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Title: Learning the Structure of Deep Sparse Graphical Models
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Abstract: Deep belief networks are a powerful way to model complex probability distributions. However, learning the structure of a belief network, particularly one with hidden units, is difficult. The Indian buffet process has been used as a nonparametric Bayesian prior on the directed structure of a belief network with a single infinitely wide hidden layer. In this paper, we introduce the cascading Indian buffet process (CIBP), which provides a nonparametric prior on the structure of a layered, directed belief network that is unbounded in both depth and width, yet allows tractable inference. We use the CIBP prior with the nonlinear Gaussian belief network so each unit can additionally vary its behavior between discrete and continuous representations. We provide Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for inference in these belief networks and explore the structures learned on several image data sets.
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Title: Elliptical slice sampling
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Abstract: Many probabilistic models introduce strong dependencies between variables using a latent multivariate Gaussian distribution or a Gaussian process. We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for performing inference in models with multivariate Gaussian priors. Its key properties are: 1) it has simple, generic code applicable to many models, 2) it has no free parameters, 3) it works well for a variety of Gaussian process based models. These properties make our method ideal for use while model building, removing the need to spend time deriving and tuning updates for more complex algorithms.
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Title: Least squares after model selection in high-dimensional sparse models
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Abstract: In this article we study post-model selection estimators that apply ordinary least squares (OLS) to the model selected by first-step penalized estimators, typically Lasso. It is well known that Lasso can estimate the nonparametric regression function at nearly the oracle rate, and is thus hard to improve upon. We show that the OLS post-Lasso estimator performs at least as well as Lasso in terms of the rate of convergence, and has the advantage of a smaller bias. Remarkably, this performance occurs even if the Lasso-based model selection "fails" in the sense of missing some components of the "true" regression model. By the "true" model, we mean the best s-dimensional approximation to the nonparametric regression function chosen by the oracle. Furthermore, OLS post-Lasso estimator can perform strictly better than Lasso, in the sense of a strictly faster rate of convergence, if the Lasso-based model selection correctly includes all components of the "true" model as a subset and also achieves sufficient sparsity. In the extreme case, when Lasso perfectly selects the "true" model, the OLS post-Lasso estimator becomes the oracle estimator. An important ingredient in our analysis is a new sparsity bound on the dimension of the model selected by Lasso, which guarantees that this dimension is at most of the same order as the dimension of the "true" model. Our rate results are nonasymptotic and hold in both parametric and nonparametric models. Moreover, our analysis is not limited to the Lasso estimator acting as a selector in the first step, but also applies to any other estimator, for example, various forms of thresholded Lasso, with good rates and good sparsity properties. Our analysis covers both traditional thresholding and a new practical, data-driven thresholding scheme that induces additional sparsity subject to maintaining a certain goodness of fit. The latter scheme has theoretical guarantees similar to those of Lasso or OLS post-Lasso, but it dominates those procedures as well as traditional thresholding in a wide variety of experiments.
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Title: Regularization for Matrix Completion
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Abstract: We consider the problem of reconstructing a low rank matrix from noisy observations of a subset of its entries. This task has applications in statistical learning, computer vision, and signal processing. In these contexts, "noise" generically refers to any contribution to the data that is not captured by the low-rank model. In most applications, the noise level is large compared to the underlying signal and it is important to avoid overfitting. In order to tackle this problem, we define a regularized cost function well suited for spectral reconstruction methods. Within a random noise model, and in the large system limit, we prove that the resulting accuracy undergoes a phase transition depending on the noise level and on the fraction of observed entries. The cost function can be minimized using OPTSPACE (a manifold gradient descent algorithm). Numerical simulations show that this approach is competitive with state-of-the-art alternatives.
