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oqi4ilzgq9c
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "label": "AmmonLam", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Christopher Randles
SyyWYQEXTYjnUuhVOv9r
public
contract
1,719,483,143,581
will-mr-beast-reach-290m-subscriber
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mr Beast reach 290M subscribers in 2024?
null
0.989419
1,567.032385
YES
null
uxs7vq681z
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Eating is right wing because capitalists are stereotypically obese and communists are stereotypically starving", "type": "text" } ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,719,483,240,256
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
null
null
147.699591
NO
dcfbedc0e892
zu86ee5e6ol
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3luPfohdMdUbsM9i6VmmxPFexwI3", "label": "bohaska", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bruno
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,719,483,435,068
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
null
null
3.055573
NO
xu4agxmfx4
gs8o0ce7che
false
UzSVOiL5XSeOmYo7UwlI6Om9SNu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Terminal import/export LNG zniszczony przed 2026 rokiem? Poznaj szczegóły na ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Ivan Petrov
p9BH5mq7HiDtfiym0p8H
public
contract
1,719,483,817,206
lng-importexport-terminal-destroyed
IvanPetrov
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIEls50F8Zu9R5ZwOVT-52m525xRynh06tYL9a3g7oZOhbHLg=s96-c
LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.
null
null
null
null
null
ycu4jby39zl
false
1KcfMPDrXJW6E8biWslfDfO49Uz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Now do 2030", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jason
wag1hYqikqT1tivDIrcU
public
contract
1,719,484,401,169
will-magic-the-gathering-still-be-b
Jason1e41
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLTl4RLD4QKuTXUMboQr4GVWev7Jx-sNdjfkiObl3MK=s96-c
Will Magic: The Gathering still be being activly developed and printed in paper by the end of 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
vrr11g71lpd
false
kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1Ka9OcrLo7K2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Right now, game 2 🇷 🇳 🇬 1 – 0 🇼 🇪 ⚔️", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
João David
wxrjwqsj9w
public
contract
1,719,484,839,519
who-will-win-the-upcoming-rng-we-ma
JoaoDavid
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJRbvx9Y_HS1wyd5cTX0oznD0RcgOTR2iCyysIsRGd7xwE9oq4=s96-c
Who will win the upcoming RNG 🆚 WE match in the 🏆 LPL Summer Placements 2024 on June 27?
null
null
null
null
null
5b2mycjtx2r
false
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If Trump regains presidency, his annual physical could reveal what drugs he's taking.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "para...
Bruce
fQD1iQxThqDml79AyI8o
public
contract
1,719,485,600,763
will-donald-trump-ever-take-a-glp1
Bruce54df
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c
Will Donald Trump ever take a GLP-1 agonist (eg Ozempic, Mounjaro, Wegovy, Zepbound, etc) for weight loss
null
0.699916
369.050586
YES
null
41dbm43njgj
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "That’s not a threat it’s a promise. AI’s inhumanity to humans.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "ty...
Susanne inFrance
7boqo6pcaMkvWQxRKwoa
public
contract
1,719,485,972,365
ai-honesty-4-by-2027-will-we-have-a
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
AI honesty #4: by 2027, will we have AI that would tell us if it was planning on destroying us (conditional on that being true)?
null
null
null
null
null
rc1jg4cf4f8
false
P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Czech police raids Bystroň's flat: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "mark...
Limerick Ostrich
vVU7ZnByqA8hs5YYhn61
public
contract
1,719,487,193,253
will-petr-bystron-afd-politician-be
AIBear
https://firebasestorage.…d2c-0437a118bfc3
Will Petr Bystroň (AfD politician) be arrested for his alleged corruption (Nov 2024 limit)
null
null
null
null
null
ugcjrztwv4
false
T7EybFKrm5bP1NBglYX7Twtwuv13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "3 red cards right now: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
The Wabi Sabi
wKqDM5xqI1JtdpGPaS85
public
contract
1,719,487,208,573
what-will-happen-during-uefa-europe
TheWabiSabi
https://firebasestorage.…2ec-cedfd2c3f9b5
What will happen during UEFA European Football Championship / Euro Cup 2024? [Add Answer]
null
null
979.330536
NO
ltzpyv7nb8
yh5es66srls
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What will be the exact wording of the search? May I suggest instead using the Wikipedia page directly?", "type": "text" } ], ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
ytpiuad0nj
public
contract
1,719,487,208,762
did-the-rms-titanic-sink-because-of
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Did the RMS Titanic sink because of an iceberg?
null
0.727349
20.75508
YES
null
bg7ut07hdq5
false
64nA8wahOiQFgktDjLeGo6Tf7Tu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yep, NA it is. It doesn't show up as an option for resolution here, unfortunately.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragra...
