New validated case: Chile 2025
#1
by AFOS-Analytics1 - opened
Prediction-market odds vs polls, cross-checked against the real result.
Polls had José Antonio Kast at ~20% of the first-round vote; the market gave him ~66% to win the presidency (+45pp).
He won the runoff 58–42.
Part of an open 5-country library (Apache 2.0 + CC BY 4.0): Peru, Chile, Colombia, Germany, Canada. Hub:
https://afos-analytics.com/global — feedback welcome.