enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-15T22:45:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd2f7e89f40398eaee7f1eb271de7cb32ff32377122c9272f41115a77f91b24c3 | 0x80b55f0afd67091a4d51a1cd8e21947c2130c9ac1a988c21ed75ab1885804406 | Will Lazio win the Serie A? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lazio is the 2024-25 Serie A Champion. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that Lazio will win the Serie A, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Lazio to win, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serie A (https://www.legaseriea.it/en). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-lazio-win-the-serie-a | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x80b55f0afd67091a4d51a1cd8e21947c2130c9ac1a988c21ed75ab1885804400 | 0x5e5dfb85678cac9600a2781f98c5925f07470ccfb7421074e930bbb4aec866f3 | {
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "44496450591685776722111403395862471739789866328423891731998149831131824240331",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "113278248635870698613231100903693434908065016996892425689573160381440927531859",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"italy",
"Soccer",
"Europe",
"Serie A"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-24T21:30:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x93b8871f65185fc555bed98f57c5f178523acd9c89636ef9dfc1f1fd16e8e786 | 0x947cae6e7e194e0ebaf4b088bed75c1581dcda6595b8a8f152a92b1dbfb0cf0c | Will Xavier McKinney win NFL Defensive Player of the Year? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xavier McKinney wins NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2024-2025 football season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, including live broadcast footage, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-xavier-mckinney-win-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x947cae6e7e194e0ebaf4b088bed75c1581dcda6595b8a8f152a92b1dbfb0cf00 | 0xa87271ae04239e24632a46488359a5547102c84c822eb4e50b614ba3053bc452 | {
"rates": [
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "49044081365819840674015548992330077538255946133761976654380915858817492426312",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "103625637880086580994615151193288033198113818435677170189508721605624720544291",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"football",
"Awards",
"NFL"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-15T22:43:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6a9ececdb52d5bb1d70780199610060207bd80bfdad40234adf069f1d7a11667 | 0x80b55f0afd67091a4d51a1cd8e21947c2130c9ac1a988c21ed75ab1885804402 | Will Juventus win the Serie A? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Juventus is the 2024-25 Serie A Champion. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that Juventus will win the Serie A, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Juventus to win, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serie A (https://www.legaseriea.it/en). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-juventus-win-the-serie-a | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x80b55f0afd67091a4d51a1cd8e21947c2130c9ac1a988c21ed75ab1885804400 | 0x323600260141671e02b1980e561b70713ab1f9a59c5fc195038d8abb39315356 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "31254694845348759074534292606322654388413317139532449014520963105850735384676",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"italy",
"Soccer",
"Europe",
"Serie A"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-15T22:16:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5b26e8a78ef22184c71b06ff5de50ba474fd446bcc04096abad077c969b947dd | 0x835266c0638a7b0c062d5242ab679f8c90d00aded8edeb5ffd4c544ac91af601 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayer Leverkusen is the 2024-25 German Bundesliga Champion. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty Bayer Leverkusen will win the Bundesliga, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Bayer Leverkusen to win, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the German Bundesliga (Bundesliga.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-bayer-leverkusen-win-the-bundesliga | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x835266c0638a7b0c062d5242ab679f8c90d00aded8edeb5ffd4c544ac91af600 | 0x3c6ac792e8039760fb9b17fc0fdfd1e24bed5bb5cbc9a979c71322879711d175 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "3327030346071012364251400613200919028347324572922711829557929246535809982781",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "27715636511416683845000293484598117346007408296036097041740967858503867841133",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"Germany",
"Soccer"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-15T22:18:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8dc999827c3ff54f9d1a99c7e2153fcda6a77df1d406bfcdbc4949a7e86590fd | 0x835266c0638a7b0c062d5242ab679f8c90d00aded8edeb5ffd4c544ac91af604 | Will Frankfurt win the Bundesliga? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eintracht Frankfurt is the 2024-25 German Bundesliga Champion. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that Eintracht Frankfurt will win the Bundesliga, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Eintracht Frankfurt to win, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the German Bundesliga (Bundesliga.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-frankfurt-win-the-bundesliga | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x835266c0638a7b0c062d5242ab679f8c90d00aded8edeb5ffd4c544ac91af600 | 0xb19502eddc25540366526d7f19cd7c1efc4a54305147e6d0d747b91648d5c652 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "101222093658861669199531630305789540999742295807550306371947764371165129345970",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "7178144331376875555394796996982297832965164109416226116800364282765608218520",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Germany",
"Soccer"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-23T15:05:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6ce5169421293d1214a12b14e88760b1b67e40191a76625c8103bb815ddcd2ce | 0x1f2c061e1ca7d9fefc4ed90ddfeddc01a6509eafb1b2c4c0fce0766bd6fcecb4 | East coast port strike in January? | On October 3, the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) announced that it had reached a deal to suspend its three-day strike until Jan. 15 to provide time to negotiate a new contract (see: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/port-strike-ends-tentative-deal-until-jan-15-dockworkers/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ILA or its leadership declares or announces a strike affecting any US East Coast or Gulf Coast port at any point in January 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the ILA announces a new deal which would avert any US East Coast or Gulf Coast port strike through January of 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the ILA however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | east-coast-port-strike-in-january | 2025-01-15T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "64806890300676350503662972192830911141328386364210414248499635638705748129051",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "6618635840271466164174336589762022943530450993303449927583268889861829967016",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Business",
"shipping",
"Economy",
"Longshoremen",
"Ryan Petersen",
"Creators"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-22T20:22:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa5ac4cdcfff44ddfb0d332d33575f766414465786fb7d4350782db40d5e9da11 | 0x5e8f476a7fafa5e6075f12b9a995ae8dbad4bc58ced6373fdb32a309e2f41de6 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following two conditions are met:
1) Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential election.
2) An armistice, ceasefire, or negotiated settlement is announced by both Ukraine and Russia regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine at any point between the Associated Press calling the election for Donald Trump, and April 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for Trump winning the presidency is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This portion of the market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least the temporary end of the Ukraine-Russia military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both countries. The specific date that such an agreement will take effect is not relevant to the resolution of this market. The only requirement is that the agreement must be announced within this market's specified timeframe.
