prompt stringlengths 54 1.24k | speaker stringclasses 67
values | messages listlengths 2 10 |
|---|---|---|
Mr. Chairman, Mark Hamrick with Bankrate. I wonder what your assessment is about the outlook for the housing market, given the years-long increase in home prices and now the sharp rise in mortgage rates. And all that, of course, given the heightened sensitivity around the housing market given the fact that it was a tri... | MARK HAMRICK | [
{
"content": "Mr. Chairman, Mark Hamrick with Bankrate. I wonder what your assessment is about the outlook for the housing market, given the years-long increase in home prices and now the sharp rise in mortgage rates. And all that, of course, given the heightened sensitivity around the housing market given the ... |
Steve Liesman, CNBC. Thank you, Mr. Chair, for taking my question. A lot has happened since the last meeting. There have been tariffs put on, tariffs taken off, and meanwhile, there was a bill advancing in Congress. And I just wonder if I could press you on the last part of your statement. Are you any closer now to dec... | STEVE LIESMAN | [
{
"content": "Steve Liesman, CNBC. Thank you, Mr. Chair, for taking my question. A lot has happened since the last meeting. There have been tariffs put on, tariffs taken off, and meanwhile, there was a bill advancing in Congress. And I just wonder if I could press you on the last part of your statement. Are you... |
Nick Timiraos for the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, there’s naturally a lot of around 2021 in supply shocks. But there are some who argue that the current situation has notable differences. Energy costs are down. Housing imbalances look nothing like they did four years ago. Labor demand appears to be gradually coo... | NICK TIMIRAOS | [
{
"content": "Nick Timiraos for the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, there’s naturally a lot of around 2021 in supply shocks. But there are some who argue that the current situation has notable differences. Energy costs are down. Housing imbalances look nothing like they did four years ago. Labor demand appea... |
Jonnelle Marte with Bloomberg. So, many economists have been pricing in higher odds of a recession, and several are noting that it is more difficult for the Fed to cut rates preemptively, given the higher risks for higher inflation. So, given the outlook, do you still see a path for a soft landing, and what does that l... | JONNELLE MARTE | [
{
"content": "Jonnelle Marte with Bloomberg. So, many economists have been pricing in higher odds of a recession, and several are noting that it is more difficult for the Fed to cut rates preemptively, given the higher risks for higher inflation. So, given the outlook, do you still see a path for a soft landing... |
Colby Smith with the New York Times. How much weakness does the Committee need to see, though, in the labor market and the economy more broadly to lower interest rates again? Is it about a certain increase in the unemployment rate over a period of time, or perhaps a certain number of negative monthly job reports? I mea... | COLBY SMITH | [
{
"content": "Colby Smith with the New York Times. How much weakness does the Committee need to see, though, in the labor market and the economy more broadly to lower interest rates again? Is it about a certain increase in the unemployment rate over a period of time, or perhaps a certain number of negative mont... |
Thank you. Edward Lawrence with Fox Business. So we had the CPI report that came out that showed, month over month, the first increase in inflation in about three years. The jobs report—you said “solid”—that we saw. At the same time, we have those new tariffs that we’re living under. So, given this, should the Federal ... | EDWARD LAWRENCE | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Edward Lawrence with Fox Business. So we had the CPI report that came out that showed, month over month, the first increase in inflation in about three years. The jobs report—you said “solid”—that we saw. At the same time, we have those new tariffs that we’re living under. So, given thi... |
Hi. Howard Schneider with Reuters, and thanks for the time. I’m wondering—I mean, given the complexity about the first-quarter GDP and what lies ahead, I’m just wondering what your intuition tells you about the underlying direction of the economy right now. Many of your colleagues have said they feel growth is slowing.... | HOWARD SCHNEIDER | [
{
"content": "Hi. Howard Schneider with Reuters, and thanks for the time. I’m wondering—I mean, given the complexity about the first-quarter GDP and what lies ahead, I’m just wondering what your intuition tells you about the underlying direction of the economy right now. Many of your colleagues have said they f... |
Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. The Fed’s been criticized recently by a former Governor for what he calls “mission creep”—you take on more problems, use more tools, and then end up building tools to deal with the fallout of those tools, which then makes it a given that you will act more aggressively ... | MICHAEL MCKEE | [
{
"content": "Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. The Fed’s been criticized recently by a former Governor for what he calls “mission creep”—you take on more problems, use more tools, and then end up building tools to deal with the fallout of those tools, which then makes it a given that you will ... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions today. I’m Jo Ling Kent with CBS News. You’ve said, “Wait and see” and “The economy is doing fine” today. But the impact of tariffs are already showing up at the ports. Businesses big and small are telling us that they feel it, and most importantly, consumers say they f... | JO LING KENT | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions today. I’m Jo Ling Kent with CBS News. You’ve said, “Wait and see” and “The economy is doing fine” today. But the impact of tariffs are already showing up at the ports. Businesses big and small are telling us that they feel it, and most importantly... |
Hi. Thank you. Chris Rugaber, Associated Press. Well, I just wanted to follow up. Earlier, it sounded like you said it was unclear how the Fed—you know, what interest rate decisions you will make later this year. So does that—you know, in March, there was guidance that two cuts might happen, you know, two cuts were pen... | CHRISTOPHER RUGABER | [
{
"content": "Hi. Thank you. Chris Rugaber, Associated Press. Well, I just wanted to follow up. Earlier, it sounded like you said it was unclear how the Fed—you know, what interest rate decisions you will make later this year. So does that—you know, in March, there was guidance that two cuts might happen, you k... |
Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask, Congress is currently debating spending cuts alongside expending—extending the tax cuts. And I know you’ve talked many times about how the path of the debt is unsustainable. But given that we’re also talking right now about the economy slowing, potentially even recessi... | VICTORIA GUIDA | [
{
