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Datasets:
AFOS-Analytics1
/
france-2024-electoral-divergence
like
0
Languages:
English
French
Portuguese
+ 1
Tags:
elections
france
prediction-markets
polls
political-risk
divergence
+ 2
License:
cc-by-4.0
apache-2.0
Dataset card
Files
Files and versions
xet
Community
main
france-2024-electoral-divergence
2 contributors
History:
15 commits
andrefelipe-afos
State the upstream terms in the datasheet, and replace "DOI pending" with the DOI
66441e7
8 days ago
derived
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
market
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
news
Initial France 2024 legislative electoral divergence dataset (market x polls x press), cross-referenced against the official result. Deep market (~US$917k) gave RN ~99% to be the largest single party and was right (143 seats); the left NFP coalition held the most seats via the front republicain, and the RN-majority hype (230-270 seats) survived only in polls and thin markets.
16 days ago
polls
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
raw
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
.gitattributes
Safe
2.5 kB
initial commit
16 days ago
CHECKSUMS.txt
Safe
1.62 kB
State the upstream terms in the datasheet, and replace "DOI pending" with the DOI
8 days ago
CITATION.cff
Safe
1.07 kB
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
CODEBOOK.md
Safe
5.29 kB
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
DATASHEET.md
Safe
6.65 kB
State the upstream terms in the datasheet, and replace "DOI pending" with the DOI
8 days ago
LICENSE
Safe
1.77 kB
Initial France 2024 legislative electoral divergence dataset (market x polls x press), cross-referenced against the official result. Deep market (~US$917k) gave RN ~99% to be the largest single party and was right (143 seats); the left NFP coalition held the most seats via the front republicain, and the RN-majority hype (230-270 seats) survived only in polls and thin markets.
16 days ago
LICENSE-APACHE
Safe
11.4 kB
Initial France 2024 legislative electoral divergence dataset (market x polls x press), cross-referenced against the official result. Deep market (~US$917k) gave RN ~99% to be the largest single party and was right (143 seats); the left NFP coalition held the most seats via the front republicain, and the RN-majority hype (230-270 seats) survived only in polls and thin markets.
16 days ago
README.md
Safe
9.29 kB
Add Harvard Dataverse DOI badge
11 days ago
banner.png
129 kB
xet
Initial France 2024 legislative electoral divergence dataset (market x polls x press), cross-referenced against the official result. Deep market (~US$917k) gave RN ~99% to be the largest single party and was right (143 seats); the left NFP coalition held the most seats via the front republicain, and the RN-majority hype (230-270 seats) survived only in polls and thin markets.
16 days ago
croissant.json
Safe
20.9 kB
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
datapackage.json
Safe
10.2 kB
Gold-standard upgrade v2.0.0: full deterministic poll series (52 vote + 44 seat polls, tidy long format, AAPOR disclosure), raw/derived separation, DATASHEET (Gebru), CODEBOOK (DDI), datapackage.json (Frictionless), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS (SHA-256), 4-language README.
16 days ago
og-social-card.png
912 kB
xet
Initial France 2024 legislative electoral divergence dataset (market x polls x press), cross-referenced against the official result. Deep market (~US$917k) gave RN ~99% to be the largest single party and was right (143 seats); the left NFP coalition held the most seats via the front republicain, and the RN-majority hype (230-270 seats) survived only in polls and thin markets.
16 days ago