This market will resolve based on the first announcement of such an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement. If it is first announced before this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
| trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days | 2025-04-20T00:00:00 | 2025-04-19T22:20:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "84888738552927367074645370589243532246434846262240067551074642775011167355434",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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{
"token_id": "86857783363775257860227917708309268561005168570896999677788731255030014967896",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"USA Election",
"Ukraine",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"ceasefire",
"US Election",
"Geopolitics",
"Trending Markets",
"Creators",
"zerohedge",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Foreign Policy",
"First 100 days",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:16:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0aa3380a7d5f6eb7a8b55057776c69b62eaad836131584566060a37fb091ed50 | 0xa14c2093e19bdba46179339461d24f70c6fc33b2d28fa81cd6a7ebbdb8f21049 | Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-kamala-harris-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "90581014874813259969835686699255755392933243278819654057040750602584456248918",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "18987031994063330044306483367549127986598971487922682038735077084970531958772",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"USA Election",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Kamala",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-10-25T20:30:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1c08575bf76817784ff133142eacc37506f1bdeeeb4d3901bed1189b8091ff03 | 0x34c53a0eba063594c3fb908c6559a8e259e4e67c85573003f7b82a8d2fd1bb6e | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is elected to be President of the United States of America and Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Donald Trump by April 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for whether Trump is elected or not is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on the person inaugurated.
The primary resolution source for whether Hunter is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-trump-pardon-hunter-biden | 2025-04-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "98433019638636843470278708516705939877758718626431465767607438777256900393066",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "15391136132163109764394600336185770605045592739663596614860162473176772100266",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"USA Election",
"Trump",
"Biden",
"U.S. Politics",
"MAGA",
"Hunter",
"Trump Presidency"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:37:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe85229be9b279bffc835c3b4300c34761688ed7bf63d239409f2bb63bc5b4386 | 0x05154a1e749c3b38cefd9ca1954fc61e7799e476327a105980f408ff0b09808e | Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any previously classified files pertaining to the assassination of John Fitzgerald Kennedy by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| trump-declassifies-jfk-files-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | 2025-03-19T01:26:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 100,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "72555056357153189253688576179029472137869412636873618920673852647910756044795",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "2350335720783753691377817824952747173007146573118981701614075915282668393265",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Politics",
"USA Election",
"Trump",
"Declassification",
"MAGA",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Kash Patel",
"Executive Actions",
"First 100 days",
"JFK Files"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:33:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6898f484ae31a24515cb0469fc5ff587d3ee711b1aa7bceb230c91dee3808ad1 | 0x5464d17ecc22556c08d1bdf7dfec57a950aec7f585ececc360328613417aeacf | Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any previously classified files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained arial phenomena by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| trump-declassifies-ufo-files-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "72938775475968992905684899747662373301223601154360647238226584629280812263935",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"USA Election",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Declassification",
"MAGA",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Kash Patel",
"Executive Actions",
"First 100 days"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:13:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc4e36275cfa58f7741cef778334f38a6f89ef3aa2f01578965078607e48582c8 | 0x77c2d00b07297023a1604a6953aa5a7e46b7429909e40b5327f3468c7b7b5903 | Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Marco Rubio to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-marco-rubio-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "25718165884149624553938840796126258571419474355666365712425174236393780747878",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "84379396837560677898665626832080790617671774865811794908025043682161845157128",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Post Election",
"Trump Presidency"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:12:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb92233dc0351a99a0ffac27c89cded568de15e92ea8ae56d96c1b3477a1ce399 | 0x020444fbaabe6b5b8c75e2a5581aeb06df744e45d66a9468bb1b09a5114ac4d8 | Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Jared Kushner to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jared-kushner-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:14:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3352055fa84dfd0bc3f9bcec85a5f464fd1096fbb9a469d36b5afcdf54eb0423 | 0x24d7374a38fad278c5b5dca47f357d63ba2e7f736f5d5e27fd80c80d8c016e3a | Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-sbf-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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"First 100 days",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T15:25:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x231aa55682ef2bd15dc527915d9c683b38120f8c55be15ffd67201b4a98c9007 | 0xd8469a8c706ec338c4d244fccf72eb8e123cc264185cfb5c15fa3fa23b547665 | Trump in jail before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump any time in custody in a jail or prison between November 5 and January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| trump-in-jail-before-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "82998975323287262017262665363792559057570975659663595669165082974799288477235",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T17:11:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4ed9f77e6390c375b1fd51b40245c02ef7f4493e2cd835961603c51ff7603717 | 0x7026b26321e44830d4e17b657f354305879231c99bcb8c65d8069b0ce52d1ea1 | Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump, specifically related to their actions on that date, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-a-january-6-protestor-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "26739721807745892144540485570274877676777018798249569523597349081570180526316",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:10:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe6857c448780d91ff1b6ea300619daaa87b69ffc3b454730dbb54d8a3911dffa | 0x7156e6b40f6f371809fcaeab46052bd8c6fd4d8f861795e89441e00fe85d1af6 | Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-michelle-obama-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "51439881249371960849257513542791672553482928714588229978528396898705171425986",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:26:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5a8029020e5886fc3f2fd51f952b39e467c1deb0e4e7775d2c6115ecb0737f7b | 0x4fb0005619f6f35360b4c0362293b217a5d5cf05f5e1bd57e699879a6d475efa | Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order that aims to increase, enhance, or facilitate the deportation of illegal immigrants by April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trumps 2017 executive orders, such as Executive Order 13768, which expanded categories for prioritized deportation, or Executive Order 13767, which strengthened border security and detention capacities related to illegal immigration are examples of Executives orders which would qualify.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
| trump-deportation-executive-order-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fa... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:15:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9b87007adc833eaeaf13745639cbe29663beb8a7caeefc7144b8c94c05862c39 | 0x7ef24c75e39b9721b18fdb46eb5a02aa3132c7ace506aa62707ed618c3846e96 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffery Lamar Williams Jr., aka Young Thug, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Young Thug is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-young-thug-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"token_id": "8826555906281225640483174212800765576358736127135240120577749365020241152564",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
