question_id stringlengths 0 66 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 2 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.79k | end_date_iso stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ | is_50_50 bool 2 classes | yes_price float64 0 1 ⌀ | no_price float64 0 1 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xad8aea74c1f67fdf13fa31b21f31ab40f334c69c6bbe3b58a692c8c7327be973 | 0xfae80311640912c9f9a28870b948e3b57ef705cd469e87f2bb16c15e63c9964e | Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | The first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is scheduled for May 13, 2025. Ten of 15 contestants will advance to the final.
Markets for the countries announced as qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 will resolve to "Yes". Markets for the countries which do not qualify will resolve to "No".
If a country is eliminated from the competition before the semi-final, its market will immediately resolve to "No".
If qualifiers are not announced by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | 2025-05-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-portugal-qualify-for-the-eurovision-2025-grand-final | [
"Music",
"Culture",
"Eurovision"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x8b3a456694af380d8245bcf40767ef23033b51e8d7fb792a12c2fcc6523666f2 | 0x5aeee35f49b3c13ef83a9077204d899795ed5530806732aca9b9bcf6cd0cc834 | Hornets vs. Clippers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-cha-lac-2025-03-16 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x5052045d443734b17c2a48507b9a1bc1407d3940711e65dfce75cc0030516fce | 0x417ce239fa8cfa891aab630e273b6d0cb2dda78ab852881a46b23ccc18ea2ad0 | Trump speaks to Carney by Friday? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump speaks with Mark Carney between March 10 and March 14, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Conversations via phone or video call will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump, Carney, their official representatives, and the governments of the US and Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | trump-speaks-to-carney-by-friday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Canada",
"Geopolitics"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x831a63a6c398890e363154efb2adb6ac62b681abebc08509ea4ad28f22f195fe | 0xfa65b292b5fa41186d8ee68ccaec4cc79222c4d838c6b965fa79e42a698547fe | Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh | This is a market on whether Alexander Hernandez or Kurt Holobaugh will win their bout at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2, scheduled for March 15, 2025.
If Alexander Hernandez is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Hernandez."
If Kurt Holobaugh is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Holobaugh."
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | 2025-03-15T00:00:00Z | true | true | alexander-hernandez-vs-kurt-holobaugh | [
"Sports",
"UFC"
] | false | null | null |
0x3726f36b128e14e5c76e0d1dd6c14a04ece41cce686226e00fac53e34fa38e59 | 0x72ed157680650b1881541b71e2f1562e91e58b02684927afef176d20cbd8b795 | Will Ukraine qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | The first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is scheduled for May 13, 2025. Ten of 15 contestants will advance to the final.
Markets for the countries announced as qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 will resolve to "Yes". Markets for the countries which do not qualify will resolve to "No".
If a country is eliminated from the competition before the semi-final, its market will immediately resolve to "No".
If qualifiers are not announced by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | 2025-05-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-ukraine-qualify-for-the-eurovision-2025-grand-final | [
"Music",
"Culture",
"Eurovision"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xbdfd62f9cd79e34ecba92034dc17833dda181901b6c818b749a19f8bd7df0905 | 0x6b4262866c5d70f2cad27dcf6412ad70e7e4b62bac304d3c7cf1cfa9b1b768d5 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on March 13? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 13, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-50-51f-on-march-13 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x96fdfc47e9b5c6074d1dea7b8c98c8bc90f7454f07c98eb3f6d1781ed137b036 | 0x929a3d1d7fa41adfb326f01879c713a8faf3228dff26cf96cfac9aacc852a61a | South Florida vs. Wichita State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 12:30PM ET:
If the South Florida win, the market will resolve to “South Florida”.
If the Wichita State win, the market will resolve to “Wichita State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-usf-wich-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x6c8569c08c30b0b7349e1de79710c5c6b7e52500596ac038c3fabde3e4cc0279 | 0xbb21fa9b39c747f3c1a42adbd3bc2f0a142c535e661e43db0ada3b6ddf59df8e | Iowa vs. Ohio State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 12 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Iowa win, the market will resolve to “Iowa”.
