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Theorem 2.1.11. Suppose that \( X \) with density \( f \) and \( Y \) with distribution function \( G \) are independent. Then \( X + Y \) has density\n\n\[ h\left( x\right) = \int f\left( {x - y}\right) {dG}\left( y\right) \]\n\nWhen \( Y \) has density \( g \), the last formula can be written as\n\n\[ h\left( x\right...
Proof. From Theorem 2.1.10, the definition of density function, and Fubini's theorem (Theorem 1.7.2), which is justified since everything is nonnegative, we get\n\n\[ P\left( {X + Y \leq z}\right) = \int F\left( {z - y}\right) {dG}\left( y\right) = \iint {\int }_{-\infty }^{z}f\left( {x - y}\right) {dxdG}\left( y\right...
Yes
Theorem 2.1.12. If \( X = \operatorname{gamma}\left( {\alpha ,\lambda }\right) \) and \( Y = \operatorname{gamma}\left( {\beta ,\lambda }\right) \) are independent then \( X + Y \) is gamma \( \left( {\alpha + \beta ,\lambda }\right) \) . Consequently if \( {X}_{1},\ldots {X}_{n} \) are independent exponential \( \left...
Proof. Writing \( {f}_{X + Y}\left( z\right) \) for the density function of \( X + Y \) and using Theorem 2.1.11\n\n\[ \n{f}_{X + Y}\left( x\right) = {\int }_{0}^{x}\frac{{\lambda }^{\alpha }{\left( x - y\right) }^{\alpha - 1}}{\Gamma \left( \alpha \right) }{e}^{-\lambda \left( {x - y}\right) }\frac{{\lambda }^{\beta }...
Yes
Theorem 2.1.13. If \( X = \operatorname{normal}\left( {\mu, a}\right) \) and \( Y = \operatorname{normal}\left( {\nu, b}\right) \) are independent then \( X + Y = \operatorname{normal}\left( {\mu + \nu, a + b}\right) .
Proof. It is enough to prove the result for \( \mu = \nu = 0 \) . Suppose \( {Y}_{1} = \operatorname{normal}\left( {0, a}\right) \) and \( {Y}_{2} = \operatorname{normal}\left( {0, b}\right) \) . Then Theorem 2.1.11 implies\n\n\[ \n{f}_{{Y}_{1} + {Y}_{2}}\left( z\right) = \frac{1}{{2\pi }\sqrt{ab}}\int {e}^{-{x}^{2}/{2...
Yes
Theorem 2.1.15. If \( S \) is a Borel subset of a complete separable metric space \( M \), and \( \mathcal{S} \) is the collection of Borel subsets of \( S \), then \( \left( {S,\mathcal{S}}\right) \) is nice.
Proof. We begin with the special case \( S = \lbrack 0,1{)}^{\mathbf{N}} \) with metric\n\n\[ \rho \left( {x, y}\right) = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }\left| {{x}_{n} - {y}_{n}}\right| /{2}^{n} \]\n\nIf \( x = \left( {{x}^{1},{x}^{2},{x}^{3},\ldots }\right) \), expand each component in binary \( {x}^{j} = ....
No
Theorem 2.2.1. Let \( {X}_{1},\ldots ,{X}_{n} \) have \( E\left( {X}_{i}^{2}\right) < \infty \) and be uncorrelated. Then\n\n\[ \operatorname{var}\left( {{X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n}}\right) = \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{1}\right) + \cdots + \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{n}\right) \]\n\nwhere \( \operatorname{var}\left...
Proof. Let \( {\mu }_{i} = E{X}_{i} \) and \( {S}_{n} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{i = 1}}^{n}{X}_{i} \) . Since \( E{S}_{n} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{i = 1}}^{n}{\mu }_{i} \), using the definition of the variance, writing the square of the sum as the product of two copies of the sum, and then expanding, we have\n\n\[ \op...
Yes
Lemma 2.2.2. If \( p > 0 \) and \( E{\left| {Z}_{n}\right| }^{p} \rightarrow 0 \) then \( {Z}_{n} \rightarrow 0 \) in probability.
Proof. Chebyshev’s inequality, Theorem 1.6.4, with \( \varphi \left( x\right) = {x}^{p} \) and \( X = \left| {Z}_{n}\right| \) implies that if \( \epsilon > 0 \) then \( P\left( {\left| {Z}_{n}\right| \geq \epsilon }\right) \leq {\epsilon }^{-p}E{\left| {Z}_{n}\right| }^{p} \rightarrow 0 \) .
Yes
Theorem 2.2.3. \( {L}^{2} \) weak law. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be uncorrelated random variables with \( E{X}_{i} = \mu \) and \( \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{i}\right) \leq C < \infty \) . If \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \ldots + {X}_{n} \) then as \( n \rightarrow \infty \) , \( {S}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) in \( ...
Proof. To prove \( {L}^{2} \) convergence, observe that \( E\left( {{S}_{n}/n}\right) = \mu \), so\n\n\[ E{\left( {S}_{n}/n - \mu \right) }^{2} = \operatorname{var}\left( {{S}_{n}/n}\right) = \frac{1}{{n}^{2}}\left( {\operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{1}\right) + \cdots + \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{n}\right) }\right) \le...
Yes
Example 2.2.1. Polynomial approximation. Let \( f \) be a continuous function on \( \left\lbrack {0,1}\right\rbrack \), and let\n\n\[ \n{f}_{n}\left( x\right) = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 0}}^{n}\left( \begin{matrix} n \\ m \end{matrix}\right) {x}^{m}{\left( 1 - x\right) }^{n - m}f\left( {m/n}\right) \;\text{ where }\...
Proof. First observe that if \( {S}_{n} \) is the sum of \( n \) independent random variables with \( P\left( {{X}_{i} = 1}\right) = p \) and \( P\left( {{X}_{i} = 0}\right) = 1 - p \) then \( E{X}_{i} = p \), var \( \left( {X}_{i}\right) = p\left( {1 - p}\right) \) and\n\n\[ \nP\left( {{S}_{n} = m}\right) = \left( \be...
Yes
A high-dimensional cube is almost the boundary of a ball. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be independent and uniformly distributed on \( \left( {-1,1}\right) \) . Let \( {Y}_{i} = {X}_{i}^{2} \) , which are independent since they are functions of independent random variables. \( E{Y}_{i} = 1/3 \) and \( \operatorname{...
\[ \left( {{X}_{1}^{2} + \ldots + {X}_{n}^{2}}\right) /n \rightarrow 1/3\;\text{ in probability as }n \rightarrow \infty \] Let \( {A}_{n,\epsilon } = \left\{ {x \in {\mathbf{R}}^{n} : \left( {1 - \epsilon }\right) \sqrt{n/3} < \left| x\right| < \left( {1 + \epsilon }\right) \sqrt{n/3}}\right\} \) where \( \left| x\rig...
Yes
Theorem 2.2.4. Let \( {\mu }_{n} = E{S}_{n},{\sigma }_{n}^{2} = \operatorname{var}\left( {S}_{n}\right) \) . If \( {\sigma }_{n}^{2}/{b}_{n}^{2} \rightarrow 0 \) then\n\n\[ \frac{{S}_{n} - {\mu }_{n}}{{b}_{n}} \rightarrow 0\;\text{ in probability } \]
Proof. Our assumptions imply \( E{\left( \left( {S}_{n} - {\mu }_{n}\right) /{b}_{n}\right) }^{2} = {b}_{n}^{-2}\operatorname{var}\left( {S}_{n}\right) \rightarrow 0 \), so the desired conclusion follows from Lemma 2.2.2.
Yes
Coupon collector’s problem. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. uniform on \( \{ 1,2,\ldots, n\} \) . To motivate the name, think of collecting baseball cards (or coupons). Suppose that the \( i \) th item we collect is chosen at random from the set of possibilities and is independent of the previous choices. Le...
It is easy to see that \( {\tau }_{1}^{n} = 1 \) . To make later formulas work out nicely, we will set \( {\tau }_{0}^{n} = 0 \) . For \( 1 \leq k \leq n,{X}_{n, k} \equiv {\tau }_{k}^{n} - {\tau }_{k - 1}^{n} \) represents the time to get a choice different from our first \( k - 1 \), so \( {X}_{n, k} \) has a geometr...
Yes
Example 2.2.4. Random permutations. Let \( {\Omega }_{n} \) consist of the \( n \) ! permutations (i.e., one-to-one mappings from \( \{ 1,\ldots, n\} \) onto \( \{ 1,\ldots, n\} \) ) and make this into a probability space by assuming all the permutations are equally likely. This application of the weak law concerns the...