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"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T18:25:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0b1fb15cb93e0d3db85cb283460ed8236078250c7d07f7f8f0cda968691fc5e4 | 0x74947db93d9b942b5b7a6f059465eae17ea0cec69287c876996e527f92534a00 | Will Trump nominate Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Jamie Dimon for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-trump-nominate-jamie | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x74947db93d9b942b5b7a6f059465eae17ea0cec69287c876996e527f92534a00 | 0xb86dc7424778b808841a3623a06c586c7db23b0dab6469f3f6e4354647536b03 | {
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"token_id": "75300011153175652124483518227600487109444152339624515781301944988218412613016",
"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:11:28 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x90b81ea9f838366419d5a207f2d64bb0076f5468e98d53964dd4ee02c31ac686 | 0xa3ad2b40d4d6a48817c36cdc07c1a8483ae5a5c0b7276e8eb73824fcdbb9e7c5 | Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if George W. Bush attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-george-w-bush-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"token_id": "101787728754861087812389227482299084574605355699248972725810566540336119672237",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
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"Trump",
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"Inauguration"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T19:53:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x327a399e6e26a1d0f274aba63a62f2a6f97c8a099eaf07dcdf69d98d48e13ec5 | 0x2c31f9658a58b4fcfafdb5c6117075eed31461ea31e94b537e1a0c235628dc8e | Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Ivanka Trump to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-ivanka-trump-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:10:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0b88e6fb500fea93b3b93f633398b924391017d3b949c973c0f0baa490040b1b | 0x8c6d0e8ac3f8d5c263fc24b17c8f56dc782edb2f656be9938b7ddd39a5ad3a6e | Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Donald Trump Jr. to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-donald-trump-jr-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"token_id": "54102451127857534017048624807802472598064733519026172295515260592616049505073",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:13:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe6e0208a9e5014ff507d16a359db466bd98c0414be72982835001eee2fd8f5ae | 0xdc3ea9eedde00f77cf445b93ad610cb94e307715e66e092fe91793971f2f5ee6 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-ross-ulbricht-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:11:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x06bbb0674262f5e6e488a37d0078688be16b5cb502792093ab3e762653905a6d | 0x9c7a2a1c17063137bb5e610a3f9677b2b58000a31bb4c73835cc15c487d0740c | Will Doug Burgum be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Doug Burgum to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-doug-burgum-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "85907899660858978505622731620015021578393608154857598746856857431166474169558",
"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T21:40:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x049a52221f6bb92bdeaf5aa629c6b6e7341de5affd30a31902d82950e8babdd9 | 0x6d3ff7e1838e0f75f9157897b6571e9e6466bb97633cfe28158a53226925a593 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no sentence is rendered before January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if sentencing is definitively cancelled or postponed beyond that date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
This market will resolve based on the first sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc. | trump-sentenced-to-prison-in-ny-case-before-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "55821552645789280537948403841192688833368877448886077038842405076803187002387",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T17:21:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x805d5d29303a29387e9b541f5c7405bcea69f8ef56137ce174356cb0e548d3ee | 0x7d8b504e9c0a5e52e33d4d507845fa59797207c7db41111bd32942c23f16e59c | Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes on tips earned by workers in the United States by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax on tips remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income or type of worker, etc) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax on tips.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. | trump-ends-taxes-on-tips-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "42782917608917526849982555751925373259594286579992452863819979739479395401094",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
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"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:16:01 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd17e65dbb48341946ae13b339629f2045377b72212e8619ee9f46e32000a4c4b | 0xde2a3d8cee23bd050b2c925cb23d0a5d6c592c79a54ff5226a625a7d58b6cc5d | Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Steve Bannon is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-steve-bannon-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "98361598022533009122064756129018417778100241515848627056416545110277934604852",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
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"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:12:41 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x36428bd51c8240d8063bbfbf1777f1b9e8e31f23b852f3fe14d2569f84d17401 | 0xc6c5ed1d410eb1689ec4e01e973b7d80a6e98a8e526f839d3e0cf3e64da6d759 | Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Jamie Dimon to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jamie-dimon-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "114189819879519646992796123395631390530149673972535908837225210794645467065299",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Trump",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:21:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x570a19274f74c16a628f2693d3a56c4ecceda4c3ffe9392f6f4e21dee40aec0e | 0x57929d714f2a056dca35b892a6abf6f4d7367131fb084e68b885e0fb2a81fd7d | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between November 4, 2024 and April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties.
A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source. | trump-ends-gaza-war-in-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "49797793845564175794050583516136208247695714041297332599649305731721066772087",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Gaza",
"Trump",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:16:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc7ec0c2fc4ada9e3e0703b20ff9f610abae734e65d90f32378e26c4c9f826713 | 0x440e0dff2959d200f126caeb1cce79699f54704a046c196bf68fb180f5e0c8e4 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edward Snowden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Edward Snowden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-edward-snowden-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "96472486104621502336254805467888442208952490439447799460647133523963287827598",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:34:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6fc8642b66dde81d462a17c43b839b4baf9260d79842ec3d0e0a1b76191d4910 | 0xbdc31e44b6c18cbce8135e0da12250f0e475e6b6b8c0d380576b08a70753fa67 | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | elon-musk-citizenship-revoked-before-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "114211711787251825771312090932986714800048172293437134863466137361184382691020",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
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"Elon Musk",
"Trump Presidency"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:10:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x43546e87f8c7bd4171c1fef428e354319b16a88770612e39c6f1073707b0b9a9 | 0xddd30b5a6c345fcbd14a730c20e756659e0284cdf78b22b98022b684a4b02bad | Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Vivek Ramaswamy to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-vivek-ramaswamy-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "81064978605464426598152325237393755717693639490988906061638166600577314062731",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "21238225625520753728116005769061270265427527634346829082903453909338606975843",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T20:02:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x57858d7b061a48238bf51d254f40279a1244e12ba08cc7c3c30a99f668a7102f | 0x60b61a9648a8cac1ace2492291ddbe5c76cc0990297ad0da6be8f349aa177991 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if an armistice, ceasefire, or negotiated settlement is announced by both Ukraine and Russia regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least the temporary end of the Ukraine-Russia military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both countries. The specific date that such an agreement will take effect is not relevant to the resolution of this market. The only requirement is that the agreement must be announced within this market's specified timeframe.
