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ML_Dataset

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Title: The Margitron: A Generalised Perceptron with Margin
Abstract: We identify the classical Perceptron algorithm with margin as a member of a broader family of large margin classifiers which we collectively call the Margitron. The Margitron, (despite its) sharing the same update rule with the Perceptron, is shown in an incremental setting to converge in a finite number of updates to solutions possessing any desirable fraction of the maximum margin. Experiments comparing the Margitron with decomposition SVMs on tasks involving linear kernels and 2-norm soft margin are also reported.
Title: The Remarkable Simplicity of Very High Dimensional Data: Application of Model-Based Clustering
Abstract: An ultrametric topology formalizes the notion of hierarchical structure. An ultrametric embedding, referred to here as ultrametricity, is implied by a hierarchical embedding. Such hierarchical structure can be global in the data set, or local. By quantifying extent or degree of ultrametricity in a data set, we show that ultrametricity becomes pervasive as dimensionality and/or spatial sparsity increases. This leads us to assert that very high dimensional data are of simple structure. We exemplify this finding through a range of simulated data cases. We discuss also application to very high frequency time series segmentation and modeling.
Title: Sample Selection Bias Correction Theory
Abstract: This paper presents a theoretical analysis of sample selection bias correction. The sample bias correction technique commonly used in machine learning consists of reweighting the cost of an error on each training point of a biased sample to more closely reflect the unbiased distribution. This relies on weights derived by various estimation techniques based on finite samples. We analyze the effect of an error in that estimation on the accuracy of the hypothesis returned by the learning algorithm for two estimation techniques: a cluster-based estimation technique and kernel mean matching. We also report the results of sample bias correction experiments with several data sets using these techniques. Our analysis is based on the novel concept of distributional stability which generalizes the existing concept of point-based stability. Much of our work and proof techniques can be used to analyze other importance weighting techniques and their effect on accuracy when using a distributionally stable algorithm.
Title: On the history and use of some standard statistical models
Abstract: This paper tries to tell the story of the general linear model, which saw the light of day 200 years ago, and the assumptions underlying it. We distinguish three principal stages (ignoring earlier more isolated instances). The model was first proposed in the context of astronomical and geodesic observations, where the main source of variation was observational error. This was the main use of the model during the 19th century. In the 1920's it was developed in a new direction by R.A. Fisher whose principal applications were in agriculture and biology. Finally, beginning in the 1930's and 40's it became an important tool for the social sciences. As new areas of applications were added, the assumptions underlying the model tended to become more questionable, and the resulting statistical techniques more prone to misuse.
Title: Multivariate data analysis: The French way
Abstract: This paper presents exploratory techniques for multivariate data, many of them well known to French statisticians and ecologists, but few well understood in North American culture. We present the general framework of duality diagrams which encompasses discriminant analysis, correspondence analysis and principal components, and we show how this framework can be generalized to the regression of graphs on covariates.
Title: Learning Low-Density Separators
Abstract: We define a novel, basic, unsupervised learning problem - learning the lowest density homogeneous hyperplane separator of an unknown probability distribution. This task is relevant to several problems in machine learning, such as semi-supervised learning and clustering stability. We investigate the question of existence of a universally consistent algorithm for this problem. We propose two natural learning paradigms and prove that, on input unlabeled random samples generated by any member of a rich family of distributions, they are guaranteed to converge to the optimal separator for that distribution. We complement this result by showing that no learning algorithm for our task can achieve uniform learning rates (that are independent of the data generating distribution).
Title: High-dimensional subset recovery in noise: Sparsified measurements without loss of statistical efficiency
Abstract: We consider the problem of estimating the support of a vector $\beta^* \in ^p$ based on observations contaminated by noise. A significant body of work has studied behavior of $\ell_1$-relaxations when applied to measurement matrices drawn from standard dense ensembles (e.g., Gaussian, Bernoulli). In this paper, we analyze measurement ensembles, and consider the trade-off between measurement sparsity, as measured by the fraction $\gamma$ of non-zero entries, and the statistical efficiency, as measured by the minimal number of observations $n$ required for exact support recovery with probability converging to one. Our main result is to prove that it is possible to let $\gamma \to 0$ at some rate, yielding measurement matrices with a vanishing fraction of non-zeros per row while retaining the same statistical efficiency as dense ensembles. A variety of simulation results confirm the sharpness of our theoretical predictions.