Lemma 2.2.5. \( {X}_{n,
No
Lemma 2.2.5. \( {X}_{n,1},\ldots ,{X}_{n, n} \) are independent and \( P\left( {{X}_{n, j} = 1}\right) = \frac{1}{n - j + 1} \) .
Proof. To prove this, it is useful to generate the permutation in a special way. Let \( {i}_{1} = 1 \) . Pick \( {j}_{1} \) at random from \( \{ 1,\ldots, n\} \) and let \( \pi \left( {i}_{1}\right) = {j}_{1} \) . If \( {j}_{1} \neq 1 \), let \( {i}_{2} = {j}_{1} \) . If \( {j}_{1} = 1 \), let \( {i}_{2} = 2 \) . In ei...
Yes
Example 2.2.5. An occupancy problem. Suppose we put \( r \) balls at random in \( n \) boxes, i.e., all \( {n}^{r} \) assignments of balls to boxes have equal probability. Let \( {A}_{i} \) be the event that the \( i \) th box is empty and \( {N}_{n} = \) the number of empty boxes. It is easy to see that\n\n\[ P\left( ...
A little calculus (take logarithms) shows that if \( r/n \rightarrow c, E{N}_{n}/n \rightarrow {e}^{-c} \) . (For a proof, see Lemma 3.1.1.) To compute the variance of \( {N}_{n} \), we observe that\n\n\[ E{N}_{n}^{2} = E{\left( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{1}_{{A}_{m}}\right) }^{2} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{1 \...
Yes
Theorem 2.2.6. Weak law for triangular arrays. For each \( n \) let \( {X}_{n, k},1 \leq k \leq n \) , be independent. Let \( {b}_{n} > 0 \) with \( {b}_{n} \rightarrow \infty \), and let \( {\bar{X}}_{n, k} = {X}_{n, k}{1}_{\left( \left| {X}_{n, k}\right| \leq {b}_{n}\right) } \) . Suppose that as \( n \rightarrow \in...
Proof. Let \( {\bar{S}}_{n} = {\bar{X}}_{n,1} + \cdots + {\bar{X}}_{n, n} \) . Clearly,\n\n\[ P\left( {\left| \frac{{S}_{n} - {a}_{n}}{{b}_{n}}\right| > \epsilon }\right) \leq P\left( {{S}_{n} \neq {\bar{S}}_{n}}\right) + P\left( {\left| \frac{{\bar{S}}_{n} - {a}_{n}}{{b}_{n}}\right| > \epsilon }\right) \]\n\nTo estima...
Yes
Theorem 2.2.7. Weak law of large numbers. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with\n\n\[ \n{xP}\left( {\left| {X}_{i}\right| > x}\right) \rightarrow 0\;\text{ as }x \rightarrow \infty \n\]\n\nLet \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) and let \( {\mu }_{n} = E\left( {{X}_{1}{1}_{\left( \left| {X}_{1}\right| ...
Proof. We will apply Theorem 2.2.6 with \( {X}_{n, k} = {X}_{k} \) and \( {b}_{n} = n \) . To check (i), we note\n\n\[ \n\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k = 1}}^{n}P\left( {\left| {X}_{n, k}\right| > n}\right) = {nP}\left( {\left| {X}_{i}\right| > n}\right) \rightarrow 0 \n\]\n\nby assumption. To check (ii), we need to show \(...
No
Lemma 2.2.8. If \( Y \geq 0 \) and \( p > 0 \) then \( E\left( {Y}^{p}\right) = {\int }_{0}^{\infty }p{y}^{p - 1}P\left( {Y > y}\right) {dy} \) .
Proof. Using the definition of expected value, Fubini's theorem (for nonnegative random variables), and then calculating the resulting integrals gives\n\n\[ \n{\int }_{0}^{\infty }p{y}^{p - 1}P\left( {Y > y}\right) {dy} = {\int }_{0}^{\infty }{\int }_{\Omega }p{y}^{p - 1}{1}_{\left( Y > y\right) }{dPdy} \n\]\n\n\[ \n= ...
Yes
Theorem 2.2.9. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( E\left| {X}_{i}\right| < \infty \) . Let \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) and let \( \mu = E{X}_{1} \) . Then \( {S}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) in probability.
Proof. Two applications of the dominated convergence theorem imply\n\n\[ \n{xP}\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| > x}\right) \leq E\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| {1}_{\left( \left| {X}_{1}\right| > x\right) }}\right) \rightarrow 0\;\text{ as }x \rightarrow \infty \]\n\n\[ \n{\mu }_{n} = E\left( {{X}_{1}{1}_{\left( \left| {X...
Yes
For an example where the weak law does not hold, suppose \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are independent and have a Cauchy distribution:
As \( x \rightarrow \infty \) ,\n\n\[ P\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| > x}\right) = 2{\int }_{x}^{\infty }\frac{dt}{\pi \left( {1 + {t}^{2}}\right) } \sim \frac{2}{\pi }{\int }_{x}^{\infty }{t}^{-2}{dt} = \frac{2}{\pi }{x}^{-1} \]\n\nFrom the necessity of the condition above, we can conclude that there is no sequence of...
No
Theorem 2.3.1. Borel-Cantelli lemma. If \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }P\left( {A}_{n}\right) < \infty \) then\n\n\[ P\left( {{A}_{n}\text{ i.o. }}\right) = 0. \]
Proof. Let \( N = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{k}{1}_{{A}_{k}} \) be the number of events that occur. Fubini’s theorem implies \( {EN} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{k}P\left( {A}_{k}\right) < \infty \), so we must have \( N < \infty \) a.s.
Yes
Theorem 2.3.2. \( {X}_{n} \rightarrow X \) in probability if and only if for every subsequence \( {X}_{n\left( m\right) } \) there is a further subsequence \( {X}_{n\left( {m}_{k}\right) } \) that converges almost surely to \( X \) .
Proof. Let \( {\epsilon }_{k} \) be a sequence of positive numbers that \( \downarrow 0 \) . For each \( k \), there is an \( n\left( {m}_{k}\right) > n\left( {m}_{k - 1}\right) \) so that \( P\left( {\left| {{X}_{n\left( {m}_{k}\right) } - X}\right| > {\epsilon }_{k}}\right) \leq {2}^{-k} \) . Since\n\n\[ \mathop{\sum...
Yes
Theorem 2.3.3. Let \( {y}_{n} \) be a sequence of elements of a topological space. If every subsequence \( {y}_{n\left( m\right) } \) has a further subsequence \( {y}_{n\left( {m}_{k}\right) } \) that converges to \( y \) then \( {y}_{n} \rightarrow y \) .
Proof. If \( {y}_{n} \nrightarrow y \) then there is an open set \( G \) containing \( y \) and a subsequence \( {y}_{n\left( m\right) } \) with \( {y}_{n\left( m\right) } \notin G \) for all \( m \), but clearly no subsequence of \( {y}_{n\left( m\right) } \) converges to \( y \) .
Yes
Theorem 2.3.4. If \( f \) is continuous and \( {X}_{n} \rightarrow X \) in probability then \( f\left( {X}_{n}\right) \rightarrow f\left( X\right) \) in probability. If, in addition, \( f \) is bounded then \( {Ef}\left( {X}_{n}\right) \rightarrow {Ef}\left( X\right) \) .
Proof. If \( {X}_{n\left( m\right) } \) is a subsequence then Theorem 2.3.2 implies there is a further subsequence \( {X}_{n\left( {m}_{k}\right) } \rightarrow X \) almost surely. Since \( f \) is continuous, Exercise 1.3.3 implies \( f\left( {X}_{n\left( {m}_{k}\right) }\right) \rightarrow f\left( X\right) \) almost s...
No
Theorem 2.3.5. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( E{X}_{i} = \mu \) and \( E{X}_{i}^{4} < \infty \) . If \( {S}_{n} = \) \( {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) then \( {S}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) a.s.
Proof. By letting \( {X}_{i}^{\prime } = {X}_{i} - \mu \), we can suppose without loss of generality that \( \mu = 0 \) . Now\n\n\[ E{S}_{n}^{4} = E{\left( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{i = 1}}^{n}{X}_{i}\right) }^{4} = E\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{1 \leq i, j, k,\ell \leq n}}{X}_{i}{X}_{j}{X}_{k}{X}_{\ell } \]\n\nTerms in the s...
Yes
Theorem 2.3.6. The second Borel-Cantelli lemma. If the events \( {A}_{n} \) are independent then \( \sum P\left( {A}_{n}\right) = \infty \) implies \( P\left( {A}_{n}\right. \) i.o. \( ) = 1 \) .
Proof. Let \( M < N < \infty \) . Independence and \( 1 - x \leq {e}^{-x} \) imply\n\n\[ P\left( {{ \cap }_{n = M}^{N}{A}_{n}^{c}}\right) = \mathop{\prod }\limits_{{n = M}}^{N}\left( {1 - P\left( {A}_{n}\right) }\right) \leq \mathop{\prod }\limits_{{n = M}}^{N}\exp \left( {-P\left( {A}_{n}\right) }\right) \]\n\n\[ = \e...
