# SWE-bench Verified side-by-side rerun archive **Archival backup only. The benchmark environment integrity gate failed. These results are excluded from the main study tables and verdicts.** ## Publication decision On 2026-10-28 the user chose to retain the original published SWE-bench Verified results and exclude the entire new side-by-side rerun from the main comparison. FP8 KV and BLASST results in this archive are not added to the main comparison. The existing main results are not replaced by a reduced task subset. Confirmed matching-task solution propagation, combined with incomplete tool histories, prevents certifying an independent comparison or bounding total contamination. The entire rerun therefore stays outside the main comparison. Retaining the original results is the publication decision; it is not a new certification of the earlier environment. The user requested this separate backup, including all new SWE results, the incident, and the decision, and authorized its HF sync: > Let's do the second option, but have an SWE_rerun.md in doc and hf sync it, put all new swe results there, the incidence, and our decision just as a backup. ARCHIVE AUTHORIZATION 2026-10-28: new SWE scores may be read for this backup only; the integrity gate is NOT passed. This decision supersedes the earlier plan to promote the rerun into the main Table 1 and composed verdicts. It authorizes archive-only score access after the score-free integrity investigation. It does not declare `IMAGES OK`, create an `sxs COMPLETE` line, or turn the failed environment gate into a pass. The canonical registered reader's `--run` and its canonical START marker and outputs remain unused. Independent Terminal-Bench rule-P corrections are not revoked by this SWE publication decision. Recorded before first archive score access: **2026-10-28T15:42:37.649291-07:00**. ## Experiment and interpretation The rerun covers **Qwen3.8-27B**, SWE-bench Verified's **500 instances**, seeds **42, 43, 44**, and **13 methods**: dense bf16; Jet-QSparse dense NVFP4, rho 0.40, rho 0.60, N = 32, N = 64, N = 128; Quest; SparQ; Loki; TriAttention; TRT-LLM FP8 KV plus FP8 attention; and BLASST t50. There are 39 arm-seed runs and 336 shard units (Quest uses 16 shards; the other arms use eight). The registered order is a permuted-block order over seed and instance slices. Each arm retains its recorded engine snapshot, configuration fragment, sampling and per-episode budgets. Per-arm snapshots are recorded in `scripts/sparse/bl2/jqs_sxs_arms.py` and `log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/sxs/arm_table_v1.json`: the Jet-QSparse arms use `fsnap-10020414`, and the reference/comparison arms use `final1001`. The Jet-QSparse dense NVFP4 reference (`jqs_f_dense`) uses `decode: dense` and attends every block. The five sparse configurations use an NVFP4 cache, dense NVFP4 QK and decode-only sparse PV. Two-level arms are not included. No training, weights, architecture, kernels, or benchmark budgets were changed for this archive. Rates and statistical labels from the side-by-side rerun describe the **observed compromised-condition rerun**, not a validated fair comparison or a replacement for the main paper's results. A patch read followed by an identical edit establishes solution propagation, not the counterfactual change in task outcome or overall benchmark performance. No claim of a contamination-free or lossless experiment is supported by this archive. The statistical rule remains: detected loss requires paired p < 0.05 and BH q < 0.10; p < 0.05 alone is nominal; non-detection is accompanied by MDD80. RULER does not enter the lossless criterion or the non-RULER BH families. It is not remeasured here. ## Environment integrity incident The environment pin includes a CPython installation manifest over file paths and sizes, excluding `__pycache__` and `.pyc`. Recorded: 4,532 files, MD5 `b015c8a11ac14d630457b48421d9b6e4`. Measured: 4,535 files, MD5 `a8dbb2906eb02bcc19eac621a98660ac`. Excluding the three additions in memory reproduces the original manifest exactly. The CPython and uv executables match their separately recorded digests. A path-and-size manifest cannot exclude same-size or transient historical changes. | Added file | Bytes | Recorded mtime PDT | SHA256 | |---|---:|---|---| | FIX_NOTES.md | 1,892 | 2026-10-26 11:55:16.758237 | 78bdffc5a75c1ac901b9a7208ec79a45ed81e61181f6fe04d67ec1cfd45b4638 | | fix_wrap_in_tex.patch | 741 | 2026-10-26 11:55:16.750915 | 4c125b22d198de79f29e77b8543e2c3693ca7947515492c4af0a497b96a5d109 | | _q4 | 1 | 2026-10-27 03:29:23.707827 | 2d711642b726b04401627ca9fbac32f5c8530fb1903cc4db02258717921a4881 | The v1 launcher's hold-header check expects `# sxs hold v1`, whereas the registered v2 launcher and actual hold file use `# sxs hold v2`; v2's lockout check passes. This explains the benign v1 mismatch and does not resolve the image-manifest failure. Repeated manifest checks during the investigation were stable. The tree-root mtime 2026-10-27 11:16:29 PDT remains unexplained; stable later checks cannot exclude transient earlier writes. All 925 saved attempt environment files configure the same shared CPython tree at `/opt/py312` without a `:ro` qualifier. The files are readable across sandboxes. The registered home-isolation probes check home exposure and selected proc routes; they do not audit this shared Python path or per-file reads. The notes and patch match, byte for byte, files archived for Jet-QSparse dense NVFP4 seed42, task `matplotlib__matplotlib-21568` (problem index 259), associated with attempt `293539_0`, under `method_jqs_f_dense_sxs/swebench/seed42/shard4of8/rowfix_20261026_160824/xfer/nel_xfer_259_0/`. The archived mtimes precede the shared copies, but copied mtimes do not prove copy direction. Standard harness transfer uses separate task-specific `/output` and `/input` mounts and provides no automatic copy into `/opt/py312`. The relevant attempt has a timeout stub instead of its actual tool trajectory, despite 141 recorded model calls. **The exact writer of the shared copies remains unknown.** `_q4`'s writer is also unknown. A retained TRT-LLM FP8 KV episode on that same Matplotlib instance, seed42, shard4of8, attempt `293534_1`, read the entire shared patch at recorded trajectory time 2026-10-26 15:39:13 (step 48). At 15:43:22 (step 56) it edited `/testbed/lib/matplotlib/dates.py` with the identical added block. Its subsequent diff has the same five additions and two removals as the shared patch. There was no equivalent target-file edit before the read in its recorded history. It later read the complete shared notes. This demonstrates shared-solution propagation into a retained matching-task episode. Twenty confirmed artifact-reading episodes across ten arms remain selected by the final last-verified-row rule (task, repeat, exact latency and tokens were matched without inspecting outcomes during the audit). They span 19 distinct tasks. One episode received only a patch header; the others received substantial or complete solution text. Other explicit read attempts had missing observations. The following task-index union is the minimum observed-exposure set, **not an exclusion applied to the results below**: `39, 80, 106, 133, 144, 168, 259, 294, 378, 424, 435, 438, 443, 450, 455, 467, 484, 485, 499` The score-free audit covered 1,802 inference files, 21,395,654,141 bytes and 41,101 stored JSONL rows across all 19,500 arm-seed-task keys. After duplicate snapshot payloads were removed, 1,377 distinct saved episode-row payloads were single-system timeout stubs and three had empty trajectories. There were 136 episode keys across 71 tasks with no substantive tool trace anywhere; 779 keys had both a timeout stub and another substantive trace. Consequently, observed reader counts are lower bounds, and a performance bound restricted to those readers would be conditional rather than a bound on total contamination. A later candidate-screening calculation found 295 tasks with at least one missing-action-history row and 128 with an artifact filename mention. Removing known exposures plus any history gap leaves 199 tasks; additionally excluding all mentions leaves 162. These were outcome-blind proposals, not approved or applied analyses. The user chose to retain the original main SWE results and archive the entire new rerun instead. ### Retained episodes with confirmed artifact reads This table preserves the outcome-blind exposure finding. A foreign-task read does not by itself prove an outcome change. The Matplotlib FP8 KV episode is the confirmed matching-task propagation case. Attempt IDs identify saved evidence; no row below is excluded from the archived score calculations. Arm keys follow the registered arm table. | Arm | Seed | Instance | Problem index | Attempt | Observed artifact read | |---|---:|---|---:|---|---| | dense_sxs | 42 | django__django-13315 | 106 | 293554_0 | notes | | dense_sxs | 43 | sympy__sympy-18763 | 467 | 293769_0 | patch | | jqs_f_dense_sxs | 42 | sympy__sympy-14248 | 443 | 293602_0 | patch | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | 42 | sympy__sympy-15599 | 450 | 293610_0 | patch | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | 42 | sympy__sympy-22080 | 485 | 293610_1 | notes; also attempted _q4 | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | 43 | sympy__sympy-21930 | 484 | 293768_0 | notes and patch | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | 42 | sympy__sympy-24661 | 499 | 293611_1 | patch | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | 42 | django__django-14140 | 144 | 293711_0 | patch | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | 44 | sphinx-doc__sphinx-9711 | 424 | 293730_0 | patch | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | 42 | sympy__sympy-13798 | 438 | 293605_0 | patch | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | 44 | django__django-14771 | 168 | 304328_0 | patch | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | 44 | django__django-13837 | 133 | 293696_0 | patch | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | 42 | scikit-learn__scikit-learn-26194 | 378 | 293684_0 | patch | | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | 42 | sympy__sympy-13615 | 435 | 293677_1 | partial notes | | fp8kv_s1_sxs | 42 | matplotlib__matplotlib-21568 | 259 | 293534_1 | full patch, later full notes; matching-task edit | | fp8kv_s1_sxs | 43 | sympy__sympy-16597 | 455 | 293770_0 | patch | | fp8kv_s1_sxs | 44 | sympy__sympy-13798 | 438 | 293718_0 | patch | | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | 42 | django__django-12308 | 80 | 293552_0 | notes | | tri_b4096_s1_sxs | 43 | psf__requests-2317 | 294 | 293578_0 | patch header only | | tri_b4096_s1_sxs | 44 | django__django-11206 | 39 | 293669_0 | patch | Evidence is in the corresponding `method_/swebench/seed/shard*/` inference JSONL files, including `rowfix_*` snapshots where applicable. The shared-file evidence is preserved in place; it was not removed or changed. The exact matching-task trace is attempt `293534_1`, `inference_log.jsonl` row 6 (steps 48, 56, 60 and 78), with the duplicate rowfix snapshot `rowfix_20261026_174012`. ### Integrity recommendation and dependencies Keep all rerun rates and calculated labels as compromised-condition archival observations. Do not promote a retrospectively screened task subset as contamination-free: missing histories and the shared writable path prevent that certification. The source-copy direction and exact writer remain unresolved. A future accepted rerun would require a separate user decision authorizing benchmark work. Before such work, the proposed controls are read-only shared interpreter/tool mounts, private per-episode writable and JIT temporary directories, cross-sandbox write/read probes, and immutable before/after manifests with retained tool histories. No such code changes, remediation or new runs were performed here. ## Other recorded campaign incidents and signals The registered set-asides preserve two void failed-test allocations, five replica-OOM windows and two executor-death windows. The campaign also experienced job-cgroup OOMs, ordinary harness exits, a no-progress attempt and an inode outage; the registered resume/set-aside procedures were used, with per-episode budgets unchanged. Three executor deaths shared the stale `/tmp/tmp*.ptx` handle signature on different nodes in Jet-QSparse arms. This supports a systemic runtime-JIT temporary-file problem rather than a single-node fault; no mid-campaign fix was applied. Score-free monitoring recorded Quest first-episode timeout excess, per-arm verbosity differences, pooled verbosity steps, and handled executor deaths. The last saved monitor (2026-10-28 03:04 PDT; not a final monitor) reported Quest 186/1,500 first-episode timeouts versus dense 58/1,500, a verbosity spread of approximately 1.11x–1.41x, and a late pooled step over the long-running tail. The tail-composition explanation is an inference. None of these signals licensed a budget change or automatic arm-specific intervention. The full final stack record, route-(i) scan, final monitor and canonical completion record were not completed after the environment gate failed. A fresh scheduler-backed audit and final cost reconciliation also cannot be certified in the current session because Slurm controller/accounting access is unavailable. These are incomplete checks, not lost pass records or successful checks. ## New rerun results on all 500 tasks **Archive only; compromised-condition observations. These cells do not replace main Table 1.** Each seed cell is resolved / 500, followed by the percentage. Mean ± sample SD is across seeds 42–44. A missing row is counted as failure, matching the original reporting rule. The primary archival paired analysis drops pairs with a zero-token row; the registered zero-as-failure sensitivity is reported separately. | Method | Seed 42 | Seed 43 | Seed 44 | Mean ± SD | |---|---:|---:|---:|---:| | Dense bf16 (reference) | 423/500 (84.60%) | 446/500 (89.20%) | 431/500 (86.20%) | 86.7 ± 2.3 | | Jet-QSparse, dense NVFP4 decode | 419/500 (83.80%) | 450/500 (90.00%) | 436/500 (87.20%) | 87.0 ± 3.1 | | Jet-QSparse, rho = 0.40 | 426/500 (85.20%) | 436/500 (87.20%) | 420/500 (84.00%) | 85.5 ± 1.6 | | Jet-QSparse, rho = 0.60 | 432/500 (86.40%) | 454/500 (90.80%) | 429/500 (85.80%) | 87.7 ± 2.7 | | Jet-QSparse, N = 32 | 429/500 (85.80%) | 447/500 (89.40%) | 434/500 (86.80%) | 87.3 ± 1.9 | | Jet-QSparse, N = 64 | 437/500 (87.40%) | 447/500 (89.40%) | 438/500 (87.60%) | 88.1 ± 1.1 | | Jet-QSparse, N = 128 | 435/500 (87.00%) | 458/500 (91.60%) | 436/500 (87.20%) | 88.6 ± 2.6 | | Quest (2048-token budget) | 13/500 (2.60%) | 11/500 (2.20%) | 8/500 (1.60%) | 2.1 ± 0.5 | | SparQ (r = d/8, k = S/16) | 439/500 (87.80%) | 455/500 (91.00%) | 436/500 (87.20%) | 88.7 ± 2.0 | | Loki (k_f = d_f = 0.25) | 430/500 (86.00%) | 450/500 (90.00%) | 439/500 (87.80%) | 87.9 ± 2.0 | | TriAttention (4096 decode tokens) | 420/500 (84.00%) | 445/500 (89.00%) | 441/500 (88.20%) | 87.1 ± 2.7 | | TRT-LLM FP8 KV (FP8 attention, unit scale) | 431/500 (86.20%) | 455/500 (91.00%) | 430/500 (86.00%) | 87.7 ± 2.8 | | BLASST (TRT-LLM skip-softmax, Qwen3-30B t50 factors) | 435/500 (87.00%) | 458/500 (91.60%) | 426/500 (85.20%) | 87.9 ± 3.3 | ## Earlier two-baseline SWE sweep This section backs up the earlier FP8 KV and BLASST sweep for all four models, plus the new Qwen3.8 dense control: **27 additional seed runs**, separate from the 39 rerun seed runs above. Each seed covers the original 500-instance SWE-bench Verified set. These historical windows are not pooled with the side-by-side rerun. Their inclusion here does not publish either baseline in the main comparison or certify an environment audit. Both baseline arms used `tensorrt-jqsparse-final1001`, pinned `jet-agentic-eval-s1pin`, seeds 42–44 and eight shards per seed. The runs preceded ctl2's home-mount change. FP8 KV uses FP8 attention in prefill and decode with static unit scales. SWE BLASST uses both prefill and decode, factors 587.18 / 16.52: the untuned transferred NVIDIA t50 point. Its implementation choice is not decode-only Jet-QSparse. | Model | Method | Seed 42 | Seed 43 | Seed 44 | Mean ± SD (%) | |---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:| | Qwen3.8-27B | TRT-LLM FP8 KV + FP8 attention | 427/500 (85.40%) | 450/500 (90.00%) | 430/500 (86.00%) | 87.1 ± 2.5 | | Qwen3.8-27B | BLASST t50 | 428/500 (85.60%) | 447/500 (89.40%) | 429/500 (85.80%) | 86.9 ± 2.1 | | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | TRT-LLM FP8 KV + FP8 attention | 345/500 (69.00%) | 340/500 (68.00%) | 347/500 (69.40%) | 68.8 ± 0.7 | | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | BLASST t50 | 349/500 (69.80%) | 345/500 (69.00%) | 356/500 (71.20%) | 70.0 ± 1.1 | | Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B | TRT-LLM FP8 KV + FP8 attention | 113/500 (22.60%) | 119/500 (23.80%) | 113/500 (22.60%) | 23.0 ± 0.7 | | Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B | BLASST t50 | 121/500 (24.20%) | 115/500 (23.00%) | 103/500 (20.60%) | 22.6 ± 1.8 | | Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B | TRT-LLM FP8 KV + FP8 attention | 259/500 (51.80%) | 251/500 (50.20%) | 243/500 (48.60%) | 50.2 ± 1.6 | | Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B | BLASST t50 | 258/500 (51.60%) | 255/500 (51.00%) | 246/500 (49.20%) | 50.6 ± 1.2 | | Qwen3.8-27B | bf16 dense_s1d control | 425/500 (85.00%) | 457/500 (91.40%) | 431/500 (86.20%) | 87.5 ± 3.4 | The later Qwen3.8 `dense_s1d` control is 87.5 ± 3.4%, versus the original `dense_s1` 82.7 ± 3.7%. The saved control gate fired a window effect. Apparent gains by the two earlier Qwen3.8 baseline arms against the historical reference are therefore window-confounded. The registered descriptive comparisons against `dense_s1d` report no detected loss with MDD80 2.54 pp (FP8 KV) and 2.38 pp (BLASST); these are not claims of improvement. The recheck confirms 500 distinct final instances in all 27 seed runs. Qwen3.8 FP8 KV has zero-token final-row counts [2, 0, 1], BLASST [2, 0, 2], and dense_s1d [4, 0, 2]; they remain failures in the descriptive denominator. The other six model-arm cells have none. The full-sweep provenance audit records 709 attempts, 487 served, all served engine/config checks matching, with zero recorded problems; that historical check does not pass the later rerun's environment gate. ### Earlier sweep paired contrasts These are the eight saved SWE members of the original 40-contrast non-RULER B12 family. BH q values are copied from that whole family; they are not recomputed over the eight rows. The Qwen3.8 reference is the saved registered reading, with its window caveat. Paired zero-token exclusions can make these rates differ from the full-denominator table. All labels remain archival in this file. | Model | Arm | Reference | Paired delta (pp) | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 (pp) | Saved label | |---|---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | Qwen3.8-27B | fp8kv_s1 | dense_s1 | 4.54849 | [2.61097, 6.49547] | 9.999e-05 | 0.0019998 | 2.77627 | above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00200) | | Qwen3.8-27B | blasst_t50_s1 | dense_s1 | 4.28094 | [2.4, 6.14379] | 9.999e-05 | 0.0019998 | 2.6757 | above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00200) | | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | fp8kv_s1 | dense_s1 | 0.333333 | [-1.28205, 1.95313] | 0.746825 | 0.952155 | 2.31219 | no detected loss (MDD80 2.31) | | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | blasst_t50_s1 | dense_s1 | 1.53333 | [-1.73019e-09, 3.14208] | 0.0713929 | 0.475952 | 2.24565 | no detected loss (MDD80 2.25) | | Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B | fp8kv_s1 | dense_s1 | 1.06667 | [-1.06667, 3.2] | 0.364464 | 0.850674 | 3.0494 | no detected loss (MDD80 3.05) | | Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B | blasst_t50_s1 | dense_s1 | 0.666667 | [-1.40485, 2.75591] | 0.566143 | 0.850674 | 2.97371 | no detected loss (MDD80 2.97) | | Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B | fp8kv_s1 | dense_s1 | 1.8 | [-0.258398, 3.80952] | 0.0941906 | 0.538232 | 2.90736 | no detected loss (MDD80 2.91) | | Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B | blasst_t50_s1 | dense_s1 | 2.2 | [0.272109, 4.10448] | 0.030397 | 0.390961 | 2.73901 | above, nominal (p 0.0304, q 0.39) | Source output hashes and seed/shard consistency records are included in the machine-readable backup. The full saved SWE report, including its historical dense references and descriptive failure counts, follows. Its conditional infrastructure-excluded rates are diagnostics and do not replace the 500-task rates.
Original two-baseline SWE report, preserved verbatim | model | arm | pass@1 per seed, % (passed/rows; * = still running, rate over rows so far) | mean +/- std (finished seeds once any has finished) | vs dense | paired vs dense (both completed, same seed) | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | qwen3.8-27b | dense_s1 | 80.8 (404/500) / 87.0 (435/500) / 80.4 (402/500) | 82.7 +/- 3.7 | -- | -- | | qwen3.8-27b | fp8kv_s1 | 85.4 (427/500) / 90.0 (450/500) / 86.0 (430/500) | 87.1 +/- 2.5 | -- | -- | | qwen3.8-27b | blasst_t50_s1 | 85.6 (428/500) / 89.4 (447/500) / 85.8 (429/500) | 86.9 +/- 2.1 | -- | -- | | qwen3.8-27b | dense_s1d | 85.0 (425/500) / 91.4 (457/500) / 86.2 (431/500) | 87.5 +/- 3.4 | -- | -- | | qwen3.6-35b-a3b | dense_s1 | 68.2 (341/500) / 70.0 (350/500) / 67.2 (336/500) | 68.5 +/- 1.4 | -- | -- | | qwen3.6-35b-a3b | fp8kv_s1 | 69.0 (345/500) / 68.0 (340/500) / 69.4 (347/500) | 68.8 +/- 0.7 | -- | -- | | qwen3.6-35b-a3b | blasst_t50_s1 | 69.8 (349/500) / 69.0 (345/500) / 71.2 (356/500) | 70.0 +/- 1.1 | -- | -- | | nemotron3-nano | dense_s1 | 21.8 (109/500) / 23.8 (119/500) / 20.2 (101/500) | 21.9 +/- 1.8 | -- | -- | | nemotron3-nano | fp8kv_s1 | 22.6 (113/500) / 23.8 (119/500) / 22.6 (113/500) | 23.0 +/- 0.7 | -- | -- | | nemotron3-nano | blasst_t50_s1 | 24.2 (121/500) / 23.0 (115/500) / 20.6 (103/500) | 22.6 +/- 1.8 | -- | -- | | nemotron3.5-lightning | dense_s1 | 48.2 (241/500) / 48.6 (243/500) / 48.4 (242/500) | 48.4 +/- 0.2 | -- | -- | | nemotron3.5-lightning | fp8kv_s1 | 51.8 (259/500) / 50.2 (251/500) / 48.6 (243/500) | 50.2 +/- 1.6 | -- | -- | | nemotron3.5-lightning | blasst_t50_s1 | 51.6 (258/500) / 51.0 (255/500) / 49.2 (246/500) | 50.6 +/- 1.2 | -- | -- | Failure modes (summed over seeds; timeouts from the instance latency vs run_timeout 5400 s; HTTP codes from model_traffic.jsonl): | model | arm | seeds (rows) | pass@1 over rows | no_report (0 tok) | agent timeouts (>= 90 min) | infra_error rows | system_error rows | solver-failed (graceful) | agent crashed | never called a tool (>= 5 calls, 0 tool_calls) | responses without a tool call (tool errors) | reward MISSING | HTTP 400 calls (instances) | other >= 400 | calls | truncated @16K | median instance min | pass@1 excl. infra + system + timeouts | harbor-log: timeouts / one-shot fallbacks / re-clones | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | qwen3.8-27b | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 82.7 (1241/1500) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 113004 | 0.5% | 15.6 | 82.8 (1239/1496) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | qwen3.8-27b | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 87.1 (1307/1500) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 110428 | 0.7% | 19.5 | 87.3 (1306/1496) | 39 / 0 / 0 | | qwen3.8-27b | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 86.9 (1304/1500) | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 113660 | 0.8% | 20.6 | 87.1 (1300/1492) | 62 / 0 / 0 | | qwen3.8-27b | dense_s1d | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 87.5 (1313/1500) | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 112111 | 0.9% | 20.6 | 87.9 (1311/1492) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | qwen3.6-35b-a3b | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 68.5 (1027/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.3% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 121201 | 0.0% | 4.6 | 68.5 (1027/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | qwen3.6-35b-a3b | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 68.8 (1032/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.4% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 119914 | 0.0% | 4.5 | 68.8 (1032/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | qwen3.6-35b-a3b | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 70.0 (1050/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.3% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 118936 | 0.0% | 4.7 | 70.0 (1050/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | nemotron3-nano | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 21.9 (329/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.4% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 141245 | 2.0% | 5.3 | 21.9 (329/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | nemotron3-nano | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 23.0 (345/1500) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.8% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 139850 | 1.9% | 5.4 | 23.0 (345/1499) | 1 / 0 / 0 | | nemotron3-nano | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 22.6 (339/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.5% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 137541 | 2.2% | 5.4 | 22.6 (339/1500) | 3 / 0 / 0 | | nemotron3.5-lightning | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 48.4 (726/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6% | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 115855 | 0.0% | 5.2 | 48.4 (726/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | nemotron3.5-lightning | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 50.2 (753/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4% | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 123152 | 0.0% | 5.6 | 50.2 (753/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 | | nemotron3.5-lightning | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 50.6 (759/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4% | 0 | 3 (3) | 0 | 114330 | 0.0% | 5.4 | 50.6 (759/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |
## Ctl2 environment controls The later home-isolation check adds **nine SWE seed runs**, tagged `dense_s1e`: Qwen3.6-35B-A3B, Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B and Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B, each with seeds 42–44. Together, this backup covers **75 new seed results**: 39 side-by-side rerun + 24 earlier FP8/BLASST + 3 dense_s1d + 9 dense_s1e. Ctl2 used final1001, pinned `jet-agentic-eval-s1pin`, eight shards per seed, `ENROOT_MOUNT_HOME=n` with registered probes, and unchanged SWE budgets (5,400 seconds and 200 iterations). Qwen3.8 dense_s1e SWE was deliberately not a cell; ctl2 used the already-run dense_s1d control, whose home was visible. These historical environment controls do not clear the subsequent shared-CPython failure. | Model | Control | Seed 42 | Seed 43 | Seed 44 | Mean ± SD (%) | |---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:| | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | dense_s1e | 341/500 (68.20%) | 350/500 (70.00%) | 349/500 (69.80%) | 69.3 ± 1.0 | | Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B | dense_s1e | 98/500 (19.60%) | 109/500 (21.80%) | 101/500 (20.20%) | 20.5 ± 1.1 | | Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B | dense_s1e | 253/500 (50.60%) | 249/500 (49.80%) | 256/500 (51.20%) | 50.5 ± 0.7 | Seed counts above are reconstructed algebraically from the saved historical dense_s1 seed rates and ctl2 per-seed deltas; each saved SWE contrast has all 1,500 pairs. No additional evaluation was run. The resulting means equal the saved control rates. The ctl2 environment-effect gate used its registered **per-cell p < 0.05** rule; BH q across seven control cells was descriptive. This gate is separate from the main study's method-loss verdict rule requiring both p and q thresholds. | Model | Paired control delta (pp) | 95% CI | p | Descriptive BH q | MDD80 (pp) | Saved control reading | |---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B | 0.866667 | [-0.887199, 2.62794] | 0.373163 | 0.489134 | 2.51228 | dense_s1e - dense_s1 +0.87 [-0.89, +2.63] p 0.3732: no detected effect (MDD80 2.51 points): the published dense bf16 is reproduced at that resolution; bl2's rows of this cell are comparable with the published arms (disclosures) | | Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B | -1.4 | [-3.45781, 0.666667] | 0.20158 | 0.489134 | 2.94778 | dense_s1e - dense_s1 -1.40 [-3.46, +0.67] p 0.2016: no detected effect (MDD80 2.95 points): the published dense bf16 is reproduced at that resolution; bl2's rows of this cell are comparable with the published arms (disclosures) | | Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B | 2.13333 | [-2.05196e-09, 4.2328] | 0.0514949 | 0.360464 | 3.0252 | dense_s1e - dense_s1 +2.13 [-0.00, +4.23] p 0.0515: no detected effect (MDD80 3.03 points): the published dense bf16 is reproduced at that resolution; bl2's rows of this cell are comparable with the published arms (disclosures) | Saved `drop_u36`, `reads_failed` and `drop_linkcheck` sensitivities also report no detected effect for these three control cells. The saved SWE completion covers 72 shards. Initial test allocation `282720_0` was voided under `ctl2/void_ctl2_test_1023.json`; it is an incident artifact, not another accepted seed run. Saved home-probe completion disclosed six killed attempts with partial probe coverage. No new control, budget change or sandbox remediation was performed for this archive. ## Archived paired contrasts and family correction The six family calculations below reuse the pre-registered numerical method, ordered contrasts, 10,000 sign flips and seed tuples. Their BH q values come from hypothetical replacement of the relevant Qwen3.8 SWE members in each full family, including the registered Terminal-Bench rule-P reading. **These calculations are backup diagnostics only: they do not replace any main family, q value, status or verdict.** MDD80 is the registered CI-based minimum detectable difference. The existing route/probe sensitivities address their earlier registered questions; they do not repair or certify away the CPython incident. Deltas, CI and MDD are in the units stored by the original family calculation (percentage points for rate contrasts). ### F1 (1) Final Jet-QSparse arm vs bf16 -- the lossless question BH family membership: 120 contrasts; registered seed tuple `[20261024, 21, 0, 1]`. Only newly recomputed SWE members are tabulated here; full computed family membership, sensitivities and provenance are embedded below. | Arm A | Arm B | Paired delta | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 | Statistical label under observed conditions | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | jqs_f_dense_sxs | dense_sxs | 0.335121 | [-1.4667, 2.1333] | 0.772223 | 0.975439 | 2.57293 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_r40_sxs | dense_sxs | -0.939597 | [-2.381, 0.52425] | 0.237776 | 0.679361 | 2.07635 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | dense_sxs | 1.00469 | [-0.53691, 2.5469] | 0.234677 | 0.679361 | 2.20402 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | dense_sxs | 0.468227 | [-1.2517, 2.1802] | 0.641436 | 0.966031 | 2.45284 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | dense_sxs | 1.40468 | [-0.13624, 2.9248] | 0.0857914 | 0.416118 | 2.18773 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | dense_sxs | 1.87291 | [0.27285, 3.4578] | 0.0258974 | 0.23312 | 2.2763 | above, nominal | Sensitivity availability: drop_u36: complete, drop_linkcheck: complete, reads_failed: unavailable, drop_probed: complete, by_period_stack: unavailable, zero_as_failure: complete. ### B10 (10) Baselines vs bf16 -- single reference BH family membership: 80 contrasts; registered seed tuple `[20261024, 22, 0, 1]`. Only newly recomputed SWE members are tabulated here; full computed family membership, sensitivities and provenance are embedded below. | Arm A | Arm B | Paired delta | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 | Statistical label under observed conditions | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | quest_b2048_s1_sxs | dense_sxs | -84.5718 | [-87.295, -81.845] | 9.999e-05 | 0.000571371 | 3.89502 | loss detected | | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | dense_sxs | 2.07775 | [0.57554, 3.5613] | 0.00749925 | 0.029997 | 2.1339 | above, detected | | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | dense_sxs | 1.27175 | [-0.28736, 2.8689] | 0.139286 | 0.331026 | 2.25575 | no detected loss | | tri_b4096_s1_sxs | dense_sxs | 0.80591 | [-0.75643, 2.3644] | 0.349065 | 0.518545 | 2.23046 | no detected loss | Sensitivity availability: drop_u36: complete, drop_linkcheck: complete, reads_failed: unavailable, drop_probed: complete, by_period_stack: unavailable, zero_as_failure: complete. ### B12 (12) TRT-LLM-native baselines vs bf16 (FP8 KV, BLASST t50) BH family membership: 40 contrasts; registered seed tuple `[20261024, 23, 0, 1]`. Only newly recomputed SWE members are tabulated here; full computed family membership, sensitivities and provenance are embedded below. | Arm A | Arm B | Paired delta | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 | Statistical label under observed conditions | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | fp8kv_s1_sxs | dense_sxs | 1.34318 | [-0.13624, 2.8169] | 0.0886911 | 0.538232 | 2.11062 | no detected loss | | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | dense_sxs | 1.40751 | [-0.12626, 2.8788] | 0.0792921 | 0.538232 | 2.14772 | no detected loss | Sensitivity availability: drop_u36: complete, drop_linkcheck: complete, reads_failed: unavailable, drop_probed: complete, by_period_stack: unavailable, zero_as_failure: complete. ### F6 (6) Sparse vs dense within the final method BH family membership: 100 contrasts; registered seed tuple `[20261024, 26, 0, 1]`. Only newly recomputed SWE members are tabulated here; full computed family membership, sensitivities and provenance are embedded below. | Arm A | Arm B | Paired delta | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 | Statistical label under observed conditions | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | jqs_f_r40_sxs | jqs_f_dense_sxs | -1.60966 | [-3.3333, 0.13423] | 0.0841916 | 0.472731 | 2.47828 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | jqs_f_dense_sxs | 0.669344 | [-1.0363, 2.3684] | 0.490451 | 0.915649 | 2.43334 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | jqs_f_dense_sxs | 0.13369 | [-1.7173, 1.9815] | 0.942506 | 1 | 2.64355 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | jqs_f_dense_sxs | 1.00334 | [-0.80645, 2.8205] | 0.315068 | 0.87519 | 2.5922 | no detected loss | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | jqs_f_dense_sxs | 1.40374 | [-0.25221, 3.0261] | 0.108389 | 0.516139 | 2.34304 | no detected loss | Sensitivity availability: drop_u36: complete, drop_linkcheck: complete, reads_failed: unavailable, drop_probed: complete, by_period_stack: unavailable, zero_as_failure: complete. ### H10 H10 head to head: Jet-QSparse final arm minus Loki / SparQ BH family membership: 240 contrasts; registered seed tuple `[20261024, 27, 0, 1]`. Only newly recomputed SWE members are tabulated here; full computed family membership, sensitivities and provenance are embedded below. | Arm A | Arm B | Paired delta | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 | Statistical label under observed conditions | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | jqs_f_dense_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | -0.937082 | [-2.7778, 0.91503] | 0.360864 | 0.839916 | 2.63926 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_r40_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | -2.2118 | [-3.7921, -0.65104] | 0.00619938 | 0.11445 | 2.24495 | below, nominal | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | -0.200669 | [-1.8617, 1.4474] | 0.871713 | 1 | 2.365 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | -0.734803 | [-2.4045, 0.9498] | 0.442056 | 0.900011 | 2.39735 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | 0.200535 | [-1.3836, 1.7833] | 0.869513 | 1 | 2.2634 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | 0.601202 | [-0.9434, 2.1477] | 0.49545 | 0.927535 | 2.20918 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_dense_sxs | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | -1.7438 | [-3.4819, 1.7567e-09] | 0.060094 | 0.473953 | 2.48852 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_r40_sxs | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | -3.08725 | [-4.9034, -1.2788] | 0.0009999 | 0.029997 | 2.59055 | below, detected | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | -1.13865 | [-2.8278, 0.54496] | 0.211179 | 0.696234 | 2.4105 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | -1.60643 | [-3.2172, 1.6202e-09] | 0.0608939 | 0.473953 | 2.29931 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | -0.669344 | [-2.3515, 1.0204] | 0.476252 | 0.921779 | 2.4099 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | -0.267738 | [-1.9178, 1.3812] | 0.812419 | 1 | 2.35782 | no detected difference | Sensitivity availability: drop_u36: complete, drop_linkcheck: complete, reads_failed: unavailable, drop_probed: complete, by_period_stack: unavailable, zero_as_failure: complete. ### H12 H12 head to head: Jet-QSparse final arm minus FP8 KV / BLASST t50 (descriptive) BH family membership: 240 contrasts; registered seed tuple `[20261024, 28, 0, 1]`. Only newly recomputed SWE members are tabulated here; full computed family membership, sensitivities and provenance are embedded below. | Arm A | Arm B | Paired delta | 95% CI | p | BH q | MDD80 | Statistical label under observed conditions | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---| | jqs_f_dense_sxs | fp8kv_s1_sxs | -0.940228 | [-2.6281, 0.76433] | 0.317468 | 0.680289 | 2.4246 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_r40_sxs | fp8kv_s1_sxs | -2.28648 | [-3.9012, -0.67024] | 0.00619938 | 0.123988 | 2.30916 | below, nominal | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | fp8kv_s1_sxs | -0.134228 | [-1.7972, 1.5299] | 0.939906 | 1 | 2.37787 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | fp8kv_s1_sxs | -0.737265 | [-2.4828, 1.0013] | 0.459154 | 0.787121 | 2.49003 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | fp8kv_s1_sxs | 0.134138 | [-1.4531, 1.7128] | 0.938806 | 1 | 2.26267 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | fp8kv_s1_sxs | 0.603217 | [-0.93583, 2.1534] | 0.49935 | 0.820849 | 2.2079 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_dense_sxs | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | -1.00671 | [-2.6774, 0.66578] | 0.276672 | 0.670562 | 2.38936 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_r40_sxs | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | -2.28341 | [-3.8798, -0.68213] | 0.00549945 | 0.119988 | 2.28542 | below, nominal | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | -0.402414 | [-1.9737, 1.1734] | 0.682632 | 0.916601 | 2.24923 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | -1.00469 | [-2.726, 0.71327] | 0.289671 | 0.670562 | 2.45803 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | 0 | [-1.7333, 1.7356] | 1 | 1 | 2.47929 | no detected difference | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | 0.468855 | [-1.2113, 2.1448] | 0.633537 | 0.901685 | 2.3986 | no detected difference | Sensitivity availability: drop_u36: complete, drop_linkcheck: complete, reads_failed: unavailable, drop_probed: complete, by_period_stack: unavailable, zero_as_failure: complete. ## Cross window diagnostics These compare observed rerun rates with earlier published/control windows. They are descriptive paired diagnostics: no BH correction or method verdict. A difference is associated with the complete window conditions, including the integrity incident. | Rerun arm | Earlier reference | Paired delta (pp) | 95% CI | p | MDD80 (pp) | |---|---|---:|---|---:|---:| | dense_sxs | dense_s1 | 3.94649 | [2.11864, 5.76923] | 9.999e-05 | 2.60909 | | jqs_f_dense_sxs | jqs_f_dense | 4.15828 | [2.13068, 6.18421] | 0.00029997 | 2.89707 | | jqs_f_r40_sxs | jqs_f_r40 | 4.15271 | [2.27596, 6.03086] | 9.999e-05 | 2.68364 | | jqs_f_r60_sxs | jqs_f_r60 | 4.14439 | [2.21643, 6.07595] | 9.999e-05 | 2.75841 | | jqs_f_u32_sxs | jqs_f_u32 | 4.66978 | [2.69504, 6.64011] | 9.999e-05 | 2.81955 | | jqs_f_u64_sxs | jqs_f_u64 | 4.73649 | [2.87958, 6.58915] | 0.00019998 | 2.65124 | | jqs_f_u128_sxs | jqs_f_u128 | 5.60748 | [3.51617, 7.69231] | 9.999e-05 | 2.9847 | | quest_b2048_s1_sxs | quest_b2048_s1 | -2.33546 | [-3.30579, -1.36571] | 9.999e-05 | 1.38658 | | sparq_c8_s1_sxs | sparq_c8_s1 | 4.7043 | [2.88462, 6.52174] | 9.999e-05 | 2.59946 | | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs | loki_k25_d25_s1 | 5.02681 | [3.29949, 6.74931] | 9.999e-05 | 2.4656 | | tri_b4096_s1_sxs | tri_b4096_s1 | 4.56989 | [2.76316, 6.35995] | 9.999e-05 | 2.57064 | | fp8kv_s1_sxs | fp8kv_s1 | 0.805369 | [-0.801068, 2.40113] | 0.370363 | 2.28862 | | blasst_t50_s1_sxs | blasst_t50_s1 | 1.14017 | [-0.408163, 2.69504] | 0.179582 | 2.21787 | | dense_sxs | dense_s1 | 3.94649 | [2.11864, 5.76923] | 9.999e-05 | 2.60909 | | dense_sxs | dense_s1d | -0.938967 | [-2.4531, 0.550964] | 0.253875 | 2.14702 | The repeated dense_sxs/dense_s1 row is the saved equality check between the general pair list and the dedicated window diagnostic. The additional dense_s1d comparison uses the later baseline-window control. No older and newer windows are pooled. ## Descriptive, score-free: timeouts and verbosity per arm, rerun vs published (sxs addendum v2; no test, no verdict) Each cell: the rerun arm / its reference (the published run of the same arm; for bf16 also dense_s1d, the bl2 window control). Computed from keys, counts, times and token counts only (the attempt snapshots; 5474 files, digest 6d8ed57dbc54afafb027689d6c01c3fb); the set-asides dropped (['286984_0', '286984_1', '293540_1', '293545_0', '293577_1', '293623_0', '293641_0', '293716_0', '310103_0']). Definitions in the JSON (`score_free.definitions`). | arm (rerun / reference) | episodes | timeouts per 100 episodes | first-attempt timeouts per 100 instances | counted zero-token rows (of them timeouts) | calls | completion tokens per call (ratio) | calls over 8K per 1,000 | cap hits per 1,000 | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | dense_sxs / dense_s1 | 1581 / 1532 | 5.19 / 2.22 | 3.87 / 1.60 | 4 (4) / 2 (2) | 119511 / 113004 | 1616 / 1171 (x1.38) | 46.5 / 25.8 | 11.48 / 5.01 | | jqs_f_dense_sxs / jqs_f_dense | 1557 / 1550 | 4.69 / 3.55 | 3.51 / 2.33 | 4 (4) / 6 (6) | 119282 / 119018 | 1638 / 1256 (x1.30) | 47.8 / 30.3 | 11.47 / 6.56 | | jqs_f_r40_sxs / jqs_f_r40 | 1557 / 1503 | 3.85 / 1.06 | 2.80 / 0.81 | 6 (6) / 2 (2) | 115703 / 106315 | 1322 / 945 (x1.40) | 30.2 / 15.4 | 7.91 / 3.49 | | jqs_f_r60_sxs / jqs_f_r60 | 1530 / 1511 | 2.03 / 1.26 | 1.47 / 0.87 | 3 (3) / 2 (2) | 109484 / 105481 | 1261 / 950 (x1.33) | 26.2 / 15.1 | 5.86 / 3.14 | | jqs_f_u32_sxs / jqs_f_u32 | 1543 / 1507 | 1.88 / 1.00 | 1.53 / 1.01 | 1 (1) / 0 (0) | 110836 / 105665 | 1288 / 966 (x1.33) | 26.6 / 14.5 | 5.21 / 1.98 | | jqs_f_u64_sxs / jqs_f_u64 | 1537 / 1508 | 2.28 / 0.53 | 1.80 / 0.47 | 1 (1) / 0 (0) | 112296 / 107751 | 1397 / 991 (x1.41) | 32.8 / 16.6 | 6.06 / 2.34 | | jqs_f_u128_sxs / jqs_f_u128 | 1557 / 1527 | 3.28 / 1.44 | 2.73 / 1.20 | 1 (1) / 1 (1) | 117330 / 113479 | 1478 / 1098 (x1.35) | 38.1 / 21.9 | 7.79 / 3.31 | | quest_b2048_s1_sxs / quest_b2048_s1 | 1990 / 1685 | 14.97 / 6.29 | 12.40 / 4.63 | 83 (26) / 25 (9) | 371412 / 325774 | 831 / 617 (x1.35) | 12.1 / 6.7 | 3.15 / 2.08 | | sparq_c8_s1_sxs / sparq_c8_s1 | 1571 / 1567 | 4.65 / 4.59 | 3.60 / 3.07 | 5 (5) / 9 (9) | 118518 / 121004 | 1441 / 1193 (x1.21) | 34.9 / 23.9 | 7.63 / 3.77 | | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs / loki_k25_d25_s1 | 1579 / 1536 | 4.75 / 3.45 | 3.60 / 2.28 | 3 (3) / 5 (5) | 118496 / 115762 | 1521 / 1223 (x1.24) | 40.7 / 27.3 | 8.43 / 4.97 | | tri_b4096_s1_sxs / tri_b4096_s1 | 1558 / 1532 | 6.10 / 3.85 | 4.36 / 2.84 | 9 (9) / 5 (5) | 117275 / 116473 | 1705 / 1386 (x1.23) | 54.7 / 37.9 | 19.74 / 13.87 | | fp8kv_s1_sxs / fp8kv_s1 | 1593 / 1541 | 5.65 / 2.53 | 4.20 / 2.00 | 8 (8) / 3 (3) | 120178 / 110428 | 1654 / 1364 (x1.21) | 49.7 / 33.8 | 12.00 / 7.20 | | blasst_t50_s1_sxs / blasst_t50_s1 | 1583 / 1571 | 4.74 / 3.95 | 3.47 / 3.07 | 7 (7) / 4 (4) | 119325 / 113660 | 1602 / 1425 (x1.12) | 45.9 / 37.3 | 11.30 / 8.24 | | dense_sxs / dense_s1d | 1581 / 1553 | 5.19 / 3.16 | 3.87 / 2.13 | 4 (4) / 6 (6) | 119511 / 112111 | 1616 / 1379 (x1.17) | 46.5 / 35.3 | 11.48 / 8.56 | Units whose FIRST listed attempt (.jqs_attempts) has no snapshot -- their first episodes, and the first-attempt timeouts above, are a later attempt's: jqs_f_dense_sxs / jqs_f_dense: rerun jqs_f_dense_sxs s44 shard4of8 (290065_0) | jqs_f_r40_sxs / jqs_f_r40: published jqs_f_r40 s44 shard4of8 (113139_0, 113139_1) | jqs_f_r60_sxs / jqs_f_r60: published jqs_f_r60 s44 shard4of8 (113151_0) | jqs_f_u32_sxs / jqs_f_u32: published jqs_f_u32 s43 shard4of8 (113250_0, 113250_1) | jqs_f_u64_sxs / jqs_f_u64: published jqs_f_u64 s43 shard4of8 (113265_0) | quest_b2048_s1_sxs / quest_b2048_s1: published quest_b2048_s1 s42 shard8of16 (127328_0) | loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs / loki_k25_d25_s1: published loki_k25_d25_s1 s43 shard5of8 (126014_0) | tri_b4096_s1_sxs / tri_b4096_s1: rerun tri_b4096_s1_sxs s44 shard7of8 (293724_0); published tri_b4096_s1 s42 shard4of8 (126471_0), tri_b4096_s1 s43 shard4of8 (126475_0). Counted zero-token rows (the last episode per instance) = the item table's zero-token rows in every rerun arm: True. The addendum v2's final monitor table: not available (not verified before the START marker). ## Reproduction and incomplete completion checks The archival wrapper calls the installed reader's `setup`, score-free `preconditions`, registered-source self-checks and read-only `analysis` numerical function. It never calls `cmd_run`, `assemble`, `write_outputs`, a promotion tool, or the appendix assembler. The only allowed hard precondition exception is the absent `sxs COMPLETE` line, explicitly authorized for this failed-gate backup; every other failed hard precondition aborts. The latest recorded retest must remain PASS. Skipped final completion checks remain unavailable. Canonical reader START/output files remain absent, and no STATE completion line is fabricated. The arithmetic follows the registered reader; the publication disposition differs under the user's later decision. Family statistics are hypothetical composed-family backup diagnostics, not a newly accepted registered main reading. The embedded JSON contains the exact calculated numbers, full family memberships, available sensitivities, input hashes and audit checks. ARCHIVE ANALYSIS COMPLETE: 2026-10-28T15:54:47.474975-07:00. Archive wrapper SHA256: `8f0197cb69ce5c33b85bb61eb85f5383ef365a96b558318445c8ad0cdd1e2545`. Registered numerical reader MD5: `1741e74d1d8c3a3b45422c92f4d14656`. ## Machine readable calculation backup The JSON preserves all numerical calculations and their provenance. Private session scratch prefixes are redacted; file-content hashes and numerical results are retained. Independent review verified all 39 rerun seed counts, 13 means/sample SDs, 41 paired contrasts, six BH families, 48 registered source pins and 672 scored-file hashes. Earlier baseline/control seed arithmetic was also checked against saved outputs. Fields named `hypothetical_promotion_*` preserve the earlier procedure's superseded prose for traceability; they do not describe a publication action.
Full numerical calculations and provenance ```json { "schema": "jqs_swe_rerun_archive_v1", "status": "ARCHIVAL ONLY; environment integrity gate failed", "authoritative_for_main": false, "user_decision": { "date": "2026-10-28", "verbatim": "Let's do the second option, but have an SWE_rerun.md in doc and hf sync it, put all new swe results there, the incidence, and our decision just as a backup.", "authorization": "ARCHIVE AUTHORIZATION 2026-10-28: new SWE scores may be read for this backup only; the integrity gate is NOT passed." }, "generated": "2026-10-28T15:54:47.394513-07:00", "analysis_started": "2026-10-28T15:49:25.900183-07:00", "canonical_completion": null, "canonical_cli_run_executed": false, "archive_wrapper_sha256": "8f0197cb69ce5c33b85bb61eb85f5383ef365a96b558318445c8ad0cdd1e2545", "registered_numerical_source": { "path": "scripts/sparse/bl2/jqs_sxs_stats_v2.py", "md5": "1741e74d1d8c3a3b45422c92f4d14656" }, "flips": 10000, "preconditions": [ { "name": "prereg registered", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "'BL2 SXS PREREG REGISTERED d4171c51270d2dcf36a9e27faeb6a3b9' at column 0 of log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/STATE.md" }, { "name": "reader registered", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "'BL2 SXS READER V2 REGISTERED 1741e74d1d8c3a3b45422c92f4d14656' (md5 of /home/hcai/workspace/code/jet-qs/scripts/sparse/bl2/jqs_sxs_stats_v2.py) at column 0 of log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/STATE.md" }, { "name": "registrations after the prereg's (combination_rule: no other addendum skipped)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "line 136 sxs watchdog scope; line 139 tbp; line 142 tbp; line 145 sxs reader v1 (superseded, never run); line 156 sxs addendum v2; line 159 sxs reader v2" }, { "name": "sxs addendum v2 registered and installed (one md5 = the installed bl2_sxs_addendum_v2.json, its schema, its parents naming the prereg, its analysis_additions naming this reader)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "line(s) [156]: log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/prereg/bl2_sxs_addendum_v2.json md5 41a63efcd129833d50099f464ab4cf49 (schema jqs_bl2_sxs_addendum_v2)" }, { "name": "the superseded reader v1 never ran (its START marker and outputs absent)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "v1 scripts/sparse/bl2/jqs_sxs_stats.py (md5 0874efd12db2661bc3655c3471a25f67): none of ['log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/sxsr/table1_sxs_staged.md', 'log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/sxsr/verdicts_sxs_staged.md', 'log/sparse/dev/stats/bl2_sxs.md', 'log/sparse/dev/stats/bl2_sxs.json'] or log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/sxsr/reader_started*.json" }, { "name": "family_sources at their registered md5", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "7 files" }, { "name": "family_tools at their registered md5", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "7 files" }, { "name": "route_i_v1.json at its registered md5", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/ctl2/route_i_v1.json 34ac3bdd21633be60c937c73db3a6f87 (prereg guards 34ac3bdd21633be60c937c73db3a6f87)" }, { "name": "sxs COMPLETE line", "ok": false, "soft": false, "detail": "no ' - sxs COMPLETE: STATUS 39/39 READY; AUDIT OK ...' line in log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/STATE.md (sxs COMMANDS 9.10): the runs are not complete" }, { "name": "the addendum v2's completeness items named by its analysis_additions (all three enforced whatever the wording)", "ok": true, "soft": true, "detail": "named: ['retest', 'audit2', 'monitor']; not named (enforced anyway): none" }, { "name": "incomplete-arm declarations", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "--incomplete-arm none; 'BL2 SXS RUN INCOMPLETE' lines none" }, { "name": "PROBED EPISODES line (sensitivity drop_probed)", "ok": true, "soft": true, "detail": "line 166 (1 such line(s), the last used): jqs_swe_q38_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 s44 8; jqs_swe_q38_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 s44 8; jqs_swe_q38_jqs_f_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 s44 8; jqs_swe_q38_jqs_f_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 s44 8" }, { "name": "outputs absent (the reader runs ONCE)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "none exists" }, { "name": "no START marker (or --after-crash with no output)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "none" }, { "name": "STATUS re-check (agentic_state; no score read)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "39 of 39 runs done" }, { "name": "set-aside manifests valid (applied; alloc = file stem; an sxs shard run_dir; window; instances)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "9 manifest(s): death 2, oom 5, void 2" }, { "name": "no manifest-like file outside a _setaside/ dir (by name only: _.json)", "ok": true, "soft": true, "detail": "none" }, { "name": "set-asides reflected (no live capture inside a set-aside window: the counted rows are not set-aside ones)", "ok": true, "soft": false, "detail": "9 manifest(s) of live arms checked" }, { "name": "set-aside instances re-run (each captured again, outside its window)", "ok": true, "soft": true, "detail": "67 instance(s)" }, { "name": "PROBED EPISODES line covers only the counted test jobs (no void set-aside attempt; the Jet-QSparse unit's = the passing re-test job; sensitivity drop_probed)", "ok": true, "soft": true, "detail": "4 segment(s): jqs_swe_q38_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 286983_0_sh4of8, jqs_swe_q38_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 286983_1_sh4of8, jqs_swe_q38_jqs_f_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 290065_0_sh4of8, jqs_swe_q38_jqs_f_dense_sxs_s44_sh4of8 290065_1_sh4of8" } ], "selfchecks": { "S1_published_q_reproduced": { "F1": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/stats/verdicts_noruler.json", "m": 120, "m_registered": 120, "max_abs_q_diff": 0.0, "stored_labels_not_reproduced": 0, "duplicate_keys": 0 }, "B10": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "m": 80, "m_registered": 80, "max_abs_q_diff": 0.0, "stored_labels_not_reproduced": 0, "duplicate_keys": 0 }, "B12": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2.json", "m": 40, "m_registered": 40, "max_abs_q_diff": 0.0, "stored_labels_not_reproduced": 0, "duplicate_keys": 0 }, "F6": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/stats/verdicts_noruler.json", "m": 100, "m_registered": 100, "max_abs_q_diff": 0.0, "stored_labels_not_reproduced": 0, "duplicate_keys": 0 }, "H10": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "m": 240, "m_registered": 240, "max_abs_q_diff": 0.0, "stored_labels_not_reproduced": 0, "duplicate_keys": 0 }, "H12": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "m": 240, "m_registered": 240, "max_abs_q_diff": 0.0, "stored_labels_not_reproduced": 0, "duplicate_keys": 0 } }, "S2_family_sources_consistent": { "F1": { "members": 120, "missing_in_sources": [], "differ_from_sources": [] }, "F6": { "members": 100, "missing_in_sources": [], "differ_from_sources": [] }, "B10_verdicts_noruler_vs_paired_baselines": { "members": 80, "differ": [] } }, "S4_tbp": { "registered_versions": [ 1, 2 ], "used": { "F1": { "version": 1, "file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/verdicts_noruler.json", "md5": "c753ae5ba8b1e30924086bcd2edfa464", 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0.7418832584826623, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 0.6973702629737026, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.7418832584826623, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.7418832584826623, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 2.29)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 22, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 98.99305555555556, "delta": -0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.757575758480093, 0.5608974366756316 ], "p": 0.8357164283571643, "mid_p": 0.7593, "per_seed": { "42": -0.5208333333333334, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.565943405659434, "mdd80": 0.942317063773313, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/verdicts_noruler.json", "source_md5": "e41a15a47099cab0e07915792d268715", "q_source": 1.0, 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"q": 1.0, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 7.37)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "b": "dense_sxs", "n_items": 1490, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 150, "a_only": 68, "b_only": 82, "mean_a": 85.97315436241611, "mean_b": 86.91275167785236, "rate_a": 85.46666666666665, "rate_b": 86.66666666666667, "delta": -0.9395973154362416, "ci95": [ -2.380952382452482, 0.524246397235131 ], "p": 0.23777622237776222, "mid_p": 0.2068, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8097165991902834, "43": -1.8036072144288577, "44": -1.8108651911468814 }, "p_het": 0.3758624137586241, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "dense_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r40", "dense_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 21, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.40 (sxs) vs bf16 sxs", "mdd80": 2.076354979237711, 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"all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -2.6234567916032487, 0.5747126454791296 ], "p": 0.2695730426957304, "q": 0.6973702629737026, "mdd80": 2.2857420571565505, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.757575758480093, 0.5608974366756316 ], "p": 0.8357164283571643, "q": 0.9929304099293041, "mdd80": 0.942317063773313, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.03671071953010279, "ci95": [ -1.590909092512186, 1.521438452362733 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.2244048727757555, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.555555560343386, 4.761904767329096 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.373922319612783, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.9395973154362416, "ci95": [ -2.380952382452482, 0.524246397235131 ], "p": 0.23777622237776222, "q": 0.6793606353650349, "mdd80": 2.076354979237711, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.29, AIME25 0.94, LCB v6 2.22, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.37, SWE-bench Verified 2.08)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_r60", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -1.8691588800729706, 1.5463917543221708 ], "p": 0.928007199280072, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.441105103082635, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.7211538468785339, 0.5208333340134119 ], "p": 0.8253174682531746, "q": 0.9929304099293041, "mdd80": 0.8876522616024543, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 1.2114537444933922, "ci95": [ -0.4291845509540222, 2.841781875738925 ], "p": 0.15998400159984003, "q": 0.5817600058176001, "mdd80": 2.3377703014571605, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 4.119850187265918, "ci95": [ -1.6260162663917588, 9.848484854262008 ], "p": 0.20467953204679531, "q": 0.6638255093409579, "mdd80": 8.20086312259156, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.0046885465505693, "ci95": [ -0.5369127532161896, 2.5469168916221783 ], "p": 0.23467653234676533, "q": 0.6793606353650349, "mdd80": 2.2040230372358605, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.44, AIME25 0.89, LCB v6 2.34, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.20, SWE-bench Verified 2.20)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "lcb" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -0.6535947728548801, 2.672955976391838 ], "p": 0.2706729327067293, "q": 0.6973702629737026, "mdd80": 2.377496596851821, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.034722222222222224, "ci95": [ -0.6127450986191485, 0.7161458339807993 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 0.9497626544729725, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 2.23935389133627, "ci95": [ 0.7610350060829625, 3.720930234122269 ], "p": 0.0037996200379962005, "q": 0.11398860113988601, "mdd80": 2.115446708063878, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -2.898550730324115, 8.888888894717901 ], "p": 0.38836116388361164, "q": 0.7863084659276007, "mdd80": 8.424521285442507, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.4682274247491639, "ci95": [ -1.2517385275172357, 2.1802325599957433 ], "p": 0.6414358564143585, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.4528408541200313, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.38, AIME25 0.95, LCB v6 2.12, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.42, SWE-bench Verified 2.45)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_u64", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "lcb" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -0.5376344100709577, 2.2435897449255426 ], "p": 0.29057094290570945, "q": 0.6973702629737026, "mdd80": 1.9877499133550263, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.7291666666666666, "ci95": [ -1.5625000010551773, 0.0744047627750796 ], "p": 0.0988901109889011, "q": 0.4302426900167126, "mdd80": 1.1699011374644548, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 1.8722466960352422, "ci95": [ 0.22831050058120367, 3.516819573572846 ], "p": 0.027197280271972803, "q": 0.2331195451883383, "mdd80": 2.350308087596262, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -4.385964919170994, 7.31707317703928 ], "p": 0.7078292170782922, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 8.364199239367608, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.4046822742474916, "ci95": [ -0.13623978358321787, 2.9247910879299166 ], "p": 0.0857914208579142, "q": 0.41611838816118385, "mdd80": 2.187728680083662, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 1.99, AIME25 1.17, LCB v6 2.35, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.36, SWE-bench Verified 2.19)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -0.5208333345658365, 1.8707483005297956 ], "p": 0.3565643435656434, "q": 0.7640664504978074, "mdd80": 1.709271142134459, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.4513888888888889, "ci95": [ -0.9803921573385052, 0.08680555624211392 ], "p": 0.1394860513948605, "q": 0.53994600539946, "mdd80": 0.7627296630843574, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -0.8733624469712797, 2.2727272743523796 ], "p": 0.4062593740625937, "q": 0.7863084659276007, "mdd80": 2.248520515591492, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 4.49438202247191, "ci95": [ -1.360544222993025, 10.144927541679484 ], "p": 0.15278472152784722, "q": 0.5729427057294271, "mdd80": 8.222997942201195, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.8729096989966556, "ci95": [ 0.27285129441414835, 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{ "delta": 0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -0.9715994037916746, 2.3504273520303065 ], "p": 0.4370562943705629, "q": 0.8068731588379624, "mdd80": 2.3742632840956794, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -5.691056915933228, 4.166666672119435 ], "p": 0.8824117588241176, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.045346982488772, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.066666666666667, "ci95": [ 0.4201680654991957, 3.6885245918197507 ], "p": 0.015998400159984, "q": 0.17452800174528002, "mdd80": 2.3359049972062365, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.08, AIME25 0.79, LCB v6 2.37, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.05, SWE-bench Verified 2.