claude Opus 5 (1M context) commited on
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1 Parent(s): 2cabcac

Phase 46 addendum: threshold sweep - cert-first works only at the label rule's exact parameters; direction closed

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  1. EXPERIMENTS.md +9 -0
EXPERIMENTS.md CHANGED
@@ -2578,3 +2578,12 @@ cross-origin dynamics, interactions, timer blends, and temporal ensembles
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  space, or the declined forward-read. Local champion unchanged (cert-first
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  1623.7 / base 1661.7); public champion **3c7b883 at 1661.45**. Deadline
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  2026-08-23.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  space, or the declined forward-read. Local champion unchanged (cert-first
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  1623.7 / base 1661.7); public champion **3c7b883 at 1661.45**. Deadline
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  2026-08-23.
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+
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+ ### Phase 46 addendum: the rule is one point wide in BOTH dimensions
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+
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+ Threshold micro-sweep at k=3 (cost harness): 2.40 -> **-37.9** (3W/0L);
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+ 2.41 -> +93.6 (8W/32L); 2.42 -> +383.9; 2.43 -> +314.1. With the earlier
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+ k-sweep (k=1 +291, k=2 +200), cert-first works ONLY at the label process's
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+ exact parameters (2.40 V, 3 consecutive gated readings). The mechanism is
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+ label-rule replay on past data, not prediction; any deviation reverts to
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+ guessing at sub-break-even precision. Direction closed.