king-2 / generator.py
tope1129's picture
cascade generator submission: king-2
3e84e34 verified
Raw
History Blame Contribute Delete
37.2 kB
"""goethe"""
from __future__ import annotations
import json
from collections.abc import Iterator
from functools import lru_cache, partial
from pathlib import Path
from queue import Full, Queue
from threading import Event, Thread
import os
import numpy as np
from numba import njit, prange, set_num_threads
from cascade.interface import DataGenerator
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
set_num_threads(max(1, (os.cpu_count() or 4) // 2))
# goethe
# goethe
_CHUNK = 2048
# goethe
# goethe
_SEASONAL_PERIODS = np.array(
[4, 7, 12, 24, 30, 48, 52, 90, 96, 144, 168, 183, 288, 336, 365, 672, 730],
dtype=np.float64,
)
_SEASONAL_PROBS = np.array(
[0.04, 0.12, 0.04, 0.16, 0.05, 0.06, 0.04, 0.03, 0.07, 0.03,
0.13, 0.04, 0.04, 0.06, 0.07, 0.04, 0.05],
dtype=np.float64,
)
_SEASONAL_PROBS /= _SEASONAL_PROBS.sum()
# goethe
_FAMILIES: tuple[str, ...] = (
"trend_seasonal_ar", # goethe
"regime_shift", # goethe
"multiplicative", # goethe
"ar2", # goethe
"integrated", # goethe
"threshold_ar", # goethe
"chaotic", # goethe
"spectral_gp", # goethe
"long_memory", # goethe
"ou_stochastic_vol", # goethe
"physical_sensors", # goethe
"seasonal_counts", # goethe
"intermittent", # goethe
"pulse_outlier", # goethe
)
_DEFAULT_WEIGHTS: dict[str, float] = {
"trend_seasonal_ar": 0.12,
"regime_shift": 0.12,
"multiplicative": 0.08,
"ar2": 0.15,
"integrated": 0.12,
"threshold_ar": 0.08,
"chaotic": 0.04,
"spectral_gp": 0.07,
"long_memory": 0.06,
"ou_stochastic_vol": 0.10,
"physical_sensors": 0.02,
"seasonal_counts": 0.02,
"intermittent": 0.01,
"pulse_outlier": 0.01,
}
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
@njit(cache=False, parallel=True, fastmath=True)
def _ar1_recur_jit(drive: np.ndarray, phi: np.ndarray, x0: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
n, L = drive.shape
x = np.empty((n, L), dtype=np.float64)
for i in prange(n):
p = phi[i]
cur = x0[i]
x[i, 0] = cur
for t in range(1, L):
cur = p * cur + drive[i, t]
x[i, t] = cur
return x
@njit(cache=False, parallel=True, fastmath=True)
def _ar2_batch_jit(innov: np.ndarray, a1: np.ndarray, a2: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
n, L = innov.shape
x = np.empty((n, L), dtype=np.float64)
for i in prange(n):
aa1 = a1[i]
aa2 = a2[i]
x[i, 0] = innov[i, 0]
if L > 1:
x[i, 1] = aa1 * x[i, 0] + innov[i, 1]
for t in range(2, L):
x[i, t] = aa1 * x[i, t - 1] + aa2 * x[i, t - 2] + innov[i, t]
return x
@njit(cache=False, parallel=True, fastmath=True)
def _threshold_ar_jit(
innov: np.ndarray,
phi_hi: np.ndarray,
phi_lo: np.ndarray,
const_hi: np.ndarray,
const_lo: np.ndarray,
) -> np.ndarray:
n, L = innov.shape
x = np.empty((n, L), dtype=np.float64)
for i in prange(n):
x[i, 0] = innov[i, 0]
for t in range(1, L):
prev = x[i, t - 1]
if prev >= 0.0:
phi = phi_hi[i]
const = const_hi[i]
else:
phi = phi_lo[i]
const = const_lo[i]
v = const + phi * prev + innov[i, t]
if v > 1e6:
v = 1e6
elif v < -1e6:
v = -1e6
x[i, t] = v
return x
@njit(cache=False, parallel=True, fastmath=True)
def _chaotic_jit(map_id: np.ndarray, r_a: np.ndarray, x0: np.ndarray, L: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
n = x0.shape[0]
x = np.empty((n, L), dtype=np.float64)
for i in prange(n):
cur = x0[i]
x[i, 0] = cur
mid = map_id[i]
a = r_a[i]
for t in range(1, L):
if mid == 1:
cur = a * np.sin(np.pi * cur)
elif mid == 2:
if cur < 0.5:
cur = a * cur
else:
cur = a * (1.0 - cur)
else:
cur = a * cur * (1.0 - cur)
if cur < 0.0:
cur = 0.0
elif cur > 1.0:
cur = 1.0
x[i, t] = cur
return x
@njit(cache=False, parallel=True, fastmath=True)
def _apply_hold_runs_jit(
series: np.ndarray,
row_ptr: np.ndarray,
cols: np.ndarray,
run_lengths: np.ndarray,
) -> None:
"""Freeze variable-length runs at their pre-event value, in place.