Title: Multiple tests of association with biological annotation metadata
Abstract: We propose a general and formal statistical framework for multiple tests of association between known fixed features of a genome and unknown parameters of the distribution of variable features of this genome in a population of interest. The known gene-annotation profiles, corresponding to the fixed features of the genome, may concern Gene Ontology (GO) annotation, pathway membership, regulation by particular transcription factors, nucleotide sequences, or protein sequences. The unknown gene-parameter profiles, corresponding to the variable features of the genome, may be, for example, regression coefficients relating possibly censored biological and clinical outcomes to genome-wide transcript levels, DNA copy numbers, and other covariates. A generic question of great interest in current genomic research regards the detection of associations between biological annotation metadata and genome-wide expression measures. This biological question may be translated as the test of multiple hypotheses concerning association measures between gene-annotation profiles and gene-parameter profiles. A general and rigorous formulation of the statistical inference question allows us to apply the multiple hypothesis testing methodology developed in [Multiple Testing Procedures with Applications to Genomics (2008) Springer, New York] and related articles, to control a broad class of Type I error rates, defined as generalized tail probabilities and expected values for arbitrary functions of the numbers of Type I errors and rejected hypotheses. The resampling-based single-step and stepwise multiple testing procedures of [Multiple Testing Procedures with Applications to Genomics (2008) Springer, New York] take into account the joint distribution of the test statistics and provide Type I error control in testing problems involving general data generating distributions (with arbitrary dependence structures among variables), null hypotheses, and test statistics.
Title: Three months journeying of a Hawaiian monk seal
Abstract: Hawaiian monk seals (Monachus schauinslandi) are endemic to the Hawaiian Islands and are the most endangered species of marine mammal that lives entirely within the jurisdiction of the United States. The species numbers around 1300 and has been declining owing, among other things, to poor juvenile survival which is evidently related to poor foraging success. Consequently, data have been collected recently on the foraging habitats, movements, and behaviors of monk seals throughout the Northwestern and main Hawaiian Islands. Our work here is directed to exploring a data set located in a relatively shallow offshore submerged bank (Penguin Bank) in our search of a model for a seal's journey. The work ends by fitting a stochastic differential equation (SDE) that mimics some aspects of the behavior of seals by working with location data collected for one seal. The SDE is found by developing a time varying potential function with two points of attraction. The times of location are irregularly spaced and not close together geographically, leading to some difficulties of interpretation. Synthetic plots generated using the model are employed to assess its reasonableness spatially and temporally. One aspect is that the animal stays mainly southwest of Molokai. The work led to the estimation of the lengths and locations of the seal's foraging trips.
Title: Curse-of-dimensionality revisited: Collapse of the particle filter in very large scale systems
Abstract: It has been widely realized that Monte Carlo methods (approximation via a sample ensemble) may fail in large scale systems. This work offers some theoretical insight into this phenomenon in the context of the particle filter. We demonstrate that the maximum of the weights associated with the sample ensemble converges to one as both the sample size and the system dimension tends to infinity. Specifically, under fairly weak assumptions, if the ensemble size grows sub-exponentially in the cube root of the system dimension, the convergence holds for a single update step in state-space models with independent and identically distributed kernels. Further, in an important special case, more refined arguments show (and our simulations suggest) that the convergence to unity occurs unless the ensemble grows super-exponentially in the system dimension. The weight singularity is also established in models with more general multivariate likelihoods, e.g. Gaussian and Cauchy. Although presented in the context of atmospheric data assimilation for numerical weather prediction, our results are generally valid for high-dimensional particle filters.
Title: Projection pursuit for discrete data
Abstract: This paper develops projection pursuit for discrete data using the discrete Radon transform. Discrete projection pursuit is presented as an exploratory method for finding informative low dimensional views of data such as binary vectors, rankings, phylogenetic trees or graphs. We show that for most data sets, most projections are close to uniform. Thus, informative summaries are ones deviating from uniformity. Syllabic data from several of Plato's great works is used to illustrate the methods. Along with some basic distribution theory, an automated procedure for computing informative projections is introduced.
Title: Objective Bayesian analysis under sequential experimentation
Abstract: Objective priors for sequential experiments are considered. Common priors, such as the Jeffreys prior and the reference prior, will typically depend on the stopping rule used for the sequential experiment. New expressions for reference priors are obtained in various contexts, and computational issues involving such priors are considered.