If the Ohio State win, the market will resolve to “Ohio State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-iowa-ohst-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x24184e2f96c9a2ee51cd2ea699b9f92f90b273cd5d4b2e2474e864b19360b301 | 0xf5a756ef898f9fa858d8710a63f4aa16b4d3c4d2fff27afae1d1ed329620eed7 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14? | This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-47pt0-and-47pt4-on-march-14 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"538",
"fivethirtyeight",
"Nate Silver",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x4a7ac5db30c61e4054ced708ca64bfe96c102c50c82a903117d1ea92f2a90308 | 0xc1e1826d46b6bf53b0fd18d65f1046bed2038bb33d4a9a63be4a2291b5a59224 | Will Cameron Rising be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will according to the third quarterback to be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft. If less than three QBs are taken, this market will resolve to "Other". | 2025-04-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-cameron-rising-be-the-third-qb-taken-in-the-2025-nfl-draft | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"third"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xc15d9bf799c2bed56fb4fc684b075fe31da6da320f14ac6703a8d2076a3a2801 | 0x8c522b8e4fdb9d75a74730e15a63129fc3d92ec54d679689053a65a0d1d77f0a | Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%? | This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for April 4, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. | 2025-04-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-march-2025-unemployment-rate-be-4pt0 | [
"Politics",
"Economy",
"Macro Unemployment",
"Recurring",
"Macro Indicators"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xfd4d5047ee41d96725f1ea1ebf060f72b78c7b1d2ecb711f107a3db6188e9a03 | 0xeb86b5447ecb87be439ba6bb0369f3f67ac5e009f561d1282014ba1d0801e0eb | Will 'Opus' gross more than 7m on opening weekend? | This market will resolve according to how much “Opus” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Opus-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-opus-gross-more-than-7m-on-opening-weekend | [
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x61fa9175a2e31fce1573e9f921a035529f5fa1416b3872c95f14f230599be646 | 0xca7b6670520b9332338ba5bd3a4575a29b308533d661087528682b4bd4da0f9a | Mt. St. Mary's vs. Marist | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Mt. St. Mary's win, the market will resolve to “Mt. St. Mary's”.
If the Marist win, the market will resolve to “Marist”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-21T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-msm-mrst-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xe3a8cc1ee74ad1a0ac78348ce927552d120944dc0b8f089cf390e78cdb2e45d8 | 0xbfeeb4191a33a191e45b33fa7690a98fe68e5e372e2e3988467222fa7f710114 | Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during his Business Roundtable appearance? | Donald Trump is expected to deliver remarks at the business roundtable quarterly meeting on March 11, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET. You can see his schedule for the day here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Any statements made by Trump during the appearance, including any Q&A AND/OR statements made during the following round table will quality.
The resolution source will be video of the appearance. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-inflation-5-times-during-his-business-roundtable-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xd0db1c6370a4ecd3c870db353a2f044f09778dd9d6f56bf7fef11499efe742f0 | 0x5c009920743b961789569055b077e9e0d7d94c4593935eb8bc025d1c240f2ef1 | Red Wings vs. Senators | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 10 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the Ottawa Senators win, the market will resolve to “Senators”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-det-ott-2025-03-10 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xfb1b5b3e78debc6eef9b9ef363af5136eedcddefb308a61aa2235cb4f2fa43ab | 0xe716518d060909f31253edd933dc0c13e79769c28e840dfa6a6392b2c0f7da90 | Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces between March 11, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and March 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive) that they have acquired additional Bitcoin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-strategy-purchase-bitcoin-feb-mar-11-17 | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"MSTR",
"Michael Saylor",
"MicroStrategy"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xfd4d5047ee41d96725f1ea1ebf060f72b78c7b1d2ecb711f107a3db6188e9a02 | 0xd888d48f24dc6cca00250db4656f9a23feb0a99d40312a1283b7d28220ad50a1 | Will 'Opus' gross between 5-7m on opening weekend? | This market will resolve according to how much “Opus” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Opus-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-opus-gross-between-5-7m-on-opening-weekend | [
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x409bb3e97e1abcc7103b96ac13376983fe7056b3b56c738a916190f3ff5129b6 | 0x875f06008cacbbbf330dd8bac3e310dda787dfa8c87d48e0099dcb3ccc468bae | Stars vs. Avalanche | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-dal-col-2025-03-16 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xf58d785cbe2bb67b60c6c7db6e374da0e396b1dd990a8341a8e63db7ddaa16d7 | 0x84ff9741169f75f26da75abe0f5c05c963bab283af9443392e7af14411eedc9e | Golden Knights vs. Red Wings | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-las-det-2025-03-16 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x76bd1dbbe5c34d9c7db954bc736027f83d1889358c76af94251079aa661e5b9a | 0xad48ab50f019e467c1de7ee3fe06f777913c13bbe1a5881e6190932db6c72386 | Tarleton vs. California Baptist | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 11:30PM ET:
If the Tarleton win, the market will resolve to “Tarleton”.
If the California Baptist win, the market will resolve to “California Baptist”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-21T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-tar-cbu-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xfd4d5047ee41d96725f1ea1ebf060f72b78c7b1d2ecb711f107a3db6188e9a01 | 0xc5af22e14ce2066a288ef5bc6c2a782bd7a4ec5b410a87b3aea02fd3dc8cfe48 | Will 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend? | This market will resolve according to how much “Opus” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Opus-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-opus-gross-between-3-5m-on-opening-weekend | [
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x0da42393688b1e2834925e5cc54df2929e7d2c824e633e7e00c8ccdc87ced15c | 0x03f65232c798cf5694fe18e419ef43214c16078deff483bc5b77446ab1a247c9 | Utah vs. Kraken | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 14 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-utah-sea-2025-03-14 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xbdfd62f9cd79e34ecba92034dc17833dda181901b6c818b749a19f8bd7df0904 | 0x99ae4e28e0c0231e87ac5db0f90f5f4fe51749f59ee43a64b870b1b6d0e22d7f | Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on March 13? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 13, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-march-13 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x874165fc81e1c44938e98f75539b8f663f07322481e97895a46c1caf3d9a454a | 0x0e408c77d9ae03aa67d46c407c51c20062939fa58ca2bd6b18e6513c65a9de1c | Trump positive approval on April 1? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 1, is not published by April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), the next previous datapoint will be used to resolve this market.
| 2025-04-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | trump-positive-approval-on-april-1 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x5cdb5b03ab0654972183e2960f165f03b6d38ef95dfc80230a64e7cf4741efc0 | 0x77d0aeceecdf068962c05c420e396812f2125b3faa78a1b603b127ce0d447b20 | Capitals vs. Sharks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 15 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Washington Capitals win, the market will resolve to “Capitals”.