Esben Kran
IhO98oktU4ftKknAVXkb
public
contract
1,719,487,286,758
who-will-be-the-next-nato-general-s
EsbenKran
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AD5-WCkjkrbnhW-Ti_KTMe85vKDwHzcLrDZ4MI8Z1W9mrkB6iHVrphFAMqn1n13OYWY8VVX_dxNmdJfwQ1mT_I_ejZl0OgUPE8sXki90SPN65KioDAmoUkwBnEEUKJ4ptb09vEvf7A4TqxrgtN2qd_B0683a3ypF-lgyf1oWzaCYpD6j1GyDCGU8MPvX7PetIWwx_3ghH_q-oP7E9gdSXC5twesBowjGQYK_OKxZr4GY441hJCTVyOsXYB_lQfpo8-cYAY8RTpUsxDXSBbRV4RaiE-F...
Who will be the next NATO general secretary?
czzalcgixdq
null
null
null
null
bccc7my5d3
false
5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "open 80", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
ismellpillows
tWZLeaImisunOeGzzT9w
public
contract
1,719,487,796,615
what-sports-will-the-usa-win-a-gold-e0061db59dde
ismellpillows
https://firebasestorage.…d2d-d6578fd4939a
What sports will the USA win a gold medal in the 2024 Paris Olympics? 🏟️🇺🇸🏅
hyr8ezvs0gn
null
466.457969
YES
59e3ec87d261
hx5u1l3j4lw
false
O9BNSBOVuPhTRbFFM493Kfc3qO72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Why did the titanic sink?\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
MadCloud101
ytpiuad0nj
public
contract
1,719,487,907,282
did-the-rms-titanic-sink-because-of
MadCloud101
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2s8WCB5PDslfyxS6iYdQsL7j-rOkiERdYSG3au=s96-c
Did the RMS Titanic sink because of an iceberg?
yh5es66srls
0.727349
81.35005
YES
null
q5a6anvod9l
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1", "label": "DrDerek", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The Official
k4zrp566gt
public
contract
1,719,487,964,898
will-the-will-jimmy-carter-become-a
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will the "Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?" market hit 1,000 traders before it is correctly resolved?
null
0.99
7,507.682378
YES
null
24whmcw61cy
false
uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It’s Western States weekend!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nico
CwmfdyD5ripqgAYTgxsz
public
contract
1,719,488,609,407
who-will-win-the-mens-race-at-the-2-3e1bc2fc8eaf
NicoDelon
https://firebasestorage.…7d0-430cf8822ebb
Who will win the men’s race at the 2024 Western States 100?
null
null
155.276007
YES
6c99a16aaeaa
s0daxgynp6
false
JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If there’s a space it does not count.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "...
Ibozz91
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,488,899,541
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Ibozz91
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
0tp9wx6mpj9
null
88.893373
NO
ncde00ogtm
d2vsmvrtj9t
false
xwMki73QMuMqZuKJYVj2sweCIKn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Aight, Ill take some of it, but we market making then ;D 🤝", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type"...
Scipio Fabius
tWZLeaImisunOeGzzT9w
public
contract
1,719,488,957,321
what-sports-will-the-usa-win-a-gold-e0061db59dde
ScipioFabius
https://firebasestorage.…63c-5ef26e7166e2
What sports will the USA win a gold medal in the 2024 Paris Olympics? 🏟️🇺🇸🏅
hyr8ezvs0gn
null
1,128.16163
NO
59e3ec87d261
a53fnyjrolu
false
mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Lose\" is a really weird way to represent \"sell\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
Andrew Hartman
5l2u2n1qkj
public
contract
1,719,489,253,800
will-warner-brothers-purchase-the-h
AndrewHartman
https://firebasestorage.…a82-24c9bd44e039
Will Warner Brothers purchase the Harry Potter Wizarding World franchise by the end of 2025?
2pq6knncvgk
null
null
null
null
4h1uxnxsl5b
false
mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Just a heads up since I did get a question about this - I do consider the debates being organized sufficiently similar to the CPD ones to count for YES...
Andrew Hartman
TqzObHsXdxmvD3lhPCcr
public
contract
1,719,489,390,264
will-the-2024-us-presidential-nomin
AndrewHartman
https://firebasestorage.…a82-24c9bd44e039
Will the 2024 US Presidential Nominees meet for at least one formal debate?
null
null
null
null
null
4cswzb5ps8
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cf8s0WtGwiXy3D57rrPWWV3qPZn2", "label": "P01cc7", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The Official
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,719,489,880,163
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Official market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
unv6aobjt4e
null
7,859.713538
YES
j1q3qikzh8
rxkwg8026x
false
kRq69f60y3YaO97NtZrajtS3aP03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well, it exists now: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
jacopo grandi
0OyFAzecC6j2iNPYP68K
public
contract
1,719,489,969,239
do-you-want-to-have-a-game-based-on
jacopograndi
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtftGI_79_22u_OIspJaBitFZViGpVM8JbakcP3KjOEmfQ=s96-c
Do you want to have a game based on Age of Empires - Age of Kings (NDS)?
null
null
null
null
null
olfw55i3emt
false
7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Some premptive clarifications:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content...
