Unggi's picture
leap-kt: 5 dataset(s), 115 files
09a7ba9 verified
Raw
History Blame Contribute Delete
197 kB
{
"concepts": {
"0": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.036224844073095404,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-12782.416436584765,
-11593.316497892542,
-11514.625205648012,
-11486.624046230821,
-11474.973998524727,
-11469.73877477221,
-11467.300101305453,
-11466.091195093131,
-11465.45190231135,
-11465.095277490873,
-11464.888525128268,
-11464.76555499981,
-11464.691213984946,
-11464.645807810173,
-11464.617893131981,
-11464.600658999838,
-11464.589988685279,
-11464.583369322665,
-11464.579257238167,
-11464.576700111023,
-11464.575108726496,
-11464.57411777861,
-11464.573500443306,
-11464.573115725356,
-11464.57287590737,
-11464.572726382448,
-11464.572633139114,
-11464.57257498511,
-11464.572538711884,
-11464.572516084801,
-11464.572501969222,
-11464.57249316297,
-11464.572487668813,
-11464.572484240958,
-11464.572482102203,
-11464.572480767727,
-11464.572479935081
],
"prior": 0.6351318018163082,
"slip": 0.15972540937598287
},
"1": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.9999,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2528.975227664001,
-69.18887199831777,
-27.65507845245191,
-12.7870917630346,
-6.514045095448384,
-3.654714984607831,
-2.302075478263883,
-1.650545197945481,
-1.3339457210040548,
-1.1794361424284183,
-1.1038719727576638,
-1.097603590199288,
-1.0975996642115273,
-1.0975989358683427
],
"prior": 0.9999,
"slip": 0.0001
},
"10": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.24831626548529395,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-5081.719664038272,
-2655.5930828169635,
-2640.4107595655682,
-2632.145760418762,
-2628.1167165766096,
-2626.31235006761,
-2625.510609592675,
-2625.1430531655624,
-2624.968170618947,
-2624.882533650176,
-2624.839806709004,
-2624.818247237234,
-2624.807296167482,
-2624.801711656128,
-2624.798856997745,
-2624.797395573621,
-2624.7966466775715,
-2624.7962626622175,
-2624.7960656617147,
-2624.795964569361,
-2624.79591268189,
-2624.795886045729,
-2624.7958723707607,
-2624.795865349492,
-2624.7958617442946,
-2624.7958598930854,
-2624.7958589424907
],
"prior": 0.9140288803693141,
"slip": 0.023823197144876906
},
"100": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.06523665946967651,
"learn": 0.30085674607962776,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-209.15149011329288,
-195.18751363207633,
-194.8972310076215,
-194.7695023765947,
-194.6735010371413,
-194.5889727207273,
-194.51045521593704,
-194.4365015916695,
-194.3667638347443,
-194.30115985669187,
-194.23963526398998,
-194.1821016346275,
-194.1284283027261,
-194.0784497935262,
-194.0319767006843,
-193.98880596997782,
-193.9487293526334,
-193.9115398220676,
-193.87703613742767,
-193.84502586837678,
-193.8153272142354,
-193.78776992047742,
-193.76219554725822,
-193.738457293296,
-193.71641953123924,
-193.6959571705303,
-193.67695493129503,
-193.65930658744523,
-193.6429142179372,
-193.6276874908924,
-193.61354299499027,
-193.6004036252852,
-193.5881980256342,
-193.57686008666147,
-193.56632849613973,
-193.55654633754494,
-193.54746073199527,
-193.5390225186831,
-193.5311859690797,
-193.52390853052145,
-193.5171505952104,
-193.5108752911313,
-193.5050482918419,
-193.49963764254747,
-193.49461360026817,
-193.4899484862684,
-193.48561654924518,
-193.4815938380216,
-193.47785808273903,
-193.474388583704,
-193.47116610722088,
-193.46817278783305,
-193.4653920365219,
-193.46280845445818,
-193.4604077519675,
-193.45817667242335,
-193.4561029207939,
-193.45417509660692,
-193.45238263110608,
-193.45071572839322,
-193.4491653103463,
-193.44772296513227,
-193.44638089911356,
-193.44513189198014,
-193.44396925492114,
-193.44288679166922,
-193.44187876225152,
-193.44093984928656,
-193.4400651266706,
-193.43925003050805,
-193.43849033214073,
-193.43778211313838,
-193.43712174212533,
-193.43650585331332,
-193.43593132662903,
-193.4353952693209,
-193.4348949989433,
-193.4344280276217,
-193.43399204749912,
-193.43358491728853,
-193.43320464983805,
-193.43284940064476,
-193.4325174572369,
-193.43220722936766,
-193.431917239951,
-193.43164611668965,
-193.43139258434033,
-193.4311554575654,
-193.43093363432905,
-193.43072608979443,
-193.43053187068344,
-193.43035009006388,
-193.4301799225302,
-193.43002059974714,
-193.42987140633062,
-193.42973167603645,
-193.42960078823538,
-193.4294781646518,
-193.42936326634447,
-193.42925559091327,
-193.42915466991218,
-193.4290600664521,
-193.42897137298502,
-193.4288882092447,
-193.4288102203424,
-193.42873707500155,
-193.42866846391757,
-193.4286040982405,
-193.42854370816568,
-193.4284870416245,
-193.42843386307274,
-193.4283839523609,
-193.42833710368902,
-193.42829312463465,
-193.42825183524818,
-193.42821306721294,
-193.42817666306667,
-193.428142475472,
-193.42811036654336,
-193.42808020721907,
-193.42805187667426,
-193.4280252617779,
-193.42800025658605,
-193.4279767618688,
-193.42795468467145,
-193.4279339379035,
-193.4279144399578,
-193.4278961143527,
-193.42787888940228,
-193.42786269790437,
-193.42784747685295,
-193.42783316716776,
-193.4278197134424,
-193.42780706371036,
-193.42779516922434,
-193.42778398425264,
-193.42777346588673,
-193.42776357386194,
-193.42775427039177,
-193.42774552001092,
-193.4277372894287,
-193.4277295473932,
-193.42772226456322,
-193.42771541338868,
-193.42770896799922,
-193.42770290409868,
-193.42769719886854,
-193.42769183087515,
-193.42768677998436,
-193.42768202728104,
-193.42767755499406,
-193.4276733464249,
-193.42766938588363,
-193.427665658625,
-193.42766215079106,
-193.42765884935764,
-193.42765574208232,
-193.42765281745696,
-193.42765006466328,
-193.42764747353144,
-193.42764503449882,
-193.42764273857458,
-193.42764057730525,
-193.42763854274088,
-193.42763662740558,
-193.4276348242685,
-193.42763312671764,
-193.42763152853323,
-193.42763002386542,
-193.42762860721183,
-193.42762727339607,
-193.427626017549,
-193.42762483508923,
-193.4276237217069,
-193.4276226733474,
-193.42762168619558
],
"prior": 0.6849298612379173,
"slip": 0.173668819108857
},
"101": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.17311920446729887,
"learn": 0.4935449747471273,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-341.1405371585436,
-296.41218226830324,
-294.6693770908418,
-293.9835353706094,
-293.6701160604567,
-293.52107248569234,
-293.4471133795178,
-293.4072265403352,
-293.38273971749635,
-293.36533338022844,
-293.3513591999158,
-293.3392263428668,
-293.32823542281653,
-293.31806946308444,
-293.3085747917224,
-293.29966761569386,
-293.2912944523685,
-293.2834154543696,
-293.275997402198,
-293.26901075513,
-293.26242839564435,
-293.25622507622404,
-293.25037715555897,
-293.24486245314483,
-293.23966015203257,
-293.2347507211828,
-293.23011584606184,
-293.2257383631214,
-293.22160219663283,
-293.21769229746945,
-293.2139945838223,
-293.21049588398716,
-293.2071838813544,
-293.2040470617245,
-293.20107466303426,
-293.19825662753726,
-293.19558355645086,
-293.19304666705614,
-293.19063775221326,
-293.18834914223095,
-293.1861736690204,
-293.1841046324554,
-293.1821357688392,
-293.1802612213924,
-293.17847551265714,
-293.17677351872015,
-293.1751504451574,
-293.1736018045955,
-293.1721233958041,
-293.1707112842165,
-293.1693617837961,
-293.16807144015513,
-293.1668370148533,
-293.1656554707891,
-293.16452395861484,
-293.1634398041067,
-293.1624004964156,
-293.1614036771542,
-293.1604471302394,
-293.15952877245604,
-293.1586466446827,
-293.1577989037281,
-293.15698381474505,
-293.1561997441694,
-293.15544515315435,
-293.1547185914614,
-293.1540186917725,
-293.1533441643968,
-293.152693792345,
-293.152066426736,
-293.15146098252256,
-293.1508764345065,
-293.15031181362383,
-293.1497662034823,
-293.1492387371311,
-293.1487285940458,
-293.14823499731654,
-293.1477572110214,
-293.1472945377733,
-293.1468463164273,
-293.1464119199418,
-293.1459907533703,
-293.1455822519937,
-293.14518587956434,
-293.1448011266673,
-293.14442750918255,
-293.144064566847,
-293.14371186190795,
-293.14336897785586,
-293.1430355182413,
-293.14271110556246,
-293.1423953802232,
-293.1420879995511,
-293.1417886368783,
-293.14149698067814,
-293.14121273375133,
-293.1409356124634,
-293.140665346025,
-293.1404016758172,
-293.14014435475355,
-293.1398931466826,
-293.13964782582156,
-293.1394081762266,
-293.1391739912893,
-293.13894507326506,
-293.1387212328269,
-293.1385022886447,
-293.13828806698695,
-293.1380784013464,
-293.13787313208377,
-293.13767210609564,
-293.1374751764952,
-293.1372822023132,
-293.13709304821515,
-293.13690758423286,
-293.13672568550925,
-293.1365472320596,
-293.1363721085431,
-293.1362002040464,
-293.1360314118798,
-293.1358656293816,
-293.1357027577361,
-293.13554270179696,
-293.1353853699213,
-293.1352306738148,
-293.1350785283785,
-293.13492885156825,
-293.13478156425964,
-293.13463659012,
-293.1344938554832,
-293.134353289238,
-293.1342148227131,
-293.1340783895742,
-293.1339439257221,
-293.1338113691974,
-293.1336806600908,
-293.13355174045415,
-293.13342455421844,
-293.1332990471142,
-293.13317516659646,
-293.13305286177365,
-293.1329320833364,
-293.1328127834936,
-293.1326949159098,
-293.132578435643,
-293.13246329909043,
-293.13234946393055,
-293.1322368890723,
-293.13212553460437,
-293.1320153617458,
-293.1319063328032,
-293.13179841112196,
-293.1316915610468,
-293.13158574788116,
-293.1314809378462,
-293.1313770980448,
-293.1312741964254,
-293.1311722017476,
-293.13107108354836,
-293.1309708121098,
-293.1308713584298,
-293.1307726941916,
-293.1306747917347,
-293.1305776240291,
-293.1304811646476,
-293.13038538774003,
-293.13029026800996,
-293.1301957806903,
-293.13010190152005,
-293.13000860672275,
-293.1299158729852,
-293.1298236774358,
-293.1297319976246,
-293.1296408115062,
-293.12955009741745,
-293.1294598340616,
-293.12937000048913,
-293.1292805760824,
-293.12919154053685,
-293.129102873845,
-293.12901455628247,
-293.12892656839097,
-293.12883889096275,
-293.1287515050272,
-293.1286643918359,
-293.1285775328477,
-293.12849090971713,
-293.12840450427814,
-293.1283182985332,
-293.12823227463946,
-293.12814641489507,
-293.1280607017277,
-293.12797511768184,
-293.12788964540766,
-293.1278042676457,
-293.1277189672188,
-293.1276337270185,
-293.12754852999234,
-293.12746335913454,
-293.1273781974723
],
"prior": 0.569954160686261,
"slip": 0.14475463401753888
},
"102": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.07734745230514353,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-487.39951156401116,
-441.8141844604349,
-439.23988298564154,
-438.8617837066306,
-438.769020724774,
-438.7292477203145,
-438.70329899012245,
-438.68285259792424,
-438.66543050434194,
-438.64989469925894,
-438.6355376324952,
-438.621858290408,
-438.60848274405896,
-438.59512305821,
-438.5815513993415,
-438.56758270582395,
-438.55306305299956,
-438.5378620320908,
-438.52186801177726,
-438.5049854658636,
-438.48713373924943,
-438.46824673867496,
-438.44827311125374,
-438.4271765423193,
-438.40493588624986,
-438.3815449494723,
-438.35701186855624,
-438.3313581489977,
-438.30461752517374,
-438.27683484578677,
-438.2480651723677,
-438.21837321025635,
-438.1878330958666,
-438.15652846991026,
-438.12661084353476,
-438.10149541980064,
-438.0797902544961,
-438.06085527474687,
-438.0442903142756,
-438.02979219419217,
-438.0171137021413,
-438.00604356352886,
-437.99639597173433,
-437.9880050691467,
-437.9807219210383,
-437.974412685042,
-437.9689573205427,
-437.96424852352743,
-437.9601907471986,
-437.95669925470196,
-437.9536991904863,
-437.9511246738734,
-437.9489179241689,
-437.9470284271589,
-437.9454121511007,
-437.94403081787436,
-437.94285123248653,
-437.94184467196095,
-437.94098633289127,
-437.9402548356099,
-437.9396317819796,
-437.9391013632036,
-437.93865001370875,
-437.9382661070102,
-437.9379396894986,
-437.9376622482107,
-437.937426508858,
-437.9372262606453,
-437.9370562046863,
-437.93691182311926,
-437.9367892663073,
-437.9366852557947,
-437.93659700093895,
-437.9365221273937,
-437.936458615831,
-437.9364047494932,
-437.9363590693469,
-437.9363203357731,
-437.9362874958634,
-437.93625965552485,
-437.93623605569996,
-437.93621605210836,
-437.9361990979965,
-437.9361847294554,
-437.936172552932,
-437.93616223460737,
-437.9361534913681,
-437.9361460831336,
-437.93613980633825,
-437.93613448839506,
-437.9361299829955,
-437.9361261661189,
-437.93612293264476,
-437.9361201934802,
-437.9361178731192,
-437.93611590757723,
-437.9361142426338,
-437.93611283234594,
-437.9361116377864,
-437.9361106259731,
-437.9361097689624
],
"prior": 0.135846665771456,
"slip": 0.1610299196891292
},
"103": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2678176455571026,
"learn": 0.9999,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-30.639617329172534,
-28.677061165478506,
-28.552429988426812,
-28.493181039816914,
-28.4571873739791,
-28.43161708791061,
-28.41119384016478,
-28.39339790552087,
-28.37682547973775,
-28.360551952362353,
-28.343859665432433,
-28.326108935377327,
-28.306667454780396,
-28.284863138186623,
-28.259945710501405,
-28.231051956893815,
-28.19717639398828,
-28.157157794210054,
-28.109706619693487,
-28.05352236494103,
-27.987579736732137,
-27.911670383889366,
-27.827191589020455,
-27.737864900584967,
-27.649639935162522,
-27.569136394452293,
-27.501217743985393,
-27.447510626972853,
-27.40685606656192,
-27.376786606308407,
-27.354733594532895,
-27.338562917798406,
-27.326664188343436,
-27.317868538601505,
-27.311337278789154,
-27.306468104187058,
-27.30282594166317,
-27.30009422299332,
-27.29804095253543,
-27.29649502169133,
-27.295329540233766,
-27.294449985916454,
-27.29378569225518,
-27.293283675385453,
-27.292904119417116,
-27.29261705105068,
-27.29239987568028,
-27.29223554305707,
-27.292111176436283,
-27.292017045017936,
-27.291945791904425,
-27.291891852982484,
-27.291866109134208,
-27.291866105064795
],
"prior": 0.45101525950556864,
"slip": 0.21738186772129203
},
"104": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.18393047898979822,
"learn": 0.01706237244261682,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1005.3241053847115,
-872.4061027852242,
-862.2346074369326,
-859.5966395751428,
-858.3198240474061,
-857.4985658257963,
-856.9145584408066,
-856.4832309797295,
-856.15687746824,
-855.9040913132336,
-855.7034846030178,
-855.5404025176168,
-855.4047247519118,
-855.2893692638917,
-855.1892969580501,
-855.1008571614975,
-855.021356334566,
-854.9487709759086,
-854.8815538151696,
-854.8185009419161,
-854.7586592661472,
-854.7012610598134,
-854.6456769472738,
-854.5913816409122,
-854.5379285976018,
-854.4849309938113,
-854.4320472220004,
-854.3789696472343,
-854.3254157237441,
-854.271120815227,
-854.215832227599,
-854.1593040725513,
-854.101292649751,
-854.0415520740065,
-853.9798298857748,
-853.9158623703288,
-853.8493692698727,
-853.7800474973791,
-853.7075633379635,
-853.6315424316591,
-853.5515565349294,
-853.4671055998155,
-853.3775929972769,
-853.2822906013907,
-853.1802887280636,
-853.0704232924231,
-852.9511687116892,
-852.8204800696782,
-852.6755634580489,
-852.5125560705624,
-852.3261299267442,
-852.1091571565923,
-851.8529320944913,
-851.5492410655615,
-851.1966281884332,
-850.8122563343414,
-850.4418972654488,
-850.1460868394861,
-849.9575051811419,
-849.8597947050991,
-849.8156318294908,
-849.7966823843266,
-849.7884912321402,
-849.784842285666,
-849.7831696843845,
-849.7823882288906,
-849.7820192715261,
-849.7818442029113,
-849.7817609699728,
-849.7817213780577,
-849.7817025470376,
-849.7816935932675,
-849.7816893373814,
-849.7816873150888,
-849.7816863543753
],
"prior": 0.9156717292370171,
"slip": 0.3970135410420966
},
"105": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.35887292225876277,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-713.9782788769774,
-626.7719989845693,
-625.4907778035844,
-625.1982394456181,
-625.0561221736918,
-624.9608003577697,
-624.8901990554622,
-624.8358954853487,
-624.7930548778908,
-624.7584553977686,
-624.7298501013772,
-624.705639384119,
-624.6923440491896,
-624.6856189727725,
-624.6820535756433,
-624.6801465001788,
-624.6791126786948,
-624.6785401854422,
-624.6782129948083,
-624.6780177169485,
-624.6778946690346,
-624.6778122655401,
-624.6777536334063,
-624.6777096215699,
-624.6776751501493,
-624.6776473022275,
-624.6776243245217,
-624.6776051021254,
-624.677588880703,
-624.6775751180604,
-624.677563403526,
-624.677553413084,
-624.6775448834908,
-624.6775375966064,
-624.6775313693602,
-624.6775260468737,
-624.6775214974977,
-624.6775176089957,
-624.677514285528,
-624.6775114451746,
-624.6775090178878,
-624.677506943751,
-624.6775051715161,
-624.6775036573475,
-624.677502363753,
-624.6775012586717,
-624.6775003146869
],
"prior": 0.5376370875988526,
"slip": 0.08894364618978524
},
"106": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.09533522331298554,
"learn": 0.3372222003486344,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-746.5637523486569,
-637.6980750439444,
-633.4996226433584,
-631.2957394743095,
-629.6231656986533,
-628.3422813356335,
-627.4165104435816,
-626.7858120261786,
-626.3773153093514,
-626.1233263993047,
-625.9702975059669,
-625.8801893276693,
-625.8279543651338,
-625.7979671580041,
-625.7808414313722,
-625.7710803509717,
-625.7655161573372,
-625.762339973499,
-625.7605232972675,
-625.7594819327347,
-625.7588837238562,
-625.758539423121,
-625.7583409315218,
-625.7582263419387,
-625.7581601150159,
-625.7581218050514,
-625.7580996285303,
-625.7580867841993,
-625.758079341829,
-625.7580750281304,
-625.7580725272469,
-625.7580710770854,
-625.7580702360788
],
"prior": 0.8607270426821505,
"slip": 0.13575704121663076
},
"108": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.1074077308022868,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-339.04348659477654,
-294.5421861870123,
-293.07723948009533,
-292.0647277819616,
-291.38538301257506,
-290.9524946210364,
-290.7157053176543,
-290.6032616161946,
-290.5549472912023,
-290.5354529433004,
-290.52785758838814,
-290.5249416427756,
-290.5238210998131,
-290.5233840912048,
-290.523208815452,
-290.52313560683166,
-290.52310344325906,
-290.5230885041253,
-290.5230811781792,
-290.5230774112394,
-290.5230754000964,
-290.52307429628195,
