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import os
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
from torch.utils.data import Dataset, DataLoader
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error, r2_score
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from itertools import product
import json
# -------------------------
# Dataset
# -------------------------
class StockDataset(Dataset):
"""Custom Dataset for stock price time-series forecasting."""
def __init__(self, series, seq_length):
self.series = series
self.seq_length = seq_length
def __len__(self):
return len(self.series) - self.seq_length
def __getitem__(self, idx):
x = self.series[idx:idx + self.seq_length] # Shape: (seq_length,)
y = self.series[idx + self.seq_length] # Shape: scalar
x = np.expand_dims(x, axis=0) # Shape: (1, seq_length)
return torch.tensor(x, dtype=torch.float32), torch.tensor(y, dtype=torch.float32)
# -------------------------
# TCN Blocks
# -------------------------
class TemporalBlock(nn.Module):
"""Temporal Convolutional Network block with causal dilated convolutions."""
def __init__(self, in_channels, out_channels, kernel_size, stride, dilation, dropout=0.2):
super().__init__()
padding = (kernel_size - 1) * dilation
self.conv1 = nn.Conv1d(in_channels, out_channels, kernel_size,
stride=stride, padding=padding, dilation=dilation)
self.relu1 = nn.ReLU()
self.dropout1 = nn.Dropout(dropout)
self.conv2 = nn.Conv1d(out_channels, out_channels, kernel_size,
stride=stride, padding=padding, dilation=dilation)
self.relu2 = nn.ReLU()
self.dropout2 = nn.Dropout(dropout)
self.downsample = nn.Conv1d(in_channels, out_channels, 1) if in_channels != out_channels else None
self.relu = nn.ReLU()
def forward(self, x):
out = self.conv1(x)
out = out[:, :, :x.size(2)] # Trim padding
out = self.relu1(out)
out = self.dropout1(out)
out = self.conv2(out)
out = out[:, :, :x.size(2)] # Trim padding
out = self.relu2(out)
out = self.dropout2(out)
res = x if self.downsample is None else self.downsample(x)
return self.relu(out + res)
class TCN(nn.Module):
"""Temporal Convolutional Network for time-series forecasting."""
def __init__(self, input_size, output_size, num_channels, kernel_size=3, dropout=0.2):
super().__init__()
layers = []
num_levels = len(num_channels)
for i in range(num_levels):
dilation_size = 2 ** i
in_channels = input_size if i == 0 else num_channels[i - 1]
out_channels = num_channels[i]
layers.append(
TemporalBlock(in_channels, out_channels, kernel_size,
stride=1, dilation=dilation_size, dropout=dropout)
)
self.network = nn.Sequential(*layers)
self.linear = nn.Linear(num_channels[-1], output_size)
def forward(self, x):
out = self.network(x)
out = out[:, :, -1]
return self.linear(out)
# -------------------------
# Forecaster
# -------------------------
class StockPriceForecaster:
"""Stock price forecasting with TCN model."""
def __init__(self, dataset_path, seq_length=30, batch_size=32, lr=0.001, epochs=20,
kernel_size=3, num_channels=[32, 64, 64], dropout=0.2, test_split=0.2):
self.dataset_path = dataset_path
self.seq_length = seq_length
self.batch_size = batch_size
self.lr = lr
self.epochs = epochs
self.kernel_size = kernel_size
self.num_channels = num_channels
self.dropout = dropout
self.test_split = test_split
self.device = torch.device("cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu")
self.scaler = MinMaxScaler()
def load_data(self):
"""Load and preprocess stock price data."""
if not os.path.exists(self.dataset_path):
raise FileNotFoundError(f"Dataset file not found at: {self.dataset_path}")
df = pd.read_csv(self.dataset_path)
if "Close" not in df.columns:
raise ValueError("CSV file must contain a 'Close' column")
prices = df["Close"].values.reshape(-1, 1)
prices_scaled = self.scaler.fit_transform(prices).flatten()
dataset = StockDataset(prices_scaled, self.seq_length)
train_size = int(len(dataset) * (1 - self.test_split))
test_size = len(dataset) - train_size
train_dataset, test_dataset = torch.utils.data.random_split(dataset, [train_size, test_size])
train_loader = DataLoader(train_dataset, batch_size=self.batch_size, shuffle=True)
test_loader = DataLoader(test_dataset, batch_size=self.batch_size, shuffle=False)
return train_loader, test_loader
def train(self, model, train_loader):
"""Train the TCN model."""
criterion = nn.MSELoss()
optimizer = torch.optim.Adam(model.parameters(), lr=self.lr)
model.train()
for epoch in range(self.epochs):
epoch_loss = 0
for x, y in train_loader:
x, y = x.to(self.device), y.to(self.device)
optimizer.zero_grad()
output = model(x)
loss = criterion(output.squeeze(), y)
loss.backward()
optimizer.step()
epoch_loss += loss.item()
print(f"Epoch [{epoch+1}/{self.epochs}], Loss: {epoch_loss/len(train_loader):.6f}")
return model
def evaluate(self, model, test_loader):
"""Evaluate the model on the test set."""