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-wsh-sj-2025-03-15 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x8cbada914f000ef9f3f18226ad65a46a6629008c3b3c1127afb8019854475fde | 0x1bc1aea2f199f146ab776c76c407d4abf56f115b3577eb43fa717aa561805ea3 | Avalanche vs. Flames | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 14 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the Calgary Flames win, the market will resolve to “Flames”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-col-cal-2025-03-14 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb70ec6d987c269029b0909c1ed91d00c1c8f063c0d3a9edbc772defe5e3d448b | 0x53d7d1e655068b79dcfce5b57c689f30550901f2f643f17f28942efe19bff4b5 | Will Poland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | The first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is scheduled for May 13, 2025. Ten of 15 contestants will advance to the final.
Markets for the countries announced as qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 will resolve to "Yes". Markets for the countries which do not qualify will resolve to "No".
If a country is eliminated from the competition before the semi-final, its market will immediately resolve to "No".
If qualifiers are not announced by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | 2025-05-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-poland-qualify-for-the-eurovision-2025-grand-final | [
"Music",
"Culture",
"Eurovision"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x6c5d5060fe0fcb19b3460dcd61dc460e428460f6ab2f193ae654037740698633 | 0xf508b0bd49391ceec29a43e7cdc63b56f55f0121a50b1d0e021c114bf6ff012d | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Business Roundtable appearance? | Donald Trump is expected to deliver remarks at the business roundtable quarterly meeting on March 11, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET. You can see his schedule for the day here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Any statements made by Trump during the appearance, including any Q&A AND/OR statements made during the following round table will quality.
The resolution source will be video of the appearance. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-volodymyr-zelenskyy-say-ai-or-artificial-intelligence-during-his-business-roundtable-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xf2938ca94f52f54a58b3d4b6f69ecc2689cda05c5fe02ffd8ecdcdc855bea202 | 0xb2d0f5dfb9987c8d3a9a904663b86ebcbdfc12cdb8789d9b8d683048d07dbca7 | Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve according to the team that drafts Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft.
If Shedeur Sanders isn't picked in the 2025 NFL Draft, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". | 2025-04-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-giants-draft-shedeur-sanders-in-the-2025-nfl-draft | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xbdfd62f9cd79e34ecba92034dc17833dda181901b6c818b749a19f8bd7df0903 | 0x2b4e9577bf976b3a3d745e9ce842748656382ed74f333ef33e1e919a9067a1fd | Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on March 13? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 13, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-46-47f-on-march-13 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x16ca42fbf02da4c03fb2942ab4de20cb43f6dba231c01b369800daf5d6669603 | 0x4c235bd675f65a4075177a277bc21ebf4cc55517ca1c2be1187d1a1faf6a6bf2 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on March 11? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 11, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-46-47f-on-march-11 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x6d814cd0cc3f2f5225c6e403d2bec8cfc83822b6bb78cd81fb290c4391396f03 | 0xd95ccd02a9693d6a9c7e4aebfd6a324a1e53632b3ef7ef9306a0473f165409af | Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | This market will resolve according to the team that drafts Travis Hunter in the 2025 NFL Draft.
If Travis Hunter isn't picked in the 2025 NFL Draft, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". | 2025-04-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-browns-draft-travis-hunter-in-2025 | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x306ce7fb29a0a56862d5e0def7b418f63442ef94a6c18f8cd902b022e9ff2dd6 | 0xaec83654eda585a04274429ec9af20e10614a95f91ffc17eb23456525f9937ac | Sabres vs. Red Wings | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 12 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”.
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-buf-det-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xc0995525ddd07211bdb15b5268e391ff775cf1b18ea0c775d9ae502bf1a34a4b | 0x9582bb5898d6f470cbea1b68c13246d305dbf5e9c92e7752bfe1ee74fc83df13 | Will Norway qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | The first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is scheduled for May 13, 2025. Ten of 15 contestants will advance to the final.
Markets for the countries announced as qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 will resolve to "Yes". Markets for the countries which do not qualify will resolve to "No".
If a country is eliminated from the competition before the semi-final, its market will immediately resolve to "No".
If qualifiers are not announced by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | 2025-05-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-norway-qualify-for-the-eurovision-2025-grand-final | [
"Music",
"Culture",
"Eurovision"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xe488f0b30dbecdb0fd2caca0ed87a816fda8535a565251fe82042d84ea35a90d | 0x94c330da19aef387895fc7666a2f7ffa4ccffe442672e2b7210bc0c63cd57ba4 | Blackhawks vs. Sharks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 13 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Chicago Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to “Blackhawks”.