Yes
Theorem 2.3.7. If \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are i.i.d. with \( E\left| {X}_{i}\right| = \infty \), then \( P\left( {\left| {X}_{n}\right| \geq n\text{i.o.}}\right) = 1 \) . So if \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) then \( P\left( {\lim {S}_{n}/n}\right. \) exists \( \left. { \in \left( {-\infty ,\infty }\rig...
Proof. From Lemma 2.2.8, we get\n\n\[ E\left| {X}_{1}\right| = {\int }_{0}^{\infty }P\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| > x}\right) {dx} \leq \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 0}}^{\infty }P\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| > n}\right) \]\n\nSince \( E\left| {X}_{1}\right| = \infty \) and \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are i.i.d., it f...
Yes
Theorem 2.3.8. If \( {A}_{1},{A}_{2},\ldots \) are pairwise independent and \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }P\left( {A}_{n}\right) = \infty \) then as \( n \rightarrow \infty \)\n\[ \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{1}_{{A}_{m}}/\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}P\left( {A}_{m}\right) \rightarrow 1\;\tex...
Proof. Let \( {X}_{m} = {1}_{{A}_{m}} \) and let \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) . Since the \( {A}_{m} \) are pairwise independent, the \( {X}_{m} \) are uncorrelated and hence Theorem 2.2.1 implies\n\n\[ \operatorname{var}\left( {S}_{n}\right) = \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{1}\right) + \cdots + \operatorn...
Yes
Claim. The \( {A}_{k} \) are independent with \( P\left( {A}_{k}\right) = 1/k \) .
To prove this, we start by observing that since \( F \) is continuous \( P\left( {{X}_{j} = {X}_{k}}\right) = 0 \) for any \( j \neq k \) (see Exercise 2.1.8), so we can let \( {Y}_{1}^{n} > {Y}_{2}^{n} > \cdots > {Y}_{n}^{n} \) be the random variables \( {X}_{1},\ldots ,{X}_{n} \) put into decreasing order and define ...
No
Example 2.3.3. Head runs. Let \( {X}_{n}, n \in \mathbf{Z} \), be i.i.d. with \( P\left( {{X}_{n} = 1}\right) = P\left( {{X}_{n} = }\right. \) \( - 1) = 1/2 \) . Let \( {\ell }_{n} = \max \left\{ {m : {X}_{n - m + 1} = \ldots = {X}_{n} = 1}\right\} \) be the length of the run of +1’s at time \( n \), and let \( {L}_{n}...
To prove (2.3.1), we begin by observing\n\n\[ \nP\left( {{\ell }_{n} \geq \left( {1 + \epsilon }\right) {\log }_{2}n}\right) \leq {n}^{-\left( {1 + \epsilon }\right) } \n\]\n\nfor any \( \epsilon > 0 \), so it follows from the Borel-Cantelli lemma that \( {\ell }_{n} \leq \left( {1 + \epsilon }\right) {\log }_{2}n \) f...
Yes
Theorem 2.4.1. Strong law of large numbers. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be pairwise independent identically distributed random variables with \( E\left| {X}_{i}\right| < \infty \) . Let \( E{X}_{i} = \mu \) and \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \ldots + {X}_{n} \) . Then \( {S}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) a.s. as \( n \rightarr...
Proof. As in the proof of the weak law of large numbers, we begin by truncating.
No
Lemma 2.4.2. Let \( {Y}_{k} = {X}_{k}{1}_{\left( \left| {X}_{k}\right| \leq k\right) } \) and \( {T}_{n} = {Y}_{1} + \cdots + {Y}_{n} \) . It is sufficient to prove that \( {T}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) a.s.
Proof. \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k = 1}}^{\infty }P\left( {\left| {X}_{k}\right| > k}\right) \leq {\int }_{0}^{\infty }P\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| > t}\right) {dt} = E\left| {X}_{1}\right| < \infty \) so \( P\left( {{X}_{k} \neq {Y}_{k}}\right. \) i.o. \( ) = 0 \) . This shows that \( \left| {{S}_{n}\left( \omega \...
Yes
Lemma 2.4.3. \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k = 1}}^{\infty }\operatorname{var}\left( {Y}_{k}\right) /{k}^{2} \leq {4E}\left| {X}_{1}\right| < \infty \) .
Proof. To bound the sum, we observe\n\n\[\n\operatorname{var}\left( {Y}_{k}\right) \leq E\left( {Y}_{k}^{2}\right) = {\int }_{0}^{\infty }{2yP}\left( {\left| {Y}_{k}\right| > y}\right) {dy} \leq {\int }_{0}^{k}{2yP}\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| > y}\right) {dy}\n\]\n\nso using Fubini’s theorem (since everything is \( \...
No
Lemma 2.4.4. If \( y \geq 0 \) then \( {2y}\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k > y}}{k}^{-2} \leq 4 \) .
Proof. We begin with the observation that if \( m \geq 2 \) then\n\n\[ \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k \geq m}}{k}^{-2} \leq {\int }_{m - 1}^{\infty }{x}^{-2}{dx} = {\left( m - 1\right) }^{-1} \]\n\nWhen \( y \geq 1 \), the sum starts with \( k = \left\lbrack y\right\rbrack + 1 \geq 2 \), so\n\n\[ {2y}\mathop{\sum }\limits_{...
Yes
Theorem 2.4.5. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( E{X}_{i}^{ + } = \infty \) and \( E{X}_{i}^{ - } < \infty \) . If \( {S}_{n} = \) \( {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) then \( {S}_{n}/n \rightarrow \infty \) a.s.
Proof. Let \( M > 0 \) and \( {X}_{i}^{M} = {X}_{i} \land M \) . The \( {X}_{i}^{M} \) are i.i.d. with \( E\left| {X}_{i}^{M}\right| < \infty \), so if \( {S}_{n}^{M} = {X}_{1}^{M} + \cdots + {X}_{n}^{M} \) then Theorem 2.4.1 implies \( {S}_{n}^{M}/n \rightarrow E{X}_{i}^{M} \) . Since \( {X}_{i} \geq {X}_{i}^{M} \) , ...
Yes
Theorem 2.4.6. If \( E{X}_{1} = \mu \leq \infty \) then as \( t \rightarrow \infty \) , \[ {N}_{t}/t \rightarrow 1/\mu \text{ a.s. }\;\left( {1/\infty = 0}\right) .
Proof. By Theorems 2.4.1 and 2.4.5, \( {T}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) a.s. From the definition of \( {N}_{t} \), it follows that \( T\left( {N}_{t}\right) \leq t < T\left( {{N}_{t} + 1}\right) \), so dividing through by \( {N}_{t} \) gives \[ \frac{T\left( {N}_{t}\right) }{{N}_{t}} \leq \frac{t}{{N}_{t}} \leq \frac{T\lef...
Yes
Theorem 2.4.7. The Glivenko-Cantelli theorem. As \( n \rightarrow \infty \) ,\n\n\[ \mathop{\sup }\limits_{x}\left| {{F}_{n}\left( x\right) - F\left( x\right) }\right| \rightarrow 0\;\text{ a.s. } \]
Proof. Fix \( x \) and let \( {Y}_{n} = {1}_{\left( {X}_{n} \leq x\right) } \) . Since the \( {Y}_{n} \) are i.i.d. with \( E{Y}_{n} = P\left( {{X}_{n} \leq x}\right) = \) \( F\left( x\right) \), the strong law of large numbers implies that \( {F}_{n}\left( x\right) = {n}^{-1}\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{Y}_{m} ...
Yes
Example 2.4.3. Shannon’s theorem. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \in \{ 1,\ldots, r\} \) be independent with \( P\left( {{X}_{i} = k}\right) = p\left( k\right) > 0 \) for \( 1 \leq k \leq r \) . Here we are thinking of \( 1,\ldots, r \) as the letters of an alphabet, and \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are the successive l...
\[ - {n}^{-1}\log {\pi }_{n}\left( \omega \right) \rightarrow H \equiv - \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k = 1}}^{r}p\left( k\right) \log p\left( k\right) \text{ a.s. } \] The constant \( H \) is called the entropy of the source and is a measure of how random it is. The last result is the asymptotic equipartition property: If ...
Yes
If \( {B}_{n} \in \mathcal{R} \) then \( \left\{ {{X}_{n} \in {B}_{n}\text{i.o.}}\right\} \in \mathcal{T} \) .
If we let \( {X}_{n} = {1}_{{A}_{n}} \) and \( {B}_{n} = \{ 1\} \), this example becomes \( \left\{ {A}_{n}\right. \) i.o. \( \} \) .
