Improve model card metadata and link paper
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by nielsr HF Staff - opened
README.md
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license: mit
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tags:
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pipeline_tag: image-segmentation
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library_name: pytorch
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pretty_name: WildFIRE-FM
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<p align="center"><b>Five seeded PyTorch checkpoints, paper-aligned evaluation artifacts, final figure previews, and source-data access notes for 12-hour wildfire occupancy prediction on a 5 km California grid.</b></p>
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<p>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/resolve/main/paper/wildfire_fm_evaluation_contracts.pdf"><img alt="Paper PDF" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Paper-compiled%20PDF-0F5C5F?style=flat-square"></a>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/tree/main/models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints"><img alt="Checkpoints" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Checkpoints-5%20seeds-C66B2D?style=flat-square"></a>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/blob/main/models/wildfire_fm/modeling_unet.py"><img alt="PyTorch" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/PyTorch-model%20code-EE4C2C?style=flat-square&logo=pytorch&logoColor=white"></a>
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</p>
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<p>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/tree/main/models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints"><b>Download checkpoints</b></a> ·
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM#quick-start"><b>Load the model</b></a> ·
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM#task-contract-snapshot"><b>Inspect task-contract results</b></a>
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<table>
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<tr>
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<td width="33%" valign="top">
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<h3><a href="https://huggingface.co/
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<p>
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</td>
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<td width="33%" valign="top">
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<h3><a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/tree/main/models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints">Model Checkpoints</a></h3>
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WildFIRE-FM is the in-region reference model used in those comparisons. It is trained for 12-hour gridded wildfire occupancy on a California 5 km grid, then evaluated under the same task-specific contracts as the transferred Earth-FM backbones.
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This Hub repository is model-first. It provides the released weights, model-loading code, compact result summaries, paper previews, and source-data access notes needed to inspect the release boundary before running larger local reproductions.
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---
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## Key Features
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- **Five seeded checkpoints:** Seeds `1`, `7`, `42`, `99`, and `123` are released with manifest hashes.
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- **Fixed-contract artifacts:** Compact summaries cover matching-rule, head-selection, and task-form comparisons from the final paper.
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- **Source-data aware release:** Provider links and data roles are documented for each public resource used by the study.
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- **Compiled paper PDF:** The readable manuscript is available directly from the Hub release.
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- **Paper-aligned previews:** Figure assets summarize selection regret, supporting-task rank changes, and primary-task rank changes.
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<table>
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<tr>
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<td width="50%" valign="top">
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<h3>Reference model for wildfire transfer</h3>
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<p>WildFIRE-FM combines regional weather, active-fire supervision, and static fuel, canopy, housing, and population context on the same grid used by the occupancy contract.</p>
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</td>
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<td width="50%" valign="top">
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<h3>Contract-first evaluation artifacts</h3>
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<p>The released summaries keep metric roles separate across decision, overlap, ranking, regression, and supporting-task checks.</p>
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</td>
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</tr>
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<td width="50%" valign="top">
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<h3>Local-data reproducibility path</h3>
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<p>Full raw-data reruns use provider-hosted sources and local feature caches. The Hub release documents those inputs and provides lightweight artifact checks.</p>
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</td>
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<td width="50%" valign="top">
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<h3>Final-paper result previews</h3>
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<p>The model card highlights the paper's fixed-output, fixed-feature, and task-form findings without requiring manuscript source files.</p>
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</td>
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</tr>
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</table>
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---
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## Visual Tour
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<p align="center">
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<img src="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/resolve/main/assets/release_contents.svg" alt="Release contents" width="92%">
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</p>
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**Release contents.** The Hub repository is organized around weights, model code, source-data notes, compact artifacts, and final-paper visual previews.
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<p align="center">
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<img src="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/resolve/main/assets/selection_regret_final.png" alt="Head-selection regret" width="88%">
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</p>
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**Head-selection regret.** Choosing a lightweight head by a ranking metric can lose decision performance under the same frozen features.
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<p align="center">
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<img src="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/resolve/main/assets/supporting_rank_map_final.png" alt="Supporting task rank map" width="88%">
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</p>
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**Supporting-task rank map.** Backbone ordering changes across burned area, analog retrieval, smoke PM2.5, and extreme heat task contracts.
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<p align="center">
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<img src="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/resolve/main/assets/primary_rank_change_final.png" alt="Primary rank changes" width="88%">
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</p>
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**Primary-task rank changes.** Primary-task rankings change under fixed matching-rule and task-form choices.
