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f5jxfzgywpd
false
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Manstein and von Manteuffel were not Nazis, the latter was moreover a moderating influence", "type": "text" } ], "type": ...
Stochastic Cockatoo
c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX
public
contract
1,718,329,221,630
who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma
StochasticParrot
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
2zq9huypvwp
null
201.023624
NO
8mxpe1i2os
1vk5eqaacet
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The 0th amendment (no shenanigans or silly business)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
SHcgOjPm9IM4QrGK61jo
public
contract
1,718,329,243,796
if-trump-selfpardons-will-the-supre
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
gn0a5mrpfqm
null
null
null
null
tpfi9na1nbl
false
7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3", "label": "BlueDragon", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Dan Homerick
CoVUIwZtTXzvywvSN91L
public
contract
1,718,329,345,656
what-will-be-true-about-trumps-runn
DanHomerick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c
What will be true about Trump's running mate / Vice President pick?
null
null
400.05139
YES
e0ee5c09a0a2
z05hye54tpd
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Erich von Manstein:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX
public
contract
1,718,329,596,892
who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
2zq9huypvwp
null
176.425471
NO
8743cdb50b02
r5nqi8m7vq
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "For this market, I'll make it any rare performance enhancing procedure.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Quillist
J8x08zbtceapKkRAn55T
public
contract
1,718,329,601,396
barron-trump-is-not-fully-natural
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Barron Trump is not fully natural
5h6zq1r2lnn
0.392369
94.465832
YES
null
vhf1di8j7nj
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The TSLA market would be better priced with this spending cap, but it would not have been as profitable", "type": "text" } ], ...
Bayesian
MaRsYrW9GCsytPg0A1xn
public
contract
1,718,329,756,602
if-manifold-decides-to-test-markets
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If Manifold decides to test markets with a "Spending Cap" by July, will Manifold users think it was a good decision?
null
null
167.467668
YES
d23243537478
c8zoaeh5nuw
false
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Being in the wehrmacht does not imply being a Nazi ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" ...
Stochastic Cockatoo
c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX
public
contract
1,718,329,760,629
who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma
StochasticParrot
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
2zq9huypvwp
null
201.023624
NO
8mxpe1i2os
h85n5jh6196
false
tBLV0DkLmwWT5WrLswQj0Xfwuld2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I saw the movie; pretty sure this should resolve NO.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
Multicore
EgYGAGM9NV9tbk6fAU35
public
contract
1,718,329,790,303
in-inside-out-2-will-riley-and-this
Multicore
https://firebasestorage.…b68-511c711c6aaa
In Inside Out 2, will Riley and this new character kiss?
null
0.180745
2,433.550917
NO
null
iyqsnq3jbsh
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "XW9ix74ys7bMFZXT1BSFEegYIjx1", "label": "JoseLuisRicon", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
Bayesian
mql1aofzg7
public
contract
1,718,329,812,288
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-j6fclwsx2n
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Jose Luis Ricon?
null
null
null
null
null
57rl3piqrn4
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bonus point for campaign promises that a prediction market expects you to keep", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Bayesian
mql1aofzg7
public
contract
1,718,329,828,526
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-j6fclwsx2n
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Jose Luis Ricon?
iyqsnq3jbsh
null
null
null
null
r214820ys2h
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "May I have permission to add this to my out-of-context quotes market? (if option creation costs become affordable ever again lol)", "type": "...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX
public
contract
1,718,329,893,497
who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
2zq9huypvwp
null
176.425471
NO
8743cdb50b02
8te3kjczpsm
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
chris (strutheo)
aoz7g7jqvy
public
contract
1,718,329,918,132
will-noam-chomsky-live-to-see-an-is
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Noam Chomsky live to see an Israel-Palestine ceasefire?
null
null
null
null
null
lnzn7jujk5b
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "lol yes good one", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX
public
contract
1,718,329,931,517
who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
2zq9huypvwp
null
4,055.836266
YES
f5e1df6a7cd4
85rbrf7ohtl
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oh my, this looks daunting 😃 keep on keeping on! ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Susanne inFrance
tIbWsIQPM1v6Z6hwSyxj
public
contract
1,718,330,054,911
will-i-slay-all-20-top-creators-by
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
🐲Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2024?
null
0.762921
43.159606
YES
null
hjljj3fq63m
false
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Canada sucks!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Keenen W
rLpQRag0vJXpS1lHeUVS
public
contract
1,718,330,222,870
will-dallas-starsedmonton-oilers-be
KeenenW
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
Will Edmonton Oilers beat Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup Finals?