model.eval()
predictions, actuals = [], []
with torch.no_grad():
for x, y in test_loader:
x, y = x.to(self.device), y.to(self.device)
output = model(x)
predictions.extend(output.squeeze().cpu().numpy())
actuals.extend(y.cpu().numpy())
predictions = self.scaler.inverse_transform(np.array(predictions).reshape(-1, 1)).flatten()
actuals = self.scaler.inverse_transform(np.array(actuals).reshape(-1, 1)).flatten()
mae = mean_absolute_error(actuals, predictions)
rmse = mean_squared_error(actuals, predictions, squared=False)
mape = np.mean(np.abs((actuals - predictions) / (actuals + 1e-10))) * 100
r2 = r2_score(actuals, predictions)
return mae, rmse, mape, r2, actuals, predictions
def run(self):
"""Run training and evaluation."""
train_loader, test_loader = self.load_data()
model = TCN(input_size=1, output_size=1,
num_channels=self.num_channels,
kernel_size=self.kernel_size,
dropout=self.dropout).to(self.device)
trained_model = self.train(model, train_loader)
return trained_model, self.evaluate(model, test_loader)
# -------------------------
# Save Model for Hugging Face
# -------------------------
def save_model_for_huggingface(model, scaler, config, save_dir="tcn_stock_model"):
"""Save the model and necessary components for Hugging Face deployment."""
os.makedirs(save_dir, exist_ok=True)
# Save model weights
torch.save(model.state_dict(), os.path.join(save_dir, "pytorch_model.bin"))
# Save model configuration
with open(os.path.join(save_dir, "config.json"), "w") as f:
json.dump({
"input_size": 1,
"output_size": 1,
"num_channels": config["num_channels"],
"kernel_size": config["kernel_size"],
"dropout": config["dropout"],
"seq_length": config["seq_length"]
}, f, indent=4)
# Save scaler for preprocessing
import pickle
with open(os.path.join(save_dir, "scaler.pkl"), "wb") as f:
pickle.dump(scaler, f)
print(f"Model saved to {save_dir}")
# -------------------------
# Experiment Loop
# -------------------------
if __name__ == "__main__":
dataset_path = "/work/GOOGL.csv" # Update to your CSV path
# Hyperparameter grid
seq_lengths = [20, 50]
batch_sizes = [16, 32]
learning_rates = [0.001, 0.0005]
kernel_sizes = [3, 5]
num_channels_list = [[32, 64, 128], [64, 128, 256]]
dropouts = [0.1, 0.2]
results = []
best_result = None
best_metrics = float('inf') # Track best RMSE
best_model = None
best_config = None
# Run experiments
for seq, batch, lr, kernel, channels, dropout in product(
seq_lengths, batch_sizes, learning_rates, kernel_sizes, num_channels_list, dropouts
):
print(f"\nRunning: seq={seq}, batch={batch}, lr={lr}, kernel={kernel}, channels={channels}, dropout={dropout}")
try:
forecaster = StockPriceForecaster(
dataset_path=dataset_path,
seq_length=seq,
batch_size=batch,
lr=lr,
epochs=20,
kernel_size=kernel,
num_channels=channels,
dropout=dropout,
test_split=0.2
)
model, (mae, rmse, mape, r2, actuals, predictions) = forecaster.run()
results.append({
"seq_length": seq,
"batch_size": batch,
"lr": lr,
"kernel_size": kernel,
"num_channels": str(channels),
"dropout": dropout,
"MAE": mae,
"RMSE": rmse,
"MAPE": mape,
"R2": r2
})
if rmse < best_metrics:
best_metrics = rmse
best_result = (actuals, predictions, seq, batch, lr, kernel, channels, dropout)
best_model = model
best_config = {
"seq_length": seq,
"batch_size": batch,
"lr": lr,
"kernel_size": kernel,
"num_channels": channels,
"dropout": dropout
}
except Exception as e:
print(f"Error with config seq={seq}, batch={batch}, lr={lr}, kernel={kernel}, channels={channels}, dropout={dropout}: {e}")
continue
# Save results
df_results = pd.DataFrame(results)
df_results.to_csv("tcn_experiments_results.csv", index=False)
print("\nAll experiments done! Results saved to 'tcn_experiments_results.csv'")
# Display metrics table
print("\nMetrics Table:")
pd.set_option('display.max_columns', None)
pd.set_option('display.width', 1000)
pd.set_option('display.float_format', '{:.6f}'.format)
print(df_results)
# Save best model for Hugging Face
if best_model is not None:
save_model_for_huggingface(best_model, forecaster.scaler, best_config)
print(f"\nBest model saved with RMSE: {best_metrics:.6f}")
print("\nBest configuration:")
print(pd.Series(best_config))
# Plot best combination
if best_result is not None:
actuals, predictions, seq, batch, lr, kernel, channels, dropout = best_result
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
plt.plot(actuals, label="Actual Prices")
plt.plot(predictions, label="Predicted Prices")
plt.title(f"Best Model: seq={seq}, batch={batch}, lr={lr}, kernel={kernel}, channels={channels}, dropout={dropout}")
plt.xlabel("Time Step")
plt.ylabel("Price")
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
else:
print("No successful experiments to plot.") |