``cols``/``run_lengths`` are grouped by row via the CSR-style ``row_ptr``
(built from ``np.nonzero`` on a 2D mask, which is already row-major and
column-ascending within a row). Parallelizing over rows (``prange``) is
therefore safe: each row's events are still applied in increasing-time
order (so a later hold can start from an already-held value, matching
the original per-row sequential semantics) while independent rows run
concurrently.
"""
n, L = series.shape
for r in prange(n):
lo = row_ptr[r]
hi = row_ptr[r + 1]
for k in range(lo, hi):
c = cols[k]
run = run_lengths[k]
end = c + run
if end > L:
end = L
val = series[r, c - 1]
for t in range(c, end):
series[r, t] = val
@njit(cache=False, parallel=False, fastmath=True)
def _seasonal_add_stationary_jit(
out: np.ndarray,
rows: np.ndarray,
sin_basis: np.ndarray,
cos_basis: np.ndarray,
basis_idx: np.ndarray,
amp: np.ndarray,
phase: np.ndarray,
) -> None:
"""Add stationary sinusoids from the cached cadence bank into ``out``.
Serial on purpose: at typical per-family batch sizes, parallel prange was
slower than a tight serial loop due to thread-pool overhead.
"""
L = out.shape[1]
for i in range(rows.shape[0]):
r = rows[i]
bi = basis_idx[i]
am = amp[r]
ph = phase[r]
cph = np.cos(ph)
sph = np.sin(ph)
for t in range(L):
out[r, t] += am * (sin_basis[bi, t] * cph + cos_basis[bi, t] * sph)
@njit(cache=False, parallel=False, fastmath=True)
def _seasonal_add_modulated_jit(
out: np.ndarray,
rows: np.ndarray,
per: np.ndarray,
amp: np.ndarray,
phase: np.ndarray,
m_per: np.ndarray,
m_phase: np.ndarray,
amp_scale: np.ndarray,
phase_scale: np.ndarray,
) -> None:
"""Add amplitude/phase-modulated sinusoids into ``out`` (no basis reuse)."""
L = out.shape[1]
two_pi = 2.0 * np.pi
for i in range(rows.shape[0]):
r = rows[i]
p = per[i]
am = amp[i]
ph = phase[i]
mp = m_per[i]
mph = m_phase[i]
as_ = amp_scale[i]
ps = phase_scale[i]
inv_p = two_pi / p
inv_mp = two_pi / mp
inv_mp17 = two_pi / (1.7 * mp)
for t in range(L):
tf = float(t)
slow = np.sin(inv_mp * tf + mph)
amp_mod = 1.0 + as_ * slow
phase_mod = ps * np.sin(inv_mp17 * tf - mph)
out[r, t] += am * amp_mod * np.sin(inv_p * tf + ph + phase_mod)
class Generator(DataGenerator):
"""goethe"""
def __init__(self, config_dir: str, *, seed: int) -> None:
cfg_path = Path(config_dir) / "config.json"
cfg = json.loads(cfg_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) if cfg_path.is_file() else {}
self._cfg = cfg
self._seed = int(seed)
self._min_len = int(cfg.get("min_length", 64))
self._max_len = int(cfg.get("max_length", 4096))
if self._min_len < 1 or self._max_len < self._min_len:
raise ValueError(f"invalid length band [{self._min_len}, {self._max_len}]")
weights = dict(_DEFAULT_WEIGHTS)
for k, v in dict(cfg.get("family_weights", {})).items():
if k in weights:
weights[k] = float(v)
w = np.asarray([weights[f] for f in _FAMILIES], dtype=np.float64)
if not np.all(np.isfinite(w)) or w.min() < 0 or w.sum() <= 0:
raise ValueError("family_weights must be finite, non-negative, and not all zero")
self._weights = w / w.sum()
self._tr_hi_frac = float(cfg.get("tr_hi_frac", 0.25))
self._tr_exc_lo = float(cfg.get("tr_exc_lo", 0.4))
self._tr_exc_hi = float(cfg.get("tr_exc_hi", 3.0))
self._gr_exc_lo = float(cfg.get("gr_exc_lo", 0.3))
self._gr_exc_hi = float(cfg.get("gr_exc_hi", 2.0))
self._sa_clean_frac = float(cfg.get("sa_clean_frac", 0.4))
self._sa_clean_lo = float(cfg.get("sa_clean_lo", 0.02))
self._sa_clean_hi = float(cfg.get("sa_clean_hi", 0.12))
# goethe
self._seasonal_focus = float(np.clip(cfg.get("seasonal_focus", 0.75), 0.0, 1.0))
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
self._het_noise_frac = float(np.clip(cfg.get("het_noise_frac", 0.35), 0.0, 1.0))
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
self._ar2_seasonal_frac = float(np.clip(cfg.get("ar2_seasonal_frac", 0.25), 0.0, 1.0))
self._integrated_seasonal_frac = float(
np.clip(cfg.get("integrated_seasonal_frac", 0.30), 0.0, 1.0)
)