No
Let \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \ldots + {X}_{n} \). It is easy to check that
\( \left\{ {\mathop{\lim }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty }}{S}_{n}\text{ exists }}\right\} \in \mathcal{T} \)\n\n\( \left\{ {\lim \mathop{\sup }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty }}{S}_{n} > 0}\right\} \notin \mathcal{T}, \)\n\n\( \left\{ {\lim \mathop{\sup }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty }}{S}_{n}/{c}_{n} > x}\right\} \in...
No
Theorem 2.5.1. Kolmogorov’s 0-1 law. If \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are independent and \( A \in \mathcal{T} \) then \( P\left( A\right) = 0 \) or 1 .
Proof. We will show that \( A \) is independent of itself, that is, \( P\left( {A \cap A}\right) = P\left( A\right) P\left( A\right) \) , so \( P\left( A\right) = P{\left( A\right) }^{2} \), and hence \( P\left( A\right) = 0 \) or 1 . We will sneak up on this conclusion in two steps:\n\n(a) \( A \in \sigma \left( {{X}_...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.2. Kolmogorov’s maximal inequality. Suppose \( {X}_{1},\ldots ,{X}_{n} \) are independent with \( E{X}_{i} = 0 \) and \( \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{i}\right) < \infty \) . If \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) then\n\n\[ P\left( {\mathop{\max }\limits_{{1 \leq k \leq n}}\left| {S}_{k}\right| \geq...
Proof. Let \( {A}_{k} = \left\{ {\left| {S}_{k}\right| \geq x}\right. \) but \( \left. {\left| {S}_{j}\right| < x\text{for}j < k}\right\} \), i.e., we break things down according to the time that \( \left| {S}_{k}\right| \) first exceeds \( x \) . Since the \( {A}_{k} \) are disjoint and \( \left( {{S}_{n} - }\right. \...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.3. Suppose \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are independent and have \( E{X}_{n} = 0 \) . If\n\n\[ \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }\operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{n}\right) < \infty \]\n\nthen with probability one \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }{X}_{n}\left( \omega \right) \) converges.
Proof. Let \( {S}_{N} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{N}{X}_{n} \) . From Theorem 2.5.2, we get\n\n\[ P\left( {\mathop{\max }\limits_{{M \leq m \leq N}}\left| {{S}_{m} - {S}_{M}}\right| > \epsilon }\right) \leq {\epsilon }^{-2}\operatorname{var}\left( {{S}_{N} - {S}_{M}}\right) = {\epsilon }^{-2}\mathop{\sum }\limit...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.4. Kolmogorov’s three-series theorem. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be independent. Let \( A > 0 \) and let \( {Y}_{i} = {X}_{i}{1}_{\left( \left| {X}_{i}\right| \leq A\right) } \) . In order that \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }{X}_{n} \) converges a.s., it is necessary and sufficient that\n...
Proof. We will prove the necessity in Example 3.4.7 as an application of the central limit theorem. To prove the sufficiency, let \( {\mu }_{n} = E{Y}_{n} \) . (iii) and Theorem 2.5.3 imply that \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }\left( {{Y}_{n} - {\mu }_{n}}\right) \) converges a.s. Using (ii) now gives that ...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.5. Kronecker’s lemma. If \( {a}_{n} \uparrow \infty \) and \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }{x}_{n}/{a}_{n} \) converges then\n\n\[ {a}_{n}^{-1}\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{x}_{m} \rightarrow 0 \]
Proof. Let \( {a}_{0} = 0,{b}_{0} = 0 \), and for \( m \geq 1 \), let \( {b}_{m} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k = 1}}^{m}{x}_{k}/{a}_{k} \) . Then \( {x}_{m} = \) \( {a}_{m}\left( {{b}_{m} - {b}_{m - 1}}\right) \) and so\n\n\[ {a}_{n}^{-1}\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{x}_{m} = {a}_{n}^{-1}\left\{ {\mathop{\sum }\lim...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.6. The strong law of large numbers. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. random variables with \( E\left| {X}_{i}\right| < \infty \) . Let \( E{X}_{i} = \mu \) and \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \ldots + {X}_{n} \) . Then \( {S}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) a.s. as \( n \rightarrow \infty \) .
Proof. Let \( {Y}_{k} = {X}_{k}{1}_{\left( \left| {X}_{k}\right| \leq k\right) } \) and \( {T}_{n} = {Y}_{1} + \cdots + {Y}_{n} \) . By (a) in the proof of Theorem 2.4.1 it suffices to show that \( {T}_{n}/n \rightarrow \mu \) . Let \( {Z}_{k} = {Y}_{k} - E{Y}_{k} \), so \( E{Z}_{k} = 0 \) . Now \( \operatorname{var}\l...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.7. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. random variables with \( E{X}_{i} = 0 \) and \( E{X}_{i}^{2} = \) \( {\sigma }^{2} < \infty \) . Let \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \ldots + {X}_{n} \) . If \( \epsilon > 0 \) then\n\n\[ \n{S}_{n}/{n}^{1/2}{\left( \log n\right) }^{1/2 + \epsilon } \rightarrow 0\;\text{ ...
Proof. Let \( {a}_{n} = {n}^{1/2}{\left( \log n\right) }^{1/2 + \epsilon } \) for \( n \geq 2 \) and \( {a}_{1} > 0 \) .\n\n\[ \n\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }\operatorname{var}\left( {{X}_{n}/{a}_{n}}\right) = {\sigma }^{2}\left( {\frac{1}{{a}_{1}^{2}} + \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 2}}^{\infty }\frac{1}{n{\...
Yes
Theorem 2.5.9. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( E\left| {X}_{1}\right| = \infty \) and let \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \) \( \cdots + {X}_{n} \) . Let \( {a}_{n} \) be a sequence of positive numbers with \( {a}_{n}/n \) increasing. Then \( \mathop{\limsup }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty }}\left| {S}_{n}\ri...
Proof. Since \( {a}_{n}/n \uparrow ,{a}_{kn} \geq k{a}_{n} \) for any integer \( k \) . Using this and \( {a}_{n} \uparrow \) ,\n\n\[ \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }P\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| \geq k{a}_{n}}\right) \geq \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 1}}^{\infty }P\left( {\left| {X}_{1}\right| \geq {a}_{kn}}\...
Yes
Lemma 2.6.1. If \( {\gamma }_{m + n} \geq {\gamma }_{m} + {\gamma }_{n} \) then as \( n \rightarrow \infty ,{\gamma }_{n}/n \rightarrow \mathop{\sup }\limits_{m}{\gamma }_{m}/m \) .
Proof. Clearly, \( \lim \sup {\gamma }_{n}/n \leq \sup {\gamma }_{m}/m \) . To complete the proof, it suffices to prove that for any \( m \) liminf \( {\gamma }_{n}/n \geq {\gamma }_{m}/m \) . Writing \( n = {km} + \ell \) with \( 0 \leq \ell < m \) and making repeated use of the hypothesis gives \( {\gamma }_{n} \geq ...
Yes
Lemma 2.6.2. If \( a > \mu \) and \( \theta > 0 \) is small then \( {a\theta } - \kappa \left( \theta \right) > 0 \) .
Proof. \( \kappa \left( 0\right) = \log \varphi \left( 0\right) = 0 \), so it suffices to show that (i) \( \kappa \) is continuous at 0,(ii) differentiable on \( \left( {0,{\theta }_{ + }}\right) \), and (iii) \( {\kappa }^{\prime }\left( \theta \right) \rightarrow \mu \) as \( \theta \rightarrow 0 \) . For then\n\n\[ ...
Yes
\[ \int {e}^{\theta x}{\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}\exp \left( {-{x}^{2}/2}\right) {dx} = \exp \left( {{\theta }^{2}/2}\right) \int {\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}\exp \left( {-{\left( x - \theta \right) }^{2}/2}\right) {dx} \]
The integrand in the last integral is the density of a normal distribution with mean \( \theta \) and variance 1, so \( \varphi \left( \theta \right) = \exp \left( {{\theta }^{2}/2}\right) ,\theta \in \left( {-\infty ,\infty }\right) \) . In this case, \( {\varphi }^{\prime }\left( \theta \right) /\varphi \left( \theta...
Yes
Example 2.6.2. Exponential distribution with parameter \( \lambda \) . If \( \theta < \lambda \)
\[ {\int }_{0}^{\infty }{e}^{\theta x}\lambda {e}^{-{\lambda x}}{dx} = \lambda /\left( {\lambda - \theta }\right) \] \( {\varphi }^{\prime }\left( \theta \right) \varphi \left( \theta \right) = 1/\left( {\lambda - \theta }\right) \) and \[ {F}_{\theta }\left( x\right) = \frac{\lambda }{\lambda - \theta }{\int }_{0}^{x}...