This market will resolve based on the first announcement of such an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement. | trump-ends-ukraine-war-before-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "41329028216015207403304938300166462806230905302974729059221847177836123967000",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:12:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x29b64e5400a7ce9e07c9077647798ed4f781978fc123a35660e93318e548c7dc | 0x37a73066e28452e193ecbb167e3b8bbb7842a2bb65f52a1cc6789952bc2d2e6f | Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Mike Pompeo to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mike-pompeo-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": false
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{
"token_id": "65364410378692147566328736592222814305383241104223729503946589153900283532595",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
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"Post Election",
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] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:11:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x181de70fe4859c45454c24958e6929b1c28419b374b70f8f62d98209266ae82f | 0xa207f37128128344e8f1b06faf55ba333caa7f41325f45427d3349e1418b06a3 | Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-nancy-pelosi-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "22804837133898664910490176310589502424734114520358833398438305278908847535097",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "8477845901642438603399053337028281715158536251111557234632858757115714150997",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-01T22:45:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x21559998482bf5dfbcaf0f5409edd34eebd84c8998df622f9da8ff1e1f248a26 | 0x0e512a7a83b4e4d3f43b073af887341458922dd4b4929b7e0a4722d6c74a3f02 | Will someone else be inaugurated? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than Kamala Harris or Donald J. Trump is inaugurated as President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Inauguration day is currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. If inauguration day is delayed, this market will remain open until someone has been inaugurated. If no one has been inaugurated by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-someone-else-be-inaugurated | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0e512a7a83b4e4d3f43b073af887341458922dd4b4929b7e0a4722d6c74a3f00 | 0x8880fb7a2857bb2170e08d5587b40557b3881e4f5f37cdd432a0544524f04b2e | {
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "43615071548148661312499725641130547187359327927736979074156645487662496301353",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"january 6",
"jan 6"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T19:51:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4b1b3b517712e940e37256cd5aa7c920a60a5a03a5d52467c811f5c355322491 | 0x8f0d7fedcb8c79754aaf286bec119cd2616d996597b8c06912b403afd294e2cf | Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-ron-desantis-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "96882834467538157200826734649750817430993159342270723720952059879174942699767",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "23665979262055403742090421945831747523131707587932927199697446400551272365640",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
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"Post Election",
"Trump Presidency"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:04:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x79e6ec2dff92558eb36b5e2e2221bf4be45364f3726897163d80702abb51d315 | 0x21d5ad273f3970c3a4c1505786ad4fbffc74ca8c9574d76114a9b2850efae88e | Trump signs national abortion ban? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action that explicitly restricts individuals' access to abortion in the United States by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Bills which impose limitations or expand existing restrictions on when, where, or under what conditions abortions can be performed, including measures that reduce the gestational age limit for legal abortions, increase mandatory waiting periods, or limit the circumstances under which exceptions are allowed will qualify.
Legislation or executive actions which add regulatory hurdles for providers, such as increased licensing requirements, facility standards, or reporting obligations will not qualify.
Any bill signed into law or executive actions within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law goes into effect.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation or perform executive actions (e.g., he resigns or leaves office), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, with a consensus of credible reporting used as needed. | trump-signs-national-abortion-ban-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "105637525420107465016899790388284587220624374177780103002517436285549579895981",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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"Campaign Promises",
"Social Policy"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:10:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4cc2cfa101ff18bd886edae9b49d7e8fbfac29d293ef51ac5846920754da736d | 0x2dc77e3528c8f5df7f0b4a7af3c608df57cabee1841584fa036a22c14c66d8a8 | Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-bill-clinton-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95569577287799913620466523916203287477993167023148422338886384062076242245657",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "20912780245582184454236705595471954068498753556092040151530261920527611761654",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:09:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa05938a26bfa984743198f9366737d3b4f3fcb73fe0df6d00a7b360049b3f5d1 | 0xba3941117bf13f9c384f94372f969e4220f4729ac8438d31933268d602380048 | Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-rfk-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:10:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x66bc5018b4810848734bd2519750e03252fb9617c2d9e057f657efbb03f9a538 | 0x49b62982df8d79b499e7e20bb5ca49bc2d2e3f06559bbad01910c04302f1cdfe | Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-joe-biden-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T20:35:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x474e5d63beff70556481c02b1d58db504f59c9fc7695d9d93a97fa8a9d6766aa | 0xe2af2a26a56bd9514c46e26a118567bd70f38914d63c618171343e891c758226 | Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Ken Paxton to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-ken-paxton-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:16:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa8c94b83ed914ebb3b8d54e1038675c8a31704b2e15f5df9a619388002aedc7e | 0xa6db17fe7db77439291bb4fb07e4d08a3eea26837d5c084077dc1888a62edcf4 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Assange receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Julian Assange is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-julian-assange-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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"First 100 days",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T19:53:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdd256865cb41795d18232a30daa2ae9219ad98b91e4864c8e6b67a1767dd76c7 | 0x847e90a73c1e1cc777e1881b14a87a6658b0c3bf35a3a68380d3ef1ce7996d90 | Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Ben Carson to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-ben-carson-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"token_id": "43223561030275582258842913795374134299831434985140902239127064666771189798311",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T18:26:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x27f33ec9a9433a0363086696610683cab7d6faeef195a352f08f2dae88d2b606 | 0x74947db93d9b942b5b7a6f059465eae17ea0cec69287c876996e527f92534a01 | Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates John Paulson for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-trump-nominate-john-paulsonm-for-treasury-secretary | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x74947db93d9b942b5b7a6f059465eae17ea0cec69287c876996e527f92534a00 | 0x5534840893c9566bcb5a66ca3b7889f5e91c78ae3e4909a0f80618796e5defe4 | {
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"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:10:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd8dde8c346cb3dd5b07a96198fd381c9fc2b199380b959db02bfd8e475018193 | 0xb826856008f0c209e6310bfa3a3b5a0c7f019d906cc8acd072eed96340b5b4dc | Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-barack-obama-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "95687433614962307558932016730756363844059405559088019558335012180084854967796",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
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"Inauguration"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:09:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9a2f2754f23f26fe7120426ccddd544802c4db494c8d63675473479617ec8b68 | 0x7dd782116296aa07182816867be145bacc6fb300c7abf20a4c38483c45f2ebff | Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Ron Paul to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-ron-paul-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "47824130576740246139401470628240652978456819316649483092676904977961316774953",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Trump",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-01T22:44:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc3d4155148681756bfe67bb41d8d0882a8a122e7d3762b3591bf6598c9bd198b | 0x0e512a7a83b4e4d3f43b073af887341458922dd4b4929b7e0a4722d6c74a3f01 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is inaugurated as President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Inauguration day is currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. If inauguration day is delayed, this market will remain open until someone has been inaugurated. If no one has been inaugurated by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0e512a7a83b4e4d3f43b073af887341458922dd4b4929b7e0a4722d6c74a3f00 | 0x9ea7f0c293942f1fdd9e218aedab21b85bb49ce8d91c29c916b5e479c94a354e | {
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{