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---
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## At A Glance
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| Signal | Release value |
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| Core task | 12-hour gridded wildfire occupancy prediction |
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| Region/grid | California regional grid, 5 km, EPSG:5070 |
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| Input channels | 16 channels: weather fields, validity masks, static fuel/canopy/exposure layers |
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| Architecture | Compact U-Net with occupancy and auxiliary spatial-support heads |
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| Training split | June-August 2024 train, September 2024 validation, October 2024 test |
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| Released checkpoints | 5 seeded PyTorch checkpoints |
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| Data access path | Source links and roles documented in `data_sources/` |
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| Paper artifact path | Compiled PDF in `paper/`; manuscript source managed in the authors' paper workspace |
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---
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## Hugging Face Release
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This Hub repository is a model release with paper-aligned reproducibility artifacts.
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| Folder | Purpose | Example |
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| `models/wildfire_fm/` | Model code, manifests, checkpoint metadata | `models/wildfire_fm/modeling_unet.py` |
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| `models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints/` | Five seeded PyTorch checkpoints | `seed_1/best_firms_prauc.pt` |
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| `paper/` | Compiled paper PDF | `wildfire_fm_evaluation_contracts.pdf` |
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| `assets/` | Hub-page visuals and final-paper previews | `selection_regret_final.png` |
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| `paper_outputs/figures/` | Selected final-paper figure PDFs | `fig_rank_heatmap1.pdf` |
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| `artifacts/results/` | Sanitized compact numeric summaries | `selection_regret_scope_sweep_20260505.csv` |
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| `data_sources/` | Public data-source roles and access notes | `DATA_SOURCES.md` |
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| `experiments/` | Sanitized raw-rerun references and Slurm template | `slurm/submit_template.sbatch` |
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Full local reruns require users to prepare the provider-hosted raw data and comparator assets described in `data_sources/`.
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---
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## Quick Start
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model.eval()
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```
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Verify the public release artifacts:
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```bash
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python3 scripts/reproduce_paper_outputs.py
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```
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The checkpoint expects the same 16-channel gridded input described in the paper and in `data_sources/DATA_SOURCES.md`.
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---
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## Task-Contract Snapshot
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The card below reports the best final-paper mean for each displayed task contract, with the winning backbone named in the final column.
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| Task contract | Best final-paper mean | Winner |
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| Occupancy union F1 | `60.1506 ± 7.5865` percent | ClimaX |
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| Smoke PM2.5 RMSE | `4.4403 ± 0.0488`, lower is better | AlphaEarth |
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| Extreme-heat RMSE-C | `0.2179 ± 0.0043`, lower is better | WildFIRE-FM |
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The release provides sanitized CSV/JSON summaries used to audit displayed values.
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## Data Sources
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The study uses public or provider-hosted resources. Source roles and access paths are documented in `data_sources/DATA_SOURCES.md`.
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- NOAA HRRR fields for regional weather inputs.
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- NASA FIRMS active-fire detections for occupancy supervision.
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- LANDFIRE fuel and canopy layers for static landscape context.
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- Wildfire Risk to Communities housing density and LandScan population for exposure context.
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- WFIGS and MTBS event-level resources for burned-area and analog tasks.
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- External Earth-FM and backbone assets for comparator features.
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---
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## Repository Layout
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```text
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WildFIRE-FM/
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README.md
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LICENSE
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requirements.txt
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models/wildfire_fm/
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modeling_unet.py
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checkpoint_manifest.json
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checkpoints/seed_*/best_firms_prauc.pt
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paper/
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wildfire_fm_evaluation_contracts.pdf
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assets/
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wildfire_fm_model_card.svg
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release_contents.svg
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selection_regret_final.png
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supporting_rank_map_final.png
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primary_rank_change_final.png
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paper_outputs/figures/
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matching.pdf
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fig_task_contract_tiles.pdf
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fig_selection_regret_scatter.pdf
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fig_rank_heatmap1.pdf
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artifacts/
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manifests/
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results/
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data_sources/
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DATA_SOURCES.md
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experiments/
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raw_reference/
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slurm/
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scripts/
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audit_release.py
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reproduce_paper_outputs.py
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```
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---
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## How To Cite
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}
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```
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The citation will be updated with arXiv metadata after the preprint is public.