-290.52307367872123
],
"prior": 0.6659972597474388,
"slip": 0.07324800895699707
},
"109": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.1416510340614673,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-337.15757037627606,
-302.42079105398176,
-302.14031213550777,
-302.049628934898,
-301.988970758078,
-301.937541954976,
-301.8894443313355,
-301.84266236299203,
-301.7966629666139,
-301.75153489786936,
-301.7075988445404,
-301.66520599236406,
-301.6246336268684,
-301.58604261772183,
-301.5494753915594,
-301.51487640108354,
-301.482120838033,
-301.4510424578243,
-301.421456190021,
-301.3931745276712,
-301.36601841757135,
-301.33982397127016,
-301.3144463018807,
-301.28976153088854,
-301.26566770072776,
-301.242085057124,
-301.21895595360996,
-301.1997041065169,
-301.19072588369676,
-301.18642620909446,
-301.18434439159984,
-301.1833339919364,
-301.18284288094617,
-301.1826039353473,
-301.18248759866987,
-301.18243093025285,
-301.1824033174894,
-301.1823898595,
-301.18238329921735,
-301.1823801009363,
-301.1823785415692,
-301.18237778122904
],
"prior": 0.5782304759216558,
"slip": 0.06496093347555904
},
"11": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.036192243453005854,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-350.4830437778977,
-303.0886267381276,
-301.3133333201159,
-300.9765562506935,
-300.82659215989315,
-300.72063756003274,
-300.6491108828058,
-300.59192076659366,
-300.5457571855356,
-300.5086408052703,
-300.4788846391007,
-300.4550762229633,
-300.4360558036774,
-300.420881870084,
-300.4087944084251,
-300.39918126298613,
-300.3915495832137,
-300.3855025218599,
-300.3807205555312,
-300.3769465794685,
-300.3739739788879,
-300.37163702368997,
-300.36980308527586,
-300.36836630022765,
-300.36724239937666,
-300.3663644869809,
-300.3656796007881,
-300.36514591638013,
-300.36473048324916,
-300.3644073987177,
-300.3641563410022,
-300.3639613954612,
-300.3638101189722,
-300.36369279672994,
-300.36360185378425,
-300.36353139044434,
-300.3634768164299,
-300.3634345634466,
-300.36340185984074,
-300.36337655424296,
-300.3633569777771,
-300.36334183654856,
-300.3633301278674,
-300.36332107503455,
-300.3633140766277,
-300.3633086670987,
-300.3633044861782,
-300.3633012551386,
-300.36329875838493,
-300.3632968291877,
-300.36329533862937,
-300.36329418704406,
-300.36329329738965
],
"prior": 0.3007455216324667,
"slip": 0.21805111660632212
},
"110": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2904290544887951,
"learn": 0.18313746864999184,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-416.53189045622145,
-389.17841521407286,
-388.3622562411981,
-388.20266169461115,
-388.13060023282713,
-388.0866019865832,
-388.0575896588675,
-388.03796851092295,
-388.0245536645086,
-388.01533624547756,
-388.0089890644762,
-388.004614658796,
-388.00159917631265,
-387.99952053105187,
-387.9980878544813,
-387.99710055066345,
-387.99642026352944,
-387.99595157873745,
-387.9956287102385,
-387.995406310168,
-387.9952531254098,
-387.99514762035886,
-387.9950749574851,
-387.9950249152001,
-387.99499045245864,
-387.9949667194434,
-387.9949503758232,
-387.9949391210355,
-387.9949313706878,
-387.9949260336429,
-387.99492235847515,
-387.99491982771764,
-387.99491808502125,
-387.9949168849946,
-387.9949160586551
],
"prior": 0.634314876959509,
"slip": 0.1593632250261968
},
"111": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-150.4465824230715,
-143.6816496349857,
-143.0644894702393,
-142.8170763129167,
-142.69666598904533,
-142.626207732432,
-142.57644817583258,
-142.53536463226297,
-142.49771532058082,
-142.46108347800313,
-142.42427592951347,
-142.3866443153722,
-142.34778756374183,
-142.3074175816484,
-142.26529647972316,
-142.22120566033126,
-142.1749292801801,
-142.1262442646839,
-142.07491331618024,
-142.02067925577393,
-141.96325989339863,
-141.90234301811245,
-141.83758130251735,
-141.76858704195413,
-141.69492676162187,
-141.616115861557,
-141.53161366528636,
-141.44081953425643,
-141.34307116180662,
-141.23764684064054,
-141.12377449687568,
-141.0006516942801,
-140.8674826793161,
-140.7235407374142,
-140.56826611732282,
-140.4014101348837,
-140.22323188542137,
-140.03474052248345,
-139.8379479279463,
-139.63605318709202,
-139.43343695986337,
-139.23534215727497,
-139.04720970884438,
-138.87382382731107,
-138.71858145309903,
-138.58316853021,
-138.4676924544424,
-138.37109037432575,
-138.29158500756836,
-138.22705613144785,
-138.1753003215306,
-138.13419874933237,
-138.10181818069955,
-138.07646357371502,
-138.05669545327268,
-138.0413228291687,
-138.02938093408738,
-138.02010134298365,
-138.01288001472497,
-138.0072468147634,
-138.00283843904248,
-137.99937548626693,
-137.99664369082302,
-137.9944789334765,
-137.99275548122975,
-137.99137687946725,
-137.99026896333973,
-137.98940846639883,
-137.98883439347247,
-137.98835435925622,
-137.98795235615574,
-137.98761529158304,
-137.98733239148518,
-137.9870947521814,
-137.98689499131208,
-137.98672697126332,
-137.98658557766709,
-137.98646654060786,
-137.98636628937956,
-137.98633669135543,
-137.98633665398413
],
"prior": 0.8694165533652235,
"slip": 0.355628210339937
},
"12": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.4216687620014177,
"learn": 0.007843143709019344,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-222.1502032710219,
-195.99169374496802,
-193.764739858425,
-193.10240453636092,
-192.76766762556142,
-192.55088516007908,
-192.40129464334242,
-192.30138963129878,
-192.23881237531833,
-192.20164676350493,
-192.1799288768636,
-192.16683601239683,
-192.15837056825507,
-192.15242652111237,
-192.14796320985477,
-192.14447626742134,
-192.1417097142264,
-192.13951507365883,
-192.13778862609644,
-192.13644647205058,
-192.1354162071025,
-192.13463491990757,
-192.13404896286687,
-192.13361376967265,
-192.13329326816282,
-192.13305893123123,
-192.1328886415115,
-192.13276553340418,
-192.1326769218376,
-192.13261337388118,
-192.13256794047072,
-192.13253554184843,
-192.13251248840612,
-192.13249611441233,
-192.1324845023267,
-192.13247627783122,
-192.13247045892717,
-192.13246634571516,
-192.13246344040874,
-192.13246138959312,
-192.13245994272336,
-192.13245892240028,
-192.1324582031457
],
"prior": 0.0726248095342899,
"slip": 0.12168516936587657
},
"13": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.041127097969871976,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-309.6269086948977,
-286.1471254560451,
-282.64571146878774,
-280.58743391913663,
-279.379786102431,
-278.8999394412794,
-278.7336723436508,
-278.68096554601993,
-278.6649901379306,
-278.6602113542542,
-278.65877838945863,
-278.6583452084005,
-278.65821308302174,
-278.65817246521163,
-278.65815990017,
-278.6581559948042,
-278.65815477677313,
-278.658154395945
],
"prior": 0.29255030933025394,
"slip": 0.07520967919590153
},
"14": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.48104990382135193,
"learn": 0.05857108293995337,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-200.76371297345574,
-184.38253827014697,
-183.47947179059454,
-183.28696771407365,
-183.20351829139523,
-183.14859846768803,
-183.1061937730831,
-183.07167398549223,
-183.04307732128552,
-183.01927991187034,
-182.9994946612363,
-182.98309882861685,
-182.96956737218989,
-182.95844631185048,
-182.94934151356466,
-182.94191277008125,
-182.93586916703097,
-182.93096441155998,
-182.92699190979033,
-182.9237797598591,
-182.92118589448853,
-182.9190935596121,
-182.91740724200454,
-182.91604909362013,
-182.91495585310338,
-182.91407623520558,
-182.91336874282717,
-182.9127998499316,
-182.9123425031854,
-182.9119748932964,
-182.91167945191106,
-182.91144203548424,
-182.91125126307136,
-182.9110979801648,
-182.9109748253174,
-182.9108758803151,
-182.91079638808986,
-182.91073252544396,
-182.9106812200564,
-182.91064000321887,
-182.91060689137345,
-182.91058029084894,
-182.91055892127267,
-182.91054175400706,
-182.9105279626726,
-182.910516883388,
-182.9105079828216,
-182.91050083252247,
-182.91049508829633,
-182.91049047363714,
-182.91048676641535,
-182.91048378818485,
-182.9104813955916,
-182.91047947347298,
-182.9104779293132,
-182.91047668878963,
-182.9104756921953
],
"prior": 0.49582434750012633,
"slip": 0.1747790721412965
},
"15": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.03136161423559924,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1853.3482733178041,
-1637.3738428656197,
-1628.205133555711,
-1625.6126282379141,
-1624.1830478683248,
-1623.2747750022797,
-1622.679844770822,
-1622.4026835715097,
-1622.2781141241896,
-1622.2229874436018,
-1622.198877834328,
-1622.188399593707,
-1622.1838533496891,
-1622.1818757591752,
-1622.1810093908625,
-1622.1806251182365,
-1622.1804514580986,
-1622.180370903323,
-1622.1803322479902,
-1622.1803129248492,
-1622.1803028180916,
-1622.180297283956,
-1622.1802941224948,
-1622.180292250219,
-1622.1802911093628,
-1622.1802903992225
],
"prior": 0.43745691813586945,
"slip": 0.20968733661010572
},
"16": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.14390868659049716,
"learn": 0.19898932758122861,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-579.9553880016542,
-542.7397883723256,
-540.0018233324364,
-539.2499619790432,
-538.8044244610053,
-538.4437240015013,
-538.1261497373278,
-537.8380148336448,
-537.5721206209107,
-537.3243027386643,
-537.092648515072,
-536.877067389369,
-536.6787549077316,
-536.4994602481056,
-536.3406831431762,
-536.2030469763613,
-536.0860406200122,
-535.988139386333,
-535.9071559788825,
-535.8406344072555,
-535.7861616032109,
-535.7415561578541,
-535.7049498318585,
-535.6747974744861,
-535.6498486037599,
-535.6291037464616,
-535.61176878792,
-535.5972136469919,
-535.5849375056379,
-535.5745407368265,
-535.5657027773074,
-535.5581649207276,
-535.5517170278154,
-535.5461872855691,
-535.5414343095589,
-535.5373410349479,
-535.5338099695764,
-535.5307594845486,
-535.5281208969628,
-535.5258361597978,
-535.5238560194656,
-535.5221385356764,
-535.5206478838057,
-535.5193533790215,
-535.5182286757408,
-535.5172511067163,
-535.5164011341162,
-535.5156618911005,
-535.5150187970139,
-535.5144592328877,
-535.5139722666488,
-535.513548419563,
-535.5131794670546,
-535.5128582683535,
-535.5125786204204,
-535.5123351324027,
-535.5121231175283,
-535.5119384998534,
-535.5117777337084,
-535.5116377340171,
-535.5115158159632,
-535.5114096426977,
-535.5113171799768,
-535.511236656791,
-535.5111665311655,
-535.5111054604495,
-535.5110522754818,
-535.5110059581299,
-535.5109656217463,
-535.5109304941724,
-535.5108999029376,
-535.5108732623819,
-535.5108500624472,
-535.5108298589093,
-535.5108122648891,
-535.5107969434416,
-535.5107836011155,
-535.5107719823404,
-535.5107618645361,
-535.510753053858,
-535.5107453814852,
-535.510738700395,
-535.510732882545,
-535.5107278164289,
-535.5107234049381,
-535.5107195635032,
-535.510716218479,
-535.51071330573,
-535.5107107694047,
-535.5107085608663,
-535.5107066377603,
-535.5107049632041,
-535.5107035050789,
-535.5107022354166,
-535.5107011298616,
-535.5107001672056
],
"prior": 0.7303383798406391,
"slip": 0.2601017573960499
},
"17": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.03670372933517686,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-25674.268574084937,
-23442.875229320867,
-23350.83082431177,
-23314.028714263404,
-23294.100929305143,
-23283.916016310384,
-23278.69260532426,
-23275.964525654785,
-23274.516238211865,
-23273.73829954611,
-23273.317078566,
-23273.0877443858,
-23272.962394230217,
-23272.893684921066,
-23272.855943379782,
-23272.83517964887,
-23272.823742919765,
-23272.817437977403,
-23272.813959835887,
-23272.8120401594,
-23272.810980248767,
-23272.810394878976,
-23272.810071523087,
-23272.80989287532,
-23272.809794164634,
-23272.809739618006,
-23272.809709474164,
-23272.809692815084,
-23272.80968360807,
-23272.809678519567,
-23272.809675707103,
-23272.809674152726,
-23272.80967329351
],
"prior": 0.8831267995636318,
"slip": 0.171760486766688
},
"2": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.6468164977402474,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-135.16924631184762,
-114.52147975236527,
-114.18124632140366,
-114.06702879866086,
-113.99484482009528,
-113.93966207687019,
-113.89356053920204,
-113.85246962961344,
-113.81411171973377,
-113.77727308116502,
-113.74138128761426,
-113.70624130932588,
-113.6718763733975,
-113.63843594222668,
-113.60614246244315,
-113.57525730924296,
-113.54605421978911,
-113.51879476276106,
-113.4937048121695,
-113.47095367917818,
-113.4506386615529,
-113.43277748038456,
-113.41730973016872,
-113.40410664651624,
-113.39298688305098,
-113.38373512277123,
-113.37612040392926,
-113.36991181427629,
-113.36489029433577,
-113.36085630267593,
-113.35763380537574,
-113.3550714077134,
-113.35304151668731,
-113.35143831889833,
-113.35017517958846,
-113.34918188276772,
-113.3484019742768,
-113.34779035080047,
-113.34731115659034,
-113.34693599870405,
-113.34664246263141,
-113.34641289597623,
-113.34623342286675,
-113.34609315207159,
-113.34598354486107,
-113.34589791289537,
-113.34583102092186,
-113.3457932536678,
-113.34579324760197
],
"prior": 0.8149158838071499,
"slip": 0.10532612570451305
},
"20": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.4670521798142867,
"learn": 0.04235622281726342,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-668.0259369853222,
-584.0243927757487,
-579.8255543077747,
-579.2105480638768,
-579.0654352698957,
-579.0122901879407,
-578.9827900306016,
-578.9618859662071,
-578.9456125146015,
-578.9325719542462,
-578.9220394835125,
-578.9135168248223,
-578.9066179892633,
-578.9010330362315,
-578.8965110414947,
-578.8928487088857,
-578.8898814620641,
-578.8874761813445,
-578.8855252528293,
-578.8839417085154,
-578.8826552728074,
-578.8816091561786,
-578.8807574603212,
-578.880063081136,
-578.879496015545,
-578.8790319950529,
-578.8786513832486,
-578.8783382862936,
-578.8780798351614,
-578.8778656063425,
-578.8776871541677,
-578.8775376331134,
-578.8774114926686,
-578.8773042307282,
-578.87721219421,
-578.8771324177904,
-578.8770624934239,
-578.8770004647301,
-578.8769447414838,
-578.8768940303478,
-578.8768472787589,
-578.8768036294459,
-578.8767623835596,
-578.8767229707718,
-578.8766849250276,
-578.8766478648646,
-578.8766114774512,
-578.8765755056221,
-578.8765397373594,
-578.876503997248,
-578.876468139534,
-578.8764320424885,
-578.8763956038254,
-578.8763587369789,
-578.8763213680751,
-578.8762834334709,
-578.8762448777514,
-578.8762056520976,
-578.8761657129633,
-578.8761250209907,
-578.8760835401304,
-578.8760412369232,
-578.8759980799115,
-578.8759540391613,
-578.8759090858669,
-578.8758631920313,
-578.8758163301994,
-578.8757684732411,
-578.8757195941714,
-578.8756696659982,
-578.8756186616005,
-578.8755665536225,
-578.8755133143865,
-578.8754589158153,
-578.8754033293732,
-578.8753465260044,
-578.87528847609,
-578.8752291494009,
-578.8751685150621,
-578.8751065415165,
-578.875043196495,
-578.8749784469833,
-578.8749122591987,
-578.8748445985601,
-578.8747754296646,
-578.8747047162623,
-578.8746324212331,
-578.8745585065641,
-578.8744829333241,
-578.8744056616443,
-578.8743266506937,
-578.8742458586562,
-578.874163242712,
-578.8740787590099,
-578.8739923626489,
-578.8739040076547,
-578.873813646958,
-578.8737212323715,
-578.8736267145671,
-578.873530043056,
-578.8734311661643,
-578.8733300310117,
-578.8732265834901,
-578.8731207682407,
-578.873012528634,
-578.8729018067464,
-578.8727885433416,
-578.8726726778475,
-578.8725541483385,
-578.872432891514,
-578.8723088426792,
-578.8721819357279,
-578.8720521031245,
-578.871919275886,
-578.8717833835653,
-578.8716443542406,
-578.8715021144957,
-578.8713565894116,
-578.8712077025531,
-578.8710553759609,
-578.8708995301399,
-578.870740084058,
-578.8705769551375,
-578.8704100592536,
-578.8702393107371,
-578.8700646223724,
-578.8698859054059,
-578.8697030695517,
-578.8695160230048,
-578.8693246724513,
-578.8691289230896,
-578.8689286786499,
-578.8687238414191,
-578.8685143122707,
-578.8682999906965,
-578.8680807748478,
-578.867856561577,
-578.867627246485,
-578.8673927239771,
-578.8671528873218,
-578.8669076287163,
-578.8666568393588,
-578.8664004095292,
-578.866138228671,
-578.8658701854899,
-578.8655961680498,
-578.8653160638848,
-578.8650297601158,
-578.8647371435752,
-578.8644381009422,
-578.8641325188876,
-578.863820284226,
-578.8635012840788,
-578.8631754060485,
-578.8628425384023,
-578.8625025702638,
-578.8621553918202,
-578.8618008945368,
-578.861438971384,
-578.8610695170747,
-578.8606924283139,
-578.8603076040583,
-578.8599149457887,
-578.8595143577922,
-578.8591057474566,
-578.858689025575,
-578.8582641066608,
-578.8578309092755,
-578.8573893563619,
-578.856939375592,
-578.8564808997206,
-578.856013866949,
-578.855538221294,
-578.8550539129683,
-578.8545608987621,
-578.8540591424336,
-578.8535486150986,
-578.8530292956315,
-578.8525011710556,
-578.8519642369466,
-578.8514184978243,
-578.850863967546,
-578.8503006696951,
-578.8497286379618,
-578.8491479165158,
-578.84855856037,
-578.8479606357294,
-578.8473542203252,
-578.8467394037366,
-578.8461162876861,
-578.8454849863211,
-578.8448456264653,
-578.8441983478473,
-578.8435433033027,
-578.84288065894,
-578.8422105942769,
-578.8415333023437,
-578.8408489897433,
-578.8401578766767,
-578.8394601969252
],
"prior": 0.2680453794306025,
"slip": 0.2754746305003359
},
"21": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.10909093830999712,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-61.34596581633712,
-43.998896141120085,
-43.7831434457937,
-43.60950673930685,
-43.42571914511373,
-43.247658920309746,
-43.0940564557565,
-42.97485755362618,
-42.88922238155742,
-42.83075212374884,
-42.792129229601464,
-42.767157955802915,
-42.75123130928328,
-42.74115773277036,
-42.73481723678909,
-42.73083702212819,
-42.7287881385654,
-42.72787061450839,
-42.72730963137669,
-42.726966803712635,
-42.72675736040683,
-42.72662942993836,
-42.726623447550175,
-42.726623447493985
],
"prior": 0.0217186669091801,
"slip": 0.0001
},
"22": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.0013285380146703107,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-108.93620726541505,
-94.01751084559835,
-93.5953076639189,
-93.40375016311525,
-93.27228350386589,
-93.16831822579447,
-93.0802153632033,