self._fixed_len = self._min_len == self._max_len
@property
def name(self) -> str:
return str(self._cfg.get("name", "king-throughput-numba"))
def generate(self, n_series: int) -> Iterator[np.ndarray]:
if n_series <= 0:
return
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
_warmup_kernels(self._max_len)
rng = np.random.default_rng(self._seed)
max_len = self._max_len
fixed_len = self._fixed_len
period_p = (1.0 - self._seasonal_focus) * (np.ones_like(_SEASONAL_PROBS) / len(_SEASONAL_PROBS))
period_p = period_p + self._seasonal_focus * _SEASONAL_PROBS
period_p = period_p / period_p.sum()
builders = (
partial(
_trend_seasonal_ar,
hi_frac=self._tr_hi_frac,
exc_lo=self._tr_exc_lo,
exc_hi=self._tr_exc_hi,
clean_frac=self._sa_clean_frac,
clean_lo=self._sa_clean_lo,
clean_hi=self._sa_clean_hi,
het_frac=self._het_noise_frac,
period_p=period_p,
),
partial(_regime_shift, period_p=period_p),
partial(
_multiplicative,
hi_frac=self._tr_hi_frac,
exc_lo=self._gr_exc_lo,
exc_hi=self._gr_exc_hi,
period_p=period_p,
),
partial(_ar2, period_p=period_p, seasonal_frac=self._ar2_seasonal_frac),
partial(_integrated, period_p=period_p, seasonal_frac=self._integrated_seasonal_frac),
_threshold_ar,
_chaotic,
_spectral_gp,
_long_memory,
partial(_ou_stochastic_vol, period_p=period_p),
partial(_physical_sensors, period_p=period_p),
partial(_seasonal_counts, period_p=period_p),
_intermittent,
partial(_pulse_outlier, period_p=period_p),
)
# goethe
# goethe
queue: Queue[object] = Queue(maxsize=1)
stop = Event()
done = object()
def put(item: object) -> bool:
while not stop.is_set():
try:
queue.put(item, timeout=0.1)
return True
except Full:
continue
return False
def produce() -> None:
try:
produced = 0
while produced < n_series and not stop.is_set():
# goethe
# goethe
lengths = rng.integers(self._min_len, max_len + 1, size=_CHUNK)
fam_ids = rng.choice(len(_FAMILIES), size=_CHUNK, p=self._weights)
chunk: list[np.ndarray | None] = [None] * _CHUNK
for fam in range(len(_FAMILIES)):
idx = np.nonzero(fam_ids == fam)[0]
if idx.size == 0:
continue
block = builders[fam](rng, int(idx.size), max_len)
# goethe
preserve_nonnegative = fam in (2, 10, 11, 12)
block = _sanitize(
_measurement_artifacts(
rng, block, preserve_nonnegative=preserve_nonnegative
)
)
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
if fixed_len:
for row, series_i in enumerate(idx):
chunk[int(series_i)] = block[row].copy()
else:
for row, series_i in enumerate(idx):
length = int(lengths[series_i])
chunk[int(series_i)] = np.ascontiguousarray(
block[row, :length], dtype=np.float64
)
take = min(_CHUNK, n_series - produced)
if not put((chunk, take)):
return
produced += take
except BaseException as exc: # goethe
put(exc)
finally:
put(done)
producer = Thread(target=produce, name="cascade-generator", daemon=True)
producer.start()
try:
while True:
item = queue.get()
if item is done:
break
if isinstance(item, BaseException):
raise item
chunk, take = item
for arr in chunk[:take]:
if arr is None: # goethe
raise RuntimeError("internal: unfilled series slot")
yield arr
finally:
stop.set()
producer.join(timeout=1.0)
# goethe
def _ar1_batch(innov: np.ndarray, phi: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
return _ar1_recur(innov, phi, innov[:, 0])
def _ar1_recur(drive: np.ndarray, phi: np.ndarray, x0: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
return _ar1_recur_jit(
np.ascontiguousarray(drive, dtype=np.float64),
np.ascontiguousarray(phi.reshape(-1), dtype=np.float64),
np.ascontiguousarray(x0.reshape(-1), dtype=np.float64),
)
def _ar2_batch(innov: np.ndarray, a1: np.ndarray, a2: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
return _ar2_batch_jit(
np.ascontiguousarray(innov),
np.ascontiguousarray(a1.reshape(-1)),
np.ascontiguousarray(a2.reshape(-1)),
)
@lru_cache(maxsize=4)
def _seasonal_basis(L: int) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
"""goethe"""
angle = (
2.0 * np.pi * np.arange(L, dtype=np.float64)[None, :] / _SEASONAL_PERIODS[:, None]
)