"content": "Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask, Congress is currently debating spending cuts alongside expending—extending the tax cuts. And I know you’ve talked many times about how the path of the debt is unsustainable. But given that we’re also talking right now about the economy slowing, po... |
Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Andrew Ackerman with the Washington Post. In your Jackson Hole comments last year, you said you would not welcome further cooling in labor market conditions. The unemployment rate then was 4.2 percent, which is what it is now. Forecasters—many forecasters now predict a higher jobless rate. How has... | ANDREW ACKERMAN | [
{
"content": "Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Andrew Ackerman with the Washington Post. In your Jackson Hole comments last year, you said you would not welcome further cooling in labor market conditions. The unemployment rate then was 4.2 percent, which is what it is now. Forecasters—many forecasters now predict a higher... |
Claire Jones, Financial Times. In terms of getting some clarity, we’ve got some talks at the weekend in Geneva between the U.S. and China. A lot of economists are ask—are attaching an awful lot of importance to how—what we hear from those talks. How much importance are you attaching to them in terms of judging what wil... | CLAIRE JONES | [
{
"content": "Claire Jones, Financial Times. In terms of getting some clarity, we’ve got some talks at the weekend in Geneva between the U.S. and China. A lot of economists are ask—are attaching an awful lot of importance to how—what we hear from those talks. How much importance are you attaching to them in ter... |
Kosuke Takami with Nikkei. Thank you for doing this. The volume of imported goods increased significantly in the first quarter. Do you think the decision could cause a delay in the impact of tariff on inflation, and does this mean that it will take a longer time to reduce uncertainty? | KOSUKE TAKAMI | [
{
"content": "Kosuke Takami with Nikkei. Thank you for doing this. The volume of imported goods increased significantly in the first quarter. Do you think the decision could cause a delay in the impact of tariff on inflation, and does this mean that it will take a longer time to reduce uncertainty?",
"role"... |
Thank you. Courtenay Brown from Axios. I guess, you know, we talked about some of the indications of potential layoffs, price hikes, an economic slowdown all being evident in the soft data. I’m curious why the Fed needs to wait for that to translate into hard data to, you know, make any type of monetary policy decision... | COURTENAY BROWN | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Courtenay Brown from Axios. I guess, you know, we talked about some of the indications of potential layoffs, price hikes, an economic slowdown all being evident in the soft data. I’m curious why the Fed needs to wait for that to translate into hard data to, you know, make any type of mo... |
Thanks, Chair Powell. Matt Egan with CNN. So you mentioned earlier that you’re monitoring the shipping data. And we have seen in the shipping data that imports from China into the Port of Los Angeles have plunged. And that has raised concerns about potential shortages. What tools, if any, does the Fed have to ensure th... | MATT EGAN | [
{
"content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Matt Egan with CNN. So you mentioned earlier that you’re monitoring the shipping data. And we have seen in the shipping data that imports from China into the Port of Los Angeles have plunged. And that has raised concerns about potential shortages. What tools, if any, does the... |
Thank you so much, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. Public records of your schedule so far this year show no meetings with President Trump. Past Presidents Obama, Bush, and Clinton have all met with Fed Chairs. And you met with Trump during his first term. Why haven’t you asked for a meeting yet w... | JENNIFER SCHONBERGER | [
{
"content": "Thank you so much, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. Public records of your schedule so far this year show no meetings with President Trump. Past Presidents Obama, Bush, and Clinton have all met with Fed Chairs. And you met with Trump during his first term. Why haven’t you ask... |
Jeanna Smialek from the New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. Markets pretty much entirely expect a rate cut in September at this stage. I wonder if you think that’s a reasonable expectation, and, if so, why not just make the move today? | JEANNA SMIALEK | [
{
"content": "Jeanna Smialek from the New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. Markets pretty much entirely expect a rate cut in September at this stage. I wonder if you think that’s a reasonable expectation, and, if so, why not just make the move today?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "Tha... |
So just to, to follow up on that a bit, if inflation behaves as you expect between now and September, would you regard a cut in September as the baseline scenario right now? | HOWARD SCHNEIDER | [
{
"content": "So just to, to follow up on that a bit, if inflation behaves as you expect between now and September, would you regard a cut in September as the baseline scenario right now?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "So I guess I would—I would think about it this way. I’ll give an example of, o... |
Thank you. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. The March SEP pointed to three cuts in 2024, with core inflation at 2.6 percent and the unemployment rate at 4 percent. Since we’re now at that level in terms of inflation and already beyond what was projected for the labor market, I’m just wondering if that rate path is... | COLBY SMITH | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. The March SEP pointed to three cuts in 2024, with core inflation at 2.6 percent and the unemployment rate at 4 percent. Since we’re now at that level in terms of inflation and already beyond what was projected for the labor market, I’m just wonderin... |
Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve said before that you wouldn’t wait until inflation got to 2 percent to cut rates because of how inflation has lagged. Does that apply for the labor market, too? If the labor market is back in equilibrium, why is restrictive policy and, potentially, very res... | NICK TIMIRAOS | [
{
"content": "Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve said before that you wouldn’t wait until inflation got to 2 percent to cut rates because of how inflation has lagged. Does that apply for the labor market, too? If the labor market is back in equilibrium, why is restrictive policy and,... |
Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. You mentioned not wanting to see any further cooling in the job market. Why not? Or would you consider preemptive cuts to prevent if you saw risks of an unexpected cooling? Is that something you would cut ahead of time for? | CHRISTOPHER RUGABER | [
{
"content": "Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. You mentioned not wanting to see any further cooling in the job market. Why not? Or would you consider preemptive cuts to prevent if you saw risks of an unexpected cooling? Is that something you would cut ahead of time for?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"cont... |
Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, back in March, you talked about cutting rates as a process, and, in June, you talked about the idea that, well, one rate cut wouldn’t do anything. So I wonder if you can sort of—following up on Colby’s question—talk about, are you weighing the economy right now in terms of its ability... | STEVE LIESMAN | [
{
"content": "Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, back in March, you talked about cutting rates as a process, and, in June, you talked about the idea that, well, one rate cut wouldn’t do anything. So I wonder if you can sort of—following up on Colby’s question—talk about, are you weighing the economy right now i... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. On inflation, do the past few months of good reports look like what we saw last year, where you really had a lot of momentum, with a few bumps in between? Would you characterize that momentum as back on track at this point in the... | RACHEL SIEGEL | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. On inflation, do the past few months of good reports look like what we saw last year, where you really had a lot of momentum, with a few bumps in between? Would you characterize that momentum as back on trac... |
Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. I’d like to ask you about the balance of risks as the American people see it. At this point, is the risk greater to leave interest rates where they are, given the damage that higher interest rates do to the economy in slowing demand and raising prices? Or is it more im... | MICHAEL MCKEE | [
{
"content": "Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. I’d like to ask you about the balance of risks as the American people see it. At this point, is the risk greater to leave interest rates where they are, given the damage that higher interest rates do to the economy in slowing demand and raising pr... |
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence of Fox Business. I do want to dig deeper on what Michael and, and what Nick were asking. There’s a, a shift in the statement to balance between the focus between inflation and jobs. Looking at the job sides, we’ve seen wage data show an abrupt slowing. We’ve—we’re hearing on ear... | EDWARD LAWRENCE | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence of Fox Business. I do want to dig deeper on what Michael and, and what Nick were asking. There’s a, a shift in the statement to balance between the focus between inflation and jobs. Looking at the job sides, we’ve seen wage data show an abrupt slowing. We’v... |
Courtenay Brown from Axios. Thank you for taking our questions. When the Fed was raising rates, there was a lot of conversation about long and variable lags. I wonder if that applies on the way down, too. How are you and the Committee thinking about that? | COURTENAY BROWN | [
{
"content": "Courtenay Brown from Axios. Thank you for taking our questions. When the Fed was raising rates, there was a lot of conversation about long and variable lags. I wonder if that applies on the way down, too. How are you and the Committee thinking about that?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content... |
Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. On the labor market, I was wondering, how worried are you all about unemployment rising to the point where it triggers the Sahm rule, and would that potentially affect how quickly you cut rates? | VICTORIA GUIDA | [
{
"content": "Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. On the labor market, I was wondering, how worried are you all about unemployment rising to the point where it triggers the Sahm rule, and would that potentially affect how quickly you cut rates?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "We—so I would just say,... |
Thank you, Chair Powell. Amara Omeokwe with Bloomberg. There seems to be quite a difference between what the anecdotal data are telling us, such as the very recent downbeat Beige Book, and the hard data. Do you take those anecdotes seriously— that is, that the economy and labor market are cooling much more rapidly than... | AMARA OMEOKWE | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Amara Omeokwe with Bloomberg. There seems to be quite a difference between what the anecdotal data are telling us, such as the very recent downbeat Beige Book, and the hard data. Do you take those anecdotes seriously— that is, that the economy and labor market are cooling ... |
Thank you. Jo Ling Kent with CBS News. Chair Powell, thanks for taking our questions today. You have consistently said that the Fed does not consider politics in making decisions. With a possible September rate cut on the table, it would be less than two months before the election, and former President Trump reportedly... | JO LING KENT | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Jo Ling Kent with CBS News. Chair Powell, thanks for taking our questions today. You have consistently said that the Fed does not consider politics in making decisions. With a possible September rate cut on the table, it would be less than two months before the election, and former Pres... |
Thank you, Chair Powell. Nicholas Jasinski from Barron’s Magazine. There hasn’t been a dissenting vote on an interest rate decision in some time. If the data do evolve as you expect, if you do have more confidence by the September meeting, do you get the sense that there will be a unanimous vote on an interest rate mov... | NICHOLAS JASINSKI | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Nicholas Jasinski from Barron’s Magazine. There hasn’t been a dissenting vote on an interest rate decision in some time. If the data do evolve as you expect, if you do have more confidence by the September meeting, do you get the sense that there will be a unanimous vote o... |
Hello. Jean Yung with MNI Market News. Is a 50 basis point cut as a first cut at all likely or even on the table? Thank you. | JEAN YUNG | [
{
"content": "Hello. Jean Yung with MNI Market News. Is a 50 basis point cut as a first cut at all likely or even on the table? Thank you.",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "You know, I don’t want to say—I don’t want to be really specific about what we’re going to do, but that’s, that’s not something... |
Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. Not to get into the minutes, but you said there was a real discussion today for moving at this meeting. I’m curious if you could provide some more color on the nature of the discussion today at the meeting about a possible rate cut as early as September. | JENNIFER SCHONBERGER | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. Not to get into the minutes, but you said there was a real discussion today for moving at this meeting. I’m curious if you could provide some more color on the nature of the discussion today at the meeting about a possible rate cut ... |
-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. Former New York president Bill Dudley wrote an op-ed in Bloomberg earlier this month, which you probably saw, in which he said, “It might already be too late to fend off a recession by cutting rates, dawdling now unnecessarily increases the risk.” Is he... | NANCY MARSHALL | [