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Title: Optimal Query Complexity for Reconstructing Hypergraphs
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Abstract: In this paper we consider the problem of reconstructing a hidden weighted hypergraph of constant rank using additive queries. We prove the following: Let $G$ be a weighted hidden hypergraph of constant rank with n vertices and $m$ hyperedges. For any $m$ there exists a non-adaptive algorithm that finds the edges of the graph and their weights using $$ O(\log m) $$ additive queries. This solves the open problem in [S. Choi, J. H. Kim. Optimal Query Complexity Bounds for Finding Graphs. \em STOC, 749--758, 2008]. When the weights of the hypergraph are integers that are less than $O(poly(n^d/m))$ where $d$ is the rank of the hypergraph (and therefore for unweighted hypergraphs) there exists a non-adaptive algorithm that finds the edges of the graph and their weights using $$ O(m\log m). $$ additive queries. Using the information theoretic bound the above query complexities are tight.
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Title: Comparing Distributions and Shapes using the Kernel Distance
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Abstract: Starting with a similarity function between objects, it is possible to define a distance metric on pairs of objects, and more generally on probability distributions over them. These distance metrics have a deep basis in functional analysis, measure theory and geometric measure theory, and have a rich structure that includes an isometric embedding into a (possibly infinite dimensional) Hilbert space. They have recently been applied to numerous problems in machine learning and shape analysis. In this paper, we provide the first algorithmic analysis of these distance metrics. Our main contributions are as follows: (i) We present fast approximation algorithms for computing the kernel distance between two point sets P and Q that runs in near-linear time in the size of (P cup Q) (note that an explicit calculation would take quadratic time). (ii) We present polynomial-time algorithms for approximately minimizing the kernel distance under rigid transformation; they run in time O(n + poly(1/epsilon, log n)). (iii) We provide several general techniques for reducing complex objects to convenient sparse representations (specifically to point sets or sets of points sets) which approximately preserve the kernel distance. In particular, this allows us to reduce problems of computing the kernel distance between various types of objects such as curves, surfaces, and distributions to computing the kernel distance between point sets. These take advantage of the reproducing kernel Hilbert space and a new relation linking binary range spaces to continuous range spaces with bounded fat-shattering dimension.
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Title: Inference of global clusters from locally distributed data
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Abstract: We consider the problem of analyzing the heterogeneity of clustering distributions for multiple groups of observed data, each of which is indexed by a covariate value, and inferring global clusters arising from observations aggregated over the covariate domain. We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method reposing on the formalism of spatial modeling and a nested hierarchy of Dirichlet processes. We provide an analysis of the model properties, relating and contrasting the notions of local and global clusters. We also provide an efficient inference algorithm, and demonstrate the utility of our method in several data examples, including the problem of object tracking and a global clustering analysis of functional data where the functional identity information is not available.
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Title: Vandalism Detection in Wikipedia: a Bag-of-Words Classifier Approach
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Abstract: A bag-of-words based probabilistic classifier is trained using regularized logistic regression to detect vandalism in the English Wikipedia. Isotonic regression is used to calibrate the class membership probabilities. Learning curve, reliability, ROC, and cost analysis are performed.
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Title: Named Models in Coalgebraic Hybrid Logic
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Abstract: Hybrid logic extends modal logic with support for reasoning about individual states, designated by so-called nominals. We study hybrid logic in the broad context of coalgebraic semantics, where Kripke frames are replaced with coalgebras for a given functor, thus covering a wide range of reasoning principles including, e.g., probabilistic, graded, default, or coalitional operators. Specifically, we establish generic criteria for a given coalgebraic hybrid logic to admit named canonical models, with ensuing completeness proofs for pure extensions on the one hand, and for an extended hybrid language with local binding on the other. We instantiate our framework with a number of examples. Notably, we prove completeness of graded hybrid logic with local binding.
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Title: Alternation-Trading Proofs, Linear Programming, and Lower Bounds
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Abstract: A fertile area of recent research has demonstrated concrete polynomial time lower bounds for solving natural hard problems on restricted computational models. Among these problems are Satisfiability, Vertex Cover, Hamilton Path, Mod6-SAT, Majority-of-Majority-SAT, and Tautologies, to name a few. The proofs of these lower bounds follow a certain proof-by-contradiction strategy that we call alternation-trading. An important open problem is to determine how powerful such proofs can possibly be. We propose a methodology for studying these proofs that makes them amenable to both formal analysis and automated theorem proving. We prove that the search for better lower bounds can often be turned into a problem of solving a large series of linear programming instances. Implementing a small-scale theorem prover based on this result, we extract new human-readable time lower bounds for several problems. This framework can also be used to prove concrete limitations on the current techniques.