s3ncwutn2d
null
null
null
null
x4cg4xondo
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Seems an easy choice", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
aenews
birqqcxo8q
public
contract
1,718,330,377,177
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-y5grb3ci0g
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Trump from the 80s-90s?
null
null
null
null
null
htktm4xly28
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Nat
X0iRFqvHTyH4RcPiGAkW
public
contract
1,718,330,422,984
before-which-launch-will-the-faa-gr
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Which will be the first Starship launch authorised under a multi-launch license? #FAA
null
null
null
null
null
rumnxsbnd7i
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’m so curious why all the bets are trending to Brooklyn— you’ve already “done” nyc, no? Conversely, Brooklyn has many neighborhoods to choose from an...
Susanne inFrance
fJAiEvdVMr398612SYnu
public
contract
1,718,330,452,155
where-will-i-live-in-september-2024
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Where will I live in September 2024?
r2l6xefxbo
null
null
null
null
0ooafeivl9oi
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "BRB gonna go hang myself", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Haws
rLpQRag0vJXpS1lHeUVS
public
contract
1,718,330,937,525
will-dallas-starsedmonton-oilers-be
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Will Edmonton Oilers beat Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup Finals?
null
0.13499
0
NO
null
ugpmllrguq
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Way to literally hand the Panthers the cup.....", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Haws
cZ5U7lWOPL229PmKtcHU
public
contract
1,718,331,001,415
who-will-win-the-final-series-of-th
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Who will win the final series of the 2024 NHL playoffs?
null
null
677.368591
NO
bjtilg0umi
if7zc3h7glj
false
z0cH5XmIM9XgWFOBAILQWt0fTHr1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "+1 (this would change the resolution)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Rachel
kcQ5QrbNhn3TxvX0pzjd
public
contract
1,718,331,054,512
how-many-people-will-attend-manifes-25d90d0299f8
rachel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucr7YCsixsa7V2jXk_XiVJPYixsOTsXOURbZDyqIAQ=s96-c
How many people will attend Manifest 2024?
du3ib75mo5k
null
64.584073
YES
badb5fff4da3
ubjl1jskyyo
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is definitely a more interesting version!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Timothy Johnson
jwkaakx7af
public
contract
1,718,331,071,200
the-market-xtreme-edition
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
"The Market": X-treme Edition
null
0.450229
17.016447
NO
null
fvtldggvcns
false
3luPfohdMdUbsM9i6VmmxPFexwI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "m...
Bohaska
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,718,331,120,314
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
bohaska
https://firebasestorage.…c1a-2f61d7d0735a
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
9nfu00xmzuh
null
null
null
null
t2vfoiib0aa
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sorry, Manifold seems to do it automatically when replying to multiple-choice options, and my phone keyboard crashes whenever I try to backspace it", ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,718,331,329,918
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
9nfu00xmzuh
null
147.699591
NO
dcfbedc0e892
hohwq8yijwo
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yea, but resnet has 200k", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Sss
itKeJ7VsHmX7jnCkqCfe
public
contract
1,718,331,358,536
in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
6iheeckj0z
null
null
null
null
8x78mwox0fa
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "hm important question! \"attend\" leads me to believe it's people onsite, as opposed to tickets sold/given/offered? ", "type": "text" ...
stefanie
kcQ5QrbNhn3TxvX0pzjd
public
contract
1,718,331,427,791
how-many-people-will-attend-manifes-25d90d0299f8
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How many people will attend Manifest 2024?
du3ib75mo5k
null
340.556211
YES
10eae74c66b0
2yxu7pwju8t
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Dang! ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Daniel
itKeJ7VsHmX7jnCkqCfe
public
contract
1,718,331,480,249
in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
6iheeckj0z
null
null
null
null
yqhjantyle
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "you did not know?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Sss
itKeJ7VsHmX7jnCkqCfe
public
contract
1,718,331,494,319
in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
6iheeckj0z
null
1.376092
YES
18fyi1cg8w
7mf8is9bfyx
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Bayesian
GikGaIqgmO6l213Jrw9f
public
contract
1,718,331,526,281
what-are-the-top-5-most-watched-tit
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
What are the most watched titles on Netflix between July and December 2023?
null
null
378.074851
YES
a83d0a31c882
du7pt38f5wn
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nah I'm not actually that across the literature. Hence the market!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Daniel
itKeJ7VsHmX7jnCkqCfe
public
contract
1,718,331,552,814
in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
6iheeckj0z
null
null
null
null
i2d633juw9n
false
K8jsLB1HyDhqhYYdLpEreYenWsa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Jack
gLoj8hEJkHpHzC2HiFhs
public
contract
1,718,331,568,767
is-imu-female
FROGMANIA
https://firebasestorage.…f7e-5d5ae90738b9
Is Imu female?
u822v2gfd6l
0.270886
117.72112
NO
null
kmdf0af5jgi
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Bayesian
GikGaIqgmO6l213Jrw9f
public
contract
1,718,331,585,539
what-are-the-top-5-most-watched-tit
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
What are the most watched titles on Netflix between July and December 2023?