Title: J. K. Ghosh's contribution to statistics: A brief outline
Abstract: Professor Jayanta Kumar Ghosh has contributed massively to various areas of Statistics over the last five decades. Here, we survey some of his most important contributions. In roughly chronological order, we discuss his major results in the areas of sequential analysis, foundations, asymptotics, and Bayesian inference. It is seen that he progressed from thinking about data points, to thinking about data summarization, to the limiting cases of data summarization in as they relate to parameter estimation, and then to more general aspects of modeling including prior and model selection.
Title: Sequential tests and estimates after overrunning based on $p$-value combination
Abstract: Often in sequential trials additional data become available after a stopping boundary has been reached. A method of incorporating such information from overrunning is developed, based on the ``adding weighted Zs'' method of combining $p$-values. This yields a combined $p$-value for the primary test and a median-unbiased estimate and confidence bounds for the parameter under test. When the amount of overrunning information is proportional to the amount available upon terminating the sequential test, exact inference methods are provided; otherwise, approximate methods are given and evaluated. The context is that of observing a Brownian motion with drift, with either linear stopping boundaries in continuous time or discrete-time group-sequential boundaries. The method is compared with other available methods and is exemplified with data from two sequential clinical trials.
Title: A note on the ABC-PRC algorithm of Sissons et al. (2007)
Abstract: This note describes the results of some tests of the ABC-PRC algorithm of Sissons et al. (PNAS, 2007), and demonstrates with a toy example that the method does not converge on the true posterior distribution.
Title: Cognitive Architecture for Direction of Attention Founded on Subliminal Memory Searches, Pseudorandom and Nonstop
Abstract: By way of explaining how a brain works logically, human associative memory is modeled with logical and memory neurons, corresponding to standard digital circuits. The resulting cognitive architecture incorporates basic psychological elements such as short term and long term memory. Novel to the architecture are memory searches using cues chosen pseudorandomly from short term memory. Recalls alternated with sensory images, many tens per second, are analyzed subliminally as an ongoing process, to determine a direction of attention in short term memory.
Title: Fuzzy sets in nonparametric Bayes regression
Abstract: A simple Bayesian approach to nonparametric regression is described using fuzzy sets and membership functions. Membership functions are interpreted as likelihood functions for the unknown regression function, so that with the help of a reference prior they can be transformed to prior density functions. The unknown regression function is decomposed into wavelets and a hierarchical Bayesian approach is employed for making inferences on the resulting wavelet coefficients.
Title: Statistical region-based active contours with exponential family observations
Abstract: In this paper, we focus on statistical region-based active contour models where image features (e.g. intensity) are random variables whose distribution belongs to some parametric family (e.g. exponential) rather than confining ourselves to the special Gaussian case. Using shape derivation tools, our effort focuses on constructing a general expression for the derivative of the energy (with respect to a domain) and derive the corresponding evolution speed. A general result is stated within the framework of multi-parameter exponential family. More particularly, when using Maximum Likelihood estimators, the evolution speed has a closed-form expression that depends simply on the probability density function, while complicating additive terms appear when using other estimators, e.g. moments method. Experimental results on both synthesized and real images demonstrate the applicability of our approach.
Title: Region-based active contour with noise and shape priors
Abstract: In this paper, we propose to combine formally noise and shape priors in region-based active contours. On the one hand, we use the general framework of exponential family as a prior model for noise. On the other hand, translation and scale invariant Legendre moments are considered to incorporate the shape prior (e.g. fidelity to a reference shape). The combination of the two prior terms in the active contour functional yields the final evolution equation whose evolution speed is rigorously derived using shape derivative tools. Experimental results on both synthetic images and real life cardiac echography data clearly demonstrate the robustness to initialization and noise, flexibility and large potential applicability of our segmentation algorithm.
Title: Objective Bayes testing of Poisson versus inflated Poisson models
Abstract: The Poisson distribution is often used as a standard model for count data. Quite often, however, such data sets are not well fit by a Poisson model because they have more zeros than are compatible with this model. For these situations, a zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) distribution is often proposed. This article addresses testing a Poisson versus a ZIP model, using Bayesian methodology based on suitable objective priors. Specific choices of objective priors are justified and their properties investigated. The methodology is extended to include covariates in regression models. Several applications are given.