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-21T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-chi-sj-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x9345936a050e5985529b9bed7a8cc39c1ec2a40de1f636a504259d745a231e05 | 0x03c136fd848bcc4fe290aaf4a05c7ed1a5e4d584d9823ca3f6893258270adf2b | Capitals vs. Ducks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 11 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Washington Capitals win, the market will resolve to “Capitals”.
If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-wsh-ana-2025-03-11 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x24184e2f96c9a2ee51cd2ea699b9f92f90b273cd5d4b2e2474e864b19360b302 | 0x47465c58ffdb2048b8ac8114f62e0cc7c6177dc53ea13ae1a456a8c140fa382d | Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 14? | This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-47pt5-and-47pt9-on-march-14 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"538",
"fivethirtyeight",
"Nate Silver",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x8ad5832cde0d191fc76f10cef3c349a923ae9bfad93d0f22a1cbcfa0657ec736 | 0x46415afbe11b6e0a5b736094e00d36666c93f81fd68fe236c411c07a7b0e4069 | Cal Poly vs. UC Davis | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 12 at 11:30PM ET:
If the Cal Poly win, the market will resolve to “Cal Poly”.
If the UC Davis win, the market will resolve to “UC Davis”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-cp-ucd-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4254a6339ebab6815eaab7160504c2f6ae4c3e9b544b421bb19c5b247cf30bdf | 0x515b15f2d8fb8a3af69e2dcb7283a3078914f3ee6429e8c8806017b39bef190b | Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sudzha railroad station located on Privokzal'naya ulitsa by March 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sudzha+train+station.png
Sudzha Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Sudzha+location.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/s7MXZ3FSQBaVkAMk9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. | 2025-04-30T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-russia-recapture-sudzha-by-march-31 | [
"Politics",
"russia",
"Ukraine",
"Breaking News",
"Geopolitics"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x385d28b8e889debf0ecad6f3cb32ff675fcffddefb4dc83c26d36149af7bd5b1 | 0x591f2b04549432bcdfc74517b68ceebaea8bd800e3c20962f5a1f66a962a950b | Will Trump say "Million" 10+ times during his Business Roundtable appearance? | Donald Trump is expected to deliver remarks at the business roundtable quarterly meeting on March 11, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET. You can see his schedule for the day here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Any statements made by Trump during the appearance, including any Q&A AND/OR statements made during the following round table will quality.
The resolution source will be video of the appearance. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-million-10-times-during-his-business-roundtable-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xe5a2b2d322723ed1b108cd766f53b86700cad285ff9d5daf0b490cf7e906f9e5 | 0x1ff2b88422d22ebe955e851b5f89c9d29229488d76015d6490b629fa8756513a | Oilers vs. Devils | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 13 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Edmonton Oilers win, the market will resolve to “Oilers”.
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-edm-nj-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x899024ec2bfdc422680e4bf39addbcfa031f1163ff97a1de477b4d5ce3d68802 | 0x5c9a49f44b97ed7b1846712b82ed316af4e18f11a86e749f8e13e59233a1a805 | Will the US add between 100-150k jobs in March? | This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March, scheduled to be released on April 4, 2025, 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm | 2025-04-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-us-add-between-100-150k-jobs-in-march | [
"Politics",
"Economy",
"Macro Jobs",
"Recurring",
"Economic Policy",
"Macro Indicators"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xe5239f660e6cb62ea67326dd2bfe3f1f4145465c8c2668562089dddad4148f18 | 0x952755b2b07232b5e70a20e944972f8c1b6fd2faffee176ba13dcd0e65cda03a | Clippers vs. Heat | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 12 at 8:00PM ET:
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-lac-mia-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xab8d8a16b8614ab8325e1c2e414792c249c67de8aaf55d98d6657e2929876801 | 0x702538016d765521c08de342e1b8df9454ae1e66cca89bf1e037fe07471388c1 | Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-04-30T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-april-30 | [
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x8e35a3948f274e5c196715c6ad2372dede768d79117cd2687e566b0a84d84c52 | 0x233a1f87f7c5c5c6362005fe32d2a223ecc79c47fd5c6c180f06b4b8158bcbf5 | Bowling Green vs. Akron | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 11:00AM ET:
If the Bowling Green win, the market will resolve to “Bowling Green”.
If the Akron win, the market will resolve to “Akron”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-bg-akrn-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xbe0b37d8263958bca3883fc4d879faeba86b02ca51ef33920055b11b6ea41a48 | 0xcb3906fe1cc346a08d4817a9e5abbd594d50101d2d70edf92dceeeed509a328d | Celtics vs. Nets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-bos-bkn-2025-03-15 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x6d814cd0cc3f2f5225c6e403d2bec8cfc83822b6bb78cd81fb290c4391396f02 | 0x34ef68da720dcbcf86c59c24f040013054d46d308334a237c616947c303b7029 | Will the Titans draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | This market will resolve according to the team that drafts Travis Hunter in the 2025 NFL Draft.
