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#!/usr/bin/env python
from __future__ import annotations

import json
from dataclasses import asdict, dataclass
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any


RESULTS_DIR = Path("results")
BASELINE_H16_POLICY = 0.29739130434782607


@dataclass(frozen=True)
class ResultSpec:
    key: str
    label: str
    path: str
    clean_deployment: str
    same_state_proposals: str
    expert_proposal: str
    story_role: str
    fallback_success: float | None = None
    pending_job: str = ""


SPECS = [
    ResultSpec(
        key="h16_policy",
        label="Direct h=16 policy",
        path="",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="behavior-cloning baseline",
        fallback_success=0.29739130434782607,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="gaussian_field",
        label="Gaussian field search",
        path="h16_field_sweep_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="negative off-manifold field ablation",
        fallback_success=0.2910,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_lattice_no_expert",
        label="Nearest train-state lattice, no expert",
        path="h16_retrieval_lattice_no_expert_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="negative generic action-library ablation",
        fallback_success=0.2713,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="near_miss_policy_bc5_field",
        label="Near-miss proposal policy + field",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_field_sweep_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="strong clean proposal-field bridge",
        fallback_success=0.3293,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="field_optim",
        label="Trust-region field optimization",
        path="h16_field_optim_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_s4_trust05_afterany_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="differentiable field-ascent diagnostic",
        pending_job="14842528/14842551",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="nonexpert_policy_bc5",
        label="Best non-expert proposal policy",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_nonexpert_policy_bc5_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="broader non-expert proposal-model ablation",
        pending_job="14842574/14842575/14842616",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="nonexpert_policy_bc5_field",
        label="Best non-expert proposal policy + field",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_nonexpert_policy_bc5_bestpt_field_sweep_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="broader proposal-field ablation",
        pending_job="14842574/14842577/14842617",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="field_selected_noexpert_policy",
        label="Field-selected no-expert distillation policy",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_field_selected_noexpert_bc5_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="student of field-on-lattice teacher",
        pending_job="14858327/14858328/14858329/14858330",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="field_selected_noexpert_policy_field",
        label="Field-selected no-expert distillation + field",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_field_selected_noexpert_bc5_bestpt_field_sweep_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="student proposal with field scoring",
        pending_job="14858327/14858328/14858331/14858332",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="field_selected_noexpert_policy_allmap",
        label="Field-selected no-expert distillation policy, aligned validation",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_field_selected_noexpert_bc5_allmap_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="field-teacher student with aligned checkpoint selection",
        pending_job="14858449/14858450/14858451/14858452",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="field_selected_noexpert_policy_allmap_field",
        label="Field-selected no-expert distillation + field, aligned validation",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_field_selected_noexpert_bc5_allmap_bestpt_field_sweep_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="aligned field-teacher student with field scoring",
        pending_job="14858449/14858450/14858453/14858454",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_tangent_distill_allmap",
        label="Residual-tangent distillation policy, aligned validation",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_residual_tangent_bc5_allmap_v2_best_policy_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="negative student of transported tangent teacher",
        pending_job="14862455/14862456/14862457/14862458",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual",
        label="Train-state counterfactual residual retrieval",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_v2_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="transferable local tangent proposal",
        pending_job="14857111/14857112/14857113",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale025",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.25",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p25_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="tangent transport scale ablation",
        pending_job="14858875/14858876",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="tangent transport scale ablation",
        pending_job="14858877/14858878",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050_zscore",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50, z-score retrieval",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_zscore_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="state-normalized tangent retrieval ablation",
        pending_job="14859197/14859198",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050_zscore_no_random_wrongdir",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50, z-score retrieval, no random/wrong-direction residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_zscore_no_random_wrongdir_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="state-normalized typed tangent retrieval ablation",
        pending_job="14859199/14859200",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale025_zscore_no_random_wrongdir",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.25, z-score retrieval, no random/wrong-direction residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p25_zscore_no_random_wrongdir_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="state-normalized typed tangent retrieval ablation",
        pending_job="14859201/14859202",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050_no_random",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50, no random residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_no_random_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="anti-goal residual family mask ablation",