Dan Homerick
483un7g09i
public
contract
1,719,490,661,449
what-will-be-true-about-spacexs-deo
DanHomerick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c
What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug
null
null
null
null
null
dvi67k46lvs
false
V3ev7gKdI2cx2TLo6gSUN1UuegI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How will you find evidence to resolve this?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Greg
zjw4wkd0ih
public
contract
1,719,491,177,064
will-biden-or-trump-use-performance
ibuprofen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIsQQ0IKY5_tQzKYRJh5KoynvPYXjfoPnEDnprOG_km=s96-c
Will Biden or Trump use performance enhancing drugs prior to tonight's debate?
null
null
null
null
null
jd413vqk31
false
1L6nMRJTlVfNx0fyhIJcISTyQnX2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"The term \"blaked\" (named after Blake Lemoine) is when a person gains a sincere belief that an artificial intelligence system is a person in the mor...
Pierre Lamotte
BH2WqQC5a0LBhPlX1ek5
public
contract
1,719,491,901,194
will-eliezer-yudkowsky-get-fully-bl
PierreLamotte
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbpafd4RUFaGmApUu5g8UrgijfisdJ1M7lKvRgY=s96-c
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
null
null
null
null
null
kblaxtnyfoj
false
8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2", "label": "KevinBurke", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Dr. Derek Harris
s1sCqPwQ9oMubwrx2Ord
public
contract
1,719,492,157,949
which-team-will-win-the-2024-copa-a-39333add4409
DrDerek
https://firebasestorage.…68f-50c79076c06f
Which team will win the 2024 Copa America? ⚽
null
null
49.432024
YES
bdebef873244
fh4s0ov76gn
false
c9Wz6PFSMQhiASL2PD4wf54DUJd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Labour what the hell is wrong with you!?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
WillM
KYjMmwk6yhzhmjHd2JLS
public
contract
1,719,492,652,619
uk-general-election-which-party-wil-266436997eba
Will_M
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLDCNpi_2JixZiz1iwAnx6fcfjjnIZ9jRchNM3KWYJcOu5K-A=s96-c
UK General Election: Which party will win in Clacton?
dfpr56arkrf
null
251.534433
YES
b463892501e6
zaggfq1a82
false
dt4hWcQYrJMn0nXphg1EUCY1JJd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Climate change would lead to a rise in temperature, one that would lead to droughts or even one that could make crops almost impossible to grow, leadin...
D
73muasxcc9
public
contract
1,719,492,691,910
what-will-be-the-primary-cause-of-a
xPMEx
https://firebasestorage.…044-95934e6f5c46
What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?
8833gncxjm5
null
null
null
null
6c331ysckpj
false
8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Give us a little more time, hours still left until the debate.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "ty...
Dr. Derek Harris
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,492,699,535
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
DrDerek
https://firebasestorage.…68f-50c79076c06f
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
null
0.479116
374.116396
NO
null
e408r35regh
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM", "label": "/StochasticParrot/will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text...
Bayesian
glvc1rls9n
public
contract
1,719,492,902,547
will-the-will-jimmy-carter-become-a-b5pxit866j
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will the "Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?" market hit 1,100 traders before it is correctly resolved?
null
null
null
null
null
o0opmg83d1s
false
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "For the purpose of a market, words are defined as the creator defined them, especially for neologisms of debated meaning.", "type": "text" ...
Martin Randall
BH2WqQC5a0LBhPlX1ek5
public
contract
1,719,493,218,847
will-eliezer-yudkowsky-get-fully-bl
MartinRandall
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
jd413vqk31
0.20714
114.351481
NO
null
golmue1c8fh
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "14 to go. One man arrested during Turkey/Czech Republic match.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "ty...
Predictor 🔥
UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C
public
contract
1,719,494,018,891
uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE!
lyw321e881p
null
982.92708
YES
vc2r6tc9t8
az9blrliny8
false
kkYhA0swWHZpOLalCdzpDQzu7572
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "With the final group fixtures being completed, trading has now closed.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Ben Nelson
6rB4WvI9A4tayVu9iV7Z
public
contract
1,719,494,540,330
who-will-win-the-euro-cup-2024
nelsonbj
https://firebasestorage.…929-136f7f29ede7
Who will win the Euro Cup 2024?
null
null
0
NO
041af66677a5
6kjzf4gm4y7
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pAI0Ru1Xu5aKSm6InG4g9cotgu33", "label": "BradBooker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
The Official
4g0emOpnfP5JC6n6pS9c
public
contract
1,719,494,859,165
will-bronny-james-be-drafted-in-the
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will Bronny James be drafted in the first round of the 2024 NBA Draft?