Title: Consistent selection via the Lasso for high dimensional approximating regression models
Abstract: In this article we investigate consistency of selection in regression models via the popular Lasso method. Here we depart from the traditional linear regression assumption and consider approximations of the regression function $f$ with elements of a given dictionary of $M$ functions. The target for consistency is the index set of those functions from this dictionary that realize the most parsimonious approximation to $f$ among all linear combinations belonging to an $L_2$ ball centered at $f$ and of radius $r_n,M^2$. In this framework we show that a consistent estimate of this index set can be derived via $\ell_1$ penalized least squares, with a data dependent penalty and with tuning sequence $r_n,M>$, where $n$ is the sample size. Our results hold for any $1\leq M\leq n^\gamma$, for any $\gamma>0$.
Title: Asymptotic optimality of a cross-validatory predictive approach to linear model selection
Abstract: In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory variables, we consider a class of linear models as approximations to the true regression function. One selects a model among these using the criterion under study and predicts a future replicate of the dependent variable by an optimal predictor under the chosen model. We show that for squared error prediction loss, this scheme of prediction performs asymptotically as well as an oracle, where the oracle here refers to a model selection rule which minimizes this loss if the true regression were known.
Title: Risk and resampling under model uncertainty
Abstract: In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of the model selection process. We discuss some problems associated with this approach. An alternative scheme is to use a model-averaged estimator, that is, a weighted average of estimators obtained under different models, as an estimator of a parameter. We show that the risk associated with a Bayesian model-averaged estimator is bounded as a function of the sample size, when parameter values are fixed. We establish conditions which ensure that a model-averaged estimator's distribution can be consistently approximated using the bootstrap. A new, data-adaptive, model averaging scheme is proposed that balances efficiency of estimation without compromising applicability of the bootstrap. This paper illustrates that certain desirable risk and resampling properties of model-averaged estimators are obtainable when parameters are fixed but unknown; this complements several studies on minimaxity and other properties of post-model-selected and model-averaged estimators, where parameters are allowed to vary.
Title: A Bayesian semi-parametric model for small area estimation
Abstract: In public health management there is a need to produce subnational estimates of health outcomes. Often, however, funds are not available to collect samples large enough to produce traditional survey sample estimates for each subnational area. Although parametric hierarchical methods have been successfully used to derive estimates from small samples, there is a concern that the geographic diversity of the U.S. population may be oversimplified in these models. In this paper, a semi-parametric model is used to describe the geographic variability component of the model. Specifically, we assume Dirichlet process mixtures of normals for county-specific random effects. Results are compared to a parametric model based on the base measure of the Dirichlet process, using binary health outcomes related to mammogram usage.
Title: Compressing Binary Decision Diagrams
Abstract: The paper introduces a new technique for compressing Binary Decision Diagrams in those cases where random access is not required. Using this technique, compression and decompression can be done in linear time in the size of the BDD and compression will in many cases reduce the size of the BDD to 1-2 bits per node. Empirical results for our compression technique are presented, including comparisons with previously introduced techniques, showing that the new technique dominate on all tested instances.
Title: A hierarchical Bayesian approach for estimating the origin of a mixed population
Abstract: We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the proportional contribution of source populations to a newly founded colony. Samples are derived from the first generation offspring in the colony, but mating may occur preferentially among migrants from the same source population. Genotypes of the newly founded colony and source populations are used to estimate the mixture proportions, and the mixture proportions are related to environmental and demographic factors that might affect the colonizing process. We estimate an assortative mating coefficient, mixture proportions, and regression relationships between environmental factors and the mixture proportions in a single hierarchical model. The first-stage likelihood for genotypes in the newly founded colony is a mixture multinomial distribution reflecting the colonizing process. The environmental and demographic data are incorporated into the model through a hierarchical prior structure. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the model by using different levels of population divergence and number of genetic markers included in the analysis. We use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation to conduct inference for the posterior distributions of model parameters. We apply the model to a data set derived from grey seals in the Orkney Islands, Scotland. We compare our model with a similar model previously used to analyze these data. The results from both the simulation and application to real data indicate that our model provides better estimates for the covariate effects.
Title: Kendall's tau in high-dimensional genomic parsimony
Abstract: High-dimensional data models, often with low sample size, abound in many interdisciplinary studies, genomics and large biological systems being most noteworthy. The conventional assumption of multinormality or linearity of regression may not be plausible for such models which are likely to be statistically complex due to a large number of parameters as well as various underlying restraints. As such, parametric approaches may not be very effective. Anything beyond parametrics, albeit, having increased scope and robustness perspectives, may generally be baffled by the low sample size and hence unable to give reasonable margins of errors. Kendall's tau statistic is exploited in this context with emphasis on dimensional rather than sample size asymptotics. The Chen--Stein theorem has been thoroughly appraised in this study. Applications of these findings in some microarray data models are illustrated.