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.25252525252525254, "ci95": [ -2.356902359002289, 1.83486238721258 ], "p": 0.8777122287771223, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.995867843346752, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.3194444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.9356060628217393, 0.069444445839632 ], "p": 0.0866913308669133, "q": 0.41611838816118385, "mdd80": 2.147719333405054, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -4.148311306901615, "ci95": [ -6.120943954781632, -2.1857923479074923 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.011998800119988003, "mdd80": 2.8124656013613563, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -7.801418444612153, 2.500000005692116 ], "p": 0.40375962403759624, "q": 0.7863084659276007, "mdd80": 7.362457137890039, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.7333333333333333, "ci95": [ -0.9987515621669079, 2.479338844776141 ], "p": 0.45125487451254875, "q": 0.8104483669280131, "mdd80": 2.485802481120294, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_r60", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.936026936026936, "ci95": [ -4.210526318158555, 0.34364261400938795 ], "p": 0.11388861113888611, "q": 0.45555444455554445, "mdd80": 3.254879289056215, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.6944444444444444, "ci95": [ -1.8429487192818153, 0.37202381067764223 ], "p": 0.30696930306969306, "q": 0.7083906993915993, "mdd80": 1.5830480425682247, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.47723935389133626, "ci95": [ -2.1308980230204773, 1.1799410046109107 ], "p": 0.5972402759724028, "q": 0.9539046095390461, "mdd80": 2.3662673785152033, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -4.166666672544897, 6.382978728378476 ], "p": 0.785921407859214, "q": 0.9824017598240177, "mdd80": 7.539865743629022, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.4, "ci95": [ -1.0796221337472798, 1.8893387329479965 ], "p": 0.6537346265373463, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.121925949379447, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.25, AIME25 1.58, LCB v6 2.37, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.54, SWE-bench Verified 2.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "lcb" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.936026936026936, "ci95": [ -4.081632655226988, 0.17921147178226643 ], "p": 0.0902909709029097, "q": 0.4167275580134294, "mdd80": 3.0452391005832373, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.5555555555555556, "ci95": [ -2.6041666697527344, 1.1111111127873732 ], "p": 0.9781021897810219, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.655321066828303, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.4596182085168867, "ci95": [ -4.378531075290004, -0.5426356568970698 ], "p": 0.0136986301369863, "q": 0.17452800174528002, "mdd80": 2.741526881913296, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -3.100775198946039, 6.918238997930776 ], "p": 0.5493450654934506, "q": 0.8908298359353253, "mdd80": 7.160621903116516, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.6064257044191397, 1.6064257044191397 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.2962353099327584, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_u64", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.430976430976431, "ci95": [ -3.723404257734998, 0.8503401383591962 ], "p": 0.25807419258074193, "q": 0.6973702629737026, "mdd80": 3.268869936539046, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.5555555555555556, "ci95": [ -1.6025641037820608, 0.3787878800745335 ], "p": 0.45865413458654136, "q": 0.8104483669280131, "mdd80": 1.4160786814544655, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.9911894273127754, "ci95": [ -2.76497696038029, 0.8076358314566734 ], "p": 0.2970702929707029, "q": 0.6989889246369481, "mdd80": 2.553357935809355, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.769230773848513, 5.000000005972568 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.696804125274315, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.1333333333333333, "ci95": [ 0.41666666487933524, 3.840877916705706 ], "p": 0.015298470152984701, "q": 0.17452800174528002, "mdd80": 2.4472948744168153, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.27, AIME25 1.42, LCB v6 2.55, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.70, SWE-bench Verified 2.45)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.4208754208754209, "ci95": [ -2.492211839916656, 1.6501650185256471 ], "p": 0.7567243275672433, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.9605701599635768, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.302083334709761, 0.7161458342089884 ], "p": 0.9757024297570243, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 1.4424349250820734, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.40381791483113066, "ci95": [ -2.173913045218721, 1.3698630155297336 ], "p": 0.6851314868513149, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.5327482306837723, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.00000000597988, 5.769230773828523 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.6968041252652535, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.13333333333333333, "ci95": [ -1.3831258660239953, 1.6326530627550737 ], "p": 0.9333066693330667, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.1553869700179025, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.96, AIME25 1.44, LCB v6 2.53, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.70, SWE-bench Verified 2.16)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_dense", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.08417508417508418, "ci95": [ -3.092783508218898, 2.9209622023714905 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.298043540895482, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.0069444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.022058824430447, 1.38764648369349e-09 ], "p": 0.0654934506549345, "q": 0.388135099533525, "mdd80": 1.4451719932742129, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.8076358296622613, "ci95": [ -2.3484848500749402, 0.7342143921396529 ], "p": 0.3330666933306669, "q": 0.7476343274763433, "mdd80": 2.2032151348187083, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -2.702702706405925, 3.418803422269586 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.375060260790925, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -1.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -3.4153005485807024, 0.7604562757529935 ], "p": 0.22907709229077092, "q": 0.6793606353650349, "mdd80": 2.9844269297205956, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 4.30, AIME25 1.45, LCB v6 2.20, Terminal-Bench 2.1 4.38, SWE-bench Verified 2.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25", "lcb", "swe" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5892255892255892, "ci95": [ -3.3333333361819704, 2.1739130464407377 ], "p": 0.7121287871212879, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 3.9360468303917933, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.9791666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.7037037065907037, -0.40064102380752087 ], "p": 0.011198880111988802, "q": 0.16798320167983202, "mdd80": 2.360709599660712, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.202643171806167, "ci95": [ -3.6764705898731322, -0.7281553381843804 ], "p": 0.0028997100289971, "q": 0.11398860113988601, "mdd80": 2.107170461452789, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -3.252032523440298, 2.4390243932985682 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.06741681457906, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -3.4, "ci95": [ -5.5782312947325225, -1.2195121929149488 ], "p": 0.0031996800319968005, "q": 0.11398860113988601, "mdd80": 3.115190662144843, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25, LCB v6, SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_r60", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25", "lcb" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.9259259259259259, "ci95": [ -1.8115942058420096, 3.641456584892866 ], "p": 0.5483451654834517, "q": 0.8908298359353253, "mdd80": 3.897313065302874, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.7013888888888888, "ci95": [ -3.255208334796846, -0.16025640846841827 ], "p": 0.0316968303169683, "q": 0.2535746425357464, "mdd80": 2.211972167847451, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.6886930983847284, "ci95": [ -3.2163742705208964, -0.1488095222500267 ], "p": 0.0372962703729627, "q": 0.2797220277972203, "mdd80": 2.1923984629689173, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.8368794360114213, 4.38596491654273 ], "p": 0.846015398460154, "q": 0.9953122334825341, "mdd80": 5.162190257183503, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.4577572989127265, 1.7832647484033277 ], "p": 0.8046195380461953, "q": 0.9852484139341168, "mdd80": 3.031072196012856, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25, LCB v6)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "swe" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5892255892255892, "ci95": [ -3.436426119743687, 2.2653721710199113 ], "p": 0.7198280171982802, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 4.07509370939123, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -2.1180555555555554, "ci95": [ -4.51388889188763, 0.13020833544946375 ], "p": 0.07439256074392561, "q": 0.388135099533525, "mdd80": 3.319151332936428, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.1747430249632893, "ci95": [ -2.866666668197177, 0.5185185202259621 ], "p": 0.18388161183881613, "q": 0.6304512405902267, "mdd80": 2.419402820477546, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -2.2727272761624375, 4.504504508571047 ], "p": 0.6892310768923108, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 4.843709511399617, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -2.933333333333333, "ci95": [ -5.078125002090502, -0.7936507915280678 ], "p": 0.009599040095990401, "q": 0.16455497307412115, "mdd80": 3.0621275978483795, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_u64", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.25252525252525254, "ci95": [ -2.9051987796134364, 3.431372552101646 ], "p": 0.9202079792020798, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.528768058107293, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.9791666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.7660256430924752, -0.37202380779814537 ], "p": 0.008799120087991202, "q": 0.16455497307412115, "mdd80": 2.4257041065579243, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.3215859030837005, "ci95": [ -2.86123033054014, 0.22222222378048379 ], "p": 0.10428957104289571, "q": 0.4315430525912926, "mdd80": 2.203753529421244, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -2.127659577535356, 4.2735042770987794 ], "p": 0.6602339766023397, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 4.5749325434850965, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -1.2, "ci95": [ -3.234880452214635, 0.823045269567654 ], "p": 0.27347265273472654, "q": 0.6973702629737026, "mdd80": 2.900212659013105, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.5892255892255892, "ci95": [ -2.0408163291837385, 3.256704983873239 ], "p": 0.7091290870912909, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 3.786155643768548, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.4236111111111112, "ci95": [ -2.976190477861885, 0.07440476351548425 ], "p": 0.0710928907109289, "q": 0.388135099533525, "mdd80": 2.1802703014193945, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.1969696985522846, 0.8807588090087517 ], "p": 0.42605739426057393, "q": 0.7988576142385762, "mdd80": 2.1996625346591103, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.500000003606824, 4.065040653999821 ], "p": 0.831016898310169, "q": 0.9929304099293041, "mdd80": 4.6920558254486515, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.7333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.8314028334197228, 1.3440860235961183 ], "p": 0.5382461753824618, "q": 0.8908298359353253, "mdd80": 2.984235412610444, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.79, AIME25 2.18, LCB v6 2.20, Terminal-Bench 2.1 4.69, SWE-bench Verified 2.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_dense", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -1.6025641048917512, 3.2710280396300786 ], "p": 0.547945205479452, "q": 0.8908298359353253, "mdd80": 3.4831720936974215, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.4513888888888889, "ci95": [ -1.370614035820354, 0.4861111120594268 ], "p": 0.37366263373662634, "q": 0.7863084659276007, "mdd80": 1.3270074780530505, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.3303964757709251, "ci95": [ -1.1013215873301392, 1.7584097874165239 ], "p": 0.6807319268073193, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.0438592776347013, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -5.426356593588616, 3.1007751981622143 ], "p": 0.7279272072792721, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 6.094368715218112, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.4, "ci95": [ -2.487562190997946, 1.6806722710882718 ], "p": 0.7499250074992501, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.9790506730536213, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.48, AIME25 1.33, LCB v6 2.04, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.09, SWE-bench Verified 2.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -3.065134102332263, 1.7133956408342446 ], "p": 0.6266373362663734, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 3.4152306874940086, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -2.1180555555555554, "ci95": [ -3.794642858946587, -0.4629629601870553 ], "p": 0.0071992800719928, "q": 0.16455497307412115, "mdd80": 2.3811624166245147, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.3582966226138031, "ci95": [ -2.812939523192113, 0.07680491701523856 ], "p": 0.07439256074392561, "q": 0.388135099533525, "mdd80": 2.065309712746817, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -7.751937989805705, 2.515723274747911 ], "p": 0.39966003399660033, "q": 0.7863084659276007, "mdd80": 7.338330767877604, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.3809523827747956, 1.7060367474141656 ], "p": 0.7998200179982001, "q": 0.9852484139341168, "mdd80": 2.9209843711523003, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_r60", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "gpqa" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -3.1986531986531985, "ci95": [ -5.817610065335667, -0.5847953193747496 ], "p": 0.0192980701929807, "q": 0.192980701929807, "mdd80": 3.7399096506479914, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.5208333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.666666667820985, 0.6250000008628362 ], "p": 0.42085791420857915, "q": 0.7988576142385762, "mdd80": 1.637861591965283, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.57856093979442, "ci95": [ -3.1345565765433143, 1.4969508114852375e-09 ], "p": 0.051394860513948606, "q": 0.34263240342632406, "mdd80": 2.2402777407252183, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -6.6666666726537915, 1.5503876012205826 ], "p": 0.28877112288771123, "q": 0.6973702629737026, "mdd80": 5.8727553086953135, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -1.2244897979783236, 2.8225806471940436 ], "p": 0.48365163483651635, "q": 0.8370020140843059, "mdd80": 2.8924543576543122, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (GPQA)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -3.048780490876939, 2.0202020227201496 ], "p": 0.7452254774522548, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 3.622818223442847, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.0763888888888888, "ci95": [ -2.604166668589098, 0.383771930981288 ], "p": 0.22477752224777522, "q": 0.6793606353650349, "mdd80": 2.1354893965436763, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.2114537444933922, "ci95": [ -2.5073746325649204, 0.07645260072488483 ], "p": 0.0740925907409259, "q": 0.388135099533525, "mdd80": 1.8466696939436835, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -7.407407412870204, 3.703703710591009 ], "p": 0.6041395860413958, "q": 0.9539046095390461, "mdd80": 7.941147114395706, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -1.7333333333333334, "ci95": [ -3.746770027790037, 0.27322404576521475 ], "p": 0.10038996100389962, "q": 0.4302426900167126, "mdd80": 2.8731027871456214, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.62, AIME25 2.14, LCB v6 1.85, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.94, SWE-bench Verified 2.87)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_u64", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 1.3468013468013469, "ci95": [ -1.2820512845550498, 3.977272730223814 ], "p": 0.34266573342665735, "q": 0.7476343274763433, "mdd80": 3.758855910948986, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.0069444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.4088541679907425, 0.37202381100853765 ], "p": 0.1927807219278072, "q": 0.6426024064260241, "mdd80": 1.9875025002483753, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -2.2058823546135056, 0.811209441040659 ], "p": 0.3935606439356064, "q": 0.7863084659276007, "mdd80": 2.156325280226567, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -3.9682539728422697, 4.761904766540168 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 6.239472732396465, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.4, "ci95": [ -1.5686274529077981, 2.3529411783798437 ], "p": 0.7424257574242575, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 2.8027578047076207, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.76, AIME25 1.99, LCB v6 2.16, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.24, SWE-bench Verified 2.80)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -3.6458333360513526, 1.6304347854485504 ], "p": 0.48825117488251174, "q": 0.8370020140843059, "mdd80": 3.7709659189129674, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.3125, "ci95": [ -0.6944444457129928, 1.3888888902473728 ], "p": 0.667033296670333, "q": 0.9660310564688213, "mdd80": 1.488965084171745, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.9177679882525698, "ci95": [ -2.3364485996334152, 0.5028735646035918 ], "p": 0.22317768223177684, "q": 0.6793606353650349, "mdd80": 2.029272748767788, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -3.745318352059925, "ci95": [ -8.527131787884624, 0.925925931699995 ], "p": 0.16948305169483052, "q": 0.59817547656999, "mdd80": 6.756130975379088, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.0666666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.010101012063798, 3.12109862863989 ], "p": 0.34096590340965904, "q": 0.7476343274763433, "mdd80": 2.9525817662371785, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.77, AIME25 1.49, LCB v6 2.03, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.76, SWE-bench Verified 2.95)" } ], "arm_status_prev": [ { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_dense", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "tb" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -1.1904761921897844, 2.197802199642796 ], "p": 0.6404359564043596, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 2.42161354297471, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.3125, "ci95": [ -1.0416666673593737, 0.3720238102669623 ], "p": 0.45925407459254075, "q": 0.8350074083500741, "mdd80": 1.0103691640115613, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.03671071953010279, "ci95": [ -1.5082956274508423, 1.4354067001603958 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.1038735896710166, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 5.617977528089888, "ci95": [ 0.7246376764328935, 10.60606061109768 ], "p": 0.040495950404959506, "q": 0.3037196280371963, "mdd80": 7.062284982286519, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.3351206434316354, "ci95": [ -1.466666668454037, 2.1333333351161525 ], "p": 0.7722227777222278, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.5729316647559974, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.42, AIME25 1.01, LCB v6 2.10, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.06, SWE-bench Verified 2.57)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -2.6234567916032487, 0.5747126454791296 ], "p": 0.2695730426957304, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 2.2857420571565505, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.757575758480093, 0.5608974366756316 ], "p": 0.8357164283571643, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 0.942317063773313, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.03671071953010279, "ci95": [ -1.590909092512186, 1.521438452362733 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.2244048727757555, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.555555560343386, 4.761904767329096 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.373922319612783, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.9395973154362416, "ci95": [ -2.380952382452482, 0.524246397235131 ], "p": 0.23777622237776222, "q": 0.7048525916639106, "mdd80": 2.076354979237711, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.29, AIME25 0.94, LCB v6 2.22, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.37, SWE-bench Verified 2.08)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_r60", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -1.8691588800729706, 1.5463917543221708 ], "p": 0.928007199280072, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.441105103082635, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.7211538468785339, 0.5208333340134119 ], "p": 0.8253174682531746, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 0.8876522616024543, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 1.2114537444933922, "ci95": [ -0.4291845509540222, 2.841781875738925 ], "p": 0.15998400159984003, "q": 0.6192929094187356, "mdd80": 2.3377703014571605, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 4.119850187265918, "ci95": [ -1.6260162663917588, 9.848484854262008 ], "p": 0.20467953204679531, "q": 0.7017583955890125, "mdd80": 8.20086312259156, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.0046885465505693, "ci95": [ -0.5369127532161896, 2.5469168916221783 ], "p": 0.23467653234676533, "q": 0.7983646079836461, "mdd80": 2.2040230372358605, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.44, AIME25 0.89, LCB v6 2.34, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.20, SWE-bench Verified 2.20)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "lcb" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -0.6535947728548801, 2.672955976391838 ], "p": 0.2706729327067293, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 2.377496596851821, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.034722222222222224, "ci95": [ -0.6127450986191485, 0.7161458339807993 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 0.9497626544729725, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 2.23935389133627, "ci95": [ 0.7610350060829625, 3.720930234122269 ], "p": 0.0037996200379962005, "q": 0.11398860113988601, "mdd80": 2.115446708063878, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -2.898550730324115, 8.888888894717901 ], "p": 0.38836116388361164, "q": 0.8125187481251874, "mdd80": 8.424521285442507, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.4682274247491639, "ci95": [ -1.2517385275172357, 2.1802325599957433 ], "p": 0.6414358564143585, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.4528408541200313, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.38, AIME25 0.95, LCB v6 2.12, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.42, SWE-bench Verified 2.45)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_u64", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "lcb" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -0.5376344100709577, 2.2435897449255426 ], "p": 0.29057094290570945, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 1.9877499133550263, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.7291666666666666, "ci95": [ -1.5625000010551773, 0.0744047627750796 ], "p": 0.0988901109889011, "q": 0.4633382815564598, "mdd80": 1.1699011374644548, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 1.8722466960352422, "ci95": [ 0.22831050058120367, 3.516819573572846 ], "p": 0.027197280271972803, "q": 0.25105181789513353, "mdd80": 2.350308087596262, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -4.385964919170994, 7.31707317703928 ], "p": 0.7078292170782922, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 8.364199239367608, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.4046822742474916, "ci95": [ -0.13623978358321787, 2.9247910879299166 ], "p": 0.0857914208579142, "q": 0.9009533829225773, "mdd80": 2.187728680083662, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 1.99, AIME25 1.17, LCB v6 2.35, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.36, SWE-bench Verified 2.19)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -0.5208333345658365, 1.8707483005297956 ], "p": 0.3565643435656434, "q": 0.7983646079836461, "mdd80": 1.709271142134459, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.4513888888888889, "ci95": [ -0.9803921573385052, 0.08680555624211392 ], "p": 0.1394860513948605, "q": 0.5771836609442503, "mdd80": 0.7627296630843574, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -0.8733624469712797, 2.2727272743523796 ], "p": 0.4062593740625937, "q": 0.8125187481251874, "mdd80": 2.248520515591492, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 4.49438202247191, "ci95": [ -1.360544222993025, 10.144927541679484 ], "p": 0.15278472152784722, "q": 0.6111388861113889, "mdd80": 8.222997942201195, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.8729096989966556, "ci95": [ 0.27285129441414835, 3.4578146627731394 ], "p": 0.025897410258974102, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.27630363705887, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 1.71, AIME25 0.76, LCB v6 2.25, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.22, SWE-bench Verified 2.28)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_dense", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.2626262626262625, "ci95": [ -3.4364261190492718, 0.8771929846796456 ], "p": 0.28857114288571145, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 3.0829575474093813, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -0.20833333418188565, 0.8928571434519276 ], "p": 0.27217278272172785, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 0.7870244016727758, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -0.9715994037916746, 2.3504273520303065 ], "p": 0.4370562943705629, "q": 0.8324881797534532, "mdd80": 2.3742632840956794, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -5.691056915933228, 4.166666672119435 ], "p": 0.8824117588241176, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.045346982488772, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.066666666666667, "ci95": [ 0.4201680654991957, 3.6885245918197507 ], "p": 0.015998400159984, "q": 0.17452800174528002, "mdd80": 2.3359049972062365, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.08, AIME25 0.79, LCB v6 2.37, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.05, SWE-bench Verified 2.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.25252525252525254, "ci95": [ -2.356902359002289, 1.83486238721258 ], "p": 0.8777122287771223, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.995867843346752, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.3194444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.9356060628217393, 0.069444445839632 ], "p": 0.0866913308669133, "q": 0.45145485451454853, "mdd80": 2.147719333405054, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -4.148311306901615, "ci95": [ -6.120943954781632, -2.1857923479074923 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.011998800119988003, "mdd80": 2.8124656013613563, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -7.801418444612153, 2.500000005692116 ], "p": 0.40375962403759624, "q": 0.8125187481251874, "mdd80": 7.362457137890039, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.7333333333333333, "ci95": [ -0.9987515621669079, 2.479338844776141 ], "p": 0.45125487451254875, "q": 0.8350074083500741, "mdd80": 2.485802481120294, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_r60", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.936026936026936, "ci95": [ -4.210526318158555, 0.34364261400938795 ], "p": 0.11388861113888611, "q": 0.48809404773808335, "mdd80": 3.254879289056215, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.6944444444444444, "ci95": [ -1.8429487192818153, 0.37202381067764223 ], "p": 0.30696930306969306, "q": 0.7517615585380237, "mdd80": 1.5830480425682247, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.47723935389133626, "ci95": [ -2.1308980230204773, 1.1799410046109107 ], "p": 0.5972402759724028, "q": 0.9666233376662334, "mdd80": 2.3662673785152033, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -4.166666672544897, 6.382978728378476 ], "p": 0.785921407859214, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.539865743629022, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.4, "ci95": [ -1.0796221337472798, 1.8893387329479965 ], "p": 0.6537346265373463, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 2.121925949379447, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.25, AIME25 1.58, LCB v6 2.37, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.54, SWE-bench Verified 2.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "lcb" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.936026936026936, "ci95": [ -4.081632655226988, 0.17921147178226643 ], "p": 0.0902909709029097, "q": 0.45145485451454853, "mdd80": 3.0452391005832373, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.5555555555555556, "ci95": [ -2.6041666697527344, 1.1111111127873732 ], "p": 0.9781021897810219, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.655321066828303, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.4596182085168867, "ci95": [ -4.378531075290004, -0.5426356568970698 ], "p": 0.0136986301369863, "q": 0.17452800174528002, "mdd80": 2.741526881913296, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -3.100775198946039, 6.918238997930776 ], "p": 0.5493450654934506, "q": 0.9030329843727954, "mdd80": 7.160621903116516, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.6064257044191397, 1.6064257044191397 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.2962353099327584, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_u64", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.430976430976431, "ci95": [ -3.723404257734998, 0.8503401383591962 ], "p": 0.25807419258074193, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 3.268869936539046, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.5555555555555556, "ci95": [ -1.6025641037820608, 0.3787878800745335 ], "p": 0.45865413458654136, "q": 0.8350074083500741, "mdd80": 1.4160786814544655, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.9911894273127754, "ci95": [ -2.76497696038029, 0.8076358314566734 ], "p": 0.2970702929707029, "q": 0.7426757324267573, "mdd80": 2.553357935809355, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.769230773848513, 5.000000005972568 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.696804125274315, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.1333333333333333, "ci95": [ 0.41666666487933524, 3.840877916705706 ], "p": 0.015298470152984701, "q": 0.17452800174528002, "mdd80": 2.4472948744168153, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.27, AIME25 1.42, LCB v6 2.55, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.70, SWE-bench Verified 2.45)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.4208754208754209, "ci95": [ -2.492211839916656, 1.6501650185256471 ], "p": 0.7567243275672433, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 2.9605701599635768, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.302083334709761, 0.7161458342089884 ], "p": 0.9757024297570243, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 1.4424349250820734, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.40381791483113066, "ci95": [ -2.173913045218721, 1.3698630155297336 ], "p": 0.6851314868513149, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 2.5327482306837723, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.00000000597988, 5.769230773828523 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.6968041252652535, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.13333333333333333, "ci95": [ -1.3831258660239953, 1.6326530627550737 ], "p": 0.9333066693330667, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.1553869700179025, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.96, AIME25 1.44, LCB v6 2.53, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.70, SWE-bench Verified 2.16)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_dense", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.08417508417508418, "ci95": [ -3.092783508218898, 2.9209622023714905 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.298043540895482, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.0069444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.022058824430447, 1.38764648369349e-09 ], "p": 0.0654934506549345, "q": 0.4057776040577761, "mdd80": 1.4451719932742129, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.8076358296622613, "ci95": [ -2.3484848500749402, 0.7342143921396529 ], "p": 0.3330666933306669, "q": 0.7907670771384401, "mdd80": 2.2032151348187083, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -2.702702706405925, 3.418803422269586 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.375060260790925, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -1.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -3.4153005485807024, 0.7604562757529935 ], "p": 0.22907709229077092, "q": 0.7048525916639106, "mdd80": 2.9844269297205956, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 4.30, AIME25 1.45, LCB v6 2.20, Terminal-Bench 2.1 4.38, SWE-bench Verified 2.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25", "lcb", "swe" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5892255892255892, "ci95": [ -3.3333333361819704, 2.1739130464407377 ], "p": 0.7121287871212879, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 3.9360468303917933, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.9791666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.7037037065907037, 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"lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25", "lcb" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.9259259259259259, "ci95": [ -1.8115942058420096, 3.641456584892866 ], "p": 0.5483451654834517, "q": 0.9030329843727954, "mdd80": 3.897313065302874, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.7013888888888888, "ci95": [ -3.255208334796846, -0.16025640846841827 ], "p": 0.0316968303169683, "q": 0.27168711700258547, "mdd80": 2.211972167847451, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.6886930983847284, "ci95": [ -3.2163742705208964, -0.1488095222500267 ], "p": 0.0372962703729627, "q": 0.2983701629837016, "mdd80": 2.1923984629689173, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.8368794360114213, 4.38596491654273 ], "p": 0.846015398460154, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 5.162190257183503, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.4577572989127265, 1.7832647484033277 ], "p": 0.8046195380461953, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 3.031072196012856, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25, LCB v6)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_u32", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "swe" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5892255892255892, "ci95": [ -3.436426119743687, 2.2653721710199113 ], "p": 0.7198280171982802, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 4.07509370939123, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -2.1180555555555554, "ci95": [ -4.51388889188763, 0.13020833544946375 ], "p": 0.07439256074392561, "q": 0.4057776040577761, "mdd80": 3.319151332936428, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.1747430249632893, "ci95": [ 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3.431372552101646 ], "p": 0.9202079792020798, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.528768058107293, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.9791666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.7660256430924752, -0.37202380779814537 ], "p": 0.008799120087991202, "q": 0.16455497307412115, "mdd80": 2.4257041065579243, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.3215859030837005, "ci95": [ -2.86123033054014, 0.22222222378048379 ], "p": 0.10428957104289571, "q": 0.46350920463509204, "mdd80": 2.203753529421244, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -2.127659577535356, 4.2735042770987794 ], "p": 0.6602339766023397, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 4.5749325434850965, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -1.2, "ci95": [ -3.234880452214635, 0.823045269567654 ], "p": 0.27347265273472654, "q": 0.7418832584826623, "mdd80": 2.900212659013105, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "jqs_f_u128", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.5892255892255892, "ci95": [ -2.0408163291837385, 3.256704983873239 ], "p": 0.7091290870912909, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 3.786155643768548, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.4236111111111112, "ci95": [ -2.976190477861885, 0.07440476351548425 ], "p": 0.0710928907109289, "q": 0.4057776040577761, "mdd80": 2.1802703014193945, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.1969696985522846, 0.8807588090087517 ], "p": 0.42605739426057393, "q": 0.824627214697885, "mdd80": 2.1996625346591103, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.500000003606824, 4.065040653999821 ], "p": 0.831016898310169, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.6920558254486515, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.7333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.8314028334197228, 1.3440860235961183 ], "p": 0.5382461753824618, "q": 0.9030329843727954, "mdd80": 2.984235412610444, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.79, AIME25 2.18, LCB v6 2.20, Terminal-Bench 2.1 4.69, SWE-bench Verified 2.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_dense", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -1.6025641048917512, 3.2710280396300786 ], "p": 0.547945205479452, "q": 0.9030329843727954, "mdd80": 3.4831720936974215, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.4513888888888889, "ci95": [ -1.370614035820354, 0.4861111120594268 ], "p": 0.37366263373662634, "q": 0.8125187481251874, "mdd80": 1.3270074780530505, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.3303964757709251, "ci95": [ -1.1013215873301392, 1.7584097874165239 ], "p": 0.6807319268073193, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 2.0438592776347013, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -5.426356593588616, 3.1007751981622143 ], "p": 0.7279272072792721, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 6.094368715218112, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.4, "ci95": [ -2.487562190997946, 1.6806722710882718 ], "p": 0.7499250074992501, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 2.9790506730536213, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.48, AIME25 1.33, LCB v6 2.04, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.09, SWE-bench Verified 2.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "jqs_f_r40", "status": "nominal only", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [], "nominal": [ "aime25" ], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -3.065134102332263, 1.7133956408342446 ], "p": 0.6266373362663734, "q": 0.9870317316094478, "mdd80": 3.4152306874940086, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -2.1180555555555554, "ci95": [ -3.794642858946587, -0.4629629601870553 ], "p": 0.0071992800719928, "q": 0.16455497307412115, "mdd80": 2.3811624166245147, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.3582966226138031, "ci95": [ -2.812939523192113, 0.07680491701523856 ], "p": 0.07439256074392561, "q": 0.4057776040577761, "mdd80": 2.065309712746817, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": 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loss (MDD80 7.62)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "tri_b4096_s1_sxs", "b": "dense_sxs", "n_items": 1489, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 132, "a_only": 72, "b_only": 60, "mean_a": 87.70987239758227, "mean_b": 86.90396239086635, "rate_a": 87.06666666666666, "rate_b": 86.66666666666667, "delta": 0.8059100067159167, "ci95": [ -0.7564296537988717, 2.3643949946574 ], "p": 0.34906509349065096, "mid_p": 0.30785, "per_seed": { "42": 0.2032520325203252, "43": -0.2, "44": 2.414486921529175 }, "p_het": 0.3260673932606739, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "tri_b4096_s1_sxs", "dense_sxs" ], "row_arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "tri_b4096_s1", "dense_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 22, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "TriAttention b4096 (sxs) vs bf16 sxs", "mdd80": 2.2304634861669355, "se": 0.7797616109392145, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -0.6743315987675765, 2.350570852921424 ], "mdd80_cell": 2.2431080643698085, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.9746557811751293, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.9746557811751293, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 2.23)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 106, "mean_a": 81.98653198653199, "mean_b": 84.76430976430976, "delta": -2.7777777777777777, "ci95": [ -5.188679247533257, -0.3472222197249011 ], "p": 0.027497250274972504, "mid_p": 0.0228, "per_seed": { "42": -5.05050505050505, "43": -1.2626262626262625, "44": -2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": 0.44285571442855715, "mdd80": 3.460205021680552, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "quest_b2048_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.08460692392299232, "label_source": "loss_detected", "q": 0.08147333414806669, "label": 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0.0005713714342851429, "label": "loss_detected", "q_prev": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_prev": "loss_detected", "q_published": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_published": "loss_detected", "changed": false, "text": "loss detected (p 0.0001, q 0.0006)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 453, "mean_a": 59.61820851688693, "mean_b": 79.47870778267254, "delta": -19.86049926578561, "ci95": [ -22.77091906993387, -16.957787478933156 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": -19.383259911894275, "43": -18.94273127753304, "44": -21.255506607929515 }, "p_het": 0.5858414158584142, "mdd80": 4.154663979735059, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "quest_b2048_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.0005713714342851429, 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"bench": "swe", "a": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "b": "dense_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 158, "a_only": 85, "b_only": 73, "mean_a": 69.26666666666667, "mean_b": 68.46666666666667, "rate_a": 69.26666666666667, "rate_b": 68.46666666666665, "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -0.8196721328024502, 2.426564497088632 ], "p": 0.36946305369463056, "mid_p": 0.3297, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6, "43": 1.0, "44": 2.0 }, "p_het": 0.46605339466053397, "mdd80": 2.320095835570661, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "loki_k25_d25_s1", "dense_s1" ], "row_arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.5372319910866057, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 0.5185446367643938, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.5372319910866057, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.5372319910866057, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 2.32)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "tri_b4096_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 105, "mean_a": 81.14478114478115, "mean_b": 84.76430976430976, "delta": -3.6195286195286194, "ci95": [ -6.378600826417472, -0.8680555527262774 ], "p": 0.011498850114988501, "mid_p": 0.0093, "per_seed": { "42": -4.545454545454546, "43": -4.292929292929293, "44": -2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": 0.6295370462953704, "mdd80": 3.9384045585252023, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "tri_b4096_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.039996000399960006, "label_source": "loss_detected", "q": 0.038329500383295, "label": "loss_detected", "q_prev": 0.039996000399960006, "label_prev": "loss_detected", "q_published": 0.039996000399960006, "label_published": "loss_detected", "changed": false, "text": "loss detected (p 0.0115, q 0.0383)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "tri_b4096_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 63, "mean_a": 63.68055555555556, "mean_b": 91.80555555555556, "delta": -28.125, "ci95": [ -39.772727288615705, -16.66666665102798 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": -28.854166666666668, "43": -28.229166666666668, "44": -27.291666666666668 }, "p_het": 0.7448255174482552, "mdd80": 16.513976389795438, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "tri_b4096_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_source": "loss_detected", "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "label": "loss_detected", "q_prev": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_prev": "loss_detected", "q_published": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_published": "loss_detected", "changed": false, "text": "loss detected (p 0.0001, q 0.0006)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "tri_b4096_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 345, "mean_a": 72.83406754772393, "mean_b": 79.47870778267254, "delta": -6.644640234948605, "ci95": [ -8.946608948869727, -4.354354352015381 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": -5.506607929515418, "43": -7.488986784140969, "44": -6.938325991189427 }, "p_het": 0.6674332566743326, "mdd80": 3.2820992369861437, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "tri_b4096_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_source": "loss_detected", "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "label": "loss_detected", "q_prev": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_prev": "loss_detected", "q_published": 0.0005713714342851429, "label_published": "loss_detected", "changed": false, "text": "loss detected (p 0.0001, q 0.0006)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "tri_b4096_s1", "b": "dense_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 26, "b_only": 25, "mean_a": 41.947565543071164, "mean_b": 41.57303370786517, "rate_a": 41.947565543071164, "rate_b": 41.57303370786517, "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -4.444444449196073, 5.185185189935703 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8806, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.8422157784221578, "mdd80": 6.88232749828439, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "tri_b4096_s1", "dense_s1" ], "row_arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "1ded660f60eb0e62be283230fcf20064", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 1.0, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 6.88)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "tri_b4096_s1", "b": "dense_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 172, "a_only": 92, "b_only": 80, "mean_a": 69.26666666666667, "mean_b": 68.46666666666667, "rate_a": 69.26666666666667, "rate_b": 68.46666666666665, "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -0.9222661413557368, 2.5232403735601534 ], "p": 0.41025897410258977, "mid_p": 0.37155, "per_seed": { "42": 1.2, "43": -2.2, "44": 3.4 }, "p_het": 0.0321967803219678, "mdd80": 2.4625146679329255, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "tri_b4096_s1", "dense_s1" ], "row_arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.5470119654701197, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 0.52936641819689, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.5470119654701197, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.5470119654701197, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 2.46)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 134, "mean_a": 72.39057239057239, "mean_b": 72.47474747474747, "delta": -0.08417508417508418, "ci95": [ -2.9824561433614933, 2.807017546867923 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.953, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 3.5353535353535355, "44": -3.787878787878788 }, "p_het": 0.09989001099890012, "mdd80": 4.137755601414013, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "quest_b2048_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 1.0, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 4.14)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 37, "mean_a": 85.48611111111111, "mean_b": 88.92361111111111, "delta": -3.4375, "ci95": [ -5.9659090943669355, -0.892857140120187 ], "p": 0.0013998600139986002, "mid_p": 0.0008, "per_seed": { "42": -2.2916666666666665, "43": -3.3333333333333335, "44": -4.6875 }, "p_het": 0.265973402659734, "mdd80": 3.6257266658581173, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "quest_b2048_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.005894147427362527, "label_source": "loss_detected", "q": 0.005894147427362527, "label": "loss_detected", "q_prev": 0.005894147427362527, "label_prev": "loss_detected", "q_published": 0.005894147427362527, "label_published": "loss_detected", "changed": false, "text": "loss detected (p 0.00140, q 0.00589)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 217, "mean_a": 67.40088105726872, "mean_b": 69.60352422907489, "delta": -2.202643171806167, "ci95": [ -3.8179148327437407, -0.5804311756194442 ], "p": 0.009099090090990901, "mid_p": 0.0082, "per_seed": { "42": -2.643171806167401, "43": -1.6519823788546255, "44": -2.3127753303964758 }, "p_het": 0.8778122187781222, "mdd80": 2.313840057578973, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "quest_b2048_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.034663200346632006, "label_source": "loss_detected", "q": 0.033087600330876, "label": "loss_detected", "q_prev": 0.034663200346632006, "label_prev": "loss_detected", "q_published": 0.034663200346632006, "label_published": "loss_detected", "changed": false, "text": "loss detected (p 0.00910, q 0.0331)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "dense_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 18, "a_only": 10, "b_only": 8, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 4.119850187265918, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 4.119850187265918, "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.0408163290556454, 3.508771933054236 ], "p": 0.8012198780121987, "mid_p": 0.62025, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 4.49438202247191, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.2937706229377062, "mdd80": 3.966308708827846, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "quest_b2048_s1", "dense_s1" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": "1ded660f60eb0e62be283230fcf20064", "q_source": 0.89546600895466, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 0.8712642249288584, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.89546600895466, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.89546600895466, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 3.97)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "quest_b2048_s1", "b": "dense_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 247, "a_only": 104, "b_only": 143, "mean_a": 19.333333333333332, "mean_b": 21.933333333333334, "rate_a": 19.333333333333332, "rate_b": 21.933333333333334, "delta": -2.6, "ci95": [ -4.521963826150607, -0.6802721068892984 ], "p": 0.0100989901009899, "mid_p": 0.00815, "per_seed": { "42": -4.0, "43": -2.6, "44": -1.2 }, "p_het": 0.577942205779422, "mdd80": 2.7456695169210468, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "quest_b2048_s1", "dense_s1" ], "row_arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines.json", "source_md5": 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"source_md5": "43f941cb31291a43abf467ac32990a9e", "q_source": 0.5570590481935414, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 0.5393746339651749, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.5570590481935414, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.5570590481935414, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 4.11)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "sparq_c8_s1", "b": "bf16", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 39, "mean_a": 87.15277777777777, "mean_b": 88.92361111111111, "delta": -1.7708333333333333, "ci95": [ -3.7109375018262867, 0.16025641249069347 ], "p": 0.08709129087091291, "mid_p": 0.07965, "per_seed": { "42": -0.625, "43": -2.7083333333333335, "44": -1.9791666666666667 }, "p_het": 0.23147685231476853, "mdd80": 2.766754831299732, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "sparq_c8_s1", "bf16" ], "row_arm": "sparq_c8_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": 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0.9177679882525698, "ci95": [ -0.7735583701096074, 2.5974025990536616 ], "p": 0.31226877312268775, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 2.409236724893141, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -2.8985507296163715, 7.407407412513095 ], "p": 0.4657534246575342, "q": 0.5821917808219178, "mdd80": 7.365701670343845, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.0777479892761392, "ci95": [ 0.5755395667358043, 3.5612535628283317 ], "p": 0.007499250074992501, "q": 0.02999700029997, "mdd80": 2.133899465231445, "verdict": "gain_detected", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.35, AIME25 1.32, LCB v6 2.41, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.37, SWE-bench Verified 2.13)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -1.14379085110805, 1.8333333348144374 ], "p": 0.7471252874712528, "q": 0.8418313098267637, "mdd80": 2.127760300076217, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.8680555555555556, "ci95": [ -1.996527779199361, 0.14880952490630892 ], "p": 0.1406859314068593, "q": 0.331025720957316, "mdd80": 1.5332795210671242, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.11013215859030837, "ci95": [ -1.2931034496447582, 1.507936509447021 ], "p": 0.916008399160084, "q": 0.951697038088399, "mdd80": 2.0019123327352433, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -3.333333339538966, 7.801418444961817 ], "p": 0.5097490250974902, "q": 0.6273834155046033, "mdd80": 7.958043171424635, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.2717536813922357, "ci95": [ -0.28735632350657414, 2.8688524606413104 ], "p": 0.13928607139286073, "q": 0.331025720957316, "mdd80": 2.255752642572682, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.13, AIME25 1.53, LCB v6 2.00, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.96, SWE-bench Verified 2.