7mf8is9bfyx
null
378.074851
YES
a83d0a31c882
hv5uh8dvyho
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "FWIW, if it's possible for them to conduct a 5th flight using Ship 30 and booster 12 with no modifications to the current license, this obviously resol...
Nat
X0iRFqvHTyH4RcPiGAkW
public
contract
1,718,331,601,954
before-which-launch-will-the-faa-gr
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Which will be the first Starship launch authorised under a multi-launch license? #FAA
htktm4xly28
null
null
null
null
hufcyxa9v4c
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "it's actually a great thing to bet on, that if attention will have more citations than resnet in 2030", "type": "text" } ], ...
Sss
itKeJ7VsHmX7jnCkqCfe
public
contract
1,718,331,603,653
in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
6iheeckj0z
null
1.376092
YES
18fyi1cg8w
7e1uq9e0oji
false
wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Any kind of exchange error/glitch does not count then?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Chris V
Z1GN0uwK9PbFMqGoZEs5
public
contract
1,718,331,609,844
will-nvidias-share-price-break-2000
voodoo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c
Will Nvidia's share price break $200 in 2024?
a9ymirc2kgr
0.285078
17,932.139524
NO
null
isrvj3n4rkc
false
7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "To all bettors please note this market will not resolve for at least one year!!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph"...
Kevin Burke
Blzev31JjSwmJggdxvzT
public
contract
1,718,331,610,198
who-will-win-the-2025-nba-champions
KevinBurke
https://firebasestorage.…943-2649cecf3291
Who will win the 2025 NBA Championship?
null
null
3,104.50497
NO
87742a82b507
ouw3occ3d1
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": "01KBcZH1PbVFlVD6fnc9,tfhJXotr1REPGyNl3Hg2", "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": nul...
Daniel
hXQxipvUia08lEEepvW7
public
contract
1,718,331,628,760
how-long-will-it-take-the-israeli-a
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
How long will it take the Israeli army to conquer all of Gaza?
null
null
null
null
null
8lnmsjwgw2h
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So curious what will come of ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "1AxxfJP5w8Z5OXrSHYfDTzcMjGF3", ...
snazzlePop
EgYGAGM9NV9tbk6fAU35
public
contract
1,718,331,658,385
in-inside-out-2-will-riley-and-this
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
In Inside Out 2, will Riley and this new character kiss?
h85n5jh6196
0.102994
6,215.983777
NO
null
esyhugl045f
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If they publicly release GPT-4o fine-tuning and skip GPT-4 entirely, does this resolve NO?", "type": "text" } ], "type": ...
Bence
3XFlyVtwsdWdphiQO4MB
public
contract
1,718,331,662,041
-will-gpt4-finetuning-be-publicly-a
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
🗜️ Will GPT-4 fine-tuning be publicly available before July?
null
null
null
null
null
dc5gjpekc54
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "OQaC0IrVMpeUFAMgsU0PE0Hvkyu1", "label": "probajoelistic", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "men...
Bence
3XFlyVtwsdWdphiQO4MB
public
contract
1,718,331,677,670
-will-gpt4-finetuning-be-publicly-a
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
🗜️ Will GPT-4 fine-tuning be publicly available before July?
esyhugl045f
null
null
null
null
dl9olta71jm
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
nikki
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,718,331,703,138
the-crystal-coin-flip
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
The Crystal Coin Flip
muk6marl2bg
null
null
null
null
0f33o7hcnvuu
false
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sure ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Stochastic Cockatoo
c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX
public
contract
1,718,331,752,185
who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma
StochasticParrot
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
2zq9huypvwp
null
201.023624
NO
8mxpe1i2os
r2ihx4ksenc
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "IlNh872qWRRPWZeLrxaBv01MfhX2", "label": "DavidS", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
czObwirxBv5MOAdUyEan
public
contract
1,718,331,754,810
will-people-watch-more-than-100-bil
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will people watch more than 100 billion hours on Netflix during the second half of 2023?