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Title: Abstract Answer Set Solvers with Learning
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Abstract: Nieuwenhuis, Oliveras, and Tinelli (2006) showed how to describe enhancements of the Davis-Putnam-Logemann-Loveland algorithm using transition systems, instead of pseudocode. We design a similar framework for several algorithms that generate answer sets for logic programs: Smodels, Smodels-cc, Asp-Sat with Learning (Cmodels), and a newly designed and implemented algorithm Sup. This approach to describing answer set solvers makes it easier to prove their correctness, to compare them, and to design new systems.
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Title: Document Clustering with K-tree
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Abstract: This paper describes the approach taken to the XML Mining track at INEX 2008 by a group at the Queensland University of Technology. We introduce the K-tree clustering algorithm in an Information Retrieval context by adapting it for document clustering. Many large scale problems exist in document clustering. K-tree scales well with large inputs due to its low complexity. It offers promising results both in terms of efficiency and quality. Document classification was completed using Support Vector Machines.
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Title: K-tree: Large Scale Document Clustering
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Abstract: We introduce K-tree in an information retrieval context. It is an efficient approximation of the k-means clustering algorithm. Unlike k-means it forms a hierarchy of clusters. It has been extended to address issues with sparse representations. We compare performance and quality to CLUTO using document collections. The K-tree has a low time complexity that is suitable for large document collections. This tree structure allows for efficient disk based implementations where space requirements exceed that of main memory.
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Title: Random Indexing K-tree
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Abstract: Random Indexing (RI) K-tree is the combination of two algorithms for clustering. Many large scale problems exist in document clustering. RI K-tree scales well with large inputs due to its low complexity. It also exhibits features that are useful for managing a changing collection. Furthermore, it solves previous issues with sparse document vectors when using K-tree. The algorithms and data structures are defined, explained and motivated. Specific modifications to K-tree are made for use with RI. Experiments have been executed to measure quality. The results indicate that RI K-tree improves document cluster quality over the original K-tree algorithm.
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Title: Correction to: "Blind maximum likelihood separation of a linear-quadratic mixture"
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Abstract: An error occurred in the computation of a gradient in our paper entitled "Blind maximum likelihood separation of a linear-quadratic mixture", presented in ICA'2004. The equations (20) in Appendix and (17) in the text were not correct. The current paper presents the correct version of these equations.
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Title: Linear Probability Forecasting
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Abstract: Multi-class classification is one of the most important tasks in machine learning. In this paper we consider two online multi-class classification problems: classification by a linear model and by a kernelized model. The quality of predictions is measured by the Brier loss function. We suggest two computationally efficient algorithms to work with these problems and prove theoretical guarantees on their losses. We kernelize one of the algorithms and prove theoretical guarantees on its loss. We perform experiments and compare our algorithms with logistic regression.
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Title: Graph Quantization
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Abstract: Vector quantization(VQ) is a lossy data compression technique from signal processing, which is restricted to feature vectors and therefore inapplicable for combinatorial structures. This contribution presents a theoretical foundation of graph quantization (GQ) that extends VQ to the domain of attributed graphs. We present the necessary Lloyd-Max conditions for optimality of a graph quantizer and consistency results for optimal GQ design based on empirical distortion measures and stochastic optimization. These results statistically justify existing clustering algorithms in the domain of graphs. The proposed approach provides a template of how to link structural pattern recognition methods other than GQ to statistical pattern recognition.
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Title: Accelerating Competitive Learning Graph Quantization
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Abstract: Vector quantization(VQ) is a lossy data compression technique from signal processing for which simple competitive learning is one standard method to quantize patterns from the input space. Extending competitive learning VQ to the domain of graphs results in competitive learning for quantizing input graphs. In this contribution, we propose an accelerated version of competitive learning graph quantization (GQ) without trading computational time against solution quality. For this, we lift graphs locally to vectors in order to avoid unnecessary calculations of intractable graph distances. In doing so, the accelerated version of competitive learning GQ gradually turns locally into a competitive learning VQ with increasing number of iterations. Empirical results show a significant speedup by maintaining a comparable solution quality.