Title: Orthogonalized smoothing for rescaled spike and slab models
Abstract: Rescaled spike and slab models are a new Bayesian variable selection method for linear regression models. In high dimensional orthogonal settings such models have been shown to possess optimal model selection properties. We review background theory and discuss applications of rescaled spike and slab models to prediction problems involving orthogonal polynomials. We first consider global smoothing and discuss potential weaknesses. Some of these deficiencies are remedied by using local regression. The local regression approach relies on an intimate connection between local weighted regression and weighted generalized ridge regression. An important implication is that one can trace the effective degrees of freedom of a curve as a way to visualize and classify curvature. Several motivating examples are presented.
Title: An ensemble approach to improved prediction from multitype data
Abstract: We have developed a strategy for the analysis of newly available binary data to improve outcome predictions based on existing data (binary or non-binary). Our strategy involves two modeling approaches for the newly available data, one combining binary covariate selection via LASSO with logistic regression and one based on logic trees. The results of these models are then compared to the results of a model based on existing data with the objective of combining model results to achieve the most accurate predictions. The combination of model predictions is aided by the use of support vector machines to identify subspaces of the covariate space in which specific models lead to successful predictions. We demonstrate our approach in the analysis of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data and traditional clinical risk factors for the prediction of coronary heart disease.
Title: Sharp failure rates for the bootstrap particle filter in high dimensions
Abstract: We prove that the maximum of the sample importance weights in a high-dimensional Gaussian particle filter converges to unity unless the ensemble size grows exponentially in the system dimension. Our work is motivated by and parallels the derivations of Bengtsson, Bickel and Li (2007); however, we weaken their assumptions on the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of the prior distribution and establish rigorously their strong conjecture on when weight collapse occurs. Specifically, we remove the assumption that the nonzero eigenvalues are bounded away from zero, which, although the dimension of the involved vectors grow to infinity, essentially permits the effective system dimension to be bounded. Moreover, with some restrictions on the rate of growth of the maximum eigenvalue, we relax their assumption that the eigenvalues are bounded from above, allowing the system to be dominated by a single mode.
Title: Computational Representation of Linguistic Structures using Domain-Specific Languages
Abstract: We describe a modular system for generating sentences from formal definitions of underlying linguistic structures using domain-specific languages. The system uses Java in general, Prolog for lexical entries and custom domain-specific languages based on Functional Grammar and Functional Discourse Grammar notation, implemented using the ANTLR parser generator. We show how linguistic and technological parts can be brought together in a natural language processing system and how domain-specific languages can be used as a tool for consistent formal notation in linguistic description.
Title: Design of Attitude Stability System for Prolate Dual-spin Satellite in Its Inclined Elliptical Orbit
Abstract: In general, most of communication satellites were designed to be operated in geostationary orbit. And many of them were designed in prolate dual-spin configuration. As a prolate dual-spin vehicle, they have to be stabilized against their internal energy dissipation effect. Several countries that located in southern hemisphere, has shown interest to use communication satellite. Because of those countries southern latitude, an idea emerged to incline the communication satellite (due to its prolate dualspin configuration) in elliptical orbit. This work is focused on designing Attitude Stability System for prolate dual-spin satellite in the effect of perturbed field of gravity due to the inclination of its elliptical orbit. DANDE (De-spin Active Nutation Damping Electronics) provides primary stabilization method for the satellite in its orbit. Classical Control Approach is used for the iteration of DANDE parameters. The control performance is evaluated based on time response analysis.
Title: Exploring a type-theoretic approach to accessibility constraint modelling
Abstract: The type-theoretic modelling of DRT that [degroote06] proposed features continuations for the management of the context in which a clause has to be interpreted. This approach, while keeping the standard definitions of quantifier scope, translates the rules of the accessibility constraints of discourse referents inside the semantic recipes. In this paper, we deal with additional rules for these accessibility constraints. In particular in the case of discourse referents introduced by proper nouns, that negation does not block, and in the case of rhetorical relations that structure discourses. We show how this continuation-based approach applies to those accessibility constraints and how we can consider the parallel management of various principles.
Title: Logic programming with social features