Peru 2026 - divergence dataset updated with the final result.
#2
by AFOS-Analytics1 - opened
A rare case with two opposite divergences:
- First round: the market made López Aliaga the favorite (40 to 55%), and he finished third, the biggest gap of the cycle.
- Runoff: the market gave Fujimori around 68% while polls saw a statistical tie; result 50.135% to 49.865%, proclaimed on 3 Jul.
52 polls (first round + runoff), a daily market series, the market vs poll divergence, a press-coverage index, and structural context. CC BY 4.0 · DOI 10.7910/DVN/JBBGXV.
AFOS-Analytics1 changed discussion title from Peru 2026 — divergence dataset updated with the final result. to Peru 2026 - divergence dataset updated with the final result.