return np.sin(angle), np.cos(angle)
@lru_cache(maxsize=4)
def _rfftfreq_cached(L: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
return np.fft.rfftfreq(L)
_WARMUP_DONE = False
def _warmup_kernels(L: int) -> None:
"""goethe"""
global _WARMUP_DONE
if _WARMUP_DONE:
return
n, Lw = 4, min(int(L), 64)
innov = np.ascontiguousarray(np.zeros((n, Lw), dtype=np.float64))
phi = np.zeros(n, dtype=np.float64)
_ar1_recur_jit(innov, phi, innov[:, 0].copy())
_ar2_batch_jit(innov, phi, phi)
_threshold_ar_jit(innov, phi, phi, phi, phi)
_chaotic_jit(np.zeros(n, dtype=np.int64), phi, phi + 0.5, Lw)
_apply_hold_runs_jit(
innov.copy(),
np.zeros(n + 1, dtype=np.int64),
np.empty(0, dtype=np.int64),
np.empty(0, dtype=np.int64),
)
sin_b, cos_b = _seasonal_basis(Lw)
rows = np.arange(n, dtype=np.int64)
_seasonal_add_stationary_jit(
innov.copy(), rows, sin_b, cos_b,
np.zeros(n, dtype=np.int64), phi + 1.0, phi,
)
_seasonal_add_modulated_jit(
innov.copy(), rows,
np.full(n, 24.0), phi + 1.0, phi,
np.full(n, 96.0), phi, phi + 0.1, phi + 0.1,
)
_rfftfreq_cached(Lw)
_WARMUP_DONE = True
def _seasonal(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
k_max: int = 3,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Sum of 1..k_max stationary or slowly modulated seasonal components.
RNG draws stay in NumPy (fixed draw order). Assembly of the (n, L) output
runs in compiled kernels: stationary rows reuse the cached cadence bank;
modulated rows skip the wasted stationary compute they used to overwrite.
"""
sin_basis, cos_basis = _seasonal_basis(L)
p = _SEASONAL_PROBS if period_p is None else period_p
k = rng.integers(1, k_max + 1, size=n)
out = np.zeros((n, L), dtype=np.float64)
n_periods = _SEASONAL_PERIODS.shape[0]
for j in range(k_max):
# goethe
basis_idx_all = rng.choice(n_periods, size=n, p=p)
per = _SEASONAL_PERIODS[basis_idx_all]
amp = rng.uniform(0.2, 2.0, size=n)
phase = rng.uniform(0.0, 2.0 * np.pi, size=n)
mod_flag = rng.random(n) < 0.35
active = k > j
modulated = np.nonzero(active & mod_flag)[0]
stationary = np.nonzero(active & ~mod_flag)[0]
if stationary.size:
_seasonal_add_stationary_jit(
out,
stationary.astype(np.int64, copy=False),
sin_basis,
cos_basis,
basis_idx_all[stationary].astype(np.int64, copy=False),
amp,
phase,
)
if modulated.size:
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
m_per = np.clip(
per[modulated] * rng.uniform(4.0, 12.0, size=modulated.size),
32.0,
2.0 * L,
)
m_phase = rng.uniform(0.0, 2.0 * np.pi, size=modulated.size)
amp_scale = rng.uniform(0.05, 0.45, size=modulated.size)
phase_scale = rng.uniform(0.05, 0.75, size=modulated.size)
_seasonal_add_modulated_jit(
out,
modulated.astype(np.int64, copy=False),
per[modulated],
amp[modulated],
phase[modulated],
m_per,
m_phase,
amp_scale,
phase_scale,
)
return out
def _sparse_jumps(rng: np.random.Generator, n: int, L: int, rate: float, scale) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
mask = rng.random((n, L)) < rate
mask[:, 0] = False
rows, cols = np.nonzero(mask)
jumps = np.zeros((n, L), dtype=np.float64)
if rows.size == 0:
return jumps
s = np.asarray(scale, dtype=np.float64)
event_scale = s if s.ndim == 0 else s.reshape(n)[rows]
jumps[rows, cols] = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=rows.size) * event_scale
return jumps
def _apply_hold_runs(rng: np.random.Generator, series: np.ndarray, rate: float) -> None:
"""goethe"""
n, L = series.shape
starts = rng.random((n, L)) < rate
starts[:, 0] = False
rows, cols = np.nonzero(starts)
if rows.size == 0:
return
run_lengths = rng.integers(3, 65, size=rows.size)
row_ptr = np.searchsorted(rows, np.arange(n + 1)).astype(np.int64)
_apply_hold_runs_jit(
series,
row_ptr,
np.ascontiguousarray(cols, dtype=np.int64),
np.ascontiguousarray(run_lengths, dtype=np.int64),
)
def _measurement_artifacts(
rng: np.random.Generator,
block: np.ndarray,
*,
preserve_nonnegative: bool,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Apply sparse, cheap real-measurement effects to a generated block."""