null
0.01
4,190.099694
NO
null
i3dxmosx8s8
false
MjPBa3pLDhMFI3f3kZJVMlSP66h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content...
majorj
RxR5grRyVrDm0wtzhAuM
public
contract
1,719,494,906,683
will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
majorj
https://firebasestorage.…ed9-9e312dc9db4e
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
null
0.426763
4,904.078872
YES
null
pa4ouilnsnl
false
wfiuw0M6D5XAvlVRy1NUscfLcr53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
hecko
8kzzo9ex10
public
contract
1,719,495,053,571
free-mana-will-20-free-profit-oppor
hecko
https://firebasestorage.…25e-e074822a87cf
FREE MANA: Will 20 free profit opportunities be shared and taken by the end of July?
null
0.873983
289.891708
YES
null
kjhlmgbljb
false
aT0xhM8JgiS51x23FlpDFp1gV6H3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Globally, though I’m not super familiar with how politics works in countries outside the US. If it seems like AI splits in different directions for US ...
Nathan Nguyen
s4ejYnZuqTZQXbJpTVJ8
public
contract
1,719,495,216,720
if-ai-safety-is-divided-by-leftrigh
NathanNguyen
https://firebasestorage.…77b-1050dac540ba
If AI safety is divided by left/right politics in the next 5 years, will the left be more pro-regulation than the right?
0ytoej6js5hk
null
null
null
null
kt49fgxeq1
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "30% ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
dXEkeEZ1WkLi2Udvaq4M
public
contract
1,719,495,387,991
will-the-uefa-euro-2024-champion-be
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will the UEFA Euro 2024 champion be a first time winner?
fgdzhf5xsv5
0.25
642.634676
YES
null
zk8xo6gkt8
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
jim
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,495,554,675
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
6c331ysckpj
0.479116
5,281.190176
YES
null
s80e6khs8a
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "But that would be a series of events that have a diffuser common cause, but are separate in time and space", "type": "text" } ]...
Enlil
73muasxcc9
public
contract
1,719,495,849,696
what-will-be-the-primary-cause-of-a
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?
8833gncxjm5
null
null
null
null
g47sao3wu18
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Predictor 🔥
XKuiRpzDUay4PgD32zvF
public
contract
1,719,496,289,390
which-country-will-win-euro-2024
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Which country will win Euro 2024?
vzr4t9sj4ni
null
355.101942
NO
2e1dca6c8414
f1x04fsp4t5
false
1KcfMPDrXJW6E8biWslfDfO49Uz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this purely based on your opinion?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jason
zjw4wkd0ih
public
contract
1,719,496,560,418
will-biden-or-trump-use-performance
Jason1e41
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLTl4RLD4QKuTXUMboQr4GVWev7Jx-sNdjfkiObl3MK=s96-c
Will Biden or Trump use performance enhancing drugs prior to tonight's debate?
null
null
null
null
null
2dlg7dtyp3t
false
HATUNCuDCAX8kuE4r4NDpUq2T373
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Luxury cars, which serve as the arrival statement at the casino, epitomize style and prestige. Their elegant lines and powerful engines highlight luxur...
ReeceRod
oBtB32Ca8TmGAndR4FJo
public
contract
1,719,496,972,922
sam-bankmanfried-gets-pardoned-or-g
ReeceRod
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKCPc7PMf2r4Gu55irqxfBZ1nTggaphqn2rDEz8P9j-iFh9Plg=s96-c
Sam Bankman-Fried gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
null
null
null
null
null
mmj1w0a3c8l
false
1dTml0ZyhfP1dGAmTuWWKMEQVj62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Correction : I start estradiol in 6 weeks, not 3 months (05/2/2024)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ],...
Sounds Nentindo
K3NOyOEIFvBoRJz1nrhs
public
contract
1,719,497,185,376
will-i-grow-bcups-by-new-years-eve
SoundsNentindo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLjTy_rr1v6yh7WENeR8kOpMlP_UPqFMzyez1AQOZqX=s96-c
Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?
null
null
null
null
null
sxek52nbbg
false
1dTml0ZyhfP1dGAmTuWWKMEQVj62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Update (24/6/2024) : started regimen of 12.5mg cyproterone daily ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Sounds Nentindo
K3NOyOEIFvBoRJz1nrhs
public
contract
1,719,497,197,468
will-i-grow-bcups-by-new-years-eve
SoundsNentindo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLjTy_rr1v6yh7WENeR8kOpMlP_UPqFMzyez1AQOZqX=s96-c
Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?
null
null
null
null
null
fayf3yrbxkq
false
ZO9qSVVstZgzKNToBWDYibeBW8P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ZO9qSVVstZgzKNToBWDYibeBW8P2", "label": "andri", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Andri
qarfu3kd4b
public
contract
1,719,497,249,138
who-wins-mrbeasts-biggest-youtube-v
andri
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHeGd_f3weXHQGNPF2fxvAezw2jBBMQXNlzd1tkV2szg=s96-c
Who wins MrBeast's biggest YouTube video ever?