-93.00275269245701,
-92.93313203440572,
-92.86966533504022,
-92.81222348361821,
-92.76750036893097,
-92.7321017309581,
-92.70383546678984,
-92.68121541680621,
-92.66307831452933,
-92.64850000928355,
-92.63674719539044,
-92.62723931042935,
-92.61951742953663,
-92.61321903823189,
-92.60805776786412,
-92.60380724883532,
-92.6002883249922,
-92.5973589754381,
-92.59490639492822,
-92.59284078211181,
-92.59109047155907,
-92.58959811913742,
-92.5883177111276,
-92.58721221673183,
-92.5862517429431,
-92.58541208180114,
-92.58467356440902,
-92.58402015508595,
-92.58343873380011,
-92.58291852649273,
-92.58245065179848,
-92.58202775955988,
-92.58164374188897,
-92.58129350168542,
-92.58097276675883,
-92.58067794022139,
-92.58040597979291,
-92.5801543001947,
-92.57992069402658,
-92.57970326746438,
-92.57950038786927,
-92.57931064098763,
-92.57913279589222,
-92.57896577617952,
-92.57880863623912,
-92.57866054164008,
-92.57852075286823,
-92.57838861179783,
-92.5782635303966,
-92.57814498126385,
-92.57803248967352,
-92.57792562685725,
-92.57782400431319,
-92.57772726896323,
-92.57763509901704,
-92.57754720042425,
-92.57746330381984,
-92.57738316188305,
-92.57730654704372,
-92.57723324948515,
-92.57716307539465,
-92.57709584542923,
-92.5770313933617,
-92.57696956488444,
-92.57691021654627,
-92.57685321480727,
-92.57679843519385,
-92.57674576154218,
-92.57669508531794,
-92.5766463050049,
-92.57659932555157,
-92.57655405787149,
-92.57651041838909,
-92.57646832862784,
-92.57642771483447,
-92.57638850763625,
-92.57635064172854,
-92.5763140555875,
-92.57627869120813,
-92.57624449386199,
-92.57621141187667,
-92.57617939643069,
-92.57614840136573,
-92.57611838301295,
-92.57608930003262,
-92.5760611132653,
-92.5760337855954,
-92.57600728182311,
-92.57598156854648,
-92.57595661405222,
-92.57593238821356,
-92.57590886239545,
-92.57588600936661,
-92.57586380321767,
-92.57584221928389,
-92.57582123407468,
-92.57580082520623,
-92.57578097133961,
-92.57576165212272,
-92.57574284813516,
-92.57572454083838,
-92.57570671252662,
-92.57568934628343,
-92.57567242593872,
-92.57565593603007,
-92.5756398617655,
-92.57562418898861,
-92.57560890414628,
-92.57559399425757,
-92.57557944688534,
-92.57556525010837,
-92.57555139249665,
-92.57553786308607,
-92.57552465135696,
-92.57551174721164,
-92.57549914095429,
-92.57548682327233,
-92.57547478521775,
-92.57546301819029,
-92.57545151392138,
-92.57544026445846,
-92.57542926215086,
-92.57541849963604,
-92.57540796982647,
-92.57539766589737,
-92.57538758127507,
-92.57537770962621,
-92.57536804484666,
-92.5753585810519,
-92.57534931256767,
-92.57534023392088,
-92.575331339831,
-92.57532262520176,
-92.57531408511399,
-92.57530571481773,
-92.57529750972542,
-92.57528946540536,
-92.57528157757518,
-92.57527384209583,
-92.57526625496614,
-92.57525881231666,
-92.57525151040541,
-92.57524434561172,
-92.57523731443246,
-92.57523041347686,
-92.57522363946276,
-92.5752169892116,
-92.57521045964532,
-92.57520404778225,
-92.5751977507333,
-92.5751915656986,
-92.57518548996431,
-92.57517952089978,
-92.57517365595325,
-92.57516789265081,
-92.57516222859189,
-92.57515666144762,
-92.57515118895809,
-92.57514580892959,
-92.57514051923263,
-92.5751353177995,
-92.57513020262222,
-92.5751251717503,
-92.57512022328886,
-92.57511535539682,
-92.575110566285,
-92.57510585421421,
-92.57510121749378,
-92.5750966544799,
-92.57509216357398,
-92.57508774322108,
-92.57508339190856,
-92.57507910816507,
-92.57507489055833,
-92.5750707376948,
-92.57506664821787,
-92.57506262080672,
-92.5750586541755,
-92.57505474707185,
-92.5750508982761,
-92.57504710660015,
-92.57504337088626,
-92.57503969000668,
-92.57503606286222,
-92.5750324883816,
-92.57502896552039,
-92.5750254932605,
-92.57502207060918,
-92.57501869659816,
-92.57501537028351,
-92.57501209074384,
-92.57500885708079,
-92.5750056684175
],
"prior": 0.44398150021220056,
"slip": 0.029927583621169054
},
"23": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.3127814854824724,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1364.6271034361678,
-1191.1445771615229,
-1183.2195280319395,
-1182.460288165736,
-1182.1067423436727,
-1181.8650832259923,
-1181.6966706359697,
-1181.5783384991928,
-1181.4945935855308,
-1181.434944653566,
-1181.3922167213525,
-1181.3614567068885,
-1181.339215638787,
-1181.32307287885,
-1181.3113173996333,
-1181.3027320588858,
-1181.2964461481442,
-1181.2918336804912,
-1181.2884426345156,
-1181.2859453523383,
-1181.2841035239892,
-1181.282743313405,
-1181.2817375894083,
-1181.2809931688587,
-1181.2804416176057,
-1181.2800325911273,
-1181.279728997117,
-1181.2795034709613,
-1181.2793358009746,
-1181.2792110431453,
-1181.2791181379332,
-1181.2790488936466,
-1181.2789972380472,
-1181.2789586667516,
-1181.2789298361138,
-1181.2789082624822,
-1181.278892099816,
-1181.278879975107,
-1181.2788708664975,
-1181.2788640129606,
-1181.2788588473106,
-1181.2788549465083,
-1181.27885199477,
-1181.27884975617,
-1181.2788480542663,
-1181.2788467569646,
-1181.2788457652644
],
"prior": 0.7011273446714041,
"slip": 0.17529016671116923
},
"24": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.0981985620017044,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1479.0225635770544,
-1352.8179669581248,
-1345.9042511322994,
-1344.6284414364561,
-1344.1876322708197,
-1343.9218391624968,
-1343.7107638495886,
-1343.5272648911462,
-1343.3629120457495,
-1343.2137676249,
-1343.0773745451831,
-1342.951990160659,
-1342.8363116472717,
-1342.7293337919082,
-1342.6302586549352,
-1342.5384340477087,
-1342.453310948117,
-1342.3821333640497,
-1342.3368976811882,
-1342.3071029666594,
-1342.287467590019,
-1342.2745864563778,
-1342.2661693762543,
-1342.2606866301217,
-1342.2571241712524,
-1342.2548139366818,
-1342.253317981627,
-1342.2523503525872,
-1342.2517249276427,
-1342.2513208659607,
-1342.2510598641354,
-1342.2508912587596,
-1342.2507823068206,
-1342.2507118640815,
-1342.2506662836272,
-1342.2506367600008,
-1342.2506176120169,
-1342.2506051737198,
-1342.2505970787458,
-1342.2505917987867,
-1342.2505883460653,
-1342.2505860815395,
-1342.2505845912954,
-1342.25058360685
],
"prior": 0.47263572155026157,
"slip": 0.15699029848409354
},
"25": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2598450384675638,
"learn": 0.16473987174987412,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-239.33443197035464,
-233.90973103810157,
-233.3027208397622,
-233.17088268026697,
-233.12772413362666,
-233.10920789614235,
-233.0999764488873,
-233.0949404662863,
-233.09197681615333,
-233.09008600128465,
-233.0887715523373,
-233.08778057923922,
-233.08698207519336,
-233.08630691198823,
-233.0857176432708,
-233.08519317079134,
-233.0847209188692,
-233.0842928247952,
-233.0839032754273,
-233.08354803894764,
-233.0832237067192,
-233.08292739731115,
-233.082656595762,
-233.0824090629757,
-233.08218278180524,
-233.08197592259594,
-233.08178681929928,
-233.0816139515312,
-233.08145593016465,
-233.08131148516824,
-233.08117945500013,
-233.08105877716702,
-233.08094847971168,
-233.08084767349055,
-233.08075554513192,
-233.0806713506079,
-233.08059440935256,
-233.08052409888066,
-233.08045984986262,
-233.08040114161116,
-233.08034749795362,
-233.08029848344725,
-233.0802536999189,
-233.0802127832921,
-233.08017540068528,
-233.08014124775363,
-233.08011004625686,
-233.0800815418318,
-233.08005550195426,
-233.0800317140739,
-233.08000998390656,
-233.07999013387212,
-233.07997200166548,
-233.07995543894856,
-233.07994031015267,
-233.07992649138538,
-233.07991386942825,
-233.07990234082047,
-233.0798918110222,
-233.07988219364685,
-233.07987340976192,
-233.07986538724685,
-233.07985806020724,
-233.07985136844002,
-233.0798452569421,
-233.07983967546343,
-233.07983457809698,
-233.07982992290488,
-233.0798256715752,
-233.07982178911087,
-233.07981824354187,
-233.07981500566464,
-233.07981204880406,
-233.0798093485936,
-233.07980688277684,
-233.07980463102473,
-233.0798025747696,
-233.07980069705164,
-233.0797989823812,
-233.0797974166106,
-233.07979598681902,
-233.07979468120524,
-233.07979348899124,
-233.0797924003335,
-233.07979140624286
],
"prior": 0.24144056808097503,
"slip": 0.1905664843188585
},
"26": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.10052666356724517,
"learn": 0.2050961909217429,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-158.1583348646466,
-149.3731901631969,
-148.10191655745786,
-147.70995120182928,
-147.5113301672881,
-147.37256320734912,
-147.2583625607432,
-147.15794127091326,
-147.06767263719587,
-146.9861479293514,
-146.91262286462143,
-146.84651965774734,
-146.7872808756446,
-146.73434094139867,
-146.68713339546645,
-146.6451053599059,
-146.60773005903962,
-146.57451527022977,
-146.54500794441782,
-146.5187958670138,
-146.49550725068937,
-146.4748089918746,
-146.45640413813513,
-146.44002895395676,
-146.42544984816817,
-146.41246033445807,
-146.40087813086035,
-146.39054245842345,
-146.3813115682928,
-146.3730605059791,
-146.36567910861163,
-146.35907022315322,
-146.3531481292849,
-146.34783714872881,
-146.34307042236335,
-146.33878883701692,
-146.33494008489757,
-146.33147783998612,
-146.32836103719083,
-146.32555324155103,
-146.32302209619488,
-146.3207388390852,
-146.3186778797967,
-146.31681642865655,
-146.31513417155375,
-146.31361298457992,
-146.3122366834186,
-146.31099080306305,
-146.30986240401606,
-146.30883990163295,
-146.3079129156959,
-146.3070721377004,
-146.30630921364676,
-146.30561664042978,
-146.30498767415716,
-146.30441624894297,
-146.30389690491273,
-146.30342472431047,
-146.3029952747448,
-146.30260455872744,
-146.30224896876612,
-146.3019252473623,
-146.30163045134856,
-146.30136192006495,
-146.3011172469372,
-146.300894254072,
-146.30069096952968,
-146.3005056069769,
-146.30033654745387,
-146.30018232302592,
-146.30004160211067,
-146.29991317630413,
-146.299795948539,
-146.29968892243605,
-146.29959119272152,
-146.29950193659803,
-146.29942040596833,
-146.2993459204243,
-146.29927786092213,
-146.29921566407222,
-146.29915881698182,
-146.29910685259452,
-146.29905934547614,
-146.29901590800185,
-146.29897618690566,
-146.2989398601558,
-146.29890663412357,
-146.29887624101738,
-146.2988484365559,
-146.29882299785737,
-146.29879972152415,
-146.2987784219034,
-146.29875892950727,
-146.29874108957873,
-146.29872476078597,
-146.29870981403744,
-146.29869613140258,
-146.29868360513132,
-146.29867213676002,
-146.29866163629944,
-146.2986520214938,
-146.2986432171469,
-146.29863515450793,
-146.2986277707112,
-146.29862100826583,
-146.29861481459108,
-146.29860914159173,
-146.29860394527057,
-146.29859918537608,
-146.29859482507987,
-146.2985908306825,
-146.29858717134542,
-146.29858381884523,
-146.2985807473505,
-146.2985779332171,
-146.29857535480113,
-146.2985729922887,
-146.29857082754,
-146.29856884394707,
-146.2985670263025,
-146.2985653606821,
-146.29856383433415,
-146.29856243558183,
-146.29856115373056,
-146.29855997898594,
-146.298558902377,
-146.29855791568684
],
"prior": 0.5314322497123104,
"slip": 0.43614740834543114
},
"27": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.4060211108999119,
"learn": 0.08103138593072902,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-286.60747143211603,
-276.4210826606599,
-275.2389260371233,
-274.9321024424456,
-274.7940557357753,
-274.70272945070474,
-274.6309606528594,
-274.5711786063001,
-274.52043102632734,
-274.4770328449688,
-274.4397616302514,
-274.4076432563426,
-274.37987851793787,
-274.3558056885804,
-274.3348745470099,
-274.3166260196948,
-274.3006757414697,
-274.2867007309522,
-274.27442859663165,
-274.2636287893981,
-274.2541054993802,
-274.24569186977936,
-274.23824526553966,
-274.2316433887834,
-274.2257810764248,
-274.22056764971256,
-274.2159247123207,
-274.2117843145822,
-274.2080874178447,
-274.2047826058012,
-274.2018249997911,
-274.1991753431286,
-274.19679922593457,
-274.19466642712314,
-274.1927503543378,
-274.19102756601677,
-274.1894773624989,
-274.1880814353293,
-274.186823565737,
-274.18568936478164,
-274.1846660488822,
-274.1837422454762,
-274.18290782439414,
-274.1821537512297,
-274.1814719595816,
-274.1808552395077,
-274.1802971399518,
-274.1797918832296,
-274.17933428995485,
-274.1789197130103,
-274.1785439793862,
-274.17820333885817,
-274.17789441864176,
-274.17761418325745,
-274.1773598989692,
-274.17712910222514,
-274.1769195716171,
-274.1767293029383,
-274.17655648696586,
-274.17639948965456,
-274.1762568344559,
-274.17612718652094,
-274.17600933857403,
-274.1759021982662,
-274.17580477684334,
-274.17571617898716,
-274.17563559369677,
-274.17556228609936,
-274.1754955900906,
-274.1754349017145,
-274.1753796732077,
-274.17532940763226,
-274.1752836540425,
-274.17524200312715,
-274.17520408327636,
-274.1751695570336,
-274.1751381178903,
-274.17510948739215,
-274.1750834125211,
-274.17505966333016,
-274.17503803080245,
-274.1750183249142,
-274.1750003728826,
-274.17498401757587,
-274.17496911607617,
-274.17495553837557,
-274.17494316619434,
-274.1749318919101,
-274.17492161758486,
-274.1749122540839,
-274.1749037202765,
-274.17489594230847,
-274.1748888529433,
-274.1748823909642,
-274.1748765006291,
-274.17487113117727,
-274.1748662363802,
-274.1748617741342,
-274.174857706089,
-274.17485399731083,
-274.17485061597574,
-274.1748475330916,
-274.1748447222437,
-274.17484215936463,
-274.1748398225243,
-274.17483769173924,
-274.1748357487989,
-274.17483397710737,
-274.17483236153953,
-274.17483088831085,
-274.17482954485627,
-274.17482831972376,
-274.1748272024745,
-274.1748261835928,
-274.1748252544042
],
"prior": 0.13043385112757663,
"slip": 0.08058371002030174
},
"28": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.12626698033110806,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-230.3434827161375,
-195.4628873496099,
-194.1730949472068,
-193.92207229778538,
-193.87004462508762,
-193.83785335494528,
-193.81292932162015,
-193.7931335730447,
-193.7772726844728,
-193.76447563969654,
-193.75408614675746,
-193.74560396833874,
-193.73864407870235,
-193.7329074314552,
-193.7281597993996,
-193.72421629431756,
-193.720929924759,
-193.71818305483157,
-193.71588096862777,
-193.7139469781266,
-193.7123186731784,
-193.71094502418586,
-193.70978412686648,
-193.70880143446257,
-193.70796836287042,
-193.70726118318635,
-193.70666013731656,
-193.70614872787107,
-193.70571314508246,
-193.7053418021041,
-193.70502495651706,
-193.7047544007742,
-193.70452320805336,
-193.70432552285064,
-193.70415638786739,
-193.70401160045924,
-193.7038875932572,
-193.70378133462938,
-193.70369024548222,
-193.70361212956163,
-193.7035451149391,
-193.70348760479735,
-193.7034382359573,
-193.7033958438762,
-193.70335943305753,
-193.7033281520048,
-193.70330127198855,
-193.70327816902963,
-193.7032583085902,
-193.70324123255455,
-193.70322654814555,
-193.7032139184804,
-193.70320305451799,
-193.70319370818535,
-193.70318566650815,
-193.703178746596,
-193.70317279135213,
-193.70316766580453,
-193.70316325396567,
-193.70315945614078,
-193.70315618662465,
-193.70315337172508,
-193.70315094806918,
-193.70314886115023,
-193.70314706408064,
-193.70314551652234,
-193.7031441837671,
-193.70314303594785,
-193.70314204736098
],
"prior": 0.6428583242365566,
"slip": 0.1359599781190104
},
"29": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2889894371327699,
"learn": 0.06688962529270619,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-374.24613431643223,
-352.1103388945983,
-349.21110223483237,
-348.47440554377346,
-348.19594077051624,
-348.0510485286624,
-347.95714545595945,
-347.8884857478904,
-347.8352127437821,
-347.79259458340806,
-347.7578593212079,
-347.72915853010915,
-347.7051722110935,
-347.6849244895923,
-347.6676793971838,
-347.65287391445014,
-347.640072029193,
-347.6289322139784,
-347.6191840159396,
-347.6106110097565,
-347.6030382592054,
-347.5963230059181,
-347.5903476892684,
-347.5850146652591,
-347.580242174788,
-347.5759612387751,
-347.5721132468281,
-347.5686480691741,
-347.5655225665661,
-347.56269940520343,
-347.5601461071529,
-347.5578342839031,
-347.5557390133108,
-347.55383832958137,
-347.5521128029343,
-347.550545190883,
-347.54912014706605,
-347.54782397661205,
-347.5466444293596,
-347.5455705240669,
-347.544592398134,
-347.54370117846247,
-347.54288886991765,
-347.5421482585543,
-347.5414728272677,
-347.54085668198553,
-347.5402944868287,
-347.5397814069577,
-347.53931305802485,
-347.53888546134124,
-347.5384950040037,
-347.5381384033425,
-347.53781267515626,
-347.5375151052671,
-347.5372432240086,
-347.5369947832987,
-347.5367677360135,
-347.53656021739687,
-347.53637052829225,
-347.5361971199967,
-347.5360385805682,
-347.53589362243554,
-347.53576107117715,
-347.5356398553519,
-347.53552899727697,
-347.5354276046587,
-347.53533486299307,
-347.5352500286644,
-347.5351724226704,
-347.5351014249194,
-347.5350364690398,
-347.5349770376603,
-347.53492265811275,
-347.5348728985178,
-347.5348273642229,
-347.5347856945532,
-347.53474755985536,
-347.5347126587981,
-347.5346807159159,
-347.53465147936436,
-347.5346247188772,
-347.5346002239,
-347.53457780188796,
-347.5345572767522,
-347.5345384874426,
-347.53452128665367,
-347.53450553964245,
-347.5344911231488,
-347.53447792441233,
-347.53446584026983,
-347.5344547763349,
-347.5344446462454,
-347.53443537097905,
-347.5344268782251,
-347.53441910181033,
-347.53441198117764,
-347.53440546090593,
-347.5343994902719,
-347.53439402285125,
-347.53438901615107,
-347.5343844312775,
-347.53438023262913,
-347.5343763876158,
-347.5343728664046,
-347.5343696416849,
-347.5343666884555,
-347.5343639838267,
-347.5343615068441,
-347.53435923832103,
-347.53435716069276,
-347.5343552578767,
-347.53435351514696,
-347.5343519190209,
-347.5343504571528,
-347.53434911823837,
-347.5343478919263,
-347.5343467687385,
-347.53434573999505,
-347.5343447977478
],
"prior": 0.5008606259304352,
"slip": 0.3560940139649233
},
"3": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.4569376972455826,
"learn": 0.052487894264539016,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-311.0674662049566,
-288.3832976873544,
-287.6658291942598,
-287.5686352326281,
-287.5195792141323,
-287.47906320216504,
-287.4428181328023,
-287.40975822047255,
-287.3792843835131,
-287.35099260881657,
-287.32460984570554,
-287.2999609112291,
-287.2769442716664,
-287.25551209259527,