If Travis Hunter isn't picked in the 2025 NFL Draft, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". | 2025-04-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-titans-draft-travis-hunter-in-2025 | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x0075b61fa2c75944597e855d624f50b0507d561135d97e70dfe3cbd448ffa114 | 0xaf4d24adfd2ebae4fd244d304bfb86890db17986cfe031f8ab81a1f20464ef04 | UTSA vs. East Carolina | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 9:00PM ET:
If the UTSA win, the market will resolve to “UTSA”.
If the East Carolina win, the market will resolve to “East Carolina”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-21T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-utsa-ecar-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x16ca42fbf02da4c03fb2942ab4de20cb43f6dba231c01b369800daf5d6669601 | 0xcbcf4309d1726c4cd930e1fe06d8627d893dc3f5b7574cd504802d1c53e9639b | Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on March 11? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 11, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-42-43f-on-march-11 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xf0462be48903d0367c2acca87c733039b70b824807c752301a04bdae67ca3d22 | 0xbe98d3664d2d310b48fd44fb221ee0ac6bc454449a63ef9d9d2c4755f29323eb | Louisiana Tech vs. Middle Tennessee | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Louisiana Tech win, the market will resolve to “Louisiana Tech”.
If the Middle Tennessee win, the market will resolve to “Middle Tennessee”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-21T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-lt-mtsu-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x47c59da2e9f1f47671e6339de5159a43e1d1d706d9c1fba96721570b7eeec5dc | 0x828e37ac72677b085f89a542049a894cac878eeb3382f514e033fc5be67afb40 | Suns vs. Lakers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-phx-lal-2025-03-16 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb98bc9d6eaac53419d7118e3707c451127f56ada08c639cd80dbe69b0967c74f | 0x1965a88a9adc78b99f3b1f27d68d4e3d188c84b7d59461ce9c55b7e48fde11ca | Delaware vs. Towson | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 10 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Delaware win, the market will resolve to “Delaware”.
If the Towson win, the market will resolve to “Towson”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-del-tows-2025-03-10 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4a7ac5db30c61e4054ced708ca64bfe96c102c50c82a903117d1ea92f2a90306 | 0x71b50cbe8abf590491a0680b772b827b248d16c1da8525a4fb4908da032355bc | Will Tyler Shough be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will according to the third quarterback to be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft. If less than three QBs are taken, this market will resolve to "Other". | 2025-04-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-tyler-shough-be-the-third-qb-taken-in-the-2025-nfl-draft | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"third"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xc0affd0e8e18df795d507b7700f69e5962b90d6ce2f4fa5fc1fae141521a259e | 0xa72608ce1c6ba56d772b784d1e58e2b317436e2e568429973e5588d7a9c43000 | Ducks vs. Blues | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”.
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-ana-stl-2025-03-16 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x6d814cd0cc3f2f5225c6e403d2bec8cfc83822b6bb78cd81fb290c4391396f05 | 0x67bfa146ff83b9d472d2d337c5d7a4920a8377b62c79a15f479c08e4a9a01cc6 | Will the Raiders draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | This market will resolve according to the team that drafts Travis Hunter in the 2025 NFL Draft.
If Travis Hunter isn't picked in the 2025 NFL Draft, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". | 2025-04-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-raiders-draft-travis-hunter-in-2025 | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xbcfb2b5a3481965e9c4ac14bd12a30e2f141ff53fb7686eb94d6f10bb75851c7 | 0x294553d364fc12c2849600dc858460bca7c171ffe973aed87e44ffba8447990b | Thunder vs. Celtics | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 12 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-okc-bos-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x24184e2f96c9a2ee51cd2ea699b9f92f90b273cd5d4b2e2474e864b19360b300 | 0xa2a36ff2a1fe9dd8624b84dd7671c7fbf2d766df1b7915654bb0e570551c3bdc | Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14? | This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-approval-rating-be-less-than-47pt0-on-march-14 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"538",
"fivethirtyeight",
"Nate Silver",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x16ca42fbf02da4c03fb2942ab4de20cb43f6dba231c01b369800daf5d6669606 | 0x1947602a2d01b7ecc7d9e9d20c856fcda722e1544009f8b531b9ab4c3f9f75d7 | Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on March 11? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 11, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-52f-or-higher-on-march-11 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x84db968945ab51903a4cf15e1372cbe1f2f45bc62a7098cf8d58df13d1d0d274 | 0x533f2ca2934999afb698e3168325c93b56e3501230e7a9c7535162f9422ee813 | Will Trump say "Ireland" 10+ times during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-ireland-10-times-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x3feab300277bbecf585f346e404877448c03cd97b51fb5190cea93abedcd93f7 | 0x7cdaef22a18cd2641a7bb5e3c056f27b105fbdc216b479532ea0058b26a37360 | Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-saudi-arabia-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x3560339fcfeca454cc36bec546290ac92e9dd34f1696514760e18729d952d325 | 0xa675f63529a6d7a30a2a5f47cbb67fcf41a48ea054649d9bcd4b3642bb8c410b | Golden Knights vs. Sabres | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 15 at 12:30PM ET:
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-las-buf-2025-03-15 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xd92f8ac528d26a9f3a7f4c3cc392298a3a9dc7ef02d06253604454d7ff11e447 | 0xaecfe6b8b0599fbad1260fe15aaa96af5e9a590a7f95d31b927d59e0afc9bfff | Utah vs. Canucks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the Vancouver Canucks win, the market will resolve to “Canucks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-utah-van-2025-03-16 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x0c528f1e8694129ae386c2f23c7a35f9c6b7048c0bc51b06559385d22521900e | 0xd2bf5e68d5ece26bdb6a60e9e0ff7936f165653c33ff58e152118124c2fa4fd6 | UCF vs. Utah | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 11 at 9:30PM ET:
If the UCF win, the market will resolve to “UCF”.