        pending_job="14859188/14859189",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050_no_random_wrongdir",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50, no random/wrong-direction residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_no_random_wrongdir_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="anti-goal residual family mask ablation",
        pending_job="14859191/14859192",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale025_no_random_wrongdir",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.25, no random/wrong-direction residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p25_no_random_wrongdir_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="anti-goal residual family mask ablation",
        pending_job="14859193/14859194",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050_safe_types",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50, policy/no-op/wrong-gripper residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_safe_types_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="typed tangent-family mask ablation",
        pending_job="14859195/14859196",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale035_safe_types",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.35, policy/no-op/wrong-gripper residuals",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p35_safe_types_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="typed tangent scale fine sweep",
        pending_job="14859503/14859504",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale035_safe_margin020",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.35, safe residuals, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p35_safe_types_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual advantage abstention",
        pending_job="14862714/14862715",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale050_safe_margin020",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.50, safe residuals, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale0p50_safe_types_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual advantage abstention scale tie",
        pending_job="14862802/14862803",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_knn2_scale040_safe_margin020",
        label="K2 train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.40, safe residuals, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_knn2_scale0p40_safe_types_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="previous best counterfactual advantage abstention",
        pending_job="14862936/14862937",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_taskrelative_knn2_scale040_safe_margin020",
        label="K2 task-relative residual retrieval, scale 0.40, safe residuals, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_taskrelative_knn2_scale0p40_safe_types_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="task-relative state metric for counterfactual tangent retrieval",
        pending_job="14893789/14893790",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k1grid_tight_safe_ray_margin020",
        label="K1 train-state residual ray search, safe residuals, scales 0.30/0.40/0.50, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k1grid_tight_safe_ray_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual tangent ray-search diagnostic",
        pending_job="14868993/14868994",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k2grid_tight_safe_ray_margin020",
        label="K2 train-state residual ray search, safe residuals, scales 0.30/0.40/0.50, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k2grid_tight_safe_ray_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual tangent ray-search diagnostic",
        pending_job="14868995/14868996",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k2grid_broad_safe_ray_margin020",
        label="K2 train-state residual ray search, safe residuals, scales 0.20/0.35/0.50/0.65, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k2grid_broad_safe_ray_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual tangent ray-search diagnostic",
        pending_job="14868997/14868998",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4grid_tight_safe_ray_margin020",
        label="K4 train-state residual ray search, safe residuals, scales 0.30/0.40/0.50, advantage margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4grid_tight_safe_ray_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual tangent ray-search diagnostic",
        pending_job="14868999/14869000",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_scale040_safe_margin020_mean_by_type",
        label="K4 train-state residual retrieval, scale 0.40, safe residuals, mean-by-type tangent consensus",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4s040_safe_margin0p20_mean_by_type_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="counterfactual tangent consensus near-tie ablation",
        pending_job="14868699/14868700",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_kernel_mean",
        label="K4 kernel-weighted residual retrieval, scale 0.40, margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4s040_safe_margin0p20_kernel_mean_by_type_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="local counterfactual tangent-field interpolation",
        pending_job="14891067/14891083",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_kernel_mean_noopbonus003",
        label="K4 kernel-weighted residual retrieval, scale 0.40, margin 0.20, no-op residual bonus 0.03",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4s040_safe_margin0p20_kernel_mean_by_type_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="local counterfactual tangent-field interpolation with sparse-action prior",
        pending_job="14891072/14891085",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_kernel_mean_s035_noopbonus003",
        label="K4 kernel-weighted residual retrieval, scale 0.35, margin 0.20, no-op residual bonus 0.03",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4s035_safe_margin0p20_kernel_mean_by_type_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="local counterfactual tangent-field interpolation scale check",
        pending_job="14891076/14891087",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_kernel_mean_s045_noopbonus003",
        label="K4 kernel-weighted residual retrieval, scale 0.45, margin 0.20, no-op residual bonus 0.03",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4s045_safe_margin0p20_kernel_mean_by_type_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="local counterfactual tangent-field interpolation scale check",
        pending_job="14891082/14891088",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_fieldsoftmax_grid",
        label="K4 field-softmax residual transport, safe residuals, scales 0.35/0.40/0.45, margin 0.20",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_fieldsoftmax_grid_safe_margin0p20_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="field-conditioned counterfactual tangent transport",
        pending_job="14891889/14891934",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_fieldsoftmax_grid_noopbonus003",