-287.23565272982484,
-287.2173748959439,
-287.20069342306186,
-287.1856169989103,
-287.1721384733318,
-287.16022830335163,
-287.14983145581664,
-287.14086769638124,
-287.1332347768724,
-287.1268137043991,
-287.12147511353766,
-287.11708578854956,
-287.11351456186014,
-287.11063708027206,
-287.10833920856044,
-287.10651907499954,
-287.1050879256967,
-287.10397004028823,
-287.10310198345144,
-287.1024314450247,
-287.10191587638536,
-287.10152107797313,
-287.10121984282983,
-287.1009907191752,
-287.10081692315583,
-287.1006854105703,
-287.10058610204874,
-287.10051124798747,
-287.10045491571,
-287.1004125803917,
-287.1003808020713,
-287.10035697281364,
-287.10033912021294,
-287.10032575561206,
-287.1003157574708,
-287.10030828213723,
-287.1003026958405,
-287.100298523027,
-287.10029540721587,
-287.1002930814152,
-287.10029134580475,
-287.10029005093224,
-287.1002890850796
],
"prior": 0.33920359170409986,
"slip": 0.15552409690076432
},
"30": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.38645704430715644,
"learn": 0.021942538622683735,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2551.283952077849,
-2320.962506584374,
-2303.81290999303,
-2296.8651317994504,
-2293.3428685047916,
-2291.380785416021,
-2290.215905823764,
-2289.4881294898582,
-2289.0136276193066,
-2288.6929595244897,
-2288.4696069296806,
-2288.3100194747044,
-2288.1935041598235,
-2288.1068610020766,
-2288.041415952005,
-2287.9913172799734,
-2287.952524097618,
-2287.922187476474,
-2287.8982613643598,
-2287.8792518833475,
-2287.864052136948,
-2287.8518311138905,
-2287.8419575614093,
-2287.833946916821,
-2287.8274237242,
-2287.8220946279394,
-2287.8177287051976,
-2287.8141429655516,
-2287.8111915380437,
-2287.8087575237873,
-2287.8067467975916,
-2287.805083250728,
-2287.8037051101933,
-2287.802562069821,
-2287.8016130385186,
-2287.8008243625,
-2287.80016841325,
-2287.799622460559,
-2287.799167768505,
-2287.7987888674916,
-2287.798472965511,
-2287.798209470462,
-2287.7979896013194,
-2287.7978060708183,
-2287.797652825405,
-2287.7975248323205,
-2287.7974179041685,
-2287.79732855472,
-2287.7972538796635,
-2287.797191458263,
-2287.797139271833,
-2287.7970956363083,
-2287.797059146208,
-2287.7970286282384,
-2287.79700310254,
-2287.7969817507,
-2287.796963888882,
-2287.7969489456414,
-2287.7969364433543,
-2287.79692598278,
-2287.7969172300586,
-2287.796909906088,
-2287.7969037773732,
-2287.796898648748,
-2287.7968943568553,
-2287.7968907651075,
-2287.7968877592184,
-2287.7968852435597,
-2287.7968831381545,
-2287.7968813760813,
-2287.7968799013324,
-2287.796878667018,
-2287.7968776339644,
-2287.7968767692987
],
"prior": 0.6420948156641338,
"slip": 0.14908444025112283
},
"31": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.24090624435038754,
"learn": 0.259307467108182,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2247.252621648698,
-2122.5377255190847,
-2112.9220649112062,
-2110.7218585691994,
-2110.082042157722,
-2109.83745826484,
-2109.702833767984,
-2109.601507227817,
-2109.51167481299,
-2109.4268258217603,
-2109.3448774007447,
-2109.2650755117024,
-2109.187087700605,
-2109.1107301650877,
-2109.03588187661,
-2108.962455144295,
-2108.8903839270884,
-2108.819618191983,
-2108.7501206312663,
-2108.6818644765863,
-2108.6148319123745,
-2108.5490128521137,
-2108.484403944646,
-2108.421007727291,
-2108.3588318704196,
-2108.297888476532,
-2108.238193409538,
-2108.1797656384665,
-2108.1226265873747,
-2108.066799487494,
-2108.012308731726,
-2107.959179235114,
-2107.907435806131,
-2107.857102536071,
-2107.8082022144617,
-2107.760755778898,
-2107.7147818078197,
-2107.670296064037,
-2107.627311096329,
-2107.5858359047315,
-2107.5458756739986,
-2107.5074315778998,
-2107.470500655168,
-2107.435075756299,
-2107.4011455586183,
-2107.3686946454145,
-2107.3377036438355,
-2107.3081494149246,
-2107.2800052886087,
-2107.2532413359795,
-2107.227824670552,
-2107.203719771132,
-2107.1808888182227,
-2107.1592920371827,
-2107.138888041282,
-2107.1196341693626,
-2107.101486812573,
-2107.084401726474,
-2107.068334324984,
-2107.0532399536014,
-2107.0390741401857,
-2107.0257928220685,
-2107.0133525490855,
-2107.0017106624373,
-2106.9908254497177,
-2106.980656277043,
-2106.97116369936,
-2106.9623095499605,
-2106.954057011037,
-2106.9463706663223,
-2106.93921653791,
-2106.9325621084827,
-2106.9263763306494,
-2106.920629624946,
-2106.9152938678603,
-2106.9103423713937,
-2106.9057498554553,
-2106.9014924140306,
-2106.897547476617,
-2106.8938937654216,
-2106.8905112498974,
-2106.8873810985406,
-2106.884485629549,
-2106.881808260177,
-2106.8793334559155,
-2106.877046679565,
-2106.8749343408936,
-2106.8729837468027,
-2106.871183052846,
-2106.869521215722,
-2106.8679879473757,
-2106.8665736706007,
-2106.865269476297,
-2106.864067082513,
-2106.8629587952305,
-2106.8619374710534,
-2106.860996481554,
-2106.860129679617,
-2106.859331367412,
-2106.8585962661577,
-2106.857919487693,
-2106.8572965074463,
-2106.8567231392685,
-2106.856195511693,
-2106.8557100455664,
-2106.855263433297,
-2106.85485261919,
-2106.8544747812875,
-2106.854127314267,
-2106.853807813514,
-2106.85351406032,
-2106.8532440080935,
-2106.852995769365,
-2106.852767604045,
-2106.8525579080806,
-2106.852365203292,
-2106.8521881277675,
-2106.8520254268647,
-2106.851875945159,
-2106.851738618637,
-2106.851612467721,
-2106.8514965907048,
-2106.851390157657,
-2106.8512924048814,
-2106.8512026297203,
-2106.8511201857173,
-2106.8510444782723,
-2106.8509749604827,
-2106.8509111294493,
-2106.8508525226953,
-2106.8507987150742,
-2106.850749315704,
-2106.8507039653277,
-2106.850662333675,
-2106.850624117263,
-2106.8505890371785,
-2106.850556837147,
-2106.8505272816974,
-2106.850500154475,
-2106.8504752567374,
-2106.8504524059063,
-2106.8504314342863,
-2106.8504121878473,
-2106.850394525117,
-2106.850378316167,
-2106.8503634416697,
-2106.850349792093,
-2106.8503372668133,
-2106.850325773477,
-2106.8503152272556,
-2106.850305550265,
-2106.8502966710535,
-2106.8502885239714,
-2106.8502810487876,
-2106.8502741901884,
-2106.850267897387,
-2106.8502621238354,
-2106.85025682672,
-2106.850251966821,
-2106.8502475080873,
-2106.850243417457,
-2106.850239664592,
-2106.8502362216277,
-2106.8502330630226,
-2106.850230165312,
-2106.8502275069727,
-2106.8502250682554,
-2106.8502228310304,
-2106.8502207786732,
-2106.850218895911,
-2106.8502171687705,
-2106.8502155843744,
-2106.850214130937,
-2106.8502127976567,
-2106.850211574602,
-2106.850210452663,
-2106.850209423492,
-2106.8502084794204
],
"prior": 0.5549339543298671,
"slip": 0.23747582342606696
},
"32": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.3384070026305263,
"learn": 0.08528245370867776,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-7514.9294732816315,
-6976.4770021134855,
-6944.8893256577085,
-6937.840527401136,
-6934.411659772427,
-6932.208319144506,
-6930.685136164501,
-6929.59714536329,
-6928.799338396709,
-6928.200092960246,
-6927.740173222287,
-6927.380535182161,
-6927.094895186415,
-6926.865147693088,
-6926.678513374738,
-6926.525745193043,
-6926.399986516873,
-6926.296034681484,
-6926.209858973855,
-6926.1382797950355,
-6926.078750963803,
-6926.029208773431,
-6925.987964824684,
-6925.953628019077,
-6925.925046340043,
-6925.90126235411,
-6925.881478457391,
-6925.865029223315,
-6925.851359063582,
-6925.840003962839,
-6925.830576408877,
-6925.822752878065,
-6925.8162633950515,
-6925.8108827983415,
-6925.806423419715,
-6925.802728943856,
-6925.799669256533,
-6925.797136123562,
-6925.795039568203,
-6925.7933048363575,
-6925.791869856731,
-6925.790683116655,
-6925.789701887117,
-6925.788890741872,
-6925.788220321537,
-6925.787666304607,
-6925.787208550224,
-6925.786830385141,
-6925.786518010911,
-6925.7862600115905,
-6925.786046944625,
-6925.7858710016135,
-6925.78572572699,
-6925.785605784467,
-6925.78550676397,
-6925.785425021422,
-6925.785357546055,
-6925.785301850689,
-6925.785255881059,
-6925.785217940509,
-6925.785186627964,
-6925.785160786516,
-6925.785139460935,
-6925.785121862587,
-6925.785107340485,
-6925.78509535712,
-6925.785085468952,
-6925.785077309828,
-6925.785070577493,
-6925.78506502261,
-6925.785060439298,
-6925.785056657646,
-6925.785053537463,
-6925.785050963139,
-6925.785048839178,
-6925.785047086794,
-6925.785045641014,
-6925.785044448138,
-6925.785043464056
],
"prior": 0.6360775717917481,
"slip": 0.21970908989612087
},
"33": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.1412168679272465,
"learn": 0.06572160565252397,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2773.667170856579,
-2662.3368222946483,
-2653.235095103439,
-2647.9192055915246,
-2644.567522827663,
-2642.7153057741884,
-2641.791669274105,
-2641.3510572099817,
-2641.142253699807,
-2641.042575250989,
-2640.994537256362,
-2640.971199879963,
-2640.959793540525,
-2640.9541940390577,
-2640.9514364818783,
-2640.9500753973507,
-2640.949402489897,
-2640.949069417422,
-2640.948904413199,
-2640.948822618814,
-2640.9487820537647,
-2640.948761929106,
-2640.9487519425707,
-2640.9487469859805,
-2640.9487445255168,
-2640.9487433040053,
-2640.9487426975375
],
"prior": 0.4960235768287848,
"slip": 0.2023196103303788
},
"34": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.03439804541041018,
"learn": 0.019321621767654163,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-301.2775500201016,
-148.7007686723985,
-148.02448082604923,
-147.98143139931307,
-147.96188853926134,
-147.95197671608565,
-147.9468360737309,
-147.94412486828296,
-147.94266406940037,
-147.941854151688,
-147.94138873357446,
-147.94111004767115,
-147.94093581502358,
-147.9408222920953,
-147.94074559317156,
-147.940692221072,
-147.94065423382298,
-147.94062674911785,
-147.94060663311316,
-147.94059179433415,
-147.94058079095157,
-147.9405726036089,
-147.94056649812688,
-147.9405619387429,
-147.94055853096557,
-147.94055598257597,
-147.94055407626314,
-147.94055265001396,
-147.94055158284885,
-147.9405507843402
],
"prior": 0.022531186506991884,
"slip": 0.42393207968498325
},
"35": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2060530844269338,
"learn": 0.2559215025089387,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1416.4305806360255,
-1346.5102328135526,
-1334.846895830661,
-1331.326382604157,
-1329.725735742944,
-1328.7969235497624,
-1328.1923357968706,
-1327.777039143376,
-1327.4827411434396,
-1327.2692603390012,
-1327.1111856800007,
-1326.9918333888402,
-1326.899979051366,
-1326.8279256189812,
-1326.7703088564774,
-1326.723337675699,
-1326.6843001426469,
-1326.6512358572131,
-1326.6227147624343,
-1326.5976853870393,
-1326.5753692182745,
-1326.555186240509,
-1326.5367018530128,
-1326.5195886565411,
-1326.503598708695,
-1326.4885432318995,
-1326.474277678098,
-1326.4606906771774,
-1326.4476958219386,
-1326.4352255385165,
-1326.4232264983857,
-1326.411656175326,
-1326.4004802563127,
-1326.3896706911405,
-1326.3792042212337,
-1326.3690612686705,
-1326.3592250963488,
-1326.3496811727025,
-1326.340416690535,
-1326.3314202024042,
-1326.3226813437877,
-1326.3141906227943,
-1326.305939259853,
-1326.2979190653175,
-1326.2901223456233,
-1326.2825418309749,
-1326.2751706193287,
-1326.2680021326362,
-1326.26103008236,
-1326.254248441953,
-1326.2476514247408,
-1326.2412334657054,
-1326.2349892064226,
-1326.2289134822745,
-1326.2230013114915,
-1326.2172478855766,
-1326.2116485608358,
-1326.2061988507278,
-1326.2008944189306,
-1326.1957310729745,
-1326.190704758309,
-1326.1858115527923,
-1326.1810476614621,
-1326.1764094116918,
-1326.1718932484812,
-1326.167495730061,
-1326.1632135236846,
-1326.1590434016068,
-1326.1549822372663,
-1326.1510270015674,
-1326.1471747593935,
-1326.1434226662705,
-1326.1397679650397,
-1326.1362079828696,
-1326.1327401282292,
-1326.1293618880493,
-1326.1260708249843,
-1326.1228645747958,
-1326.1197408438027,
-1326.1166974065252,
-1326.1137321032868,
-1326.1108428380257,
-1326.1080275761183,
-1326.1052843423768,
-1326.1026112189804,
-1326.1000063436209,
-1326.0974679076787,
-1326.0949941544523,
-1326.0925833774318,
-1326.0902339186878,
-1326.087944167356,
-1326.0857125580146,
-1326.0835375693364,
-1326.0814177226493,
-1326.079351580539,
-1326.0773377456355,
-1326.0753748593265,
-1326.0734616005338,
-1326.0715966845603,
-1326.0697788619975,
-1326.0680069175926,
-1326.0662796692645,
-1326.0645959670815,
-1326.0629546922278,
-1326.0613547561948,
-1326.0597950997442,
-1326.0582746921436,
-1326.0567925302419,
-1326.0553476377215,
-1326.0539390642678,
-1326.0525658848264,
-1326.0512271988935,
-1326.0499221297553,
-1326.0486498238258,
-1326.0474094500214,
-1326.0462001990597,
-1326.0450212828748,
-1326.0438719340136,
-1326.042751405043,
-1326.041658967985,
-1326.0405939138127,
-1326.0395555518696,
-1326.038543209376,
-1326.037556230973,
-1326.0365939781677,
-1326.0356558289518,
-1326.0347411772914,
-1326.033849432724,
-1326.0329800199193,
-1326.0321323782687,
-1326.0313059615023,
-1326.0305002372904,
-1326.0297146868784,
-1326.0289488047083,
-1326.0282020980926,
-1326.0274740868356,
-1326.026764302937,
-1326.0260722902553,
-1326.0253976041947,
-1326.024739811397,
-1326.024098489459,
-1326.023473226624,
-1326.0228636215268,
-1326.0222692829216,
-1326.0216898293918,
-1326.0211248891321,
-1326.020574099658,
-1326.020037107609,
-1326.0195135684999,
-1326.0190031464601,
-1326.0185055140441,
-1326.0180203520229,
-1326.017547349141,
-1326.0170862019359,
-1326.0166366145445,
-1326.016198298475,
-1326.01577097247,
-1326.015354362271,
-1326.0149482004858,
-1326.0145522263763,
-1326.0141661857247,
-1326.0137898306511,
-1326.0134229194243,
-1326.013065216384,
-1326.012716491701,
-1326.01237652129,
-1326.0120450866198,
-1326.011721974659,
-1326.0114069776,
-1326.0110998928674,
-1326.0108005228954,
-1326.0105086750384,
-1326.010224161449,
-1326.0099467989485,
-1326.0096764089064,
-1326.009412817149,
-1326.0091558538008,
-1326.0089053532654,
-1326.0086611540064,
-1326.0084230985278,
-1326.008191033253,
-1326.0079648084113,
-1326.0077442779748,
-1326.007529299525,
-1326.0073197341965,
-1326.0071154465647,
-1326.0069163045866,
-1326.0067221794782,
-1326.0065329456875,
-1326.006348480765,
-1326.0061686653075,
-1326.0059933829052,
-1326.005822519999,
-1326.0056559658872,
-1326.0054936126285,
-1326.0053353549383,
-1326.005181090168,
-1326.0050307182273,
-1326.0048841415057,
-1326.0047412648328
],
"prior": 0.22097308477579497,
"slip": 0.3529813025869506
},
"36": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.14231756765939402,
"learn": 0.14305994627324473,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-3563.6923697926636,
-3339.1096435487884,
-3321.138674470112,
-3314.792747157752,
-3310.9893260783533,
-3308.5529104979864,
-3306.926475114425,
-3305.7902368219443,
-3304.9645225682557,
-3304.3471358823826,
-3303.876972656337,
-3303.514942231312,
-3303.234355528058,
-3303.01604705377,
-3302.8457814365283,
-3302.7127663254605,
-3302.608722710661,
-3302.5272571134856,
-3302.4634129472797,
-3302.4133381969523,
-3302.3740341120306,
-3302.3431630053738,
-3302.318900354027,
-3302.2998205967688,
-3302.2848087571856,
-3302.272991939609,
-3302.263686155041,
-3302.256354990188,
-3302.2505774418964,
-3302.246022851835,
-3302.2424313506185,
-3302.239598582962,
-3302.237363762827,
-3302.235600323656,
-3302.234208592541,
-3302.2331100450842,
-3302.2322427968843,
-3302.231558062014,
-3302.2310173700266,
-3302.2305903772203,
-3302.230253144562,
-3302.229986782215,
-3302.2297763818833,
-3302.22961017572,
-3302.2294788736085,
-3302.2293751403904,
-3302.2292931839775,
-3302.2292284302034,
-3302.229177266494,
-3302.2291368393594,
-3302.229104894937,
-3302.229079652699,
-3302.229059706052,
-3302.2290439437083,
-3302.2290314876777,
-3302.229021644288,
-3302.2290138654607,
-3302.2290077180564,
-3302.229002859924,
-3302.228999020586,
-3302.2289959864115,
-3302.2289935884733,
-3302.2289916933896,
-3302.2289901956838,
-3302.228989012017,
-3302.2289880765506
],
"prior": 0.281315654027061,
"slip": 0.29721613240465616
},
"37": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.47030599887133817,
"learn": 0.0982400321494491,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-215.7747218074474,
-135.7980621128739,
-134.83913440154444,
-134.7894264303381,
-134.78426052635442,
-134.78325182345205,
-134.78297130722464,
-134.78288379060993,
-134.7828556814369,
-134.7828465868538,
-134.78284363807208,
-134.78284268122542
],
"prior": 0.752270957358721,
"slip": 0.01289589512890328
},
"38": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2371665510383298,
"learn": 0.06566575145176282,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-455.18661848852315,
-426.5891986493031,
-424.92967615454046,
-424.0169930345746,
-423.54613202560904,
-423.3346912853401,
-423.2446095920913,
-423.20639230599875,
-423.1901321374277,
-423.18320113462545,
-423.18024252573946,
-423.17897793499367,
-423.17843679949993,
-423.1782050323736,
-423.17810570115205,
-423.178063109582,
-423.1780448411233,
-423.17803700366755,
-423.1780336407844,
-423.1780321977036,
-423.17803157840916
],
"prior": 0.9137141914616641,
"slip": 0.15433630295139938
},
"39": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.07006491594426113,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-297.39521873111056,
-246.49056263971028,
-241.7188102045278,
-241.51975081841812,
-241.5092667324653,
-241.5077821561553,
-241.50742287767434,
-241.50732729003275,
-241.507301536614,
-241.5072945830795,
-241.50729270440291,
-241.5072921966898
],
"prior": 0.7177088478957316,
"slip": 0.03719086140996746
},
"4": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.015761595961682882,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-179.0354562564851,
-166.72064425466957,
-165.28907080006206,
-164.19531223453203,
-162.90939104777274,
-161.56704194922145,
-160.546782643125,
-160.03698960515982,
-159.84080757541216,
-159.77572837733442,
-159.75561779340796,
-159.7490522480044,
-159.74644544781276,
-159.7451123788406,
-159.74429225376653,
-159.74373946469044,
-159.74335273188535,
-159.74307813740947,
-159.74288188442478,
-159.74274112465915,
-159.742639928474,
-159.74256704455902,
-159.7425144744873,
-159.74247650953888,
-159.74244906326882,
-159.74242920357372,
-159.74241482243295,
-159.74240440173384,
-159.74239684661032,
-159.74239136646614,
-159.74238738981185,
-159.74238450316741,