original = np.asarray(block, dtype=np.float64)
out = original.copy()
n, L = out.shape
reverse = rng.random(n) < 0.06
if reverse.any():
out[reverse] = out[reverse, ::-1]
if not preserve_nonnegative:
invert = rng.random(n) < 0.04
if invert.any():
out[invert] *= -1.0
# goethe
censor_rows = np.nonzero(rng.random(n) < 0.06)[0]
for row in censor_rows:
q = float(rng.uniform(0.03, 0.18))
if rng.random() < 0.5:
out[row] = np.minimum(out[row], np.quantile(out[row], 1.0 - q))
else:
out[row] = np.maximum(out[row], np.quantile(out[row], q))
quantized = np.nonzero(rng.random(n) < 0.07)[0]
if quantized.size:
x = out[quantized]
lo = x.min(axis=1, keepdims=True)
hi = x.max(axis=1, keepdims=True)
levels = rng.integers(16, 257, size=(quantized.size, 1))
step = (hi - lo) / np.maximum(levels - 1, 1)
safe_step = np.where(step < 1e-12, 1.0, step)
out[quantized] = lo + np.rint((x - lo) / safe_step) * safe_step
held = np.nonzero(rng.random(n) < 0.04)[0]
if held.size:
factors = rng.choice([2, 4, 8], size=held.size, p=[0.55, 0.30, 0.15])
for factor in (2, 4, 8):
rows = held[factors == factor]
if rows.size:
out[rows] = np.repeat(out[rows, ::factor], factor, axis=1)[:, :L]
degenerate = out.std(axis=1) < 1e-9
if degenerate.any():
out[degenerate] = original[degenerate]
return out
# goethe
def _trend_seasonal_ar(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
hi_frac: float = 0.25,
exc_lo: float = 0.4,
exc_hi: float = 3.0,
clean_frac: float = 0.4,
clean_lo: float = 0.02,
clean_hi: float = 0.12,
het_frac: float = 0.35,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
t = np.arange(L, dtype=np.float64)[None, :]
level = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
_hi = rng.random((n, 1)) < hi_frac
exc = np.where(_hi, rng.normal(0.0, exc_hi, size=(n, 1)), rng.normal(0.0, exc_lo, size=(n, 1)))
tn = t / max(L - 1, 1)
series = level + exc * tn + _seasonal(rng, n, L, period_p=period_p)
phi = rng.uniform(0.0, 0.85, size=n)
clean = rng.random((n, 1)) < clean_frac
sigma = np.where(
clean,
rng.uniform(clean_lo, clean_hi, size=(n, 1)),
rng.uniform(0.1, 0.6, size=(n, 1)),
)
innov = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, L)) * sigma
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
log_vol = np.cumsum(_sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=2.0 / L, scale=0.35), axis=1)
vol = np.exp(np.clip(log_vol, -2.0, 2.0))
het = (rng.random(n) < het_frac)[:, None]
innov = innov * np.where(het, vol, 1.0)
return series + _ar1_batch(innov, phi)
def _regime_shift(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
level = np.cumsum(_sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=3.0 / L, scale=2.0), axis=1)
log_vol = np.cumsum(_sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=3.0 / L, scale=0.5), axis=1)
vol = np.exp(np.clip(log_vol, -3.0, 3.0)) * rng.uniform(0.1, 0.5, size=(n, 1))
noise = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, L)) * vol
seas = _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=2, period_p=period_p) * rng.uniform(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
slope = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0 / L, size=(n, 1)) + np.cumsum(
_sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=2.0 / L, scale=4.0 / L), axis=1
)
piecewise_trend = np.cumsum(slope, axis=1)
return level + piecewise_trend + seas + noise
def _multiplicative(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
hi_frac: float = 0.25,
exc_lo: float = 0.3,
exc_hi: float = 2.0,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
t = np.arange(L, dtype=np.float64)[None, :]
_hg = rng.random((n, 1)) < hi_frac
gexc = np.where(_hg, rng.normal(0.0, exc_hi, size=(n, 1)), rng.normal(0.0, exc_lo, size=(n, 1)))
tn = t / max(L - 1, 1)
base_level = np.exp(gexc * tn + rng.normal(0.0, 0.3, size=(n, 1)))
amp = rng.uniform(0.1, 0.6, size=(n, 1))
seasonal_shape = _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=1, period_p=period_p)
seasonal_sd = seasonal_shape.std(axis=1, keepdims=True)
seasonal_shape /= np.where(seasonal_sd < 1e-12, 1.0, seasonal_sd)
seas = 1.0 + amp * seasonal_shape
noise = 1.0 + rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, L)) * rng.uniform(0.02, 0.15, size=(n, 1))