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Title: Multi-path Probabilistic Available Bandwidth Estimation through Bayesian Active Learning
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Abstract: Knowing the largest rate at which data can be sent on an end-to-end path such that the egress rate is equal to the ingress rate with high probability can be very practical when choosing transmission rates in video streaming or selecting peers in peer-to-peer applications. We introduce probabilistic available bandwidth, which is defined in terms of ingress rates and egress rates of traffic on a path, rather than in terms of capacity and utilization of the constituent links of the path like the standard available bandwidth metric. In this paper, we describe a distributed algorithm, based on a probabilistic graphical model and Bayesian active learning, for simultaneously estimating the probabilistic available bandwidth of multiple paths through a network. Our procedure exploits the fact that each packet train provides information not only about the path it traverses, but also about any path that shares a link with the monitored path. Simulations and PlanetLab experiments indicate that this process can dramatically reduce the number of probes required to generate accurate estimates.
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Title: Outlier detection and trimmed estimation for general functional data
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Abstract: This article introduces trimmed estimators for the mean and covariance function of general functional data. The estimators are based on a new measure of outlyingness or data depth that is well defined on any metric space, although this paper focuses on Euclidean spaces. We compute the breakdown point of the estimators and show that the optimal breakdown point is attainable for the appropriate choice of tuning parameters. The small-sample behavior of the estimators is studied by simulation, and we show that they have better outlier-resistance properties than alternative estimators. This is confirmed by two real-data applications, that also show that the outlyingness measure can be used as a graphical outlier-detection tool in functional spaces where visual screening of the data is difficult.
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Title: An Empirical Evaluation of Four Algorithms for Multi-Class Classification: Mart, ABC-Mart, Robust LogitBoost, and ABC-LogitBoost
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Abstract: This empirical study is mainly devoted to comparing four tree-based boosting algorithms: mart, abc-mart, robust logitboost, and abc-logitboost, for multi-class classification on a variety of publicly available datasets. Some of those datasets have been thoroughly tested in prior studies using a broad range of classification algorithms including SVM, neural nets, and deep learning. In terms of the empirical classification errors, our experiment results demonstrate: 1. Abc-mart considerably improves mart. 2. Abc-logitboost considerably improves (robust) logitboost. 3. Robust) logitboost considerably improves mart on most datasets. 4. Abc-logitboost considerably improves abc-mart on most datasets. 5. These four boosting algorithms (especially abc-logitboost) outperform SVM on many datasets. 6. Compared to the best deep learning methods, these four boosting algorithms (especially abc-logitboost) are competitive.
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Title: An Unsupervised Algorithm For Learning Lie Group Transformations
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Abstract: We present several theoretical contributions which allow Lie groups to be fit to high dimensional datasets. Transformation operators are represented in their eigen-basis, reducing the computational complexity of parameter estimation to that of training a linear transformation model. A transformation specific "blurring" operator is introduced that allows inference to escape local minima via a smoothing of the transformation space. A penalty on traversed manifold distance is added which encourages the discovery of sparse, minimal distance, transformations between states. Both learning and inference are demonstrated using these methods for the full set of affine transformations on natural image patches. Transformation operators are then trained on natural video sequences. It is shown that the learned video transformations provide a better description of inter-frame differences than the standard motion model based on rigid translation.
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Title: Numerical studies of the metamodel fitting and validation processes
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Abstract: Complex computer codes, for instance simulating physical phenomena, are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu time expensive computer models by cpu inexpensive mathematical functions, called metamodels. In this paper, we focus on the Gaussian process metamodel and two essential steps of its definition phase. First, the initial design of the computer code input variables (which allows to fit the metamodel) has to honor adequate space filling properties. We adopt a numerical approach to compare the performance of different types of space filling designs, in the class of the optimal Latin hypercube samples, in terms of the predictivity of the subsequent fitted metamodel. We conclude that such samples with minimal wrap-around discrepancy are particularly well-suited for the Gaussian process metamodel fitting. Second, the metamodel validation process consists in evaluating the metamodel predictivity with respect to the initial computer code. We propose and test an algorithm which optimizes the distance between the validation points and the metamodel learning points in order to estimate the true metamodel predictivity with a minimum number of validation points. Comparisons with classical validation algorithms and application to a nuclear safety computer code show the relevance of this new sequential validation design.
