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... | Bionic | 8yaKKCBQpQRo6vdprApn | public | contract | 1,718,660,428,944 | will-there-be-any-new-ea-billionair | BionicD0LPH1N | Will there be any new EA billionaires by 2027? | r8kado40v6 | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Dan | TPkEjiNb1wVCIGFnPcDD | public | contract | 1,718,661,015,702 | will-the-average-global-temperature | DanMan314 | Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023? | 38w3uod64ux | 0.708245 | 0 | YES | null | |
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"t... | nikki | W1KGdImLB5cb1p75M88e | public | contract | 1,718,661,107,545 | will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai-srb6t2awj1 | nikki | Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2025? | null | 0.46 | 12,454.592233 | NO | null | |
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} | MercurialGuesser | MJvSRLTr6YUK2BmvPRRJ | public | contract | 1,718,664,934,421 | will-there-be-a-slay-the-spire-the | OP | Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Hard to see how it could resolve no at this point, but I've decided not to resolve any of the options for at least 6 months after I first have an opini... | colorednoise | akyAfYjvAV73OsaSCeFH | public | contract | 1,718,664,961,982 | what-will-i-be-very-glad-to-have-do | colorednoise | What will I be glad to have done? | zsi8rmj8o0o | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Bruno | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,718,665,088,331 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | ar4wuo3bw5e | null | 2.759356 | YES | 16df8c8459d1 |
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... | James Baker | zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF | public | contract | 1,718,665,125,680 | will-there-be-a-robust-third-party | JamesBaker3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c | Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race? | null | 0.199447 | 410.96756 | YES | null |
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... | jim | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,665,231,645 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | jim | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | t84pbn82dah | 0.493179 | 178.774052 | NO | null | |
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"text": "Well the final round is a runoff. Between two candidates, is it not? So it's at least a pretty good dividing line to see who prefers Bolsonaro over Lul... | Stark | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,718,665,400,848 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | StarkLN | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | ar4wuo3bw5e | null | 107.396081 | NO | 70f244eb7473 | |
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... | Victor Li | QLlibbPJEbwWRgLGqEzo | public | contract | 1,718,665,879,620 | will-i-be-accepted-to-espr-or-pair | VictorLJZ | Will I be accepted to ESPR or PAIR in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Victor Li | QLlibbPJEbwWRgLGqEzo | public | contract | 1,718,665,957,693 | will-i-be-accepted-to-espr-or-pair | VictorLJZ | Will I be accepted to ESPR or PAIR in 2024? | 4geikhn8eci | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Victor Li | EcCr1BsoPh08jDWX4PML | public | contract | 1,718,666,006,656 | will-the-openai-superalignment-team | VictorLJZ | Will the OpenAI superalignment team believe that their goal has been achieved after 4 years? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Victor Li | dimVWkSdoVsW8KIwpSyr | public | contract | 1,718,666,072,017 | will-isomorphic-labs-release-anythi | VictorLJZ | Will Isomorphic Labs release anything significant before 2025? | null | 0.74 | 1,506.615784 | YES | null | |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Gabriel Tellez | zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF | public | contract | 1,718,666,177,538 | will-there-be-a-robust-third-party | GabrielTellez | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7DMpNFr5hrYguTVGKWEOzj5FB-9HYE3YJVy4A9=s96-c | Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race? | null | 0.254816 | 715.804956 | YES | null |
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... | Ziddletwix | aZILRdboqYjvLFq3VTEC | public | contract | 1,718,666,495,225 | will-taylor-swift-release-a-song-ab | Ziddletwix | Will Taylor Swift release a song about Travis Kelce before 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Tossup | aZILRdboqYjvLFq3VTEC | public | contract | 1,718,666,776,785 | will-taylor-swift-release-a-song-ab | Tossup | Will Taylor Swift release a song about Travis Kelce before 2026? | kd6k84q0g1i | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Nathan Wei | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,666,792,474 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | nathanwei | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | t84pbn82dah | null | null | null | null | |
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"ty... | Tossup | aZILRdboqYjvLFq3VTEC | public | contract | 1,718,666,828,255 | will-taylor-swift-release-a-song-ab | Tossup | Will Taylor Swift release a song about Travis Kelce before 2026? | kd6k84q0g1i | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Scott | zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF | public | contract | 1,718,667,224,574 | will-there-be-a-robust-third-party | ScottW | Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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709wq9juett | false | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | {
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"... | Kongo Landwalker | oDTdjay5Ap4CD2OGqAYy | public | contract | 1,718,667,783,372 | what-will-be-my-efficiency-in-unive | KongoLandwalker | What will be my efficiency* in study programming project? | null | 0.460518 | 140.475575 | YES | null | |
ubml6zigmk | false | bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2 | {
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... | Tripping | JTu39VpVtIcr4MlX9Ebn | public | contract | 1,718,668,189,403 | which-melee-players-will-win-a-majo | Tripping | Which Melee players will win a major tournament during 2024? | null | null | 3,055.90959 | YES | 633e7e2ae7d7 | |
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... | Christopher Randles | PLEuccOIbww9UsTIlI0U | public | contract | 1,718,668,562,184 | will-elon-musk-make-2-or-more-tweet-6c7b23799782 | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts on Jun 08, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET | null | 0.989561 | 871.035207 | YES | null |
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