null
0.097243
942.781536
NO
null
kk7wz3u5bye
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "new prototypes came in", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
chris (strutheo)
XwyvBdM4rb54aUom8fTK
public
contract
1,718,331,768,327
what-will-be-true-about-our-next-pr
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🆕What will be true about the next product from Prong.studio?
null
null
193.234873
YES
f91a5fc63328
19xe14z1fkr
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Ll3VmBTp5wXwmQtGdGe5mu8IEMI3", "label": "Trifalcon", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention"...
snazzlePop
rQzTPuLFMFP3PWK6gQjc
public
contract
1,718,331,967,718
will-the-biden-administration-intro
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?
8cB66F1BvlT1ne7pRgyY
null
null
null
null
qxhcq0cx30i
false
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm fairly sure inside out 2 will be a smashing success, but Disney Pixar has undermined customer value from movie theaters by shortening the theatrica...
Will
BxfalLjZBYYUvPeNpFU7
public
contract
1,718,332,019,904
after-furiosas-poor-opening-weekend
wrhall
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c
After Furiosa's poor opening weekend, will any of these upcoming movies flop this year?
730kzs8x3wv
null
511.425237
NO
237b7854c49a
57efpp9d6aa
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Totally fair! A few weeks ago, I was actually a bit bearish on Inside Out 2 (I still thought it'd crush $200MM worldwide, but compared to Deadpool & De...
Ziddletwix
BxfalLjZBYYUvPeNpFU7
public
contract
1,718,332,240,703
after-furiosas-poor-opening-weekend
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
After Furiosa's poor opening weekend, will any of these upcoming movies flop this year?
730kzs8x3wv
null
2,400.97626
NO
237b7854c49a
mbibspomuya
false
mrWm2AuHgjSoVgeYNvyCpUVcvpm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "not reading allat, all i know is that i gotta believe in HIM", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
Abraham
kTqFEe6g2tkfyNj5yHsW
public
contract
1,718,332,487,503
akainu-stock
Abraham2a3c
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL7_tb_QD4TPXfXyzHc5i54_w1wuVUUR9Y4ONcVNMiZ=s96-c
Akainu Stock
din9hxa8qjc
0.563181
246.080456
YES
null
atzyty75u1
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Lol basic I'm saying it would be cool if stocks payed out dividends every month", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph"...
Andrew
kTqFEe6g2tkfyNj5yHsW
public
contract
1,718,332,552,331
akainu-stock
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Akainu Stock
din9hxa8qjc
0.563181
339.96884
YES
null
u6qeyywtjg
false
1dTml0ZyhfP1dGAmTuWWKMEQVj62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "big recommend to Snow Crash by Neal Stephenson. It's the OG virtual reality fiction, predecessor to Ready Player One and similar ", "type": "...
Sounds Nentindo
Oi8DFOzkuBv5OyC4cqea
public
contract
1,718,332,617,893
what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading
SoundsNentindo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLjTy_rr1v6yh7WENeR8kOpMlP_UPqFMzyez1AQOZqX=s96-c
What books will I enjoy reading?
null
null
125.176524
YES
a3d4b23c1b71
5qev2dk7svp
false
1dTml0ZyhfP1dGAmTuWWKMEQVj62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Anecdotally, I've ended up with some mild-moderate respiratory infection on every plane flight I've heard coughing, so ymmv", "type": "text" ...
Sounds Nentindo
S4qTmdHzHFPYIhLEfFHo
public
contract
1,718,332,762,310
will-i-think-its-worth-wearing-an-n
SoundsNentindo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLjTy_rr1v6yh7WENeR8kOpMlP_UPqFMzyez1AQOZqX=s96-c
Will I think it's worth wearing an N95 mask on airplanes in August 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
azlja7xty8h
false
PkBnU8cAZiOLa0fjxiUzMKsFMYZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What's your current format of interaction with it? You give it rules in a prompt and tell it to start GMing a session, then interact with text or voice...
horse
JoFZRX9HrTXpqSdHgSG5
public
contract
1,718,333,381,222
will-gpt5-be-able-to-gm-a-session-o
horse
https://firebasestorage.…dbf-8a696946045f
Will GPT-5 be able to GM a session of my custom TTRPG to my satisfaction?
null
null
null
null
null
ipi8to7d82
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "m...