Yes
Example 2.6.3. Coin flips. \( P\left( {{X}_{i} = 1}\right) = P\left( {{X}_{i} = - 1}\right) = 1/2 \)
\[ \varphi \left( \theta \right) = \left( {{e}^{\theta } + {e}^{-\theta }}\right) /2 \] \[ {\varphi }^{\prime }\left( \theta \right) /\varphi \left( \theta \right) = \left( {{e}^{\theta } - {e}^{-\theta }}\right) /\left( {{e}^{\theta } + {e}^{-\theta }}\right) \] \( {F}_{\theta }\left( {\{ x\} }\right) /F\left( {\{ x\}...
Yes
Example 2.6.4. Perverted exponential. Let \( g\left( x\right) = C{x}^{-3}{e}^{-x} \) for \( x \geq 1, g\left( x\right) = 0 \) otherwise, and choose \( C \) so that \( g \) is a probability density. In this case,
\[ \varphi \left( \theta \right) = \int {e}^{\theta x}g\left( x\right) {dx} < \infty \] if and only if \( \theta \leq 1 \), and when \( \theta \leq 1 \), we have \[ \frac{{\varphi }^{\prime }\left( \theta \right) }{\varphi \left( \theta \right) } \leq \frac{{\varphi }^{\prime }\left( 1\right) }{\varphi \left( 1\right) ...
Yes
Theorem 2.6.3. Suppose in addition to (H1) and (H2) that there is a \( {\theta }_{a} \in \left( {0,{\theta }_{ + }}\right) \) so that \( a = {\varphi }^{\prime }\left( {\theta }_{a}\right) /\varphi \left( {\theta }_{a}\right) \) . Then, as \( n \rightarrow \infty \) ,\n\n\[ \n{n}^{-1}\log P\left( {{S}_{n} \geq {na}}\ri...
Proof. The fact that the limsup of the left-hand side \( \leq \) the right-hand side follows from (2.6.2). To prove the other inequality, pick \( \lambda \in \left( {{\theta }_{a},{\theta }_{ + }}\right) \), let \( {X}_{1}^{\lambda },{X}_{2}^{\lambda },\ldots \) be i.i.d. with distribution \( {F}_{\lambda } \) and let ...
Yes
Lemma 2.6.4. \( \frac{d{F}^{n}}{d{F}_{\lambda }^{n}} = {e}^{-{\lambda x}}\varphi {\left( \lambda \right) }^{n} \) .
Proof. We will prove this by induction. The result holds when \( n = 1 \) . For \( n > 1 \), we note that\n\n\[ \n{F}^{n} = {F}^{n - 1} * F\left( z\right) = {\int }_{-\infty }^{\infty }d{F}^{n - 1}\left( x\right) {\int }_{-\infty }^{z - x}{dF}\left( y\right) \n\]\n\n\[ \n= \int d{F}_{\lambda }^{n - 1}\left( x\right) \i...
Yes
Lemma 3.1.1. If \( {c}_{j} \rightarrow 0,{a}_{j} \rightarrow ∞ \) and \( {a}_{j}{c}_{j} \rightarrow \lambda \) then \( {\left( 1 + {c}_{j}\right) }^{{a}_{j}} \rightarrow {e}^{\lambda } \).
Proof. As \( x \rightarrow 0,\log \left( {1 + x}\right) /x \rightarrow 1 \), so \( {a}_{j}\log \left( {1 + {c}_{j}}\right) \rightarrow \lambda \) and the desired result follows.
No
Theorem 3.1.3. The De Moivre-Laplace Theorem. If \( a < b \) then as \( m \rightarrow \infty \)\n\n\[ P\left( {a \leq {S}_{m}/\sqrt{m} \leq b}\right) \rightarrow {\int }_{a}^{b}{\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}{e}^{-{x}^{2}/2}{dx} \]
(To remove the restriction to even integers observe \( {S}_{{2n} + 1} = {S}_{2n} \pm 1 \) .) The last result is a special case of the central limit theorem given in Section 3.4, so further details are left to the reader.
No
Example 3.2.1. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( P\left( {{X}_{i} = 1}\right) = P\left( {{X}_{i} = - 1}\right) = 1/2 \) and let \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) . Then Theorem 3.1.3 implies
\[ {F}_{n}\left( y\right) = P\left( {{S}_{n}/\sqrt{n} \leq y}\right) \rightarrow {\int }_{-\infty }^{y}{\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}{e}^{-{x}^{2}/2}{dx} \]
Yes
Let \( X \) have distribution \( F \) . Then \( X + 1/n \) has distribution
\[ {F}_{n}\left( x\right) = P\left( {X + 1/n \leq x}\right) = F\left( {x - 1/n}\right) \] As \( n \rightarrow \infty ,{F}_{n}\left( x\right) \rightarrow F\left( {x - }\right) = \mathop{\lim }\limits_{{y \uparrow x}}F\left( y\right) \) so convergence only occurs at continuity points.
Yes
Birthday problem. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be independent and uniformly distributed on \( \{ 1,\ldots, N\} \), and let \( {T}_{N} = \min \left\{ {n : {X}_{n} = {X}_{m}}\right. \) for some \( \left. {m < n}\right\} \) .
\[ P\left( {{T}_{N} > n}\right) = \mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 2}}^{n}\left( {1 - \frac{m - 1}{N}}\right) \]
Yes
Lemma 3.2.1. \( {V}_{n + 1} \) has density function\n\n\[ \n{f}_{{V}_{n + 1}}\left( x\right) = \left( {{2n} + 1}\right) \left( \begin{matrix} {2n} \\ n \end{matrix}\right) {x}^{n}{\left( 1 - x\right) }^{n} \n\]
Proof. There are \( {2n} + 1 \) ways to pick the observation that falls at \( x \), then we have to pick \( n \) indices for observations \( < x \), which can be done in \( \left( \begin{matrix} {2n} \\ n \end{matrix}\right) \) ways. Once we have decided on the indices that will land \( < x \) and \( > x \), the probab...
Yes
Theorem 3.2.2. If \( {F}_{n} \Rightarrow {F}_{\infty } \) then there are random variables \( {Y}_{n},1 \leq n \leq \infty \), with distribution \( {F}_{n} \) so that \( {Y}_{n} \rightarrow {Y}_{\infty } \) a.s.
Proof. Let \( \Omega = \left( {0,1}\right) ,\mathcal{F} = \) Borel sets, \( P = \) Lebesgue measure, and let \( {Y}_{n}\left( x\right) = \) \( \sup \left\{ {y : {F}_{n}\left( y\right) < x}\right\} \) . By Theorem 1.2.2, \( {Y}_{n} \) has distribution \( {F}_{n} \) . We will now show that \( {Y}_{n}\left( x\right) \righ...
Yes
Theorem 3.2.3. \( {X}_{n} \Rightarrow {X}_{\infty } \) if and only if for every bounded continuous function \( g \) we have \( \operatorname{Eg}\left( {X}_{n}\right) \rightarrow \operatorname{Eg}\left( {X}_{\infty }\right) \) .
Proof. Let \( {Y}_{n} \) have the same distribution as \( {X}_{n} \) and converge a.s. Since \( g \) is continuous \( g\left( {Y}_{n}\right) \rightarrow g\left( {Y}_{\infty }\right) \) a.s. and the bounded convergence theorem implies\n\n\[ \n{Eg}\left( {X}_{n}\right) = {Eg}\left( {Y}_{n}\right) \rightarrow {Eg}\left( {...
Yes
Theorem 3.2.4. Continuous mapping theorem. Let \( g \) be a measurable function and \( {D}_{g} = \{ x : g \) is discontinuous at \( x\} \) . If \( {X}_{n} \Rightarrow {X}_{\infty } \) and \( P\left( {{X}_{\infty } \in {D}_{g}}\right) = 0 \) then \( g\left( {X}_{n}\right) \Rightarrow g\left( X\right) \) . If in addition...
Proof. Let \( {Y}_{n}{ = }_{d}{X}_{n} \) with \( {Y}_{n} \rightarrow {Y}_{\infty } \) a.s. If \( f \) is continuous then \( {D}_{f \circ g} \subset {D}_{g} \) so \( P\left( {{Y}_{\infty } \in {D}_{f \circ g}}\right) = 0 \) and it follows that \( f\left( {g\left( {Y}_{n}\right) }\right) \rightarrow f\left( {g\left( {Y}_...
Yes
Theorem 3.2.5. The following statements are equivalent: (i) \( {X}_{n} \Rightarrow {X}_{\infty } \)\n\n(ii) For all open sets \( G,\lim \mathop{\inf }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty }}P\left( {{X}_{n} \in G}\right) \geq P\left( {{X}_{\infty } \in G}\right) \) .\n\n(iii) For all closed sets \( K,\lim \mathop{\sup }\limit...