scale = rng.uniform(1.0, 50.0, size=(n, 1))
return scale * base_level * np.clip(seas, 0.05, None) * np.clip(noise, 0.05, None)
def _ar2(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
seasonal_frac: float = 0.25,
) -> np.ndarray:
p1 = rng.uniform(0.3, 0.98, size=n)
p2 = rng.uniform(-0.6, 0.6, size=n)
a2 = p2
a1 = p1 * (1.0 - p2)
sigma = rng.uniform(0.2, 0.8, size=(n, 1))
innov = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, L)) * sigma
x = _ar2_batch(innov, a1, a2)
drift = rng.normal(0.0, 0.005, size=(n, 1)) * np.arange(L, dtype=np.float64)[None, :]
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
seas = _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=2, period_p=period_p)
amp = rng.uniform(0.05, 0.5, size=(n, 1))
mask = (rng.random(n) < seasonal_frac)[:, None]
return x + drift + np.where(mask, seas * amp, 0.0)
def _integrated(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
seasonal_frac: float = 0.30,
) -> np.ndarray:
order2 = rng.random(n) < 0.35
drift = rng.normal(0.0, 0.02, size=(n, 1))
sigma = rng.uniform(0.2, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
steps = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, L)) * sigma + drift
walk = np.cumsum(steps, axis=1)
walk2 = np.cumsum(walk, axis=1)
o2 = order2[:, None]
y = np.where(o2, walk2 / max(L, 1) ** 0.5, walk)
# goethe
seas = _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=2, period_p=period_p)
amp = rng.uniform(0.1, 0.7, size=(n, 1))
mask = (rng.random(n) < seasonal_frac)[:, None]
return y + np.where(mask, seas * amp, 0.0)
def _threshold_ar(rng: np.random.Generator, n: int, L: int) -> np.ndarray:
# goethe
phi_hi = rng.uniform(0.3, 0.9, size=n)
phi_lo = rng.uniform(-0.9, 0.3, size=n)
const_hi = rng.normal(0.0, 0.3, size=n)
const_lo = rng.normal(0.0, 0.3, size=n)
sigma = rng.uniform(0.2, 0.7, size=(n, 1))
innov = rng.normal(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, L)) * sigma
return _threshold_ar_jit(
np.ascontiguousarray(innov),
np.ascontiguousarray(phi_hi),
np.ascontiguousarray(phi_lo),
np.ascontiguousarray(const_hi),
np.ascontiguousarray(const_lo),
)
def _chaotic(rng: np.random.Generator, n: int, L: int) -> np.ndarray:
# goethe
map_id = rng.integers(0, 3, size=n)
r_log = rng.uniform(3.6, 4.0, size=n)
r_sin = rng.uniform(0.85, 1.0, size=n)
r_tent = rng.uniform(1.2, 1.99, size=n)
r_a = np.where(map_id == 0, r_log, np.where(map_id == 1, r_sin, r_tent))
x0 = rng.uniform(0.05, 0.95, size=n)
return _chaotic_jit(
np.ascontiguousarray(map_id),
np.ascontiguousarray(r_a),
np.ascontiguousarray(x0),
L,
)
def _spectral_gp(rng: np.random.Generator, n: int, L: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
f = _rfftfreq_cached(L)[None, :]
lengthscale = np.exp(rng.uniform(np.log(8.0), np.log(256.0), size=(n, 1)))
envelope = np.exp(-0.5 * (2.0 * np.pi * lengthscale * f) ** 2)
z = rng.standard_normal((n, f.shape[1])) + 1j * rng.standard_normal((n, f.shape[1]))
z[:, 0] = 0.0
x = np.fft.irfft(z * np.sqrt(envelope), n=L, axis=1)
sd = x.std(axis=1, keepdims=True)
return x / np.where(sd < 1e-12, 1.0, sd)
def _long_memory(rng: np.random.Generator, n: int, L: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
f = _rfftfreq_cached(L)
safe_f = np.maximum(f, 1.0 / L)[None, :]
beta = rng.uniform(-0.6, 2.4, size=(n, 1))
amp = safe_f ** (-0.5 * beta)
multiscale = rng.random((n, 1)) < 0.4
split_idx = rng.integers(8, max(9, f.size // 3), size=(n, 1))
split_f = np.maximum(split_idx / L, 1.0 / L)
beta_hi = rng.uniform(-0.6, 2.8, size=(n, 1))
above = np.arange(f.size)[None, :] > split_idx
amp_hi = split_f ** (-0.5 * beta) * (safe_f / split_f) ** (-0.5 * beta_hi)
amp = np.where(multiscale & above, amp_hi, amp)
amp[:, 0] = 0.0
z = rng.standard_normal((n, f.size)) + 1j * rng.standard_normal((n, f.size))
x = np.fft.irfft(z * amp, n=L, axis=1)
integrate = rng.random(n) < 0.25
if integrate.any():
x[integrate] = np.cumsum(x[integrate], axis=1)
x -= x.mean(axis=1, keepdims=True)
sd = x.std(axis=1, keepdims=True)
return x / np.where(sd < 1e-12, 1.0, sd)
def _ou_stochastic_vol(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Regime-switching mean reversion with bounded stochastic volatility.