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.6835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.703703706167718, 0.3367003387221277 ], "p": 0.1227877212278772, "q": 0.306969303069693, "mdd80": 2.887689859776582, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -19.96527777777778, "ci95": [ -31.696428583965925, -8.333333318829517 ], "p": 0.00019998000199980003, "q": 0.0009410823623520001, "mdd80": 16.69767987076847, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -20.301027900146842, "ci95": [ -23.611111114234255, -17.030567682354253 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 4.703135708443076, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -2.3255814008439457, 8.333333338275965 ], "p": 0.3344665533446655, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 7.617960893616241, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8059100067159167, "ci95": [ -0.7564296537988717, 2.3643949946574 ], "p": 0.34906509349065096, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 2.2304634861669355, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (AIME25, LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -2.7777777777777777, "ci95": [ -5.188679247533257, -0.3472222197249011 ], "p": 0.027497250274972504, "q": 0.08147333414806669, "mdd80": 3.460205021680552, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -15.694444444444445, "ci95": [ -24.826388900280406, -6.650641015200971 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 12.990265893823617, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -19.86049926578561, "ci95": [ -22.77091906993387, -16.957787478933156 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 4.154663979735059, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -19.475655430711612, "ci95": [ -25.58139535514439, -13.333333327888639 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 8.753729608491495, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -49.06666666666667, "ci95": [ -52.82485876104211, -45.30612244514715 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 5.37366520192555, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (GPQA, AIME25, LCB v6, Terminal-Bench 2.1, SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "sparq_c8_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.7676767676767677, "ci95": [ -4.28134556803071, 0.7407407434962936 ], "p": 0.18958104189581043, "q": 0.4018545513869666, "mdd80": 3.589301355903054, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.6944444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.483974361049123, 1.0416666684090128 ], "p": 0.5264473552644735, "q": 0.63811800638118, "mdd80": 2.5197870650721255, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.7988252569750367, "ci95": [ -3.571428573117547, 1.7298375105492156e-09 ], "p": 0.050994900509949, "q": 0.14205476004123724, "mdd80": 2.5525115720906304, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -7.092198586857561, 4.166666671918152 ], "p": 0.6927307269273073, "q": 0.791692259345494, "mdd80": 8.04674747355468, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.9259259276982204, 2.6315789493039308 ], "p": 0.37606239376062395, "q": 0.5187067500146537, "mdd80": 2.542560260134806, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.59, AIME25 2.52, LCB v6 2.55, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.05, SWE-bench Verified 2.54)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.4208754208754209, "ci95": [ -2.8846153869517766, 2.0599250963863476 ], "p": 0.7954204579542046, "q": 0.8712642249288584, "mdd80": 3.533879101286657, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.4861111111111111, "ci95": [ -0.1602564110125368, 1.1217948725388331 ], "p": 0.17098290170982902, "q": 0.38085080380850805, "mdd80": 0.9162862055608539, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.23935389133627, "ci95": [ -4.092261906639887, -0.38051750188418 ], "p": 0.020497950204979503, "q": 0.06307061601532155, "mdd80": 2.6527957502794104, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -6.14035088174198, 1.6260162643650804 ], "p": 0.3391660833916608, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 5.550647758478516, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -0.8196721328024502, 2.426564497088632 ], "p": 0.36946305369463056, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 2.320095835570661, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -3.6195286195286194, "ci95": [ -6.378600826417472, -0.8680555527262774 ], "p": 0.011498850114988501, "q": 0.038329500383295, "mdd80": 3.9384045585252023, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -28.125, "ci95": [ -39.772727288615705, -16.66666665102798 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 16.513976389795438, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -6.644640234948605, "ci95": [ -8.946608948869727, -4.354354352015381 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.2820992369861437, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -4.444444449196073, 5.185185189935703 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 6.88232749828439, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -0.9222661413557368, 2.5232403735601534 ], "p": 0.41025897410258977, "q": 0.52936641819689, "mdd80": 2.4625146679329255, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (GPQA, AIME25, LCB v6)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "aime25", "lcb", "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.08417508417508418, "ci95": [ -2.9824561433614933, 2.807017546867923 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.137755601414013, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -3.4375, "ci95": [ -5.9659090943669355, -0.892857140120187 ], "p": 0.0013998600139986002, "q": 0.005894147427362527, "mdd80": 3.6257266658581173, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.202643171806167, "ci95": [ -3.8179148327437407, -0.5804311756194442 ], "p": 0.009099090090990901, "q": 0.033087600330876, "mdd80": 2.313840057578973, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.0408163290556454, 3.508771933054236 ], "p": 0.8012198780121987, "q": 0.8712642249288584, "mdd80": 3.966308708827846, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -2.6, "ci95": [ -4.521963826150607, -0.6802721068892984 ], "p": 0.0100989901009899, "q": 0.03512692209039965, "mdd80": 2.7456695169210468, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (AIME25, LCB v6, SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "sparq_c8_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.2626262626262625, "ci95": [ -4.1218638023229905, 1.6304347857217778 ], "p": 0.42475752424757524, "q": 0.5393746339651749, "mdd80": 4.111186435453857, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.7708333333333333, "ci95": [ -3.7109375018262867, 0.16025641249069347 ], "p": 0.08709129087091291, "q": 0.23224344232243446, "mdd80": 2.766754831299732, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -2.444444445943024, 0.5208333346404521 ], "p": 0.22947705229477053, "q": 0.4555641996775932, "mdd80": 2.1192936358039813, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -4.065040653194817, 0.8547008573805842 ], "p": 0.401959804019598, "q": 0.5271603987142269, "mdd80": 3.516155195116837, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -4.2, "ci95": [ -6.349206351337289, -2.074688794484463 ], "p": 0.00029997000299970003, "q": 0.001333200013332, "mdd80": 3.05501154518753, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.9259259259259259, "ci95": [ -1.8867924554503221, 3.7634408632346643 ], "p": 0.5517448255174483, "q": 0.6587997916626248, "mdd80": 4.038240056801857, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.5208333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.5625000011234553, 0.5208333343159892 ], "p": 0.36126387361263873, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 1.488965083799441, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -2.4691358040615237, 0.5555555569819539 ], "p": 0.23347665233476653, "q": 0.4555641996775932, "mdd80": 2.1617567142291105, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -3.0303030338813466, 2.2727272753999577 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 3.7900929412164746, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.4578146632684277, 0.6587615303583185 ], "p": 0.206979302069793, "q": 0.42457292732265234, "mdd80": 2.9421303412386135, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 4.04, AIME25 1.49, LCB v6 2.16, Terminal-Bench 2.1 3.79, SWE-bench Verified 2.94)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.7676767676767677, "ci95": [ -4.761904764539125, 1.215277780853518 ], "p": 0.2733726627337266, "q": 0.5086003027604217, "mdd80": 4.271911728282236, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -17.118055555555557, "ci95": [ -26.23697917519958, -8.124999986517375 ], "p": 0.00019998000199980003, "q": 0.0009410823623520001, "mdd80": 12.944690199929747, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -10.499265785609397, "ci95": [ -12.820512823042321, -8.183183180818485 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.3143145179323827, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -0.7575757613739754, 6.666666670290898 ], "p": 0.1713828617138286, "q": 0.38085080380850805, "mdd80": 5.306130116753257, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.4000000020581385, 1.7333333353914715 ], "p": 0.805919408059194, "q": 0.8712642249288584, "mdd80": 2.954106726213602, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (AIME25, LCB v6)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "lcb", "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.8518518518518519, "ci95": [ -4.833333336284078, 1.1111111138935432 ], "p": 0.24027597240275972, "q": 0.45766851886239945, "mdd80": 4.2485137055769595, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -1.7708333333333333, "ci95": [ -3.6057692328957223, 1.5673994204222452e-09 ], "p": 0.0514948505149485, "q": 0.14205476004123724, "mdd80": 2.5770549527646067, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.3127753303964758, "ci95": [ -4.035874441211674, -0.5925925908577527 ], "p": 0.008999100089991, "q": 0.033087600330876, "mdd80": 2.4609246929636828, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -9.09090909669776, 2.3809523870458635 ], "p": 0.3200679932006799, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 8.198976565540775, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -5.266666666666667, "ci95": [ -7.607192256919701, -2.945113786163665 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.332002585858206, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (LCB v6, SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "sparq_c8_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -3.639846746093883, 1.2820512843846628 ], "p": 0.38906109389061094, "q": 0.5271603987142269, "mdd80": 3.5176964668776627, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.5902777777777778, "ci95": [ -0.6510416678359505, 1.8429487194032808 ], "p": 0.3972602739726027, "q": 0.5271603987142269, "mdd80": 1.7824630090447664, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.7709251101321586, "ci95": [ -2.2935779832319323, 0.7473841570011153 ], "p": 0.3447655234476552, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 2.1733854928251053, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -7.246376816055165, 2.040816330762709 ], "p": 0.35236476352364765, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 6.63758702790421, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -10.2, "ci95": [ -12.820512823161254, -7.563025207319987 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.757543430679269, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -3.44202898830597, 1.7857142880276953 ], "p": 0.5718428157184282, "q": 0.6727562537863861, "mdd80": 3.736285054876362, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.5208333333333334, "ci95": [ -0.42892156947436433, 1.4583333342791525 ], "p": 0.3127687231276872, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 1.348827193477191, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.2114537444933922, "ci95": [ -2.61136712896001, 0.16025641175087524 ], "p": 0.1014898510148985, "q": 0.2619092929416736, "mdd80": 1.9808883232238954, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -2.222222227014214, 7.407407412132084 ], "p": 0.3548645135486451, "q": 0.5185446367643938, "mdd80": 6.882327498294768, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.4, "ci95": [ -0.5925925948003573, 3.401360546254811 ], "p": 0.19088091190880913, "q": 0.4018545513869666, "mdd80": 2.854491248328179, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.74, AIME25 1.35, LCB v6 1.98, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.88, SWE-bench Verified 2.85)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -3.367003367003367, "ci95": [ -5.992509366214071, -0.7326007297418518 ], "p": 0.012798720127987202, "q": 0.04095590440955904, "mdd80": 3.75927374196711, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -14.895833333333334, "ci95": [ -24.10714286700908, -5.763888879752601 ], "p": 0.00019998000199980003, "q": 0.0009410823623520001, "mdd80": 13.109983047685773, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -10.38913362701909, "ci95": [ -12.57062147101926, -8.218125957793351 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.1107426432170575, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -5.072463772282192, 3.6036036088308303 ], "p": 0.8659134086591341, "q": 0.9236409692364098, "mdd80": 6.200813463412293, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -0.6, "ci95": [ -2.61707989188724, 1.400560226187191 ], "p": 0.6005399460053995, "q": 0.6962781982671299, "mdd80": 2.871420407537837, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (GPQA, AIME25, LCB v6)" } ], "arm_status_prev": [ { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -2.7491408952443113, 0.7017543877466391 ], "p": 0.30026997300269975, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 2.4663660379330916, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.8680555555555556, "ci95": [ -2.3237179504085157, 0.4807692323363273 ], "p": 0.3243675632436756, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 2.0043760746473733, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -5.176211453744493, "ci95": [ -7.1637426920305, -3.1931464153484086 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 2.83779802169615, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -42.32209737827716, "ci95": [ -50.79365080261101, -34.042553183677484 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 11.97206373345287, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -84.5718329794763, "ci95": [ -87.29508196983062, -81.84523809237905 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.8950210739904962, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (LCB v6, Terminal-Bench 2.1, SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "sparq_c8_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -2.4752475263505405, 0.8090614902600897 ], "p": 0.3665633436656334, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 2.3473062936946647, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.3125, "ci95": [ -1.3257575771524501, 0.5208333343862288 ], "p": 0.9125087491250875, "q": 0.9642193675369306, "mdd80": 1.319764506510194, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.9177679882525698, "ci95": [ -0.7735583701096074, 2.5974025990536616 ], "p": 0.31226877312268775, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 2.409236724893141, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -2.8985507296163715, 7.407407412513095 ], "p": 0.4657534246575342, "q": 0.6009721608484313, "mdd80": 7.365701670343845, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.0777479892761392, "ci95": [ 0.5755395667358043, 3.5612535628283317 ], "p": 0.007499250074992501, "q": 0.46695330466953305, "mdd80": 2.133899465231445, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.35, AIME25 1.32, LCB v6 2.41, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.37, SWE-bench Verified 2.13)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -1.14379085110805, 1.8333333348144374 ], "p": 0.7471252874712528, "q": 0.8662322173579743, "mdd80": 2.127760300076217, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.8680555555555556, "ci95": [ -1.996527779199361, 0.14880952490630892 ], "p": 0.1406859314068593, "q": 0.3517148285171483, "mdd80": 1.5332795210671242, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.11013215859030837, "ci95": [ -1.2931034496447582, 1.507936509447021 ], "p": 0.916008399160084, "q": 0.9642193675369306, "mdd80": 2.0019123327352433, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -3.333333339538966, 7.801418444961817 ], "p": 0.5097490250974902, "q": 0.6473003493301462, "mdd80": 7.958043171424635, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.2717536813922357, "ci95": [ -0.28735632350657414, 2.8688524606413104 ], "p": 0.13928607139286073, "q": 0.903142562456083, "mdd80": 2.255752642572682, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.13, AIME25 1.53, LCB v6 2.00, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.96, SWE-bench Verified 2.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.6835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.703703706167718, 0.3367003387221277 ], "p": 0.1227877212278772, "q": 0.3168715386525863, "mdd80": 2.887689859776582, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -19.96527777777778, "ci95": [ -31.696428583965925, -8.333333318829517 ], "p": 0.00019998000199980003, "q": 0.0009410823623520001, "mdd80": 16.69767987076847, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -20.301027900146842, "ci95": [ -23.611111114234255, -17.030567682354253 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 4.703135708443076, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -2.3255814008439457, 8.333333338275965 ], "p": 0.3344665533446655, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 7.617960893616241, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8059100067159167, "ci95": [ -0.7564296537988717, 2.3643949946574 ], "p": 0.34906509349065096, "q": 0.9746557811751293, "mdd80": 2.2304634861669355, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (AIME25, LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "quest_b2048_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -2.7777777777777777, "ci95": [ -5.188679247533257, -0.3472222197249011 ], "p": 0.027497250274972504, "q": 0.08460692392299232, "mdd80": 3.460205021680552, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -15.694444444444445, "ci95": [ -24.826388900280406, -6.650641015200971 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 12.990265893823617, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -19.86049926578561, "ci95": [ -22.77091906993387, -16.957787478933156 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 4.154663979735059, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -19.475655430711612, "ci95": [ -25.58139535514439, -13.333333327888639 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 8.753729608491495, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": -49.06666666666667, "ci95": [ -52.82485876104211, -45.30612244514715 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 5.37366520192555, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (GPQA, AIME25, LCB v6, Terminal-Bench 2.1, SWE-bench Verified)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "sparq_c8_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.7676767676767677, "ci95": [ -4.28134556803071, 0.7407407434962936 ], "p": 0.18958104189581043, "q": 0.424179804241798, "mdd80": 3.589301355903054, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.6944444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.483974361049123, 1.0416666684090128 ], "p": 0.5264473552644735, "q": 0.6580591940805919, "mdd80": 2.5197870650721255, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -1.7988252569750367, "ci95": [ -3.571428573117547, 1.7298375105492156e-09 ], "p": 0.050994900509949, "q": 0.14712814432842428, "mdd80": 2.5525115720906304, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -7.092198586857561, 4.166666671918152 ], "p": 0.6927307269273073, "q": 0.8149773257968321, "mdd80": 8.04674747355468, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.9259259276982204, 2.6315789493039308 ], "p": 0.37606239376062395, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 2.542560260134806, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.59, AIME25 2.52, LCB v6 2.55, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.05, SWE-bench Verified 2.54)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.4208754208754209, "ci95": [ -2.8846153869517766, 2.0599250963863476 ], "p": 0.7954204579542046, "q": 0.89546600895466, "mdd80": 3.533879101286657, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.4861111111111111, "ci95": [ -0.1602564110125368, 1.1217948725388331 ], "p": 0.17098290170982902, "q": 0.40325379226783203, "mdd80": 0.9162862055608539, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.23935389133627, "ci95": [ -4.092261906639887, -0.38051750188418 ], "p": 0.020497950204979503, "q": 0.0655934406559344, "mdd80": 2.6527957502794104, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": -2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -6.14035088174198, 1.6260162643650804 ], "p": 0.3391660833916608, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 5.550647758478516, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -0.8196721328024502, 2.426564497088632 ], "p": 0.36946305369463056, "q": 0.5372319910866057, "mdd80": 2.320095835570661, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "loss detected (LCB v6)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -3.6195286195286194, "ci95": [ -6.378600826417472, -0.8680555527262774 ], "p": 0.011498850114988501, "q": 0.039996000399960006, "mdd80": 3.9384045585252023, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": 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detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "aime25", "lcb", "swe" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.08417508417508418, "ci95": [ -2.9824561433614933, 2.807017546867923 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.137755601414013, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -3.4375, "ci95": [ -5.9659090943669355, -0.892857140120187 ], "p": 0.0013998600139986002, "q": 0.005894147427362527, "mdd80": 3.6257266658581173, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -2.202643171806167, "ci95": [ -3.8179148327437407, -0.5804311756194442 ], "p": 0.009099090090990901, "q": 0.034663200346632006, "mdd80": 2.313840057578973, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -2.0408163290556454, 3.508771933054236 ], "p": 0.8012198780121987, "q": 0.89546600895466, "mdd80": 3.966308708827846, 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five (MDD80 GPQA 3.74, AIME25 1.35, LCB v6 1.98, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.88, SWE-bench Verified 2.85)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "tri_b4096_s1", "status": "loss detected", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": false, "detected": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb" ], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -3.367003367003367, "ci95": [ -5.992509366214071, -0.7326007297418518 ], "p": 0.012798720127987202, "q": 0.042662400426624, "mdd80": 3.75927374196711, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -14.895833333333334, "ci95": [ -24.10714286700908, -5.763888879752601 ], "p": 0.00019998000199980003, "q": 0.0009410823623520001, "mdd80": 13.109983047685773, "verdict": "loss_detected", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -10.38913362701909, "ci95": [ -12.57062147101926, -8.218125957793351 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "q": 0.0005713714342851429, "mdd80": 3.1107426432170575, 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"n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 165, "a_only": 85, "b_only": 80, "mean_a": 68.8, "mean_b": 68.46666666666667, "rate_a": 68.8, "rate_b": 68.46666666666665, "delta": 0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -1.2820512837723983, 1.9531250015801054 ], "p": 0.7468253174682532, "mid_p": 0.6885, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8, "43": -2.0, "44": 2.2 }, "p_het": 0.12808719128087193, "mdd80": 2.312190971498939, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "fp8kv_s1", "dense_s1" ], "row_arm": "fp8kv_s1", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2.json", "source_md5": "36c8c67e65e750babb97a5f8f94dace6", "q_source": 0.9521547845215478, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 0.9521547845215478, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 0.9521547845215478, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 0.9521547845215478, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 2.31)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": 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2.11)", "throughput_caveat_carried": true, "throughput_quotes_published": { "tb_s7prime": "no detected loss (MDD80 9.18)", "swe_s9": "above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00200)" }, "r4b": "Unchanged in the main study; this archive does not end its published reference/window caveat.", "hypothetical_promotion_r4b": "ended: the rerun's own same-window reference (dense_sxs) replaces R4 (b)'s dense_s1d reading and the (w) flag" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.0618556716894254, 1.0416666682593871 ], "p": 0.6167383261673832, "q": 0.8810547516676903, "mdd80": 2.218097470225805, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.3205128210143112, 0.5208333337325618 ], "p": 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"throughput_quotes_published": null, "r4b": "Unchanged in the main study; this archive does not end its published reference/window caveat.", "hypothetical_promotion_r4b": "ended: the rerun's own same-window reference (dense_sxs) replaces R4 (b)'s dense_s1d reading and the (w) flag" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "fp8kv_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.7676767676767677, "ci95": [ -3.8194444465536432, 0.33003300535645375 ], "p": 0.11248875112488751, "q": 0.5624437556244376, "mdd80": 2.9656449771173903, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -0.4340277785922392, 0.8333333339680795 ], "p": 0.6032396760323968, "q": 0.8810547516676903, "mdd80": 0.9057870927647228, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 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"no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.7575757575757576, "ci95": [ -2.7777777797338405, 1.257861637099707 ], "p": 0.5138486151384861, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 2.884284564669728, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.2777777777777778, "ci95": [ -0.5208333341989333, 1.041666667631973 ], "p": 0.53004699530047, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.116723813029202, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.7709251101321586, "ci95": [ -2.5423728830547305, 1.0014306168911848 ], "p": 0.42645735426457354, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 2.532767841567087, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 3.745318352059925, "ci95": [ -1.2345679053302583, 8.695652178697763 ], "p": 0.18138186181381863, "q": 0.7255274472552745, "mdd80": 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"delta": -1.0763888888888888, "ci95": [ -2.083333334420301, -0.08680555430573689 ], "p": 0.0390960903909609, "q": 0.5382318910966046, "mdd80": 1.426924872202047, "verdict": "nominal_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.579778832661435, 1.5972222237275422 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.270612946899982, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -1.6260162639479452, 5.405405409654057 ], "p": 0.43215678432156784, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 5.025379848422401, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.0666666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.066666668799463, 3.2000000021327972 ], "p": 0.36446355364463556, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 3.0494004915871473, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25)", "throughput_caveat_carried": true, "throughput_quotes_published": { "tb_s7prime": "no detected loss (MDD80 5.04)", "swe_s9": null } }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.4208754208754209, "ci95": [ -2.48226950659365, 3.3653846181874503 ], "p": 0.8228177182281772, "q": 0.9680208449743262, "mdd80": 4.17933734646369, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.3819444444444444, "ci95": [ -1.4583333344188745, 0.6944444457996455 ], "p": 0.5345465453454654, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.5385972534484094, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.0740740754942104, 0.7544581631832463 ], "p": 0.39336066393360664, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 2.0215611540164, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -0.7407407444385912, 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(MDD80 GPQA 3.69, AIME25 1.33, LCB v6 2.11, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.84, SWE-bench Verified 2.91)", "throughput_caveat_carried": true, "throughput_quotes_published": { "tb_s7prime": "no detected loss (MDD80 7.33)", "swe_s9": null } }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.5157232729413543, 2.8619528646417667 ], "p": 0.9486051394860514, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 3.8434425565190344, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.3125, "ci95": [ -0.47348484956914483, 1.116071429443339 ], "p": 0.5286471352864713, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.1360610219797183, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -0.6329113936770066, 2.045454546844798 ], 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2.1106195777060246, "verdict": "gain_detected", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.33, AIME25 1.21, LCB v6 2.07, Terminal-Bench 2.1 8.77, SWE-bench Verified 2.11)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.0618556716894254, 1.0416666682593871 ], "p": 0.6167383261673832, "q": 0.8810547516676903, "mdd80": 2.218097470225805, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.10416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.3205128210143112, 0.5208333337325618 ], "p": 0.8055194480551945, "q": 0.9680208449743262, "mdd80": 0.6013128223394801, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.9177679882525698, "ci95": [ -0.5231689102829274, 2.3696682480067355 ], "p": 0.23637636236376364, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 2.067520088379109, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -3.968253974029337, 7.017543866105296 ], "p": 0.685031496850315, "q": 0.9149751691497516, "mdd80": 7.8515853048496655, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 1.4075067024128687, "ci95": [ -0.1262626277042151, 2.878787880449983 ], "p": 0.07929207079292071, "q": 0.001999800019998, "mdd80": 2.1477193330425757, "verdict": "gain_detected", "source": "sxs" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.22, AIME25 0.60, LCB v6 2.07, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.85, SWE-bench Verified 2.15)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "fp8kv_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -1.7676767676767677, "ci95": [ 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"mdd80": 2.312190971498939, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 2.97, AIME25 0.91, LCB v6 2.55, Terminal-Bench 2.1 7.94, SWE-bench Verified 2.31)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": -0.7575757575757576, "ci95": [ -2.7777777797338405, 1.257861637099707 ], "p": 0.5138486151384861, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 2.884284564669728, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.2777777777777778, "ci95": [ -0.5208333341989333, 1.041666667631973 ], "p": 0.53004699530047, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.116723813029202, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.7709251101321586, "ci95": [ -2.5423728830547305, 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3.0494004915871473, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "nominal only (AIME25)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.4208754208754209, "ci95": [ -2.48226950659365, 3.3653846181874503 ], "p": 0.8228177182281772, "q": 0.9680208449743262, "mdd80": 4.17933734646369, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": -0.3819444444444444, "ci95": [ -1.4583333344188745, 0.6944444457996455 ], "p": 0.5345465453454654, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.5385972534484094, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.0740740754942104, 0.7544581631832463 ], "p": 0.39336066393360664, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 2.0215611540164, "verdict": 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detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.69, AIME25 1.33, LCB v6 2.11, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.84, SWE-bench Verified 2.91)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "blasst_t50_s1", "status": "no detected loss", "benches": [ "gpqa", "aime25", "lcb", "tb", "swe" ], "all_five": true, "lossless_on_five": true, "detected": [], "nominal": [], "above": [ "swe" ], "cells": { "gpqa": { "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.5157232729413543, 2.8619528646417667 ], "p": 0.9486051394860514, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 3.8434425565190344, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "aime25": { "delta": 0.3125, "ci95": [ -0.47348484956914483, 1.116071429443339 ], "p": 0.5286471352864713, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.1360610219797183, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "lcb": { "delta": 0.697503671071953, "ci95": [ -0.6329113936770066, 2.045454546844798 ], "p": 0.3280671932806719, "q": 0.8552744725527447, "mdd80": 1.9142368142606505, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "published" }, "tb": { "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -4.44444444883845, 4.5045045099257885 ], "p": 1.0, "q": 1.0, "mdd80": 6.395842810959819, "verdict": "no_detected_loss", "source": "tbp v1" }, "swe": { "delta": 2.2, "ci95": [ 0.2721088415733056, 4.104477613711747 ], "p": 0.030396960303969604, "q": 0.390960903909609, "mdd80": 2.7390063764106354, "verdict": "nominal_gain", "source": "published" } }, "status_text": "no detected loss on the five (MDD80 GPQA 3.84, AIME25 1.14, LCB v6 1.91, Terminal-Bench 2.1 6.40, SWE-bench Verified 2.74)" } ], "arm_status_changes": [], "sensitivities": { "drop_u36": { "status": "complete", "members": { "fp8kv_s1_sxs|dense_sxs": { "status": "complete", "delta": 0.941346850108617, "ci95": [ -0.5540166219252517, 2.4182076828111176 ], "p": 0.24367563243675633, "n_items": 1381, "mean_a": 88.26937002172339, "mean_b": 87.32802317161477, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0893246187363834, "43": 1.293103448275862, "44": 0.4366812227074236 }, "p_het": 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per arm from the published B12 arm status (throughput_caveat_carried); its quotes of (s7') / (s9) refer to the published cells -- the Qwen3.8 SWE-bench (s9) quote is not recomputed for the rerun cell (not in the sxs plan): the promotion states the caveat without it", "R4 (b) (dense_s1d) and the (w) flag of the two Qwen3.8 SWE-bench cells end (prereg contrasts.B12.source)" ], "notes": [ "No promotion occurred. R4(b), the (w) flag and other main-study caveats remain as published. 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3.21)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "jqs_f_dense", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 89, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 72.39057239057239, "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -3.8095238126395046, 2.8368794361437386 ], "p": 0.8434156584341566, "mid_p": 0.7682, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -2.0202020202020203, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": 0.8377162283771623, "mdd80": 4.750205932936779, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "jqs_f_dense" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/verdicts_noruler.json", "source_md5": "e41a15a47099cab0e07915792d268715", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "no_detected_loss", "q": 1.0, "label": "no_detected_loss", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "no_detected_loss", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "no_detected_loss", "changed": false, "text": "no detected loss (MDD80 4.75)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", 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1.7371259315194247, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.74)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 132, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 86.78414096916299, "delta": -0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.8264840200053487, 1.527777779357057 ], "p": 0.9344065593440656, "mid_p": 0.8682, "per_seed": { "42": -0.22026431718061673, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": -1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3973017741394833, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.40)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 39, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 15, "mean_a": 75.65543071161049, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 75.65543071161049, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -1.5151515200841406, 8.148148152865202 ], "p": 0.22607739226077392, "mid_p": 0.17555, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": 6.741573033707865, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.6657334266573343, "mdd80": 6.90639158052792, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.7143181785717533, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7889877678898777, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.91)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1494, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 168, "a_only": 77, "b_only": 91, "mean_a": 87.21552878179384, "mean_b": 88.15261044176707, "rate_a": 87.0, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -0.9370816599732262, "ci95": [ -2.777777779686044, 0.9150326815462209 ], "p": 0.3608639136086391, "mid_p": 0.32515, "per_seed": { "42": -2.4193548387096775, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.40160642570281124 }, "p_het": 0.4403559644035596, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final dense NVFP4 (sxs) vs Loki k25 d25 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.639263599506673, "se": 0.9448212875464829, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.807486631016043, 0.9370816599732262 ], "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.64)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 26, "mean_a": 89.05723905723906, "mean_b": 90.4040404040404, "delta": -1.3468013468013469, "ci95": [ -3.333333335293308, 0.6666666686591476 ], "p": 0.24497550244975502, "mid_p": 0.1889, "per_seed": { "42": -0.5050505050505051, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.8588129608296895, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.86)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 19, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 98.125, "delta": 0.7638888888888888, "ci95": [ -0.18939394070715038, 1.7628205139850017 ], "p": 0.20037996200379962, "mid_p": 0.15035, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": 1.0416666666666667, "44": 1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.3952539949695775, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7177789683718195, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7177789683718195, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.40)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 150, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 86.78414096916299, "delta": -0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.9607843157375422, 1.6666666685303504 ], "p": 0.9351064893510649, "mid_p": 0.8733, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8810572687224669, "43": 0.44052863436123346, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5925509695881312, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.59)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 29, "mean_a": 69.66292134831461, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 69.66292134831461, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -8.000000004769852, 2.7777777827864423 ], "p": 0.410958904109589, "mid_p": 0.3404, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 0.0, "44": -5.617977528089888 }, "p_het": 0.7071292870712929, "mdd80": 7.702912699390714, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9001281690012817, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8920189062174864, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9001281690012817, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.70)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1492, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 151, "a_only": 59, "b_only": 92, "mean_a": 85.85790884718499, "mean_b": 88.06970509383378, "rate_a": 85.46666666666665, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -2.2117962466487935, "ci95": [ -3.7921348331114793, -0.651041665156904 ], "p": 0.006199380061993801, "mid_p": 0.0049, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6060606060606061, "43": -2.6052104208416833, "44": -3.4136546184738954 }, "p_het": 0.3665633436656334, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.40 (sxs) vs Loki k25 d25 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.244949462712267, "se": 0.8046141912079894, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -3.8127728304522437, -0.6036217303822937 ], "q": 0.11445009345219324, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": true, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.00620, q 0.114)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 27, "mean_a": 89.8989898989899, "mean_b": 90.4040404040404, "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.4561403529031347, 1.4184397183308373 ], "p": 0.7516248375162484, "mid_p": 0.6357, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": -1.5151515151515151, "44": -0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7691749286177654, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.77)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 21, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 98.125, "delta": 0.7638888888888888, "ci95": [ -0.29761904876775314, 1.8939393954952308 ], "p": 0.23767623237676233, "mid_p": 0.19005, "per_seed": { "42": 0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.625, "44": 1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.5663139196709959, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.57)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 131, "mean_a": 87.88546255506608, "mean_b": 86.78414096916299, "delta": 1.1013215859030836, "ci95": [ -0.4629629646064706, 2.6905829612590537 ], "p": 0.20937906209379062, "mid_p": 0.1782, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": 1.5418502202643172, "44": 1.5418502202643172 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2538494891319463, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7178710700358535, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7178710700358535, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.25)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 43, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 19, "mean_a": 74.15730337078652, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 74.15730337078651, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -3.787878793593305, 7.619047626339925 ], "p": 0.6061393860613938, "mid_p": 0.51885, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": 4.49438202247191, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.6140385961403859, "mdd80": 8.152567265078268, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9896228920154344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.15)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1495, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 165, "a_only": 81, "b_only": 84, "mean_a": 87.89297658862876, "mean_b": 88.09364548494983, "rate_a": 87.66666666666667, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -0.20066889632107024, "ci95": [ -1.8617021293089184, 1.4473684226684664 ], "p": 0.8717128287171283, "mid_p": 0.8111, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4032258064516129, "43": 0.8, "44": -1.8036072144288577 }, "p_het": 0.44565543445655437, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.60 (sxs) vs Loki k25 d25 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.3650034432363083, "se": 0.8388298841040898, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -1.8691588785046729, 1.4696058784235138 ], "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9335264820625375, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9335264820625375, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.37)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 28, "mean_a": 91.07744107744108, "mean_b": 90.4040404040404, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -1.0638297890600246, 2.4305555573638156 ], "p": 0.5836416358364164, "mid_p": 0.4671, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4974485271546913, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.50)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 19, "mean_a": 99.02777777777777, "mean_b": 98.125, "delta": 0.9027777777777778, "ci95": [ -0.2777777789663399, 2.083333334953736 ], "p": 0.18598140185981402, "mid_p": 0.1483, "per_seed": { "42": 0.625, "43": 1.0416666666666667, "44": 1.0416666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.6874937619409986, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6867005607131595, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.69)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 149, "mean_a": 88.91336270190895, "mean_b": 86.78414096916299, "delta": 2.129221732745962, "ci95": [ 0.42194092663498944, 3.8580246931712643 ], "p": 0.019198080191980802, "mid_p": 0.0159, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8810572687224669, "43": 3.303964757709251, "44": 2.202643171806167 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4557801991410098, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.271031720357376, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.255974402559744, "label": "above_nominal", "q_prev": 0.271031720357376, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.271031720357376, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "above, nominal (p 0.0192, q 0.