null
null
0
NO
k3sylj9oyl
xwsolh4cm28
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "that's a big blow for Visma. Jorgenson better be at the form of his life...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
JAAM
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,497,380,877
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
rgef6fekhnj
null
7,589.336606
YES
2c2810c2414f
6mri29a1jmi
false
1L6nMRJTlVfNx0fyhIJcISTyQnX2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Agreed that the market resolution criteria are clear enough.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
Pierre Lamotte
BH2WqQC5a0LBhPlX1ek5
public
contract
1,719,497,430,169
will-eliezer-yudkowsky-get-fully-bl
PierreLamotte
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbpafd4RUFaGmApUu5g8UrgijfisdJ1M7lKvRgY=s96-c
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
jd413vqk31
null
null
null
null
9e0u1tp7i7d
false
5vEowFr3rBPiRMtqc8UPhqpbHWh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolve YES: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
Matt Lashof-Sullivan
HGYBBu4FIbqhrwGtuPuF
public
contract
1,719,497,794,730
will-the-supreme-court-of-the-unite
MattLashofSullivan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLS04zSTXXFhgB1eacAIEE9U0EH4jKv5V55bjuYL9e-FHw=s96-c
Will the Supreme Court of the United States invalidate Purdue Pharma’s bankruptcy deal?
null
0.911772
232.82578
YES
null
k0ixuc3jhyl
false
5vEowFr3rBPiRMtqc8UPhqpbHWh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolve NO: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
Matt Lashof-Sullivan
NiuKGIbJN8HRES4Uklom
public
contract
1,719,497,816,598
will-scouts-affirm-in-harrington-v
MattLashofSullivan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLS04zSTXXFhgB1eacAIEE9U0EH4jKv5V55bjuYL9e-FHw=s96-c
Will SCOTUS affirm in Harrington v. Purdue Pharma L.P. (can court extinguish third party claims in bankruptcy)
null
0.157465
296.100786
NO
null
mcxk9lwte0l
false
5vEowFr3rBPiRMtqc8UPhqpbHWh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Should resolve NO: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Matt Lashof-Sullivan
tKzuPV4WwRRky6lLpTuc
public
contract
1,719,497,905,810
will-the-united-states-supreme-cour-22349f732ce2
MattLashofSullivan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLS04zSTXXFhgB1eacAIEE9U0EH4jKv5V55bjuYL9e-FHw=s96-c
Will the United States Supreme Court hold that SEC Commissioners are removable at will in SEC v. Jarkesy?
null
0.18
987.910217
NO
null
qkbi3hpot3l
false
2wvyM5pGg5WPcCNODDU5tcleXN02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Few
ti2ndp97Vy4ao5bFLssb
public
contract
1,719,497,910,464
will-iter-create-first-plasma-befor
fwbt
https://firebasestorage.…838-87b43f8c52ea
Will ITER create first plasma before the end of 2025?
null
0.041269
236.263533
NO
null
803h9jyjs4o
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If no play / result then India go through. Does India v England resolve yes in that case?", "type": "text" }, { "at...
Christopher Randles
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,719,498,121,015
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Official market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
null
null
562.079125
NO
urocd49oyr
i9zm4vv18gm
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Should be N/A as there is no result.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The Official
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,719,498,164,639
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Official market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
803h9jyjs4o
null
7,859.713538
YES
j1q3qikzh8
ais6yipe80m
false
cf8s0WtGwiXy3D57rrPWWV3qPZn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No, I'll still resolve to N/A as there was no result", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
P
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,719,498,172,384
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
P01cc7
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIHxLTEFxzgHTcnUu5FEzH-NhHUnNijL7v89k1XtwmBhQW1VQ=s96-c
Official market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
803h9jyjs4o
null
1,030.583444
YES
342bdae28fe9
6aqm3girkoy
false
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At this point, it's a good idea and it seems like their execution has been at least \"decent\" if what they claim is true", "type": "text" ...
Will
gxkZ0sjSoh6t6au0FuJq
public
contract
1,719,498,194,457
when-will-etchedai-launch-a-transfo
wrhall
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c
When will Etched.AI launch a transformer chip product?
8qZW4rFMDA8pkRV69Med
null
99.642227
YES
90d62a825779
jhjfprsfyw
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
JRP
CBouu2SgGvrCmcuCiKfg
public
contract
1,719,498,284,165
will-any-month-in-2024-have-the-hig
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
Will any month in 2024 have the highest temperature anomaly on record?
null
0.319918
987.333031
NO
null
kst7ci9kclh
false
uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Some other markets in this sequence, in case this is unarbed:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Bolton Bailey
OWCDfZtvMDHBH3rAsaVV
public
contract
1,719,498,530,855
will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-7dc55f5046a3
BoltonBailey
https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
null
0.547396
0
NO
null
b4vhso6lryg
false
T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Tony Gao
av7R6n2rUOMrPTjt9E5b
public
contract
1,719,498,951,956
will-lighthaven-be-capable-of-hosti
TonyGao
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c
Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025?
null
0.69
70.924702
YES
null
i9znwvh1iqf
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Just created a few dashboards for the Tour de France to organize the chaos a little bit: ", "type": "text" }, { "at...