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:15:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x598b7a49768d859d9c279feb4b64f12f00cc05b327b29e655ef98b798a279bb7 | 0x814044e6b73ab7b680a83e90be5569dacfcad6ae53a56011dffc75fe3a159729 | Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Donald Trump is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "72868943424285189082067623418012325719933002263790635947343066869379566980985",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:12:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb158d4d7ce1851908c2fa59f82028c9a4e0cfcb2f3bf23ac82b0d955f1d5c7ab | 0x5eacc368ed1d1da7adbbaa6ea31756be6e29a66cfeae0d7f8f5e9e2d2d639486 | Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-rudy-giuliani-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "107228248418792182795861022336384287981062633917120976489193675164759705427000",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T18:39:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2d930f65e1aff6d34f7b4d1b0073ee0ecc35a88b6277fa51f6bde34b41c45626 | 0x1ca86efce52b4743b55c597ea5ef4cc90af396cbe9048136704e90a4e6a7d58e | Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | trump-ends-department-of-education-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:15:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0cb707da67522398deb25aa811bdb46092b4e446187fa0896e51e037ab8040e2 | 0x9a311c569aa472a34a0f8313aa452b0ecb559aaadabab280fcc20a591bca9a89 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Hunter Biden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-hunter-biden-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "54932424135058039690756480778554583013001952473928850913124632871252773338702",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:12:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x063ec58c79514c00d58a00887871362c81ebb875d3f4c721c14c351cc080131b | 0x58e02eb1e783f3208513a35947554f95b2edd1cac5c861fc776112953586781f | Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints David Sacks to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-david-sacks-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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{
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"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:14:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3724888af3107c46ac749a7d1eff85d685fc5518db4983f354d21a15b4998559 | 0xdf15f0f564477add0ba8ae7168f0fb2dfe8c02f8bf9874078796079ec51e98bc | Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-diddy-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
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"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:09:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x400d3f9e359ef6fa1e51a63ae8d45a1b3797b90cd2cbdb1c0aa7a3f75bd652a1 | 0x344eba59b0b6d7884b47d3704a30e1e389ddf0bbd702316c869c06d125ecb743 | Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-elon-musk-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Trump",
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"Post Election",
"Trump Presidency"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T16:10:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe3d5f95bb9ad590e29efa804325b5b4be472f31d000f9d5bb116a49154b125bf | 0xeec34118a833868c30de7323282f10fab915eac3ec413e583f6e0bbae1988c47 | Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Steve Bannon to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-steve-bannon-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "103293463141107935389249499892383490491941886045408863313681506554187095691893",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "53809080312772700257515830251409541810907747844395348712216143835317015648599",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Post Election",
"Trump Presidency"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T19:52:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2582f99653f927ed7573b2780af97765b83005fe416838965b6fdcead867082a | 0xe844e7517c9f23e379156809fef0a88dbc32102dcb623e0ce5ae1a8ef559ac49 | Will Nikki Haley be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Nikki Haley to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-nikki-haley-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
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],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "97291602065148386731288295858479005993951835042223411232552847171971310574010",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
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"Post Election",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:12:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0a47e996b4b7b4c77667a4b01ac9d58006ce295a9a55723ecbf256303cd3066b | 0x2b78e165c73ec04f506c01cca0835121c995d8713c4145d1c73b3a31a2bf3ad9 | Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Carter attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-jimmy-carter-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "15597978389554808605601527476915365498800377509748519931731833186302976922210",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:11:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3c9713d76e1f3c3d5b87bd781bbaa821edd74ce6d63132ac967a0a9e2179708b | 0xe37ca2b6012c499f801537c72fe63f887694987c59aa429945b4521ef6a3a897 | Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-hillary-clinton-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "5786825096447467017878156269394255639316340021562138985349284692625494330463",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "49714419957579284172948566818561289128455594723252580451747521044342633670247",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T20:54:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2c06a455f698555bf1dcea7e44e4bd6cd8a23c62394e35a55c864009d834adc8 | 0x3f3016a7e905c01d37c3e2e6611f7506069d97caa9946b7b7f84bd60840b458f | Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between January 20, 2025 ET (inclusive) and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
| will-trump-remove-jerome-powell-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "61548592970474670770242869019870566962516372084434182759422609032946294364409",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"MAGA",
"Fed Rates",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Economic Policy",
"First 100 days"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T22:41:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4e0f29885709d63bfcff29e80f4a8df1da9e97906ba9e21577b46a70858d8e06 | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1703 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-january-2025-meeting | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1700 | 0xf77d573c243aa42538df885455e76b1da41d2e3faa4ae09a093dbf9c6c53fd2e | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "64300364193031824587552769823493469778718733602447265999703025404994006979266",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Macro Fed"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T22:40:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7883a3c40bb01cbd3b9ec9e3b73d75af705e300c9369f27178739cf3f4fa089a | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1701 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by between 26 (inclusive) and 50 (inclusive) or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1700 | 0x78be571dad8b9f4d7a44fa70e93a0a909e6918b1d933d54bbab91a8af77cb3d9 | {
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "38040810336402647860524961857216751324740229233874430685472918943584669196682",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Macro Fed"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T23:18:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4a2e8418031b448cfbe7e5f8e9d4d91709a1e73cb457746a0d937f3cf488af14 | 0xa5a0e66897fbe28b8d25a5f8bb86e4abf4303e9f5b159f58e32c39bea8234c04 | Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's 34 felony convictions in the case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump" are all vacated or overturned by January 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If any sentence is rendered in this case, this market will resolve to "No" regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trumps-hush-money-conviction-be-overturned | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "112674338458277338958879443454120550973830547487811605930989773880222195391638",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Trump Trials",
"Trump Presidency"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-11T21:55:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf0d6717d354137d953b18ead3027447c092a624700c3c7dfec7461a553e17c29 | 0x51218a21bbf33e342038561767756034b54d423cd97eb327d0ea3d9db2d8e7da | Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Wray ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between January 20, 2025 ET (inclusive) and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. | will-trump-remove-fbi-director-christopher-wray | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "50380087544003048421292344820415729676640901667208873488386063668753080194507",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Cabinet"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-06T23:17:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd6c186dd4a5167684c27462d0bb541bd22ca4861298c00ade1991c6240364762 | 0x651fb041dcfe3837d15824bafda9f166cbef1106f857d4e4a34092efd1a479d3 | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, ET and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-trump-create-a-national-bitcoin-reserve-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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{
"token_id": "15260030474401637547988724347750124574588252581599474544130642926166584463581",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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"Crypto Policy",
"Executive Actions",
"Economic Policy",
"First 100 days",
"Crypto Reserve",
"Crypto Summit"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T22:42:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x04e07c6085d96ecc1ac7568d6cb640f09e4d300a25afc763b67f15d8f2c8597c | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1704 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased by 1 or more basis points above the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1700 | 0xf497c9ea1a49a4fb69793ac89fde01f6bd5013c5b44983d35073e90840d848ce | {
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "111910413422671918936122538535145431385909364082485858588595246969087543566638",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
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"Economy",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T15:49:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x62568d4e9884a3f8c3349f9ee8ef5da6a7477405a393166f68a5782a95a26f22 | 0x661748f922b24c69c9069df4dfb604d6a33dbda4f728c00d04d9bf4186e04d7c | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justice Sonia Sotomayor formally announces her retirement from the U.S. Supreme Court by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Sotomayor will qualify regardless of whether her retirement has gone into effect by this market's end date.