        label="K4 field-softmax residual transport, safe residuals, scales 0.35/0.40/0.45, margin 0.20, no-op residual bonus 0.03",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_fieldsoftmax_grid_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="field-conditioned tangent transport with sparse-action prior",
        pending_job="14891902/14891946",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_k4_fieldsoftmax_grid_margin010_noopbonus003",
        label="K4 field-softmax residual transport, safe residuals, scales 0.35/0.40/0.45, margin 0.10, no-op residual bonus 0.03",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_fieldsoftmax_grid_safe_margin0p10_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="field-conditioned tangent transport abstention sweep",
        pending_job="14892958/14893002",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmchallenger0p01_scales035040_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmchallenger0p03_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmwgchallenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmwgmargin0p03_challenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmwgmargin0p05_challenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmwgchallenger0p01_pickpull_norm_summary.json",
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        same_state_proposals="no",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmglobal_wgpickpull_challenger0p01_norm_summary.json",
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        same_state_proposals="no",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmglobal_wgpickpull_wgmargin0p03_challenger0p01_summary.json",
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        same_state_proposals="no",
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        pending_job="14991117/14991125",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmglobal_wgpickpull_wgmargin0p05_challenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmglobal_wgpickpullstack_challenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmglobal_noopwgcontact_challenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k6_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmchallenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k8_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_nmchallenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_typesuccessbonus0p02_nmchallenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_typesuccessbonus0p05_nmchallenger0p01_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_srcscorebonus0p02_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_srcscorebonus0p02_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_l2comp002_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_compbonus_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_l2comp002_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_l2comp005_grid035040045_safe_margin0p20_noopbonus0p03_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_repair_nearmiss_k4_grid025035050_margin0p20_summary.json",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_repair_nearmiss_k4_grid035050075_margin0p20_summary.json",
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        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
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        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_repair_nearmiss_k4_grid025035050_margin0p10_summary.json",
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        same_state_proposals="no",
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        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="tangent transport scale ablation",
        pending_job="14858879/14858880",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_scale125",
        label="Train-state residual retrieval, scale 1.25",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_scale1p25_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="tangent transport scale ablation",
        pending_job="14858881/14858882",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_hybrid_k32",
        label="Train-state residual + Gaussian proposals, K32 sigma0.35",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_hybrid_k32_sigma0p35_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="hybrid tangent/local proposal bridge",
        pending_job="14859042/14859043",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_hybrid_k64",
        label="Train-state residual + Gaussian proposals, K64 sigma0.50",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_hybrid_k64_sigma0p50_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="hybrid tangent/local proposal bridge",
        pending_job="14859044/14859045",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="retrieval_residual_knn4",
        label="KNN counterfactual residual retrieval",
        path="h16_policy_ckpt_near_miss_policy_bc5_bestpt_retrieval_residual_knn4_v2_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="yes",
        same_state_proposals="no",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="KNN tangent proposal ablation",
        pending_job="14857114/14857115/14857116",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="near_miss_only_lattice",
        label="Same-state lattice, near-miss only",
        path="h16_lattice_near_miss_only_v2_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="no",
        same_state_proposals="yes",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="minimal mechanism result",
        fallback_success=0.5594,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="no_expert_lattice",
        label="Same-state lattice, no expert",
        path="h16_lattice_no_expert_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="no",
        same_state_proposals="yes",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="main conservative mechanism result",
        fallback_success=0.5699,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="no_expert_lattice_policy_baseline_margin000",
        label="Same-state no-expert lattice with policy baseline candidate, margin 0.00",
        path="h16_lattice_no_expert_policy_baseline_margin000_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="no",
        same_state_proposals="yes",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="negative policy-baseline abstention diagnostic",
        pending_job="14868661/14868662",
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="no_near_miss_no_expert_lattice",
        label="Same-state lattice, no expert/no near-miss",
        path="h16_lattice_no_near_miss_no_expert_v2_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="no",
        same_state_proposals="yes",
        expert_proposal="no",
        story_role="mechanism knockout",
        fallback_success=0.2557,
    ),
    ResultSpec(
        key="full_lattice",
        label="Same-state lattice, full",
        path="h16_lattice_summary.json",
        clean_deployment="no",
        same_state_proposals="yes",
        expert_proposal="yes",
        story_role="upper result with expert proposal",
        fallback_success=0.6933,
    ),
]