Lion
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,499,116,716
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
null
null
8,792.482848
YES
48906db09b24
ei4ayb1slb
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I can add a few for July if you open it up.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The Official
028a6RvwdTE8vDtjlJGW
public
contract
1,719,499,544,524
major-league-soccer-mls-2024-regula
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Major League Soccer (MLS) ⚽ 2024 Regular Season Matches
ybdd3rzy07e
null
29,881.102654
NO
df080d6e048f
2584643ezou
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "wow! nice work! thanks!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JAAM
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,499,544,957
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
i9znwvh1iqf
null
7,589.336606
YES
2c2810c2414f
3bdholv2spe
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "we are still missing markets for individual stages, those are always fun to predict, but I'm very low on mana and fear that I won't recover it if I mak...
JAAM
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,499,759,920
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
i9znwvh1iqf
null
7,589.336606
YES
2c2810c2414f
semem4re93
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3", "label": "Tripping", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
NYe0YfApijZmG96uW9uP
public
contract
1,719,499,786,222
will-inside-out-2-2024-gross-more-d
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Inside Out 2 (2024) gross more domestically at the box office than Inside Out (2015)?
null
0.99
1,583.681541
YES
null
hkneckxbm7h
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If no one else makes them, I will probably make some about who will have the yellow jersey at X points within the race. I find that very interesting. "...
Eliza
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,500,182,202
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
i9znwvh1iqf
null
2,051.002056
YES
bc13ce05b37d
7u8cwpesthw
false
RK6Nd7IBfMVOcLekfqcN9Ys17qJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I literally triple checked and I made the same mistake every time, I counted the first group as thousands instead of hundreds lol", "type": "...
Peter Njeim
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,500,311,182
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
PeterNjeim
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKEfIjg6agfzK10gUG7Pht9z6y3O1nV87K7pQwUqKf_0HE=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0r8ixk16rik
null
null
null
null
i3shpzjvuch
false
M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "They last played 3 months ago and the game ended with a 6-1 Austria win, how is that not at 90%? ", "type": "text" } ], "...
Łukasz Bartoszcze
5f3gis94w1
public
contract
1,719,500,320,783
will-austria-beat-turkiye-euro-2024
ukaszBartoszcze
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c
Will Austria beat Turkiye? | Euro 2024
null
0.614765
338.029222
YES
null
x505sgfz0f
false
8DSVFmhmsQZ9GOYcwsm7wXWkChj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"About two years ago\" seems like a rounding error; it's been 1 year and 3 months. If we knew it was a 2 year release cycle, we'd expect GPT-5 in Marc...
Frogswap
RxR5grRyVrDm0wtzhAuM
public
contract
1,719,500,672,039
will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
Frogswap
https://firebasestorage.…70d-b0fdb2c577d8
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
i3dxmosx8s8
0.441475
4,037.479285
NO
null
c149j0untxd
false
kg2vRQFSJ9aSZebFoLRkbfUlrqL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
😸
qh1d9ye1sp
public
contract
1,719,500,679,722
will-openai-begin-rolling-out-the-n
SCS
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fl70bi%2FLmIna_j0eW.11?alt=media&token=30c49838-b87d-47c3-a605-4574d09e491c
Will OpenAI begin rolling out the new GPT-4o voice mode before July 15th?
null
0.88
785.79962
YES
null
3wk8a6mygpc
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Turkey is missing two players next match for yellow cards too. Everyone is expecting some Georgia magic. Not happening. Sabitzer gets a hat trick in th...
Predictor 🔥
5f3gis94w1
public
contract
1,719,500,818,123
will-austria-beat-turkiye-euro-2024
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will Austria beat Turkiye? | Euro 2024
i3shpzjvuch
0.703855
141.848919
YES
null
2grvy3nlz32
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "label": "o...
JAAM
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,500,889,011
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
i9znwvh1iqf
null
7,589.336606
YES
2c2810c2414f
8j2vz10q3y
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I mean, it certainly wasn't America who did the \"Starvation Murder\"...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Bruno
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,719,501,042,480
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
uxs7vq681z
null
3.055573
NO
xu4agxmfx4
6rprmdwy8m
false
kg2vRQFSJ9aSZebFoLRkbfUlrqL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This user said:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
😸
qh1d9ye1sp
public
contract
1,719,501,146,964
will-openai-begin-rolling-out-the-n
SCS
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fl70bi%2FLmIna_j0eW.11?alt=media&token=30c49838-b87d-47c3-a605-4574d09e491c
Will OpenAI begin rolling out the new GPT-4o voice mode before July 15th?
c149j0untxd
0.88
785.79962
YES
null
ejqdmsfdara
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think mini markets are totally fine. Would be great to have stage markets, I just don't want to create those (and resolve 🙃). ", "type": "...