Timothy Johnson
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,718,333,665,053
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
k7nx7yrno8
null
1,661.256438
NO
b3c5aaa8c26f
4gqkwb7z92v
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Cool market! Wish I had this market during Manifest to show her", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
nikki
5idykcx71u
public
contract
1,718,333,909,146
will-simone-collins-outrun-trump-in
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Will Simone Collins outrun Trump in PA HD-150?
null
50
59.354196
YES
null
6g0pnxgefn6
false
frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "A universal coronavirus vaccine would be for all coronaviruses, not just SARS-CoV-2. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "para...
Mana
uMrCI3iAKrADLGqxHJFy
public
contract
1,718,333,962,715
universal-coronavirus-vaccine-relea
Mana
https://firebasestorage.…03a-956bf00f7280
Universal Coronavirus Vaccine released in the US by 2030?
y29x20uywba
0.082254
370.904413
NO
null
7gn4yz46c86
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ziddletwix
EgYGAGM9NV9tbk6fAU35
public
contract
1,718,333,969,804
in-inside-out-2-will-riley-and-this
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
In Inside Out 2, will Riley and this new character kiss?
h85n5jh6196
0.02596
893.071529
NO
null
74d1k88cz9
false
frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Mana
uMrCI3iAKrADLGqxHJFy
public
contract
1,718,333,997,357
universal-coronavirus-vaccine-relea
Mana
https://firebasestorage.…03a-956bf00f7280
Universal Coronavirus Vaccine released in the US by 2030?
y29x20uywba
0.082254
370.904413
NO
null
bvct78xabnd
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Both Series 3-0", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, ...
SirCryptomind
EUuHRcS7sYHImqQiecHP
public
contract
1,718,334,014,969
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch-u45kgkh4b6
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion Is Crowned OR NBA Champion Is Crowned? (June 2024)
null
null
null
null
null
rcth6obih5q
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "no kiss in in-world events", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
EgYGAGM9NV9tbk6fAU35
public
contract
1,718,334,278,997
in-inside-out-2-will-riley-and-this
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
In Inside Out 2, will Riley and this new character kiss?
null
null
null
null
null
hzlrp42je3b
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3", "label": "MartinModrak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
SirCryptomind
KWZC3r9XnsqQkM7O8Jkj
public
contract
1,718,334,444,908
will-joe-biden-get-under-88-of-the
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
Will Joe Biden get under 88% of the vote in any of these states in the 2024 Democratic Primary?
hvgboisc3kt
null
null
null
null
hbc9kh32xnp
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "how do you plan to resolve this? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
4kzmieiolh
public
contract
1,718,334,747,956
what-is-barron-trump-on
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
What is Barron Trump on?
null
null
null
null
null
z7tj8v2hx3
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "are you currently one? ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "VMGQuC9Ixqd17D0ONy411q6e3Xf1", ...
Bayesian
q5ecb9bti8
public
contract
1,718,334,791,672
will-i-be-an-anthropic-employee-on
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I be an Anthropic employee on May 1st, 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
vmjuy2vb4ei
false
JDWfUBan8sfznLDCqOCavHToD5a2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I guess the important part is that instead of just replacing \"for the Flight 3 mission only\" with \"for the Flight 4 mission only\", the FAA replaced...
DP
X0iRFqvHTyH4RcPiGAkW
public
contract
1,718,334,837,110
before-which-launch-will-the-faa-gr
dp9000
https://firebasestorage.…9e7-7657a7df8de2
Which will be the first Starship launch authorised under a multi-launch license? #FAA
htktm4xly28
null
45.528019
YES
ee1e1dfef8c7
v9mv7ltvuc
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "DlvX9PKJfxOwj01wWjJllz8CS9i2", "label": "percentage", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Bayesian
r8i11y5Ex2dp2d6IC47g
public
contract
1,718,335,141,544
will-my-market-liquidity-tier-show
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will my market liquidity tier show up correctly (after I upgraded) without having to contact Manifold support.
null
0.203632
350.7873
YES
null
y965n5u47mr
false
bYO9yYhDGQg5G6z5a6RZ3fmkt8B3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Lukas Day
IBGyGfdYtZl7ctKKnEzR
public
contract
1,718,335,348,726
will-oregon-sell-more-marijuana-in-16f7b75ebc08
LukasDay
https://firebasestorage.…0ad-0400288973bd
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in May than April?