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Title: Measuring Latent Causal Structure
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Abstract: Discovering latent representations of the observed world has become increasingly more relevant in data analysis. Much of the effort concentrates on building latent variables which can be used in prediction problems, such as classification and regression. A related goal of learning latent structure from data is that of identifying which hidden common causes generate the observations, such as in applications that require predicting the effect of policies. This will be the main problem tackled in our contribution: given a dataset of indicators assumed to be generated by unknown and unmeasured common causes, we wish to discover which hidden common causes are those, and how they generate our data. This is possible under the assumption that observed variables are linear functions of the latent causes with additive noise. Previous results in the literature present solutions for the case where each observed variable is a noisy function of a single latent variable. We show how to extend the existing results for some cases where observed variables measure more than one latent variable.
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Title: Principal manifolds and graphs in practice: from molecular biology to dynamical systems
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Abstract: We present several applications of non-linear data modeling, using principal manifolds and principal graphs constructed using the metaphor of elasticity (elastic principal graph approach). These approaches are generalizations of the Kohonen's self-organizing maps, a class of artificial neural networks. On several examples we show advantages of using non-linear objects for data approximation in comparison to the linear ones. We propose four numerical criteria for comparing linear and non-linear mappings of datasets into the spaces of lower dimension. The examples are taken from comparative political science, from analysis of high-throughput data in molecular biology, from analysis of dynamical systems.
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Title: Boosting k-NN for categorization of natural scenes
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Abstract: The k-nearest neighbors (k-NN) classification rule has proven extremely successful in countless many computer vision applications. For example, image categorization often relies on uniform voting among the nearest prototypes in the space of descriptors. In spite of its good properties, the classic k-NN rule suffers from high variance when dealing with sparse prototype datasets in high dimensions. A few techniques have been proposed to improve k-NN classification, which rely on either deforming the nearest neighborhood relationship or modifying the input space. In this paper, we propose a novel boosting algorithm, called UNN (Universal Nearest Neighbors), which induces leveraged k-NN, thus generalizing the classic k-NN rule. We redefine the voting rule as a strong classifier that linearly combines predictions from the k closest prototypes. Weak classifiers are learned by UNN so as to minimize a surrogate risk. A major feature of UNN is the ability to learn which prototypes are the most relevant for a given class, thus allowing one for effective data reduction. Experimental results on the synthetic two-class dataset of Ripley show that such a filtering strategy is able to reject "noisy" prototypes. We carried out image categorization experiments on a database containing eight classes of natural scenes. We show that our method outperforms significantly the classic k-NN classification, while enabling significant reduction of the computational cost by means of data filtering.
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Title: Decisional Processes with Boolean Neural Network: the Emergence of Mental Schemes
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Abstract: Human decisional processes result from the employment of selected quantities of relevant information, generally synthesized from environmental incoming data and stored memories. Their main goal is the production of an appropriate and adaptive response to a cognitive or behavioral task. Different strategies of response production can be adopted, among which haphazard trials, formation of mental schemes and heuristics. In this paper, we propose a model of Boolean neural network that incorporates these strategies by recurring to global optimization strategies during the learning session. The model characterizes as well the passage from an unstructured/chaotic attractor neural network typical of data-driven processes to a faster one, forward-only and representative of schema-driven processes. Moreover, a simplified version of the Iowa Gambling Task (IGT) is introduced in order to test the model. Our results match with experimental data and point out some relevant knowledge coming from psychological domain.