The resolution source will be public statements from Sonia Sotomayor, one of her official representatives, and/or the government of the United States. | will-sotomayor-retire-from-scotus-before-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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},
{
"token_id": "100007408001752762007269576174978098214174725246563590572778689005881562998023",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Politics",
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"SCOTUS",
"Trending Markets",
"justice",
"Sonia Sotomayor"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T23:16:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x84f234a88cc4f71f0d83fa8d4530dd30e9da4eb58af796d0f0e5d60d19ef2fbc | 0xeba423d6e7ca6469c6849add0e126f274af2020cd2783f7fb6d314191c413936 | Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain names of Epstein's associates by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| trump-declassifies-epstein-list | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | 2025-02-28T01:41:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "31244755639356401585427973242989959204761623347126970196039352731499470636667",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
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"Epstein",
"Declassification",
"MAGA",
"Trump Presidency",
"jeffry",
"ghislaine",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Kash Patel"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-10T00:04:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x51637548ec59b48eb3ccdbcf8c882a9e01a671a960458c4afb16bf80cc4e4e51 | 0x4654d536d7ad1f96f8fc79b7250b7d6ee418844862a82f9e92221e75595b41f6 | Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order or signs any bill into law that aims to limit or eliminate birthright citizenship in the United States by April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law or executive action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration. | trump-ban-on-birth-right-citizenship-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
"token_id": "79587517961083384645689478450044996584916942936818353038023685077388219385624",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T16:02:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc4a8d6ec696a71b24713fe890a20cf2fdb2ae21216d182899ab3bbd76624d14f | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e703 | GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 2.0% (inclusive) and 2.25% (exclusive) of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes. | gop-wins-popular-vote-by-2pt0-2pt25-or-more | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e700 | 0x109a7566379367b185c07d0ac9fb126374eb69da4a3128251896757da26f6a6a | {
"rates": null,
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Politics",
"US Election",
"Popular Vote",
"Margin of Victory"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T16:03:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x61688b20d65af6b5d476ba6f10679b64b3373a0e2c59fd0959b38758a8e43a99 | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e704 | GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 2.25% or more of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes. | gop-wins-popular-vote-by-2pt25-or-more | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e700 | 0x360ddf87bf8961a30777272cb5c765962b8291e2b44bf3b47654978e7aa08d78 | {
"rates": null,
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "86118545776564580817549473002962072930461122345174201747382649226800192347908",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
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"Popular Vote",
"Margin of Victory"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T16:01:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5d3043a139333b19234315dee7abe7543109c7a423ee0c98990e7eb28da2571f | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e702 | GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 1.75% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes. | gop-wins-popular-vote-by-1pt75-2pt0 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e700 | 0x13a60dccffa5e8e3e8b80e32241281656398d5ee6e961768d70fdb2b3737e5f7 | {
"rates": null,
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "28224776268145554385188595710877532222296883598840021675202732139854420678349",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
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"Popular Vote",
"Margin of Victory"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T21:30:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8e89d91cff090ce6696df4658a0c573fca0b878dd9685349b7c7f50507623e1b | 0xe5c701ee3bd370bbb62eff61776392cd5b718982360e6ac54ebc7cfd86f0ef02 | Trump deportation executive order on Day 1? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order that aims to increase, enhance, or facilitate the deportation of illegal immigrants on January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trumps 2017 executive orders, such as Executive Order 13768, which expanded categories for prioritized deportation, or Executive Order 13767, which strengthened border security and detention capacities related to illegal immigration are examples of Executives orders which would qualify.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration. | trump-deportation-executive-order-on-day-1 | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "57982438411128978947108450773611310618166938739480513302056129530047858431812",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
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"Mass Deportation",
"Inauguration",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T20:25:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7c753b012d53e4a70167ad6a41e0b909f269874c0297c6d383b1f1f3be505b51 | 0xc02c9725f3e5a770ff04f71df754870c1951cf28cd439d198ace93ae8b98e082 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Eric Adams is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| will-trump-pardon-eric-adams-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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"First 100 days",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T16:00:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x51f5cc47c2f0b706cd4981e84d1197460d0d662270e27b2f68e91fd515e3a875 | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e701 | GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 1.5% (inclusive) and 1.75% (exclusive) of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes. | gop-wins-popular-vote-by-1pt5-1pt75 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e700 | 0xe78e49d3e3ece8c9b5470e79e5bd9fc0699be76d788c4659b01c80ed5d5a32b6 | {
"rates": null,
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{
"token_id": "37023340924223414853775111478087565719439411272066736196057146446664596945304",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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"Margin of Victory"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T00:19:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x06f04f9b85b837e074369079ab1c8a27d600584a9f8cca12f8595995e8ebc6aa | 0x08f5e5d147412c75104f9b58da22046b83f7502814ee8de65884d1323d137892 | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration, withdraws the US from the Paris Climate Accords by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any announcement from Trump before he takes office will not qualify.
