CHSM8-player-base: games-only continuation (one full pass over 26M games)

CHSM8 pretrained decoder (LegumMagister/chsm8-pt) continued for exactly one pass over 26.0M unique human games (1.95B move tokens; Lichess pool, deduplicated, split seed 20260802) with no text: plain next-move prediction on the whole game (both sides). Unconditioned strong base for the player fine-tunes (see Player models).

  • Architecture: Llama-style decoder, 12 layers x 960, 15 heads, SwiGLU 3520, QK-norm, factored move head; 166.2M parameters (chsm8-pt without its 44.3M cross-attention scaffold).
  • Pretraining cross-attention (frozen, constant input) removed exactly: its constant output became a per-layer bias (xbias); loss at step 0 identical to the pretrained model.
  • Recipe (picked by 10/30/60-min ablations, val loss): AdamW lr 5e-5, cosine to 0 by tokens, warmup 5%, batch 4 GPUs x 32 x 512, legal-move penalty 0.5, bf16.
  • Val loss (fixed 40-batch val set) at 10%, 20%, … 90% of the pass: 2.9236, 2.9117, 2.9104, 2.9068, 2.8948, 2.8871, 2.8855, 2.8786, 2.8773

Strength: 1000 games vs Stockfish 17.1 (UCI_Elo 2000, 0.05 s/move)

checkpoint (share of the pass) Elo
pct20 1889 (95% CI 1869-1907, 999 games)
pct40 1881 (95% CI 1861-1900, 1000 games)
pct60 1886 (95% CI 1867-1905, 1000 games)
pct80 1883 (95% CI 1863-1902, 999 games)
final 1890 (95% CI 1870-1909, 1000 games)

Reference: the pretrained base, chsm8-pt, scored 1837 on the same benchmark; one extra pass over games gives +53.

Bradley–Terry ranking against 19 other models

From the CHSM8 technical report (Table "Bradley–Terry strength"). One Bradley–Terry fit over all 64,746 games played between the models and Stockfish 17.1 at UCI_Elo 2000, which is fixed at 2000 as the anchor. BT is that strength with its 95% interval; Elo is the model's rating from its 1,000 games against Stockfish alone; Elo rank is its place by that Elo, with ▲/▼ the places gained or lost under BT. Ours in bold. Groups: supervised move prediction, strong recent models without search, and search.

# Model Group BT (95% CI) Games Elo Elo rank
1 Matilda search 2674 ±39 4,000 3009 1
2 Searchless 136M strong, no search 2431 ±21 3,999 2584 2
3 Searchless 270M strong, no search 2418 ±21 3,982 2505 3
4 Searchless 9M strong, no search 2321 ±17 3,996 2403 4
5 QUEEN (PAWN-8) strong, no search 2291 ±34 800 2354 5
6 Maia-3 79M strong, no search 2271 ±15 3,997 2271 6
7 Allie 2.0 strong, no search 2250 ±15 4,000 2232 7
8 chsm8-player-carlsen supervised 2022 ±10 16,199 1903 11 ▲3
9 chsm8-player-base supervised 2006 ±10 16,200 1890 12 ▲3
10 Stockfish (anchor) search 2000 (fixed) 18,146 – 10
11 Otter 15M strong, no search 1972 ±12 3,999 2021 8 ▼3
12 ChessLFM with search search 1969 ±12 3,985 2001 9 ▼3
13 chsm8-pt supervised 1953 ±9 17,199 1837 14 ▲1
14 Maia-2 blitz supervised 1814 ±13 4,198 1657 19 ▲5
15 Chess-GPT (Karvonen) supervised 1786 ±14 4,199 1873 13 ▼2
16 chess-gpt2-uci supervised 1691 ±16 4,197 1784 15 ▼1
17 ChessFormer (Transcendence) supervised 1642 ±17 4,200 1733 16 ▼1
18 ChessGPT-base 2.8B supervised 1619 ±18 4,199 1731 17 ▼1
19 ChessLFM supervised 1595 ±20 3,997 1687 18 ▼1
20 C1-4B strong, no search 1164 ±59 4,000 1112 20

This model is ninth overall and the second-strongest model trained only by supervised move prediction, behind its own Carlsen fine-tune; against the full field it ranks above Stockfish at UCI_Elo 2000, Otter 15M and ChessLFM with search, although its Elo against Stockfish alone is lower than theirs.