Proof. We will prove four things and leave it to the reader to check that we have proved the result given above.\n\n(i) implies (ii): Let \( {Y}_{n} \) have the same distribution as \( {X}_{n} \) and \( {Y}_{n} \rightarrow {Y}_{\infty } \) a.s. Since \( G \) is open\n\n\[ \mathop{\liminf }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty...
No
Theorem 3.2.6. Helly’s selection theorem. For every sequence \( {F}_{n} \) of distribution functions, there is a subsequence \( {F}_{n\left( k\right) } \) and a right continuous nondecreasing function \( F \) so that \( \mathop{\lim }\limits_{{k \rightarrow \infty }}{F}_{n\left( k\right) }\left( y\right) = F\left( y\ri...
Proof. The first step is a diagonal argument. Let \( {q}_{1},{q}_{2},\ldots \) be an enumeration of the rationals. Since for each \( k,{F}_{m}\left( {q}_{k}\right) \in \left\lbrack {0,1}\right\rbrack \) for all \( m \), there is a sequence \( {m}_{k}\left( i\right) \rightarrow \infty \) that is a subsequence of \( {m}_...
Yes
Every subsequential limit is the distribution function of a probability measure if and only if the sequence \( {F}_{n} \) is \( \mathbf{{tight}} \), i.e., for all \( \epsilon > 0 \) there is an \( {M}_{\epsilon } \) so that \[ \mathop{\limsup }\limits_{{n \rightarrow \infty }}1 - {F}_{n}\left( {M}_{\epsilon }\right) + ...
Proof. Suppose the sequence is tight and \( {F}_{n\left( k\right) }{ \Rightarrow }_{v}F \) . Let \( r < - {M}_{\epsilon } \) and \( s > {M}_{\epsilon } \) be continuity points of \( F \) . Since \( {F}_{n}\left( r\right) \rightarrow F\left( r\right) \) and \( {F}_{n}\left( s\right) \rightarrow F\left( s\right) \), we h...
Yes
Theorem 3.2.8. If there is a \( \varphi \geq 0 \) so that \( \varphi \left( x\right) \rightarrow \infty \) as \( \left| x\right| \rightarrow \infty \) and\n\n\[ C = \mathop{\sup }\limits_{n}\int \varphi \left( x\right) d{F}_{n}\left( x\right) < \infty \]\n\nthen \( {F}_{n} \) is tight.
Proof. \( 1 - {F}_{n}\left( M\right) + {F}_{n}\left( {-M}\right) \leq C/\mathop{\inf }\limits_{{\left| x\right| \geq M}}\varphi \left( x\right) \).
Yes
Theorem 3.3.1. All characteristic functions have the following properties:\n\n(a) \( \varphi \left( 0\right) = 1 \) ,\n\n(b) \( \varphi \left( {-t}\right) = \overline{\varphi \left( t\right) } \) ,\n\n(c) \( \left| {\varphi \left( t\right) }\right| = \left| {E{e}^{itX}}\right| \leq E\left| {e}^{itX}\right| = 1 \)\n\n(d...
Proof. (a) is obvious. For (b) we note that\n\n\[ \varphi \left( {-t}\right) = E\left( {\cos \left( {-{tX}}\right) + i\sin \left( {-{tX}}\right) }\right) = E\left( {\cos \left( {tX}\right) - i\sin \left( {tX}\right) }\right) \]\n\n(c) follows from Exercise 1.6.2 since \( \varphi \left( {x, y}\right) = {\left( {x}^{2} +...
No
Theorem 3.3.2. If \( {X}_{1} \) and \( {X}_{2} \) are independent and have ch.f.’s \( {\varphi }_{1} \) and \( {\varphi }_{2} \) then \( {X}_{1} + {X}_{2} \) has ch.f. \( {\varphi }_{1}\left( t\right) {\varphi }_{2}\left( t\right) \) .
Proof.\n\n\[ E{e}^{{it}\left( {{X}_{1} + {X}_{2}}\right) } = E\left( {{e}^{{it}{X}_{1}}{e}^{{it}{X}_{2}}}\right) = E{e}^{{it}{X}_{1}}E{e}^{{it}{X}_{2}} \]\n\nsince \( {e}^{{it}{X}_{1}} \) and \( {e}^{{it}{X}_{2}} \) are independent.
Yes
If \( P\left( {X = 1}\right) = P\left( {X = - 1}\right) = 1/2 \) then
\[ E{e}^{itX} = \left( {{e}^{it} + {e}^{-{it}}}\right) /2 = \cos t \]
Yes
Example 3.3.2. Poisson distribution. If \( P\left( {X = k}\right) = {e}^{-\lambda }{\lambda }^{k}/k \) for \( k = 0,1,2,\ldots \)
then \[ E{e}^{itX} = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{k = 0}}^{\infty }{e}^{-\lambda }\frac{{\lambda }^{k}{e}^{itk}}{k!} = \exp \left( {\lambda \left( {{e}^{it} - 1}\right) }\right) \]
Yes
Example 3.3.3. Normal distribution\n\n\[ \text{Density}\;{\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}\exp \left( {-{x}^{2}/2}\right) \]\n\n\[ \text{Ch.f.}\exp \left( {-{t}^{2}/2}\right) \]\n\nCombining this result with (e) of Theorem 3.3.1, we see that a normal distribution with mean \( \mu \) and variance \( {\sigma }^{2} \) has ch....
Physics Proof\n\n\[ \int {e}^{itx}{\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}{e}^{-{x}^{2}/2}{dx} = {e}^{-{t}^{2}/2}\int {\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1/2}{e}^{-{\left( x - it\right) }^{2}/2}{dx} \]\n\nThe integral is 1 since the integrand is the normal density with mean \( {it} \) and variance 1.\n\nMath Proof. Now that we have cheated ...
Yes
Example 3.3.4. Uniform distribution on \( \\left( {a, b}\\right) \)\n\n\[ \n\\begin{array}{ll} \\text{ Density } & 1/\\left( {b - a}\\right) \\;x \\in \\left( {a, b}\\right) \\\\ \\text{ Ch.f. } & \\left( {{e}^{itb} - {e}^{ita}}\\right) /{it}\\left( {b - a}\\right) \\end{array} \n\]\n\nIn the special case \( a = - c, b...
Proof. Once you recall that \( {\\int }_{a}^{b}{e}^{\\lambda x}{dx} = \\left( {{e}^{\\lambda b} - {e}^{\\lambda a}}\\right) /\\lambda \) holds for complex \( \\lambda \), this is immediate.
Yes
Example 3.3.5. Triangular distribution\n\n\\[ \n\\text{Density}\\;1 - \\left| x\\right| \\;x \\in \\left( {-1,1}\\right) \n\\]\n\n\\[ \n\\text{Ch.f.}\\;2\\left( {1 - \\cos t}\\right) /{t}^{2} \n\\]
Proof. To see this, notice that if \\( X \\) and \\( Y \\) are independent and uniform on \\( \\left( {-1/2,1/2}\\right) \\) then \\( X + Y \\) has a triangular distribution. Using Example 3.3.4 now and Theorem 3.3.2 it follows that the desired ch.f. is\n\n\\[ \n{\\left\\{ \\left( {e}^{{it}/2} - {e}^{-{it}/2}\\right) /...
Yes
Example 3.3.6. Exponential distribution\n\n\\[ \n\\begin{array}{ll} \\text{ Density } & {e}^{-x}\\;x \\in \\left( {0,\\infty }\\right) \\\\ \\text{ Ch.f. } & 1/\\left( {1 - {it}}\\right) \\end{array} \n\\]
Proof. Integrating gives\n\n\\[ \n{\\int }_{0}^{\infty }{e}^{itx}{e}^{-x}{dx} = {\\left. \\frac{{e}^{\\left( {{it} - 1}\\right) x}}{{it} - 1}\\right| }_{0}^{\infty } = \\frac{1}{1 - {it}} \n\\]\n\nsince \\( \\exp \\left( {\\left( {{it} - 1}\\right) x}\\right) \\rightarrow 0 \\) as \\( x \\rightarrow \\infty \\) .
Yes
Example 3.3.7. Bilateral exponential\n\n\\[ \n\\begin{array}{ll} \\text{ Density } & \\frac{1}{2}{e}^{-\\left| x\\right| } \\\\ \\text{ Ch.f. } & 1/\\left( {1 + {t}^{2}}\\right) \\end{array}x \\in \\left( {-\\infty ,\\infty }\\right) \n\\]
Proof This follows from Lemma 3.3.3 with \\( {F}_{1} \\) the distribution of an exponential random variable \\( X,{F}_{2} \\) the distribution of \\( - X \\), and \\( {\\lambda }_{1} = {\\lambda }_{2} = 1/2 \\) then using (b) of Theorem 3.3.1 we see the desired ch.f. is\n\n\\[ \n\\frac{1}{2\\left( {1 - {it}}\\right) } ...