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 44, "a_only": 23, "b_only": 21, "mean_a": 73.03370786516854, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 73.03370786516854, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -4.761904767737165, 6.289308180753699 ], "p": 0.8915108489151085, "mid_p": 0.78695, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.8816118388161184, "mdd80": 7.898337694704186, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.90)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1497, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 163, "a_only": 76, "b_only": 87, "mean_a": 87.374749498998, "mean_b": 88.10955243820975, "rate_a": 87.33333333333333, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -0.7348029392117569, "ci95": [ -2.4045261686707056, 0.9497964738897519 ], "p": 0.4420557944205579, "mid_p": 0.39535, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6036217303822937, "43": -0.6, "44": -1.0 }, "p_het": 0.9809019098090191, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 32 (sxs) vs Loki k25 d25 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.397345258970233, "se": 0.8574113988611762, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.408026755852843, 0.9345794392523364 ], "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.40)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 21, "mean_a": 90.9090909090909, "mean_b": 90.4040404040404, "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -1.111111112888948, 2.1604938286748427 ], "p": 0.6963303669633036, "mid_p": 0.56445, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": 2.0202020202020203, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.338226650103822, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 21, "mean_a": 98.26388888888889, "mean_b": 98.125, "delta": 0.1388888888888889, "ci95": [ -0.7440476200018075, 1.0416666675226263 ], "p": 0.8736126387361264, "mid_p": 0.75475, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": 0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.2762557861173156, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.28)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 126, "mean_a": 88.54625550660793, "mean_b": 86.78414096916299, "delta": 1.7621145374449338, "ci95": [ 0.1388888873595995, 3.4428795010092097 ], "p": 0.04839516048395161, "mid_p": 0.04115, "per_seed": { "42": -0.44052863436123346, "43": 1.5418502202643172, "44": 4.185022026431718 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3613727948569814, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.4989501049895011, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "above_nominal", "q_prev": 0.4989501049895011, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.4989501049895011, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "above, nominal (p 0.0484, q 0.47)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 52, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 27, "mean_a": 71.53558052434457, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 71.53558052434458, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -6.976744192490723, 5.426356595523317 ], "p": 0.9081091890810918, "mid_p": 0.81175, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 0.0, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.947005299470053, "mdd80": 8.864536313053698, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.86)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1496, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 153, "a_only": 78, "b_only": 75, "mean_a": 88.30213903743315, "mean_b": 88.10160427807487, "rate_a": 88.13333333333333, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": 0.20053475935828877, "ci95": [ -1.3836478002278776, 1.783264747850711 ], "p": 0.8695130486951305, "mid_p": 0.8061, "per_seed": { "42": 1.4112903225806452, "43": -0.6, "44": -0.2 }, "p_het": 0.5645435456454354, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 64 (sxs) vs Loki k25 d25 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.2634026573288124, "se": 0.8087187535983196, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -1.3396071748589038, 1.8024032042723632 ], "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 26, "mean_a": 90.74074074074075, "mean_b": 90.4040404040404, "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -1.360544219398998, 2.0000000016406414 ], "p": 0.8493150684931506, "mid_p": 0.71, "per_seed": { "42": 2.0202020202020203, "43": 0.0, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.401791841264115, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.40)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 24, "mean_a": 98.54166666666667, "mean_b": 98.125, "delta": 0.4166666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.6944444458444331, 1.562500001441553 ], "p": 0.5540445955404459, "mid_p": 0.48095, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": 0.625, "44": 1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.613045507849572, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.61)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 140, "mean_a": 87.37151248164464, "mean_b": 86.78414096916299, "delta": 0.5873715124816447, "ci95": [ -1.174743026720952, 2.328966522826701 ], "p": 0.5777422257774223, "mid_p": 0.5233, "per_seed": { "42": 0.44052863436123346, "43": 0.22026431718061673, "44": 1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5041125653330476, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.50)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 50, "a_only": 28, "b_only": 22, "mean_a": 74.53183520599251, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 74.53183520599252, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -3.1746031803310597, 7.692307698512629 ], "p": 0.49855014498550143, "mid_p": 0.4189, "per_seed": { "42": 4.49438202247191, "43": 5.617977528089888, "44": -3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.35536446355364465, "mdd80": 7.766616408480572, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9496193237819075, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.927535153461398, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9496193237819075, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9496193237819075, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.77)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1497, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 153, "a_only": 81, "b_only": 72, "mean_a": 88.71075484301937, "mean_b": 88.10955243820975, "rate_a": 88.60000000000001, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": 0.6012024048096193, "ci95": [ -0.9433962279678647, 2.147651008265455 ], "p": 0.49545045495450457, "mid_p": 0.4428, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8048289738430584, "43": 1.6, "44": -0.6 }, "p_het": 0.5640435956404359, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 128 (sxs) vs Loki k25 d25 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.2091814731872286, "se": 0.7712183777034499, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -0.9345794392523364, 2.1361815754339117 ], "q": 0.927535153461398, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.21)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 28, "mean_a": 90.57239057239057, "mean_b": 89.22558922558923, "delta": 1.3468013468013469, "ci95": [ -0.3472222239687236, 3.030303031986951 ], "p": 0.17128287171282872, "mid_p": 0.12495, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4139282419286885, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6851314868513149, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 11, "mean_a": 98.68055555555556, "mean_b": 98.68055555555556, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.1718750011038983, 1.282051283538429 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.96925, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": -0.625, "44": 1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.7538290651310504, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.75)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 147, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": -0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -2.801120449936828, 0.8810572705565267 ], "p": 0.34956504349565043, "mid_p": 0.3128, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6607929515418502, "43": 0.22026431718061673, "44": -2.4229074889867843 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.631664345255797, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.63)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 37, "a_only": 23, "b_only": 14, "mean_a": 75.65543071161049, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 75.65543071161049, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -1.626016265578179, 8.3333333394528 ], "p": 0.24867513248675133, "mid_p": 0.19765, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": 7.865168539325842, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.33766623337666235, "mdd80": 7.11797942604078, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.7199280071992801, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "b": "sparq_c8_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1491, "n_clusters": 499, "n_diff_items": 150, "a_only": 62, "b_only": 88, "mean_a": 87.32394366197182, "mean_b": 89.06773977196512, "rate_a": 87.0, "rate_b": 88.66666666666667, "delta": -1.743796109993293, "ci95": [ -3.481894152216972, 1.7567496162953994e-09 ], "p": 0.06009399060093991, "mid_p": 0.05055, "per_seed": { "42": -4.233870967741935, "43": -1.002004008016032, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.0724927507249275, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "sparq_c8_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final dense NVFP4 (sxs) vs SparQ c8 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.4885210314453583, "se": 0.8888652643159346, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -3.4853131298964475, 0.0 ], "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.49)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 27, "mean_a": 89.05723905723906, "mean_b": 89.22558922558923, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.1052631599145233, 1.754385966910815 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8688, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": -2.0202020202020203, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.758503734280102, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.76)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 16, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 98.68055555555556, "delta": 0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -0.568181819253292, 1.0416666677186204 ], "p": 0.8117188281171883, "mid_p": 0.7102, "per_seed": { "42": -0.625, "43": 0.625, "44": 0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.1505639287449543, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.15)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 151, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": -0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -2.6722925473548518, 0.7473841571850157 ], "p": 0.30626937306269375, "mid_p": 0.27145, "per_seed": { "42": -1.3215859030837005, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": -1.3215859030837005 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.44405401878148, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7975976595888798, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7891125781038917, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7975976595888798, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7975976595888798, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.44)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 29, "mean_a": 69.66292134831461, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 69.66292134831461, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -8.163265311133618, 2.9761904806244814 ], "p": 0.42885711428857115, "mid_p": 0.3587, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": -6.741573033707865 }, "p_het": 0.48935106489351066, "mdd80": 7.961405140650077, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9153956399231872, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9153956399231872, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.910846968400505, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.96)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "b": "sparq_c8_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1490, "n_clusters": 499, "n_diff_items": 164, "a_only": 59, "b_only": 105, "mean_a": 85.90604026845638, "mean_b": 88.99328859060402, "rate_a": 85.46666666666665, "rate_b": 88.66666666666667, "delta": -3.087248322147651, "ci95": [ -4.903417535441911, -1.2787723767996138 ], "p": 0.000999900009999, "mid_p": 0.00075, "per_seed": { "42": -2.620967741935484, "43": -3.6144578313253013, "44": -3.024193548387097 }, "p_het": 0.8824117588241176, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "sparq_c8_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.40 (sxs) vs SparQ c8 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.590545636924043, "se": 0.9245392834501502, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -4.909295771970808, -1.277740416946873 ], "q": 0.029997000299970003, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.20957904209579042, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.20957904209579042, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": true, "text": "below, detected (p 0.0010, q 0.0300)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 36, "mean_a": 89.8989898989899, "mean_b": 89.22558922558923, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -1.6666666689785772, 2.9962546842288083 ], "p": 0.6704329567043296, "mid_p": 0.576, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5151515151515151, "43": -1.0101010101010102, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.3326049966767046, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.33)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 17, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 98.68055555555556, "delta": 0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -0.8012820524556257, 1.2820512833011244 ], "p": 0.835916408359164, "mid_p": 0.75075, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": 0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.4889650840262203, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.49)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 140, "mean_a": 87.88546255506608, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.4322916681949591, 2.0100502532142572 ], "p": 0.8082191780821918, "mid_p": 0.747, "per_seed": { "42": -0.22026431718061673, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": 0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.460252922702001, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.46)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 39, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 17, "mean_a": 74.15730337078652, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 74.15730337078651, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -3.4722222271717547, 7.189542488287753 ], "p": 0.5933406659334066, "mid_p": 0.5046, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": 5.617977528089888, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.47835216478352166, "mdd80": 7.619997780938653, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9896228920154344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.62)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "b": "sparq_c8_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1493, "n_clusters": 499, "n_diff_items": 157, "a_only": 70, "b_only": 87, "mean_a": 87.87675820495646, "mean_b": 89.01540522438044, "rate_a": 87.66666666666667, "rate_b": 88.66666666666667, "delta": -1.1386470194239786, "ci95": [ -2.8277634977610306, 0.5449591297777763 ], "p": 0.2111788821117888, "mid_p": 0.1848, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6096579476861168, "43": -0.20040080160320642, "44": -1.6096579476861168 }, "p_het": 0.7182281771822818, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "sparq_c8_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.60 (sxs) vs SparQ c8 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.410495787841033, "se": 0.8571471662941748, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.8112449799196786, 0.5365526492287056 ], "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 31, "mean_a": 91.07744107744108, "mean_b": 89.22558922558923, "delta": 1.8518518518518519, "ci95": [ -2.0357777674359163e-09, 3.8011695923297997 ], "p": 0.0918908109189081, "mid_p": 0.067, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5151515151515151, "43": 1.5151515151515151, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7167082229865946, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.72)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 12, "mean_a": 99.02777777777777, "mean_b": 98.68055555555556, "delta": 0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -0.555555556467294, 1.325757577106979 ], "p": 0.6911308869113089, "mid_p": 0.59615, "per_seed": { "42": 0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.625, "44": 0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.3445805910817135, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 146, "mean_a": 88.91336270190895, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": 1.3215859030837005, "ci95": [ -0.28985507404904226, 2.9166666681757807 ], "p": 0.12138786121387861, "mid_p": 0.1027, "per_seed": { "42": 0.44052863436123346, "43": 2.643171806167401, "44": 0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2917114766991586, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.571236993947664, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.29)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 38, "a_only": 20, "b_only": 18, "mean_a": 73.03370786516854, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 73.03370786516854, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -4.1666666712251335, 5.673758869905527 ], "p": 0.879012098790121, "mid_p": 0.7645, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": 3.3707865168539324, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.7544245575442455, "mdd80": 7.0329840123165726, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.03)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "b": "sparq_c8_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1494, "n_clusters": 499, "n_diff_items": 146, "a_only": 61, "b_only": 85, "mean_a": 87.41633199464525, "mean_b": 89.0227576974565, "rate_a": 87.33333333333333, "rate_b": 88.66666666666667, "delta": -1.606425702811245, "ci95": [ -3.2171581785565673, 1.6202427501200674e-09 ], "p": 0.0608939106089391, "mid_p": 0.0501, "per_seed": { "42": -2.414486921529175, "43": -1.6032064128256514, "44": -0.8032128514056225 }, "p_het": 0.7075292470752925, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "sparq_c8_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 32 (sxs) vs SparQ c8 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.299313373360197, "se": 0.810468829267462, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -3.21285140562249, -0.06684491978609626 ], "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7166052625506681, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.30)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 30, "mean_a": 90.9090909090909, "mean_b": 89.22558922558923, "delta": 1.6835016835016836, "ci95": [ -1.86744496972489e-09, 3.472222224068079 ], "p": 0.10118988101189881, "mid_p": 0.0707, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5151515151515151, "43": 2.525252525252525, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4816084731442363, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.48)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 17, "mean_a": 98.26388888888889, "mean_b": 98.68055555555556, "delta": -0.4166666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.1363636373592418, 0.32051282137481024 ], "p": 0.35236476352364765, "mid_p": 0.2721, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.0412343246102842, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.04)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 125, "mean_a": 88.54625550660793, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": 0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -0.5952380968083526, 2.510460252519894 ], "p": 0.266973302669733, "mid_p": 0.23195, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8810572687224669, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": 2.8634361233480177 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.219652671178472, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.22)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 48, "a_only": 23, "b_only": 25, "mean_a": 71.53558052434457, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 71.53558052434458, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -5.92592593103679, 4.444444449578706 ], "p": 0.8875112488751125, "mid_p": 0.78025, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": -3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.8246175382461753, "mdd80": 7.411737305853335, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "b": "sparq_c8_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1494, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 148, "a_only": 69, "b_only": 79, "mean_a": 88.28647925033466, "mean_b": 88.95582329317268, "rate_a": 88.13333333333333, "rate_b": 88.66666666666667, "delta": -0.6693440428380187, "ci95": [ -2.3514851500672, 1.0204081648740573 ], "p": 0.47625237476252374, "mid_p": 0.43075, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6036217303822937, "43": -1.6032064128256514, "44": 0.20080321285140562 }, "p_het": 0.6539346065393461, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "sparq_c8_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 64 (sxs) vs SparQ c8 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.4099030754410045, "se": 0.8439531928840626, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.3333722481654435, 1.0053787874701288 ], "q": 0.9217787898629491, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.996220377962204, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 31, "mean_a": 90.74074074074075, "mean_b": 89.22558922558923, "delta": 1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -1.628435289734566e-09, 3.092783506760805 ], "p": 0.0974902509749025, "mid_p": 0.0649, "per_seed": { "42": 3.0303030303030303, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.210422392521721, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.21)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 16, "mean_a": 98.54166666666667, "mean_b": 98.68055555555556, "delta": -0.1388888888888889, "ci95": [ -1.041666667644759, 0.8333333343125786 ], "p": 0.8957104289571043, "mid_p": 0.79485, "per_seed": { "42": -1.25, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": 0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.3400685754636923, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 153, "mean_a": 87.37151248164464, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": -0.22026431718061673, "ci95": [ -2.053712482219473, 1.6081871363179054 ], "p": 0.8748125187481252, "mid_p": 0.8143, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -0.44052863436123346, "44": -0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.617171520096925, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.62)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 42, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 18, "mean_a": 74.53183520599251, "mean_b": 72.28464419475655, "rate_a": 74.53183520599252, "rate_b": 72.28464419475655, "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -2.614379089204644, 7.0175438652388245 ], "p": 0.44285571442855715, "mid_p": 0.3638, "per_seed": { "42": 4.49438202247191, "43": 6.741573033707865, "44": -4.49438202247191 }, "p_het": 0.15878412158784122, "mdd80": 6.883966538166853, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9153956399231872, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9153956399231872, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.88)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "b": "sparq_c8_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1494, "n_clusters": 499, "n_diff_items": 154, "a_only": 75, "b_only": 79, "mean_a": 88.75502008032129, "mean_b": 89.0227576974565, "rate_a": 88.60000000000001, "rate_b": 88.66666666666667, "delta": -0.2677376171352075, "ci95": [ -1.9178082208620872, 1.3812154713147817 ], "p": 0.8124187581241876, "mid_p": 0.752, "per_seed": { "42": -1.2072434607645874, "43": 0.40080160320641284, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.6970302969703029, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "sparq_c8_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 27, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 128 (sxs) vs SparQ c8 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.3578229199900647, "se": 0.8441689665453791, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -1.9385026737967914, 1.4056224899598393 ], "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.36)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 71, "mean_a": 83.5016835016835, "mean_b": 84.34343434343434, "delta": -0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -3.9426523330467447, 2.2471910146605723 ], "p": 0.671032896710329, "mid_p": 0.59775, "per_seed": { "42": -3.5353535353535355, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.423901092611461, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.42)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 12, "mean_a": 92.15277777777777, "mean_b": 92.29166666666667, "delta": -0.1388888888888889, "ci95": [ -0.9615384624980391, 0.6250000011618602 ], "p": 0.8745125487451255, "mid_p": 0.7492, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": 1.6666666666666667, "44": -1.6666666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.1339041795710096, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.13)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 192, "mean_a": 80.1762114537445, "mean_b": 77.23935389133626, "delta": 2.9368575624082234, "ci95": [ 0.9222661378514434, 4.943502826784628 ], "p": 0.004999500049995001, "mid_p": 0.00395, "per_seed": { "42": 4.6255506607929515, "43": 1.3215859030837005, "44": 2.8634361233480177 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.8739908883816834, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.10908000109080002, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.09999000099990002, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.10908000109080002, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.10908000109080002, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": true, "text": "above, detected (p 0.00500, q 0.100)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 50, "a_only": 27, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 40.823970037453186, "mean_b": 39.325842696629216, "rate_a": 40.823970037453186, "rate_b": 39.325842696629216, "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -3.546099295558652, 6.521739135289828 ], "p": 0.656934306569343, "mid_p": 0.5568, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.9088091190880911, "mdd80": 7.195516741302231, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.20)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 177, "a_only": 98, "b_only": 79, "mean_a": 70.53333333333333, "mean_b": 69.26666666666667, "rate_a": 70.53333333333333, "rate_b": 69.26666666666667, "delta": 1.2666666666666666, "ci95": [ -0.41841004359767614, 2.968960865418953 ], "p": 0.17068293170682933, "mid_p": 0.14895, "per_seed": { "42": 3.2, "43": -0.8, "44": 1.4 }, "p_het": 0.1924807519248075, "mdd80": 2.420964962066358, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6851314868513149, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.42)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 69, "mean_a": 84.51178451178451, "mean_b": 84.34343434343434, "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.71317829788041, 3.0927835081335058 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.91005, "per_seed": { "42": -0.5050505050505051, "43": 0.0, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.149539711178466, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.15)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 19, "mean_a": 90.48611111111111, "mean_b": 92.29166666666667, "delta": -1.8055555555555556, "ci95": [ -3.720238097298502, -0.148809522024288 ], "p": 0.035896410358964105, "mid_p": 0.0238, "per_seed": { "42": -2.7083333333333335, "43": 0.0, "44": -2.7083333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5525115723956873, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.426502804265028, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.40795920407959196, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.426502804265028, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.426502804265028, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0359, q 0.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 228, "mean_a": 75.33039647577093, "mean_b": 77.23935389133626, "delta": -1.908957415565345, "ci95": [ -4.07569141408272, 0.28368794537232855 ], "p": 0.09509049095090491, "mid_p": 0.0822, "per_seed": { "42": -2.8634361233480177, "43": -2.643171806167401, "44": -0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.1156625504172517, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 49, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 25, "mean_a": 38.951310861423224, "mean_b": 39.325842696629216, "rate_a": 38.951310861423224, "rate_b": 39.325842696629216, "delta": -0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -5.69105691633734, 5.000000005974394 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.89215, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.8942105789421058, "mdd80": 7.640933016068078, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.64)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 209, "a_only": 104, "b_only": 105, "mean_a": 69.2, "mean_b": 69.26666666666667, "rate_a": 69.2, "rate_b": 69.26666666666667, "delta": -0.06666666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.0661157045421543, 1.9455252937804548 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.94715, "per_seed": { "42": 0.2, "43": -1.6, "44": 1.2 }, "p_het": 0.4470552944705529, "mdd80": 2.8671328172170543, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.87)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 67, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 84.34343434343434, "delta": -1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -4.301075271778311, 1.3468013496648301 ], "p": 0.35676432356764326, "mid_p": 0.30205, "per_seed": { "42": -2.525252525252525, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": -1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.036555717648586, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.04)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 18, "mean_a": 91.11111111111111, "mean_b": 92.29166666666667, "delta": -1.1805555555555556, "ci95": [ -2.5000000019953106, 1.3690148439065123e-09 ], "p": 0.0805919408059194, "mid_p": 0.05615, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": -1.25, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.78675810115753, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5526114055261141, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.79)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 212, "mean_a": 79.00146842878121, "mean_b": 77.23935389133626, "delta": 1.7621145374449338, "ci95": [ -0.2949852528042898, 3.809523811419767 ], "p": 0.10868913108689131, "mid_p": 0.09415, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5418502202643172, "43": 0.44052863436123346, "44": 3.303964757709251 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.933505924763031, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.93)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 30, "b_only": 21, "mean_a": 42.69662921348315, "mean_b": 39.325842696629216, "rate_a": 42.696629213483156, "rate_b": 39.325842696629216, "delta": 3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -2.272727278417154, 8.974358979132163 ], "p": 0.29587041295870414, "mid_p": 0.2414, "per_seed": { "42": 10.112359550561798, "43": 0.0, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.1967803219678032, "mdd80": 8.038328983220085, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.7889877678898777, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7803175726383406, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7889877678898777, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7889877678898777, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.04)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 178, "a_only": 86, "b_only": 92, "mean_a": 68.86666666666666, "mean_b": 69.26666666666667, "rate_a": 68.86666666666667, "rate_b": 69.26666666666667, "delta": -0.4, "ci95": [ -2.099737534477584, 1.3100436699874975 ], "p": 0.7023297670232976, "mid_p": 0.64755, "per_seed": { "42": 2.4, "43": -3.2, "44": -0.4 }, "p_het": 0.04279572042795721, "mdd80": 2.4369816728215463, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.44)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 69, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 84.34343434343434, "delta": -1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -4.513888891979601, 1.449275365498481 ], "p": 0.36746325367463256, "mid_p": 0.31645, "per_seed": { "42": -3.5353535353535355, "43": -1.5151515151515151, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.261892812497439, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8479921238645367, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 13, "mean_a": 91.25, "mean_b": 92.29166666666667, "delta": -1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.2986111139395584, 0.6944444466271573 ], "p": 0.8088191180881912, "mid_p": 0.73615, "per_seed": { "42": -0.625, "43": 0.0, "44": -2.5 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.853849744645369, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.85)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 213, "mean_a": 77.01908957415566, "mean_b": 77.23935389133626, "delta": -0.22026431718061673, "ci95": [ -2.4216524237805155, 1.9696969719569477 ], "p": 0.8946105389461054, "mid_p": 0.8441, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 0.22026431718061673, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.138511638915265, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.14)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 49, "a_only": 30, "b_only": 19, "mean_a": 43.445692883895134, "mean_b": 39.325842696629216, "rate_a": 43.445692883895134, "rate_b": 39.325842696629216, "delta": 4.119850187265918, "ci95": [ -0.8333333388403994, 9.219858160854592 ], "p": 0.14408559144085592, "mid_p": 0.1122, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 6.741573033707865 }, "p_het": 0.8173182681731826, "mdd80": 7.185048532158081, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.6650104220347196, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6403804064038041, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6650104220347196, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6650104220347196, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.19)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 196, "a_only": 92, "b_only": 104, "mean_a": 68.46666666666667, "mean_b": 69.26666666666667, "rate_a": 68.46666666666667, "rate_b": 69.26666666666667, "delta": -0.8, "ci95": [ -2.6722925476815185, 1.066666668526631 ], "p": 0.45265473452654736, "mid_p": 0.4128, "per_seed": { "42": 2.0, "43": -3.6, "44": -0.8 }, "p_het": 0.045495450454954504, "mdd80": 2.6722462641868856, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9206536973421303, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9053094690530947, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9206536973421303, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9206536973421303, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.67)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 68, "mean_a": 83.33333333333333, "mean_b": 84.34343434343434, "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -3.5598705526115073, 1.5576324011229228 ], "p": 0.5229477052294771, "mid_p": 0.4466, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": -3.0303030303030303 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.6574959391910298, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9729259632176318, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9508140095081402, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9729259632176318, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9729259632176318, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.66)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 12, "mean_a": 91.25, "mean_b": 92.29166666666667, "delta": -1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.256944445972537, 1.2110193671598567e-09 ], "p": 0.08089191080891911, "mid_p": 0.0485, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6666666666666667, "43": -0.20833333333333334, "44": -1.25 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.6130455077763648, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5526114055261141, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.61)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 217, "mean_a": 78.48751835535977, "mean_b": 77.23935389133626, "delta": 1.2481644640234948, "ci95": [ -0.761035009693213, 3.271028039520875 ], "p": 0.26347365263473654, "mid_p": 0.2358, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1013215859030836, "43": -0.44052863436123346, "44": 3.0837004405286343 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.8817285231464527, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.88)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 59, "a_only": 32, "b_only": 27, "mean_a": 41.19850187265918, "mean_b": 39.325842696629216, "rate_a": 41.19850187265917, "rate_b": 39.325842696629216, "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -3.623188411099851, 7.4074074128626695 ], "p": 0.5916408359164084, "mid_p": 0.5075, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": 4.49438202247191, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.6119388061193881, "mdd80": 7.88360256901458, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": 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"source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6851314868513149, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.59)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 62, "mean_a": 84.34343434343434, "mean_b": 84.34343434343434, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -2.962962966219239, 2.970297032614055 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.95555, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0202020202020203, "43": 2.0202020202020203, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.240520141969126, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.24)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 12, "mean_a": 91.59722222222223, "mean_b": 92.29166666666667, "delta": -0.6944444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.0833333350784846, 0.4629629649098219 ], "p": 0.5753424657534246, "mid_p": 0.4996, "per_seed": { "42": -1.875, "43": 0.625, "44": -0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.8198462143315983, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", 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0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.06)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 53, "a_only": 30, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 41.947565543071164, "mean_b": 39.325842696629216, "rate_a": 41.947565543071164, "rate_b": 39.325842696629216, "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -3.0303030360091787, 8.163265311152227 ], "p": 0.43945605439456054, "mid_p": 0.3698, "per_seed": { "42": 8.98876404494382, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.20527947205279473, "mdd80": 8.00007955929451, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": 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"jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9496193237819075, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.927535153461398, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9496193237819075, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9496193237819075, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 53, "mean_a": 83.5016835016835, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.10526316061578, 3.086419755451124 ], "p": 0.8012198780121987, "mid_p": 0.7076, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.7105125985761274, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.71)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 17, "mean_a": 92.15277777777777, "mean_b": 91.11111111111111, "delta": 1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.41666666886904685, 2.564102565869092 ], "p": 0.22857714228577142, "mid_p": 0.19265, "per_seed": { "42": 0.625, "43": 2.0833333333333335, "44": 0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.1303654282729036, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": 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0.2264773522647735, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.213155155072728, "label": "above_nominal", "q_prev": 0.2264773522647735, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.2264773522647735, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "above, nominal (p 0.0151, q 0.21)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 48, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 40.823970037453186, "mean_b": 40.0749063670412, "rate_a": 40.823970037453186, "rate_b": 40.0749063670412, "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -5.0314465457242825, 6.521739136019491 ], "p": 0.9006099390060994, "mid_p": 0.80165, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1235955056179776, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.8901109889011098, "mdd80": 8.25709923330132, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": 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"log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7237171019740132, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7237171019740132, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.64)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 63, "mean_a": 84.51178451178451, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": 1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -0.8032128541643682, 3.8759689949675513 ], "p": 0.2642735726427357, "mid_p": 0.21185, "per_seed": { "42": 3.0303030303030303, "43": 0.0, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.3442264257898646, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 16, "mean_a": 90.48611111111111, "mean_b": 91.11111111111111, "delta": -0.625, "ci95": [ -1.8939393956814699, 0.5208333347785407 ], "p": 0.48655134486551344, "mid_p": 0.41475, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6666666666666667, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.725845893118962, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", 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0.426502804265028, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.40795920407959196, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.426502804265028, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.426502804265028, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0391, q 0.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 27, "mean_a": 38.951310861423224, "mean_b": 40.0749063670412, "rate_a": 38.951310861423224, "rate_b": 40.0749063670412, "delta": -1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -6.250000004752894, 4.000000004545958 ], "p": 0.7785221477852214, "mid_p": 0.67425, "per_seed": { "42": -4.49438202247191, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.6233376662333766, "mdd80": 7.325708211533366, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": 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"q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.72)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 22, "mean_a": 91.11111111111111, "mean_b": 91.11111111111111, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.1111111122321273, 1.1217948730996272 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9531, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8333333333333334, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.5958651412182558, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.60)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 206, "mean_a": 79.00146842878121, "mean_b": 77.67988252569751, "delta": 1.3215859030837005, "ci95": [ -0.6172839526531577, 3.286384978618167 ], "p": 0.2141785821417858, "mid_p": 0.1891, "per_seed": { "42": 1.3215859030837005, "43": 2.202643171806167, "44": 0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7899648311198586, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7235943072359431, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7235943072359431, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.79)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 53, "a_only": 30, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 42.69662921348315, "mean_b": 40.0749063670412, "rate_a": 42.696629213483156, "rate_b": 40.0749063670412, "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -3.1746031807470785, 8.496732031252286 ], "p": 0.4450554944505549, "mid_p": 0.3777, "per_seed": { "42": 7.865168539325842, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.3067693230676932, "mdd80": 8.341541085320538, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9153956399231872, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9153956399231872, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9153956399231872, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 183, "a_only": 88, "b_only": 95, "mean_a": 68.86666666666666, "mean_b": 69.33333333333333, "rate_a": 68.86666666666667, "rate_b": 69.33333333333333, "delta": -0.4666666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.2757697474601803, 1.366120220453916 ], "p": 0.6623337666233376, "mid_p": 0.61135, "per_seed": { "42": 0.2, "43": -1.0, "44": -0.6 }, "p_het": 0.8698130186981302, "mdd80": 2.602870557975178, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.60)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 61, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.8673835154088376, 2.50896057632836 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9009, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -1.5151515151515151, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.8424905390377884, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.84)" }, { "model": 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454, "n_diff_items": 195, "mean_a": 77.01908957415566, "mean_b": 77.67988252569751, "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.714932128799928, 1.3953488393726086 ], "p": 0.5803419658034197, "mid_p": 0.5337, "per_seed": { "42": -0.22026431718061673, "43": 1.9823788546255507, "44": -3.7444933920704844 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.9376311232131, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.94)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 57, "a_only": 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"sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 201, "a_only": 94, "b_only": 107, "mean_a": 68.46666666666667, "mean_b": 69.33333333333333, "rate_a": 68.46666666666667, "rate_b": 69.33333333333333, "delta": -0.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.745098041052989, 1.0256410274578385 ], "p": 0.41255874412558746, "mid_p": 0.37375, "per_seed": { "42": -0.2, "43": -1.4, "44": -1.0 }, "p_het": 0.8749125087491251, "mdd80": 2.6949594275784796, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.8920189062174864, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8920189062174864, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9001281690012817, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8920189062174864, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.69)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": 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40.0749063670412, "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -4.761904767229928, 6.976744192094854 ], "p": 0.7969203079692031, "mid_p": 0.7048, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1235955056179776, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.9818018198180182, "mdd80": 8.389650438596979, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.39)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 175, "a_only": 97, "b_only": 78, "mean_a": 70.6, "mean_b": 69.33333333333333, "rate_a": 70.6, "rate_b": 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0.21707829217078292, "mid_p": 0.1944, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": 3.303964757709251, "44": 0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.0461135225041875, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7235943072359431, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7235943072359431, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.05)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 49, "a_only": 27, "b_only": 22, "mean_a": 41.947565543071164, "mean_b": 40.0749063670412, "rate_a": 41.947565543071164, "rate_b": 40.0749063670412, "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -3.9682539744207608, 7.619047626336822 ], "p": 0.6046395360463953, "mid_p": 0.52245, "per_seed": { "42": 6.741573033707865, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.412958704129587, "mdd80": 8.28148199113905, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9896228920154344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.996220377962204, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.28)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 185, "a_only": 87, "b_only": 98, "mean_a": 68.6, "mean_b": 69.33333333333333, "rate_a": 68.60000000000001, "rate_b": 69.33333333333333, "delta": -0.7333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.5132275149855756, 1.0582010599773466 ], "p": 0.47065293470652936, "mid_p": 0.42855, "per_seed": { "42": -2.4, "43": 0.4, "44": -0.2 }, "p_het": 0.4266573342665733, "mdd80": 2.5525115721732057, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9335264820625375, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9217787898629491, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9335264820625375, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9335264820625375, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.55)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 86, "mean_a": 72.39057239057239, "mean_b": 73.4006734006734, "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -4.166666670217215, 2.1505376377689034 ], "p": 0.5968403159684031, "mid_p": 0.52695, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0202020202020203, "43": -3.0303030303030303, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.514926383508706, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.51)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 39, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 88.40277777777777, "delta": -0.4861111111111111, "ci95": [ -2.2058823544621156, 1.2152777799116719 ], "p": 0.6205379462053795, "mid_p": 0.567, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6666666666666667, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4451142308893554, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.996220377962204, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.996220377962204, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.45)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 142, "mean_a": 68.79588839941263, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": 0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.5151515168660104, 1.8284106907770863 ], "p": 0.9308069193080692, "mid_p": 0.86595, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6607929515418502, "43": 1.3215859030837005, "44": -0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.389654741276353, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.39)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 12, "a_only": 7, "b_only": 5, "mean_a": 4.49438202247191, "mean_b": 3.745318352059925, "rate_a": 4.49438202247191, "rate_b": 3.745318352059925, "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -1.587301589772086, 3.100775196234771 ], "p": 0.7597240275972402, "mid_p": 0.56145, "per_seed": { "42": -4.49438202247191, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 4.49438202247191 }, "p_het": 0.013998600139986002, "mdd80": 3.350583665989541, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.35)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 279, "a_only": 140, "b_only": 139, "mean_a": 20.6, "mean_b": 20.533333333333335, "rate_a": 20.599999999999998, "rate_b": 20.53333333333333, "delta": 0.06666666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.159244266758729, 2.29007633799076 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9524, "per_seed": { "42": 2.8, "43": -0.4, "44": -2.2 }, "p_het": 0.17368263173682633, "mdd80": 3.1799438497939616, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.18)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 83, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 73.4006734006734, "delta": -1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -4.301075271772835, 1.2698412724618775 ], "p": 0.34236576342365765, "mid_p": 0.289, "per_seed": { "42": -3.0303030303030303, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.981552101155459, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.98)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 88.40277777777777, "delta": -1.4583333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.916666668134991, -0.09920634822823213 ], "p": 0.04989501049895011, "mid_p": 0.03835, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": -1.25, "44": -2.7083333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.0136480178034883, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.4989501049895011, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.4989501049895011, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.4989501049895011, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0499, q 0.47)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 149, "mean_a": 67.40088105726872, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -1.2481644640234948, "ci95": [ -2.9051987784804183, 0.4310344843994938 ], "p": 0.15878412158784122, "mid_p": 0.136, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5418502202643172, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": -1.9823788546255507 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3844167207119793, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.705707207057072, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6805033782336052, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.705707207057072, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.705707207057072, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.38)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 16, "a_only": 8, "b_only": 8, "mean_a": 3.745318352059925, "mean_b": 3.745318352059925, "rate_a": 3.7453183520599254, "rate_b": 3.745318352059925, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -2.5000000027818503, 2.5000000027818503 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8878, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": 0.0, "44": 3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.2460753924607539, "mdd80": 3.5735162014824664, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.57)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 288, "a_only": 129, "b_only": 159, "mean_a": 18.533333333333335, "mean_b": 20.533333333333335, "rate_a": 18.53333333333333, "rate_b": 20.53333333333333, "delta": -2.0, "ci95": [ -4.30107527113555, 0.27548209601478113 ], "p": 0.10118988101189881, "mid_p": 0.09105, "per_seed": { "42": -1.4, "43": -4.6, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.23367663233676633, "mdd80": 3.2708803760654903, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.27)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 76, "mean_a": 73.4006734006734, "mean_b": 73.4006734006734, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -2.74509804240636, 2.7491408962677415 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9521, "per_seed": { "42": -3.5353535353535355, "43": 2.525252525252525, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.9267503680640936, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.93)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 87.22222222222223, "mean_b": 88.40277777777777, "delta": -1.1805555555555556, "ci95": [ -3.00925926078654, 0.6944444467948176 ], "p": 0.22917708229177083, "mid_p": 0.203, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4166666666666667, "43": -2.7083333333333335, "44": -1.25 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6470490379610547, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7237171019740132, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7237171019740132, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.65)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 148, "mean_a": 67.91483113069016, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -0.7342143906020558, "ci95": [ -2.480620156881912, 1.0279001486054322 ], "p": 0.44625537446255376, "mid_p": 0.4014, "per_seed": { "42": -3.303964757709251, "43": 2.8634361233480177, "44": -1.7621145374449338 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5075508281875947, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9153956399231872, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9153956399231872, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9153956399231872, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.51)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 15, "a_only": 9, "b_only": 6, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 3.745318352059925, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 3.745318352059925, "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -1.7094017126268168, 3.968253971270899 ], "p": 0.6160383961603839, "mid_p": 0.46775, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.6991300869913009, "mdd80": 4.05783891005418, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9896228920154344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.996220377962204, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.06)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 270, "a_only": 143, "b_only": 127, "mean_a": 21.6, "mean_b": 20.533333333333335, "rate_a": 21.599999999999998, "rate_b": 20.53333333333333, "delta": 1.0666666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.0709504706829984, 3.20512820717525 ], "p": 0.35596440355964404, "mid_p": 0.32565, "per_seed": { "42": 1.8, "43": 0.4, "44": 1.0 }, "p_het": 0.873012698730127, "mdd80": 3.05612728342736, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.06)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 81, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 73.4006734006734, "delta": -1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -4.347826089996755, 1.3468013496584705 ], "p": 0.35176482351764826, "mid_p": 0.29695, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0202020202020203, "43": -5.05050505050505, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.069968678874096, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.07)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 37, "mean_a": 86.80555555555556, "mean_b": 88.40277777777777, "delta": -1.5972222222222223, "ci95": [ -3.5984848512226835, 0.13888889062821425 ], "p": 0.11438856114388561, "mid_p": 0.0871, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0416666666666667, "43": -3.75, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6711131205276115, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.571236993947664, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.67)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 153, "mean_a": 68.4287812041116, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -0.22026431718061673, "ci95": [ -2.0512820528745324, 1.6081871363208866 ], "p": 0.8787121287871212, "mid_p": 0.81685, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": 1.1013215859030836, "44": -1.9823788546255507 