def main() -> int:
    RESULTS_DIR.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
    rows = [_row_for_spec(spec) for spec in SPECS]
    payload = {
        "baseline_h16_policy_success": BASELINE_H16_POLICY,
        "rows": rows,
        "best_clean": _best_row(rows, clean="yes"),
        "best_mechanism_no_expert": _best_mechanism_row(rows),
        "decision_notes": _decision_notes(rows),
    }
    json_path = RESULTS_DIR / "paper_table_status.json"
    md_path = RESULTS_DIR / "paper_table_status.md"
    json_path.write_text(json.dumps(payload, indent=2) + "\n")
    md_path.write_text(_render_markdown(payload) + "\n")
    print(f"Wrote {json_path}")
    print(f"Wrote {md_path}")
    return 0


def _row_for_spec(spec: ResultSpec) -> dict[str, Any]:
    path = RESULTS_DIR / spec.path if spec.path else None
    extracted = _extract_result(path) if path is not None and path.exists() else {}
    success = extracted.get("success", spec.fallback_success)
    if spec.clean_deployment == "diagnostic":
        success = extracted.get("candidate_oracle_success", success)
    path_exists = bool(path is not None and path.exists())
    status = "complete" if path_exists and success is not None else (
        "fallback" if success is not None else "pending"
    )
    return {
        **asdict(spec),
        "path_exists": path_exists,
        "status": status,
        "success": success,
        "std_success": extracted.get("std_success"),
        "completed_seeds": extracted.get("completed_seeds"),
        "num_completed": extracted.get("num_completed"),
        "best_config": extracted.get("best_config"),
        "gain_vs_h16_policy": (success - BASELINE_H16_POLICY) if success is not None else None,
    }


def _extract_result(path: Path) -> dict[str, Any]:
    data = json.loads(path.read_text())
    output: dict[str, Any] = {}
    if "mean_success" in data:
        output["std_success"] = _float_or_none(data.get("std_success"))
        output["num_completed"] = data.get("num_completed")
        output["candidate_oracle_success"] = _float_or_none(
            data.get("mean_candidate_oracle_success_rate")
        )
        if int(data.get("num_completed") or 0) > 0:
            output["success"] = _float_or_none(data.get("mean_success"))
    elif isinstance(data.get("best"), dict):
        best = data["best"]
        output["std_success"] = _float_or_none(best.get("std_success"))
        output["completed_seeds"] = best.get("completed_seeds")
        output["num_completed"] = best.get("num_completed")
        output["best_config"] = best.get("config")
        if int(best.get("num_completed") or 0) > 0:
            output["success"] = _float_or_none(best.get("mean_success"))
    elif "policy_rollout_success_rate" in data:
        output["num_completed"] = data.get("num_groups")
        if int(data.get("num_groups") or 0) > 0:
            output["success"] = _float_or_none(data.get("policy_rollout_success_rate"))
    return output


def _float_or_none(value: Any) -> float | None:
    if value is None:
        return None
    try:
        return float(value)
    except (TypeError, ValueError):
        return None


def _best_row(rows: list[dict[str, Any]], *, clean: str) -> dict[str, Any] | None:
    completed = [
        row
        for row in rows
        if row["clean_deployment"] == clean and row["success"] is not None
    ]
    return max(completed, key=lambda row: row["success"]) if completed else None


def _best_mechanism_row(rows: list[dict[str, Any]]) -> dict[str, Any] | None:
    candidates = [
        row
        for row in rows
        if row["same_state_proposals"] == "yes"
        and row["expert_proposal"] == "no"
        and row["success"] is not None
    ]
    return max(candidates, key=lambda row: row["success"]) if candidates else None