The state recurrence now runs through the compiled ``_ar1_recur`` kernel
(same math as the previous per-row ``scipy.lfilter`` Python loop)."""
switch_rate = np.exp(rng.uniform(np.log(0.001), np.log(0.15), size=(n, 1)))
switches = rng.random((n, L)) < switch_rate
switches[:, 0] = rng.random(n) < 0.5
regime = np.bitwise_and(np.cumsum(switches, axis=1), 1).astype(np.int8)
slow = rng.random((n, 1)) < 0.5
phi = np.where(
slow,
rng.uniform(0.995, 0.9995, size=(n, 1)),
rng.uniform(0.90, 0.99, size=(n, 1)),
)
mu0 = rng.normal(-2.0, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
mu1 = rng.normal(2.0, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
mean = np.where(regime == 0, mu0, mu1)
seasonal_on = rng.random((n, 1)) < 0.6
mean += seasonal_on * _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=3, period_p=period_p) * rng.uniform(
0.5, 3.0, size=(n, 1)
)
sigma0 = rng.lognormal(np.log(0.3), 0.3, size=(n, 1))
sigma1 = rng.lognormal(np.log(1.5), 0.5, size=(n, 1))
base_sigma = np.where(regime == 0, sigma0, sigma1)
log_vol = np.cumsum(_sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=8.0 / L, scale=0.35), axis=1)
log_vol -= log_vol.mean(axis=1, keepdims=True)
vol = base_sigma * np.exp(np.clip(log_vol, -1.5, 1.5))
eps = rng.standard_normal((n, L))
heavy = np.nonzero(rng.random(n) < 0.35)[0]
if heavy.size:
eps[heavy] = rng.standard_t(4.0, size=(heavy.size, L)) / np.sqrt(2.0)
shocks = rng.random((n, L)) < (3.0 / L)
shock_rows, shock_cols = np.nonzero(shocks)
eps[shock_rows, shock_cols] += rng.normal(0.0, 5.0, size=shock_rows.size)
innovation_scale = np.sqrt(np.maximum(1.0 - phi * phi, 1e-6))
drive = (1.0 - phi) * mean + innovation_scale * vol * eps
x0 = mean[:, 0] + vol[:, 0] * eps[:, 0]
out = _ar1_recur(drive, phi.reshape(-1), x0)
scale = np.exp(rng.uniform(np.log(0.1), np.log(50.0), size=(n, 1)))
shift = rng.uniform(-100.0, 100.0, size=(n, 1))
return out * scale + shift
def _physical_sensors(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Generic physical measurements without matching one private dataset."""
seasonal = _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=2, period_p=period_p)
smooth = _spectral_gp(rng, n, L)
fronts = np.cumsum(_sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=5.0 / L, scale=1.0), axis=1)
base = (
seasonal * rng.uniform(0.3, 2.0, size=(n, 1))
+ smooth * rng.uniform(0.2, 1.2, size=(n, 1))
+ fronts * rng.uniform(0.2, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
)
kind = rng.integers(0, 4, size=n)
out = base.copy()
bounded = kind == 1
if bounded.any():
gain = rng.uniform(0.8, 3.5, size=(int(bounded.sum()), 1))
midpoint = rng.uniform(-0.8, 0.8, size=(int(bounded.sum()), 1))
out[bounded] = 100.0 / (1.0 + np.exp(-gain * (base[bounded] - midpoint)))
pressure = kind == 2
if pressure.any():
count = int(pressure.sum())
walk = np.cumsum(rng.standard_normal((count, L)), axis=1) / np.sqrt(L)
level = rng.uniform(900.0, 1100.0, size=(count, 1))
out[pressure] = (
level + rng.uniform(2.0, 15.0, size=(count, 1)) * walk
+ 2.0 * fronts[pressure] + 0.5 * seasonal[pressure]
)
magnitude = kind == 3
if magnitude.any():
count = int(magnitude.sum())
gusts = (rng.random((count, L)) < (8.0 / L)) * rng.lognormal(0.0, 0.8, size=(count, L))
power = rng.uniform(1.0, 1.6, size=(count, 1))
out[magnitude] = np.abs(base[magnitude]) ** power + gusts
return out
def _seasonal_counts(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Seasonal Poisson/negative-binomial counts with decaying bursts."""
