#!/usr/bin/env python """In-band triage classifier (plan v3 Phase 0a item 4): predict, from statement text alone (CPU baseline) or from 8B hidden states (GPU hook, computed later), whether the base model's pass count on a statement is IN-BAND (1 <= k <= n-1 accepted samples out of n), i.e. neither never-solved nor always-solved. numpy only: hashed char n-gram features + a handful of dense statement features -> L2-regularised logistic regression fit by full-batch Adam. Evaluation: stratified k-fold CV AUC (rank-based, ties averaged) and a held-out split chosen by a hash of problem_id (not by row order), with problem-level bootstrap intervals, and the AUC of trivial baselines (statement length) so "the classifier is better than length" is a number, not a feeling. Cautions recorded with the result (they are properties of the data, not of the code): * labels are noisy: k out of 8 samples, so a problem with true p=0.9 is labelled in-band only ~57% of the time; * the pool is one source (Goedel-Pset) filtered by the SAME model that labels it, and near-templated statements (lean_workbook / orca_math) can sit on both sides of a random split. CV AUC is therefore optimistic for OTHER sources: the real test is the transfer to the profiled sample of FormalMATH / Numina / Nemotron. .venv/bin/python scripts/p2/supply/triage.py train --problems .tmp/p2/problems/train_pool.jsonl \ --verdicts .tmp/p2/r1/pool/ver_r0.jsonl --n 8 --out .tmp/p2/supply/triage .venv/bin/python scripts/p2/supply/triage.py score --model .tmp/p2/supply/triage/model.npz \ --problems .jsonl --out .triage.jsonl """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse import hashlib import importlib.util import json import re import sys import zlib from collections import defaultdict from pathlib import Path from typing import Iterable, Optional, Sequence import numpy as np REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[3] sys.path.insert(0, str(REPO)) N_FEATURES = 1 << 14 DENSE_NAMES = ("log_chars", "log_tokens", "n_hyp", "n_digits", "n_quant", "n_real", "n_nat_int", "has_informal", "log_informal") def _load_common(): if "p2_common" in sys.modules: return sys.modules["p2_common"] spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location("p2_common", REPO / "scripts" / "p2" / "p2_common.py") mod = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) sys.modules["p2_common"] = mod spec.loader.exec_module(mod) return mod # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- labels def read_pass_counts(verdicts_path: str | Path, n: int = 8) -> dict[str, tuple[int, int]]: """problem_id -> (accepted, total) from a verdict JSONL, keeping ONLY problems with exactly `n` distinct samples (a problem still being generated has a partial count that would mislabel it). Tolerates a torn last line (the file may be appended to by a live chain). Duplicate (problem, sample_idx) keeps the last verdict.""" seen: dict[str, dict[int, bool]] = defaultdict(dict) with open(verdicts_path, encoding="utf-8") as f: for line in f: try: r = json.loads(line) except json.JSONDecodeError: continue seen[r["problem_id"]][int(r["sample_idx"])] = bool(r["accepted"]) return {p: (sum(v.values()), len(v)) for p, v in seen.items() if len(v) == n} def in_band(k: int, n: int) -> int: return int(1 <= k <= n - 1) # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- features def statement_body(statement: str) -> str: s = re.sub(r"/-.*?