-159.74238240714294,
-159.74238088481502,
-159.74237977892264,
-159.74237897540266
],
"prior": 0.4008057588023243,
"slip": 0.05131217980477599
},
"40": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.02739400386117618,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-13960.804550660274,
-12586.448024516361,
-12510.083580398321,
-12477.273521884777,
-12457.528673745328,
-12445.408189066586,
-12438.182466025295,
-12433.819903360025,
-12431.074603903431,
-12429.297032670056,
-12428.12308311919,
-12427.337024690547,
-12426.805365432954,
-12426.44295479292,
-12426.194340108406,
-12426.022876605772,
-12425.904080699462,
-12425.821449612722,
-12425.763777548349,
-12425.72340690039,
-12425.69507554469,
-12425.675149753359,
-12425.661109491999,
-12425.651200518747,
-12425.64419767869,
-12425.639242901772,
-12425.635733743571,
-12425.633246340409,
-12425.631481934272,
-12425.630229620847,
-12425.629340318286,
-12425.628708526358,
-12425.628259514648,
-12425.627940305165,
-12425.627713314721,
-12425.627551865648,
-12425.62743701204,
-12425.627355293103,
-12425.627297141957,
-12425.627255756921,
-12425.627226301172,
-12425.627205334444,
-12425.627190409206,
-12425.627179784075,
-12425.627172219669,
-12425.627166834212,
-12425.627162999797,
-12425.627160269696,
-12425.627158325799,
-12425.627156941719,
-12425.627155956174
],
"prior": 0.8563066267817477,
"slip": 0.15992289329894696
},
"41": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.35389188187992354,
"learn": 0.02266737783390706,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-395.4600908034614,
-362.79373343120676,
-358.9332619524231,
-358.11622768393175,
-357.8726885939906,
-357.77868983398577,
-357.7319701337672,
-357.70194081805477,
-357.67811423891555,
-357.6565599189984,
-357.6357125826038,
-357.6149198588217,
-357.59389918198156,
-357.5725243486887,
-357.5507391991583,
-357.5285224141087,
-357.50587344063484,
-357.4828073027081,
-357.45935316637906,
-357.4355544495627,
-357.41146947378604,
-357.38717214952857,
-357.36275238298873,
-357.338315968357,
-357.31398376589317,
-357.28989000078485,
-357.26617957060097,
-357.2430043291578,
-357.22051842190416,
-357.19887287369323,
-357.17820975666444,
-357.15865637028116,
-357.140319922789,
-357.1232831943706,
-357.1076015805509,
-357.0933017692157,
-357.0803821204251,
-357.0688146285897,
-357.05854818526024,
-357.04951275313744,
-357.0416240193383,
-357.03478811527464,
-357.02890605721717,
-357.0238776557003,
-357.01960474335885,
-357.01599366374535,
-357.0129570382285,
-357.0104148802784,
-357.00829515684603,
-357.0065339086497,
-357.0050750396616,
-357.0038698757231,
-357.00287657708066,
-357.0020594728741,
-357.001388369312,
-357.0008378687466,
-357.00038672464404,
-357.000017247754,
-356.9997147713768,
-356.99946717829147,
-356.9992644882237,
-356.99909850237066,
-356.9989625001385,
-356.9988509825895,
-356.9987594569529,
-356.9986842567268,
-356.99862239226934,
-356.9985714272648,
-356.99852937696767,
-356.99849462465727,
-356.99846585323246,
-356.9984419893258,
-356.99842215773975,
-356.99840564435317,
-356.9983918659627,
-356.99838034578164,
-356.9983706935582,
-356.99836258944055,
-356.9983557708922,
-356.9983500220768,
-356.99834516525016,
-356.9983410537728,
-356.99833756643847,
-356.9983346028655,
-356.9983320797503,
-356.99832992781734,
-356.9983280893364,
-356.99832651609245,
-356.9983251677333,
-356.99832401041243,
-356.99832301567994
],
"prior": 0.0042782412811509865,
"slip": 0.13073333355357525
},
"42": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.44306478663598814,
"learn": 0.16055252736890796,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1219.4845059236034,
-1080.7096949028567,
-1078.4924171364682,
-1077.7175473635075,
-1077.3752996844769,
-1077.2005269012695,
-1077.1013361872717,
-1077.0410676483418,
-1077.002932749365,
-1076.9782318623515,
-1076.9620128763884,
-1076.9512749117387,
-1076.9441280607427,
-1076.9393542641808,
-1076.9361573779295,
-1076.9340123972192,
-1076.932571069923,
-1076.9316014325743,
-1076.9309485087592,
-1076.9305085172753,
-1076.930211833864,
-1076.9300116816457,
-1076.9298765969722,
-1076.9297853963033,
-1076.9297238063332,
-1076.9296822037343,
-1076.9296540969065,
-1076.9296351049504,
-1076.9296222703517,
-1076.9296135959514,
-1076.9296077327638,
-1076.929603769451,
-1076.9296010902356,
-1076.929599278988,
-1076.9295980544732,
-1076.929597226598
],
"prior": 0.6452969461966956,
"slip": 0.07248231984467526
},
"43": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.15294289379833567,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-7297.588791527684,
-6527.187678208775,
-6509.665751870697,
-6503.225401961079,
-6500.062082999069,
-6497.930194194472,
-6496.499063479624,
-6495.5462571654125,
-6494.9147689356405,
-6494.496954526634,
-6494.220433841302,
-6494.037135318144,
-6493.915353432014,
-6493.834236847413,
-6493.7800718459785,
-6493.743821570881,
-6493.719513398551,
-6493.703186702426,
-6493.692206409523,
-6493.6848141013315,
-6493.679833328214,
-6493.67647531192,
-6493.674210282659,
-6493.672681943752,
-6493.671650413763,
-6493.6709540580105,
-6493.670483898247,
-6493.670166424161,
-6493.669952032784,
-6493.66980724458,
-6493.669709458021,
-6493.669643412936,
-6493.669598804914,
-6493.669568675273,
-6493.669548324465,
-6493.669534578533,
-6493.669525293756,
-6493.669519022302,
-6493.6695147861365,
-6493.669511924777,
-6493.6695099920535,
-6493.669508686517,
-6493.669507804696
],
"prior": 0.7219640354036249,
"slip": 0.09908835122758493
},
"44": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.000895203668066301,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-108.39044451160136,
-80.90715304828086,
-80.3372139042275,
-79.93376284006173,
-79.64241027343785,
-79.42936641496173,
-79.27207613068566,
-79.15496493523744,
-79.0670684320147,
-79.00057811261577,
-78.94988801272596,
-78.91094594014704,
-78.88080356121802,
-78.85730134473552,
-78.83884662987573,
-78.82425655007495,
-78.81264633720721,
-78.80334949217715,
-78.7958604140421,
-78.78979292314918,
-78.78485008616984,
-78.78080212039892,
-78.77747010683287,
-78.77471390499716,
-78.77242312619768,
-78.77051034723779,
-78.76890597597199,
-78.767554342524,
-78.76641070571146,
-78.76543894710409,
-78.76460978486752,
-78.76389938283137,
-78.76328826178886,
-78.76276044318948,
-78.76230277247407,
-78.7619043819839,
-78.76155626284414,
-78.76125092232887,
-78.76098210858092,
-78.76074458863043,
-78.76053396876277,
-78.76034654866605,
-78.76017920262527,
-78.76002928244634,
-78.75989453789985,
-78.75977305133624,
-78.75966318379675,
-78.75956353048127,
-78.75947288385117,
-78.75939020298019,
-78.75931458803154,
-78.75924525895252,
-78.75918153764592,
-78.75912283301606,
-78.75906862839663,
-78.75901847095541,
-78.75897196274545,
-78.75892875312925,
-78.7588885323501,
-78.758851026065,
-78.75881599068438,
-78.75878320939108,
-78.758752488731,
-78.75872365568759,
-78.75869655516516,
-78.75867104781962,
-78.75864700818379,
-78.75862432304432,
-78.75860289003289,
-78.75858261640059,
-78.75856341794986,
-78.75854521810093,
-78.75852794707507,
-78.75851154117692,
-78.75849594216471,
-78.75848109669423,
-78.75846695582841,
-78.75845347460329,
-78.75844061164327,
-78.75842832881935,
-78.75841659094473,
-78.75840536550385,
-78.75839462240981,
-78.75838433378729,
-78.75837447377893,
-78.75836501836963,
-78.75835594523025,
-78.75834723357573,
-78.75833886403723,
-78.75833081854701,
-78.75832308023321,
-78.75831563332595,
-78.75830846307043,
-78.7583015556492,
-78.75829489811048,
-78.75828847830374,
-78.75828228481986,
-78.75827630693723,
-78.75827053457225,
-78.75826495823341,
-78.7582595689801,
-78.75825435838418,
-78.75824931849475,
-78.75824444180581,
-78.75823972122632,
-78.75823515005307,
-78.7582307219447,
-78.7582264308987,
-78.75822227122966,
-78.75821823754904,
-78.75821432474667,
-78.75821052797353,
-78.75820684262563,
-78.75820326432923,
-78.75819978892704,
-78.75819641246537,
-78.75819313118211,
-78.7581899414955,
-78.7581868399938,
-78.75818382342601,
-78.75818088869197,
-78.75817803283452,
-78.75817525303148,
-78.75817254658828,
-78.75816991093065,
-78.75816734359869,
-78.75816484224043,
-78.75816240460618,
-78.75816002854324,
-78.75815771199092,
-78.75815545297549,
-78.75815324960617,
-78.7581511000708,
-78.7581490026317,
-78.75814695562211,
-78.75814495744297,
-78.75814300655901,
-78.75814110149628,
-78.75813924083896,
-78.75813742322636,
-78.75813564735073,
-78.75813391195452,
-78.7581322158282,
-78.75813055780783,
-78.75812893677325,
-78.7581273516459,
-78.75812580138714,
-78.75812428499613,
-78.75812280150856,
-78.75812134999478,
-78.75811992955838,
-78.75811853933473,
-78.75811717848985,
-78.75811584621846,
-78.7581145417435,
-78.75811326431463,
-78.75811201320697,
-78.75811078772037,
-78.75810958717807,
-78.75810841092616,
-78.75810725833199,
-78.75810612878414,
-78.75810502169091,
-78.7581039364799,
-78.75810287259716,
-78.75810182950634,
-78.7581008066882,
-78.75809980363982,
-78.75809881987406
],
"prior": 0.939903758794813,
"slip": 0.13414041578526478
},
"45": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-77.62480244506995,
-59.59218453206895,
-58.93940633029528,
-58.57132123399885,
-58.28412448580012,
-58.04927918519526,
-57.85389705109614,
-57.68944455468023,
-57.549891473859574,
-57.43080988961763,
-57.32882723195227,
-57.24128828347317,
-57.166044015552764,
-57.10131737949467,
-57.04561582837234,
-56.99767231538682,
-56.95640379216237,
-56.92088063807196,
-56.89030310416178,
-56.863982438226024,
-56.841325293242626,
-56.821820568811155,
-56.80502815245486,
-56.79056921020509,
-56.7781177809117,
-56.76739348990957,
-56.758155234564114,
-56.750195717912,
-56.74333672325207,
-56.737425035408755,
-56.73232892517361,
-56.727935122943386,
-56.72414621617785,
-56.720878413145684,
-56.718059622562194,
-56.71562780516877,
-56.713529559082765,
-56.71171890588049,
-56.710156248904084,
-56.70880747925056,
-56.70764320835558,
-56.70663810907947,
-56.70577034978912,
-56.70502110815489,
-56.704374153293564,
-56.70381548652607,
-56.70333303242201,
-56.70291637300164,
-56.702556518991784,
-56.70224571290808,
-56.70197725948434,
-56.7017453796096,
-56.70154508448111,
-56.70137206714724,
-56.701222609016845,
-56.7010934992514,
-56.700981965252126,
-56.70088561270324,
-56.700802373849335,
-56.70073046286948,
-56.70070903543298,
-56.70070902353093
],
"prior": 0.9999,
"slip": 0.22639882936468467
},
"46": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2806475500109342,
"learn": 0.036870981105366483,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1702.3029103474778,
-1466.8770390109696,
-1460.120149258019,
-1457.6574909104395,
-1456.0335881901472,
-1454.9911037930287,
-1454.3552171919198,
-1453.9797573930543,
-1453.762093446589,
-1453.6371429222645,
-1453.565776783536,
-1453.5251155700596,
-1453.5019734349823,
-1453.4888069616975,
-1453.4813161713882,
-1453.4770538808841,
-1453.474628177324,
-1453.4732474342536,
-1453.4724613654228,
-1453.4720137862917,
-1453.471758910003,
-1453.471613755908,
-1453.4715310834556,
-1453.4714839947233,
-1453.471457172658,
-1453.471441894111,
-1453.4714331908294,
-1453.4714282329885,
-1453.471425408702,
-1453.4714237998016,
-1453.4714228832554
],
"prior": 0.5715064908013121,
"slip": 0.3439951062942744
},
"47": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.12809612297086279,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-415.62067959514843,
-349.04467064650765,
-342.6481085718588,
-341.83754609324706,
-341.6816354838037,
-341.58509576021754,
-341.497784733599,
-341.4150286750923,
-341.33630029510283,
-341.26143358163665,
-341.19028359071285,
-341.12270057021664,
-341.05853073766764,
-340.99761862835487,
-340.93980909480143,
-340.8849489007585,
-340.8328879681732,
-340.783480331519,
-340.736584846581,
-340.6920656948305,
-340.64979271921896,
-340.60964162237605,
-340.5714940537592,
-340.5352376083356,
-340.5007657558289,
-340.4679777164619,
-340.43677829642667,
-340.4070776939808,
-340.3787912850881,
-340.3518393958167,
-340.326147067305,
-340.3016438178891,
-340.2782634060065,
-340.2559435966641,
-340.23462593357954,
-340.21425551854804,
-340.1947807991516,
-340.17615336554474,
-340.1583277567761,
-340.1412612768747,
-340.12491382073887,
-340.1092477097428,
-340.09422753685607,
-340.0798200210049,
-340.06599387033793,
-340.0527196540294,
-340.0399696822177,
-340.02771789367995,
-340.015939750817,
-340.0046121415452,
-339.993713287687,
-339.98322265946524,
-339.9731208957226,
-339.96338972949957,
-339.9540119186242,
-339.9449711809812,
-339.9362521341486,
-339.9278402391072,
-339.9197217477428,
-339.9118836538842,
-339.9043136476288,
-339.89700007273194,
-339.88993188684066,
-339.8830986243827,
-339.87649036191385,
-339.87009768576064,
-339.86391166179413,
-339.8579238071839,
-339.85212606399955,
-339.84651077452367,
-339.8410706581637,
-339.83579878984614,
-339.8306885797945,
-339.8257337545932,
-339.8209283394496,
-339.8162666415719,
-339.8117432345843,
-339.8073529439163,
-339.80309083308805,
-339.79895219084324,
-339.7949325190651,
-339.7910275214252,
-339.78723309271805,
-339.7835453088316,
-339.7799604173185,
-339.7764748285215,
-339.77308510722173,
-339.7697879647746,
-339.7665802517004,
-339.763458950704,
-339.76042117009115,
-339.75746413756195,
-339.754585194352,
-339.7517817897054,
-339.74905147565266,
-339.7463919020796,
-339.74380081206726,
-339.7412760374861,
-339.73881549482826,
-339.73641718126726,
-339.7340791709253,
-339.73179961134207,
-339.72957672012853,
-339.7274087817959,
-339.72529414475207,
-339.72323121845096,
-339.7212184706916,
-339.71925442505244,
-339.7173376584574,
-339.71546679886484,
-339.7136405230715,
-339.7118575546268,
-339.71011666185,
-339.7084166559441,
-339.7067563892024,
-339.7051347533031,
-339.70355067768384,
-339.7020031279956,
-339.70049110463094,
-339.6990136413198,
-339.6975698037922,
-339.69615868850394,
-339.69477942142134,
-339.69343115686,
-339.69211307638005,
-339.6908243877291,
-339.68956432383345,
-339.6883321418362,
-339.68712712217575,
-339.685948567708,
-339.68479580286464,
-339.6836681728505,
-339.6825650428742,
-339.68148579741353,
-339.68042983951125,
-339.67939659010193,
-339.6783854873664,
-339.6773959861148,
-339.67642755719453,
-339.6754796869227,
-339.67455187654423,
-339.6736436417081,
-339.6727545119703,
-339.67188403031287,
-339.6710317526839,
-339.6701972475578,
-339.6693800955089,
-339.6685798888073,
-339.6677962310258,
-339.6670287366655,
-339.6662770307958,
-339.6655407487059,
-339.66481953557275,
-339.66411304614127,
-339.6634209444127,
-339.6627429033531,
-339.66207860460304,
-339.66142773820644,
-339.66079000234504,
-339.66016510308225,
-339.65955275412153,
-339.658952676566,
-339.6583645986946,
-339.65778825574023,
-339.6572233896794,
-339.6566697490288,
-339.65612708864757,
-339.6555951695489,
-339.6550737587165,
-339.65456262892803,
-339.65406155858585,
-339.6535703315513,
-339.65308873698694,
-339.652616569202,
-339.65215362750683,
-339.65169971606673,
-339.6512546437662,
-339.6508182240745,
-339.65039027491656,
-339.6499706185485,
-339.649559081436,
-339.6491554941386,
-339.6487596911978,
-339.64837151102483,
-339.64799079579757,
-339.6476173913571,
-339.6472511471099,
-339.64689191593004,
-339.64653955406794,
-339.64619392106067,
-339.64585487964297,
-339.6455222956648,
-339.64519603800875,
-339.64487597851127,
-339.64456199188567,
-339.64425395564706,
-339.64395175004125,
-339.64365525797416,
-339.6433643649437,
-339.64307895897474
],
"prior": 0.9881981177468269,
"slip": 0.404909429507457
},
"48": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-37.05867914765109,
-27.835101766584792,
-27.601481683541007,
-27.453890423597198,
-27.340865076789584,
-27.252061210667975,
-27.181675565362713,
-27.125461772684528,
-27.0802215111131,
-27.043532421113806,
-27.01355170068492,
-26.98887036784281,
-26.968405012378504,
-26.951317434318916,
-26.93695495109345,
-26.924805971157117,
-26.91446682417456,
-26.905616891899303,
-26.897999870529382,
-26.891409575822674,
-26.885679127356106,
-26.880672658228328,
-26.876278922032874,
-26.872406333082708,
-26.86897909556159,
-26.86593416481196,
-26.863218848229103,
-26.860788900613393,
-26.85860700394064,
-26.85664154765822,
-26.85486564519187,
-26.853256337086144,
-26.85179394235545,
-26.850461528111744,
-26.849244474027785,
-26.848130113189207,
-26.84710743474837,
-26.84616683679182,
-26.845299920173566,
-26.844499315902578,
-26.843758540118575,
-26.843071871835644,
-26.84243424954204,
-26.84184118347116,
-26.84128868093987,
-26.840773182618666,
-26.84029150797577,
-26.83984080844324,
-26.83941852710258,
-26.83902236389003,
-26.838650245488274,
-26.838300299207976,
-26.837970830274806,
-26.837660302030937,
-26.837367318636932,
-26.83709060992386,
-26.836829123603895,
-26.836583348631656,
-26.836350379312687,
-26.836129373155714,
-26.835919554528736,
-26.83572020847047,
-26.835530675155432,
-26.835350344933577,
-26.83517865387758,
-26.83501507978006,
-26.83485913854968,
-26.834710380961955,
-26.83456838972565,
-26.834432776830297,
-26.83430318114511,
-26.834179266242195,
-26.834060718420965,
-26.8339472449127,
-26.833838572247036,
-26.833734444763834,
-26.833634623256167,
-26.833538883731237,
-26.833447016277937,
-26.833358824030725,
-26.833274122220462,
-26.833192737304245,
-26.833114506166783,
-26.833039275386646,
-26.832966900561637,
-26.8328972456877,
-26.83283018258687,
-26.832765590379694,
-26.832703354998404,
-26.832643368737145,
-26.83258552983625,
-26.832529742097606,
-26.832475866667792,
-26.832423656391537,
-26.832372850498086,
-26.832323194830405,
-26.8322744382575,
-26.83222632918181,
-26.832178611932562,
-26.832131022948023,
-26.832083286639296,
-26.832035110814438,
-26.831986181521014,
-26.83193615713869,
-26.831884661518785,
-26.831831275922266,
-26.831775529449576,
-26.831716887580946,
-26.831654738349695,
-26.831588375547764,
-26.831516978204604,
-26.831439585377517,
-26.83135506503176,
-26.831262075457197,
-26.83115901724758,
-26.831043973339174,
-26.830914633949718,
-26.830768202465624,
-26.830601277400877,
-26.83040970454849,
-26.830188392499764,
-26.829931084122343,
-26.82963007697423,
-26.82927588812649,
-26.82885686550672,
-26.828358762076387,
-26.827764316287844,
-26.8270529298715,
-26.826200610632668,