Lion
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,501,188,542
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
i9znwvh1iqf
null
8,792.482848
YES
48906db09b24
t7q9rw1z1sn
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dqtd1SdwS9MgT4cyc7nwDBjCs132", "label": "TerrenceMurphy", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "men...
The Official
Gtd8X20H9cciQVPXPFNs
public
contract
1,719,501,189,475
will-scotus-andor-the-justice-depar
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will SCOTUS and/or the Justice Department block the Perdue Pharma (Sackler family) settlement?
null
0.99
14,995.79967
YES
null
ekkwf65y8x
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2", "label": "AlQuinn", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Snarflak
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,501,199,618
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
20.124993
YES
51e4cacd136a
8bwx9d9zqj6
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bet with your brain, not your heart.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
5f3gis94w1
public
contract
1,719,501,290,387
will-austria-beat-turkiye-euro-2024
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will Austria beat Turkiye? | Euro 2024
i3shpzjvuch
0.733194
385.132097
YES
null
3wil8mgb5lm
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "And we are at +1.5% ahead of the debate tonight 📈 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" ...
Lion
cUOurcNrp3XX9tbDu6zH
public
contract
1,719,501,465,259
biden-vs-trump-polling-average-when-4aaa70896f6e
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +0.9%)
null
null
21,195.242672
NO
6cee529b16f4
9wzzhw0lqo7
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3", "label": "Eliza", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
JAAM
FRhqCcujDSFyKnA36rEx
public
contract
1,719,501,877,427
which-team-will-jasper-philipsen-an
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Which team will Jasper Philipsen announce for the 2025 season?
null
null
432.450186
YES
d3db8085b186
w1ecizipi7
false
MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
Dustin
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,719,502,071,485
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
Dustin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhOa--qvfxnXT1JfaOu1QgWzLbV_gIUyiQ7sh4hoQ=s96-c
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
null
0.64014
63,637.119141
NO
null
nhgkb2apu1
false
bzaLzQXeU3NwzawClYtJkNxc5fj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Everything points to tonight being the night in my opinion. Trump's June Surprise. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragr...
Daniel
ZLnXae9dXnTryLWWScUi
public
contract
1,719,502,375,390
will-donald-trump-select-a-running
DanielRohrer
https://firebasestorage.…a33-a07f030e942d
Will Donald Trump select a running mate for VP prior to July 15, 2024?
null
0.530806
498.185626
YES
null
mp5p4oes6y
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yeah, resolving NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JAAM
SHDKMxdI1AvFf4Hh93hT
public
contract
1,719,502,699,076
will-lionel-messi-play-at-the-euro
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Will Lionel Messi play at the EURO 2024?
9cj06au0j5c
null
null
null
null
c7a8f3mjty
false
kkuoCvOuSrfyV9rySO6oEv0sYUo2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I found it interesting nobody on this thread talked about his criminal behavior yet; with presidents having so much power, the tendency of him going ab...
CC
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,502,795,719
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
cheshirecat
https://firebasestorage.…8bf-b255036db62f
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ntrzafgaarm
null
16.497081
YES
51e4cacd136a
1v7lkabxu2z
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
The Official
0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2
public
contract
1,719,503,317,869
uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Tournament Matches
null
null
9,313.24283
NO
a002bae98d9f
vfrlq9cre39
false
AXCShICabXOEZrWoFSBPxmyU6jk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hey Opie, please resolve this", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Peter Buyukliev
QNSna1tDAb5qvm0ImfKX
public
contract
1,719,503,450,120
will-quality-drop-in-davidauunadolp
PeterBuyukliev
https://firebasestorage.…529-f0ece6de2b4c
Will quality drop in DavidAU/UNA-dolphin-2.6-mistral-7b-dpo-laser-Q6_K-GGUF at 10K tokens be replicated?
null
0.191985
1,051.205359
NO
null
11sx6nmlc6n
false
wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why? It’s been open for a month. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris V
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,503,486,639
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
voodoo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
6c331ysckpj
0.479998
45,843.555256
YES
null
rrl8p8uyc7g
false
n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Should have resolved a year ago, thanks.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Universal FC ⚽
SHDKMxdI1AvFf4Hh93hT
public
contract
1,719,503,507,158
will-lionel-messi-play-at-the-euro
UniversalFC
https://firebasestorage.…336-9360eb780ce1
Will Lionel Messi play at the EURO 2024?
9cj06au0j5c
0
3,628.736227
NO
null
7ihm67nlzn8
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1", "label": "chrisjbillington", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "m...