def _decision_notes(rows: list[dict[str, Any]]) -> list[str]:
    by_key = {row["key"]: row for row in rows}
    notes = [
        "Use no-expert same-state lattice as the conservative mechanism result, not as deployment-clean inference.",
        "Use full lattice only as an upper result because it includes expert proposals.",
        "Do not claim external SOTA from this table alone; add current external baselines separately.",
    ]
    clean_best = _best_row(rows, clean="yes")
    if clean_best is not None:
        notes.append(
            "Current best clean deployment row is "
            f"{clean_best['label']} at {_fmt_percent(clean_best['success'])}."
        )
    for key in (
        "field_optim",
        "retrieval_residual",
        "retrieval_residual_knn4",
        "retrieval_residual_k4_scale040_safe_margin020_mean_by_type",
    ):
        row = by_key[key]
        if row["success"] is None:
            notes.append(f"{row['label']} is pending ({row['pending_job']}).")
        elif row["success"] >= 0.40:
            notes.append(f"{row['label']} is strong enough to promote as a clean bridge.")
        elif row["success"] > 0.3293:
            notes.append(f"{row['label']} improves the clean bridge but is not yet the main result.")
        elif row["success"] > BASELINE_H16_POLICY:
            notes.append(
                f"{row['label']} is a positive clean bridge but remains below the current clean best."
            )
        else:
            notes.append(f"{row['label']} should be framed as a negative/diagnostic ablation.")
    policy_baseline = by_key["no_expert_lattice_policy_baseline_margin000"]
    no_expert = by_key["no_expert_lattice"]
    if policy_baseline["success"] is not None and no_expert["success"] is not None:
        notes.append(
            "Policy-baseline abstention inside the same-state no-expert lattice drops from "
            f"{_fmt_percent(no_expert['success'])} to {_fmt_percent(policy_baseline['success'])}, "
            "so the mechanism result should emphasize counterfactual proposal geometry rather than policy fallback."
        )
    nm_ties = [
        by_key["retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_noopbonus003_nmbonus001"],
        by_key["retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_noopbonus003_nmbonus002"],
    ]
    if clean_best is not None and all(row["success"] is not None for row in nm_ties):
        if all(abs(row["success"] - clean_best["success"]) < 1.0e-12 for row in nm_ties):
            notes.append(
                "Singleton near-miss priors 0.01/0.02 tie the clean best rather than improving it; "
                "the compatible chart preserves high-precision near-miss tangents, but they remain sparse."
            )
    oracle_prefix = by_key[
        "retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_noopbonus003_oraclek8"
    ]
    if oracle_prefix["success"] is not None:
        notes.append(
            "Candidate-oracle prefix K=8 is diagnostic-only; compare it to the clean selected row "
            "to decide whether the next paper move should be proposal generation or field ranking."
        )
    oracle_trace = by_key[
        "retrieval_residual_k4_composemasked_dropnmnoop_grid035040045_noopbonus003_oraclek8trace"
    ]
    if oracle_trace["success"] is not None:
        notes.append(
            "Candidate-oracle branch trace is diagnostic-only; use its rank histogram and branch "
            "success profile to design one clean selector-calibration run rather than a broad sweep."
        )
    return notes


def _render_markdown(payload: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
    lines = [
        "# Paper Table Status",
        "",
        f"Baseline h=16 policy: {_fmt_percent(payload['baseline_h16_policy_success'])}",
        "",
        "| key | method | status | success | gain vs h16 | clean | same-state props | expert prop | role |",
        "|---|---|---|---:|---:|---|---|---|---|",
    ]
    for row in payload["rows"]:
        lines.append(
            "| {key} | {label} | {status} | {success} | {gain} | {clean} | {same} | {expert} | {role} |".format(
                key=row["key"],
                label=row["label"],
                status=_status_text(row),
                success=_fmt_percent(row["success"]),
                gain=_fmt_signed_percent(row["gain_vs_h16_policy"]),
                clean=row["clean_deployment"],
                same=row["same_state_proposals"],
                expert=row["expert_proposal"],
                role=row["story_role"],
            )
        )
    lines.extend(["", "## Decision Notes", ""])
    for note in payload["decision_notes"]:
        lines.append(f"- {note}")
    return "\n".join(lines)


def _status_text(row: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
    if row["status"] == "pending":
        return f"pending {row['pending_job']}".strip()
    if row["status"] == "fallback":
        return "fallback canonical"
    if row.get("best_config"):
        return f"complete {row['best_config']}"
    return "complete"


def _fmt_percent(value: float | None) -> str:
    return "pending" if value is None else f"{100.0 * value:.2f}%"


def _fmt_signed_percent(value: float | None) -> str:
    return "pending" if value is None else f"{100.0 * value:+.2f} pp"


if __name__ == "__main__":
    raise SystemExit(main())