{
"content": "-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. Former New York president Bill Dudley wrote an op-ed in Bloomberg earlier this month, which you probably saw, in which he said, “It might already be too late to fend off a recession by cutting rates, dawdling now unnecessarily incr... |
Thank you so much. In the—in the minutes of the June meeting that came out a few weeks ago, there was a discussion about communications, and some Fed officials said maybe the Fed wasn’t as clear enough about its reaction function. And, and when I talked to the commentators who bless you with their comments, they say th... | GREG ROBB | [
{
"content": "Thank you so much. In the—in the minutes of the June meeting that came out a few weeks ago, there was a discussion about communications, and some Fed officials said maybe the Fed wasn’t as clear enough about its reaction function. And, and when I talked to the commentators who bless you with their... |
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I’m going to change gears on you just a little bit from all of the rate talk and whatnot. With FedNow being in the books for a little over a year, there hasn’t been a whole lot of talk about central bank digital currency and wondering if you could give us an update on where things are with that... | JEFF COX | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I’m going to change gears on you just a little bit from all of the rate talk and whatnot. With FedNow being in the books for a little over a year, there hasn’t been a whole lot of talk about central bank digital currency and wondering if you could give us an update on wher... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. I’m wondering if you can walk us through your thinking around the decision not to go for a full percentage point increase. We saw a ramp-up after the May CPI report came in hotter than usual and then, obviously, the June figure d... | RACHEL SIEGEL | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. I’m wondering if you can walk us through your thinking around the decision not to go for a full percentage point increase. We saw a ramp-up after the May CPI report came in hotter than usual and then, obviou... |
Thank you so much for taking our questions. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. As the Committee considers the policy path forward, how will it weigh the expected decline in headline inflation, which might come as a result of the drop in commodity prices, against the fact that we are likely to see some persistence in... | COLBY SMITH | [
{
"content": "Thank you so much for taking our questions. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. As the Committee considers the policy path forward, how will it weigh the expected decline in headline inflation, which might come as a result of the drop in commodity prices, against the fact that we are likely to s... |
Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve said that your policy works through influencing expectations and that policy needs to be at least moderately restrictive, which means you need financial conditions to stay tight. Futures market pricing currently implies you will raise rates this year along ... | NICK TIMIRAOS | [
{
"content": "Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve said that your policy works through influencing expectations and that policy needs to be at least moderately restrictive, which means you need financial conditions to stay tight. Futures market pricing currently implies you will raise ... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions. Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. You alluded to this earlier, but I wonder in the event that you see several months of very weak headline inflation numbers because oil prices are coming down so much, but core inflation continues to be strong or even picks up, I wonder h... | JEANNA SMIALEK | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions. Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. You alluded to this earlier, but I wonder in the event that you see several months of very weak headline inflation numbers because oil prices are coming down so much, but core inflation continues to be strong or eve... |
Steve Liesman, CNBC. Thanks for taking my question, Mr. Chairman. Earlier this week, the President said, “We are not going to be in a recession.” So I have two questions off of that. Do you share the President’s confidence in not being in a recession? And, second, how would or would not a recession change policy? Is it... | STEVE LIESMAN | [
{
"content": "Steve Liesman, CNBC. Thanks for taking my question, Mr. Chairman. Earlier this week, the President said, “We are not going to be in a recession.” So I have two questions off of that. Do you share the President’s confidence in not being in a recession? And, second, how would or would not a recessio... |
Howard Schneider with Reuters. Particularly in regard to expectations, it’s been said the last few months that the risks of doing too little outweighed the lists—the risks of doing too much. Does that remain the bias? | HOWARD SCHNEIDER | [
{
"content": "Howard Schneider with Reuters. Particularly in regard to expectations, it’s been said the last few months that the risks of doing too little outweighed the lists—the risks of doing too much. Does that remain the bias?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "So we’re trying to do just the rig... |
Thanks, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin from Axios. To build a little bit on what Steve was asking, do you believe the United States is currently in a recession? Will the GDP reading tomorrow affect that judgment one way or the other? And has your assessment of the risk of recession changed any in recent weeks? | NEIL IRWIN | [
{
"content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin from Axios. To build a little bit on what Steve was asking, do you believe the United States is currently in a recession? Will the GDP reading tomorrow affect that judgment one way or the other? And has your assessment of the risk of recession changed any in recent... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask about the new conflict-of-interest rules that you all rolled out. Some senators have written asking for those rules to have more teeth and to have more transparency about Fed’s financial—the Fed officials’ financial activity. I was wondering if you could s... | VICTORIA GUIDA | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask about the new conflict-of-interest rules that you all rolled out. Some senators have written asking for those rules to have more teeth and to have more transparency about Fed’s financial—the Fed officials’ financial activity. I was wo... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Hi. Catarina Saraiva, Bloomberg News. I wanted to ask a little bit more about the 75 basis points versus 50 versus 25. Can you talk a little bit about what, what goes into your thinking for, you know, making the decision on how much to raise rates and, you know, just talking about a very large amount ... | CATARINA SARAIVA | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Hi. Catarina Saraiva, Bloomberg News. I wanted to ask a little bit more about the 75 basis points versus 50 versus 25. Can you talk a little bit about what, what goes into your thinking for, you know, making the decision on how much to raise rates and, you know, just talking abou... |