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Title: BSA - exact algorithm computing LTS estimate
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Abstract: The main result of this paper is a new exact algorithm computing the estimate given by the Least Trimmed Squares (LTS). The algorithm works under very weak assumptions. To prove that, we study the respective objective function using basic techniques of analysis and linear algebra.
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Title: Spectral clustering based on local linear approximations
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Abstract: In the context of clustering, we assume a generative model where each cluster is the result of sampling points in the neighborhood of an embedded smooth surface; the sample may be contaminated with outliers, which are modeled as points sampled in space away from the clusters. We consider a prototype for a higher-order spectral clustering method based on the residual from a local linear approximation. We obtain theoretical guarantees for this algorithm and show that, in terms of both separation and robustness to outliers, it outperforms the standard spectral clustering algorithm (based on pairwise distances) of Ng, Jordan and Weiss (NIPS '01). The optimal choice for some of the tuning parameters depends on the dimension and thickness of the clusters. We provide estimators that come close enough for our theoretical purposes. We also discuss the cases of clusters of mixed dimensions and of clusters that are generated from smoother surfaces. In our experiments, this algorithm is shown to outperform pairwise spectral clustering on both simulated and real data.
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Title: Incorporating characteristics of human creativity into an evolutionary art algorithm
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Abstract: A perceived limitation of evolutionary art and design algorithms is that they rely on human intervention; the artist selects the most aesthetically pleasing variants of one generation to produce the next. This paper discusses how computer generated art and design can become more creatively human-like with respect to both process and outcome. As an example of a step in this direction, we present an algorithm that overcomes the above limitation by employing an automatic fitness function. The goal is to evolve abstract portraits of Darwin, using our 2nd generation fitness function which rewards genomes that not just produce a likeness of Darwin but exhibit certain strategies characteristic of human artists. We note that in human creativity, change is less choosing amongst randomly generated variants and more capitalizing on the associative structure of a conceptual network to hone in on a vision. We discuss how to achieve this fluidity algorithmically.
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Title: Forest Density Estimation
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Abstract: We study graph estimation and density estimation in high dimensions, using a family of density estimators based on forest structured undirected graphical models. For density estimation, we do not assume the true distribution corresponds to a forest; rather, we form kernel density estimates of the bivariate and univariate marginals, and apply Kruskal's algorithm to estimate the optimal forest on held out data. We prove an oracle inequality on the excess risk of the resulting estimator relative to the risk of the best forest. For graph estimation, we consider the problem of estimating forests with restricted tree sizes. We prove that finding a maximum weight spanning forest with restricted tree size is NP-hard, and develop an approximation algorithm for this problem. Viewing the tree size as a complexity parameter, we then select a forest using data splitting, and prove bounds on excess risk and structure selection consistency of the procedure. Experiments with simulated data and microarray data indicate that the methods are a practical alternative to Gaussian graphical models.
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Title: A betting interpretation for probabilities and Dempster-Shafer degrees of belief
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Abstract: There are at least two ways to interpret numerical degrees of belief in terms of betting: (1) you can offer to bet at the odds defined by the degrees of belief, or (2) you can judge that a strategy for taking advantage of such betting offers will not multiply the capital it risks by a large factor. Both interpretations can be applied to ordinary additive probabilities and used to justify updating by conditioning. Only the second can be applied to Dempster-Shafer degrees of belief and used to justify Dempster's rule of combination.
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Title: Weighted Dickey-Fuller Processes for Detecting Stationarity
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Abstract: Aiming at monitoring a time series to detect stationarity as soon as possible, we introduce monitoring procedures based on kernel-weighted sequential Dickey-Fuller (DF) processes, and related stopping times, which may be called weighted Dickey-Fuller control charts. Under rather weak assumptions, (functional) central limit theorems are established under the unit root null hypothesis and local-to-unity alternatives. For gen- eral dependent and heterogeneous innovation sequences the limit processes depend on a nuisance parameter. In this case of practical interest, one can use estimated control limits obtained from the estimated asymptotic law. Another easy-to-use approach is to transform the DF processes to obtain limit laws which are invariant with respect to the nuisance pa- rameter. We provide asymptotic theory for both approaches and compare their statistical behavior in finite samples by simulation.
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