-26.825180458182775,
-26.82396410211748,
-26.822524600865762,
-26.820841245826706,
-26.818906276091955,
-26.816732496234735,
-26.814359323768752,
-26.811853710566595,
-26.809303136475126,
-26.806801234263222,
-26.804430931758038,
-26.802251775908022,
-26.800295535384983,
-26.79856949267471,
-26.797063766019622,
-26.79575893526159,
-26.794631895630648,
-26.79365949677683,
-26.79282039467146,
-26.79209575284442,
-26.791469318172265,
-26.790927211853912,
-26.790457624309077,
-26.79005050495722,
-26.789697283566458,
-26.7893906331524,
-26.789124272900235,
-26.788892805612743,
-26.78869158356594,
-26.788516597302138,
-26.78836438287089,
-26.788231943965314,
-26.788116686178324,
-26.788016361210722,
-26.787929019323556,
-26.787852968676194,
-26.787786740455005,
-26.78772905890005,
-26.78767881549408,
-26.78763504670205,
-26.787596914748605,
-26.787563691001285,
-26.787534741593113,
-26.78750951497324,
-26.787487531119353,
-26.78746837218469,
-26.787451674384254,
-26.787437120952617,
-26.787424436029326,
-26.78741337934725,
-26.78740374161705,
-26.787395340515143,
-26.787388017195106,
-26.78738163325352,
-26.78737606809039,
-26.787371216612186,
-26.787366987232833,
-26.78736330013351,
-26.78736008574755,
-26.787357283441164,
-26.787354840364433,
-26.787352710450595,
-26.787350853544268,
-26.787349234642022,
-26.78734782323068,
-26.787347369218164
],
"prior": 0.9818574696492104,
"slip": 0.20056435187581925
},
"49": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.1633035515961988,
"learn": 0.037785074978573197,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1633.1519828886476,
-1523.4677941874181,
-1515.2851237932207,
-1512.147081603954,
-1510.309426066385,
-1509.1682810251348,
-1508.4463569848488,
-1507.982152811867,
-1507.6791419647527,
-1507.478764782472,
-1507.3448122495479,
-1507.2544589224246,
-1507.1930630076924,
-1507.1510898997562,
-1507.1222511291567,
-1507.1023545405394,
-1507.0885802982787,
-1507.0790173781727,
-1507.072362524084,
-1507.0677222912166,
-1507.0644814925224,
-1507.0622149829835,
-1507.0606280505635,
-1507.0595158750339,
-1507.0587358034081,
-1507.0581883018506,
-1507.0578038173992,
-1507.057533685838,
-1507.057343822092,
-1507.057210331293,
-1507.0571164497667,
-1507.057050409455,
-1507.057003944864,
-1507.0569712480465,
-1507.0569482363874,
-1507.0569320391905,
-1507.0569206373873,
-1507.0569126106004,
-1507.0569069594171,
-1507.056902980533,
-1507.0569001789445,
-1507.0568982062314,
-1507.0568968171162,
-1507.0568958389222
],
"prior": 0.3424260886371596,
"slip": 0.36080164060817477
},
"5": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.04299572146898029,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-250.32025830223841,
-233.5430012969489,
-231.70365230407353,
-230.76036948531356,
-230.187245413352,
-229.81384729129,
-229.56814993333688,
-229.41546428670142,
-229.36382310969157,
-229.35097891925852,
-229.34770327487877,
-229.34678479939308,
-229.3464822948369,
-229.34636400770458,
-229.346311481427,
-229.3462864118893,
-229.3462740225008,
-229.34626780387518,
-229.34626466164957,
-229.3462630693964,
-229.3462622615826
],
"prior": 0.662132629984068,
"slip": 0.08563924293097781
},
"50": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.37895783701376917,
"learn": 0.1118908239054354,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1720.5826013523294,
-1597.095499060205,
-1589.0049378133526,
-1587.726591109568,
-1587.3993633152863,
-1587.2646893886108,
-1587.189267157316,
-1587.1411668833389,
-1587.1088356634,
-1587.0864046227455,
-1587.070383830574,
-1587.0585859046191,
-1587.0496159026554,
-1587.0425766929293,
-1587.0368869540575,
-1587.0321665767624,
-1587.0281640869323,
-1587.0247105637734,
-1587.0216903251826,
-1587.0190222446372,
-1587.0166478190847,
-1587.0145235293005,
-1587.0126159326808,
-1587.0108984974258,
-1587.0093495478418,
-1587.0079509196246,
-1587.0066870696805,
-1587.0055444777286,
-1587.0045112359046,
-1587.0035767602326,
-1587.0027315816392,
-1587.0019671895714,
-1587.0012759108943,
-1587.0006508128884,
-1587.0000856232537,
-1586.999574662392,
-1586.999112784873,
-1586.9986953280725,
-1586.9983180665474,
-1586.9979771712005,
-1586.9976691724576,
-1586.9973909270211,
-1586.9971395876878,
-1586.9969125759847,
-1586.996707557269,
-1586.9965224181083,
-1586.9963552457077,
-1586.9962043091975,
-1586.9960680426364,
-1586.9959450295512,
-1586.9958339888938,
-1586.995733762282,
-1586.9956433024274,
-1586.9955616626169,
-1586.995487987179,
-1586.9954215028315,
-1586.9953615108457,
-1586.995307379926,
-1586.9952585397764,
-1586.9952144752504,
-1586.9951747210782,
-1586.995138857077,
-1586.9951065038128,
-1586.9950773186815,
-1586.995050992356,
-1586.9950272455872,
-1586.9950058262841,
-1586.9949865068993,
-1586.9949690820479,
-1586.9949533663641,
-1586.9949391925509,
-1586.9949264096497,
-1586.9949148814221,
-1586.9949044849486,
-1586.9948951093088,
-1586.9948866544362,
-1586.994879030038,
-1586.9948721546693,
-1586.994865954846,
-1586.9948603642738,
-1586.994855323166,
-1586.9948507775762,
-1586.9948466788599,
-1586.994842983125,
-1586.9948396507982,
-1586.9948366461786,
-1586.9948339370637,
-1586.9948314944174,
-1586.9948292920565,
-1586.9948273063592,
-1586.9948255160261,
-1586.9948239018486,
-1586.9948224465097,
-1586.9948211343867,
-1586.994819951397,
-1586.9948188848357,
-1586.9948179232524
],
"prior": 0.48119593554665024,
"slip": 0.22509519194848487
},
"57": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.08791716704229306,
"learn": 0.060332631690623806,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-5040.871866174115,
-4686.596954057878,
-4657.252136247376,
-4647.538877154503,
-4640.842076832244,
-4635.1021134350285,
-4629.9473680731435,
-4625.263316798324,
-4620.987570618967,
-4617.076839085241,
-4613.499548195981,
-4610.232391684102,
-4607.257619913897,
-4604.560672814559,
-4602.128247797913,
-4599.946950155953,
-4598.002571041236,
-4596.2798973820445,
-4594.762872357208,
-4593.43492249342,
-4592.279319526726,
-4591.279508492575,
-4590.419380262779,
-4589.683490250935,
-4589.057231250279,
-4588.526966376574,
-4588.080124587517,
-4587.705259415724,
-4587.392071861057,
-4587.131400031965,
-4586.915180039069,
-4586.736384072246,
-4586.588942213955,
-4586.467654372231,
-4586.368097970222,
-4586.286535957472,
-4586.219828543894,
-4586.1653509581765,
-4586.1209185918315,
-4586.084720145438,
-4586.055258842285,
-4586.031301395955,
-4586.011834180572,
-4585.996025923528,
-4585.98319618752,
-4585.972788912547,
-4585.96435032509,
-4585.957510576968,
-4585.951968543699,
-4585.947479280291,
-4585.94384369902,
-4585.940900096085,
-4585.938517210678,
-4585.936588548933,
-4585.93502775002,
-4585.933764807151,
-4585.932742990137,
-4585.931916341145,
-4585.931247638678,
-4585.930706743646,
-4585.9302692565625,
-4585.929915427875,
-4585.929629274137,
-4585.929397861532,
-4585.929210725223,
-4585.929059398946,
-4585.928937033755,
-4585.928838089581,
-4585.92875808545,
-4585.928693397162,
-4585.928641093586,
-4585.92859880433,
-4585.928564612491,
-4585.928536967959,
-4585.928514617219,
-4585.928496546733,
-4585.928481936969,
-4585.9284701252245,
-4585.928460575674,
-4585.928452855148,
-4585.928446613327,
-4585.928441567061,
-4585.928437487342,
-4585.92843418908,
-4585.928431522598,
-4585.928429366846,
-4585.928427624058,
-4585.928426215095,
-4585.928425076022,
-4585.928424155151
],
"prior": 0.5313448261625155,
"slip": 0.46565883374575034
},
"58": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.13526124617253657,
"learn": 0.038449478534647294,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-3801.801417369596,
-3618.8978537049015,
-3593.0536790555366,
-3585.429020120757,
-3581.4623899471685,
-3578.6326499819847,
-3576.358562595275,
-3574.4534027905356,
-3572.827645784657,
-3571.4241661627566,
-3570.201629339486,
-3569.12865982191,
-3568.180874994636,
-3567.3390025485514,
-3566.587582692974,
-3565.9140470045395,
-3565.308054020165,
-3564.7610031151075,
-3564.2656735852665,
-3563.8159526753298,
-3563.406627605475,
-3563.033224280622,
-3562.691880535322,
-3562.3792452913394,
-3562.092397430004,
-3561.828779865118,
-3561.5861454848687,
-3561.36251246938,
-3561.156127094993,
-3560.965432574732,
-3560.789042807776,
-3560.6257201534822,
-3560.4743565266376,
-3560.3339572511595,
-3560.2036272183063,
-3560.0825589781757,
-3559.9700224630233,
-3559.8653560904313,
-3559.7679590413236,
-3559.677284538496,
-3559.592833982851,
-3559.514151824496,
-3559.4408210676484,
-3559.3724593222364,
-3559.30871532796,
-3559.2492658890096,
-3559.193813165137,
-3559.14208227302,
-3559.093819158911,
-3559.0487887072345,
-3559.0067730572346,
-3558.967570100525,
-3558.930992138575,
-3558.8968646800445,
-3558.8650253614865,
-3558.835322977176,
-3558.8076166042024,
-3558.781774812829,
-3558.7576749515647,
-3558.7352024987563,
-3558.714250473039,
-3558.6947188960253,
-3558.676514301708,
-3558.6595492873244,
-3558.6437421011437,
-3558.629016263716,
-3558.6153002183946,
-3558.6025270091072,
-3558.590633981931,
-3558.5795625085902,
-3558.5692577291056,
-3558.559668313577,
-3558.5507462388596,
-3558.5424465810624,
-3558.534727321652,
-3558.52754916552,
-3558.5208753714383,
-3558.514671592525,
-3558.5089057268615,
-3558.5035477774613,
-3558.4985697207167,
-3558.4939453825455,
-3558.489650322419,
-3558.4856617242226,
-3558.4819582933756,
-3558.478520160784,
-3558.475328791719,
-3558.4723669009522,
-3558.4696183723977,
-3558.4670681837783,
-3558.4647023362277,
-3558.4625077873434,
-3558.4604723892107,
-3558.458584829471,
-3558.45683457658,
-3558.4552118279994,
-3558.453707462027,
-3558.4523129923004,
-3558.4510205250513,
-3558.449822719778,
-3558.448712751374,
-3558.4476842756617,
-3558.446731396397,
-3558.4458486347003,
-3558.445030900623,
-3558.4442734662616,
-3558.443571940766,
-3558.44292224726,
-3558.4423206005813,
-3558.441763487355,
-3558.441247646714,
-3558.4407700529387,
-3558.4403278984687,
-3558.4399185789694,
-3558.4395396785817,
-3558.439188956864,
-3558.438864336153,
-3558.4385638899735,
-3558.438285832372,
-3558.438028507766,
-3558.4377903815853,
-3558.437570031572,
-3558.4373661398545,
-3558.4371774850442,
-3558.4370029357087,
-3558.436841443572,
-3558.436692037587,
-3558.436553818342,
-3558.4364259525973,
-3558.4363076689415,
-3558.436198252811,
-3558.4360970426674,
-3558.4360034259057,
-3558.4359168352958,
-3558.4358367457794,
-3558.4357626712485,
-3558.4356941617702,
-3558.435630800766,
-3558.435572202823,
-3558.4355180110697,
-3558.435467895351,
-3558.4354215500725,
-3558.4353786924116,
-3558.435339060724,
-3558.435302412835,
-3558.4352685248136,
-3558.435237189301,
-3558.435208214601,
-3558.4351814231427,
-3558.435156650951,
-3558.435133746104,
-3558.435112568245,
-3558.4350929872835,
-3558.4350748831243,
-3558.4350581446197,
-3558.4350426689502,
-3558.4350283609533,
-3558.435015132767,
-3558.435002902944,
-3558.434991596333,
-3558.4349811432708,
-3558.4349714794807,
-3558.434962545408,
-3558.434954286046,
-3558.4349466505137,
-3558.4349395917175,
-3558.434933066241,
-3558.434927033718,
-3558.4349214570266,
-3558.434916301705,
-3558.4349115360333,
-3558.4349071304914,
-3558.4349030579333,
-3558.434899293214,
-3558.4348958130945,
-3558.434892596104,
-3558.4348896222737,
-3558.4348868733323,
-3558.434884332255,
-3558.4348819833176,
-3558.434879812013,
-3558.4348778048975,
-3558.4348759496092,
-3558.4348742346674,
-3558.4348726494204,
-3558.4348711840507,
-3558.4348698295375,
-3558.4348685775353,
-3558.4348674202083,
-3558.4348663504716,
-3558.434865361651
],
"prior": 0.5536152487760668,
"slip": 0.4248944302737228
},
"59": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.1891752758579985,
"learn": 0.07902105560183768,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-4013.884263214084,
-3868.92891277435,
-3856.3166036769844,
-3853.7462266868965,
-3852.659207390398,
-3851.9174462909127,
-3851.3233929953476,
-3850.8260907402732,
-3850.402739580718,
-3850.0387608047836,
-3849.7235282903357,
-3849.4489201691595,
-3849.2085660679336,
-3848.9973712670376,
-3848.811194513097,
-3848.646622775084,
-3848.5008100324253,
-3848.3713594177734,
-3848.2562353184244,
-3848.153696587844,
-3848.0622449149687,
-3847.9805842788123,
-3847.907588652781,
-3847.842275950032,
-3847.7837867645417,
-3847.731366848787,
-3847.684352543447,
-3847.642158566165,
-3847.6042677056616,
-3847.570222071921,
-3847.539615626292,
-3847.512087774333,
-3847.48731784633,
-3847.465020324532,
-3847.4449407020584,
-3847.4268518788526,
-3847.4105510158447,
-3847.3958567829322,
-3847.3826069450015,
-3847.370656240665,
-3847.359874514535,
-3847.3501450694334,
-3847.3413632104807,
-3847.333434957008,
-3847.326275900651,
-3847.319810192588,
-3847.313969643564,
-3847.30869292333,
-3847.3039248477985,
-3847.299615744256,
-3847.2957208843336,
-3847.2921999781897,
-3847.289016722299,
-3847.2861383952463,
-3847.2835354958675,
-3847.2811814188262,
-3847.279052164868,
-3847.2771260798277,
-3847.275383621411,
-3847.2738071492918,
-3847.272380736811,
-3847.271090001901,
-3847.2699219548927,
-3847.2688648614558,
-3847.2679081201154,
-3847.267042150925,
-3847.2662582960365,
-3847.265548729793,
-3847.264906377888,
-3847.2643248445083,
-3847.263798346267,
-3847.2633216535573,
-3847.2628900363607,
-3847.2624992166834,
-3847.2621453246634,
-3847.2618248593317,
-3847.261534653481,
-3847.261271841111,
-3847.2610338291947,
-3847.2608182708796,
-3847.2606230425213,
-3847.2604462219774,
-3847.2602860695215,
-3847.2601410103994,
-3847.260009619264,
-3847.259890605448,
-3847.259782800896,
-3847.259685147903,
-3847.2595966889653,
-3847.2595165569055,
-3847.259443966639,
-3847.259378207394,
-3847.2593186354216,
-3847.25926466768,
-3847.2592157763665,
-3847.2591714833748,
-3847.259131355697,
-3847.259095001214,
-3847.259062064747,
-3847.2590322245806,
-3847.2590051893853,
-3847.2589806952865,
-3847.2589585031637,
-3847.258938396587,
-3847.2589201793685,
-3847.2589036738104,
-3847.2588887190127,
-3847.2588751691515,
-3847.2588628921735,
-3847.2588517684244,
-3847.2588416895182,
-3847.258832557234,
-3847.258824282647,
-3847.2588167851764,
-3847.2588099917566,
-3847.2588038362114,
-3847.258798258747,
-3847.258793204937,
-3847.2587886257174,
-3847.2587844763666,
-3847.2587807165896,
-3847.258777309786,
-3847.25877422278,
-3847.258771425598,
-3847.258768891001,
-3847.2587665943784,
-3847.2587645132667,
-3847.2587626274517,
-3847.2587609187317,
-3847.2587593703734,
-3847.25875796734,
-3847.2587566959683,
-3847.2587555439422,
-3847.2587544999938,
-3847.2587535540733
],
"prior": 0.31982061631669345,
"slip": 0.30593912011834984
},
"6": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.1200780159867707,
"learn": 0.4430212415153596,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-386.00231303897044,
-363.2936001627207,
-361.47474305682357,
-360.64992440995815,
-360.22371557570943,
-359.98457232938665,
-359.8399803815165,
-359.74620674236166,
-359.681251635432,
-359.63345119317705,
-359.59632588800844,
-359.56611725219074,
-359.5405542435166,
-359.5182105736521,
-359.49815789298145,
-359.47977231333954,
-359.4626228754959,
-359.44640507904603,
-359.4308999030139,
-359.41594767287813,
-359.40143084406543,
-359.3872623151772,
-359.37337728428093,
-359.35972744852734,
-359.3462767997883,
-359.33299853587164,
-359.31987276844603,
-359.3068848099517,
-359.29402388690005,
-359.2812821702963,
-359.2686540436501,
-359.25613554976536,
-359.24372397257446,
-359.23141752111565,
-359.2192150908476,
-359.2071160835461,
-359.19512027153706,
-359.18322769546864,
-359.1714385874245,
-359.1597533131464,
-359.1481723287001,
-359.13669614793093,
-359.1253253181042,
-359.11406040162757,
-359.10290196236866,
-359.09185055537074,
-359.08090671915585,
-359.0700709699237,
-359.05934379718747,
-359.0487256604818,
-359.03821698687244,
-359.0278181690841,
-359.0175295640732,
-359.0073514919593,
-358.99728423523663,
-358.9873280381903,
-358.97748310648745,
-358.9677496069033,
-358.9581276671674,
-358.9486173759065,
-358.939218782678,
-358.9299318980602,
-358.92075669383354,
-358.9116931032132,
-358.9027410211429,
-358.8939003046375,
-358.88517077318113,
-358.8765522091725,
-358.86804435841714,
-358.8596469306651,
-358.8513596001761,
-358.8431820063558,
-358.83511375437956,
-358.8271544159063,
-358.8193035297867,
-358.8115606028104,
-358.8039251104948,
-358.7963964978914,
-358.78897418040987,
-358.7816575446748,
-358.77444594941136,
-358.7673387263171,
-358.7603351809933,
-358.7534345938535,
-358.746636221062,
-358.7399392954838,
-358.733343027644,
-358.7268466066693,
-358.7204492012805,
-358.714149960736,
-358.70794801581843,
-358.70184247979256,
-358.69583244937866,
-358.6899170057063,
-358.68409521527747,
-358.67836613091237,
-358.67272879269194,
-358.66718222889006,
-358.6617254568817,
-358.65635748406913,
-358.6510773087595,
-358.64588392105145,
-358.64077630369974,
-358.6357534329579,
-358.6308142794126,
-358.6259578087897,
-358.6211829827589,
-358.6164887596923,
-358.61187409543163,
-358.6073379440134,
-358.6028792583855,
-358.5984969910953,
-358.594190094966,
-358.5899575237383,
-358.5857982326919,
-358.58171117926736,
-358.57769532362926,
-358.5737496292336,
-358.5698730633603,
-358.5660645976429,
-358.56232320854326,
-358.55864787783327,
-358.555037593037,
-358.55149134787416,
-358.5480081426472,
-358.5445869846412,
-358.54122688848014,
-358.53792687648075,
-358.5346859789735,
-358.5315032346026,
-358.5283776906173,
-358.5253084031501,
-358.52229443744113,
-358.51933486809554,
-358.5164287792775,
-358.51357526492404,
-358.5107734289136,
-358.5080223852391,
-358.50532125814425,
-358.50266918228175,
-358.50006530280814,
-358.4975087755064,
-358.4949987668699,
-358.492534454191,
-358.4901150256163,
-358.4877396802081,
-358.4854076279927,
-358.48311808998704,
-358.48087029822284,
-358.4786634957558,
-358.47649693666875,
-358.47436988607365,
-358.47228162008383,
-358.47023142579627,
-358.4682186012596,
-358.4662424554331,
-358.46430230814127,
-358.46239749002524,
-358.4605273424735,
-358.4586912175699,
-358.4568884780106,
-358.45511849703496,
-358.4533806583473,
-358.4516743560158,
-358.44999899440853,
-358.44835398807925,
-358.4467387616777,
-358.44515274984764,
-358.4435953971227,
-358.44206615782576,
-358.44056449595195,
-358.4390898850606,
-358.4376418081619,