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.615434484372848, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.62)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 16, "a_only": 10, "b_only": 6, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 3.745318352059925, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 3.745318352059925, "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -0.8771929852344882, 4.065040653189012 ], "p": 0.39776022397760225, "mid_p": 0.2726, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": 5.617977528089888, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.08159184081591841, "mdd80": 3.532230391753149, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.8910220089102201, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.882847495067007, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8910220089102201, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.874821608748216, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.53)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 263, "a_only": 120, "b_only": 143, "mean_a": 19.0, "mean_b": 20.533333333333335, "rate_a": 19.0, "rate_b": 20.53333333333333, "delta": -1.5333333333333334, "ci95": [ -3.703703705853739, 0.6535947733845008 ], "p": 0.1785821417858214, "mid_p": 0.16015, "per_seed": { "42": -1.2, "43": -3.2, "44": -0.2 }, "p_het": 0.5090490950904909, "mdd80": 3.114175338585284, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6867005607131595, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.11)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 76, "mean_a": 72.72727272727273, "mean_b": 73.4006734006734, "delta": -0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -4.0650406544995725, 2.6936026969628246 ], "p": 0.7717228277172283, "mid_p": 0.7004, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": -3.5353535353535355, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.8304242979235195, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.83)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 88.40277777777777, "delta": -1.4583333333333333, "ci95": [ -3.2986111134242524, 0.1602564121285019 ], "p": 0.12398760123987601, "mid_p": 0.0956, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": -1.875, "44": -2.2916666666666665 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4720638255181027, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5722504672609662, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.47)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 143, "mean_a": 68.28193832599119, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -0.3671071953010279, "ci95": [ -2.0558002953691723, 1.3274336300146108 ], "p": 0.7351264873512648, "mid_p": 0.6703, "per_seed": { "42": -0.44052863436123346, "43": 2.4229074889867843, "44": -3.0837004405286343 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4180082464621995, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.42)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 16, "a_only": 10, "b_only": 6, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 3.745318352059925, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 3.745318352059925, "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -0.8547008573830355, 4.065040653195187 ], "p": 0.39986001399860016, "mid_p": 0.2729, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 3.3707865168539324, "44": 3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.30446955304469553, "mdd80": 3.5161551951188525, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.8910220089102201, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.882847495067007, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8910220089102201, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.874821608748216, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.52)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 253, "a_only": 128, "b_only": 125, "mean_a": 20.733333333333334, "mean_b": 20.533333333333335, "rate_a": 20.733333333333334, "rate_b": 20.53333333333333, "delta": 0.2, "ci95": [ -1.8055555576396602, 2.1879021898131024 ], "p": 0.8984101589841016, "mid_p": 0.85095, "per_seed": { "42": 2.4, "43": -1.4, "44": -0.4 }, "p_het": 0.34126587341265874, "mdd80": 2.8541371889157117, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.85)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 76, "mean_a": 73.06397306397307, "mean_b": 73.4006734006734, "delta": -0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -3.267973859052731, 2.5889967665645206 ], "p": 0.9066093390660934, "mid_p": 0.8204, "per_seed": { "42": -3.5353535353535355, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 3.0303030303030303 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.185995879792103, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.19)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 87.5, "mean_b": 88.40277777777777, "delta": -0.9027777777777778, "ci95": [ -2.6388888906290164, 0.7440476208189916 ], "p": 0.35936406359364065, "mid_p": 0.3201, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": -0.20833333333333334, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4177956837588277, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.845562502573272, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.42)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 144, "mean_a": 68.94273127753304, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.377410469885388, 1.977401131560928 ], "p": 0.7967203279672033, "mid_p": 0.7309, "per_seed": { "42": 1.9823788546255507, "43": 0.0, "44": -1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3976947194699383, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.40)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 15, "a_only": 9, "b_only": 6, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 3.745318352059925, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 3.745318352059925, "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -1.5503875996674594, 3.787878790565344 ], "p": 0.5877412258774123, "mid_p": 0.4338, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 5.617977528089888 }, "p_het": 0.050994900509949, "mdd80": 3.815276282419838, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9896228920154344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.82)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 266, "a_only": 138, "b_only": 128, "mean_a": 21.2, "mean_b": 20.533333333333335, "rate_a": 21.2, "rate_b": 20.53333333333333, "delta": 0.6666666666666666, "ci95": [ -1.4608233752909343, 2.8129395240561434 ], "p": 0.5718428157184282, "mid_p": 0.53255, "per_seed": { "42": 2.8, "43": -0.2, "44": -0.6 }, "p_het": 0.38296170382961703, "mdd80": 3.0544721890234587, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.05)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 85, "mean_a": 72.39057239057239, "mean_b": 71.21212121212122, "delta": 1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -2.1052631613032027, 4.487179490326151 ], "p": 0.5429457054294571, "mid_p": 0.4803, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": 1.5151515151515151, "44": 3.0303030303030303 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.711640119345474, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.71)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 34, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 87.15277777777777, "delta": 0.7638888888888888, "ci95": [ -1.3480392175538334, 2.9947916687655254 ], "p": 0.6106389361063893, "mid_p": 0.57485, "per_seed": { "42": -1.4583333333333333, "43": 1.875, "44": 1.875 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.1038353030583754, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.996220377962204, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.996220377962204, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.10)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 160, "mean_a": 68.79588839941263, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": 0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.6442451438201255, 1.9345238113330043 ], "p": 0.9339066093390661, "mid_p": 0.8718, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": 0.6607929515418502 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.557757765674318, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.56)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 11, "a_only": 8, "b_only": 3, "mean_a": 4.49438202247191, "mean_b": 2.6217228464419478, "rate_a": 4.49438202247191, "rate_b": 2.6217228464419478, "delta": 1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -1.8536704823045748e-09, 3.4722222237069107 ], "p": 0.06319368063193681, "mid_p": 0.03155, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 1.0, "mdd80": 2.4816084728762635, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5229821845401667, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5229821845401667, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5229821845401667, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.48)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 265, "a_only": 154, "b_only": 111, "mean_a": 20.6, "mean_b": 17.733333333333334, "rate_a": 20.599999999999998, "rate_b": 17.733333333333334, "delta": 2.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ 0.80971659711279, 4.927536234117292 ], "p": 0.007799220077992201, "mid_p": 0.0065, "per_seed": { "42": 5.0, "43": 3.4, "44": 0.2 }, "p_het": 0.19928007199280073, "mdd80": 2.9430190342488314, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.143985601439856, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.12478752124787522, "label": "above_nominal", "q_prev": 0.143985601439856, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.143985601439856, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "above, nominal (p 0.00780, q 0.125)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 94, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 71.21212121212122, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -2.6819923409836584, 4.049844239877466 ], "p": 0.7762223777622238, "mid_p": 0.70085, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0202020202020203, "43": 2.0202020202020203, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.811265412134223, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.81)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 37, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 87.15277777777777, "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -3.1250000031350256, 2.4038461568631755 ], "p": 0.9528047195280472, "mid_p": 0.9255, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": -0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.951484261254563, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.95)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 161, "mean_a": 67.40088105726872, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -1.2481644640234948, "ci95": [ -3.003003004796762, 0.46728972144204317 ], "p": 0.19138086191380863, "mid_p": 0.1656, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8810572687224669, "43": -1.7621145374449338, "44": -1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4802294534603746, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7166052625506681, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6959304069593042, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7166052625506681, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.48)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 13, "a_only": 8, "b_only": 5, "mean_a": 3.745318352059925, "mean_b": 2.6217228464419478, "rate_a": 3.7453183520599254, "rate_b": 2.6217228464419478, "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -1.4184397187206779, 3.5460992930753634 ], "p": 0.5614438556144385, "mid_p": 0.3954, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.48905109489051096, "mdd80": 3.548172114360788, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9896228920154344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.55)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 254, "a_only": 133, "b_only": 121, "mean_a": 18.533333333333335, "mean_b": 17.733333333333334, "rate_a": 18.53333333333333, "rate_b": 17.733333333333334, "delta": 0.8, "ci95": [ -1.4048531310982257, 2.9962546837023365 ], "p": 0.5077492250774922, "mid_p": 0.4726, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8, "43": -0.8, "44": 2.4 }, "p_het": 0.44195580441955806, "mdd80": 3.1454860126320723, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9520297970202979, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.93022758792823, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9520297970202979, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9520297970202979, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.15)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 73, "mean_a": 73.4006734006734, "mean_b": 71.21212121212122, "delta": 2.1885521885521886, "ci95": [ -0.7246376842852764, 5.185185188479839 ], "p": 0.18338166183381663, "mid_p": 0.1494, "per_seed": { "42": -2.525252525252525, "43": 7.070707070707071, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.223769552043601, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6867005607131595, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.22)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 87.22222222222223, "mean_b": 87.15277777777777, "delta": 0.06944444444444445, "ci95": [ -2.0833333356441948, 2.3809523834322524 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9597, "per_seed": { "42": 0.625, "43": -1.0416666666666667, "44": 0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.190639465482944, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.19)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 164, "mean_a": 67.91483113069016, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -0.7342143906020558, "ci95": [ -2.3809523826175694, 0.9132420108368788 ], "p": 0.4360563943605639, "mid_p": 0.38735, "per_seed": { "42": -2.643171806167401, "43": 1.3215859030837005, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.354371404548632, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9153956399231872, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9153956399231872, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9153956399231872, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.35)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 14, "a_only": 10, "b_only": 4, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 2.6217228464419478, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 2.6217228464419478, "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -2.2198892352510244e-09, 4.255319150840494 ], "p": 0.0660933906609339, "mid_p": 0.033, "per_seed": { "42": 5.617977528089888, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.40745925407459255, "mdd80": 3.0412903838038194, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5287471252874713, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.48067920480679205, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5287471252874713, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5287471252874713, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.04)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 252, "a_only": 155, "b_only": 97, "mean_a": 21.6, "mean_b": 17.733333333333334, "rate_a": 21.599999999999998, "rate_b": 17.733333333333334, "delta": 3.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ 1.6806722666191587, 6.047819974165941 ], "p": 0.0005999400059994001, "mid_p": 0.00045, "per_seed": { "42": 4.0, "43": 4.2, "44": 3.4 }, "p_het": 0.9535046495350465, "mdd80": 3.1212146139639874, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.020569371634265143, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.020569371634265143, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.020569371634265143, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.020569371634265143, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.0006, q 0.0206)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 96, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 71.21212121212122, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -2.6936026969669085, 4.074074077805183 ], "p": 0.7734226577342266, "mid_p": 0.7011, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 3.5353535353535355 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.836880514826744, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.84)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 86.80555555555556, "mean_b": 87.15277777777777, "delta": -0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -3.4090909132792904, 2.7083333379278662 ], "p": 0.8576142385761424, "mid_p": 0.82295, "per_seed": { "42": 1.25, "43": -2.0833333333333335, "44": -0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.372142929741044, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.37)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 155, "mean_a": 68.4287812041116, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -0.22026431718061673, "ci95": [ -2.1021021040241505, 1.6666666686134919 ], "p": 0.8745125487451255, "mid_p": 0.8161, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8810572687224669, "43": -0.44052863436123346, "44": -1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6935512507351382, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.69)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 13, "a_only": 10, "b_only": 3, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 2.6217228464419478, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 2.6217228464419478, "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -2.5327647839485136e-09, 4.964539009310745 ], "p": 0.060193980601939805, "mid_p": 0.03365, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": 4.49438202247191, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.49705029497050296, "mdd80": 3.5481721143947142, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5229821845401667, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5229821845401667, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5229821845401667, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.55)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 243, "a_only": 131, "b_only": 112, "mean_a": 19.0, "mean_b": 17.733333333333334, "rate_a": 19.0, "rate_b": 17.733333333333334, "delta": 1.2666666666666666, "ci95": [ -0.8064516149846166, 3.3333333354774584 ], "p": 0.2595740425957404, "mid_p": 0.23285, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0, "43": 0.6, "44": 2.2 }, "p_het": 0.806019398060194, "mdd80": 2.958717714933619, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.96)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 81, "mean_a": 72.72727272727273, "mean_b": 71.21212121212122, "delta": 1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -1.8115942064786372, 4.854368935238409 ], "p": 0.4266573342665733, "mid_p": 0.37065, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5151515151515151, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.7641854517808655, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.910846968400505, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9000108392522091, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9153956399231872, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.910846968400505, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.76)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 34, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 87.15277777777777, "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -2.430555558343462, 1.9531250020296647 ], "p": 0.9131086891310869, "mid_p": 0.8667, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -0.20833333333333334, "44": -0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.1330306974371718, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.13)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 161, "mean_a": 68.28193832599119, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": -0.3671071953010279, "ci95": [ -2.121212123021424, 1.3888888907293717 ], "p": 0.7495250474952505, "mid_p": 0.6874, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": -2.202643171806167 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.50868056550419, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.51)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 11, "a_only": 9, "b_only": 2, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 2.6217228464419478, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 2.6217228464419478, "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -2.5375791780224638e-09, 5.000000002646619 ], "p": 0.0598940105989401, "mid_p": 0.03385, "per_seed": { "42": 4.49438202247191, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.6541345865413458, "mdd80": 3.5735162012112345, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5229821845401667, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5229821845401667, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5229821845401667, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.57)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 277, "a_only": 161, "b_only": 116, "mean_a": 20.733333333333334, "mean_b": 17.733333333333334, "rate_a": 20.733333333333334, "rate_b": 17.733333333333334, "delta": 3.0, "ci95": [ 0.7999999978089527, 5.200000002191046 ], "p": 0.007799220077992201, "mid_p": 0.00655, "per_seed": { "42": 4.6, "43": 2.4, "44": 2.0 }, "p_het": 0.5987401259874012, "mdd80": 3.144694256937239, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.143985601439856, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.12478752124787522, "label": "above_nominal", "q_prev": 0.143985601439856, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.143985601439856, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "above, nominal (p 0.00780, q 0.125)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 81, "mean_a": 73.06397306397307, "mean_b": 71.21212121212122, "delta": 1.8518518518518519, "ci95": [ -1.0416666696519747, 4.761904765060246 ], "p": 0.25047495250474955, "mid_p": 0.21015, "per_seed": { "42": -2.525252525252525, "43": 4.040404040404041, "44": 4.040404040404041 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.147831305065534, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.15)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 87.5, "mean_b": 87.15277777777777, "delta": 0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -1.9230769257092237, 2.564102566668323 ], "p": 0.8021197880211979, "mid_p": 0.75685, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": 1.4583333333333333, "44": -0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.207001719425647, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.21)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 164, "mean_a": 68.94273127753304, "mean_b": 68.64904552129222, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.536098312203563, 2.130898023213818 ], "p": 0.814018598140186, "mid_p": 0.75425, "per_seed": { "42": 2.643171806167401, "43": -1.5418502202643172, "44": -0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6208141601618835, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.62)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 16, "a_only": 11, "b_only": 5, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 2.6217228464419478, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 2.6217228464419478, "delta": 2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -2.176925707644142e-09, 4.255319150833181 ], "p": 0.06229377062293771, "mid_p": 0.0311, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": 0.0, "44": 3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.7613238676132387, "mdd80": 3.041290383767886, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5229821845401667, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5229821845401667, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5229821845401667, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.04)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 264, "a_only": 158, "b_only": 106, "mean_a": 21.2, "mean_b": 17.733333333333334, "rate_a": 21.2, "rate_b": 17.733333333333334, "delta": 3.466666666666667, "ci95": [ 1.3550135479945435, 5.60109289835665 ], "p": 0.0014998500149985001, "mid_p": 0.00115, "per_seed": { "42": 5.0, "43": 3.6, "44": 1.8 }, "p_het": 0.502049795020498, "mdd80": 3.034686666883009, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.044995500449955005, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.039996000399960006, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.044995500449955005, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.044995500449955005, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.00150, q 0.0400)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 84, "mean_a": 77.10437710437711, "mean_b": 75.42087542087542, "delta": 1.6835016835016836, "ci95": [ -1.0101010127938745, 4.333333335951933 ], "p": 0.2638736126387361, "mid_p": 0.21645, "per_seed": { "42": 6.565656565656566, "43": -3.5353535353535355, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.81896983911069, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.82)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 29, "mean_a": 87.15277777777777, "mean_b": 88.125, "delta": -0.9722222222222222, "ci95": [ -2.2916666686567453, 0.3472222238830548 ], "p": 0.1815818418158184, "mid_p": 0.1503, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0416666666666667, "43": -0.625, "44": -1.25 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.8860224401819667, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6867005607131595, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.89)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 113, "mean_a": 80.10279001468429, "mean_b": 78.56093979441997, "delta": 1.5418502202643172, "ci95": [ -0.14430014595557625, 3.2110091760496826 ], "p": 0.08289171082891711, "mid_p": 0.0693, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1013215859030836, "43": 1.3215859030837005, "44": 2.202643171806167 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3980504419657813, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5526114055261141, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.40)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 32, "a_only": 11, "b_only": 21, "mean_a": 22.846441947565545, "mean_b": 26.591760299625467, "rate_a": 22.84644194756554, "rate_b": 26.591760299625467, "delta": -3.745318352059925, "ci95": [ -7.894736846951794, 4.903855938726308e-09 ], "p": 0.10938906109389061, "mid_p": 0.079, "per_seed": { "42": -4.49438202247191, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": -4.49438202247191 }, "p_het": 0.9297070292970703, "mdd80": 5.6423940030308515, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 5.64)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 245, "a_only": 109, "b_only": 136, "mean_a": 48.0, "mean_b": 49.8, "rate_a": 48.0, "rate_b": 49.79999999999999, "delta": -1.8, "ci95": [ -3.8208168662918576, 0.25348542653719275 ], "p": 0.09009099090090991, "mid_p": 0.07965, "per_seed": { "42": -5.2, "43": -1.6, "44": 1.4 }, "p_het": 0.044295570442955706, "mdd80": 2.911917047392147, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.91)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 79, "mean_a": 75.58922558922559, "mean_b": 75.42087542087542, "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.100775197558181, 3.436426120173074 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.91705, "per_seed": { "42": 3.5353535353535355, "43": -4.545454545454546, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.672158959054135, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.67)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 36, "mean_a": 85.48611111111111, "mean_b": 88.125, "delta": -2.638888888888889, "ci95": [ -4.513888891244688, -0.8333333315194631 ], "p": 0.0025997400259974, "mid_p": 0.00175, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3333333333333335, "43": -2.5, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6305049816998234, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.069326400693264, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.0623937606239376, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.069326400693264, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.069326400693264, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.00260, q 0.0624)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 122, "mean_a": 78.41409691629956, "mean_b": 78.56093979441997, "delta": -0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.7713365557232281, 1.494768312581413 ], "p": 0.9307069293070693, "mid_p": 0.8624, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": -1.1013215859030836, "44": 0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3342957299280136, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.33)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 44, "a_only": 15, "b_only": 29, "mean_a": 21.348314606741575, "mean_b": 26.591760299625467, "rate_a": 21.34831460674157, "rate_b": 26.591760299625467, "delta": -5.2434456928838955, "ci95": [ -10.884353746621631, 0.6666666719222413 ], "p": 0.09679032096790322, "mid_p": 0.0742, "per_seed": { "42": -7.865168539325842, "43": -5.617977528089888, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.6277372262773723, "mdd80": 8.255551712677978, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.26)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 248, "a_only": 111, "b_only": 137, "mean_a": 48.06666666666667, "mean_b": 49.8, "rate_a": 48.06666666666667, "rate_b": 49.79999999999999, "delta": -1.7333333333333334, "ci95": [ -3.872752422687555, 0.41152263594374944 ], "p": 0.12968703129687031, "mid_p": 0.1158, "per_seed": { "42": -4.2, "43": -2.2, "44": 1.2 }, "p_het": 0.09209079092090791, "mdd80": 3.0619852633180478, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.6102919119852721, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5872620285141297, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6102919119852721, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6102919119852721, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.06)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 64, "mean_a": 73.06397306397307, "mean_b": 75.42087542087542, "delta": -2.356902356902357, "ci95": [ -5.072463771028072, 0.3401360571454829 ], "p": 0.10748925107489252, "mid_p": 0.08545, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": -4.545454545454546, "44": -1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.868402631319356, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5611353758241198, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.87)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 28, "mean_a": 87.08333333333333, "mean_b": 88.125, "delta": -1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.3809523823964, 0.2976190490630669 ], "p": 0.1645835416458354, "mid_p": 0.136, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": -0.625, "44": -2.2916666666666665 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.914383679299486, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6851314868513149, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.91)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 117, "mean_a": 78.19383259911895, "mean_b": 78.56093979441997, "delta": -0.3671071953010279, "ci95": [ -1.9047619061813883, 1.1851851867478125 ], "p": 0.7036296370362963, "mid_p": 0.6362, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5418502202643172, "43": 0.6607929515418502, "44": -0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2083951972038594, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.21)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 40, "a_only": 13, "b_only": 27, "mean_a": 21.348314606741575, "mean_b": 26.591760299625467, "rate_a": 21.34831460674157, "rate_b": 26.591760299625467, "delta": -5.2434456928838955, "ci95": [ -10.317460322823264, 5.176364602013517e-09 ], "p": 0.05649435056494351, "mid_p": 0.0419, "per_seed": { "42": -10.112359550561798, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.33126687331266874, "mdd80": 7.373922319846595, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5229821845401667, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47395260473952605, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5229821845401667, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5229821845401667, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.37)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 239, "a_only": 115, "b_only": 124, "mean_a": 49.2, "mean_b": 49.8, "rate_a": 49.199999999999996, "rate_b": 49.79999999999999, "delta": -0.6, "ci95": [ -2.7322404393342437, 1.5220700176388764 ], "p": 0.617038296170383, "mid_p": 0.5755, "per_seed": { "42": -1.4, "43": -1.8, "44": 1.4 }, "p_het": 0.3892610738926107, "mdd80": 3.04056946544258, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.996220377962204, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.996220377962204, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.04)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 82, "mean_a": 75.75757575757575, "mean_b": 75.42087542087542, "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -2.7272727300291386, 3.4013605473049093 ], "p": 0.9117088291170883, "mid_p": 0.826, "per_seed": { "42": 5.05050505050505, "43": -3.5353535353535355, "44": -0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.380154057025588, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.38)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 30, "mean_a": 86.52777777777777, "mean_b": 88.125, "delta": -1.5972222222222223, "ci95": [ -3.125000001648436, -0.17361110931844306 ], "p": 0.0321967803219678, "mid_p": 0.02325, "per_seed": { "42": -2.2916666666666665, "43": -0.4166666666666667, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.1093672023761467, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.4066961724880143, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.3863613638636136, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.4066961724880143, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.4066961724880143, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0322, q 0.39)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 122, "mean_a": 78.56093979441997, "mean_b": 78.56093979441997, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.5649452285802525, 1.5649452285802525 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.96345, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": -0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2369428490165495, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.24)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 46, "a_only": 17, "b_only": 29, "mean_a": 22.09737827715356, "mean_b": 26.591760299625467, "rate_a": 22.097378277153563, "rate_b": 26.591760299625467, "delta": -4.49438202247191, "ci95": [ -9.756097566677575, 0.7751938038925025 ], "p": 0.12098790120987901, "mid_p": 0.0935, "per_seed": { "42": -10.112359550561798, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.3154684531546845, "mdd80": 7.526748058677617, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.571236993947664, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.53)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 237, "a_only": 95, "b_only": 142, "mean_a": 46.666666666666664, "mean_b": 49.8, "rate_a": 46.666666666666664, "rate_b": 49.79999999999999, "delta": -3.1333333333333333, "ci95": [ -5.1282051303284835, -1.1204481771582506 ], "p": 0.0031996800319968005, "mid_p": 0.00235, "per_seed": { "42": -4.6, "43": -1.8, "44": -3.0 }, "p_het": 0.553044695530447, "mdd80": 2.864356877564282, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.07679232076792322, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.06981120069811202, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.07679232076792322, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.07679232076792322, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.00320, q 0.0698)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 83, "mean_a": 77.60942760942761, "mean_b": 75.42087542087542, "delta": 2.1885521885521886, "ci95": [ -0.6600660093871487, 4.984423678600278 ], "p": 0.1568843115688431, "mid_p": 0.127, "per_seed": { "42": 4.545454545454546, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.0341350653358115, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.705707207057072, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6805033782336052, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.705707207057072, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.705707207057072, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.03)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 86.59722222222223, "mean_b": 88.125, "delta": -1.5277777777777777, "ci95": [ -2.9761904777492303, -0.16025640866656587 ], "p": 0.0375962403759624, "mid_p": 0.029, "per_seed": { "42": -0.20833333333333334, "43": -3.3333333333333335, "44": -1.0416666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.012557201395216, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.426502804265028, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.40795920407959196, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.426502804265028, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.426502804265028, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0376, q 0.41)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 111, "mean_a": 79.0748898678414, "mean_b": 78.56093979441997, "delta": 0.5139500734214391, "ci95": [ -0.9845288340635905, 2.0155038775529004 ], "p": 0.5676432356764324, "mid_p": 0.5056, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": 0.44052863436123346, "44": 0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.144133097601918, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.14)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 40, "a_only": 17, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 24.344569288389515, "mean_b": 26.591760299625467, "rate_a": 24.34456928838951, "rate_b": 26.591760299625467, "delta": -2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -7.246376816429304, 2.7777777824365177 ], "p": 0.47505249475052497, "mid_p": 0.3922, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": 0.0, "44": -3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.8600139986001399, "mdd80": 7.164295765070398, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9345294978698852, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9217787898629491, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9345294978698852, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9345294978698852, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.16)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 255, "a_only": 120, "b_only": 135, "mean_a": 48.8, "mean_b": 49.8, "rate_a": 48.800000000000004, "rate_b": 49.79999999999999, "delta": -1.0, "ci95": [ -3.0178326495347747, 1.0144927558127144 ], "p": 0.36696330366963303, "mid_p": 0.33635, "per_seed": { "42": -2.2, "43": -1.6, "44": 0.8 }, "p_het": 0.5001499850014999, "mdd80": 2.8819160299248976, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.835614551752372, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8399160083991601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8479921238645367, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.835614551752372, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.88)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 77, "mean_a": 75.25252525252525, "mean_b": 75.42087542087542, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.4364261201656143, 3.0864197560613746 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.91825, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.661899078506566, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.66)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 31, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 88.125, "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.5625000017035862, 1.1904761919847866 ], "p": 0.8407159284071593, "mid_p": 0.7638, "per_seed": { "42": 0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.9675610038988023, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.97)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 112, "mean_a": 78.8546255506608, "mean_b": 78.56093979441997, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.1904761919802584, 1.79372197461776 ], "p": 0.7708229177082292, "mid_p": 0.7003, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5418502202643172, "43": -1.3215859030837005, "44": 0.6607929515418502 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.132816096981188, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.13)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 17, "b_only": 34, "mean_a": 20.224719101123597, "mean_b": 26.591760299625467, "rate_a": 20.224719101123597, "rate_b": 26.591760299625467, "delta": -6.367041198501872, "ci95": [ -11.111111116125599, -1.626016255015725 ], "p": 0.010798920107989201, "mid_p": 0.00785, "per_seed": { "42": -12.359550561797754, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": -3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.33686631336866313, "mdd80": 6.779028024211547, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.18512434470838632, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.16198380161983802, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.18512434470838632, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.18512434470838632, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0108, q 0.162)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "loki_k25_d25_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 241, "a_only": 118, "b_only": 123, "mean_a": 49.46666666666667, "mean_b": 49.8, "rate_a": 49.46666666666667, "rate_b": 49.79999999999999, "delta": -0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.294197033017695, 1.6224188812137357 ], "p": 0.7928207179282072, "mid_p": 0.74365, "per_seed": { "42": -1.2, "43": -0.2, "44": 0.4 }, "p_het": 0.8288171182881712, "mdd80": 2.7992180817832133, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u128", "loki_k25_d25_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.80)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 94, "mean_a": 77.10437710437711, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 2.0202020202020203, "ci95": [ -0.9345794419809468, 4.912280704768898 ], "p": 0.207979202079792, "mid_p": 0.17315, "per_seed": { "42": 4.040404040404041, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.17876988779266, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7178710700358535, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7178710700358535, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.18)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 30, "mean_a": 87.15277777777777, "mean_b": 88.19444444444444, "delta": -1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.724358976312058, 0.5681818203921436 ], "p": 0.26677332266773324, "mid_p": 0.23295, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6666666666666667, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3531895735944017, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.35)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 121, "mean_a": 80.10279001468429, "mean_b": 79.00146842878121, "delta": 1.1013215859030836, "ci95": [ -0.6289308194610448, 2.8571428590337797 ], "p": 0.2558744125587441, "mid_p": 0.2241, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1013215859030836, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": 1.3215859030837005 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4915081511601658, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7281090072810901, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7119288071192881, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7199280071992801, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7281090072810901, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.49)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 34, "a_only": 19, "b_only": 15, "mean_a": 22.846441947565545, "mean_b": 21.348314606741575, "rate_a": 22.84644194756554, "rate_b": 21.34831460674157, "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -1.6260162635432451, 4.651162793951965 ], "p": 0.4834516548345166, "mid_p": 0.36135, "per_seed": { "42": 7.865168539325842, "43": 0.0, "44": -3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.1513848615138486, "mdd80": 4.486320207321006, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.9417122803848648, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9267644664105018, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9417122803848648, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9417122803848648, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.49)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 319, "a_only": 233, "b_only": 86, "mean_a": 48.0, "mean_b": 38.2, "rate_a": 48.0, "rate_b": 38.199999999999996, "delta": 9.8, "ci95": [ 7.228915660077568, 12.355212357671917 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": 7.2, "43": 10.2, "44": 12.0 }, "p_het": 0.2136786321367863, "mdd80": 3.6637808564150576, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.003999600039996001, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.003999600039996001, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.003999600039996001, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.003999600039996001, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00400)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 75, "mean_a": 75.58922558922559, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.456140353960617, 3.4364261198192967 ], "p": 0.8245175482451755, "mid_p": 0.7393, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.211436347786751, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.21)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 43, "mean_a": 85.48611111111111, "mean_b": 88.19444444444444, "delta": -2.7083333333333335, "ci95": [ -5.277777780349007, -0.2976190450333859 ], "p": 0.027797220277972202, "mid_p": 0.0216, "per_seed": { "42": -3.9583333333333335, "43": -2.7083333333333335, "44": -1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.5593355813603447, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.370629603706296, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.35112278245859624, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.370629603706296, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.370629603706296, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0278, q 0.35)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 144, "mean_a": 78.41409691629956, "mean_b": 79.00146842878121, "delta": -0.5873715124816447, "ci95": [ -2.308802310488623, 1.1396011412743845 ], "p": 0.5625437456254374, "mid_p": 0.5084, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": -1.5418502202643172, "44": -0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4645851180821907, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.9947338599473385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9733928567927521, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9896228920154344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9947338599473385, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.46)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 44, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 22, "mean_a": 21.348314606741575, "mean_b": 21.348314606741575, "rate_a": 21.34831460674157, "rate_b": 21.34831460674157, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -5.673758870621668, 5.673758870621668 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.94995, "per_seed": { "42": 4.49438202247191, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.40045995400459955, "mdd80": 8.110107689964115, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.11)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 322, "a_only": 235, "b_only": 87, "mean_a": 48.06666666666667, "mean_b": 38.2, "rate_a": 48.06666666666667, "rate_b": 38.199999999999996, "delta": 9.866666666666667, "ci95": [ 7.307692305236611, 12.431693991694328 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": 8.2, "43": 9.6, "44": 11.8 }, "p_het": 0.40945905409459055, "mdd80": 3.662140604521015, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.003999600039996001, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.003999600039996001, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.003999600039996001, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.003999600039996001, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00400)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 76, "mean_a": 73.06397306397307, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": -2.0202020202020203, "ci95": [ -5.038759693391421, 1.0000000029862905 ], "p": 0.22467753224677534, "mid_p": 0.18655, "per_seed": { "42": -3.5353535353535355, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": -2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.31592111757052, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7237171019740132, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7237171019740132, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.32)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 37, "mean_a": 87.08333333333333, "mean_b": 88.19444444444444, "delta": -1.1111111111111112, "ci95": [ -2.951388891196933, 0.5952380970747991 ], "p": 0.30856914308569144, "mid_p": 0.26625, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": -1.6666666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5347857978202417, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7975976595888798, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7891125781038917, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7975976595888798, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7975976595888798, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.53)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 129, "mean_a": 78.19383259911895, "mean_b": 79.00146842878121, "delta": -0.8076358296622613, "ci95": [ -2.4745269303217796, 0.8547008563135201 ], "p": 0.39166083391660833, "mid_p": 0.3469, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5418502202643172, "43": 0.22026431718061673, "44": -1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.379409884145706, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.874821608748216, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.882847495067007, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8910220089102201, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.874821608748216, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.38)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 40, "a_only": 20, "b_only": 20, "mean_a": 21.348314606741575, "mean_b": 21.348314606741575, "rate_a": 21.34831460674157, "rate_b": 21.34831460674157, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -4.666666670811516, 4.651162795499875 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9393, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.8661133886611339, "mdd80": 6.659482904692622, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.66)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 325, "a_only": 245, "b_only": 80, "mean_a": 49.2, "mean_b": 38.2, "rate_a": 49.199999999999996, "rate_b": 38.199999999999996, "delta": 11.0, "ci95": [ 8.368794323442438, 13.617021279375283 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": 11.0, "43": 10.0, "44": 12.0 }, "p_het": 0.7668233176682332, "mdd80": 3.7509248070428005, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.003999600039996001, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.003999600039996001, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.003999600039996001, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.003999600039996001, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00400)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 74, "mean_a": 75.75757575757575, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -2.4054982849204563, 3.741496601729214 ], "p": 0.7445255474452555, "mid_p": 0.66915, "per_seed": { "42": 2.525252525252525, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.393277158685919, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.39)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 26, "mean_a": 86.52777777777777, "mean_b": 88.19444444444444, "delta": -1.6666666666666667, "ci95": [ -4.017857145384304, 0.4901960803368194 ], "p": 0.20427957204279573, "mid_p": 0.1777, "per_seed": { "42": -2.9166666666666665, "43": -0.625, "44": -1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.2219202442667854, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7178710700358535, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6962341740509495, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7143181785717533, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7178710700358535, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.22)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 136, "mean_a": 78.56093979441997, "mean_b": 79.00146842878121, "delta": -0.44052863436123346, "ci95": [ -2.201257863517274, 1.2987013004074948 ], "p": 0.6847315268473153, "mid_p": 0.6281, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": -0.6607929515418502, "44": -1.3215859030837005 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5014321525789938, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.50)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 44, "a_only": 23, "b_only": 21, "mean_a": 22.09737827715356, "mean_b": 21.348314606741575, "rate_a": 22.097378277153563, "rate_b": 21.34831460674157, "delta": 0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -4.545454550803731, 6.0606060659799255 ], "p": 0.8865113488651135, "mid_p": 0.78185, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": 0.0, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.9448055194480552, "mdd80": 7.580185881161526, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.58)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 299, "a_only": 213, "b_only": 86, "mean_a": 46.666666666666664, "mean_b": 38.2, "rate_a": 46.666666666666664, "rate_b": 38.199999999999996, "delta": 8.466666666666667, "ci95": [ 5.97609561505732, 10.937500002409404 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": 7.8, "43": 10.0, "44": 7.6 }, "p_het": 0.6059394060593941, "mdd80": 3.5459317881160723, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.003999600039996001, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.003999600039996001, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.003999600039996001, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.003999600039996001, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00400)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 87, "mean_a": 77.60942760942761, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 2.525252525252525, "ci95": [ -0.3831417657514447, 5.5555555584964225 ], "p": 0.12108789121087891, "mid_p": 0.09905, "per_seed": { "42": 2.0202020202020203, "43": 3.5353535353535355, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.244406216057143, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.5951404859514049, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.571236993947664, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5951404859514049, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5951404859514049, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.24)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 36, "mean_a": 86.59722222222223, "mean_b": 88.19444444444444, "delta": -1.5972222222222223, "ci95": [ -3.7202380975191893, 0.39062500186880883 ], "p": 0.17628237176282371, "mid_p": 0.15105, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": -3.5416666666666665, "44": -0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.9380471742786045, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.7085005785135773, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6867005607131595, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7085005785135773, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7085005785135773, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.94)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 125, "mean_a": 79.0748898678414, "mean_b": 79.00146842878121, "delta": 0.07342143906020558, "ci95": [ -1.6152716610106324, 1.7699115061253519 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.93195, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4194013758570683, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.42)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 