Hi. Thank you. Chris Rugaber, Associated Press. I wanted to ask about right now, there’s a growing gap between the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the PCE, PCE index, and the one that’s followed by the public, the CPI, of course. How do you expect to handle this divergence if the PCE starts to come down enough fo... | CHRISTOPHER RUGABER | [
{
"content": "Hi. Thank you. Chris Rugaber, Associated Press. I wanted to ask about right now, there’s a growing gap between the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the PCE, PCE index, and the one that’s followed by the public, the CPI, of course. How do you expect to handle this divergence if the PCE starts ... |
I’d like to weave a couple of things together, Mr. Chairman. Michael McKee from Bloomberg TV and Radio. You said that the destination pretty much remains the same in terms of your end-of-the-year target. But where are you in the journey? We’ve now seen the federal stimulus programs end. You mentioned consumer spending,... | MICHAEL MCKEE | [
{
"content": "I’d like to weave a couple of things together, Mr. Chairman. Michael McKee from Bloomberg TV and Radio. You said that the destination pretty much remains the same in terms of your end-of-the-year target. But where are you in the journey? We’ve now seen the federal stimulus programs end. You mentio... |
Hi, thank you, Chairman. Nicole Goodkind, CNN Business. When does the Committee expect to see a meaningful slowdown in the labor market? And how much weakness will it accept with regard to slower job growth and higher unemployment before it pauses or begins to think about cutting rates? | NICOLE GOODKIND | [
{
"content": "Hi, thank you, Chairman. Nicole Goodkind, CNN Business. When does the Committee expect to see a meaningful slowdown in the labor market? And how much weakness will it accept with regard to slower job growth and higher unemployment before it pauses or begins to think about cutting rates?",
"rol... |
Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence from Fox Business. So you said that the path may be narrowed to avoiding a recession. So how, how close are we to a recession? And then how do forecasts of possible recession from banks and economists, how does that make a soft landing you’ve talked about more difficult? | EDWARD LAWRENCE | [
{
"content": "Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence from Fox Business. So you said that the path may be narrowed to avoiding a recession. So how, how close are we to a recession? And then how do forecasts of possible recession from banks and economists, how does that make a soft landing you’ve talked about more... |
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Jean Yung with Market News. I wanted to ask about the balance sheet reduction program. It’s been working for a couple months now and in a different environment than the last time the Fed did it. What are you learning about how it’s working and how markets are reacting? And is reaching the minim... | JEAN YUNG | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Jean Yung with Market News. I wanted to ask about the balance sheet reduction program. It’s been working for a couple months now and in a different environment than the last time the Fed did it. What are you learning about how it’s working and how markets are reacting? And... |
Hi, Chairman Powell. Brian Cheung, Yahoo Finance. Looking at financial conditions, it seems like the tightening has slowed as of late with the 10 year coming down, 30-year fixed mortgage rates also going a bit sideways, when we talk about a hot housing market still. Just wondering if you find financial conditions tight... | BRIAN CHEUNG | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chairman Powell. Brian Cheung, Yahoo Finance. Looking at financial conditions, it seems like the tightening has slowed as of late with the 10 year coming down, 30-year fixed mortgage rates also going a bit sideways, when we talk about a hot housing market still. Just wondering if you find fina... |
Thank you, Chair Powell. Greg Robb from MarketWatch. I wonder if you can go back a little bit in time to before there was this outbreak of inflation, when the Committee put in place forward guidance on tapering asset purchases. I think it was December 2020. There’s a recent speech by Fed Governor Waller talking about t... | GREG ROBB | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Greg Robb from MarketWatch. I wonder if you can go back a little bit in time to before there was this outbreak of inflation, when the Committee put in place forward guidance on tapering asset purchases. I think it was December 2020. There’s a recent speech by Fed Governor ... |
-GENZER. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. Chair Powell, I just want to pin you down a little bit more on the issue of recession. So if we get a negative GDP number tomorrow for the second quarter, would the Fed consider the U.S. in a recession? And just remind us, what is your definition for the start of a reces... | NANCY MARSHALL | [
{
"content": "-GENZER. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. Chair Powell, I just want to pin you down a little bit more on the issue of recession. So if we get a negative GDP number tomorrow for the second quarter, would the Fed consider the U.S. in a recession? And just remind us, what is your definition fo... |
Thank you very much. Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. You said that some softening in the labor market is needed. Within the Fed, there are staff economists who’ve argued that NAIRU, the noninflationary rate of unemployment, might be as high as 5 to 6 percent right now, which obviously is a lot higher than the cur... | SIMON RABINOVITCH | [
{
"content": "Thank you very much. Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. You said that some softening in the labor market is needed. Within the Fed, there are staff economists who’ve argued that NAIRU, the noninflationary rate of unemployment, might be as high as 5 to 6 percent right now, which obviously is a l... |
Thank you, Chair Powell. Jeff Cox from CNBC. com. Just a question about—hate to keep banging the drum about recession. But most of the polls that we’re seeing now from the public, people believe that we’re already in a recession or heading for one— economists, pretty much the same thing. They’re being told by folks lik... | JEFF COX | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jeff Cox from CNBC. com. Just a question about—hate to keep banging the drum about recession. But most of the polls that we’re seeing now from the public, people believe that we’re already in a recession or heading for one— economists, pretty much the same thing. They’re b... |
Thanks, Chair Powell. Kyle Campbell with American Banker. The FOMC has historically tried to avoid the rapid monetary policy tightening that has happened so far this year. How concerned are you that the rate hikes that we’ve seen thus far might increase risks to financial stability not just domestically, but globally? | KYLE CAMPBELL | [