Player models

Each player model is this model fine-tuned on one player's own moves (full fine-tune, AdamW lr 3e-5, cosine, 2 passes over the player's unique games; the opponent's moves are context only). Games come from chess.com and lichess for active players and from PGN Mentor (classical over-the-board) for historical ones. Held out: the player's most recent games (val + test, up to 1,000 each), never trained on.

How well a fine-tune captures the player (on held-out test games, player's own moves only):

  • Move-match: share of positions where the model's top move is the move the player actually played (base = this model before fine-tuning).
  • Top-3: the played move is among the model's top 3.
  • CE: cross-entropy on the player's moves (lower = closer to the player).
  • Model Elo: the fine-tuned model's strength, 1000 games vs Stockfish 17.1 at UCI_Elo 2000, 0.05 s/move (this base model: 1890).

The model imitates the player's moves in the games available (mostly online blitz and rapid for active players); it does not reach the player's strength. Fine-tunes stay within about ±40 Elo of the base.

FIDE top 10

# Player FIDE (2026-09) Model Unique games Move-match base → fit Top-3 CE base → fit Model Elo
1 Magnus Carlsen 2823 chsm8-player-carlsen 17,561 0.554 → 0.569 0.798 2.969 → 2.915 1903
2 Hikaru Nakamura 2792 chsm8-player-nakamura 19,997 0.540 → 0.572 0.797 3.039 → 2.862 1850
3 Fabiano Caruana 2784 chsm8-player-caruana 5,513 0.545 → 0.556 0.788 2.960 → 2.938 1902
4 Javokhir Sindarov 2782 chsm8-player-sindarov 1,371 0.557 → 0.567 0.794 2.959 → 2.897 1897
5 Nodirbek Abdusattorov 2780 chsm8-player-abdusattorov 5,356 0.544 → 0.549 0.782 2.967 → 2.995 1906
6 Wesley So 2770 chsm8-player-so 5,300 0.547 → 0.564 0.793 2.962 → 2.969 1910
7 Praggnanandhaa R 2763 chsm8-player-praggnanandhaa 7,467 0.543 → 0.550 0.776 3.016 → 3.008 1871
8 Vincent Keymer 2761 chsm8-player-keymer 10,906 0.538 → 0.567 0.789 3.073 → 2.980 1887
9 Wei Yi 2758 chsm8-player-wei-yi 2,869 0.552 → 0.555 0.780 3.007 → 3.015 1895
10 Alireza Firouzja 2757 chsm8-player-firouzja 19,999 0.555 → 0.559 0.785 2.962 → 2.960 1884

Bonus: historical players

Four classic players, added because they shaped chess history and are widely known. Their games are classical over-the-board games from before online chess, so there is less data and much older play.

Player Peak FIDE Why Model Unique games Move-match base → fit CE base → fit Model Elo
Garry Kasparov 2851 (1999) 13th World Champion; world #1 for most of 1984–2005 chsm8-player-kasparov 1,727 0.533 → 0.539 3.153 → 3.103 1900
Bobby Fischer 2785 (1972) 11th World Champion; won the 1972 "Match of the Century" against Spassky chsm8-player-fischer 660 0.572 → 0.567 2.969 → 2.891 1875
Anatoly Karpov 2780 (1994) 12th World Champion (1975–85); one of the most successful tournament players ever chsm8-player-karpov 3,128 0.519 → 0.543 3.159 → 3.043 1905
Judit Polgar 2735 (2005) strongest woman player in history; world #8 overall at her peak chsm8-player-polgar-judit 1,459 0.530 → 0.539 3.181 → 3.099 1887

Small corpora (Fischer: 660 games) give noisier fits: Fischer's top-1 move-match drops slightly while his CE improves.

Usage

The checkpoint is a PyTorch dict (model_state_dict, cfg) for the CHSM8 decoder (factored move head over (kind, src, dst, piece, promo)). Moves are fed as factored rows, BOS first; there is no text input, and play picks the best legal move by summed factored log-probability. The model classes and the loading and play code will be released later with the project code.

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