44, "a_only": 26, "b_only": 18, "mean_a": 24.344569288389515, "mean_b": 21.348314606741575, "rate_a": 24.34456928838951, "rate_b": 21.34831460674157, "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -2.040816331093388, 8.00000000443668 ], "p": 0.3090690930906909, "mid_p": 0.2487, "per_seed": { "42": 8.98876404494382, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.18048195180481952, "mdd80": 7.17620396224005, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "a5ace5cf8d9b77731c7822221fcfcd34", "q_source": 0.7975976595888798, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7891125781038917, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7975976595888798, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7975976595888798, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.18)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 321, "a_only": 240, "b_only": 81, "mean_a": 48.8, "mean_b": 38.2, "rate_a": 48.800000000000004, "rate_b": 38.199999999999996, "delta": 10.6, "ci95": [ 8.13008129830338, 13.090418356096784 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": 10.2, "43": 10.2, "44": 11.4 }, "p_het": 0.8993100689931007, "mdd80": 3.545168964222867, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 0.003999600039996001, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.003999600039996001, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.003999600039996001, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.003999600039996001, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.00400)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 87, "mean_a": 75.25252525252525, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.09278350847969, 3.4090909127294005 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.92045, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5151515151515151, "43": 1.5151515151515151, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.64691071166822, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.65)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 88.19444444444444, "delta": -0.2777777777777778, "ci95": [ -1.4880952394035976, 0.9469696986500764 ], "p": 0.7410258974102589, "mid_p": 0.6578, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": -0.20833333333333334, "44": -0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.7403487996227844, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_h2h.json", "source_md5": "792153c7bf7626f2826957459a10b6a4", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.74)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "sparq_c8_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 128, "mean_a": 78.8546255506608, "mean_b": 79.00146842878121, "delta": -0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.8604651180815739, 1.572327045863227 ], "p": 0.9335066493350664, "mid_p": 0.86865, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5418502202643172, "43": -1.7621145374449338, "44": -0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4534276801057326, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "sparq_c8_s1" ], 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"zero_token_rows": { "jqs_f_u64_sxs": 1, "sparq_c8_s1_sxs": 5 }, "zero_token_passes_scored_failed": { "jqs_f_u64_sxs": 0, "sparq_c8_s1_sxs": 0 }, "missing_rows_scored_failed": { "jqs_f_u64_sxs": 0, "sparq_c8_s1_sxs": 0 }, "pairs_restored": 6 }, "jqs_f_u128_sxs|loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs": { "status": "complete", "delta": 0.6666666666666666, "ci95": [ -0.8674101625132884, 2.2049286655666225 ], "p": 0.44325567443255676, "n_items": 1500, "mean_a": 88.6, "mean_b": 87.93333333333334, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0, "43": 1.6, "44": -0.6 }, "p_het": 0.5615438456154385, "mdd80": 2.1958105132740764, "shift_vs_primary": 0.06546426185704735, "q_sub": 0.9000108392522091, "label_sub": "none", "label_primary": "none", "label_changed": false, "zero_token_rows": { "jqs_f_u128_sxs": 1, "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs": 3 }, "zero_token_passes_scored_failed": { "jqs_f_u128_sxs": 0, "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs": 0 }, "missing_rows_scored_failed": { "jqs_f_u128_sxs": 0, "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs": 0 }, "pairs_restored": 3 }, 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"label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.70)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 140, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 86.34361233480176, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.4306151661936264, 2.020202021894061 ], "p": 0.8011198880111989, "mid_p": 0.74125, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1013215859030836, "43": 0.22026431718061673, "44": -0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.466310223252741, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.47)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 41, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 17, "mean_a": 75.65543071161049, "mean_b": 73.03370786516854, "rate_a": 75.65543071161049, "rate_b": 73.03370786516854, "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -1.8018018071207735, 7.142857147636252 ], "p": 0.34106589341065896, "mid_p": 0.2684, "per_seed": { "42": 1.1235955056179776, "43": 4.49438202247191, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.8937106289371063, "mdd80": 6.392776731198392, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6709492985127717, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7117896905961578, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6709492985127717, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7355348381245792, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.39)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "b": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1489, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 142, "a_only": 64, "b_only": 78, "mean_a": 87.30691739422431, "mean_b": 88.24714573539288, "rate_a": 87.0, "rate_b": 87.73333333333333, "delta": -0.9402283411685695, "ci95": [ -2.628120895207252, 0.7643312118031118 ], "p": 0.3174682531746825, "mid_p": 0.28175, "per_seed": { "42": -2.4193548387096775, "43": -1.0, "44": 0.6085192697768763 }, "p_het": 0.27787221277872215, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "fp8kv_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final dense NVFP4 (sxs) vs FP8 KV (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.424596510733027, "se": 0.859149674528571, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.61744966442953, 0.739756897146286 ], "q": 0.6802891139457482, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.42)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 30, "mean_a": 89.05723905723906, "mean_b": 90.06734006734007, "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -2.8070175457262456, 0.7246376830256971 ], "p": 0.3668633136686331, "mid_p": 0.2828, "per_seed": { "42": -2.525252525252525, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5240854327904154, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6946077045838723, 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0.9225890597753411, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9076281561033085, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9125609178212614, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.35)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 162, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 86.34361233480176, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.4084507060375482, 1.996927805159007 ], "p": 0.8017198280171983, "mid_p": 0.73805, "per_seed": { "42": 0.44052863436123346, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": 0.6607929515418502 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.43383505368, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.43)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 21, "b_only": 30, "mean_a": 69.66292134831461, "mean_b": 73.03370786516854, "rate_a": 69.66292134831461, "rate_b": 73.03370786516854, "delta": -3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -9.30232558751522, 2.5000000065286776 ], "p": 0.3164683531646835, "mid_p": 0.2641, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": -4.49438202247191 }, "p_het": 0.9832016798320168, "mdd80": 8.435160335711267, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6382555021808743, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6802891139457482, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6382555021808743, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5849690260331765, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.44)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "b": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1487, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 142, "a_only": 54, "b_only": 88, "mean_a": 85.94485541358439, "mean_b": 88.23133826496301, "rate_a": 85.46666666666665, "rate_b": 87.73333333333333, "delta": -2.2864828513786146, "ci95": [ -3.9011703526668753, -0.6702412852553612 ], "p": 0.006199380061993801, "mid_p": 0.0043, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8080808080808081, "43": -3.8076152304609217, "44": -2.231237322515213 }, "p_het": 0.30556944305569445, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "fp8kv_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.40 (sxs) vs FP8 KV (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.3091554710776463, "se": 0.8082458794595728, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -3.9030955585464335, -0.7377598926894702 ], "q": 0.12398760123987601, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.00620, q 0.124)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 29, "mean_a": 89.8989898989899, "mean_b": 90.06734006734007, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.2875817014010305, 1.9607843157877007 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8767, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5151515151515151, "43": -1.5151515151515151, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.0363209550716577, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.04)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 15, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 98.61111111111111, "delta": 0.2777777777777778, "ci95": [ -0.6250000013685741, 1.2820512832222646 ], "p": 0.7732226777322267, "mid_p": 0.68045, "per_seed": { "42": 0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": 0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.3629757309920245, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9419971708412915, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9419971708412915, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9419971708412915, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.36)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 147, "mean_a": 87.88546255506608, "mean_b": 86.34361233480176, "delta": 1.5418502202643172, "ci95": [ -0.4132231423235401, 3.4591194989021705 ], "p": 0.134986501349865, "mid_p": 0.1181, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5418502202643172, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": 2.202643171806167 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.767575830142704, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.4377940584319946, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4984116972918092, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.43195680431956796, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.4377940584319946, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.77)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 45, "a_only": 24, "b_only": 21, "mean_a": 74.15730337078652, "mean_b": 73.03370786516854, "rate_a": 74.15730337078651, "rate_b": 73.03370786516854, "delta": 1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -4.761904768141509, 6.976744192084176 ], "p": 0.802019798020198, "mid_p": 0.71015, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.6594340565943405, "mdd80": 8.389650439240858, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.9420507224639855, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.986290511220371, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.39)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "b": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1490, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 150, "a_only": 74, "b_only": 76, "mean_a": 88.05369127516778, "mean_b": 88.18791946308725, "rate_a": 87.66666666666667, "rate_b": 87.73333333333333, "delta": -0.1342281879194631, "ci95": [ -1.797175868079991, 1.5299026442824113 ], "p": 0.9399060093990601, "mid_p": 0.8755, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4032258064516129, "43": -0.2, "44": -0.6072874493927125 }, "p_het": 0.859014098590141, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "fp8kv_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.60 (sxs) vs FP8 KV (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.37787379086029, "se": 0.8484488559084858, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -1.8741633199464525, 1.5405482510877386 ], "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.005537907747686769, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.005537907747686769, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.38)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 91.07744107744108, "mean_b": 90.06734006734007, "delta": 1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -0.7092198599635171, 2.77777777939814 ], "p": 0.35356464353564643, "mid_p": 0.2729, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5151515151515151, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": 3.5353535353535355 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4921685089848635, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6898822312890662, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.725260807252608, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6843186649077028, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6898822312890662, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.49)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 13, "mean_a": 99.02777777777777, "mean_b": 98.61111111111111, "delta": 0.4166666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.5555555565370287, 1.458333334911528 ], "p": 0.5822417758224178, "mid_p": 0.50175, "per_seed": { "42": 0.625, "43": 0.8333333333333334, "44": -0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.4393329147137925, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8468971284689712, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8788555106753476, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8520611353498797, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8468971284689712, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.44)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 135, "mean_a": 88.91336270190895, "mean_b": 86.34361233480176, "delta": 2.5697503671071953, "ci95": [ 0.8888888871991723, 4.269972453385995 ], "p": 0.0034996500349965005, "mid_p": 0.0026, "per_seed": { "42": 2.202643171806167, "43": 2.643171806167401, "44": 2.8634361233480177 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.41647137777804, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.03817800038178001, "label_source": "above_detected", "q": 0.08399160083991601, "label": "above_detected", "q_prev": 0.03817800038178001, "label_prev": "above_detected", "q_published": 0.03817800038178001, "label_published": "above_detected", "changed": false, "text": "above, detected (p 0.00350, q 0.0840)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 44, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 22, "mean_a": 73.03370786516854, "mean_b": 73.03370786516854, "rate_a": 73.03370786516854, "rate_b": 73.03370786516854, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -4.87804878576666, 4.87804878576666 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.94065, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 0.0, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.791020897910209, "mdd80": 6.972714539264794, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.97)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "b": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1492, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 159, "a_only": 74, "b_only": 85, "mean_a": 87.46648793565684, "mean_b": 88.20375335120643, "rate_a": 87.33333333333333, "rate_b": 87.73333333333333, "delta": -0.7372654155495979, "ci95": [ -2.4827586224787863, 1.0012515660769123 ], "p": 0.45915408459154083, "mid_p": 0.41365, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8048289738430584, "43": -1.6, "44": 0.20202020202020202 }, "p_het": 0.6796320367963203, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "fp8kv_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 32 (sxs) vs FP8 KV (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.490033368215994, "se": 0.8843802158741461, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.4882731994920535, 0.9383535349721203 ], "q": 0.7871212878712128, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.49)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 27, "mean_a": 90.9090909090909, "mean_b": 90.06734006734007, "delta": 0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -0.9803921586279369, 2.614379086688201 ], "p": 0.46605339466053397, "mid_p": 0.36975, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5151515151515151, "43": 2.0202020202020203, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5691946542932578, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.760903501486586, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7876958782994941, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7557622616116767, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.760903501486586, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.57)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 17, "mean_a": 98.26388888888889, "mean_b": 98.61111111111111, "delta": -0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -1.1217948726998581, 0.44642857228935084 ], "p": 0.48875112488751127, "mid_p": 0.3945, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": -0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.120814376395542, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7906409359064094, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8179044164549062, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7854049032182875, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7906409359064094, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 148, "mean_a": 88.54625550660793, "mean_b": 86.34361233480176, "delta": 2.202643171806167, "ci95": [ 0.41841004015202005, 4.025764897327495 ], "p": 0.020597940205979402, "mid_p": 0.0172, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8810572687224669, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": 4.845814977973569 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.578188202453752, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.18309280183092802, "label_source": "above_nominal", "q": 0.28530480285304805, "label": "above_nominal", "q_prev": 0.18309280183092802, "label_prev": "above_nominal", "q_published": 0.18309280183092802, "label_published": "above_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "above, nominal (p 0.0206, q 0.29)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 48, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 26, "mean_a": 71.53558052434457, "mean_b": 73.03370786516854, "rate_a": 71.53558052434458, "rate_b": 73.03370786516854, "delta": -1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -6.666666672412885, 3.70370371011517 ], "p": 0.677032296770323, "mid_p": 0.584, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 1.0, "mdd80": 7.411737307220248, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.9014922683555819, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9014922683555819, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9064728886227398, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "b": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1491, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 146, "a_only": 74, "b_only": 72, "mean_a": 88.32997987927565, "mean_b": 88.19584171696847, "rate_a": 88.13333333333333, "rate_b": 87.73333333333333, "delta": 0.1341381623071764, "ci95": [ -1.4531043608732763, 1.7127799751950903 ], "p": 0.9388061193880612, "mid_p": 0.87225, "per_seed": { "42": 1.4112903225806452, "43": -1.6, "44": 0.6060606060606061 }, "p_het": 0.2836716328367163, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "fp8kv_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 64 (sxs) vs FP8 KV (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.2626677908742128, "se": 0.8167248745738697, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -1.4755445424223192, 1.743796109993293 ], "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 30, "mean_a": 90.74074074074075, "mean_b": 90.06734006734007, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -1.0638297890615864, 2.430555557362807 ], "p": 0.5794420557944205, "mid_p": 0.46605, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 0.0, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.497448527155087, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8468971284689712, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8788555106753476, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8520611353498797, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8468971284689712, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.50)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 15, "mean_a": 98.54166666666667, "mean_b": 98.61111111111111, "delta": -0.06944444444444445, "ci95": [ -0.946969698179106, 0.8680555567380064 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.90185, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": 0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.2972044294657774, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.30)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 140, "mean_a": 87.37151248164464, "mean_b": 86.34361233480176, "delta": 1.0279001468428781, "ci95": [ -0.7309941537920165, 2.7777777794291225 ], "p": 0.28857114288571145, "mid_p": 0.257, "per_seed": { "42": 1.7621145374449338, "43": -0.44052863436123346, "44": 1.7621145374449338 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5077306673440862, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6230881336645097, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6705615152770437, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6230881336645097, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6230881336645097, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.51)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 38, "a_only": 21, "b_only": 17, "mean_a": 74.53183520599251, "mean_b": 73.03370786516854, "rate_a": 74.53183520599252, "rate_b": 73.03370786516854, "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -2.500000004433745, 5.555555559845642 ], "p": 0.593040695930407, "mid_p": 0.47925, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": 3.3707865168539324, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.585941405859414, "mdd80": 5.757331657772511, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.8543431371148598, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8805499818116347, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8543431371148598, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8492878522798607, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 5.76)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "b": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1492, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 141, "a_only": 75, "b_only": 66, "mean_a": 88.80697050938338, "mean_b": 88.20375335120643, "rate_a": 88.60000000000001, "rate_b": 87.73333333333333, "delta": 0.6032171581769437, "ci95": [ -0.9358288785405651, 2.153432033855393 ], "p": 0.49935006499350065, "mid_p": 0.4463, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6036217303822937, "43": 0.6, "44": 0.6060606060606061 }, "p_het": 0.9943005699430058, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "fp8kv_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 128 (sxs) vs FP8 KV (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.2079047817538684, "se": 0.7903027109066882, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -0.938337801608579, 2.1476510067114094 ], "q": 0.8208494219071243, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.21)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 34, "mean_a": 90.57239057239057, "mean_b": 89.56228956228956, "delta": 1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -0.9523809542273107, 2.941176472460234 ], "p": 0.4106589341065893, "mid_p": 0.32435, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7827381060375997, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7199280071992801, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7524059624112777, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7147856642907138, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7199280071992801, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.78)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 12, "mean_a": 98.68055555555556, "mean_b": 99.09722222222223, "delta": -0.4166666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.190476191317107, 0.3472222231886185 ], "p": 0.40455954404559547, "mid_p": 0.32645, "per_seed": { "42": -0.625, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": 0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.098998038223123, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7199280071992801, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7524059624112777, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7147856642907138, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7199280071992801, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.10)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 135, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": -0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -2.6234567918730383, 0.7374631285381836 ], "p": 0.298970102989701, "mid_p": 0.2633, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1013215859030836, "43": -0.8810572687224669, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4020603548220634, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6294107431362126, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6769134407313985, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6294107431362126, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6294107431362126, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.40)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 43, "a_only": 27, "b_only": 16, "mean_a": 75.65543071161049, "mean_b": 71.53558052434457, "rate_a": 75.65543071161049, "rate_b": 71.53558052434455, "delta": 4.119850187265918, "ci95": [ -0.6802721131886165, 8.730158735045059 ], "p": 0.10898910108989102, "mid_p": 0.0813, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": 7.865168539325842 }, "p_het": 0.6196380361963804, "mdd80": 6.7256654123347674, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.40870912908709134, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4843960048439601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.40870912908709134, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.45437561507007196, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.73)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "b": "blasst_t50_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1490, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 149, "a_only": 67, "b_only": 82, "mean_a": 87.38255033557047, "mean_b": 88.38926174496645, "rate_a": 87.0, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -1.0067114093959733, "ci95": [ -2.6773761730171515, 0.6657789630412102 ], "p": 0.2766723327667233, "mid_p": 0.24525, "per_seed": { "42": -3.4343434343434343, "43": -1.8036072144288577, "44": 2.217741935483871 }, "p_het": 0.012698730126987301, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "blasst_t50_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final dense NVFP4 (sxs) vs BLASST t50 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.389363805896034, "se": 0.8549623352796674, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.680965147453083, 0.6738544474393531 ], "q": 0.6705615152770437, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.39)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 23, "mean_a": 89.05723905723906, "mean_b": 89.56228956228956, "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -1.9417475741921266, 0.9803921583001559 ], "p": 0.6493350664933507, "mid_p": 0.50465, "per_seed": { "42": -0.5050505050505051, "43": -2.0202020202020203, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.088462733087446, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8956345744735872, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9113474617450537, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8905166626194525, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8956345744735872, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.09)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 16, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 99.09722222222223, "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -0.7440476196332975, 0.3676470593399369 ], "p": 0.6655334466553344, "mid_p": 0.5161, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 0.7945317883984331, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9064728886227398, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9014922683555819, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9064728886227398, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 0.79)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 155, "mean_a": 86.63729809104258, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": -0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -2.8400597926460938, 0.9174311946047733 ], "p": 0.3611638836116388, "mid_p": 0.32395, "per_seed": { "42": -1.7621145374449338, "43": -1.3215859030837005, "44": 0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6854909809848104, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6946077045838723, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7290510618359651, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6891810818918108, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6946077045838723, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.69)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 23, "b_only": 28, "mean_a": 69.66292134831461, "mean_b": 71.53558052434457, "rate_a": 69.66292134831461, "rate_b": 71.53558052434455, "delta": -1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -7.936507942920649, 4.255319154719791 ], "p": 0.6319368063193681, "mid_p": 0.5511, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": -4.49438202247191, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.6765323467653235, "mdd80": 8.713538322122309, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.880836771814148, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9016849794310509, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.880836771814148, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8290635904562411, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.71)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "b": "blasst_t50_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1489, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 160, "a_only": 63, "b_only": 97, "mean_a": 86.03089321692411, "mean_b": 88.31430490261921, "rate_a": 85.46666666666665, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -2.2834116856950972, "ci95": [ -3.879849813751245, -0.6821282384877555 ], "p": 0.005499450054994501, "mid_p": 0.00415, "per_seed": { "42": -1.417004048582996, "43": -4.417670682730924, "44": -1.0060362173038229 }, "p_het": 0.21197880211978803, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40_sxs", "blasst_t50_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.40 (sxs) vs BLASST t50 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.285421968863742, "se": 0.818663833196885, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -3.895231699126931, -0.7357859531772575 ], "q": 0.11998800119988001, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.00550, q 0.120)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 26, "mean_a": 89.8989898989899, "mean_b": 89.56228956228956, "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -1.4035087737415823, 2.105263159738345 ], "p": 0.8488151184881512, "mid_p": 0.71165, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": -1.0101010101010102, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.507730667529043, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.954184955336242, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9497468857765385, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.51)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 15, "mean_a": 98.88888888888889, "mean_b": 99.09722222222223, "delta": -0.20833333333333334, "ci95": [ -0.8578431378374853, 0.4166666676195567 ], "p": 0.6826317368263174, "mid_p": 0.54065, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 0.9108962867362104, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9064728886227398, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9014922683555819, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9064728886227398, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 0.91)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 138, "mean_a": 87.88546255506608, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.587301588990578, 2.1739130453332396 ], "p": 0.8125187481251874, "mid_p": 0.75285, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6607929515418502, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": 1.7621145374449338 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.688152283610607, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.69)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 43, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 18, "mean_a": 74.15730337078652, "mean_b": 71.53558052434457, "rate_a": 74.15730337078651, "rate_b": 71.53558052434455, "delta": 2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -2.857142864092385, 8.130081306788803 ], "p": 0.42455754424557546, "mid_p": 0.3582, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": 0.0, "44": 8.98876404494382 }, "p_het": 0.15658434156584342, "mdd80": 7.8526047080548285, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.722651139141405, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7604015717831202, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.722651139141405, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7987772651306297, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.85)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "b": "blasst_t50_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1491, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 148, "a_only": 71, "b_only": 77, "mean_a": 87.92756539235413, "mean_b": 88.32997987927565, "rate_a": 87.66666666666667, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -0.4024144869215292, "ci95": [ -1.9736842120637688, 1.173402869846177 ], "p": 0.6826317368263174, "mid_p": 0.62135, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6060606060606061, "43": -1.002004008016032, "44": 0.4024144869215292 }, "p_het": 0.7832216778322167, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "blasst_t50_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final rho 0.60 (sxs) vs BLASST t50 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.2492333324334615, "se": 0.8023122781989563, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.0053475935828877, 1.2024048096192386 ], "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.010498950104989501, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.010498950104989501, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.25)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 91.07744107744108, "mean_b": 89.56228956228956, "delta": 1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -0.3236245972374917, 3.2967032986376905 ], "p": 0.13358664133586642, "mid_p": 0.0959, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": 1.5151515151515151, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5874600752386074, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.4377940584319946, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4984116972918092, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.43195680431956796, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.4377940584319946, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.59)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 13, "mean_a": 99.02777777777777, "mean_b": 99.09722222222223, "delta": -0.06944444444444445, "ci95": [ -0.6944444452380392, 0.5555555561907548 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8104, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4166666666666667, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": -1.0416666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 0.8933790503976815, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 0.89)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 130, "mean_a": 88.91336270190895, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": 1.3215859030837005, "ci95": [ -0.2936857578560196, 2.9051987784054623 ], "p": 0.12988701129887012, "mid_p": 0.10945, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 1.5418502202643172, "44": 2.4229074889867843 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2862531408564206, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.43295670432956707, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4948076620909338, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.42702579057162776, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.43295670432956707, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.29)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 40, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 18, "mean_a": 73.03370786516854, "mean_b": 71.53558052434457, "rate_a": 73.03370786516854, "rate_b": 71.53558052434455, "delta": 1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -3.3333333376289955, 6.34920635433523 ], "p": 0.648035196480352, "mid_p": 0.544, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": 7.865168539325842 }, "p_het": 0.1745825417458254, "mdd80": 6.920142484445922, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.8905166626194525, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9113474617450537, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8905166626194525, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9419971708412915, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.92)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "b": "blasst_t50_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1493, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 159, "a_only": 72, "b_only": 87, "mean_a": 87.34092431346282, "mean_b": 88.34561286001339, "rate_a": 87.33333333333333, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": -1.0046885465505693, "ci95": [ -2.725968437993364, 0.713266763592325 ], "p": 0.2896710328967103, "mid_p": 0.26025, "per_seed": { "42": -1.814516129032258, "43": -2.404809619238477, "44": 1.2048192771084338 }, "p_het": 0.1501849815018498, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "blasst_t50_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 32 (sxs) vs BLASST t50 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.4580325399799037, "se": 0.8716625006445424, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -2.744356528592602, 0.6753658966672325 ], "q": 0.6705615152770437, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.46)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 28, "mean_a": 90.9090909090909, "mean_b": 89.56228956228956, "delta": 1.3468013468013469, "ci95": [ -0.3401360561245657, 3.0030030044740057 ], "p": 0.17678232176782321, "mid_p": 0.1251, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": 2.525252525252525, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3893523167128454, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5050923479080663, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5733480705983456, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5050923479080663, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5050923479080663, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.39)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 18, "mean_a": 98.26388888888889, "mean_b": 99.09722222222223, "delta": -0.8333333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.527777778482818, -0.1488095230653292 ], "p": 0.0301969803019698, "mid_p": 0.01875, "per_seed": { "42": -0.625, "43": -0.20833333333333334, "44": -1.6666666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 0.985553079316217, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0302, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 131, "mean_a": 88.54625550660793, "mean_b": 87.59177679882525, "delta": 0.9544787077826725, "ci95": [ -0.8438818582553784, 2.7417027434531027 ], "p": 0.31326867313268675, "mid_p": 0.2763, "per_seed": { "42": -1.3215859030837005, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": 4.405286343612334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5626289303467225, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6318023659818893, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6802891139457482, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6371566233207189, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6318023659818893, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.56)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 46, "a_only": 23, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 71.53558052434457, "mean_b": 71.53558052434457, "rate_a": 71.53558052434458, "rate_b": 71.53558052434455, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -5.263157900901409, 5.263157900901409 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9396, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -4.49438202247191, "44": 4.49438202247191 }, "p_het": 0.3655634436556344, "mdd80": 7.523192003561296, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.52)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "b": "blasst_t50_s1_sxs", "n_items": 1492, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 148, "a_only": 74, "b_only": 74, "mean_a": 88.33780160857908, "mean_b": 88.33780160857908, "rate_a": 88.13333333333333, "rate_b": 87.93333333333334, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.7333333350572622, 1.7356475317617626 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.96955, "per_seed": { "42": 0.20202020202020202, "43": -2.404809619238477, "44": 2.208835341365462 }, "p_het": 0.0565943405659434, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "swe", "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "blasst_t50_s1_sxs" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "sxs", "replaces": [ "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "seed_tuple": [ 20261024, 28, 0, 1 ], "label_text": "final N = 64 (sxs) vs BLASST t50 (sxs)", "mdd80": 2.4792918632832874, "se": 0.8639901069255157, "ci95_bootstrap": [ -1.6778523489932886, 1.7356765154697462 ], "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.003999600039996001, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.003999600039996001, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": true, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.48)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 29, "mean_a": 90.74074074074075, "mean_b": 89.56228956228956, "delta": 1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -0.33333333482902405, 2.6217228480444215 ], "p": 0.17278272172782722, "mid_p": 0.1198, "per_seed": { "42": 2.0202020202020203, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.1119882268077443, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.4996126893334763, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5680527837627196, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.4996126893334763, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.4996126893334763, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.11)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 15, "mean_a": 98.54166666666667, "mean_b": 99.09722222222223, "delta": -0.5555555555555556, "ci95": [ -1.0416666674105075, 5.6464347099578e-10 ], "p": 0.059194080591940805, "mid_p": 0.0323, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0416666666666667, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 0.7444825420822762, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.3088386813492564, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.39462720394627204, 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"q_prev": 0.9717369276897196, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9762357097623572, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.48)" }, { "model": "qwen3.8-27b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 42, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 17, "mean_a": 74.53183520599251, "mean_b": 71.53558052434457, "rate_a": 74.53183520599252, "rate_b": 71.53558052434455, "delta": 2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -1.7543859704728377, 7.843137259120084 ], "p": 0.29087091290870914, "mid_p": 0.23005, "per_seed": { "42": 4.49438202247191, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.8879112088791121, "mdd80": 6.859380943378217, "key": [ "qwen3.8-27b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", 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2.6269505214834576, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.37292270772922703, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.46615338466153383, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.37292270772922703, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.37292270772922703, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.63)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 69, "mean_a": 84.51178451178451, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": 1.5151515151515151, "ci95": [ -1.063829789941044, 4.126984129440272 ], "p": 0.3104689531046895, "mid_p": 0.25785, "per_seed": { "42": 4.040404040404041, "43": -2.0202020202020203, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.7098915238298216, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6318023659818893, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6802891139457482, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6368593909839785, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6318023659818893, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.71)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 23, "mean_a": 90.48611111111111, "mean_b": 92.01388888888889, "delta": -1.5277777777777777, "ci95": [ -3.030303032360389, -0.148809522326099 ], "p": 0.035596440355964404, "mid_p": 0.02415, "per_seed": { "42": -2.5, "43": -0.4166666666666667, "44": -1.6666666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.059412746223232, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", 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"per_seed": { "42": -1.2, "43": 1.4, "44": 1.0 }, "p_het": 0.4881511848815118, "mdd80": 2.650950362935943, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9270987794837537, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9370675835642243, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9221934949362207, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9270987794837537, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.65)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 65, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.061224492707585, 2.7027027052640014 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9095, "per_seed": { "42": 2.0202020202020203, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.119497440639449, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 22, "mean_a": 91.11111111111111, "mean_b": 92.01388888888889, "delta": -0.9027777777777778, "ci95": [ -1.7045454556537, -0.1488095229917917 ], "p": 0.0337966203379662, "mid_p": 0.0206, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -1.6666666666666667, "44": -1.0416666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.111889510881909, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0338, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 199, "mean_a": 79.00146842878121, "mean_b": 78.78120411160059, "delta": 0.22026431718061673, "ci95": [ -1.7777777797865895, 2.212389382523826 ], "p": 0.8906109389061094, "mid_p": 0.8365, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": 1.3215859030837005, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.851785397054621, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9804891070525976, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9895677098956772, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9760119878423117, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9804891070525976, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.85)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 54, "a_only": 21, "b_only": 33, "mean_a": 42.69662921348315, "mean_b": 47.19101123595506, "rate_a": 42.696629213483156, "rate_b": 47.19101123595507, "delta": -4.49438202247191, "ci95": [ -11.111111118647413, 2.173913049911798 ], "p": 0.22047795220477953, "mid_p": 0.18475, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": -7.865168539325842, "44": -3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.6874312568743126, "mdd80": 9.494849810121194, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.5431293605333344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5431293605333344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5431293605333344, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 9.49)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 191, "a_only": 96, "b_only": 95, "mean_a": 68.86666666666666, "mean_b": 68.8, "rate_a": 68.86666666666667, "rate_b": 68.8, "delta": 0.06666666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.7832647481269066, 1.8970189720467725 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9435, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0, "43": -0.2, "44": -0.6 }, "p_het": 0.7543245675432457, "mdd80": 2.630310697091709, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.63)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 63, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.6936026961272663, 2.35988200811586 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8964, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": -3.5353535353535355, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.611741888892398, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.61)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 16, "mean_a": 91.25, "mean_b": 92.01388888888889, "delta": -0.7638888888888888, "ci95": [ -2.4621212144443954, 0.6250000020945652 ], "p": 0.7591240875912408, "mid_p": 0.68085, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": -0.4166666666666667, "44": -1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2063755341933247, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.939122582587102, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.948905109489051, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9343065693430657, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.939122582587102, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.21)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 206, "mean_a": 77.01908957415566, "mean_b": 78.78120411160059, "delta": -1.7621145374449338, "ci95": [ -3.686635946706366, 0.15015015209835392 ], "p": 0.08409159084091591, "mid_p": 0.07185, "per_seed": { "42": -1.3215859030837005, "43": 1.1013215859030836, "44": -5.066079295154185 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7421634540889595, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.3957251333690161, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.3957251333690161, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.3957251333690161, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.74)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 42, "a_only": 16, "b_only": 26, "mean_a": 43.445692883895134, "mean_b": 47.19101123595506, "rate_a": 43.445692883895134, "rate_b": 47.19101123595507, "delta": -3.745318352059925, "ci95": [ -9.02777778266384, 1.550387602367312 ], "p": 0.21537846215378462, "mid_p": 0.17095, "per_seed": { "42": -8.98876404494382, "43": -5.617977528089888, "44": 3.3707865168539324 }, "p_het": 0.0791920807919208, "mdd80": 7.560249068661374, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.5431293605333344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5431293605333344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5431293605333344, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.56)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 197, "a_only": 96, "b_only": 101, "mean_a": 68.46666666666667, "mean_b": 68.8, "rate_a": 68.46666666666667, "rate_b": 68.8, "delta": -0.3333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.032520326923482, 1.3661202203149654 ], "p": 0.7567243275672433, "mid_p": 0.7011, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6, "43": -0.6, "44": -1.0 }, "p_het": 0.7878212178782121, "mdd80": 2.429019409011498, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.939122582587102, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.948905109489051, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9343065693430657, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.939122582587102, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.43)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 62, "mean_a": 83.33333333333333, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -2.3809523836943973, 3.0303030333348704 ], "p": 0.9068093190680931, "mid_p": 0.81755, "per_seed": { "42": 3.5353535353535355, "43": -1.0101010101010102, "44": -1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.867441776319312, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.986290511220371, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9998633164206514, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.986290511220371, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.986290511220371, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.87)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 17, "mean_a": 91.25, "mean_b": 92.01388888888889, "delta": -0.7638888888888888, "ci95": [ -1.6025641035443627, 1.0547918841586008e-09 ], "p": 0.10008999100089991, "mid_p": 0.0697, "per_seed": { "42": -1.4583333333333333, "43": -0.625, "44": -0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.1453577570653786, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.40035996400359963, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.48043195680431955, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.40035996400359963, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.40035996400359963, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.15)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 204, "mean_a": 78.48751835535977, "mean_b": 78.78120411160059, "delta": -0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -2.3041474675363713, 1.7167381993787114 ], "p": 0.8318168183181682, "mid_p": 0.77745, "per_seed": { "42": -0.22026431718061673, "43": 0.44052863436123346, "44": -1.1013215859030836 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.87374001180821, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.954184955336242, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.949716349119805, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.87)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 60, "a_only": 22, "b_only": 38, "mean_a": 41.19850187265918, "mean_b": 47.19101123595506, "rate_a": 41.19850187265917, "rate_b": 47.19101123595507, "delta": -5.992509363295881, "ci95": [ -12.698412705500324, 0.7575757643965536 ], "p": 0.10278972102789721, "mid_p": 0.0819, "per_seed": { "42": -8.98876404494382, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": -5.617977528089888 }, "p_het": 0.7045295470452955, "mdd80": 9.617038550126287, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.40441857453598906, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.48371633424892807, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.40441857453598906, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.40441857453598906, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 