-358.4362197576056,
-358.4348232349543,
-358.4334517508735,
-358.4321048250085,
-358.4307819858645,
-358.4294827706872,
-358.4282067253344,
-358.4269534041585,
-358.4257223698776,
-358.42451319346117,
-358.42332545399273,
-358.4221587385613,
-358.42101264212397,
-358.4198867673895,
-358.41878072469746,
-358.41769413188155,
-358.41662661416865,
-358.41557780403576,
-358.41454734110425,
-358.4135348720102,
-358.41254005029356,
-358.4115625362688,
-358.41060199691634,
-358.4096581057609,
-358.4087305427567,
-358.4078189941745,
-358.40692315248776
],
"prior": 0.6804426474963297,
"slip": 0.2568784147018899
},
"68": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.07190395116059796,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-6108.447609479188,
-5562.275956957073,
-5536.207615959886,
-5526.072039681067,
-5520.697310727795,
-5517.65783386735,
-5515.8784913816935,
-5514.806183112675,
-5514.143373036085,
-5513.724461895525,
-5513.454374917655,
-5513.277010005566,
-5513.167361150065,
-5513.121950785119,
-5513.100700859978,
-5513.089265557249,
-5513.082420163701,
-5513.078037386126,
-5513.0751253539,
-5513.073153425791,
-5513.071805415821,
-5513.070879558118,
-5513.070242109018,
-5513.069802655765,
-5513.069499471107,
-5513.0692902008195,
-5513.069145707315,
-5513.0690459162615,
-5513.0689769854125,
-5513.068929364415,
-5513.068896461591,
-5513.068873725838,
-5513.068858014234,
-5513.068847155994,
-5513.068839651521,
-5513.068834464668,
-5513.068830879575,
-5513.068828401531,
-5513.06882668861,
-5513.068825504574,
-5513.068824686111
],
"prior": 0.7418149078231917,
"slip": 0.1278671812683273
},
"69": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.38450671972350164,
"learn": 0.1153307723616124,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-547.6994724287389,
-535.4124329041182,
-534.2691519317925,
-533.8668262061819,
-533.6984956374116,
-533.6192840950474,
-533.5794775858576,
-533.5586802040286,
-533.5475320830669,
-533.5414460734553,
-533.5380782250903,
-533.5361953701147,
-533.5351345150877,
-533.5345332558062,
-533.5341909459937,
-533.533995394781,
-533.5338833919642,
-533.533819115253,
-533.5337821725478,
-533.5337609157583,
-533.5337486740574,
-533.5337416194832,
-533.5337375520892,
-533.5337352060992,
-533.5337338525909,
-533.5337330715198
],
"prior": 0.4007562175364565,
"slip": 0.08129186526114106
},
"7": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.30274153349948546,
"learn": 0.1,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-93.01456739064255,
-88.15951222656341,
-88.15951222656341
],
"prior": 0.38317744935923925,
"slip": 0.06012946293112152
},
"70": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.43185616865290744,
"learn": 0.098651749559567,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-886.5902374033774,
-760.356477724528,
-756.042916529939,
-754.5376539770166,
-753.6000895013808,
-752.9256360559312,
-752.4302138260784,
-752.0658902607129,
-751.7978227645541,
-751.6002255665528,
-751.4542014399901,
-751.3459762854326,
-751.2655210149607,
-751.2055253770176,
-751.1606497987874,
-751.1269840862869,
-751.1016565484695,
-751.0825516335026,
-751.0681056875229,
-751.0571589785224,
-751.0488482892187,
-751.0425287967943,
-751.0377171183327,
-751.0340496699033,
-751.0312521204382,
-751.0291168987952,
-751.0274865611603,
-751.0262414371656,
-751.0252904125769,
-751.0245640219835,
-751.0240092512349,
-751.0235856119285,
-751.0232621670449,
-751.0230152711639,
-751.0228268498336,
-751.0226830872125,
-751.022573423836,
-751.0224897905416,
-751.0224260225747,
-751.0223774113476,
-751.0223403614649,
-751.0223121283194,
-751.0222906173509,
-751.0222742305255,
-751.0222617489375,
-751.0222522430973,
-751.0222450043697,
-751.022239492618,
-751.022235296212,
-751.0222321015141,
-751.022229669586,
-751.0222278184281,
-751.0222264094278,
-751.022225337028,
-751.0222245208544
],
"prior": 0.8772253165444968,
"slip": 0.14013589407802995
},
"71": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-217.81604169590435,
-152.1341650139213,
-151.10105494387045,
-150.60828679875857,
-150.34661545810036,
-150.19038932529037,
-150.08778296832344,
-150.01553941859916,
-149.9620614571878,
-149.9209858757678,
-149.8885440130405,
-149.86236582226724,
-149.84088643767942,
-149.82302933751316,
-149.80802730304725,
-149.7953165648592,
-149.78447179558802,
-149.7751648236492,
-149.7671375925885,
-149.76018393388054,
-149.7541369435205,
-149.74886001465757,
-149.74424031512723,
-149.74018393928827,
-149.736612233001,
-149.7334589587923,
-149.73066807532246,
-149.72819197476522,
-149.7259900676044,
-149.72402763527714,
-149.72227489228163,
-149.72070621413715,
-149.71929949811613,
-149.718035631249,
-149.716898045702,
-149.71587234580377,
-149.71494599415834,
-149.71410804673397,
-149.71334892871982,
-149.71266024442178,
-149.7120346156925,
-149.71146554432923,
-149.71094729465713,
-149.71047479315018,
-149.71004354246034,
-149.70964954765714,
-149.70928925281976,
-149.7089594864435,
-149.70865741433786,
-149.70838049892018,
-149.70812646396703,
-149.70789326404102,
-149.70767905790865,
-149.70748218539748,
-149.70730114720277,
-149.70713458722395,
-149.7069812770996,
-149.70684010262505,
-149.70671005180742,
-149.7065902043392,
-149.7064797222933,
-149.70637784189952,
-149.70628386624122,
-149.70619715877368,
-149.70611713755156,
-149.706043270077,
-149.70597506869876,
-149.7059120864916,
-149.7058539135628,
-149.7058001737292,
-149.70575052152935,
-149.7057046395311,
-149.70566223589816,
-149.70562304219118,
-149.70558681137635,
-149.7055697024923,
-149.70556953808662
],
"prior": 0.6696731287369014,
"slip": 0.04962473374017659
},
"72": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.09710471886640189,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-6030.441343400923,
-5440.8784944668,
-5391.666285750297,
-5365.089505712643,
-5353.56222216407,
-5350.983158303158,
-5350.408587782172,
-5350.266243384379,
-5350.223625531965,
-5350.208008395645,
-5350.2014098928075,
-5350.198405461324,
-5350.196991161879,
-5350.196316158835,
-5350.195992198513,
-5350.195836364045,
-5350.195761331985,
-5350.195725190102,
-5350.195707777647,
-5350.195699387891,
-5350.195695345231,
-5350.195693397221,
-5350.19569245852
],
"prior": 0.6616955888292552,
"slip": 0.05958794332555337
},
"73": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.3078422551605636,
"learn": 0.05451452063198955,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-4785.821311250631,
-4361.830509212058,
-4344.634908667356,
-4341.591416441264,
-4340.030805363322,
-4338.989412606826,
-4338.260525699598,
-4337.738120574162,
-4337.355954590209,
-4337.071401711956,
-4336.8565065287685,
-4336.692489099327,
-4336.566380056078,
-4336.468965053642,
-4336.393522118484,
-4336.33503573638,
-4336.289697188944,
-4336.254577510304,
-4336.227405777918,
-4336.206413069176,
-4336.190218680801,
-4336.177744673067,
-4336.168150258065,
-4336.160780683791,
-4336.155127076675,
-4336.150794773602,
-4336.147478332275,
-4336.144941836423,
-4336.143003410978,
-4336.141523082466,
-4336.1403932914045,
-4336.139531499785,
-4336.138874447573,
-4336.138373702178,
-4336.137992218162,
-4336.137701683394,
-4336.137480475926,
-4336.137312093492,
-4336.137183948243,
-4336.13708644285,
-4336.137012263077,
-4336.136955836745,
-4336.136912920134,
-4336.136880282164,
-4336.136855463363,
-4336.136836591985,
-4336.136822243822,
-4336.136811335401,
-4336.136803042544,
-4336.1367967383885,
-4336.13679194622,
-4336.136788303523,
-4336.136785534679,
-4336.136783430112,
-4336.136781830493,
-4336.136780614693,
-4336.136779690628
],
"prior": 0.4641216174276935,
"slip": 0.2819945826213143
},
"74": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.4747701200843743,
"learn": 0.08652661974616907,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-3618.214464792057,
-3184.217826205385,
-3165.900377710608,
-3158.820685336805,
-3155.587181400532,
-3154.0363789600274,
-3153.316398744002,
-3152.991431398861,
-3152.84492928795,
-3152.777667643815,
-3152.745907898438,
-3152.730438951445,
-3152.7226784283603,
-3152.718683836902,
-3152.7165844058127,
-3152.7154631274457,
-3152.714857063822,
-3152.7145266314515,
-3152.7143453650515,
-3152.7142454977106,
-3152.714190311679,
-3152.714159753201,
-3152.714142807893,
-3152.714133402153,
-3152.7141281779536,
-3152.714125274915,
-3152.714123661262,
-3152.714122764106
],
"prior": 0.7148119573035019,
"slip": 0.06038718936680005
},
"75": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.1,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-0.527632742082372,
-0.026371818277590584,
-0.013230924070060024,
-0.006598299984838707,
-0.0032999717314697767,
-0.0016718919570017999,
-0.0008712096720438066,
-0.00047815033763750725,
-0.00028536696647982527,
-0.00019085399336595175,
-0.00015100140013756428,
-0.00015100140013756428
],
"prior": 0.0001,
"slip": 0.49
},
"76": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-370.7338566228701,
-11.149979653591515,
-3.958112452255446,
-1.4326382776424762,
-0.5527037324191232,
-0.25272836637408636,
-0.15999422687606338,
-0.138864397547191,
-0.138864397547191
],
"prior": 0.0001,
"slip": 0.49
},
"77": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.09301592506305446,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-7072.5383983574275,
-6749.256923226774,
-6733.037703061502,
-6726.264149486313,
-6722.173782356621,
-6719.513263626033,
-6717.710110853702,
-6716.442669934708,
-6715.521892809076,
-6714.833881289216,
-6714.308219131833,
-6713.900004002809,
-6713.579517387717,
-6713.32625054643,
-6713.125439567652,
-6712.966046663816,
-6712.839570548065,
-6712.7393277262545,
-6712.659999060242,
-6712.602853074582,
-6712.58421447315,
-6712.578171375981,
-6712.576127863067,
-6712.5754000359875,
-6712.575123340509,
-6712.575010300386,
-6712.574960822657,
-6712.574937878922,
-6712.574926770484,
-6712.574921230932,
-6712.574918415338,
-6712.57491696731,
-6712.574916217257
],
"prior": 0.5116081552298378,
"slip": 0.10865611213803027
},
"78": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.16648057016171205,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-37.75908046557396,
-30.273745518361903,
-29.976997177345982,
-29.82698497961439,
-29.743759296386013,
-29.69381991196919,
-29.661854920742527,
-29.65425639565675,
-29.649441713999114,
-29.64549648988191,
-29.642110751229495,
-29.639197740236703,
-29.63672471538123,
-29.634362232474277,
-29.632103467808577,
-29.629942131621114,
-29.62787241663381,
-29.625888953636448,
-29.62398677189098,
-29.622161263683846,
-29.62040815252698,
-29.61872346458246,
-29.617103502942665,
-29.615544824442495,
-29.614044218722906,
-29.612598689298,
-29.611205436409197,
-29.609861841475233,
-29.608565452969923,
-29.6073139735791,
-29.60610524850572,
-29.60493725480624,
-29.603808091655512,
-29.602715971448415,
-29.601659211656116,
-29.600636227365335,
-29.599645524434084,
-29.59868569320738,
-29.59775540274007,
-29.596853395480146,
-29.59597848237167,
-29.595129538338476,
-29.59430549811581,
-29.593505352399028,
-29.592728144281953,
-29.591972965960107,
-29.59123895567635,
-29.59052529488858,
-29.589831205641246,
-29.589155948123548,
-29.588498818400055,
-29.587859146298598,
-29.58723629344429,
-29.586629651427064,
-29.586038640093406,
-29.58546270595152,
-29.584901320682366,
-29.584353979748016,
-29.583820201090088,
-29.583299523911705,
-29.582791507536797,
-29.58229573034135,
-29.581811788750745,
-29.581339296299628,
-29.580877882748666,
-29.58042719325515,
-29.579986887593243,
-29.57955663942033,
-29.579136135587103,
-29.578725075487526,
-29.578323170446332,
-29.57793014314197,
-29.577545727062187,
-29.57716966599006,
-29.576801713519167,
-29.576441632595262,
-29.576089195083075,
-29.575744181357116,
-29.575406379914014,
-29.57507558700592,
-29.574751606293407,
-29.57443424851641,
-29.574123331182694,
-29.573818678272026,
-29.573520119955816,
-29.573227492331135,
-29.57294063716799,
-29.572659401669338,
-29.57238363824298,
-29.57211320428494,
-29.571847961973305,
-29.57158777807208,
-29.571332523744505,
-29.57108207437559,
-29.57083630940248,
-29.570595112153608,
-29.57035836969487,
-29.570125972683027,
-29.569897815225957,
-29.56967379474946,
-29.569453811869646,
-29.569237770271886,
-29.56902557659431,
-29.56881714031705,
-29.568612373656514,
-29.568411191463607,
-29.56821351112718,
-29.56801925248131,
-29.567828337716335,
-29.567640691294322,
-29.56745623986747,
-29.567274912200464,
-29.567096639095737,
-29.566921353322016,
-29.566748989545825,
-29.566579484265826,
-29.566412775749697,
-29.566248803973693,
-29.566087510564696,
-29.565928838744394,
-29.56577273327591,
-29.56561914041252,
-29.565468007848068,
-29.565319284669794,
-29.5651729213126,
-29.56502886951547,
-29.56488708227907,
-29.56474751382546,
-29.564610119558964,
-29.564474856028855,
-29.56434168089296,
-29.564210552883278,
-29.564081431772248,
-29.56395427834046,
-29.563829054345995,
-29.563705722494074,
-29.563584246408414,
-29.563464590603484,
-29.56334672045756,
-29.56323060218701,
-29.563116202821274,
-29.56300349017878,
-29.56289243284392,
-29.56278300014439,
-29.562675162129793,
-29.562568889550587,
-29.562464153837986,
-29.56236092708446,
-29.562259182025002,
-29.562158892018804,
-29.562060031031738,
-29.561962573619486,
-29.56186649491081,
-29.561771770592074,
-29.561678376891503,
-29.561586290564556,
-29.561495488879558,
-29.561405949603586,
-29.56131765098913,
-29.561230571761214,
-29.561144691104456,
-29.561059988651092,
-29.56097644446906,
-29.56089403905048,
-29.5608127533007,
-29.560732568527417,
-29.560653466430217,
-29.560575429090587,
-29.560498438962117,
-29.560422478860833,
-29.560347531956094,
-29.560273581761795,
-29.560200612127407,
-29.560128607229842,
-29.560057551565112,
-29.559987429940616,
-29.559918227467122,
-29.55984992955164,
-29.559782521890156,
-29.559715990460276,
-29.559650321514876,
-29.559585501575036,
-29.55952151742391,
-29.559458356100308,
-29.559396004892665,
-29.559334451333218,
-29.559273683191982,
-29.55921368847162,
-29.55915445540159,
-29.559095972433166,
-29.559038228234087,
-29.558981211683825,
-29.558924911868385,
-29.558869318076045,
-29.558814419792345,
-29.558760206695876,
-29.558706668653745,
-29.558653795717607,
-29.558601578119262,
-29.558550006266884
],
"prior": 0.009847826503020797,
"slip": 0.49
},
"79": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.23705267079173636,
"learn": 0.14306164869331178,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2274.45640340735,
-2147.162435286489,
-2143.3689373353536,
-2142.584974530895,
-2142.1022543982117,
-2141.7300979603256,
-2141.418482885128,
-2141.1451376828486,
-2140.9005141558855,
-2140.6823238677757,
-2140.492163711336,
-2140.3325250866733,
-2140.2043353032636,
-2140.1058373588953,
-2140.0329999079563,
-2139.9807361391563,
-2139.9440471328417,
-2139.918674973261,
-2139.901299750575,
-2139.8894731003065,
-2139.8814517251017,
-2139.876021445653,
-2139.8723481369793,
-2139.869863542715,
-2139.8681824239575,
-2139.8670443039377,
-2139.86627327064,
-2139.865750552238,
-2139.8653959309763,
-2139.865155193129,
-2139.864991669529,
-2139.8648805361804,
-2139.8648049734497,
-2139.864753575816,
-2139.864718603365,
-2139.864694800213,
-2139.8646785952246,
-2139.8646675607374,
-2139.864660045713,
-2139.864654926882,
-2139.8646514397883,
-2139.8646490640454,
-2139.864647445325,
-2139.8646463423293,
-2139.864645590705
],
"prior": 0.1974722613213031,
"slip": 0.2254047110636286
},
"8": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.37976276329012354,
"learn": 0.16831030518763665,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2524.9646314965967,
-2385.6719516038784,
-2375.5027632485926,
-2372.5811120461835,
-2371.5931273416695,
-2371.232441205418,
-2371.0944289724007,
-2371.039881253892,
-2371.0177344361878,
-2371.0084834972326,
-2371.0044757048436,
-2371.002649476327,
-2371.001759004819,
-2371.001287693871,
-2371.0010158013215,
-2371.0008463095764,
-2371.000734028396,
-2371.0006563635093,
-2371.0006010485467,
-2371.0005608547763,
-2371.000531213489,
-2371.0005090827062,
-2371.0004923647093,
-2371.000479580609,
-2371.0004696737615,
-2371.000461882954,
-2371.0004556571253,
-2371.000450595906,
-2371.0004464077097,
-2371.00044287965,
-2371.0004398558826,
-2371.000437222008,
-2371.000434893794,
-2371.0004328088894,
-2371.000430921019,
-2371.000429195377,
-2371.000427605847,
-2371.000426132466,
-2371.00042475989,
-2371.000423476046,
-2371.000422271481,
-2371.000421138439,
-2371.000420070677,
-2371.0004190629247,
-2371.0004181106997
],
"prior": 0.3835364524324161,
"slip": 0.17205230344806624
},
"80": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.399005717979907,
"learn": 0.07885518817531058,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1447.9851698410966,
-1317.3466900892988,
-1312.421813146592,
-1310.45729351805,
-1309.5163110475685,
-1309.040327494284,
-1308.7905082476884,
-1308.6558808559046,
-1308.581923355295,
-1308.5407170596504,
-1308.5175162932403,
-1308.504349936961,
-1308.4968331054167,
-1308.4925216924296,
-1308.490039705569,
-1308.4886065813366,
-1308.4877769495774,
-1308.4872955536237,
-1308.4870155854537,
-1308.4868523750092,
-1308.4867569781586,
-1308.4867010470346,
-1308.486668133749,
-1308.4866486784367,
-1308.4866371147384,
-1308.486630195042,
-1308.4866260201927,
-1308.4866234764427,
-1308.4866219084224,
-1308.4866209288186
],
"prior": 0.5754479819362364,
"slip": 0.0822720886631907
},
"81": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.34310234763899544,
"learn": 0.07724602010453803,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1568.0359441447617,
-1420.1638892372926,
-1413.8453722795439,
-1411.8948053820434,
-1411.0945173819055,
-1410.733417210989,
-1410.5636123962029,
-1410.4819251155548,
-1410.4420152459952,
-1410.4222819540805,
-1410.4124249611891,
-1410.4074539450728,
-1410.4049221541006,
-1410.4036184961176,
-1410.4029386173231,
-1410.4025786443376,
-1410.4023846013945,
-1410.4022777970874,
-1410.4022176106323,
-1410.4021828191012,
-1410.40216217085,
-1410.4021495949742,
-1410.4021417477534,
-1410.4021367440707,
-1410.402133493905,
-1410.4021313502487,
-1410.402129918969,
-1410.40212895417
],
"prior": 0.5862944936326298,
"slip": 0.05244275319216302
},