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-ucf-utah-2025-03-11 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xae02bb8b1df555fc45547f2bd960f0e19e2a89ef7d1d01e7f888b21a9b9e7a02 | 0xaf531d2f0f7b1bbd958a4d94bb6222aed0a3ad1b90b1b18d30d768af1dc12a9d | Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend? | This market will resolve according to how much “Novocaine” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Novocaine-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-novocaine-gross-between-9-11m-on-opening-weekend | [
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x59e3d177ac3e9b21968d465f5b45bad81ae6beebc1da887acaa604950b5be1dd | 0xa3fb041aa56370f913d51a35156e1f08e11d28b5b54fd4b662939081eca2bd62 | Prairie View A&M vs. Florida A&M | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 11 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Prairie View A&M win, the market will resolve to “Prairie View A&M”.
If the Florida A&M win, the market will resolve to “Florida A&M”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-pv-famu-2025-03-11 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x970f621370befa9442d9c65bf98eb55cf9d3ac229d9203d2b7d25dafc1380405 | 0x0e01028e5fe1923d90c69340cfb6763e94cebf33a9c1018f8fd679d72a2c513f | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on March 12? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 12, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-54-55f-on-march-12 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x50593dca70e5c2b7bd12e4861a820a141921877707562ed77ae2e086f5c3e057 | 0x6d5128e5be033a3009fe7e993ea0314b97eadfbcd58b7c6525138b5e00d13e0f | Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH) | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 4:00PM ET:
If the Eastern Michigan win, the market will resolve to “Eastern Michigan”.
If the Miami (OH) win, the market will resolve to “Miami (OH)”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-emic-m-oh-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x74e614aaab02892456a39e955725769bf4ce5ce5846f87cc004ece627f720901 | 0x6ac948c4800476dd1657a6e2d091b1ae69bda902fceefda27b465dc3faa55e9c | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on March 13? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 13, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-43-44f-on-march-13 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xdd8017b26ce0e41ea7d9ad7af0c0cf0e5cca98bd2319527be213236fd6b5c000 | 0x9e55dc784d7009269056cd8858740dd60906f67c0d04952c2d6cbcf00deee384 | Will the highest temperature in London be 42°F or below on March 12? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 12, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-42f-or-below-on-march-12 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x12e4657992792febeebec81c3c4ec8d65d4c21f86070a9c595381fe21014781e | 0x3d36edfb11bfe015a7652ccd782094565474c076b62a5e5351f38d306eff8556 | Winthrop vs. UNC Asheville | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 8 at 2:30PM ET:
If the Winthrop win, the market will resolve to “Winthrop”.
If the UNC Asheville win, the market will resolve to “UNC Asheville”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-15T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-win-unca-2025-03-08 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x0e5fb292a6e713146d7df2f4f510115a492a8007c34c8dbade0c9e800b7d5017 | 0x03c34dcd40472f1494f91138a037e0e097eefdb18171035bd69f71e2f7b59f82 | Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-nato-3-times-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x8ce2604d9994290e6da45e9f285ef438b509dc04fd1aa8d61ca2fa327bcbb97d | 0xd8890d77fad2262f94bfb83304ebcb46199433b217b726449b3a2ed3e1711e80 | Charlotte vs. Rice | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 12 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Charlotte win, the market will resolve to “Charlotte”.
If the Rice win, the market will resolve to “Rice”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-char-rice-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x3a4eb4fc005801ee3a4055d056e08edfd35a757db1f2beb7860d0445bd499167 | 0xd668cd6b9978141a9807b1bcda18f40a1be38e7f1a427732399db8bdf0ffa2be | Will Trump say "Jew" or "Jewish" 3+ times during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-jew-or-jewish-3-times-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x729ba6bbb959976262035e04b3e64b2a61698672e96ee781b56ddfb0c26b27e0 | 0xe3891342f8192665d2ab1148b953deef0bd0f829ed7e4fe7e9d0361e37e0e403 | Bucks vs. Pacers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 11 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-18T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-mil-ind-2025-03-11 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x24184e2f96c9a2ee51cd2ea699b9f92f90b273cd5d4b2e2474e864b19360b305 | 0x3221632aab728d981375d0abd9560589a4389c85b0df02b2f093c50373fcde41 | Will Trump's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on March 14? | This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-approval-rating-be-49pt0-or-higher-on-march-14 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"538",
"fivethirtyeight",
"Nate Silver",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x3b4871faf3e3bac88763d0abf197b04206ca82fe7615c925f00ef2424190cb1b | 0x9c0ab86a0a51f97f690ed0ea780e787186a89201ae8a3451f19c00f9c297351d | Western Michigan vs. Kent State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 13 at 6:30PM ET:
If the Western Michigan win, the market will resolve to “Western Michigan”.