9.62)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 195, "a_only": 111, "b_only": 84, "mean_a": 70.6, "mean_b": 68.8, "rate_a": 70.6, "rate_b": 68.8, "delta": 1.8, "ci95": [ -1.9293828946709186e-09, 3.6723163861605403 ], "p": 0.06979302069793021, "mid_p": 0.0589, "per_seed": { "42": 2.4, "43": 0.8, "44": 2.2 }, "p_het": 0.7687231276872313, "mdd80": 2.6246164190412666, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.34896510348965104, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.44079802546061186, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.34896510348965104, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.34896510348965104, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.62)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 66, "mean_a": 84.34343434343434, "mean_b": 82.996632996633, "delta": 1.3468013468013469, "ci95": [ -1.3201320158149907, 4.0000000026265 ], "p": 0.37436256374362564, "mid_p": 0.31435, "per_seed": { "42": 2.525252525252525, "43": 0.0, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.8023155881542676, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7019298070192981, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7364509450694275, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6964884906858152, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7019298070192981, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.80)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 14, "mean_a": 91.59722222222223, "mean_b": 92.01388888888889, "delta": -0.4166666666666667, "ci95": [ -1.215277778788149, 0.297619048393703 ], "p": 0.4941505849415059, "mid_p": 0.37775, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6666666666666667, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": 0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.0812722634179783, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": 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"log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.954184955336242, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9497468857765385, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.06)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 54, "a_only": 20, "b_only": 34, "mean_a": 41.947565543071164, "mean_b": 47.19101123595506, "rate_a": 41.947565543071164, "rate_b": 47.19101123595507, "delta": -5.2434456928838955, "ci95": [ -11.111111117788319, 0.7575757636219769 ], "p": 0.10898910108989102, "mid_p": 0.0849, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -6.741573033707865, "44": -5.617977528089888 }, "p_het": 0.908009199080092, "mdd80": 8.482588962769503, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], 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"source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.61)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 12, "mean_a": 92.15277777777777, "mean_b": 92.08333333333333, "delta": 0.06944444444444445, "ci95": [ -0.4807692314163907, 0.5787037041366674 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.84475, "per_seed": { "42": 0.20833333333333334, "43": 0.4166666666666667, "44": -0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 0.7572087392036319, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 0.76)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 198, "mean_a": 80.1762114537445, "mean_b": 78.70778267254038, "delta": 1.4684287812041117, "ci95": [ -0.4385964931207275, 3.362573101295693 ], "p": 0.15098490150984903, "mid_p": 0.1309, "per_seed": { "42": 4.405286343612334, "43": 0.8810572687224669, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7167082230229322, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": 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"source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.45437561507007196, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.523220405232204, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.45437561507007196, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.45437561507007196, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.76)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 160, "a_only": 84, "b_only": 76, "mean_a": 70.53333333333333, "mean_b": 70.0, "rate_a": 70.53333333333333, "rate_b": 70.0, "delta": 0.5333333333333333, "ci95": [ -1.1627906993144272, 2.213541668305278 ], "p": 0.6021397860213978, "mid_p": 0.5521, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0, "43": 1.2, "44": -0.6 }, "p_het": 0.6395360463953604, "mdd80": 2.413075680770608, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8500796979125615, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8811801746654602, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8551097552966596, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8500796979125615, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.41)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 65, "mean_a": 84.51178451178451, "mean_b": 84.006734006734, "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.173913046357864, 3.1578947395965242 ], "p": 0.8075192480751925, "mid_p": 0.71595, "per_seed": { "42": 3.0303030303030303, "43": -1.0101010101010102, "44": -0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.8106602970193983, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.81)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 20, "mean_a": 90.48611111111111, "mean_b": 92.08333333333333, "delta": -1.5972222222222223, "ci95": [ -3.12500000192093, -0.16025640858965495 ], "p": 0.0334966503349665, "mid_p": 0.0227, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0833333333333335, "43": -1.25, "44": -1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.118911850444333, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0335, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 224, "mean_a": 75.33039647577093, "mean_b": 78.70778267254038, "delta": -3.3773861967694567, "ci95": [ -5.578800559968461, -1.174743022759988 ], "p": 0.0023997600239976003, "mid_p": 0.0019, "per_seed": { "42": -3.0837004405286343, "43": -3.0837004405286343, "44": -3.9647577092511015 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.1475941887926355, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.0287971202879712, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.069326400693264, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.0287971202879712, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0287971202879712, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.00240, q 0.0693)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 57, "a_only": 20, "b_only": 37, "mean_a": 38.951310861423224, "mean_b": 45.3183520599251, "rate_a": 38.951310861423224, "rate_b": 45.3183520599251, "delta": -6.367041198501872, "ci95": [ -11.711711718122714, -0.8333333271830162 ], "p": 0.028697130286971302, "mid_p": 0.0209, "per_seed": { "42": -12.359550561797754, "43": -7.865168539325842, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.1506849315068493, "mdd80": 7.774812276524609, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0287, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 180, "a_only": 84, "b_only": 96, "mean_a": 69.2, "mean_b": 70.0, "rate_a": 69.2, "rate_b": 70.0, "delta": -0.8, "ci95": [ -2.564102565886349, 0.9641873296425743 ], "p": 0.4082591740825917, "mid_p": 0.3668, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0, "43": 0.4, "44": -0.8 }, "p_het": 0.561943805619438, "mdd80": 2.5216802182339224, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7199280071992801, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7524059624112777, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7147856642907138, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7199280071992801, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.52)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 65, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 84.006734006734, "delta": -1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -3.741496601225487, 1.4035087746113764 ], "p": 0.44575542445755423, "mid_p": 0.37485, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": -1.5151515151515151, "44": -3.0303030303030303 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.6771520093617687, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.742925707429257, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7752268251435726, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7378020818607793, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.742925707429257, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.68)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 21, "mean_a": 91.11111111111111, "mean_b": 92.08333333333333, "delta": -0.9722222222222222, "ci95": [ -1.8750000013689287, -0.12254901885104916 ], "p": 0.04659534046595341, "mid_p": 0.02945, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4166666666666667, "43": -2.5, "44": -0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.2524823942726144, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.26006701655415854, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.33887520338875204, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.26006701655415854, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.26006701655415854, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0466, q 0.34)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 218, "mean_a": 79.00146842878121, "mean_b": 78.70778267254038, "delta": 0.2936857562408223, "ci95": [ -1.798063625753541, 2.369668248673217 ], "p": 0.837916208379162, "mid_p": 0.78655, "per_seed": { "42": 1.3215859030837005, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.44052863436123346 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.978691472025272, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.954184955336242, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.949716349119805, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.98)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 57, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 32, "mean_a": 42.69662921348315, "mean_b": 45.3183520599251, "rate_a": 42.696629213483156, "rate_b": 45.3183520599251, "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -8.730158736632562, 3.4188034256891573 ], "p": 0.46295370462953706, "mid_p": 0.3948, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -8.98876404494382, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.2686731326867313, "mdd80": 8.68290261398901, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.7557622616116767, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7876958782994941, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7557622616116767, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.760903501486586, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.68)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 191, "a_only": 87, "b_only": 104, "mean_a": 68.86666666666666, "mean_b": 70.0, "rate_a": 68.86666666666667, "rate_b": 70.0, "delta": -1.1333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.916666668524228, 0.6666666684636935 ], "p": 0.23577642235776422, "mid_p": 0.209, "per_seed": { "42": 0.2, "43": -1.2, "44": -2.4 }, "p_het": 0.5256474352564744, "mdd80": 2.561019944157964, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5652006227948633, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6246954251943226, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5652006227948633, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5652006227948633, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.56)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 59, "mean_a": 82.82828282828282, "mean_b": 84.006734006734, "delta": -1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -3.669724772898083, 1.346801349323957 ], "p": 0.43615638436156384, "mid_p": 0.36475, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.585327470594556, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7355348381245792, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7677480427139768, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7304269573042697, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7355348381245792, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.59)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 15, "mean_a": 91.25, "mean_b": 92.08333333333333, "delta": -0.8333333333333334, "ci95": [ -2.604166668887684, 0.5681818201009077 ], "p": 0.5961403859614038, "mid_p": 0.54975, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -1.25, "44": -1.25 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.267287741906929, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8492878522798607, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8805499818116347, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8543431371148598, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8492878522798607, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.27)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 219, "mean_a": 77.01908957415566, "mean_b": 78.70778267254038, "delta": -1.6886930983847284, "ci95": [ -3.770739066991885, 0.42918455141728495 ], "p": 0.1287871212878712, "mid_p": 0.11465, "per_seed": { "42": -0.22026431718061673, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": -4.6255506607929515 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.0016990157346957, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.43295670432956707, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4948076620909338, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.42702579057162776, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.43295670432956707, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.00)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 55, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 30, "mean_a": 43.445692883895134, "mean_b": 45.3183520599251, "rate_a": 43.445692883895134, "rate_b": 45.3183520599251, "delta": -1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -7.317073176634992, 3.508771936116042 ], "p": 0.5782421757824218, "mid_p": 0.4937, "per_seed": { "42": -6.741573033707865, "43": -6.741573033707865, "44": 7.865168539325842 }, "p_het": 0.05419458054194581, "mdd80": 7.737266572421551, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.8520611353498797, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8788555106753476, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8520611353498797, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8468971284689712, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.74)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 181, "a_only": 79, "b_only": 102, "mean_a": 68.46666666666667, "mean_b": 70.0, "rate_a": 68.46666666666667, "rate_b": 70.0, "delta": -1.5333333333333334, "ci95": [ -3.252032522066563, 0.13947001569151027 ], "p": 0.09299070092990701, "mid_p": 0.0796, "per_seed": { "42": -0.2, "43": -1.6, "44": -2.8 }, "p_het": 0.507949205079492, "mdd80": 2.423917850512284, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.42)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 54, "mean_a": 83.33333333333333, "mean_b": 84.006734006734, "delta": -0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -2.9304029328548156, 1.6025641047294497 ], "p": 0.6701329867013298, "mid_p": 0.57325, "per_seed": { "42": 2.525252525252525, "43": 0.0, "44": -4.545454545454546 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.239726226313697, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9064728886227398, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9014922683555819, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9064728886227398, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.24)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 18, "mean_a": 91.25, "mean_b": 92.08333333333333, "delta": -0.8333333333333334, "ci95": [ -1.7156862752972177, 1.1495697700372283e-09 ], "p": 0.08589141085891411, "mid_p": 0.06115, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0416666666666667, "43": -1.4583333333333333, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.226206539744295, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.23)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 195, "mean_a": 78.48751835535977, "mean_b": 78.70778267254038, "delta": -0.22026431718061673, "ci95": [ -2.2222222242390597, 1.777777779790878 ], "p": 0.8889111088891111, "mid_p": 0.83455, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8810572687224669, "43": -0.8810572687224669, "44": -0.6607929515418502 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.8588129608850665, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9804891070525976, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9895677098956772, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9760119878423117, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9804891070525976, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.86)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 61, "a_only": 25, "b_only": 36, "mean_a": 41.19850187265918, "mean_b": 45.3183520599251, "rate_a": 41.19850187265917, "rate_b": 45.3183520599251, "delta": -4.119850187265918, "ci95": [ -9.929078019679523, 1.6260162663769293 ], "p": 0.20237976202379762, "mid_p": 0.16305, "per_seed": { "42": -6.741573033707865, "43": -4.49438202247191, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.7584241575842415, "mdd80": 8.258463318986516, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.5337488229199059, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5996437393297708, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5337488229199059, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5337488229199059, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 8.26)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 177, "a_only": 93, "b_only": 84, "mean_a": 70.6, "mean_b": 70.0, "rate_a": 70.6, "rate_b": 70.0, "delta": 0.6, "ci95": [ -1.2711864426559754, 2.4793388449143814 ], "p": 0.5748425157484252, "mid_p": 0.5301, "per_seed": { "42": 1.6, "43": -0.2, "44": 0.4 }, "p_het": 0.6882311768823117, "mdd80": 2.680512572857757, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8468971284689712, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8788555106753476, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8520611353498797, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8468971284689712, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.68)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 64, "mean_a": 84.34343434343434, "mean_b": 84.006734006734, "delta": 0.3367003367003367, "ci95": [ -2.5641025668536455, 3.205128207859513 ], "p": 0.9082091790820918, "mid_p": 0.8192, "per_seed": { "42": 1.5151515151515151, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": -1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.123287924117594, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.986290511220371, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9998633164206514, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.986290511220371, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.986290511220371, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.12)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 13, "mean_a": 91.59722222222223, "mean_b": 92.08333333333333, "delta": -0.4861111111111111, "ci95": [ -1.3392857152100794, 0.3205128214552232 ], "p": 0.386961303869613, "mid_p": 0.3012, "per_seed": { "42": -1.25, "43": -0.625, "44": 0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.186263391074067, "key": [ "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", 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"jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.14)" }, { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 51, "a_only": 21, "b_only": 30, "mean_a": 41.947565543071164, "mean_b": 45.3183520599251, "rate_a": 41.947565543071164, "rate_b": 45.3183520599251, "delta": -3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -8.974358979149748, 2.272727278424508 ], "p": 0.28587141285871415, "mid_p": 0.23305, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": -7.865168539325842, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 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"mdd80": 4.51846468544439, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8200718389699493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8472265356245834, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8200718389699493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8200718389699493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.52)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 29, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 87.84722222222223, "delta": 0.06944444444444445, "ci95": [ -1.190476191836415, 1.339285715656822 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.91345, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0833333333333335, "43": 2.2916666666666665, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.8080290304521878, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.81)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 135, "mean_a": 68.79588839941263, "mean_b": 69.60352422907489, "delta": -0.8076358296622613, "ci95": [ -2.5641025658024086, 0.9302325599680578 ], "p": 0.40645935406459355, "mid_p": 0.36365, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6607929515418502, "43": -1.9823788546255507, "44": 0.22026431718061673 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4974126342910354, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7199280071992801, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7524059624112777, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7147856642907138, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7199280071992801, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.50)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 12, "a_only": 4, "b_only": 8, "mean_a": 4.49438202247191, "mean_b": 5.992509363295881, "rate_a": 4.49438202247191, "rate_b": 5.99250936329588, "delta": -1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -3.787878790191476, 0.7936507960774998 ], "p": 0.36346365363463656, "mid_p": 0.2354, "per_seed": { "42": -4.49438202247191, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.27217278272172785, "mdd80": 3.2744340371770946, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6891810818918108, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7290510618359651, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6891810818918108, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6946077045838723, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.27)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 254, "a_only": 109, "b_only": 145, "mean_a": 20.6, "mean_b": 23.0, "rate_a": 20.599999999999998, "rate_b": 23.0, "delta": -2.4, "ci95": [ -4.521963826343285, -0.2699055309094578 ], "p": 0.030496950304969503, "mid_p": 0.0264, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4, "43": -1.2, "44": -5.6 }, "p_het": 0.09479052094790522, "mdd80": 3.0389598382945673, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0305, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 84, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 73.56902356902357, "delta": -1.6835016835016836, "ci95": [ -4.71380471682874, 1.3888888920485023 ], "p": 0.32536746325367466, "mid_p": 0.27635, "per_seed": { "42": -0.5050505050505051, "43": -5.05050505050505, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.361614891947921, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6507349265073493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6910459396538223, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6507349265073493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6507349265073493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.36)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 87.84722222222223, "delta": -0.9027777777777778, "ci95": [ -2.777777779663084, 0.7812500015828914 ], "p": 0.49405059494050596, "mid_p": 0.4448, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": 0.8333333333333334, "44": -2.7083333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.543648684731317, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7906409359064094, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8179044164549062, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7854049032182875, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7906409359064094, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.54)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 160, "mean_a": 67.40088105726872, "mean_b": 69.60352422907489, "delta": -2.202643171806167, "ci95": [ -4.166666668583378, -0.28011204298790227 ], "p": 0.0316968303169683, "mid_p": 0.0268, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5418502202643172, "43": -3.5242290748898677, "44": -1.5418502202643172 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7777331814115156, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0317, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 16, "a_only": 5, "b_only": 11, "mean_a": 3.745318352059925, "mean_b": 5.992509363295881, "rate_a": 3.7453183520599254, "rate_b": 5.99250936329588, "delta": -2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -5.555555558621639, 0.8333333367632649 ], "p": 0.2933706629337066, "mid_p": 0.2065, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.6748325167483251, "mdd80": 4.566159590344925, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6230881336645097, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6705615152770437, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6230881336645097, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6230881336645097, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.57)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 271, "a_only": 102, "b_only": 169, "mean_a": 18.533333333333335, "mean_b": 23.0, "rate_a": 18.53333333333333, "rate_b": 23.0, "delta": -4.466666666666667, "ci95": [ -6.611570250147857, -2.3319615890303496 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": -4.6, "43": -5.4, "44": -3.4 }, "p_het": 0.7586241375862414, "mdd80": 3.0586501738981364, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.011998800119988003, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.0120)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 69, "mean_a": 73.4006734006734, "mean_b": 73.56902356902357, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.5889967660751694, 2.287581701730117 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.8932, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": 0.0, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.485306428622306, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.49)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 36, "mean_a": 87.22222222222223, "mean_b": 87.84722222222223, "delta": -0.625, "ci95": [ -1.923076924583763, 0.6944444457741499 ], "p": 0.393960603939606, "mid_p": 0.33995, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -0.625, "44": -1.25 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.870751002858458, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", 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"log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.37292270772922703, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.46615338466153383, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.37292270772922703, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.37292270772922703, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.58)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 17, "a_only": 7, "b_only": 10, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 5.992509363295881, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 5.99250936329588, "delta": -1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -3.546099293067706, 1.3888888912200303 ], "p": 0.5646435356464353, "mid_p": 0.39885, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": -1.1235955056179776, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 1.0, "mdd80": 3.52705204221066, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.8520611353498797, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8788555106753476, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8520611353498797, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8468971284689712, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.53)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 275, "a_only": 127, "b_only": 148, "mean_a": 21.6, "mean_b": 23.0, "rate_a": 21.599999999999998, "rate_b": 23.0, "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.614457833539172, 0.8163265328663558 ], "p": 0.24047595240475952, "mid_p": 0.2191, "per_seed": { "42": -1.4, "43": -0.4, "44": -2.4 }, "p_het": 0.7722227777222278, "mdd80": 3.1666959402013664, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5652006227948633, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6246954251943226, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5652006227948633, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5652006227948633, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.17)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 86, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 73.56902356902357, "delta": -1.6835016835016836, "ci95": [ -4.333333335956158, 1.0000000026480222 ], "p": 0.2642735726427357, "mid_p": 0.2188, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": -7.575757575757576, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.8117506144402338, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5849690260331765, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6472005860638426, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.587274605872746, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5849690260331765, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.81)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 32, "mean_a": 86.80555555555556, "mean_b": 87.84722222222223, "delta": -1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.044871797194604, 0.8928571449337495 ], "p": 0.38986101389861016, "mid_p": 0.35285, "per_seed": { "42": 0.625, "43": -1.6666666666666667, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.814307631216824, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7142491857684461, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7485331466853316, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7088382070883821, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7142491857684461, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.81)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 150, "mean_a": 68.4287812041116, "mean_b": 69.60352422907489, "delta": -1.1747430249632893, "ci95": [ -3.056768560812979, 0.7183908064480153 ], "p": 0.2508749125087491, "mid_p": 0.2232, "per_seed": { "42": 0.22026431718061673, "43": -2.202643171806167, "44": -1.5418502202643172 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.698118629414787, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.56801866983113, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6271872812718727, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.56801866983113, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.56801866983113, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.70)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 18, "a_only": 8, "b_only": 10, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 5.992509363295881, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 5.99250936329588, "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -4.347826090437003, 2.8368794360187284 ], "p": 0.8508149185081492, "mid_p": 0.70985, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": 2.247191011235955, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.32556744325567444, "mdd80": 5.134932314620189, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.9497468857765385, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9497468857765385, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 5.13)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 272, "a_only": 106, "b_only": 166, "mean_a": 19.0, "mean_b": 23.0, "rate_a": 19.0, "rate_b": 23.0, "delta": -4.0, "ci95": [ -6.153846155913599, -1.8445322771911439 ], "p": 0.0005999400059994001, "mid_p": 0.0005, "per_seed": { "42": -4.4, "43": -4.0, "44": -3.6 }, "p_het": 0.9637036296370363, "mdd80": 3.0798805891504815, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.009599040095990401, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.035996400359964, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.009599040095990401, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.009599040095990401, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.0006, q 0.0360)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 85, "mean_a": 72.72727272727273, "mean_b": 73.56902356902357, "delta": -0.8417508417508418, "ci95": [ -4.081632656335311, 2.405498285102456 ], "p": 0.6836316368363163, "mid_p": 0.6084, "per_seed": { "42": 3.0303030303030303, "43": -6.0606060606060606, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.636373498914135, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9064728886227398, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9014922683555819, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9064728886227398, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.64)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 28, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 87.84722222222223, "delta": -0.9027777777777778, "ci95": [ -2.272727274610427, 0.3472222237940764 ], "p": 0.29327067293270676, "mid_p": 0.23695, "per_seed": { "42": -0.625, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": -2.2916666666666665 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.8724863938392802, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.6230881336645097, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6705615152770437, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6230881336645097, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6230881336645097, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.87)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 148, "mean_a": 68.28193832599119, "mean_b": 69.60352422907489, "delta": -1.3215859030837005, "ci95": [ -3.1818181837382076, 0.574712645531105 ], "p": 0.19208079192080793, "mid_p": 0.168, "per_seed": { "42": -0.44052863436123346, "43": -0.8810572687224669, "44": -2.643171806167401 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6848047529649604, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5124820851248209, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5765423457654235, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5124820851248209, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5124820851248209, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.68)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 18, "a_only": 8, "b_only": 10, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 5.992509363295881, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 5.99250936329588, "delta": -0.7490636704119851, "ci95": [ -3.7037037073483825, 2.2727272757808548 ], "p": 0.8076192380761924, "mid_p": 0.63825, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": 0.0, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.8853114688531147, "mdd80": 4.2713745842978925, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.9420507224639855, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.27)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 274, "a_only": 120, "b_only": 154, "mean_a": 20.733333333333334, "mean_b": 23.0, "rate_a": 20.733333333333334, "rate_b": 23.0, "delta": -2.2666666666666666, "ci95": [ -4.417670684890043, -0.13280212271199568 ], "p": 0.0448955104489551, "mid_p": 0.04015, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8, "43": -2.2, "44": -3.8 }, "p_het": 0.5522447755224478, "mdd80": 3.0624094422255603, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.25654577399402917, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.33671632836716325, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.25654577399402917, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.25654577399402917, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0449, q 0.34)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 79, "mean_a": 73.06397306397307, "mean_b": 73.56902356902357, "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -3.2608695681752877, 2.247191014295825 ], "p": 0.8094190580941906, "mid_p": 0.7209, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": -3.0303030303030303, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.9366287416610493, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9466237842235193, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9420507224639855, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9466237842235193, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.94)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 24, "mean_a": 87.5, "mean_b": 87.84722222222223, "delta": -0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -1.909722224189096, 1.190476192131698 ], "p": 0.7262273772622738, "mid_p": 0.65665, "per_seed": { "42": -0.8333333333333334, "43": 1.875, "44": -2.0833333333333335 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.2157218512410055, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9270987794837537, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9370675835642243, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9221934949362207, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9270987794837537, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.22)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 147, "mean_a": 68.94273127753304, "mean_b": 69.60352422907489, "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.5862068984328035, 1.2759170674921436 ], "p": 0.5526447355264473, "mid_p": 0.50465, "per_seed": { "42": 1.9823788546255507, "43": -3.303964757709251, "44": -0.6607929515418502 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.760272509801837, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8341807328701092, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8668937027865841, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8394603577616921, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8341807328701092, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.76)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 13, "a_only": 5, "b_only": 8, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 5.992509363295881, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 5.99250936329588, "delta": -1.1235955056179776, "ci95": [ -3.1007751958483816, 0.8130081321816371 ], "p": 0.4540545945405459, "mid_p": 0.2891, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": 2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.37736226377362264, "mdd80": 2.797193623248898, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.7463911143132261, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7839791560412304, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7463911143132261, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7515386392395242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.80)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 279, "a_only": 126, "b_only": 153, "mean_a": 21.2, "mean_b": 23.0, "rate_a": 21.2, "rate_b": 23.0, "delta": -1.8, "ci95": [ -4.005722463015751, 0.4016064279056578 ], "p": 0.12068793120687932, "mid_p": 0.10705, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4, "43": -1.0, "44": -4.0 }, "p_het": 0.3685631436856314, "mdd80": 3.149932235888824, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.43231497745747816, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4948076620909338, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.42595740425957407, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.43231497745747816, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.15)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 77, "mean_a": 72.39057239057239, "mean_b": 72.89562289562289, "delta": -0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -3.5842293939524072, 2.6217228499169742 ], "p": 0.8342165783421658, "mid_p": 0.751, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5151515151515151, "43": 0.0, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.435414172883276, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.954184955336242, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.949716349119805, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.44)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 31, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 88.54166666666667, "delta": -0.625, "ci95": [ -1.4880952390287936, 0.20833333459750983 ], "p": 0.21537846215378462, "mid_p": 0.16425, "per_seed": { "42": -3.9583333333333335, "43": 0.625, "44": 1.4583333333333333 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.2124429971531432, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5431293605333344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5431293605333344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5431293605333344, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.21)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 144, "mean_a": 68.79588839941263, "mean_b": 68.94273127753304, "delta": -0.14684287812041116, "ci95": [ -1.9704433517903317, 1.6877637148320894 ], "p": 0.9357064293570643, "mid_p": 0.87405, "per_seed": { "42": 0.44052863436123346, "43": 0.0, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.614532441281279, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.61)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 15, "a_only": 4, "b_only": 11, "mean_a": 4.49438202247191, "mean_b": 7.116104868913857, "rate_a": 4.49438202247191, "rate_b": 7.116104868913858, "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -5.185185187713881, 2.7729845459594654e-09 ], "p": 0.0903909609039096, "mid_p": 0.054, "per_seed": { "42": -4.49438202247191, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.5456454354564544, "mdd80": 3.7058686530546834, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.71)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 256, "a_only": 113, "b_only": 143, "mean_a": 20.6, "mean_b": 22.6, "rate_a": 20.599999999999998, "rate_b": 22.600000000000005, "delta": -2.0, "ci95": [ -4.044630406597175, 2.1632204033525523e-09 ], "p": 0.06569343065693431, "mid_p": 0.0571, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0, "43": -0.4, "44": -3.6 }, "p_het": 0.4804519548045195, "mdd80": 2.8907104557261754, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.3354558161205156, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.42611955020714143, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.3354558161205156, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.3354558161205156, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.89)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 96, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 72.89562289562289, "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -4.494382026335473, 2.4822695072148755 ], "p": 0.634936506349365, "mid_p": 0.56735, "per_seed": { "42": -2.525252525252525, "43": 0.5050505050505051, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.9862354518995495, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.880836771814148, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9016849794310509, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.880836771814148, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.880836771814148, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.99)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 37, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 88.54166666666667, "delta": -1.5972222222222223, "ci95": [ -3.5256410278740193, 0.2777777796618082 ], "p": 0.12668733126687332, "mid_p": 0.1064, "per_seed": { "42": -2.7083333333333335, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": -1.25 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.7183157429257014, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.43295670432956707, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4948076620909338, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.42702579057162776, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.43295670432956707, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.72)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 165, "mean_a": 67.40088105726872, "mean_b": 68.94273127753304, "delta": -1.5418502202643172, "ci95": [ -3.3182503788985933, 0.2801120465508645 ], "p": 0.10748925107489252, "mid_p": 0.09125, "per_seed": { "42": -0.44052863436123346, "43": -1.5418502202643172, "44": -2.643171806167401 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.571761282368174, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.41519657558053724, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4843960048439601, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.40870912908709134, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.41519657558053724, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.57)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 19, "a_only": 5, "b_only": 14, "mean_a": 3.745318352059925, "mean_b": 7.116104868913857, "rate_a": 3.7453183520599254, "rate_b": 7.116104868913858, "delta": -3.3707865168539324, "ci95": [ -6.837606841564807, 3.6590937697579046e-09 ], "p": 0.0933906609339066, "mid_p": 0.06015, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -5.617977528089888, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.54994500549945, "mdd80": 4.8868597627172, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.89)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 271, "a_only": 105, "b_only": 166, "mean_a": 18.533333333333335, "mean_b": 22.6, "rate_a": 18.53333333333333, "rate_b": 22.600000000000005, "delta": -4.066666666666666, "ci95": [ -6.182795701051447, -1.928374653443591 ], "p": 0.0004999500049995, "mid_p": 0.0003, "per_seed": { "42": -6.2, "43": -4.6, "44": -1.4 }, "p_het": 0.19568043195680432, "mdd80": 3.0406485049274847, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.008570571514277144, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.035996400359964, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.008570571514277144, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.008570571514277144, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.0005, q 0.0360)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 81, "mean_a": 73.4006734006734, "mean_b": 72.89562289562289, "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.508960576673776, 3.559870553097798 ], "p": 0.8213178682131786, "mid_p": 0.74075, "per_seed": { "42": -3.0303030303030303, "43": 5.555555555555555, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.337413268433559, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9522526008268738, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9615428701032336, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9476744633228985, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9522526008268738, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.34)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 31, "mean_a": 87.22222222222223, "mean_b": 88.54166666666667, "delta": -1.3194444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.6785714300350647, 1.326640145393803e-09 ], "p": 0.05599440055994401, "mid_p": 0.0384, "per_seed": { "42": -1.875, "43": -2.2916666666666665, "44": 0.20833333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.914383679229615, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.2986368029863681, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.3839616038396161, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.2986368029863681, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.2986368029863681, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.91)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 146, "mean_a": 67.91483113069016, "mean_b": 68.94273127753304, "delta": -1.0279001468428781, "ci95": [ -2.6610644273227226, 0.5979073260135283 ], "p": 0.24427557244275572, "mid_p": 0.2126, "per_seed": { "42": -2.202643171806167, "43": 1.5418502202643172, "44": -2.4229074889867843 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3291976695523706, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5652006227948633, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6246954251943226, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5652006227948633, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5652006227948633, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.33)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 22, "a_only": 8, "b_only": 14, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 7.116104868913857, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 7.116104868913858, "delta": -2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -5.405405409194425, 0.8130081333939969 ], "p": 0.24567543245675433, "mid_p": 0.1707, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": -3.3707865168539324, "44": 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"per_seed": { "42": -3.0, "43": 0.4, "44": -0.4 }, "p_het": 0.43145685431456854, "mdd80": 3.1676205905588475, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7199280071992801, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7524059624112777, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7147856642907138, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7199280071992801, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.17)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 74, "mean_a": 71.88552188552188, "mean_b": 72.89562289562289, "delta": -1.0101010101010102, "ci95": [ -3.9603960424874853, 1.9230769258693217 ], "p": 0.5765423457654234, "mid_p": 0.50465, "per_seed": { "42": -1.5151515151515151, "43": -2.0202020202020203, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.204937190002435, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8468971284689712, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8788555106753476, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8520611353498797, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8468971284689712, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.20)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 35, "mean_a": 86.80555555555556, "mean_b": 88.54166666666667, "delta": -1.7361111111111112, "ci95": [ -4.42708333585783, 0.8680555588138867 ], "p": 0.24727527247275272, "mid_p": 0.22425, "per_seed": { "42": -1.25, "43": -3.3333333333333335, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.784452921630755, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5652006227948633, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6246954251943226, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5652006227948633, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5652006227948633, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.78)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 149, "mean_a": 68.4287812041116, "mean_b": 68.94273127753304, "delta": -0.5139500734214391, "ci95": [ -2.341597797853757, 1.3157894755042099 ], "p": 0.6344365563443656, "mid_p": 0.57825, "per_seed": { "42": 1.3215859030837005, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": -2.643171806167401 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.613946532379452, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.880836771814148, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9016849794310509, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.880836771814148, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.880836771814148, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.61)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 17, "a_only": 6, "b_only": 11, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 7.116104868913857, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 7.116104868913858, "delta": -1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -5.0724637712066505, 1.4492753655252757 ], "p": 0.3675632436756324, "mid_p": 0.27065, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": 0.0, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.7393260673932607, "mdd80": 4.661108088204161, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6891810818918108, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7290510618359651, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6891810818918108, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6946077045838723, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.66)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 272, "a_only": 109, "b_only": 163, "mean_a": 19.0, "mean_b": 22.6, "rate_a": 19.0, "rate_b": 22.600000000000005, "delta": -3.6, "ci95": [ -5.7692307713123325, -1.424501422184791 ], "p": 0.0011998800119988001, "mid_p": 0.001, "per_seed": { "42": -6.0, "43": -3.2, "44": -1.6 }, "p_het": 0.26247375262473754, "mdd80": 3.1051921405774565, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.015998400159984, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.047995200479952004, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.015998400159984, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.015998400159984, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.00120, q 0.0480)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 81, "mean_a": 72.72727272727273, "mean_b": 72.89562289562289, "delta": -0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -3.5294117686162902, 3.205128208328519 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9221, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": -1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.813197538072888, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.81)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 86.94444444444444, "mean_b": 88.54166666666667, "delta": -1.5972222222222223, "ci95": [ -3.750000002162522, 0.37878788149300946 ], "p": 0.1902809719028097, "mid_p": 0.16135, "per_seed": { "42": -2.5, "43": -1.4583333333333333, "44": -0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.950858075661971, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5124820851248209, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5765423457654235, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5124820851248209, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5124820851248209, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.95)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 157, "mean_a": 68.28193832599119, "mean_b": 68.94273127753304, "delta": -0.6607929515418502, "ci95": [ -2.4132730033025247, 1.0852713196664436 ], "p": 0.5044495550444955, "mid_p": 0.45655, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": 1.1013215859030836, "44": -3.7444933920704844 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.500420961164504, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7987772651306297, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8235911102767274, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7964992974386771, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7987772651306297, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.50)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 19, "a_only": 7, "b_only": 12, "mean_a": 5.2434456928838955, "mean_b": 7.116104868913857, "rate_a": 5.2434456928838955, "rate_b": 7.116104868913858, "delta": -1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -4.878048783745713, 0.9523809559730816 ], "p": 0.33536646335366466, "mid_p": 0.2405, "per_seed": { "42": -2.247191011235955, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 1.0, "mdd80": 4.1670270226612445, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6651896793791696, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7060346596919256, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6651896793791696, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6651896793791696, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.17)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 266, "a_only": 119, "b_only": 147, "mean_a": 20.733333333333334, "mean_b": 22.6, "rate_a": 20.733333333333334, "rate_b": 22.600000000000005, "delta": -1.