t = np.arange(L, dtype=np.float64)[None, :]
p = _SEASONAL_PROBS if period_p is None else period_p
period = _SEASONAL_PERIODS[rng.choice(_SEASONAL_PERIODS.shape[0], size=(n, 1), p=p)]
phase = rng.uniform(0.0, 2.0 * np.pi, size=(n, 1))
amp = rng.uniform(0.15, 0.8, size=(n, 1))
log_rate = amp * np.sin(2.0 * np.pi * t / period + phase)
second = rng.random((n, 1)) < 0.55
log_rate += second * (0.5 * amp) * np.sin(
4.0 * np.pi * t / period + rng.uniform(0.0, 2.0 * np.pi, size=(n, 1))
)
calendar = rng.random((n, 1)) < 0.35
day_period = rng.choice(np.array([24, 48, 96, 144], dtype=np.int64), size=(n, 1))
day_idx = (np.floor_divide(np.arange(L, dtype=np.int64)[None, :], day_period) % 7)
day_factors = rng.normal(0.0, 0.12, size=(n, 7))
day_factors[:, 5:] += rng.uniform(-0.8, 0.3, size=(n, 1))
calendar_effect = np.take_along_axis(day_factors, day_idx, axis=1)
log_rate += calendar * calendar_effect
excursion = rng.uniform(-0.5, 0.5, size=(n, 1))
log_rate += excursion * t / max(L - 1, 1)
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
impulses = (rng.random((n, L)) < (2.0 / L)) * rng.uniform(1.0, 10.0, size=(n, L))
burst = _ar1_batch(impulses, rng.uniform(0.85, 0.995, size=(n, 1)))
base = np.exp(rng.uniform(np.log(3.0), np.log(3000.0), size=(n, 1)))
lam = base * np.exp(np.clip(log_rate, -5.0, 5.0)) * (1.0 + burst)
np.clip(lam, 0.0, 1.0e7, out=lam)
overdispersed = rng.random((n, 1)) < 0.5
shape = rng.uniform(0.5, 4.0, size=(n, 1))
# goethe
# goethe
# goethe
mixed = lam * rng.gamma(shape, 1.0 / shape, size=(n, L))
return rng.poisson(np.where(overdispersed, mixed, lam)).astype(np.float64)
def _intermittent(rng: np.random.Generator, n: int, L: int) -> np.ndarray:
# goethe
t = np.arange(L, dtype=np.float64)[None, :]
base_p = rng.uniform(0.03, 0.35, size=(n, 1))
period = rng.choice([7.0, 12.0, 24.0, 48.0, 168.0], size=(n, 1))
season = rng.uniform(0.2, 1.2, size=(n, 1)) * np.sin(
2.0 * np.pi * t / period + rng.uniform(0.0, 2.0 * np.pi, size=(n, 1))
)
logit = np.log(base_p / (1.0 - base_p)) + season
p = 1.0 / (1.0 + np.exp(-logit))
occur = (rng.random((n, L)) < p).astype(np.float64)
magnitude = (
rng.gamma(shape=2.0, scale=1.0, size=(n, L))
* rng.uniform(1.0, 10.0, size=(n, 1))
* np.exp(0.25 * season)
)
baseline = rng.uniform(0.0, 0.5, size=(n, 1))
return baseline + occur * magnitude
def _pulse_outlier(
rng: np.random.Generator,
n: int,
L: int,
*,
period_p: np.ndarray | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
# goethe
# goethe
base = _spectral_gp(rng, n, L) * rng.uniform(0.5, 2.0, size=(n, 1))
base += _seasonal(rng, n, L, k_max=1, period_p=period_p) * rng.uniform(0.0, 1.0, size=(n, 1))
sharp = _sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=3.0 / L, scale=rng.uniform(3.0, 8.0, size=n))
impulses = _sparse_jumps(rng, n, L, rate=2.0 / L, scale=rng.uniform(2.0, 7.0, size=n))
recovery = _ar1_batch(impulses, rng.uniform(0.75, 0.995, size=n))
series = base + sharp + recovery
_apply_hold_runs(rng, series, rate=2.0 / L)
return series
# goethe
def _sanitize(block: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
"""goethe"""
x = np.asarray(block, dtype=np.float64)
np.nan_to_num(x, copy=False, nan=0.0, posinf=1e6, neginf=-1e6)
np.clip(x, -1e6, 1e6, out=x)
return x