If the Kent State win, the market will resolve to “Kent State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-wmu-kent-2025-03-13 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xa38eb2525a2664aed8149d14e8dcfaa4715c9bd2771a54f35412fe91d0e98d95 | 0xa6363f77324b7f9d75e434ddea6b240accc4cfa2cbc8cd7f216d1380c297b0c1 | Blackhawks vs. Avalanche | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 10 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Chicago Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to “Blackhawks”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-18T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-chi-col-2025-03-10 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x6e9d6eb79ba8a81415e176c9ec45f059ae42189dd6e6f3648904881312ace508 | 0x575c16d0586b289f9cf46553ab883dd5518d493e5442a1e6350255040c4edacb | Magic vs. Timberwolves | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 14 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-orl-min-2025-03-14 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x53e26dfd6887d561a0f76532f740b98e075774e0a276ac7e4dfbb60e33a4672a | 0xadd5b06f5de1fe76f140bdf002765b456cfcba2f8f80bd9f67289faef8902ceb | Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-biden-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x970f621370befa9442d9c65bf98eb55cf9d3ac229d9203d2b7d25dafc1380404 | 0x9ffb3ab4e8455c4e89cfdb8c8916a9949791b02aae10a3bfa9074e0f00af0dcf | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 12? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 12, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-52-53f-on-march-12 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xfdbc61cc1a36327011cc0f3ee6edc4cee7ab3237ab6ac833c68e90f45d7f04d0 | 0xdf059f68d2e0512d0d2b9206007679a082df32b411f0183dbc0a0b8b6d2bd58a | Su Young You vs. AJ Cunningham | This is a market on whether Su Young You or AJ Cunningham will win their bout at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2, scheduled for March 15, 2025.
If Su Young You is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "You."
If AJ Cunningham is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Cunningham."
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | 2025-03-15T00:00:00Z | true | true | su-young-you-vs-aj-cunningham | [
"Sports",
"UFC"
] | false | null | null |
0xf2938ca94f52f54a58b3d4b6f69ecc2689cda05c5fe02ffd8ecdcdc855bea20e | 0x09343d8ea629cf88016b69332b65a38f963d48d0f4b603cbc532d5a64ed49112 | Will Shedeur Sanders not be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve according to the team that drafts Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft.
If Shedeur Sanders isn't picked in the 2025 NFL Draft, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". | 2025-04-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-shedeur-sanders-not-be-drafted-in-the-2025-nfl-draft | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x2e19e79e751a80bfeea5cc84a54d91a1173c82e96d6c6ffac35e61662ce227b3 | 0xbd6f5bf4ab185be85da9a3549373a91d3da6d6f44bc33572c484f34c83ca3c9e | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say "Zelenskyy" during his Business Roundtable appearance? | Donald Trump is expected to deliver remarks at the business roundtable quarterly meeting on March 11, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET. You can see his schedule for the day here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Any statements made by Trump during the appearance, including any Q&A AND/OR statements made during the following round table will quality.
The resolution source will be video of the appearance. | 2025-03-11T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-volodymyr-zelenskyy-say-zelenskyy-during-his-business-roundtable-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x00d48139f25b7ee867a9118fe4b756dfd078cd51e5b93c988dd7f21f52302b23 | 0x14dc79d083f37d2fc7b32e2a874f2176b40ff029f90b90cfa31296357a024731 | 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been 500 or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025 according to the CDC case counter by March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
| 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | 500-measles-cases-in-us-before-april | [
"Pandemics",
"Culture"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x33afebf0d21d83109321350cdc8fbab21d22c7128797fb38e865d4f25e7f52c7 | 0xc4bf2ef405b1fa9a83c946e2fb7d344cd94130a26645e836a0281b64574c3f31 | Suns vs. Rockets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 12 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-phx-hou-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x613b77ce44e1ce9f7356b9f2e352002ef389e347a017c3c35a28a08bb464c654 | 0x9a8c980e7f5a3ab5e3e8c9db643db841b4b28c3f404f90dbdec1f40dffb0c01e | Will Trump say "God" 2+ times during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-god-2-times-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x4a7ac5db30c61e4054ced708ca64bfe96c102c50c82a903117d1ea92f2a90305 | 0xc095bde1c916f4ab2ca6e7572a287f7caf952cf92ece2bd45aa5ae68c3401183 | Will Dillon Gabriel be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will according to the third quarterback to be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft. If less than three QBs are taken, this market will resolve to "Other". | 2025-04-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-dillon-gabriel-be-the-third-qb-taken-in-the-2025-nfl-draft | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"third"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xab8d8a16b8614ab8325e1c2e414792c249c67de8aaf55d98d6657e2929876800 | 0x5aebf0de3b3b325075f4fd813d2884f5706b0ea1434a4745897af941b3ed1e7f | Will Google have the top AI model on April 30? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-04-30T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-april-30 | [
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xec336745acffb89f3f742fef0658239bb37b89464fcac020b5d5e97d744d5570 | 0xcb88fb273a332ccda7a6dcef4b6812c8e4abb9cbafc121b5b51d05161698a3e2 | Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 14 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”.