A withdrawal such as Trump Administration’s withdrawal from the accords in 2019 announced on November 4, 2019 would qualify (see: https://2017-2021.state.gov/on-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-the-paris-agreement/)
The primary resolution source will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-trump-withdraw-from-paris-climate-agreement-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"token_id": "111382792857968369749261893825509786696851678547061487875995978373648873548447",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fa... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T23:16:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8a2936976a62c57e47815a468807d8c59e37611c655c8bdb515c56626126705c | 0xcd9864199a7fbb8f826d8ee83c712bd7e40e8d732b994c54aef8009bb380432c | Trump declassifies Diddy list? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Sean John Combs which contain names of Diddy's associates by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| trump-declassifies-diddy-list | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "29314687597579879887495008274637574942627327912103325509049274276153685498995",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T00:27:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x539862ce6fb8a9f2761167dc95db07cc54f4b5af8118a0401fcd9095a43c4a42 | 0x8711fecfe0106af516a5cbfbf147f7397e6494b9189cf1c8f34ff5866aed3f5d | Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Tulsi Gabbard to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-tulsi-gabbard-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "61231128525722233416010776259308122827843425991727135948685571777863381146536",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T22:40:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x64123306a517e078fa636231a9cc9339a46bcfe3fadf62c92fdb031881c5d0d8 | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1700 | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 51 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-75-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1700 | 0x6437629767626a62d040a0c561548f61bc09d268c415ec181a50982e26a886f4 | {
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{
"token_id": "17236344785142893910230410579976386010600761811866369411443978881334968280338",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T21:56:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb987e20506a8f380a3b6dc7154b3fa9ee085c60b7aeca1777bf0bf3a5ccf54df | 0x40e1e232998d3afa0951c9b720fcf1592e90bf32bc148a74a0ca0efd7d6f2294 | Trump transgender sports ban? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order or signs any bill into law that aims to limit the ability of transgender athletes to compete in sports teams or leagues as a gender which does not correspond to their gender assigned at birth by April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration. | trump-transgender-sports-ban | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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],
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{
"token_id": "81936995067248997323251800413823769523809167682153265802173595241649787471091",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
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"gay",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T15:54:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0dfc286abc4e61acf80284882330e7f6a20ff8e5f4fff757912349c5f7d298ac | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e700 | GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by less than 1.5% of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes. | gop-wins-popular-vote-by-less-than-1pt5 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x334a34733db575c08be323da9f680e2a93f752499442fa793a85a18fec97e700 | 0xddf19c26a4e2dc512e49acedd56bb9e6dbf1e96cf6e03e567c72ccbb5ae2fb57 | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Politics",
"US Election",
"Popular Vote",
"Margin of Victory"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-11T21:55:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5bfeb95e1197817ad38e723e15a0b62dfaa5fca3664106acc93f6d01cc91f0a2 | 0x41932ed1c287301f2fe9ed4c45a7097fe625949b7aae5a624961e36f21b45a78 | Will Biden resign before inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by January 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-biden-resign-before-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T19:53:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc252e9bc09080c0a056c9aa4bd00ce5a8a261c61676cc96ffe84711d4c021977 | 0x2b2fe3b982a59d583f947f0df200e162b3c4ec5d8c6a3934fa37fa106bea1ae9 | Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas leader Khaled Mashal, is confirmed to have moved outside of Qatar by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official statement from the Government of Qatar announcing the removal of Hamas leadership from the country will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if Khaled Mashal is not been confirmed to have moved.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Qatar, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| hamas-out-of-qatar-before-trump-in-office | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tru... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-07T22:40:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf48f79d8e60ab1efa76e53bec8c005611bfdc097cc0e51dc2f612709c04f5acf | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1702 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by between 1 (inclusive) and 25 (inclusive) or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9c03abba2c2f2ee09d4af02feaa5d6e1a55f6a5505e5ebfbafd7181a29cc1700 | 0x1a02e7f79d39b18d95446c69883d4e5f1f766218d03710d87e35c3b53ee19cc2 | {
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"token_id": "43676459548019945544891306427721605369693078423952852640943584984070260281567",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"finance",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Macro Fed"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-08T00:30:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3f02f7f4510608657abe3441c090fa6a0c47231bb6f0fa2cc627ee4e28a620c2 | 0x6187a7321bdb1060f798edade25c0ba08d7aef5ddb2231cb99b3f6bebeb0d9e7 | Will Betsy DeVos be a member of the Trump administration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Betsy DeVos to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-betsy-davos-be-a-member-of-the-trump-administration | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "101587354552536491204911481549011487631865615494621187239138590518184257800763",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Trump",
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"Post Election",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:22:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8993564d86347f8808e61fba5b770f43b723f4bc2c145aaa00e28cc61739a7fb | 0xe8e796ad10f8cef3ec9ce8562158b084bdadea9ae733d2a5cfdb309e2bd4cc00 | Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Minnesota Vikings clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the Minnesota Vikings will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the Minnesota Vikings to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-minnesota-vikings-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "65340922606775755258044237813531691190078096557941199365687364179339322804802",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-18T19:57:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x039089cfc5d7fd2f2e82393c62be92dcef1f0dc765bccddd476a96c25b2ba03c | 0x1cbe26399fe40499144f6e82accf5133971b721714bfcd84d1f2434a7c7a3b05 | Will Dave Canales be the next coach fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dave Canales is the third head coach fired of the 2024-2025 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no NFL head coach is fired by January 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-dave-canales-be-the-next-coach-fired-3 | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x1cbe26399fe40499144f6e82accf5133971b721714bfcd84d1f2434a7c7a3b00 | 0xc8657517bcd2f4e6b4223870b803308087f49e39e11edf0a94d41ca066d35c95 | {
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"token_id": "33725516828212249710181334817008917089762075650190846447306369149134440816575",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-18T19:53:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd55ec6c1d91420251ff5bd96a5202abfa32e27616e544208ce6e59ced249b0b3 | 0x1cbe26399fe40499144f6e82accf5133971b721714bfcd84d1f2434a7c7a3b00 | Will Doug Pederson be the next coach fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Pederson is the third head coach fired of the 2024-2025 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no NFL head coach is fired by January 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-doug-peterson-be-the-next-coach-fired | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x1cbe26399fe40499144f6e82accf5133971b721714bfcd84d1f2434a7c7a3b00 | 0xd19f158468a1f7d9ccdfcf166dd964175c2771404b3fb514b755c2eeb56331c0 | {