null
null
null
null
null
59blafux5ne
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "havent had much time to play but ill try to get a few games in b4 end of month", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
chris (strutheo)
4RZtfcuwW5faQQwIiHdZ
public
contract
1,718,335,533,298
will-i-score-250m-chips-in-a-single
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will I score 250M chips in a single hand of Balatro before the end of June?
null
0.60118
348.237217
NO
null
7pnspfy8j4
false
YaQuXDOPQ1Uvsfme2Up1K9pI7FG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Krypton
Z1GN0uwK9PbFMqGoZEs5
public
contract
1,718,335,533,610
will-nvidias-share-price-break-2000
Krypton
https://firebasestorage.…367-9c72fe74bf31
Will Nvidia's share price break $200 in 2024?
a9ymirc2kgr
0.285078
33,129.523605
YES
null
u8ho08uu9nj
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I still think he will skip Wimbledon to focus on the ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": nul...
SirCryptomind
UyVGCNId6YK7XAvJSFd3
public
contract
1,718,335,561,010
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov-seo1q4quoh
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
null
null
581.308213
YES
uebdj1k5tp
k00zwn7lzgn
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
SirCryptomind
fC6sWAgl17ItgnHsUxQF
public
contract
1,718,335,679,081
will-rafael-nadal-play-at-wimbledon-ba5c17358b39
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
Will Rafael Nadal play at Wimbledon / U.S. Open 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
fetl0wms7aa
false
iXe4dgGJeehxdnxDDjXpOXrErPg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "iXe4dgGJeehxdnxDDjXpOXrErPg1", "label": "NicholasCharette73b6", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type"...
Nicholas Charette
seqOxXPWi10KSWvMMoI2
public
contract
1,718,336,346,078
will-i-be-the-worlds-youngest-billi
NicholasCharette73b6
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmmV6grDYXyOY8RNnbUl5nbd8xBKy4UKgQYnNZLn=s96-c
Will I be the world's youngest billionaire by the end of 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
ua2ioyvqb7m
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "firms trying to defraud campaign lol:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "...
Blomfilter
EVz4H7KqfjxUNbINqpPc
public
contract
1,718,336,402,043
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-achieve-ba
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Achieve Ballot Access in All 50 States for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
0.566943
7,995.653994
YES
null
qu8r22gwipa
false
wMxdL9lv8SgJKMKFazXljpv4g292
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(Mother’s height + 4 inches + father’s height)/2=son’s height", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
FoxKHTML
4kzmieiolh
public
contract
1,718,336,920,584
what-is-barron-trump-on
FoxKHTML
https://firebasestorage.…e38-64ea064304ad
What is Barron Trump on?
null
null
null
null
null
1fw9sjlug8z
false
RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think the Djoker plays", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
fish
UyVGCNId6YK7XAvJSFd3
public
contract
1,718,337,526,536
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov-seo1q4quoh
kurt
https://firebasestorage.…ea6-9b4d3d6f8834
To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
null
null
117.129973
NO
uebdj1k5tp
bnggvhdfpr4
false
wMxdL9lv8SgJKMKFazXljpv4g292
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Anyone who thought Scott had a chance still doesn’t understand Donald Trump. It will be Rubio or Vance because they look good on camera. ", "...
FoxKHTML
vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN
public
contract
1,718,337,607,622
who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445
FoxKHTML
https://firebasestorage.…e38-64ea064304ad
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
null
null
61,211.090524
YES
086ed0cbbf50
npgmcuseyj8
false
K8jsLB1HyDhqhYYdLpEreYenWsa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Jack
bGLoUeBZF1bKoO4iaIm6
public
contract
1,718,337,720,396
will-vegapunks-message-be-interrupt
FROGMANIA
https://firebasestorage.…f7e-5d5ae90738b9
Will vegapunk’s message be interrupted before we can fully hear it?
null
null
null
null
null
5qo8lc3pke6
false
RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It takes 4 weeks to recover from a torn menisucus", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
fish
UyVGCNId6YK7XAvJSFd3
public
contract
1,718,337,844,147
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov-seo1q4quoh
kurt
https://firebasestorage.…ea6-9b4d3d6f8834
To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
1fw9sjlug8z
null
493.452015
NO
uebdj1k5tp
gpluarvd34a
false
K8jsLB1HyDhqhYYdLpEreYenWsa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": nu...
Jack
K1qxS49ebDtSbSkzuZn0
public
contract
1,718,338,017,939
will-kizaru-awaken-his-devil-fruit
FROGMANIA
https://firebasestorage.…f7e-5d5ae90738b9
WILL Kizaru Awaken His Devil Fruit On Egghead?
null
null
null
null
null
qldnl1kiew
false
K8jsLB1HyDhqhYYdLpEreYenWsa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": nu...