Yes
Theorem 3.3.4. The inversion formula. Let \( \varphi \left( t\right) = \int {e}^{itx}\mu \left( {dx}\right) \) where \( \mu \) is a probability measure. If \( a < b \) then\n\n\[ \mathop{\lim }\limits_{{T \rightarrow \infty }}{\left( 2\pi \right) }^{-1}{\int }_{-T}^{T}\frac{{e}^{-{ita}} - {e}^{-{itb}}}{it}\varphi \left...
Proof. Let\n\n\[ {I}_{T} = {\int }_{-T}^{T}\frac{{e}^{-{ita}} - {e}^{-{itb}}}{it}\varphi \left( t\right) {dt} = {\int }_{-T}^{T}\int \frac{{e}^{-{ita}} - {e}^{-{itb}}}{it}{e}^{itx}\mu \left( {dx}\right) {dt} \]\n\nThe integrand may look bad near \( t = 0 \) but if we observe that\n\n\[ \frac{{e}^{-{ita}} - {e}^{-{itb}}...
Yes
Theorem 3.3.5. If \( \int \left| {\varphi \left( t\right) }\right| {dt} < \infty \) then \( \mu \) has bounded continuous density
\[ f\left( y\right) = \frac{1}{2\pi }\int {e}^{-{ity}}\varphi \left( t\right) {dt} \] Proof. As we observed in the proof of Theorem 3.3.4 \[ \left| \frac{{e}^{-{ita}} - {e}^{-{itb}}}{it}\right| = \left| {{\int }_{a}^{b}{e}^{-{ity}}{dy}}\right| \leq \left| {b - a}\right| \] so the integral in Theorem 3.3.4 converges abs...
Yes
Example 3.3.8. Polya's distribution\n\n\\[ \n\\begin{array}{ll} \\text{ Density } & \\left( {1 - \\cos x}\\right) /\\pi {x}^{2} \\\\\n\\text{ Ch.f. } & {\\left( 1 - \\left| t\\right| \\right) }^{ + } \\end{array} \n\\]
Proof. Theorem 3.3.5 implies\n\n\\[ \n\\frac{1}{2\\pi }\\int \\frac{2\\left( {1 - \\cos s}\\right) }{{s}^{2}}{e}^{-{isy}}{ds} = {\\left( 1 - \\left| y\\right| \\right) }^{ + } \n\\]\n\nNow let \\( s = x, y = - t \\) .
Yes
Example 3.3.9. The Cauchy distribution\n\n\[ \n\begin{array}{ll} \text{ Density } & 1/\pi \left( {1 + {x}^{2}}\right) \\ \text{ Ch.f. } & \exp \left( {-\left| t\right| }\right) \end{array} \n\]
Proof. Theorem 3.3.5 implies\n\n\[ \n\frac{1}{2\pi }\int \frac{1}{1 + {s}^{2}}{e}^{-{isy}}{ds} = \frac{1}{2}{e}^{-\left| y\right| } \n\]\n\nNow let \( s = x, y = - t \) and multiply each side by 2 .
No
Theorem 3.3.6. Continuity theorem. Let \( {\mu }_{n},1 \leq n \leq \infty \) be probability measures with ch.f. \( {\varphi }_{n} \) . (i) If \( {\mu }_{n} \Rightarrow {\mu }_{\infty } \) then \( {\varphi }_{n}\left( t\right) \rightarrow {\varphi }_{\infty }\left( t\right) \) for all \( t \) . (ii) If \( {\varphi }_{n}...
Proof. (i) is easy. \( {e}^{itx} \) is bounded and continuous so if \( {\mu }_{n} \Rightarrow {\mu }_{\infty } \) then Theorem 3.2.3 implies \( {\varphi }_{n}\left( t\right) \rightarrow {\varphi }_{\infty }\left( t\right) \) . To prove (ii), our first goal is to prove tightness. We begin with some calculations that may...
Yes
Lemma 3.3.7.\n\\[ \n\\left| {{e}^{ix} - \\mathop{\\sum }\\limits_{{m = 0}}^{n}\\frac{{\\left( ix\\right) }^{m}}{m!}}\\right| \\leq \\min \\left( {\\frac{{\\left| x\\right| }^{n + 1}}{\\left( {n + 1}\\right) !},\\frac{2{\\left| x\\right| }^{n}}{n!}}\\right) \n\\]
Proof. Integrating by parts gives\n\n\\[ \n{\\int }_{0}^{x}{\\left( x - s\\right) }^{n}{e}^{is}{ds} = \\frac{{x}^{n + 1}}{n + 1} + \\frac{i}{n + 1}{\\int }_{0}^{x}{\\left( x - s\\right) }^{n + 1}{e}^{is}{ds} \n\\]\n\nWhen \\( n = 0 \\), this says\n\n\\[ \n{\\int }_{0}^{x}{e}^{is}{ds} = x + i{\\int }_{0}^{x}\\left( {x -...
No
Theorem 3.3.8. If \( E{\left| X\right| }^{2} < \infty \) then\n\n\[ \varphi \left( t\right) = 1 + {itEX} - {t}^{2}E\left( {X}^{2}\right) /2 + o\left( {t}^{2}\right) \]
Proof. The error term is \( \leq {t}^{2}E\left( {\left| t\right| \cdot {\left| X\right| }^{3} \land 2{\left| X\right| }^{2}}\right) \) . The variable in parentheses is smaller than \( 2{\left| X\right| }^{2} \) and converges to 0 as \( t \rightarrow 0 \), so the desired conclusion follows from the dominated convergence...
Yes
Theorem 3.3.9. If \( \lim \mathop{\sup }\limits_{{h \downarrow 0}}\{ \varphi \left( h\right) - {2\varphi }\left( 0\right) + \varphi \left( {-h}\right) \} /{h}^{2} > - \infty \), then \( E{\left| X\right| }^{2} < \infty \).
Proof. \( \left( {{e}^{ihx} - 2 + {e}^{-{ihx}}}\right) /{h}^{2} = - 2\left( {1 - \cos {hx}}\right) /{h}^{2} \leq 0 \) and \( 2\left( {1 - \cos {hx}}\right) /{h}^{2} \rightarrow {x}^{2} \) as \( h \rightarrow 0 \) so Fatou’s lemma and Fubini’s theorem imply\n\n\[ \n\int {x}^{2}{dF}\left( x\right) \leq 2\mathop{\liminf }...
Yes
Theorem 3.3.10. Polya’s criterion. Let \( \varphi \left( t\right) \) be real nonnegative and have \( \varphi \left( 0\right) = \) \( 1,\varphi \left( t\right) = \varphi \left( {-t}\right) \), and \( \varphi \) is decreasing and convex on \( \left( {0,\infty }\right) \) with\n\n\[ \mathop{\lim }\limits_{{t \downarrow 0}...
Proof. Let \( {\varphi }^{\prime } \) be the right derivative of \( \phi \), i.e.,\n\n\[ {\varphi }^{\prime }\left( t\right) = \mathop{\lim }\limits_{{h \downarrow 0}}\frac{\varphi \left( {t + h}\right) - \varphi \left( t\right) }{h} \]\n\nSince \( \varphi \) is convex this exists and is right continuous and increasing...
Yes
Example 3.3.10. \( \exp \left( {-{\left| t\right| }^{\alpha }}\right) \) is a characteristic function for \( 0 < \alpha < 2 \) .
Proof. A little calculus shows that for any \( \beta \) and \( \left| x\right| < 1 \)\n\n\[{\left( 1 - x\right) }^{\beta } = \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = 0}}^{\infty }\left( \begin{array}{l} \beta \\ n \end{array}\right) {\left( -x\right) }^{n}\]\n\nwhere\n\n\[ \left( \begin{array}{l} \beta \\ n \end{array}\right) = \fr...
Yes
Example 3.3.11. For some purposes, it is nice to have an explicit example of two ch.f.’s that agree on \( \left\lbrack {-1,1}\right\rbrack \) . From Example 3.3.8, we know that \( {\left( 1 - \left| t\right| \right) }^{ + } \) is the ch.f. of the density \( \left( {1 - \cos x}\right) /\pi {x}^{2} \) . Define \( \psi \l...