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-cle-mem-2025-03-14 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x66307ea21a240b417eb051fe59dbbd9d8c4c4982336ae620fc96e949daf4c546 | 0xcc8881bf9d7af55bb753b1c9381a8a03de4670b25df883ae6fa21856778938a4 | Will the US sanction Russia before May? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against the Russian Federation between March 7 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | 2025-04-30T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-us-sanction-russia-before-may | [
"Ukraine",
"putin",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x970f621370befa9442d9c65bf98eb55cf9d3ac229d9203d2b7d25dafc1380406 | 0x253fd84fca5a72d42979f1285e14379af6fd4b49ca12f9915cb322fac007d883 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or higher on March 12? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 12, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-56f-or-higher-on-march-12 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x1060e2a216790b6425b55ed748e0e916066e9a5a8dc7b64240a638d79d93cf1b | 0x415d67767b78d5da4c57543925eb02b46582f60e4492f745f550cae370075b13 | San Francisco vs. Gonzaga | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 10 at 11:30PM ET:
If the San Francisco win, the market will resolve to “San Francisco”.
If the Gonzaga win, the market will resolve to “Gonzaga”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-18T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-sf-gonz-2025-03-10 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x392269cdc0430113d513fcec16e1e958220645b422f5474088fbde3731f09b80 | 0xdf4729f108133d5fc1c37ffb25ef6ad62cecd1706ee42f8e648088cc8b689331 | Jazz vs. Grizzlies | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 12 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-uta-mem-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x9e0331db4ea4462113f48465447774ace01cb669910a85e319e89727cb8c6f39 | 0x62c38e0012699a2fecb673b1b1ae94f3ebc233f92f73028a72a7d4522eabbf53 | Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | The first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is scheduled for May 13, 2025. Ten of 15 contestants will advance to the final.
Markets for the countries announced as qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 will resolve to "Yes". Markets for the countries which do not qualify will resolve to "No".
If a country is eliminated from the competition before the semi-final, its market will immediately resolve to "No".
If qualifiers are not announced by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | 2025-05-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-slovenia-qualify-for-the-eurovision-2025-grand-final | [
"Music",
"Culture",
"Eurovision"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x51ddd0613c396a77aeec6e08f6a82e340db95cf33ab655c2163be8933823929a | 0xda38718b213ca302e7d30438df634a641708ff8823d314f699da4254311f1e06 | CSU Bakersfield vs. UC Santa Barbara | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 12 at 9:00PM ET:
If the CSU Bakersfield win, the market will resolve to “CSU Bakersfield”.
If the UC Santa Barbara win, the market will resolve to “UC Santa Barbara”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-csub-ucsb-2025-03-12 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x74e614aaab02892456a39e955725769bf4ce5ce5846f87cc004ece627f720906 | 0x9f42d74215e67bd4f6dfecd8d3661107ba7280fc6432410f5378ef53049d921b | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or higher on March 13? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on March 13, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-03-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-53f-or-higher-on-march-13 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x2b857da582bcec2950513709a823ad7536e3c65fe927f107d0ebcb33f5337585 | 0xd4a8b9eaf8b7d49d15c9bee20de7c51eccc15a90d83ad01206c97c7c17149741 | Duterte released from custody by Friday? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Duterte is released from custody by March 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Duterte is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
If Duterte is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Duterte to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | duterte-released-from-custody-by-friday | [
"Politics",
"Philippines"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x417826a02b5deb27e5a6ab8adbe3e5b18f9a7b40818d4373f1bc553efd1a48a2 | 0x02ee1e33c702ffc3d9ae65e7f5734088d27b43e1bc5ca27e2281bb5a1ee3e2df | California vs. Virginia Tech | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 11 at 4:30PM ET:
If the California win, the market will resolve to “California”.
If the Virginia Tech win, the market will resolve to “Virginia Tech”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-18T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-cal-vt-2025-03-11 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xcc83e6b928da4d02ebc221c296f1afea165953af3019f992fd77a1d90fcdff5c | 0x4aba20d0314b4a2027fc7561124dbb06a9e88ae1908afe3c679be5823acc252f | Will Trump say "Israel" during his presser with Ireland PM? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Micheál Martin. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-israel-during-his-presser-with-ireland-pm | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xf0f700ccb2a177ff91c4cb03bef70ce11c9c0581bcaddf978eb6b0cace268a86 | 0x3ec3608b0c50748d61bf0285283c245093b7a1aaeed24dd1369d03fb8afcbd5a | Hornets vs. Heat | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 10 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-17T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-cha-mia-2025-03-10 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
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