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---
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## News
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- **2026-05-18** - The model card was reorganized with a larger navigation panel and final-paper visual previews.
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- **2026-05-13** - The Hub release added the compiled paper PDF without checklist pages.
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- **2026-05-13** - Five seeded WildFIRE-FM checkpoints were uploaded with SHA-256 metadata.
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---
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## Scope
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WildFIRE-FM is scoped to the paper's California regional grid and fixed-contract wildfire transfer comparisons. Use in a new region or grid should start with local preprocessing, validation, and contract-specific evaluation. The release is designed for research inspection, artifact-level checking, and model-loading experiments rather than operational alerting.
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## License
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This release is provided under the MIT license. External data and comparator assets remain governed by their original providers and terms of use.
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WildFIRE-FM is released to make wildfire Earth-FM transfer comparisons easier to inspect, reproduce at the artifact level, and evaluate under explicit contracts.
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---
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library_name: pytorch
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license: mit
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pipeline_tag: other
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tags:
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- wildfire
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- geospatial
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- weather
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- earth-observation
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- foundation-models
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- evaluation
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- pytorch
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pretty_name: WildFIRE-FM
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---
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<p align="center"><b>Five seeded PyTorch checkpoints, paper-aligned evaluation artifacts, final figure previews, and source-data access notes for 12-hour wildfire occupancy prediction on a 5 km California grid.</b></p>
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<p>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/papers/2605.18911"><img alt="Paper" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Paper-HF%20Paper%20Page-blue?style=flat-square"></a>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/resolve/main/paper/wildfire_fm_evaluation_contracts.pdf"><img alt="Paper PDF" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Paper-compiled%20PDF-0F5C5F?style=flat-square"></a>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/tree/main/models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints"><img alt="Checkpoints" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Checkpoints-5%20seeds-C66B2D?style=flat-square"></a>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/blob/main/models/wildfire_fm/modeling_unet.py"><img alt="PyTorch" src="https://img.shields.io/badge/PyTorch-model%20code-EE4C2C?style=flat-square&logo=pytorch&logoColor=white"></a>
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</p>
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<p>
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/papers/2605.18911"><b>Read the paper</b></a> ·
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/tree/main/models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints"><b>Download checkpoints</b></a> ·
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM#quick-start"><b>Load the model</b></a> ·
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<a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM#task-contract-snapshot"><b>Inspect task-contract results</b></a>
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<table>
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<tr>
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<td width="33%" valign="top">
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<h3><a href="https://huggingface.co/papers/2605.18911">Paper Page</a></h3>
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<p>Visit the paper page on Hugging Face for the full manuscript, discussions, and related research.</p>
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</td>
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<td width="33%" valign="top">
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<h3><a href="https://huggingface.co/RAI-Lab/Wildfire-FM/tree/main/models/wildfire_fm/checkpoints">Model Checkpoints</a></h3>
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WildFIRE-FM is the in-region reference model used in those comparisons. It is trained for 12-hour gridded wildfire occupancy on a California 5 km grid, then evaluated under the same task-specific contracts as the transferred Earth-FM backbones.
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---
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## Key Features
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- **Five seeded checkpoints:** Seeds `1`, `7`, `42`, `99`, and `123` are released with manifest hashes.
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- **Fixed-contract artifacts:** Compact summaries cover matching-rule, head-selection, and task-form comparisons from the final paper.
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- **Source-data aware release:** Provider links and data roles are documented for each public resource used by the study.
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- **Paper-aligned previews:** Figure assets summarize selection regret, supporting-task rank changes, and primary-task rank changes.
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---
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## Quick Start
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model.eval()
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```
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The checkpoint expects the same 16-channel gridded input described in the paper and in `data_sources/DATA_SOURCES.md`.
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---
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## Task-Contract Snapshot
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| Task contract | Best final-paper mean | Winner |
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|---|---:|---|
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| Occupancy union F1 | `60.1506 ± 7.5865` percent | ClimaX |
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| Smoke PM2.5 RMSE | `4.4403 ± 0.0488`, lower is better | AlphaEarth |
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| Extreme-heat RMSE-C | `0.2179 ± 0.0043`, lower is better | WildFIRE-FM |
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---
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| 181 |
## How To Cite
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}
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```
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---
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| 196 |
+
WildFIRE-FM is released to make wildfire Earth-FM transfer comparisons easier to inspect, reproduce at the artifact level, and evaluate under explicit contracts.
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