Jack
j2MuHg3okiYQ3t0Hxxug
public
contract
1,718,338,161,360
will-garp-leave-hachinosu-alive
FROGMANIA
https://firebasestorage.…f7e-5d5ae90738b9
Will Garp leave Hachinosu alive?
null
null
null
null
null
szv8n4h88j
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type...
Daniel
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,718,338,454,299
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
1mk3d9lki8q
null
537.976307
NO
0xnx5cap3u
0wgzt90zy58l
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nadal skipping Wimbledon due to the different playing surface vs Paris Olympics also makes sense for Djoker to consider.", "type": "text" ...
SirCryptomind
UyVGCNId6YK7XAvJSFd3
public
contract
1,718,338,461,874
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov-seo1q4quoh
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
1fw9sjlug8z
null
623.593508
YES
uebdj1k5tp
kxumopwogp
false
qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "that's odd", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Qoiuoiuoiu
yfyPBZNkCMZiffCyICSj
public
contract
1,718,338,683,422
manifold-leadership-approval-rating
Qoiuoiuoiu
https://firebasestorage.…2ea-1eb85c642bfa
👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
glwqrsrsoeo
0.421121
240.218349
YES
null
5rcjcpaja3s
false
BM7WDql3V0fOWBtlc2s4ITzUPZ32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I already use AI narration to read books, both fiction and nonfiction. It's at the stage that it sounds natural enough that I forget that it's automate...
Eli Tyre
28RJ23fKDFMr4Mo8YQ4f
public
contract
1,718,338,759,492
will-human-narration-for-audiobooks
EliTyre
https://firebasestorage.…611-3602c52d07b0
Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?
null
0.59
1,409.573069
YES
null
gn94vd6y888
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At least someone is succeeding: ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": n...
snazzlePop
EgYGAGM9NV9tbk6fAU35
public
contract
1,718,338,922,359
in-inside-out-2-will-riley-and-this
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
In Inside Out 2, will Riley and this new character kiss?
rcth6obih5q
0.013209
8,276.422136
NO
null
xpy2a3qzc8
false
8DSVFmhmsQZ9GOYcwsm7wXWkChj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I figured surely somebody is counting, but I had no idea how right that was: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Frogswap
BetSXeRHXok6VdfPtkp8
public
contract
1,718,339,030,216
will-spacexs-starship-superheavy-la
Frogswap
https://firebasestorage.…70d-b0fdb2c577d8
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
s39ealurq1n
0.202723
81.599161
NO
null
s3knee8skvl
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Archibald Crone
iVgiDMUERQbVdcth11pK
public
contract
1,718,339,067,367
will-trumps-sentencing-occur-before
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
Will Trump's sentencing occur before the Republican National Convention?
null
null
null
null
null
zmk946786js
false
AAT00aRB1xNPiXzCAKekJp4yWQ42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NO order @ 63", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
NoRespect
5eAXDA98XwOsTwQqVNyS
public
contract
1,718,339,343,414
this-market-resolves-yes-when-an-ar
NoRespect
https://firebasestorage.…854-95297aa2c5ae
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
gsdefxia64
0.659386
14,975.099083
NO
null
wbhkwk4k0pg
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Archibald Crone
VGie4y381zrz63E45cdd
public
contract
1,718,339,354,069
what-will-be-true-of-the-republican
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
🐘 🇺🇸 What will be true of the Republican National Convention? (ADD RESPONSES)
null
null
55.53935
NO
f7a55a7d908e
r22xnpryl5c
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I don’t think anything does", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Archibald Crone
CoVUIwZtTXzvywvSN91L
public
contract
1,718,339,431,144
what-will-be-true-about-trumps-runn
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
What will be true about Trump's running mate / Vice President pick?
tpfi9na1nbl
null
16.161913
NO
c2dd3fbd1c6c
2rr91qguhbt
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is the same team that decided to make a dating app instead of fixing critical month-old bugs", "type": "text" } ], "...
nikki
5nqgo5GLYQByKqcMgjdA
public
contract
1,718,340,152,630
will-we-add-periodicfilling-limit-o
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Will we add periodic-filling limit orders in 2024?
067376yhbxq7
0.597524
1,617.790632
NO
null
g7mxabgijc4
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "buying on theta. Unless slight bad news continuously trickles in this shouldn't be a flat line at 50%. It should be continuously increasing every da...