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"token_id": "104575768924243188509445091394515994993136604440172549058957569670633056048837",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-17T16:59:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa98284a87e97931bed95d06bee22c68aac45b5d37d7c8e5e0112e072a167bb31 | 0x1d1e343c78f2a0bd6111b5b98b9ca72c743558332ecea0c9c6220642ff17449e | Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Manchester City finishes in the top 4 of the 2024-25 Premier League season. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
If it becomes mathematically certain that Manchester City will finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Manchester City to finish in the top 4, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market’s resolution. | will-manchester-city-finish-in-the-top-4-of-the-epl | 2025-05-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"token_id": "101485947050639631635471160527053230760183830572535998212855202877452833622687",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"England",
"Soccer",
"english"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-18T19:53:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9c04aff8c770ede892121833c413d6cc1e63d64e02719d816a00a65152e49d7f | 0x1cbe26399fe40499144f6e82accf5133971b721714bfcd84d1f2434a7c7a3b01 | Will Mike McCarthy be the next coach fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike McCarthy is the third head coach fired of the 2024-2025 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no NFL head coach is fired by January 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-mike-mccarthy-be-the-next-coach-fired-3 | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x1cbe26399fe40499144f6e82accf5133971b721714bfcd84d1f2434a7c7a3b00 | 0x38b29e0f92b1561705d4401d97b18e4496a540278a2492021a1ddf1b937eb2db | {
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"token_id": "27513905033814317026409019955990321338017999900229583792714160089478180599334",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:18:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x515d4f5fa972669a069c159d1125c4e6e822228ab1014ea50c2fd7aa7f4ab9e7 | 0xa7721922a4e0cc64d27d8ddd27543f48e679986048b14d41e835d4d6630ce8be | Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Buffalo Bills clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the Buffalo Bills will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the Buffalo Bills to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-buffalo-bills-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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{
"token_id": "5770783457681519805776046403725335570781999620826827116712817541118203156391",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fals... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-11T21:55:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xccbb012a207ef8254fe1db37c84fb1f17a3fc8737ddfe92bd7c5c1242b74f1bf | 0x35d91f7478434157e0bd19fe1ffe9a33c2505815b6fab0216fb727044956ae7f | Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump? | As of November 11, President Joe Biden has appointed and the Senate has confirmed 213 Article III federal judges. Donald Trump was able to successfully appoint 234 Judges. (see: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/11/politics/biden-senate-democrats-judicial-nominees/index.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Biden administration gets 235 or more Article III federal judges confirmed by January 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-biden-appoint-more-judges-than-trump | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "62952848183224331193640676282107062547450314366882958534613681322185675282387",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:23:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x887b8156004acad14f6ef1439010ef19152aa73ada4372a6af6e11190bb1f110 | 0x10b8c33fb8eb5de6cbcd5496c9e6d1223b586506cc12e4e7512b9b78b5e75257 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Chargers clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the Los Angeles Chargers will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the Los Angeles Chargers to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-los-angeles-chargers-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"outcome": "No",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-15T22:36:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9d6906fd8564bb5ae879247071678f40cd70f3309748f425d4fbbafcbc9d24a0 | 0x3b2fb1d41997d1c5e1fa18827702a096c8bd1fd5885894223734b0af26750b36 | Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech? | Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "drill baby drill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | will-trump-say-drill-baby-drill-during-his-inauguration-speech | 2025-02-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "94952180773426862683965555177201276935687493191604481179549162280788621549304",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "93101807266134911218992689969350129378143233025665889260647422979473157079593",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:19:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xaea240a989240ee22e5ac8e59fd4b63d675096399d18f7f100ba819b04736e05 | 0x16ca7d4b112e2b7ba384a9ef9f9fa78f56460810585bcb9c99416331e3310208 | Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the San Francisco 49ers clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the San Francisco 49ers will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the San Francisco 49ers to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "34878117184302921992044566763374280604288395900305530048046922298851152129236",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "44914856509332259717790348185557957943413352335313325094604277404072057952878",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"futures",
"NFL",
"playoffs"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:20:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc7e0fd5105b8567e03f1baf3411683bfb47ea4edf93f3904778817946f2678cb | 0xe4ed161323d70dd8ac9c1b0a57acd260f8bba61e33566b85cb2610c6315041a1 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Philadelphia Eagles clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the Philadelphia Eagles will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the Philadelphia Eagles to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "4685403401245133628187502279907434898500117286048876945170269568746001078925",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "87560626148206370626723043122127418189706095262756534241778517796601854322489",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Sports",
"futures",
"NFL",
"playoffs"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:21:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x17f61c5797a4fe98ab9a3d3d8e689d7380f5e37b69cd83e98702637c6736f8d1 | 0xb8eca9414659aca5eb48ea0bc1bca7f945ad287e46d4b28ee30cdbe95105da5d | Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Green Bay Packers clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the Green Bay Packers will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the Green Bay Packers to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-green-bay-packers-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 3
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46017019796506381454678478726380813074564267542857295409869910675422206134610",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "9806382844295727416810206803667328906885315421200081907854446909553228112614",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Sports",
"futures",
"NFL",
"playoffs"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-12T21:21:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfb9bce61b7a0faf86ad7e129a7aa43b15478f77186894b1488e3a33d9a75536d | 0x8de49f26e1877d4d7a9229f5e4e6199a751a7219a7ff73bb4fde77575c9675cc | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Pittsburgh Steelers clinch a spot in the 2024-25 NFL playoffs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
If it is a mathematical certainty that the Pittsburgh Steelers will make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes.” Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for the Pittsburgh Steelers to make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-make-the-2024-25-nfl-playoffs | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 3
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "51662791948375701594793814917437381571549019762086832794131581717487296225129",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "43690478829749296878406014546437125623170766902574776603962814984630480408698",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"futures",
"NFL",
"playoffs"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-11-15T22:19:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa0945545bf6ad2d1d7037aa9bf5d1f981f88f7c3eea45e19ad184ef4ef7ecc6b | 0xb7d83bbbecee336c6d3cf5b01701ea1dcb06aa7b1e2b835c6d9b48bb45bad6f6 | Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech? | Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | will-trump-say-mcdonalds-during-his-inauguration-speech | 2025-02-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "32245322414280719938861128579360678184644005571273688987088281801149430930214",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "64287342611821014143706934463914089017311257761915370049102200110972218985726",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] |
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