-/", " ", statement, flags=re.S) s = re.sub(r"--[^\n]*", "", s) s = re.sub(r"^\s*(import|open|set_option)\b[^\n]*$", "", s, flags=re.M) s = re.sub(r"\btheorem\s+\S+", "theorem", s, count=1) return " ".join(s.replace(":= by sorry", "").split()) def _hash_ngrams(text: str, ns: Sequence[int], salt: str, vec: dict[int, float]) -> None: for n in ns: for i in range(len(text) - n + 1): h = zlib.crc32(f"{salt}{text[i : i + n]}".encode()) idx, sign = h % N_FEATURES, 1.0 if (h >> 31) & 1 else -1.0 vec[idx] = vec.get(idx, 0.0) + sign def featurize(statement: str, informal: Optional[str] = None) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, np.ndarray]: """-> (indices, values, dense). Signed hashing of char 2..4-grams of the statement body plus word unigrams and bigrams of the informal text; values are sublinear (sign*log1p|c|) and the sparse part is L2-normalised.""" body = statement_body(statement) vec: dict[int, float] = {} _hash_ngrams(body, (2, 3, 4), "s", vec) iw = re.findall(r"[a-z0-9]+", (informal or "").lower()) for i, w in enumerate(iw): for g in (w, w + " " + iw[i + 1] if i + 1 < len(iw) else None): if g: h = zlib.crc32(("w" + g).encode()) idx = h % N_FEATURES vec[idx] = vec.get(idx, 0.0) + (1.0 if (h >> 31) & 1 else -1.0) idx = np.fromiter(vec.keys(), dtype=np.int64, count=len(vec)) val = np.array([np.sign(c) * np.log1p(abs(c)) for c in vec.values()], dtype=np.float64) nrm = np.linalg.norm(val) if nrm > 0: val /= nrm toks = body.split() dense = np.array([ np.log1p(len(body)), np.log1p(len(toks)), len(re.findall(r"\(h[\w₀-₉']*\s*:", body)), len(re.findall(r"\d", body)) / max(1, len(body)) * 10, len(re.findall(r"[∀∃]", body)), body.count("ℝ") + body.count("Real"), body.count("ℕ") + body.count("ℤ"), float(bool(informal)), np.log1p(len(iw)), ], dtype=np.float64) return idx, val, dense def build_matrix(rows: Sequence[dict]) -> np.ndarray: """Dense float32 [n, N_FEATURES + len(DENSE_NAMES)]. 850 rows is ~56 MB; for large sets use `batches`.""" X = np.zeros((len(rows), N_FEATURES + len(DENSE_NAMES)), dtype=np.float32) for r, row in enumerate(rows): idx, val, dense = featurize(row["formal_statement"], row.get("informal_prefix")) X[r, idx] = val X[r, N_FEATURES:] = dense return X def batches(rows: Iterable[dict], size: int = 2048): buf: list[dict] = [] for r in rows: buf.append(r) if len(buf) >= size: yield buf, build_matrix(buf) buf = [] if buf: yield buf, build_matrix(buf) # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- GPU hook class HiddenStateFeatures: """Hook for 8B hidden-state features, computed LATER on GPU (not here: no GPU in this lane). Contract: a `.npz` with `ids` (str array of problem_id) and `X` (float32 [n, d]) (or a directory holding `ids.json` + `X.npy`, same content) -- e.g. the mean-pooled last-layer (or a middle-layer) hidden state of the Goedel-Prover-V2-8B prompt tokens of each statement, one forward pass, no sampling. `train --hidden-npz` aligns it to the labelled problems by id and fits the same logistic regression on it (alone, or concatenated with the text features via --combine).""" def __init__(self, path: str | Path): p = Path(path) if p.is_dir(): ids, X = json.loads((p / "ids.json").read_text()), np.load(p / "X.npy", allow_pickle=False) else: z = np.load(p, allow_pickle=False) ids, X = z["ids"], z["X"] if len(ids) != len(X): raise ValueError(f"{len(ids)} ids but {len(X)} feature rows") self.index = {str(i): j for j, i in enumerate(ids)} self.X = X.astype(np.float32) def matrix(self, ids: Sequence[str]) -> np.ndarray: miss = [i for i in ids if i not in self.index] if miss: raise KeyError(f"{len(miss)} problems have no hidden-state row, e.g. {miss[:3]}") return self.X[[self.index[i] for i in ids]] @staticmethod def compute_on_gpu(*_a, **_k): # pragma: no cover raise NotImplementedError("run on GPU in a heavy-lock window: forward the prompt through the 8B, pool, np.savez(ids=..., X=...)") # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- model def auc(y: np.ndarray, s: np.ndarray) -> float: """Rank AUC with average ranks for ties (== Mann-Whitney U / (n_pos n_neg)).""" y = np.asarray(y).astype(bool) npos, nneg = int(y.sum()), int((~y).sum()) if npos == 0 or nneg == 0: return float("nan") order = np.argsort(s, kind="mergesort") ss = np.asarray(s)[order] ranks = np.empty(len(s)) i = 0 while i < len(ss): j = i while j + 1 < len(ss) and ss[j + 1] == ss[i]: j += 1 ranks[order[i : j + 1]] = (i + j) / 2 + 1 i = j + 1 return float((ranks[y].sum() - npos * (npos + 1) / 2) / (npos * nneg)) class Logistic: """L2 logistic regression, full-batch Adam. Features are standardised using training statistics (dense part only; the sparse part is already unit-norm). Intercept unpenalised.""" def __init__(self, l2: float = 1e-2, iters: int = 400, lr: float = 0.05, seed: int = 0): self.l2, self.iters, self.lr, self.seed = l2, iters, lr, seed self.w: Optional[np.ndarray] = None self.b = 0.0 self.mu: Optional[np.ndarray] = None self.sd: Optional[np.ndarray] = None def _prep(self, X: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: return (X - self.mu) / self.sd def fit(self, X: np.ndarray, y: np.ndarray, sample_weight: Optional[np.ndarray] = None) -> "Logistic": X = X.astype(np.float64) self.mu = X.mean(0) self.sd = X.std(0) self.sd[self.sd < 1e-8] = 1.0 # sparse hashed columns are not standardised: centring a sparse signed-hash column adds noise self.mu[:N_FEATURES] = 0.0 self.sd[:N_FEATURES] = 1.0 if X.shape[1] <= N_FEATURES: # a non-text feature matrix (hidden states): standardise everything self.mu, self.sd = X.mean(0), np.maximum(X.std(0), 1e-8) Z = self._prep(X) n, d = Z.shape sw = np.ones(n) if sample_weight is None else sample_weight / sample_weight.mean() w, b = np.zeros(d), float(np.log((y.mean() + 1e-3) / (1 - y.mean() + 1e-3))) m, v, mb, vb = np.zeros(d), np.zeros(d), 0.0, 0.0 for t in range(1, self.iters + 1): p = 1 / (1 + np.exp(-(Z @ w + b))) r = (p - y) * sw g = Z.T @ r / n + self.l2 * w gb = r.mean() m, v = 0.9 * m + 0.1 * g, 0.999 * v + 0.001 * g * g mb, vb = 0.9 * mb + 0.1 * gb, 0.999 * vb + 0.001 * gb * gb mh, vh = m / (1 - 0.9**t), v / (1 - 0.999**t) w -= self.lr * mh / (np.sqrt(vh) + 1e-8) b -= self.lr * (mb / (1 - 0.9**t)) / (np.sqrt(vb / (1 - 0.999**t)) + 1e-8) self.w, self.b = w, b return self def decision(self, X: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: return self._prep(X.astype(np.float64)) @ self.w + self.b def proba(self, X: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: return 1 / (1 + np.exp(-self.decision(X))) def stratified_folds(y: np.ndarray, k: int, seed: int) -> np.ndarray: rs = np.random.RandomState(seed) fold = np.zeros(len(y), dtype=int) for c in (0, 1): idx = np.where(y == c)[0] rs.shuffle(idx) fold[idx] = np.arange(len(idx)) % k return fold def cross_val_auc(X: np.ndarray, y: np.ndarray, k: int = 5, seed: int = 0, **kw) -> dict: fold = stratified_folds(y, k, seed) oof = np.zeros(len(y)) per = [] for f in range(k): tr, te = fold != f, fold == f m = Logistic(**kw).fit(X[tr], y[tr]) oof[te] = m.decision(X[te]) per.append(auc(y[te], oof[te])) return {"fold_auc": [round(a, 4) for a in per], "mean": float(np.mean(per)), "std": float(np.std(per)), "oof_auc": auc(y, oof)} def bootstrap_auc_ci(y: np.ndarray, s: np.ndarray, B: int = 1000, seed: int = 0) -> tuple[float, float]: rs = np.random.RandomState(seed) vals = [] for _ in range(B): i = rs.randint(0, len(y), len(y)) a = auc(y[i], s[i]) if not np.isnan(a): vals.append(a) return float(np.percentile(vals, 2.5)), float(np.percentile(vals, 97.5)) def holdout_mask(ids: Sequence[str], frac: float = 0.25, salt: str = "triage-v1") -> np.ndarray: """Deterministic by problem_id hash, independent of row order.""" return np.array([int(hashlib.sha256((salt + i).encode()).hexdigest()[:8], 16) / 0xFFFFFFFF < frac for i in ids]) # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- CLI def cmd_train(a) -> int: C = _load_common() probs = {r["problem_id"]: r for r in C.iter_jsonl(a.problems)} counts = read_pass_counts(a.verdicts, a.n) ids = sorted(i for i in counts