The Fourier series for \( \psi \) is\n\n\[ \psi \left( u\right) = \frac{1}{2} + \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{n = - \infty }}^{\infty }\frac{2}{{\pi }^{2}{\left( 2n - 1\right) }^{2}}\exp \left( {i\left( {{2n} - 1}\right) {\pi u}}\right) \]\n\nThe right-hand side is the ch.f. of a discrete distribution with\n\n\[ P\left( {X =...
Yes
Theorem 3.3.11. If \( \mathop{\limsup }\limits_{{k \rightarrow \infty }}{\mu }_{2k}^{1/{2k}}/{2k} = r < \infty \) then there is at most one d.f. \( F \) with \( {\mu }_{k} = \int {x}^{k}{dF}\left( x\right) \) for all positive integers \( k \) .
Proof. Let \( F \) be any d.f. with the moments \( {\mu }_{k} \) and let \( {\nu }_{k} = \int {\left| x\right| }^{k}{dF}\left( x\right) \) . The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality implies \( {\nu }_{{2k} + 1}^{2} \leq {\mu }_{2k}{\mu }_{{2k} + 2} \) so\n\n\[ \mathop{\limsup }\limits_{{k \rightarrow \infty }}\left( {\nu }_{k}^{1...
Yes
Theorem 3.4.1. Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( E{X}_{i} = \mu \) , \( \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{i}\right) = {\sigma }^{2} \in \left( {0,\infty }\right) \) . If \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) then\n\n\[ \left( {{S}_{n} - {n\mu }}\right) /\sigma {n}^{1/2} \Rightarrow \chi \]\n\nwhere \(...
Proof By considering \( {X}_{i}^{\prime } = {X}_{i} - \mu \), it suffices to prove the result when \( \mu = 0 \) . From\n\nTheorem 3.3.8\n\[ \varph
No
Theorem 3.3.8\n\[ \varphi \left( t\right) = E\exp \left( {{it}{X}_{1}}\right) = 1 - \frac{{\sigma }^{2}{t}^{2}}{2} + o\left( {t}^{2}\right) \]
so\n\[ E\exp \left( {{it}{S}_{n}/\sigma {n}^{1/2}}\right) = {\left( 1 - \frac{{t}^{2}}{2n} + o\left( {n}^{-1}\right) \right) }^{n} \]\n\nFrom Lemma 3.1.1 it should be clear that the last quantity \( \rightarrow \exp \left( {-{t}^{2}/2}\right) \) as \( n \rightarrow \infty \) , which with Theorem 3.3.6 completes the pro...
No
Theorem 3.4.2. If \( {c}_{n} \rightarrow c \in \mathbf{C} \) then \( {\left( 1 + {c}_{n}/n\right) }^{n} \rightarrow {e}^{c} \) .
Proof. The proof is based on two simple facts:
No
Lemma 3.4.3. Let \( {z}_{1},\ldots ,{z}_{n} \) and \( {w}_{1},\ldots ,{w}_{n} \) be complex numbers of modulus \( \leq \theta \) .\n\nThen\n\[ \left| {\mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{z}_{m} - \mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{w}_{m}}\right| \leq {\theta }^{n - 1}\mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}\left| {{z}_{m...
Proof. The result is true for \( n = 1 \) . To prove it for \( n > 1 \) observe that\n\n\[ \left| {\mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{z}_{m} - \mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{w}_{m}}\right| \leq \left| {{z}_{1}\mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 2}}^{n}{z}_{m} - {z}_{1}\mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 2}}^{n}{w}_{m}}\right...
Yes
Lemma 3.4.4. If \( b \) is a complex number with \( \left| b\right| \leq 1 \) then \( \left| {{e}^{b} - \left( {1 + b}\right) }\right| \leq {\left| b\right| }^{2} \) .
Proof. \( {e}^{b} - \left( {1 + b}\right) = {b}^{2}/2! + {b}^{3}/3! + {b}^{4}/4! + \ldots \) so if \( \left| b\right| \leq 1 \) then\n\n\[ \left| {{e}^{b} - \left( {1 + b}\right) }\right| \leq \frac{{\left| b\right| }^{2}}{2}\left( {1 + 1/2 + 1/{2}^{2} + \ldots }\right) = {\left| b\right| }^{2} \]\n
Yes
A roulette wheel has slots numbered 1-36 (18 red and 18 black) and two slots numbered 0 and 00 that are painted green. Players can bet \$1 that the ball will land in a red (or black) slot and win \$1 if it does. If we let \( {X}_{i} \) be the winnings on the \( i \) th play then \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are i.i.d. ...
\[ E{X}_{i} = - 1/{19}\text{ and }\operatorname{var}\left( X\right) = E{X}^{2} - {\left( EX\right) }^{2} = 1 - {\left( 1/{19}\right) }^{2} = {0.9972} \] We are interested in \[ P\left( {{S}_{n} \geq 0}\right) = P\left( {\frac{{S}_{n} - {n\mu }}{\sigma \sqrt{n}} \geq \frac{-{n\mu }}{\sigma \sqrt{n}}}\right) \] Taking \(...
Yes
Let \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( P\left( {{X}_{i} = 0}\right) = P\left( {{X}_{i} = 1}\right) = 1/2 \). If \( {X}_{i} = 1 \) indicates that a heads occured on the \( i \) th toss then \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) is the total number of heads at time \( n \).
\[ E{X}_{i} = 1/2\;\text{ and }\;\operatorname{var}\left( X\right) = E{X}^{2} - {\left( EX\right) }^{2} = 1/2 - 1/4 = 1/4 \] So the central limit theorem tells us \( \left( {{S}_{n} - n/2}\right) /\sqrt{n/4} \Rightarrow \chi \). Our table of the normal distribution tells us that \[ P\left( {\chi > 2}\right) = 1 - {0.97...
Yes
To estimate \( P\left( {{S}_{16} = 8}\right) \) using the central limit theorem, we regard 8 as the interval \( \left\lbrack {{7.5},{8.5}}\right\rbrack \) . Since \( \mu = 1/2 \), and \( \sigma \sqrt{n} = 2 \) for \( n = {16} \)
\[ P\left( {\left| {{S}_{16} - 8}\right| \leq {0.5}}\right) = P\left( {\frac{\left| {S}_{n} - n\mu \right| }{\sigma \sqrt{n}} \leq {0.25}}\right) \] \[ \approx P\left( {\left| \chi \right| \leq {0.25}}\right) = 2\left( {{0.5987} - {0.5}}\right) = {0.1974} \] Even though \( n \) is small, this agrees well with the exact...
Yes
Let \( {Z}_{\lambda } \) have a Poisson distribution with mean \( \lambda \) . If \( {X}_{1},{X}_{2},\ldots \) are independent and have Poisson distributions with mean 1, then \( {S}_{n} = {X}_{1} + \cdots + {X}_{n} \) has a Poisson distribution with mean \( n \) . Since \( \operatorname{var}\left( {X}_{i}\right) = 1 \...
\[ \left( {{S}_{n} - n}\right) /{n}^{1/2} \Rightarrow \chi \;\text{ as }n \rightarrow \infty \]
No
Pairwise independence is good enough for the strong law of large numbers (see Theorem 2.4.1). It is not good enough for the central limit theorem. Let \( {\xi }_{1},{\xi }_{2},\ldots \) be i.i.d. with \( P\left( {{\xi }_{i} = 1}\right) = P\left( {{\xi }_{i} = - 1}\right) = 1/2 \) . We will arrange things so that for \(...
\[ {S}_{{2}^{n}} = {\xi }_{1}\left( {1 + {\xi }_{2}}\right) \cdots \left( {1 + {\xi }_{n + 1}}\right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \pm {2}^{n} & \text{ with prob }{2}^{-n - 1} \\ 0 & \text{ with prob }1 - {2}^{-n} \end{array}\right. \] To do this we let \( {X}_{1} = {\xi }_{1},{X}_{2} = {\xi }_{1}{\xi }_{2} \), and for ...
No
Theorem 3.4.5. The Lindeberg-Feller theorem. For each \( n \), let \( {X}_{n, m},1 \leq m \leq \) \( n \), be independent random variables with \( E{X}_{n, m} = 0 \) . Suppose\n\n(i) \( \mathop{\sum }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}E{X}_{n, m}^{2} \rightarrow {\sigma }^{2} > 0 \)\n\n(ii) For all \( \epsilon > 0,\mathop{\lim }\lim...
Proof. Let \( {\varphi }_{n, m}\left( t\right) = E\exp \left( {{it}{X}_{n, m}}\right) ,{\sigma }_{n, m}^{2} = E{X}_{n, m}^{2} \) . By Theorem 3.3.6, it suffices to show that\n\n\[ \mathop{\prod }\limits_{{m = 1}}^{n}{\varphi }_{n, m}\left( t\right) \rightarrow \exp \left( {-{t}^{2}{\sigma }^{2}/2}\right) \]\n\nLet \( {...
Yes