{
"content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Kyle Campbell with American Banker. The FOMC has historically tried to avoid the rapid monetary policy tightening that has happened so far this year. How concerned are you that the rate hikes that we’ve seen thus far might increase risks to financial stability not just domest... |
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mark Hamrick with Bankrate. I can remember when you held your first news conference, and you vowed to be a very plainspoken Chairman, and we’re thinking today about the impacts of Fed policy on individuals as well. What would you say to individuals or households who may yet lose their jobs in t... | MARK HAMRICK | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mark Hamrick with Bankrate. I can remember when you held your first news conference, and you vowed to be a very plainspoken Chairman, and we’re thinking today about the impacts of Fed policy on individuals as well. What would you say to individuals or households who may ye... |
Thank you. Given the expectation that the election outcome will produce policies that would meaningfully impact the U.S. economy next year, how is the Committee taking these proposals into account for upcoming decisions, including potentially the next one in December? And, and can you give us any more sense of how proa... | COLBY SMITH | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Given the expectation that the election outcome will produce policies that would meaningfully impact the U.S. economy next year, how is the Committee taking these proposals into account for upcoming decisions, including potentially the next one in December? And, and can you give us any ... |
Chair Powell, Nick Timiraos from the Wall Street Journal. Roughly one year ago when the 10-year Treasury was flirting with 5 percent and 30-year mortgage rates were near 8 percent, you noted how higher borrowing costs, if they were sustained, could weigh on economic activity. Given that you’ve said you believe policy i... | NICK TIMIRAOS | [
{
"content": "Chair Powell, Nick Timiraos from the Wall Street Journal. Roughly one year ago when the 10-year Treasury was flirting with 5 percent and 30-year mortgage rates were near 8 percent, you noted how higher borrowing costs, if they were sustained, could weigh on economic activity. Given that you’ve sai... |
Jeanna Smialek from the New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions, Chair Powell. When it comes to December, what will you be looking at specifically as you try to make that decision? And then, as of the Fed’s economic projections in September, you, you had written down four quarter-point interest rate cuts in 202... | JEANNA SMIALEK | [
{
"content": "Jeanna Smialek from the New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions, Chair Powell. When it comes to December, what will you be looking at specifically as you try to make that decision? And then, as of the Fed’s economic projections in September, you, you had written down four quarter-point int... |
Thanks. Howard Schneider with Reuters. I wondered if you could please elaborate and explain a little bit the two changes in the language of the statement here in the first paragraph when you say, “Inflation has made progress,” dropping the word “further progress,” and in the second paragraph dropping the sentence that ... | HOWARD SCHNEIDER | [
{
"content": "Thanks. Howard Schneider with Reuters. I wondered if you could please elaborate and explain a little bit the two changes in the language of the statement here in the first paragraph when you say, “Inflation has made progress,” dropping the word “further progress,” and in the second paragraph dropp... |
Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, you talked about higher rates, perhaps from an expectation of higher growth. You didn’t talk about it in terms of expectations of higher deficits. Is that something you think might be behind the recent rise in interest rates, and is that—are rising deficits a concern to you? | STEVE LIESMAN | [
{
"content": "Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, you talked about higher rates, perhaps from an expectation of higher growth. You didn’t talk about it in terms of expectations of higher deficits. Is that something you think might be behind the recent rise in interest rates, and is that—are rising deficits a con... |
Thank you. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. You mentioned the positive economic data that we’ve seen since the September meeting, including the revisions to things like savings, higher GDP growth. We saw a stock market jump yesterday. That’s renewed some of the questions about why, why do many cuts at all in this—wit... | CHRISTOPHER RUGABER | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. You mentioned the positive economic data that we’ve seen since the September meeting, including the revisions to things like savings, higher GDP growth. We saw a stock market jump yesterday. That’s renewed some of the questions about why, why do many c... |
Thanks, Chair Powell. So with, with this noise in the jobs reports that we’ve seen and you look at the Fed’s favorite inflation, PCE inflation, overall it’s 2.1 percent—very close to the Fed’s target—but core inflation is 2.7 percent, and it’s been that way since July. So why doesn’t this data give fuel to a rate pause... | EDWARD LAWRENCE | [
{
"content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. So with, with this noise in the jobs reports that we’ve seen and you look at the Fed’s favorite inflation, PCE inflation, overall it’s 2.1 percent—very close to the Fed’s target—but core inflation is 2.7 percent, and it’s been that way since July. So why doesn’t this data giv... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Craig Torres from Bloomberg. Two questions today. Did you learn anything about what Americans think about the economy from the election results? First question. Second question—I want to talk about some labor market indicators, and I do so with great respect for your attentiveness to the maximum-emplo... | CRAIG TORRES | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Craig Torres from Bloomberg. Two questions today. Did you learn anything about what Americans think about the economy from the election results? First question. Second question—I want to talk about some labor market indicators, and I do so with great respect for your attentivenes... |
Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. Some of the President-elect’s advisers have suggested that you should resign. If he asked you to leave, would you go? | VICTORIA GUIDA | [
{
"content": "Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. Some of the President-elect’s advisers have suggested that you should resign. If he asked you to leave, would you go?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "No.",
"role": "assistant"
},
{
"content": "Can you follow up on is—do you think that leg... |
Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. You talk a lot about what the data are telling you and how you are dependent on the data. But in terms of forward-looking assessments of the economy, what are you hearing from CEOs or other officials around the country? What did you hear today from the regional Bank pr... | MICHAEL MCKEE | [
{
"content": "Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. You talk a lot about what the data are telling you and how you are dependent on the data. But in terms of forward-looking assessments of the economy, what are you hearing from CEOs or other officials around the country? What did you hear today fro... |
Hi. It’s Andrew Ackerman with the Washington Post. I just wanted to follow up on the discussion earlier on fiscal policy. Your predecessors Greenspan and Volcker spoke up loudly when they thought large budget deficits endangered financial— economic or financial stability. Will you do that, too? And, right now, we’re in... | ANDREW ACKERMAN | [
{
"content": "Hi. It’s Andrew Ackerman with the Washington Post. I just wanted to follow up on the discussion earlier on fiscal policy. Your predecessors Greenspan and Volcker spoke up loudly when they thought large budget deficits endangered financial— economic or financial stability. Will you do that, too? An... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Courtenay Brown from Axios. In response to Howard’s question, you said it wasn’t an ideal time to give forward guidance because of the economic uncertainties. Can you lay out what some of those uncertainties are and whether or not it includes some of the proposals that the President-elect has put out ... | COURTENAY BROWN | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Courtenay Brown from Axios. In response to Howard’s question, you said it wasn’t an ideal time to give forward guidance because of the economic uncertainties. Can you lay out what some of those uncertainties are and whether or not it includes some of the proposals that the Presid... |
Thank you, Chair Powell. Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. I know you don’t want to share your decomposition of bond yields, but if you look at the breakevens, it, it is clear that longer-term inflation expectations do seem to have risen up at about 2.5 percent, for example, on the five-year. That’s up half a point... | SIMON RABINOVITCH | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. I know you don’t want to share your decomposition of bond yields, but if you look at the breakevens, it, it is clear that longer-term inflation expectations do seem to have risen up at about 2.5 percent, for example, on the five-year. ... |
-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. What is your plan if we start to see stagflation? | NANCY MARSHALL | [
{
"content": "-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. What is your plan if we start to see stagflation?",
"role": "user"
},
{
"content": "So that’s a—you know, the whole plan is not to have stagflation, so we don’t have to deal with it. So that’s our—that is actually our p... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Jean Yung with MNI Market News. I wanted to go back to a comment that you had made about Americans being quite unhappy about the cumulative price level rises over the past few years, even though now inflation is back on a path to 2 percent. Would it be appropriate for the Fed to undershoot for a while... | JEAN YUNG | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Jean Yung with MNI Market News. I wanted to go back to a comment that you had made about Americans being quite unhappy about the cumulative price level rises over the past few years, even though now inflation is back on a path to 2 percent. Would it be appropriate for the Fed to ... |
Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Michelle. I wonder if I could start with the, the SEP. We have—unemployment now is at 6.7, the SEP median sees, sees it falling to 5. Headline inflation is one time 1.2, the SEP median sees it rising to 1.8. And core inflation is 1.4, and the SEP sees it rising to 1.8 likew... | RICH MILLER | [
{
"content": "Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Michelle. I wonder if I could start with the, the SEP. We have—unemployment now is at 6.7, the SEP median sees, sees it falling to 5. Headline inflation is one time 1.2, the SEP median sees it rising to 1.8. And core inflation is 1.4, and the SEP sees ... |
Thank you. Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, a two-part question. What, if anything, would prompt the Fed to shift Treasury purchases toward the longer end of the curve as you did with your prior QE programs? And does your guidance today on asset purchases foreclose the possibility that you could, a... | NICK TIMIRAOS | [
{
"content": "Thank you. Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, a two-part question. What, if anything, would prompt the Fed to shift Treasury purchases toward the longer end of the curve as you did with your prior QE programs? And does your guidance today on asset purchases foreclose the possibi... |
Hi, Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask about the 13(3) facilities. Chair Powell, you’ve said that you accept Treasury Secretary Mnuchin’s interpretation of the statute of the CARES Act on, on what should happen with those programs. So, first of all, I’m curious whether under a new Treasury Secretary you will... | VICTORIA GUIDA | [
{
"content": "Hi, Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask about the 13(3) facilities. Chair Powell, you’ve said that you accept Treasury Secretary Mnuchin’s interpretation of the statute of the CARES Act on, on what should happen with those programs. So, first of all, I’m curious whether under a new Treas... |
Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and happy New Year. I know how much you enjoy talking about fiscal stimulus, so let me ask you directly about fiscal stimulus. There’s talk right now of a $900 billion fiscal stimulus program in Congress. Is, is that sufficient? Is that what you’re looking for? Do you think that’ll be sufficien... | STEVE LIESMAN | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and happy New Year. I know how much you enjoy talking about fiscal stimulus, so let me ask you directly about fiscal stimulus. There’s talk right now of a $900 billion fiscal stimulus program in Congress. Is, is that sufficient? Is that what you’re looking for? Do you thin... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Thank you for taking our questions. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about house prices. They were mentioned in the most recent minutes as, you know, potentially a valuation concern, especially as it related to your mortgage-backed security purchases. And you mentioned earlier today that... | JEANNA SMIALEK | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thank you for taking our questions. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about house prices. They were mentioned in the most recent minutes as, you know, potentially a valuation concern, especially as it related to your mortgage-backed security purchases. And you mentio... |
Thank you for the question, Mr. Chairman. So with the actions that you’ve currently taken, how do you—how do you further fight a slowdown that you’re seeing? We’ve talked about the retail sales numbers are a little bit sluggish this month, the unemployment, the job growth has slowed down. Is there more the Fed can do t... | EDWARD LAWRENCE | [
