Thibaut Forest Claude Fable 5 commited on
Commit ·
b8318dc
1
Parent(s): 62e9d91
docs: phase 72 - count-flat closure sweeps + alpha 1.4 A/B decision rule
Browse files- EXPERIMENTS.md +24 -0
EXPERIMENTS.md
CHANGED
|
@@ -3620,3 +3620,27 @@ sign-frequency over a many-fleet stress ensemble rather than a
|
|
| 3620 |
one-fleet mean; stress validator ready at /tmp/c36/stress_winner.py.
|
| 3621 |
FINAL: cv.py UNCHANGED (an uncalibrated instrument would mislead);
|
| 3622 |
selection stays 4c93883 first, 60d65da/71bfff2 second slot only.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3620 |
one-fleet mean; stress validator ready at /tmp/c36/stress_winner.py.
|
| 3621 |
FINAL: cv.py UNCHANGED (an uncalibrated instrument would mislead);
|
| 3622 |
selection stays 4c93883 first, 60d65da/71bfff2 second slot only.
|
| 3623 |
+
|
| 3624 |
+
## Phase 72 - Final count-flat closure (c28/c37/c38) + alpha 1.4 public A/B ship (user call)
|
| 3625 |
+
|
| 3626 |
+
Deadline corrected to 02:00 CEST (midnight UTC) - time for one more
|
| 3627 |
+
public A/B. Count-flat space closed with three sweeps (all paired vs
|
| 3628 |
+
1541.3, parity exact in each driver):
|
| 3629 |
+
- c28 hyperparams (logbag C/bags, gapHGB l2/leaf): 8 arms, ALL lose or
|
| 3630 |
+
wash (+5.6..+34.2). Champion hyperparameters locally optimal.
|
| 3631 |
+
- c37 blend-weight jitter (+/-.05 around .50/.30/.20, 6 directions):
|
| 3632 |
+
ALL lose +23..+50 (several ~2sig AGAINST). Sharp optimum.
|
| 3633 |
+
- c38 averaging ensembles (leaders' style, order-only: device-bootstrap
|
| 3634 |
+
x3, drop-fifth x5, time-snapshot x3, feature-set x2): best is a 0.3sig
|
| 3635 |
+
wash (devboot -6.2+/-24.9), timebag a 2.2sig LOSS. Averaging destroys
|
| 3636 |
+
the favorable seed-0 configuration (same lesson as wave T seed-bag).
|
| 3637 |
+
ALPHA 1.4 SHIP (62e9d91, count-coupled, explicit user call): fresh
|
| 3638 |
+
confirm on head config bgkf 1498.3 (-43.0+/-43.0, 1.0sig, 19W/24L,
|
| 3639 |
+
swaps 2.27->2.97/fleet = podium operating point 15-18/scen; mean carried
|
| 3640 |
+
by death-heavy origins - the public read arbitrates). Static path
|
| 3641 |
+
governs held-out fleets (submit.py:836 ALPHA_STATIC), both knobs set.
|
| 3642 |
+
Rehearsal: 520->688 swaps (+32.3%), 43/48 scenarios; ship-code counts
|
| 3643 |
+
byte-identical to env-override run. Old-ordering alpha 1.5 failure
|
| 3644 |
+
(2189) predates ft2 - this is the operating-point hypothesis' first
|
| 3645 |
+
test on the current ordering. DECISION RULE: public < 1575.31 -> select
|
| 3646 |
+
62e9d91; else select 4c93883. Revert = both alpha defaults 1.0.
|