Jess Riedel
M2QqbxhM9tScUEerv0yO
public
contract
1,719,503,732,624
when-will-there-be-a-5th-starship-l
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
When will there be a 5th Starship launch?
null
null
null
null
null
re283833g7f
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well there's a lot of people just tuning in today, I figure we should let them get their bets in before the event starts ", "type": "text" ...
Joshua
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,503,765,449
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
6c331ysckpj
0.479998
14.704926
NO
null
u6h8nlvagem
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sounds very interesting, but it's a little outside my budget at the moment. :-/", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph"...
redcat
3bual7owjg
public
contract
1,719,504,226,601
will-i-ever-meet-lion-in-person
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will I meet @Lion in person in 2024?
zumzs76pbdq
null
null
null
null
cnxdbb10l2g
false
n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I've got my own projections, but good to know what will happen if the teams all play the tournament over and over again 1000 times.", "type":...
Universal FC ⚽
XKuiRpzDUay4PgD32zvF
public
contract
1,719,504,245,139
which-country-will-win-euro-2024
UniversalFC
https://firebasestorage.…336-9360eb780ce1
Which country will win Euro 2024?
vzr4t9sj4ni
null
1,131.777094
YES
e6f33a256b53
w2hkedzd13l
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kenya isn't included but would resolve yes", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
WviL2TdAXHOpfIiUItnj
public
contract
1,719,504,628,186
in-what-country-will-the-next-mass
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
📢✊ In what countries will mass public protests start in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
sls9ni2fzsh
false
VNAd5WhmJsOJVyoXbv0fly7b1lH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Dans le paysage numérique actuel, des contenus ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
Sanny Kolliner
5IS5KDlU9dEu4HV6P4PR
public
contract
1,719,505,015,984
which-platform-will-win-chatgpt
SannyKolliner
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIOkO7BDRowMyXb0UHCX8388a31ZlVkGV--sTXOvQYvXgj7Sg=s96-c
Which platform will win ChatGPT?
null
null
null
null
null
zkr9f6rqwrq
false
NvlIBE9hSdMeGksetqkVPMQ8zCR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bye bye biden is not worthy to shake hands with God. We will wave buh-bye as Jesus takes us up away to heaven in the coming rapture and leaves these si...
Tommy Goldman
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,505,019,938
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
TommyGoldman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZT4yAvJH86gV0iE6_1bO9FhJexSf8qo8obsExP=s96-c
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
null
0.492508
80.836279
NO
null
bqh6g5732ze
false
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You can bet on today specifically!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt":...
Jack
ZLnXae9dXnTryLWWScUi
public
contract
1,719,505,183,525
will-donald-trump-select-a-running
jack
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
Will Donald Trump select a running mate for VP prior to July 15, 2024?
nhgkb2apu1
0.44
233.587129
NO
null
ta0e6yl42c
false
NvlIBE9hSdMeGksetqkVPMQ8zCR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is it criminal behavior when he fights for our sins everyday? He is up against a devil incarnate, he will do whatever it takes.", "type": "te...
Tommy Goldman
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,505,305,935
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
TommyGoldman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZT4yAvJH86gV0iE6_1bO9FhJexSf8qo8obsExP=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ntrzafgaarm
null
285.891355
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
95vv8iyjsi
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is there more information on \"our sins\" and what makes Biden (?) \"the devil incarnate\"?", "type": "text" } ], "type":...
Enlil
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,505,418,954
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ntrzafgaarm
null
null
null
null
dhu6fe4kfr7
false
NndHcEmeJhPQ6n7e7yqAPa3Oiih2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "LG Display announced a tandem OLED panel for laptops.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc...
Josh
bmTSCtvB3jMFai8LA636
public
contract
1,719,505,453,965
will-the-m4based-macbook-macbook-ai
josh
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0QJyn3_RlfR7N92j1FntqMP_80imf6p_zLKws=s96-c
Will the M4-based MacBook / MacBook Air have an OLED screen option?
null
0.60341
100.328101
YES
null
cbawutm4a2
false
em5cYfHRh1b5qu1hgpfZiNqOELr2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Gideon
UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C
public
contract
1,719,505,762,851
uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop
Gideon37
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJgWS0P6It5V1UWwE65A1u9nwHfxpp1TvnxyGgqr54x=s96-c
UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE!
null
null
128.458313
YES
eafdcc0dba84
zkgym3qlvkb
false
ZZZkJTbT8EcnQuR2bk5I5fxArV93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Caleb
untYqE8I1Qv95Uiu56P6
public
contract
1,719,505,783,813
will-the-economist-endorse-the-cons
CalebW
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7rAgFpPtE0PrL2sKfxXtrMNgfMNxqh-e9QJ9ZZyg=s96-c
Will the Economist endorse the Conservatives in the next UK General Election?
null
0.047209
1,327.814765
NO
null