"82": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.46051663977735374,
"learn": 0.9999,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-161.27794283548883,
-145.8449587211461,
-144.7061665603965,
-144.14037163381738,
-143.81806812407535,
-143.61810081916246,
-143.48550444439232,
-143.39249850374088,
-143.32391334047253,
-143.27096418715328,
-143.22832145822846,
-143.19262663425562,
-143.16169503747543,
-143.13406645395563,
-143.10874134363195,
-143.08502050327684,
-143.06240460369736,
-143.04052953178868,
-143.0191237722191,
-142.99797971185092,
-142.97693394871112,
-142.95585355179395,
-142.93462633314653,
-142.9131538763893,
-142.89134649281144,
-142.86911954866915,
-142.84639078462385,
-142.82307836597488,
-142.79909948217272,
-142.77436936951779,
-142.74880067045402,
-142.72230307183253,
-142.69478318636922,
-142.66614465845217,
-142.63628848879,
-142.60511358294158,
-142.57251753696207,
-142.53839767935943,
-142.50265239227073,
-142.46518273600577,
-142.42589439955208,
-142.38469999482473,
-142.34152170380662,
-142.29629427458258,
-142.24896834387704,
-142.19951403935482,
-142.1479247841536,
-142.09422118894082,
-142.03845487423936,
-141.98071202032483,
-141.9211163980493,
-141.85983159796785,
-141.7970621554561,
-141.7330532753433,
-141.6680888993975,
-141.60248793922997,
-141.5365986159487,
-141.47079099894748,
-141.40544800469732,
-141.34095528076622,
-141.27769053601287,
-141.21601296192782,
-141.1562534062874,
-141.098705903244,
-141.0436210408536,
-140.99120147610876,
-140.94159971426257,
-140.89491808079728,
-140.85121065429175,
-140.8104868126783,
-140.77271598065977,
-140.73783315054908,
-140.70574477411395,
-140.67633467733566,
-140.6494697206924,
-140.6250050034018,
-140.60278848232358,
-140.58266493929122,
-140.56447928151647,
-140.54807919775558,
-140.53331721888287,
-140.5200522471476,
-140.50815062572568,
-140.4974868213601,
-140.48794378977126,
-140.4794130877156,
-140.47179478830253,
-140.46499724835812,
-140.4589367688813,
-140.45353718236842,
-140.44872939424303,
-140.44445089987252,
-140.44064529377138,
-140.43726178347544,
-140.4342547172093,
-140.43158313175115,
-140.42921032472563,
-140.42710345388645,
-140.42523316463826,
-140.42357324608497,
-140.42210031517675,
-140.4207935280138,
-140.41963431703348,
-140.41860615257755,
-140.4176943272163,
-140.41688576115718,
-140.41616882706623,
-140.4155331926695,
-140.4149696795681,
-140.41447013678058,
-140.41402732762657,
-140.4136348286531,
-140.41328693941514,
-140.41297860201334,
-140.41270532938628,
-140.41246314145144,
-140.4122485082694,
-140.41205829947958,
-140.4118897393457,
-140.41174036679584,
-140.41160799992147,
-140.41149070444277,
-140.4113867657116,
-140.41129466385198,
-140.4112130517026,
-140.41115804169004,
-140.4111580415256
],
"prior": 0.28495082929671234,
"slip": 0.2959154928163362
},
"83": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.08234314056045233,
"learn": 0.20165458592188323,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-601.6513903706184,
-569.432940116795,
-567.3334395874641,
-566.3740286073246,
-565.8793527647986,
-565.6135104368832,
-565.4655085448409,
-565.380219401795,
-565.3291585461986,
-565.2971468791166,
-565.275895441362,
-565.2607876286428,
-565.24920981835,
-565.239661438674,
-565.231270016425,
-565.2235221482368,
-565.216112044496,
-565.2088552016183,
-565.2016386648811,
-565.1943920930695,
-565.1870707699946,
-565.1796455398304,
-565.1720967895741,
-565.1644108166627,
-565.1565776143239,
-565.148589507003,
-565.1404403003162,
-565.1321247455681,
-565.1236381986447,
-565.1149764003494,
-565.1061353335491,
-565.0971111293727,
-565.0879000053255,
-565.0784982241696,
-565.0689020666682,
-565.0591078135814,
-565.0491117340063,
-565.0389100780106,
-565.0284990723018,
-565.0178749180479,
-565.0070337902168,
-564.9959718380741,
-564.9846851865423,
-564.9731699382311,
-564.9614221760198,
-564.9494379661111,
-564.9372133614851,
-564.9247444057465,
-564.9120271372933,
-564.8990575938792,
-564.8858318174704,
-564.8723458594532,
-564.8585957861931,
-564.8445776849728,
-564.8302876702102,
-564.8157218901526,
-564.8008765338791,
-564.7857478387124,
-564.7703320980827,
-564.7546256697482,
-564.738624984492,
-564.7223265552611,
-564.7057269867704,
-564.6888229855597,
-564.6716113705668,
-564.6540890841923,
-564.6362532038686,
-564.6181009541775,
-564.5996297194788,
-564.5808370571028,
-564.5617207110815,
-564.5422786264904,
-564.5225089642832,
-564.5024101167713,
-564.4819807236353,
-564.461219688538,
-564.4401261962812,
-564.4186997305593,
-564.3969400922371,
-564.3748474181873,
-564.3524222006426,
-564.3296653070199,
-564.3065780002418,
-564.2831619594604,
-564.2594193011523,
-564.2353526005489,
-564.2109649133464,
-564.1862597975526,
-564.1612413354839,
-564.1359141557436,
-564.1102834551016,
-564.0843550201781,
-564.058135248731,
-564.031631170451,
-564.0048504670943,
-563.9778014917417,
-563.950493287004,
-563.9229356019911,
-563.8951389077201,
-563.8671144108595,
-563.8388740654003,
-563.8104305821016,
-563.7817974353504,
-563.7529888671651,
-563.7240198880608,
-563.6949062744712,
-563.6656645623378,
-563.6363120367483,
-563.6068667171266,
-563.5773473378875,
-563.5477733241567,
-563.5181647624507,
-563.4885423660462,
-563.4589274349624,
-563.42934181038,
-563.39980782354,
-563.3703482390845,
-563.3409861929615,
-563.3117451250212,
-563.2826487066084,
-563.2537207633601,
-563.2249851937588,
-563.1964658837472,
-563.1681866181365,
-563.140170989304,
-563.1124423039664,
-563.085023488773,
-563.0579369955118,
-563.031204706818,
-563.0048478432452,
-562.9788868726024,
-562.9533414224699,
-562.9282301967586,
-562.9035708971353,
-562.8793801501618,
-562.8556734408672,
-562.8324650533862,
-562.8097680192645,
-562.7875940739322,
-562.7659536216747,
-562.7448557093763,
-562.7243080092062,
-562.704316810266,
-562.6848870191359,
-562.6660221690831,
-562.6477244377488,
-562.6299946727895,
-562.6128324251627,
-562.5962359893565,
-562.580202450097,
-562.5647277347872,
-562.5498066709922,
-562.535433048331,
-562.5215996839145,
-562.5082984907165,
-562.4955205480816,
-562.483256173669,
-562.471494996194,
-562.4602260282941,
-562.4494377389105,
-562.4391181246569,
-562.429254779658,
-562.419834963412,
-562.4108456662793,
-562.4022736722425,
-562.3941056187065,
-562.3863280530525,
-562.3789274857479,
-562.371890439984,
-562.3652034976567,
-562.358853341663,
-562.3528267945774,
-562.3471108536643,
-562.3416927223128,
-562.3365598380068,
-562.3316998969082,
-562.327100875216,
-562.3227510474361,
-562.3186390016863,
-562.3147536523054,
-562.3110842498168,
-562.3076203884972,
-562.3043520117736,
-562.3012694154988,
-562.2983632493983,
-562.2956245168426,
-562.2930445730464,
-562.290615121954,
-562.288328211868,
-562.2861762300557,
-562.284151896414,
-562.2822482563435,
-562.2804586729512,
-562.2787768186832,
-562.2771966665387,
-562.27571248086,
-562.2743188079248,
-562.2730104662675,
-562.2717825369397,
-562.2706303536672
],
"prior": 0.786847386271605,
"slip": 0.3142891721252889
},
"84": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.4835744456701196,
"learn": 0.1086718346396442,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-4036.802075846641,
-3287.7045757442634,
-3269.6498235548906,
-3262.2522168337678,
-3258.9949248330026,
-3257.484519630225,
-3256.755243104211,
-3256.392720788867,
-3256.2087487633135,
-3256.1140006118217,
-3256.0646829926964,
-3256.0388125680042,
-3256.0251628789147,
-3256.017928590857,
-3256.0140801525217,
-3256.0120259536598,
-3256.0109256722344,
-3256.0103339846596,
-3256.010014205194,
-3256.009840231516,
-3256.009744728614,
-3256.0096916586813,
-3256.0096616824717,
-3256.009644386498,
-3256.009634137647,
-3256.009627869467,
-3256.0096238981014,
-3256.0096212876347,
-3256.0096195094106,
-3256.0096182583925,
-3256.009617353933
],
"prior": 0.8494586196343452,
"slip": 0.06205484927687427
},
"85": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.0337164847229521,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-17625.14866296231,
-16613.318022215222,
-16478.816851714513,
-16427.185580504156,
-16407.84195042175,
-16400.039900690208,
-16396.580054540882,
-16394.94466176448,
-16394.206923832615,
-16394.09127846666,
-16394.0750543061,
-16394.072017346214,
-16394.071188189755,
-16394.070895184424,
-16394.070779986127,
-16394.070733119395,
-16394.070713860754,
-16394.07070592449,
-16394.070702651305,
-16394.070701301043,
-16394.07070074404
],
"prior": 0.7551176574692126,
"slip": 0.09810200240915617
},
"86": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.45249749841827047,
"learn": 0.04521340140181825,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-12929.098295486343,
-12284.164345679352,
-12215.667783726563,
-12186.542190362483,
-12172.851930409643,
-12166.086054244412,
-12162.559626011453,
-12160.642530569261,
-12159.568290736535,
-12158.952589250483,
-12158.593361963309,
-12158.380746310957,
-12158.25344956581,
-12158.176538576625,
-12158.12974054972,
-12158.101111102065,
-12158.083525017686,
-12158.072689549455,
-12158.065998325505,
-12158.0618594327,
-12158.059296184681,
-12158.057707336835,
-12158.056721842147,
-12158.056110295089,
-12158.055730671444,
-12158.05549495848,
-12158.055348575197,
-12158.055257656026,
-12158.05520118054,
-12158.055166097696,
-12158.055144303054,
-12158.05513076297,
-12158.05512235093,
-12158.055117124626,
-12158.055113877566,
-12158.05511186016,
-12158.05511060674,
-12158.055109828003
],
"prior": 0.5695575317890522,
"slip": 0.10905430991831697
},
"9": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-957.0206302225996,
-14.162623774419599,
-3.1922991879105105,
-0.8707796330822701,
-0.43441410145420584,
-0.4334090431871287,
-0.4334090431871287
],
"prior": 0.0001,
"slip": 0.49
},
"90": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.08928858546812403,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2064.2821023223737,
-1881.8601608267643,
-1856.020638736155,
-1843.1900834430617,
-1836.089639785743,
-1833.3949827597141,
-1832.5035910038598,
-1832.1825803180932,
-1832.059635951826,
-1832.0099978122391,
-1831.989138456116,
-1831.9801271908154,
-1831.976163970759,
-1831.9744013946172,
-1831.9736122134163,
-1831.973257442575,
-1831.9730975816017,
-1831.9730254489205,
-1831.9729928754061,
-1831.972978159304,
-1831.9729715091528,
-1831.9729685035447,
-1831.972967145019,
-1831.9729665309405
],
"prior": 0.4540247980776317,
"slip": 0.040877298530999646
},
"91": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.43842802175257345,
"learn": 0.047375571063480386,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-2804.943614493128,
-2621.6251771641328,
-2608.6703932298865,
-2603.9290164287668,
-2601.427455765679,
-2600.043023556297,
-2599.26100629943,
-2598.810187949218,
-2598.545351471627,
-2598.387233244877,
-2598.2915557585275,
-2598.2330242890075,
-2598.196898266682,
-2598.174440606088,
-2598.1603986651503,
-2598.151577394991,
-2598.1460145565347,
-2598.1424955380803,
-2598.1402636726857,
-2598.138845111288,
-2598.137941846605,
-2598.137365804186,
-2598.1369979475717,
-2598.136762756582,
-2598.136612223743,
-2598.1365157798555,
-2598.1364539317083,
-2598.136414233386,
-2598.136388729663,
-2598.136372330575,
-2598.136361776399,
-2598.1363549777006,
-2598.136350594048,
-2598.1363477648097,
-2598.136345936947,
-2598.1363447547856,
-2598.136343989379
],
"prior": 0.5876580990896255,
"slip": 0.1651419344465646
},
"92": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.49,
"learn": 0.0396230008133391,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-984.1580131144085,
-665.8907083644389,
-657.7408325322737,
-653.5942009086287,
-651.5494655524571,
-650.5262342437601,
-650.0006943250647,
-649.7247289780745,
-649.5772742516457,
-649.4973698351723,
-649.4535608822055,
-649.429305561099,
-649.4157668036821,
-649.4081594481554,
-649.403862021866,
-649.4014240768614,
-649.400036416096,
-649.3992445255046,
-649.3987917179956,
-649.3985324030156,
-649.3983837236088,
-649.3982984012972,
-649.3982494042069,
-649.3982212526089,
-649.3982050715566,
-649.3981957681841,
-649.3981904179543,
-649.3981873405845,
-649.3981855703014,
-649.3981845518268,
-649.398183965839
],
"prior": 0.9199553297262836,
"slip": 0.0484933540124581
},
"93": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.3093990979968122,
"learn": 0.34449712560754325,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1248.0727742753918,
-1170.4773948526895,
-1162.378289078159,
-1159.0540650124744,
-1157.5034150097988,
-1156.7570449338275,
-1156.3873729427905,
-1156.1976438065337,
-1156.0960693365644,
-1156.03897879925,
-1156.0050868058222,
-1155.9837500564934,
-1155.9695039514318,
-1155.9594618306362,
-1155.9520489523845,
-1155.9463734269837,
-1155.9419076265742,
-1155.938323805585,
-1155.9354076262402,
-1155.9330116748283,
-1155.9310298371965,
-1155.9293827418626,
-1155.928009189898,
-1155.9268608977522,
-1155.9258991241961,
-1155.925092404257,
-1155.924414958669,
-1155.9238455332065,
-1155.923366523724,
-1155.922963299408,
-1155.9226236688855,
-1155.9223374527844,
-1155.9220961377937,
-1155.9218925943765,
-1155.9217208450816,
-1155.9215758734692,
-1155.9214534660216,
-1155.9213500809599,
-1155.9212627391312,
-1155.9211889331143,
-1155.9211265513545,
-1155.9210738147765,
-1155.9210292237417,
-1155.9209915136212,
-1155.9209596175697,
-1155.920932635256,
-1155.9209098066442,
-1155.9208904899251,
-1155.920874142994,
-1155.920860307826,
-1155.9208485973566,
-1155.920838684414,
-1155.9208302924067,
-1155.920823187443,
-1155.9208171717235,
-1155.9208120779385,
-1155.9208077645442,
-1155.9208041117852,
-1155.920801018328,
-1155.9207983984147,
-1155.9207961794607,
-1155.920794300032,
-1155.9207927081204,
-1155.9207913596983,
-1155.9207902174844,
-1155.920789249923
],
"prior": 0.14794769797618043,
"slip": 0.1278340836982148
},
"97": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.0001,
"learn": 0.0001,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-16.41235375985116,
-7.354246276194615,
-7.334020610174376,
-7.319543792751631,
-7.307949218422282,
-7.297793535211194,
-7.288293789650948,
-7.279070192405415,
-7.2700823254657,
-7.261050518769065,
-7.252037514065578,
-7.243105759328833,
-7.2343164643366435,
-7.225728737090722,
-7.217398717289678,
-7.209378645198703,
-7.201715838802814,
-7.1944516024087735,
-7.187620142708216,
-7.181247608737259,
-7.175351387658708,
-7.169939772867469,
-7.16501207732952,
-7.160559204079638,
-7.156564622637625,
-7.153005649397973,
-7.149854901481261,
-7.147081789731286,
-7.144653933680617,
-7.142538411664576,
-7.140702794261591,
-7.139115941827018,
-7.13774857271108,
-7.136573626164832,
-7.135566453347497,
-7.134704872822425,
-7.133969125428227,
-7.133341759272687,
-7.132807470276053,
-7.132352918196662,
-7.131966533013585,
-7.131638322220089,
-7.131359686090491,
-7.131123245286784,
-7.1309753614061915,
-7.130853159653818,
-7.1307502428943765,
-7.130663600064897,
-7.1305906808124915,
-7.130529327726112,
-7.130477717773182,
-7.1304343118777345,
-7.130397811686123,
-7.1303671226211645,
-7.130341322398431,
-7.1303196342595845,
-7.130301404259739,
-7.130286082026103,
-7.130273204479034,
-7.130262382075031,
-7.130253287191652,
-7.130245644328813,
-7.130239221847573,
-7.130237359159654,
-7.130237359133521
],
"prior": 0.07398768643795496,
"slip": 0.0001
},
"98": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2430226251684257,
"learn": 0.0634572201988842,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-1858.1951004796442,
-1795.1522562911264,
-1786.0664884406879,
-1782.3837826402137,
-1780.3060831483776,
-1778.9307602874878,
-1777.943018169111,
-1777.2005553807692,
-1776.6272827055898,
-1776.177458394323,
-1775.8210329623519,
-1775.5369052841775,
-1775.3095400979764,
-1775.127132203647,
-1774.9805274265939,
-1774.8625371161218,
-1774.7674717150235,
-1774.6908057714581,
-1774.6289279385383,
-1774.5789496378304,
-1774.5385562997494,
-1774.5058905904768,
-1774.479460202043,
-1774.458064757872,
-1774.4407377128607,
-1774.4267000741581,
-1774.4153234706607,
-1774.4061006350112,
-1774.3986217745216,
-1774.3925556295724,
-1774.3876342696715,
-1774.3836408746008,
-1774.380399903492,
-1774.3777691771222,
-1774.375633494926,
-1774.3738994849227,
-1774.3724914453112,
-1774.3713479842609,
-1774.370419303232,
-1774.3696649992235,
-1774.369052285899,
-1774.368554553318,
-1774.368150201136,
-1774.3678216931496,
-1774.367554790951,
-1774.367337932442,
-1774.3671617279433,
-1774.3670185513179,
-1774.3669022082947,
-1774.3668076672657,
-1774.3667308407842,
-1774.3666684082245,
-1774.3666176718136,
-1774.3665764396367,
-1774.3665429307812,
-1774.3665156981706,
-1774.3664935659717,
-1774.366475578711,
-1774.3664609599807,
-1774.366449078825,
-1774.366439422503,
-1774.3664315743508,
-1774.3664251957337,
-1774.366420011452,
-1774.3664157978685,
-1774.3664123731846,
-1774.3664095897095,
-1774.3664073273726,
-1774.366405488595,
-1774.3664039940686,
-1774.366402779343,
-1774.3664017920369
],
"prior": 0.636454334079628,
"slip": 0.24920177586026213
},
"99": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.291110479572627,
"learn": 0.054112186581762665,
"log_likelihood_history": [
-6235.434966116638,
-5883.5963610171675,
-5854.240525751088,
-5844.1274372759535,
-5838.533782954604,
-5835.073924410401,
-5832.833785229955,
-5831.341710004527,
-5830.329760225609,
-5829.635775434979,
-5829.156706241907,
-5828.824748486722,
-5828.594251078411,
-5828.434032983262,
-5828.322612124637,
-5828.245114549854,
-5828.1912132833695,
-5828.153728076349,
-5828.1276633098905,
-5828.109542565518,
-5828.096946686555,
-5828.088192486012,
-5828.0821090800355,
-5828.077882136427,
-5828.07494541839,
-5828.072905276182,
-5828.071488091041,
-5828.070503704672,
-5828.069819979317,
-5828.069345105193,
-5828.069015298785,
-5828.068786250976,
-5828.068627183357,
-5828.06851671752,
-5828.068440005021,
-5828.068386733176,
-5828.068349739823,
-5828.068324050949,
-5828.068306212275,
-5828.0682938249565,
-5828.068285223181,
-5828.068279250106,
-5828.068275102425,
-5828.068272222291,
-5828.068270222351,
-5828.068268833617,
-5828.068267869279
],
"prior": 0.641417168270522,
"slip": 0.23228746907433157
}
},
"fallback": {
"forget": 0.0,
"guess": 0.2,
"learn": 0.1,
"log_likelihood_history": [],
"prior": 0.3,
"slip": 0.1
}
}