if i in probs) rows = [probs[i] for i in ids] k = np.array([counts[i][0] for i in ids]) y = np.array([in_band(int(x), a.n) for x in k]) print(f"labelled problems: {len(ids)} (of {len(counts)} with n={a.n} verdicts, {len(probs)} in pool); " f"in-band {int(y.sum())} ({y.mean():.1%}); k histogram {np.bincount(k, minlength=a.n + 1).tolist()}") Xt = build_matrix(rows) hidden = HiddenStateFeatures(a.hidden_npz).matrix(ids) if a.hidden_npz else None X = Xt if hidden is None else (np.hstack([Xt, hidden]) if a.combine else hidden) held = holdout_mask(ids) res: dict = {"n_labelled": len(ids), "in_band": int(y.sum()), "k_hist": np.bincount(k, minlength=a.n + 1).tolist(), "features": "text_hash_char_ngram" + ("+hidden" if hidden is not None and a.combine else "_hidden" if hidden is not None else ""), "n_train": int((~held).sum()), "n_heldout": int(held.sum()), "heldout_in_band": int(y[held].sum())} best = None for l2 in (1e-3, 1e-2, 1e-1, 1.0): # chosen by CV on the TRAIN part only; the held-out part is touched once cv = cross_val_auc(X[~held], y[~held], k=5, seed=0, l2=l2) res.setdefault("cv_by_l2", {})[str(l2)] = round(cv["oof_auc"], 4) if best is None or cv["oof_auc"] > best[1]["oof_auc"]: best = (l2, cv) l2, cv = best res["chosen_l2"], res["train_cv"] = l2, cv m = Logistic(l2=l2).fit(X[~held], y[~held]) s = m.decision(X[held]) lo, hi = bootstrap_auc_ci(y[held], s) res["heldout_auc"] = round(auc(y[held], s), 4) res["heldout_auc_ci95"] = [round(lo, 4), round(hi, 4)] # baselines: statement length, and "informal text length" -- a classifier that cannot beat these has learnt nothing length = np.array([len(statement_body(r["formal_statement"])) for r in rows], dtype=float) res["baseline_heldout_auc"] = {"statement_length": round(auc(y[held], length[held]), 4), "neg_statement_length": round(auc(y[held], -length[held]), 4)} # secondary targets: never solved vs not, always solved vs not (what the band filter actually removes) for name, tgt in (("solved_at_least_once", (k >= 1).astype(int)), ("always_solved", (k == a.n).astype(int))): mm = Logistic(l2=l2).fit(X[~held], tgt[~held]) res.setdefault("secondary_heldout_auc", {})[name] = round(auc(tgt[held], mm.decision(X[held])), 4) final = Logistic(l2=l2).fit(X, y) # refit on all labels for scoring out = Path(a.out) out.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) np.savez(out / "model.npz", w=final.w, b=final.b, mu=final.mu, sd=final.sd, n_features=N_FEATURES) (out / "triage_report.json").write_text(json.dumps(res, indent=1)) print(json.dumps(res, indent=1)) return 0 def cmd_score(a) -> int: C = _load_common() z = np.load(a.model) m = Logistic() m.w, m.b, m.mu, m.sd = z["w"], float(z["b"]), z["mu"], z["sd"] n = 0 with open(a.out, "w", encoding="utf-8") as f: for rows, X in batches(C.iter_jsonl(a.problems)): for r, p in zip(rows, m.proba(X)): f.write(json.dumps({"problem_id": r["problem_id"], "p_in_band": round(float(p), 5)}) + "\n") n += len(rows) print(f"scored {n} -> {a.out}") return 0 def main(argv=None) -> int: ap = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__.split("\n")[0]) sub = ap.add_subparsers(dest="cmd", required=True) t = sub.add_parser("train") t.add_argument("--problems", required=True) t.add_argument("--verdicts", required=True) t.add_argument("--n", type=int, default=8) t.add_argument("--out", required=True) t.add_argument("--hidden-npz", help="GPU features (ids, X); see HiddenStateFeatures") t.add_argument("--combine", action="store_true", help="concatenate hidden-state and text features") t.set_defaults(fn=cmd_train) s = sub.add_parser("score") s.add_argument("--model", required=True) s.add_argument("--problems", required=True) s.add_argument("--out", required=True) s.set_defaults(fn=cmd_score) a = ap.parse_args(argv) return a.fn(a) if __name__ == "__main__": raise SystemExit(main())