{
"content": "Thank you for the question, Mr. Chairman. So with the actions that you’ve currently taken, how do you—how do you further fight a slowdown that you’re seeing? We’ve talked about the retail sales numbers are a little bit sluggish this month, the unemployment, the job growth has slowed down. Is there... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for doing this. And thanks, Michelle. Two, two quick questions. One, on the vaccine, do you have, or has the Fed modeled, a working estimate of when the U.S. might reach something approaching herd immunity? And, secondly, if you could, please connect with me the lack of movement on the decision... | HOWARD SCHNEIDER | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for doing this. And thanks, Michelle. Two, two quick questions. One, on the vaccine, do you have, or has the Fed modeled, a working estimate of when the U.S. might reach something approaching herd immunity? And, secondly, if you could, please connect with me the lack of mo... |
Hi, thank you. Yesterday, I guess, the Fed said that it is joining the international financial greening group. And I just wanted to see if you could expand on how the Fed is thinking about climate change and how it might affect Fed policy going forward. Specifically, I think Janet Yellen drew a distinction between cons... | CHRISTOPHER RUGABER | [
{
"content": "Hi, thank you. Yesterday, I guess, the Fed said that it is joining the international financial greening group. And I just wanted to see if you could expand on how the Fed is thinking about climate change and how it might affect Fed policy going forward. Specifically, I think Janet Yellen drew a di... |
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks very much for taking my question. And thank you, Michelle. I wanted to ask specifically about state and local aid. Just as one example, the governor of Illinois announced roughly $700 million in early anticipated budget cuts to close the budget deficit, and the latest bipartisan stimulus propos... | RACHEL SIEGEL | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks very much for taking my question. And thank you, Michelle. I wanted to ask specifically about state and local aid. Just as one example, the governor of Illinois announced roughly $700 million in early anticipated budget cuts to close the budget deficit, and the latest bipa... |
Thank you, Michelle. And thank you, Chair Powell. You and the Fed have consistently said that the Fed is ready to provide the economy with more monetary support if needed and really stressed to policymakers generally that the dangers of not doing enough outweigh the risks of doing too much in a situation where there’s ... | JAMES POLITI | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Michelle. And thank you, Chair Powell. You and the Fed have consistently said that the Fed is ready to provide the economy with more monetary support if needed and really stressed to policymakers generally that the dangers of not doing enough outweigh the risks of doing too much in a si... |
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Some forecasters have suggested that there is a lot of pent-up demand for travel and entertainment and, and services and the like that might stop being pent up in a hurry if we do get to a point where the vaccine is widely distributed, and that the beaten-down service sector might have trouble ... | SCOTT HORSLEY | [
{
"content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Some forecasters have suggested that there is a lot of pent-up demand for travel and entertainment and, and services and the like that might stop being pent up in a hurry if we do get to a point where the vaccine is widely distributed, and that the beaten-down service sect... |
—question. But what I wanted to ask was, you know, given the size of all the government borrowing and, you know, different regulatory changes in the financial sector, do you think that the Treasury market, long run, can operate smoothly without some active Fed presence—you know, buying Treasury debt? You know, I’m refe... | MICHAEL DERBY | [
{
"content": "—question. But what I wanted to ask was, you know, given the size of all the government borrowing and, you know, different regulatory changes in the financial sector, do you think that the Treasury market, long run, can operate smoothly without some active Fed presence—you know, buying Treasury de... |
Hi, hi. Thanks so much for taking our questions. So, you know, as you know, the pandemic has really disproportionately impacted small and medium-sized businesses. And the Fed launched a few efforts this year to—through its 13(3) programs to reach out to those companies. But, you know, considering that some of those pro... | HANNAH LANG | [
{
"content": "Hi, hi. Thanks so much for taking our questions. So, you know, as you know, the pandemic has really disproportionately impacted small and medium-sized businesses. And the Fed launched a few efforts this year to—through its 13(3) programs to reach out to those companies. But, you know, considering ... |
Hi, Chair Powell—hi, Chair Powell. I was wondering if you’ve had any conversations yet with any members of the incoming Biden Administration, particularly Janet Yellen, who obviously you can share some similar experience in running the Fed. So just curious to get your thoughts on how the relationship with Treasury and ... | PAUL LA MONICA | [
{
"content": "Hi, Chair Powell—hi, Chair Powell. I was wondering if you’ve had any conversations yet with any members of the incoming Biden Administration, particularly Janet Yellen, who obviously you can share some similar experience in running the Fed. So just curious to get your thoughts on how the relations... |
Yes. Chair, thank you for taking the question. You’ve been asked this question before in various forms. I’m going to try it a little bit differently now. The equity market and the bond market seem to be telling two different stories about where, where things are heading. We on the stock market, bond yields remain very ... | JEFF COX | [
{
"content": "Yes. Chair, thank you for taking the question. You’ve been asked this question before in various forms. I’m going to try it a little bit differently now. The equity market and the bond market seem to be telling two different stories about where, where things are heading. We on the stock market, bo... |
Mr. Chairman, I have a couple of questions about the fiscal support for the economy. This year’s budget deficit is $3.1 trillion. And Republicans have argued they don’t want to spend more, because we can’t afford it. So I’m wondering if you can make the case for how much we can afford. At what point do deficits and the... | MICHAEL MCKEE | [
{
"content": "Mr. Chairman, I have a couple of questions about the fiscal support for the economy. This year’s budget deficit is $3.1 trillion. And Republicans have argued they don’t want to spend more, because we can’t afford it. So I’m wondering if you can make the case for how much we can afford. At what poi... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.