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ -3.9743589763769656, 0.25940337430690574 ], "p": 0.09359064093590641, "mid_p": 0.0829, "per_seed": { "42": -2.4, "43": -1.4, "44": -1.8 }, "p_het": 0.9376062393760624, "mdd80": 3.0258836673120393, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.03)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 81, "mean_a": 73.06397306397307, "mean_b": 72.89562289562289, "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.8735632209797983, 3.2128514092466194 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9171, "per_seed": { "42": -3.0303030303030303, "43": 2.525252525252525, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.349980253170406, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.35)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 29, "mean_a": 87.5, "mean_b": 88.54166666666667, "delta": -1.0416666666666667, "ci95": [ -2.450980393409309, 0.3472222239704206 ], "p": 0.1713828617138286, "mid_p": 0.14285, "per_seed": { "42": -2.7083333333333335, "43": 0.20833333333333334, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.9998844754220695, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.4996126893334763, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5680527837627196, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.4996126893334763, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.4996126893334763, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.00)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 146, "mean_a": 68.94273127753304, "mean_b": 68.94273127753304, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.7615176168008588, 1.7713365558848175 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9671, "per_seed": { "42": 3.0837004405286343, "43": -1.3215859030837005, "44": -1.7621145374449338 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.5249423219038354, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "lcb", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.52)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 18, "a_only": 6, "b_only": 12, "mean_a": 4.868913857677903, "mean_b": 7.116104868913857, "rate_a": 4.868913857677903, "rate_b": 7.116104868913858, "delta": -2.247191011235955, "ci95": [ -5.185185188086429, 0.7575757606075453 ], "p": 0.21747825217478253, "mid_p": 0.1471, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -4.49438202247191, "44": 1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.44185581441855815, "mdd80": 4.247310501612892, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "tb", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.5431293605333344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5431293605333344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5431293605333344, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.25)" }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 269, "a_only": 124, "b_only": 145, "mean_a": 21.2, "mean_b": 22.6, "rate_a": 21.2, "rate_b": 22.600000000000005, "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.617571061572109, 0.8163265328661065 ], "p": 0.24117588241175883, "mid_p": 0.21815, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0, "43": -0.2, "44": -2.0 }, "p_het": 0.7504249575042495, "mdd80": 3.168920974361634, "key": [ "nemotron3-nano", "swe", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5652006227948633, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6246954251943226, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5652006227948633, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5652006227948633, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.17)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 92, "mean_a": 77.10437710437711, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 2.0202020202020203, "ci95": [ -0.7168458810418085, 4.810996566419401 ], "p": 0.19118088191180882, "mid_p": 0.1588, "per_seed": { "42": 2.0202020202020203, "43": 2.0202020202020203, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.9507669046528475, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5124820851248209, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5765423457654235, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5124820851248209, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5124820851248209, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.95)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 36, "mean_a": 87.15277777777777, "mean_b": 87.43055555555556, "delta": -0.2777777777777778, "ci95": [ -1.4705882363528673, 0.9259259269349449 ], "p": 0.7204279572042795, "mid_p": 0.6367, "per_seed": { "42": -0.4166666666666667, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": 0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.7127964360123415, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9270987794837537, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9370675835642243, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9221934949362207, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9270987794837537, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.71)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 130, "mean_a": 80.10279001468429, "mean_b": 79.66226138032306, "delta": 0.44052863436123346, "ci95": [ -1.255230127133387, 2.1406727846388858 ], "p": 0.674032596740326, "mid_p": 0.6132, "per_seed": { "42": -0.22026431718061673, "43": 0.6607929515418502, "44": 0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.4270628120752495, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9064728886227398, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9166010773224352, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9014922683555819, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9064728886227398, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.43)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 42, "a_only": 17, "b_only": 25, "mean_a": 22.846441947565545, "mean_b": 25.84269662921348, "rate_a": 22.84644194756554, "rate_b": 25.84269662921348, "delta": -2.9962546816479403, "ci95": [ -7.93650794173117, 1.8518518578343766 ], "p": 0.30256974302569745, "mid_p": 0.2409, "per_seed": { "42": 2.247191011235955, "43": -7.865168539325842, "44": 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{ "42": -5.2, "43": -2.4, "44": 1.0 }, "p_het": 0.06829317068293171, "mdd80": 2.7896025679801815, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.21922132111113216, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.30041440300414407, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.21922132111113216, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.21922132111113216, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0330, q 0.30)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 85, "mean_a": 75.58922558922559, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 0.5050505050505051, "ci95": [ -2.666666669802906, 3.666666669785827 ], "p": 0.8389161083891611, "mid_p": 0.76065, "per_seed": { "42": -1.0101010101010102, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": 1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.526453854645111, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.954184955336242, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9631867001979048, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.949716349119805, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.954184955336242, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.53)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 40, "mean_a": 85.48611111111111, "mean_b": 87.43055555555556, "delta": -1.9444444444444444, "ci95": [ -4.166666669242424, 0.20833333657681397 ], "p": 0.096990300969903, "mid_p": 0.0832, "per_seed": { "42": -2.7083333333333335, "43": -2.7083333333333335, "44": -0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.126826676976841, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.13)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 153, "mean_a": 78.41409691629956, "mean_b": 79.66226138032306, "delta": -1.2481644640234948, "ci95": [ -3.0567685607374466, 0.5822416320851225 ], "p": 0.20687931206879312, "mid_p": 0.18085, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1013215859030836, "43": -1.7621145374449338, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.6008123733882287, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5396851619185907, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5396851619185907, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5396851619185907, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.60)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 40, "a_only": 14, "b_only": 26, "mean_a": 21.348314606741575, "mean_b": 25.84269662921348, "rate_a": 21.34831460674157, "rate_b": 25.84269662921348, "delta": -4.49438202247191, "ci95": [ -9.756097566686766, 0.7936507992412941 ], "p": 0.125987401259874, "mid_p": 0.09715, "per_seed": { "42": -1.1235955056179776, "43": -11.235955056179776, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.1151884811518848, "mdd80": 7.539939333051427, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.42702579057162776, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4948076620909338, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.42702579057162776, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.43295670432956707, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.54)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 240, "a_only": 104, "b_only": 136, "mean_a": 48.06666666666667, "mean_b": 50.2, "rate_a": 48.06666666666667, "rate_b": 50.199999999999996, "delta": 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-2.0202020202020203, "ci95": [ -4.76190476487694, 0.7092198610235071 ], "p": 0.18848115188481152, "mid_p": 0.1557, "per_seed": { "42": -5.555555555555555, "43": 1.0101010101010102, "44": -1.5151515151515151 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 3.9102304938459183, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5124820851248209, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5765423457654235, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5124820851248209, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5124820851248209, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.91)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 26, "mean_a": 87.08333333333333, "mean_b": 87.43055555555556, "delta": -0.3472222222222222, "ci95": [ -1.7628205144611973, 1.041666668415815 ], "p": 0.6996300369963003, "mid_p": 0.6295, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4166666666666667, "43": -0.8333333333333334, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.004376074741835, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9125609178212614, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9225890597753411, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9076281561033085, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9125609178212614, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.00)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 130, "mean_a": 78.19383259911895, "mean_b": 79.66226138032306, "delta": -1.4684287812041117, "ci95": [ -3.1298904556018643, 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49.2, "mean_b": 50.2, "rate_a": 49.199999999999996, "rate_b": 50.199999999999996, "delta": -1.0, "ci95": [ -3.1420765049233204, 1.145038169982427 ], "p": 0.38786121387861217, "mid_p": 0.3548, "per_seed": { "42": -1.4, "43": -2.6, "44": 1.0 }, "p_het": 0.3254674532546745, "mdd80": 3.0640147462683327, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7142491857684461, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7485331466853316, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7088382070883821, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7142491857684461, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.06)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 82, "mean_a": 75.75757575757575, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -2.4822695068664906, 3.819444447688638 ], "p": 0.7468253174682532, "mid_p": 0.66925, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": 2.0202020202020203, "44": -0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.5038553777305586, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.939122582587102, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.948905109489051, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9343065693430657, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.939122582587102, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.50)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 31, "mean_a": 86.52777777777777, "mean_b": 87.43055555555556, "delta": -0.9027777777777778, "ci95": [ -2.884615386914689, 1.0416666684988014 ], "p": 0.43485651434856515, "mid_p": 0.39655, "per_seed": { "42": -1.6666666666666667, "43": -0.625, "44": -0.4166666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.806126504199508, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7355348381245792, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7677480427139768, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7304269573042697, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7355348381245792, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.81)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 131, "mean_a": 78.56093979441997, "mean_b": 79.66226138032306, "delta": -1.1013215859030836, "ci95": [ -2.753623190034393, 0.5822416319433961 ], "p": 0.21757824217578242, "mid_p": 0.18695, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6607929515418502, "43": -0.8810572687224669, "44": -1.7621145374449338 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3841533948056672, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5431293605333344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5431293605333344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5431293605333344, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.38)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 42, "a_only": 16, "b_only": 26, "mean_a": 22.09737827715356, "mean_b": 25.84269662921348, "rate_a": 22.097378277153563, "rate_b": 25.84269662921348, "delta": -3.745318352059925, "ci95": [ -9.090909096303328, 1.6260162659884725 ], "p": 0.22177782221777823, "mid_p": 0.1763, "per_seed": { "42": -3.3707865168539324, "43": -7.865168539325842, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.4016598340165983, "mdd80": 7.659421273922674, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.5431293605333344, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.6048486060484861, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5431293605333344, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5431293605333344, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.66)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 247, 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"fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 83, "mean_a": 77.60942760942761, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 2.525252525252525, "ci95": [ -0.3968254002600262, 5.555555558668425 ], "p": 0.1274872512748725, "mid_p": 0.10395, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 5.05050505050505, "44": 2.525252525252525 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.254185954091509, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.43295670432956707, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.4948076620909338, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.42702579057162776, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.43295670432956707, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.25)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 40, "mean_a": 86.59722222222223, "mean_b": 87.43055555555556, "delta": -0.8333333333333334, "ci95": [ -2.7343750017910806, 1.0416666686828862 ], "p": 0.43825617438256176, "mid_p": 0.39635, "per_seed": { "42": 0.4166666666666667, "43": -3.5416666666666665, "44": 0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.698749214379321, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7355348381245792, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7677480427139768, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7304269573042697, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7355348381245792, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.70)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 140, "mean_a": 79.0748898678414, "mean_b": 79.66226138032306, "delta": -0.5873715124816447, "ci95": [ -2.4691358044438942, 1.3043478279519196 ], "p": 0.597040295970403, "mid_p": 0.5472, "per_seed": { "42": -0.6607929515418502, "43": -0.22026431718061673, "44": -0.8810572687224669 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.696920976278097, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8492878522798607, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8805499818116347, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8543431371148598, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8492878522798607, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.70)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 36, "a_only": 16, "b_only": 20, "mean_a": 24.344569288389515, "mean_b": 25.84269662921348, "rate_a": 24.34456928838951, "rate_b": 25.84269662921348, "delta": -1.4981273408239701, "ci95": [ -6.0606060652196465, 3.0303030348679107 ], "p": 0.6260373962603739, "mid_p": 0.52055, "per_seed": { "42": 3.3707865168539324, "43": -5.617977528089888, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.29287071292870714, "mdd80": 6.497302183843646, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.880836771814148, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.9016849794310509, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.880836771814148, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8786489772075423, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.50)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 233, "a_only": 106, "b_only": 127, "mean_a": 48.8, "mean_b": 50.2, "rate_a": 48.800000000000004, "rate_b": 50.199999999999996, "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.3467202161388547, 0.5398110680886754 ], "p": 0.1710828917108289, "mid_p": 0.15255, "per_seed": { "42": -2.2, "43": -2.4, "44": 0.4 }, "p_het": 0.4831516848315168, "mdd80": 2.7777164992602303, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.4996126893334763, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5680527837627196, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.4996126893334763, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.4996126893334763, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.78)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 77, "mean_a": 75.25252525252525, "mean_b": 75.08417508417509, "delta": 0.16835016835016836, "ci95": [ -2.7210884382883904, 3.09278350813653 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.9114, "per_seed": { "42": -3.5353535353535355, "43": 3.0303030303030303, "44": 1.0101010101010102 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.155193114155121, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.16)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 34, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 87.43055555555556, "delta": 0.4861111111111111, "ci95": [ -0.7440476203740192, 1.7361111121589823 ], "p": 0.51004899510049, "mid_p": 0.4417, "per_seed": { "42": 0.8333333333333334, "43": -0.20833333333333334, "44": 0.8333333333333334 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 1.772577480618562, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u128", "fp8kv_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7987772651306297, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.825581871343067, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7987772651306297, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7987772651306297, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 1.77)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "fp8kv_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 131, 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0.9272723521298665, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 5.96)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_dense", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 253, "a_only": 107, "b_only": 146, "mean_a": 48.0, "mean_b": 50.6, "rate_a": 48.0, "rate_b": 50.6, "delta": -2.6, "ci95": [ -4.489795920291401, -0.6944444424670901 ], "p": 0.007999200079992, "mid_p": 0.0071, "per_seed": { "42": -5.0, "43": -3.2, "44": 0.4 }, "p_het": 0.12318768123187682, "mdd80": 2.712549996246756, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_dense", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_dense", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.07999200079992001, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.1371291442284343, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.07999200079992001, "label_prev": "below_detected", 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0.1834102304055309, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.1834102304055309, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0214, q 0.29)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_r40", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 37, "a_only": 15, "b_only": 22, "mean_a": 21.348314606741575, "mean_b": 23.970037453183522, "rate_a": 21.34831460674157, "rate_b": 23.970037453183522, "delta": -2.6217228464419478, "ci95": [ -7.971014497915631, 2.7777777844549636 ], "p": 0.41235876412358763, "mid_p": 0.341, "per_seed": { "42": -4.49438202247191, "43": -2.247191011235955, "44": -1.1235955056179776 }, "p_het": 0.8571142885711429, "mdd80": 7.682196664935915, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r40", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r40", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": 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"key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.6768103677437134, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.7176523726937651, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.6768103677437134, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.6823579937088259, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.64)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_r60", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 255, "a_only": 117, "b_only": 138, "mean_a": 49.2, "mean_b": 50.6, "rate_a": 49.199999999999996, "rate_b": 50.6, "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.5573122550957943, 0.781250002124591 ], "p": 0.23007699230076992, "mid_p": 0.20655, "per_seed": { "42": -1.2, "43": -3.4, "44": 0.4 }, "p_het": 0.3461653834616538, "mdd80": 3.1007845000131096, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_r60", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_r60", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.557762405577624, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.620432338788593, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.557762405577624, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.557762405577624, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 3.10)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 90, "mean_a": 75.75757575757575, "mean_b": 76.43097643097643, "delta": -0.6734006734006734, "ci95": [ -4.000000003284876, 2.6936026969688402 ], "p": 0.7694230576942306, "mid_p": 0.6979, "per_seed": { "42": 1.0101010101010102, "43": -3.5353535353535355, "44": 0.5050505050505051 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.783939533805406, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.9419971708412915, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.955904409559044, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.9419971708412915, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.9419971708412915, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.78)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 33, "mean_a": 86.52777777777777, "mean_b": 87.91666666666667, "delta": -1.3888888888888888, "ci95": [ -3.273809525833679, 0.4166666684820501 ], "p": 0.19218078192180782, "mid_p": 0.16305, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0833333333333335, "43": -0.4166666666666667, "44": -1.6666666666666667 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.637595291379564, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.5124820851248209, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5765423457654235, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.5124820851248209, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.5124820851248209, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.64)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 128, "mean_a": 78.56093979441997, "mean_b": 80.46989720998532, "delta": -1.908957415565345, "ci95": [ -3.437967116648138, -0.41152263234679987 ], "p": 0.018598140185981403, "mid_p": 0.01475, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": -1.5418502202643172, "44": -4.845814977973569 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.163009677100748, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.1716751401782899, "label_source": "below_nominal", "q": 0.27897210278972107, "label": "below_nominal", "q_prev": 0.1716751401782899, "label_prev": "below_nominal", "q_published": 0.1716751401782899, "label_published": "below_nominal", "changed": false, "text": "below, nominal (p 0.0186, q 0.28)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 41, "a_only": 18, "b_only": 23, "mean_a": 22.09737827715356, "mean_b": 23.970037453183522, "rate_a": 22.097378277153563, "rate_b": 23.970037453183522, "delta": -1.8726591760299625, "ci95": [ -7.317073176637393, 3.546099295893268 ], "p": 0.5980401959804019, "mid_p": 0.51165, "per_seed": { "42": -6.741573033707865, "43": 1.1235955056179776, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.3187681231876812, "mdd80": 7.763944557378078, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 0.8543431371148598, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8805499818116347, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8543431371148598, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8492878522798607, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 7.76)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u32", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 237, "a_only": 89, "b_only": 148, "mean_a": 46.666666666666664, "mean_b": 50.6, "rate_a": 46.666666666666664, "rate_b": 50.6, "delta": -3.933333333333333, "ci95": [ -5.942028987688146, -1.937984494191305 ], "p": 9.999000099990002e-05, "mid_p": 0.0, "per_seed": { "42": -4.4, "43": -3.4, "44": -4.0 }, "p_het": 0.9328067193280672, "mdd80": 2.861703570609191, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u32", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u32", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_source": "below_detected", "q": 0.011998800119988003, "label": "below_detected", "q_prev": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_prev": "below_detected", "q_published": 0.0023997600239976007, "label_published": "below_detected", "changed": false, "text": "below, detected (p 0.0001, q 0.0120)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 79, "mean_a": 77.60942760942761, "mean_b": 76.43097643097643, "delta": 1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -2.12765957795083, 4.494382026159243 ], "p": 0.5526447355264473, "mid_p": 0.48925, "per_seed": { "42": 0.5050505050505051, "43": -0.5050505050505051, "44": 3.5353535353535355 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.732794586569287, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.8341807328701092, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.8668937027865841, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.8394603577616921, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.8341807328701092, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.73)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 29, "mean_a": 86.59722222222223, "mean_b": 87.91666666666667, "delta": -1.3194444444444444, "ci95": [ -2.976190477974744, 0.2976190493611495 ], "p": 0.15898410158984103, "mid_p": 0.1326, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": -3.3333333333333335, "44": -0.625 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3398022746969023, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "aime25", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.47695230476952305, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.5450883483080263, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.47695230476952305, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.47695230476952305, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.34)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "lcb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1362, "n_clusters": 454, "n_diff_items": 131, "mean_a": 79.0748898678414, "mean_b": 80.46989720998532, "delta": -1.395007342143906, "ci95": [ -3.044871796672309, 0.28612303454006394 ], "p": 0.11548845115488451, "mid_p": 0.09765, "per_seed": { "42": 0.6607929515418502, "43": -0.8810572687224669, "44": -3.9647577092511015 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 2.3806727966292835, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "lcb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.425048404250484, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.49216131018477094, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.4187043982168947, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.425048404250484, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.38)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "tb", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 267, "n_clusters": 89, "n_diff_items": 31, "a_only": 16, "b_only": 15, "mean_a": 24.344569288389515, "mean_b": 23.970037453183522, "rate_a": 24.34456928838951, "rate_b": 23.970037453183522, "delta": 0.37453183520599254, "ci95": [ -4.385964917839919, 5.185185189945026 ], "p": 1.0, "mid_p": 0.88465, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 3.3707865168539324, "44": -2.247191011235955 }, "p_het": 0.523047695230477, "mdd80": 6.840531987786297, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "tb", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "tbp v1", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp/out/P/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "5258d19c0bd01ddbb341475ae2058f16", "q_source": 1.0, "label_source": "none", "q": 1.0, "label": "none", "q_prev": 1.0, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 1.0, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 6.84)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "jqs_f_u64", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 235, "a_only": 104, "b_only": 131, "mean_a": 48.8, "mean_b": 50.6, "rate_a": 48.800000000000004, "rate_b": 50.6, "delta": -1.8, "ci95": [ -3.825136614090961, 0.2624671936263348 ], "p": 0.09409059094090591, "mid_p": 0.08255, "per_seed": { "42": -2.0, "43": -3.2, "44": -0.2 }, "p_het": 0.4914508549145086, "mdd80": 2.9214236831730496, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "swe", "jqs_f_u64", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u64", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.39575703446604493, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.47652377619380926, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.39575703446604493, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.39575703446604493, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 2.92)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "gpqa", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 594, "n_clusters": 198, "n_diff_items": 85, "mean_a": 75.25252525252525, "mean_b": 76.43097643097643, "delta": -1.1784511784511784, "ci95": [ -4.214559390428923, 1.851851854630827 ], "p": 0.5125487451254874, "mid_p": 0.44825, "per_seed": { "42": -3.0303030303030303, "43": -2.525252525252525, "44": 2.0202020202020203 }, "p_het": null, "mdd80": 4.3356837689907985, "key": [ "nemotron3.5-lightning", "gpqa", "jqs_f_u128", "blasst_t50_s1" ], "row_arm": "jqs_f_u128", "source": "published", "source_file": "log/sparse/dev/stats/paired_baselines_bl2_h2h.json", "source_md5": "0fbfda98ffb396326706eee16312b604", "q_source": 0.7987772651306297, "label_source": "none", "q": 0.825581871343067, "label": "none", "q_prev": 0.7987772651306297, "label_prev": "none", "q_published": 0.7987772651306297, "label_published": "none", "changed": false, "text": "no detected difference (MDD80 4.34)" }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "aime25", "a": "jqs_f_u128", "b": "blasst_t50_s1", "n_items": 90, "n_clusters": 30, "n_diff_items": 30, "mean_a": 87.91666666666667, "mean_b": 87.91666666666667, "delta": 0.0, "ci95": [ -1.1217948730971083, 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another zero-token row)", "first_timeouts / instances": "per instance its first episode (the earliest attempt): a timeout or not", "counted_zero / counted_timeouts": "per instance its LAST episode (the row the analysis counts): zero completion tokens / a timeout", "calls": "model_traffic rows with status 200 and a completion token count (deduplicated by model_traffic_request_id)", "completion_per_call": "the mean completion tokens of those calls", "over_8k / cap_hits": "calls with completion > 8192 / with completion >= 16384 or finish 'length' (per 1,000 calls; the addendum v2's monitor.quantities)", "reference": "the published arm over the same units ((seed, shard) units the rerun arm has data for -- an episode or a call left after the set-asides, so a unit whose only attempt is void brings in no reference unit: the addendum v2's 'each against the published arm on the same units'), pooled and per seed", "set-asides": "the addendum v2's analysis_additions.set_asides and its executor-death rule: a void manifest's allocation (its alloc = the snapshot dir) counts nowhere (its whole attempt left out); an executor-death manifest leaves out, in its allocation, the instances it lists (set aside from the row files), its ledger instances and any row-fixed capture inside its window (the void episodes the row fix already re-ran: the rule's ledger restoration) -- their episodes and their traffic; a replica-OOM manifest its listed instances only (the registered OOM rule has no ledger restoration: a disclosed asymmetry)", "attempts_listed / attempts_without_snapshot": "the shard's .jqs_attempts tags (one per started attempt) / those with no non-empty attempts// inference_log and model_traffic snapshot (with live=True the last listed one is covered by the live files); a unit whose FIRST listed attempt has none counts in units_first_attempt_without_snapshot: its first episodes are a later attempt's (footnoted in the table)" }, "setasides_applied": [ "286984_0", 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85.0 (425/500) / 91.4 (457/500) / 86.2 (431/500) | 87.5 +/- 3.4 | -- | -- |\n| qwen3.6-35b-a3b | dense_s1 | 68.2 (341/500) / 70.0 (350/500) / 67.2 (336/500) | 68.5 +/- 1.4 | -- | -- |\n| qwen3.6-35b-a3b | fp8kv_s1 | 69.0 (345/500) / 68.0 (340/500) / 69.4 (347/500) | 68.8 +/- 0.7 | -- | -- |\n| qwen3.6-35b-a3b | blasst_t50_s1 | 69.8 (349/500) / 69.0 (345/500) / 71.2 (356/500) | 70.0 +/- 1.1 | -- | -- |\n| nemotron3-nano | dense_s1 | 21.8 (109/500) / 23.8 (119/500) / 20.2 (101/500) | 21.9 +/- 1.8 | -- | -- |\n| nemotron3-nano | fp8kv_s1 | 22.6 (113/500) / 23.8 (119/500) / 22.6 (113/500) | 23.0 +/- 0.7 | -- | -- |\n| nemotron3-nano | blasst_t50_s1 | 24.2 (121/500) / 23.0 (115/500) / 20.6 (103/500) | 22.6 +/- 1.8 | -- | -- |\n| nemotron3.5-lightning | dense_s1 | 48.2 (241/500) / 48.6 (243/500) / 48.4 (242/500) | 48.4 +/- 0.2 | -- | -- |\n| nemotron3.5-lightning | fp8kv_s1 | 51.8 (259/500) / 50.2 (251/500) / 48.6 (243/500) | 50.2 +/- 1.6 | -- | -- |\n| nemotron3.5-lightning | blasst_t50_s1 | 51.6 (258/500) / 51.0 (255/500) / 49.2 (246/500) | 50.6 +/- 1.2 | -- | -- |\n\nFailure modes (summed over seeds; timeouts from the instance latency vs run_timeout 5400 s; HTTP codes from model_traffic.jsonl):\n\n| model | arm | seeds (rows) | pass@1 over rows | no_report (0 tok) | agent timeouts (>= 90 min) | infra_error rows | system_error rows | solver-failed (graceful) | agent crashed | never called a tool (>= 5 calls, 0 tool_calls) | responses without a tool call (tool errors) | reward MISSING | HTTP 400 calls (instances) | other >= 400 | calls | truncated @16K | median instance min | pass@1 excl. infra + system + timeouts | harbor-log: timeouts / one-shot fallbacks / re-clones |\n|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|\n| qwen3.8-27b | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 82.7 (1241/1500) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 113004 | 0.5% | 15.6 | 82.8 (1239/1496) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| qwen3.8-27b | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 87.1 (1307/1500) | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 110428 | 0.7% | 19.5 | 87.3 (1306/1496) | 39 / 0 / 0 |\n| qwen3.8-27b | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 86.9 (1304/1500) | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 113660 | 0.8% | 20.6 | 87.1 (1300/1492) | 62 / 0 / 0 |\n| qwen3.8-27b | dense_s1d | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 87.5 (1313/1500) | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 112111 | 0.9% | 20.6 | 87.9 (1311/1492) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| qwen3.6-35b-a3b | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 68.5 (1027/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.3% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 121201 | 0.0% | 4.6 | 68.5 (1027/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| qwen3.6-35b-a3b | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 68.8 (1032/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.4% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 119914 | 0.0% | 4.5 | 68.8 (1032/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| qwen3.6-35b-a3b | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 70.0 (1050/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.3% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 118936 | 0.0% | 4.7 | 70.0 (1050/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| nemotron3-nano | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 21.9 (329/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.4% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 141245 | 2.0% | 5.3 | 21.9 (329/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| nemotron3-nano | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 23.0 (345/1500) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.8% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 139850 | 1.9% | 5.4 | 23.0 (345/1499) | 1 / 0 / 0 |\n| nemotron3-nano | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 22.6 (339/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.5% | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 137541 | 2.2% | 5.4 | 22.6 (339/1500) | 3 / 0 / 0 |\n| nemotron3.5-lightning | dense_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 48.4 (726/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6% | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 115855 | 0.0% | 5.2 | 48.4 (726/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| nemotron3.5-lightning | fp8kv_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 50.2 (753/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4% | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 123152 | 0.0% | 5.6 | 50.2 (753/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n| nemotron3.5-lightning | blasst_t50_s1 | 42:500 43:500 44:500 | 50.6 (759/1500) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4% | 0 | 3 (3) | 0 | 114330 | 0.0% | 5.4 | 50.6 (759/1500) | 0 / 0 / 0 |\n", "models": { "qwen3.8-27b": "Qwen3.8-27B", "qwen3.6-35b-a3b": "Qwen3.6-35B-A3B", "nemotron3-nano": "Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B", "nemotron3.5-lightning": "Nemotron-3.5-Lightning-30B-A3B" }, "fp8_fragment_md5": "31dc1955854b7dbf6a33ec1135851be0", "blasst_fragment_md5": "aac345fed4553c65320499d74a0aff00" }, "integrity_exposure_evidence": [ { "arm": "dense_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "django__django-13315", "problem_index": 106, "attempt": "293554_0", "read": "notes" }, { "arm": "dense_sxs", "seed": 43, "instance": "sympy__sympy-18763", "problem_index": 467, "attempt": "293769_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_dense_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "sympy__sympy-14248", "problem_index": 443, "attempt": "293602_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "sympy__sympy-15599", "problem_index": 450, "attempt": "293610_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "sympy__sympy-22080", "problem_index": 485, "attempt": "293610_1", "read": "notes; also attempted _q4" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_r60_sxs", "seed": 43, "instance": "sympy__sympy-21930", "problem_index": 484, "attempt": "293768_0", "read": "notes and patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "sympy__sympy-24661", "problem_index": 499, "attempt": "293611_1", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "django__django-14140", "problem_index": 144, "attempt": "293711_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u128_sxs", "seed": 44, "instance": "sphinx-doc__sphinx-9711", "problem_index": 424, "attempt": "293730_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "sympy__sympy-13798", "problem_index": 438, "attempt": "293605_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u32_sxs", "seed": 44, "instance": "django__django-14771", "problem_index": 168, "attempt": "304328_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "seed": 44, "instance": "django__django-13837", "problem_index": 133, "attempt": "293696_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "jqs_f_u64_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "scikit-learn__scikit-learn-26194", "problem_index": 378, "attempt": "293684_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "blasst_t50_s1_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "sympy__sympy-13615", "problem_index": 435, "attempt": "293677_1", "read": "partial notes" }, { "arm": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "matplotlib__matplotlib-21568", "problem_index": 259, "attempt": "293534_1", "read": "full patch, later full notes; matching-task edit" }, { "arm": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "seed": 43, "instance": "sympy__sympy-16597", "problem_index": 455, "attempt": "293770_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "fp8kv_s1_sxs", "seed": 44, "instance": "sympy__sympy-13798", "problem_index": 438, "attempt": "293718_0", "read": "patch" }, { "arm": "loki_k25_d25_s1_sxs", "seed": 42, "instance": "django__django-12308", "problem_index": 80, "attempt": "293552_0", "read": "notes" }, { "arm": "tri_b4096_s1_sxs", "seed": 43, "instance": "psf__requests-2317", "problem_index": 294, "attempt": "293578_0", "read": "patch header only" }, { "arm": "tri_b4096_s1_sxs", "seed": 44, "instance": "django__django-11206", "problem_index": 39, "attempt": "293669_0", "read": "patch" } ], "archival_interpretation": "All computed family, arm-status and sensitivity labels are hypothetical diagnostics under compromised conditions, not accepted main-study verdicts. Original main reading and caveats remain in force.", "publication_scope": { "sxs_seed_runs": 39, "earlier_two_baseline_seed_runs": 24, "earlier_new_dense_control_seed_runs": 3, "total_new_seed_results_archived": 75, "task_subset_applied": false, "ctl2_new_dense_control_seed_runs": 9 }, "presentation_finished": "2026-10-28T15:55:26.200902-07:00", "ctl2_swe_backup": { "source": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/ctl2/ctl2_gate.json", "source_md5": "e4547508d2c2243dcd6d158a4b3463be", "P2_source": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/stage_tbp2/regen/P2/ctl2_gate.json", "P2_source_md5": "d1731bc9e4d8fd44739becc92e248380", "SWE_cells_unchanged_by_P2": true, "registered_rule": "p < 0.05 = effect per cell; else no detected effect with MDD80; BH q over the cells descriptive", "cells": { "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe": { "status": "complete", "seed_tuple": [ 20261023, 78, 1, 1 ], "contrast": { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "bench": "swe", "a": "dense_s1e", "b": "dense_s1", "label": "bf16 dense_s1e (same-window control) vs bf16 S1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 161, "a_only": 87, "b_only": 74, "mean_a": 69.33333333333333, "mean_b": 68.46666666666667, "rate_a": 69.33333333333333, "rate_b": 68.46666666666665, "delta": 0.8666666666666667, "ci95": [ -0.8871989877226512, 2.627939144285902 ], "ci95_bootstrap": [ -0.9333333333333333, 2.6666666666666665 ], "se": 0.9112808382277422, "p": 0.3731626837316268, "mid_p": 0.3354, "per_seed": { "42": 0.0, "43": 0.0, "44": 2.6 }, "p_het": 0.34326567343265674 }, "mdd80": 2.5122806102407598, "verdict": "no detected effect", "reading": "dense_s1e - dense_s1 +0.87 [-0.89, +2.63] p 0.3732: no detected effect (MDD80 2.51 points): the published dense bf16 is reproduced at that resolution; bl2's rows of this cell are comparable with the published arms (disclosures)", "sensitivities": { "drop_u36": { "status": "complete", "delta": 1.0775862068965518, "ci95": [ -0.7278020396735796, 2.8806584379311877 ], "p": 0.27277272272772723, "n_items": 1392, "mean_a": 69.25287356321839, "mean_b": 68.17528735632185, "mdd80": 2.578978392956226, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": 0.21091954022988513, "left_out_pidx": [ 0, 2, 3, 5, 9, 11, 15, 26, 28, 29, 33, 35, 36, 37, 38, 40, 41, 44, 46, 50, 51, 52, 53, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71 ] }, "drop_linkcheck": { "status": "complete", "delta": 0.4694835680751174, "ci95": [ -1.1811023638189315, 2.1248339989784313 ], "p": 0.6379362063793621, "n_items": 1491, "mean_a": 69.3494299128102, "mean_b": 68.87994634473507, "mdd80": 2.3627634280761365, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": -0.3971830985915493, "left_out_pidx": [ 397, 402, 404 ] }, "reads_failed": { "status": "complete", "delta": 0.6666666666666666, "ci95": [ -1.115760113439754, 2.4390243920415875 ], "p": 0.5091490850914908, "n_items": 1500, "mean_a": 68.73333333333333, "mean_b": 68.06666666666666, "mdd80": 2.5406160017962365, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": -0.20000000000000007, "passes_scored_failed": { "dense_s1e": 9, "dense_s1": 6 }, "proven_episodes": { "dense_s1e": 10, "dense_s1": 6 } } }, "q": 0.48913441989134426 }, "nemotron3-nano|swe": { "status": "complete", "seed_tuple": [ 20261023, 78, 2, 1 ], "contrast": { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "bench": "swe", "a": "dense_s1e", "b": "dense_s1", "label": "bf16 dense_s1e (same-window control) vs bf16 S1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 277, "a_only": 128, "b_only": 149, "mean_a": 20.533333333333335, "mean_b": 21.933333333333334, "rate_a": 20.533333333333335, "rate_b": 21.933333333333334, "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.4578146632660802, 0.6666666687268658 ], "ci95_bootstrap": [ -3.4, 0.6 ], "se": 1.0250810347596395, "p": 0.20157984201579843, "mid_p": 0.1807, "per_seed": { "42": -2.2, "43": -2.0, "44": 0.0 }, "p_het": 0.6931306869313069 }, "mdd80": 2.947780169237642, "verdict": "no detected effect", "reading": "dense_s1e - dense_s1 -1.40 [-3.46, +0.67] p 0.2016: no detected effect (MDD80 2.95 points): the published dense bf16 is reproduced at that resolution; bl2's rows of this cell are comparable with the published arms (disclosures)", "sensitivities": { "drop_u36": { "status": "complete", "delta": -1.1494252873563218, "ci95": [ -3.2904148805269746, 1.0057471285873776 ], "p": 0.31886811318868113, "n_items": 1392, "mean_a": 20.977011494252874, "mean_b": 22.126436781609197, "mdd80": 3.070480905336073, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": 0.25057471264367814, "left_out_pidx": [ 0, 2, 3, 5, 9, 11, 15, 26, 28, 29, 33, 35, 36, 37, 38, 40, 41, 44, 46, 50, 51, 52, 53, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71 ] }, "drop_linkcheck": { "status": "complete", "delta": -1.5425888665325285, "ci95": [ -3.600000002043836, 0.5376344106820754 ], "p": 0.15978402159784022, "n_items": 1491, "mean_a": 20.4560697518444, "mean_b": 21.99865861837693, "mdd80": 2.957180718646913, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": -0.14258886653252856, "left_out_pidx": [ 397, 402, 404 ] }, "reads_failed": { "status": "complete", "delta": -1.4, "ci95": [ -3.4578146632660802, 0.6666666687268658 ], "p": 0.20157984201579843, "n_items": 1500, "mean_a": 20.533333333333335, "mean_b": 21.933333333333334, "mdd80": 2.947780169237642, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": 0.0, "passes_scored_failed": { "dense_s1e": 0, "dense_s1": 0 }, "proven_episodes": { "dense_s1e": 1, "dense_s1": 0 } } }, "q": 0.48913441989134426 }, "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe": { "status": "complete", "seed_tuple": [ 20261023, 78, 3, 1 ], "contrast": { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "bench": "swe", "a": "dense_s1e", "b": "dense_s1", "label": "bf16 dense_s1e (same-window control) vs bf16 S1", "n_items": 1500, "n_clusters": 500, "n_diff_items": 242, "a_only": 137, "b_only": 105, "mean_a": 50.53333333333333, "mean_b": 48.4, "rate_a": 50.53333333333334, "rate_b": 48.400000000000006, "delta": 2.1333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.0519647709860584e-09, 4.232804234882053 ], "ci95_bootstrap": [ 0.06666666666666667, 4.2 ], "se": 1.0622466169339015, "p": 0.0514948505149485, "mid_p": 0.0448, "per_seed": { "42": 2.4, "43": 1.2, "44": 2.8 }, "p_het": 0.7986201379862014 }, "mdd80": 3.025198900311208, "verdict": "no detected effect", "reading": "dense_s1e - dense_s1 +2.13 [-0.00, +4.23] p 0.0515: no detected effect (MDD80 3.03 points): the published dense bf16 is reproduced at that resolution; bl2's rows of this cell are comparable with the published arms (disclosures)", "sensitivities": { "drop_u36": { "status": "complete", "delta": 2.1551724137931036, "ci95": [ -2.076681275544791e-09, 4.273504275597705 ], "p": 0.0527947205279472, "n_items": 1392, "mean_a": 50.79022988505747, "mean_b": 48.63505747126437, "mdd80": 3.05428735127618, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": 0.021839080459770344, "left_out_pidx": [ 0, 2, 3, 5, 9, 11, 15, 26, 28, 29, 33, 35, 36, 37, 38, 40, 41, 44, 46, 50, 51, 52, 53, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71 ] }, "drop_linkcheck": { "status": "complete", "delta": 1.743796109993293, "ci95": [ -0.27662517497341466, 3.7786774649274113 ], "p": 0.10528947105289471, "n_items": 1491, "mean_a": 50.435949027498324, "mean_b": 48.69215291750503, "mdd80": 2.8983379338949464, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": -0.38953722334004026, "left_out_pidx": [ 397, 402, 404 ] }, "reads_failed": { "status": "complete", "delta": 2.1333333333333333, "ci95": [ -2.0519647709860584e-09, 4.232804234882053 ], "p": 0.0514948505149485, "n_items": 1500, "mean_a": 50.46666666666667, "mean_b": 48.333333333333336, "mdd80": 3.025198900311208, "verdict": "no detected effect", "shift_vs_primary": 0.0, "passes_scored_failed": { "dense_s1e": 1, "dense_s1": 1 }, "proven_episodes": { "dense_s1e": 3, "dense_s1": 2 } } }, "q": 0.3604639536046395 } }, "seed_results": [ { "model": "qwen3.6-35b-a3b", "arm": "dense_s1e", "seeds": [ 42, 43, 44 ], "resolved": [ 341, 350, 349 ], "rates": [ 68.2, 70.0, 69.8 ], "mean": 69.33333333333333, "sd_sample": 0.9865765724632471, "derivation": "Historical dense_s1 seed counts plus saved full-1500-pair ctl2 per-seed delta; no excluded pairs." }, { "model": "nemotron3-nano", "arm": "dense_s1e", "seeds": [ 42, 43, 44 ], "resolved": [ 98, 109, 101 ], "rates": [ 19.6, 21.8, 20.2 ], "mean": 20.533333333333335, "sd_sample": 1.1372481406154653, "derivation": "Historical dense_s1 seed counts plus saved full-1500-pair ctl2 per-seed delta; no excluded pairs." }, { "model": "nemotron3.5-lightning", "arm": "dense_s1e", "seeds": [ 42, 43, 44 ], "resolved": [ 253, 249, 256 ], "rates": [ 50.6, 49.800000000000004, 51.199999999999996 ], "mean": 50.53333333333333, "sd_sample": 0.7023769168568451, "derivation": "Historical dense_s1 seed counts plus saved full-1500-pair ctl2 per-seed delta; no excluded pairs." } ], "status": { "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe|dense_s1e|42": [ "done", "" ], "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe|dense_s1e|43": [ "done", "" ], "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe|dense_s1e|44": [ "done", "" ], "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe|dense_s1|42": [ "done", "" ], "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe|dense_s1|43": [ "done", "" ], "qwen3.6-35b-a3b|swe|dense_s1|44": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3-nano|swe|dense_s1e|42": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3-nano|swe|dense_s1e|43": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3-nano|swe|dense_s1e|44": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3-nano|swe|dense_s1|42": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3-nano|swe|dense_s1|43": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3-nano|swe|dense_s1|44": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe|dense_s1e|42": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe|dense_s1e|43": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe|dense_s1e|44": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe|dense_s1|42": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe|dense_s1|43": [ "done", "" ], "nemotron3.5-lightning|swe|dense_s1|44": [ "done", "" ] }, "void_test_source": "log/sparse/dev/bigmodels/bl2/ctl2/void_ctl2_test_1023.json", "void_test_md5": "d81ad463ebfca6fc4a77cd71bb7ecab5" }, "publication_redactions": { "kind": "Private session scratch prefixes replaced; content hashes and numeric results retained", "occurrences": 2 }, "validation": { "independent_review": "All 39 sxs seed pass counts, 13 means/sample SDs, 41 paired contrasts, six BH families and displayed statistics checked against source; all 48 registered input pins and 672 scored-file hashes matched. Canonical outputs and completion record absent.", "earlier_seed_arithmetic_verified": 27, "ctl2_seed_arithmetic_verified": 9 }, "hf_sync": { "status": "BLOCKED; upload not started", "target_repo": "tturing/jqsparse", "repo_type": "dataset", "target_path": "doc/SWE_rerun.md", "checked_at": "2026-10-28T16:00:52.232191-07:00", "reason": "hf auth whoami failed: DNS resolution failure; account identity and remote tree could not be verified", "authorization": "User explicitly requested this backup file and its HF sync; no new authorization required to retry once recorded checks pass", "token_scan_new_file_hits": 0, "whole_doc_scan_hits": [ { "file": "doc/recap.md", "line": 766, "kind": "session_scratch_path", "disposition": "Known existing exception; this file is outside the one-file upload" } ] }, "preservation_check": { "existing_documentation_files_identical": 114, "engine_HEAD": "e3493c19863f568a2b59ea6e4ef806bc3cf69808", "engine_staged_paths_unchanged": 144, "engine_staged_diff_sha256": "a261311c42277d399e5e4c45e8c7501f7abfd15eeed80ffe63cdae47e5e6e659", "engine_source_changes": 0 } } ```
## HF sync status **Not synced.** The final `hf auth whoami` retry failed with DNS resolution failure (`Temporary failure in name resolution`). Authenticated identity and the remote tree could not be verified, so the upload was not started. No new HF commit or remote-byte verification is claimed. The new file passes the installed token scan with zero hits. The whole `doc/` scan has only the recorded pre-existing `doc/recap.md:766: session_scratch_path` exception; no credential-shaped strings were found. Private session scratch prefixes in this backup have been redacted. The 114 earlier documentation files and the engine's existing 144-path staged diff remain byte-identical to the audit baseline. The user has already authorized syncing this file. When connectivity is restored, repeat the credential scan, require `hf auth whoami` to identify `tturing`, inspect the remote target, upload only this file, and verify the remote content against the local bytes using the installed LFS-aware checker filtered to `doc/SWE_rerun.md`. This avoids syncing unrelated pending files. ```bash /lustre/fsw/portfolios/nvr/users/hcai/jqs/uv/envs/jqs/bin/hf auth whoami /lustre/fsw/portfolios/nvr/users/hcai/jqs/uv/envs/jqs/bin/hf upload tturing/jqsparse /home/hcai/workspace/code/jet-qs/doc/SWE_rerun.md doc/SWE_rerun.md --repo-type dataset ``` Both commands run from `/home/hcai/workspace/code/jet-qs`. The failed completion gate remains unsigned regardless of whether the archival file is later synced. Canonical doc promotion, the appendix rewrite and engine staging were not performed under the superseded rerun-promotion plan.