Jonathan Ray
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,718,340,295,254
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
null
0.46
3,370.252434
YES
null
e871bogsuug
false
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Keenen W
HDTx6AnWkBXgKAWEAkZz
public
contract
1,718,340,888,385
will-donald-trump-and-joe-biden-deb-5a68b14cf981
KeenenW
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
Will Donald Trump and Joe Biden debate on June 27th as planned?
null
null
null
null
null
f9o8y7itxw
false
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Keenen W
piPbVHoSFZx26pGtF36U
public
contract
1,718,340,935,739
what-will-happen-during-the-2024-pr
KeenenW
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
What will happen during the 2024 Presidential debate? (Add your answer)
null
null
null
null
null
5qzjd4n3z6
false
oK0iNRZNtNQZHXcvS59XWKWvqk52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "would this also apply to males with bad relationship with their mums or female siblings?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "p...
David Lin
VBqLSfQJQJJIDcqQE2cp
public
contract
1,718,341,312,819
will-i-have-a-girlfriend-before-i-t
dlin007
https://firebasestorage.…a64-8f5b65aa3484
Will I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?
ndos863jvzt
null
null
null
null
udg0om3plc
false
5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We also just added Lightcone as a charity on Manifold! ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": n...
James
dd7xzz1Nvopy1ojZcR6x
public
contract
1,718,341,454,359
will-lighthaven-shut-down-in-2024-d
JamesGrugett
https://firebasestorage.…e65-9d8b4836eb03
Will Lighthaven shut down in 2024 due to lack of funds?
72k9ssvy0e4
0.26
177.16895
YES
null
n2u8royy9gf
false
D4yMgfv07uQmq1HUViFoQMVD6h83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "IVF is not a \"performance enhancing procedure\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Azula
J8x08zbtceapKkRAn55T
public
contract
1,718,341,993,538
barron-trump-is-not-fully-natural
JohnEg
https://firebasestorage.…8d5-d1cb5eed4753
Barron Trump is not fully natural
5h6zq1r2lnn
null
null
null
null
l3c0xi9fb3
false
3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Shouldn’t this resolve YES? There are a number of Android devices with cameras and cellular connectivity for under USD50 on AliExpress. The RedMi serie...
MercurialGuesser
EnPgVtiqCwFg0NpyG9CO
public
contract
1,718,342,216,667
will-a-similar-product-to-rabbits-r
OP
https://firebasestorage.…8da-0f20dd0e5cac
Will a Similar Product to Rabbit's R1 Be Available on AliExpress for Under $50 Before 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
jtowkdqav0m
false
beGw9F5p7HZhdA3v2BWcnP1XEvi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oh, I guess not. I didn’t know you could only do one “resolve” thing, and not spaces out over time :)", "type": "text" } ], ...
Lumicle
mcVrNSVQWBd2yp2Smyuw
public
contract
1,718,343,286,573
what-continents-will-be-visited-in-ab7a5bd4fc9b
Lumicle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfJ2cEm_N7fHFITLvon2Yi3B3xbMvM4GLuRqI1zNhL_SA=s96-c
What continents will be visited in Jet Lag: The Game Season 11?
q0ux5pdizi
null
null
null
null
uopa7tm7f7
false
T31vZBYtJpaNo0qRuAsnUC0PjvH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Vote successful in today's shareholder meeting. Please resolve", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "ty...
Shihan
12hofRl39Iny4scInswf
public
contract
1,718,343,404,028
will-tesla-shareholders-vote-result
Shihan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIs8ZfSeIp_wOPEyJo3s5WRmn_BFSZKGYPivVseXj_pbSkznI0e4w=s96-c
Will Tesla (TSLA) Shareholders' vote result in incorporation in Texas (before the end of this year's annual meeting)
null
0.895239
1,836.457676
YES
null
y60dussvjbc
false
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "YDBf91CxCwcFYGR05xghoKCwjg03", "label": "RichardK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ian Philips
gUjKP1hoE66ljSmjj7ui
public
contract
1,718,343,865,722
will-scientists-successfully-revive-21d82e758494
ian
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
Will scientists successfully revive an extinct species by 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
29cnjbju3lx
false
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Added August 15. My usual approach is to try to make a spread of dates with ~25% difference in between, otherwise it's too many.", "type": "t...
Jack
M2QqbxhM9tScUEerv0yO
public
contract
1,718,343,951,643
when-will-there-be-a-5th-starship-l
jack
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
When will there be a 5th Starship launch?
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null
617.599675
YES
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