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id
string
context
string
step_unit
string
pressure_t0
float64
pressure_t1
float64
pressure_t2
float64
pressure_t3
float64
buffer_t0
float64
buffer_t1
float64
buffer_t2
float64
buffer_t3
float64
lag_t0
float64
lag_t1
float64
lag_t2
float64
lag_t3
float64
coupling_t0
float64
coupling_t1
float64
coupling_t2
float64
coupling_t3
float64
cross_step
int64
notes
string
label_cascade_state
int64
MSD-T001
Yield declines and QA backlog rises. Inventory shrinks. Second source slow.
months
0.5
0.64
0.78
0.9
0.66
0.54
0.38
0.26
0.3
0.56
0.78
0.92
0.52
0.7
0.86
0.94
2
lock-in trajectory
1
MSD-T002
Stable production and timely releases with healthy inventory.
months
0.28
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.84
0.82
0.8
0.78
0.18
0.22
0.24
0.26
0.3
0.34
0.36
0.38
0
stable
0
MSD-T003
Critical deviation delays release. Downstream trials depend on lots. Remediation slow.
months
0.56
0.72
0.84
0.94
0.62
0.48
0.32
0.2
0.36
0.66
0.84
0.94
0.6
0.78
0.9
0.96
1
early crossing
1
MSD-T004
Extra QC capacity added at t2. Inventory rebuild begins. Second source activated.
months
0.44
0.52
0.5
0.48
0.72
0.76
0.78
0.8
0.3
0.26
0.22
0.2
0.46
0.44
0.4
0.38
0
intervention works
0
MSD-T005
Inventory depleted. QA throughput constrained. Supply disruption likely.
months
0.6
0.76
0.9
0.98
0.6
0.44
0.26
0.16
0.34
0.66
0.9
0.98
0.58
0.78
0.94
1
2
visible lock-in
1
MSD-T006
Out-of-spec trend resolved through rapid CAPA. Release schedule holds.
months
0.36
0.44
0.48
0.46
0.78
0.74
0.72
0.7
0.22
0.26
0.28
0.26
0.34
0.38
0.4
0.38
0
containment
0
MSD-T007
Change control slow. Supplier dependency high. Downstream schedule rigid.
months
0.54
0.68
0.82
0.92
0.68
0.54
0.34
0.22
0.32
0.6
0.82
0.94
0.54
0.72
0.9
0.96
3
late lock-in
1
MSD-T008
Deviation trend flagged early. Batch prioritization restores supply flow.
months
0.4
0.5
0.56
0.54
0.74
0.7
0.72
0.74
0.34
0.3
0.26
0.24
0.5
0.48
0.44
0.42
0
recovered
0
MSD-T009
Repeated release failures. Inventory collapses. Remediation delayed.
months
0.58
0.72
0.88
0.96
0.62
0.46
0.28
0.18
0.34
0.64
0.88
0.96
0.56
0.76
0.92
0.98
2
supply disruption lock-in
1

What this repo does

This dataset tests whether a model can detect manufacturing drift forming over time and predict whether the program crosses into supply disruption lock-in by the final step.

Core quad

pressure
buffer
lag
coupling

Prediction target

label_cascade_state

Row structure

One row represents a short temporal window (t0–t3) across program months. It includes time-series values for pressure (deviations and schedule stress), buffer capacity (inventory and QA margin), governance lag (CAPA and change control latency), and coupling tightness (single-site and downstream dependency). The label marks whether supply disruption lock-in occurs by t3.

Files

data/train.csv
data/tester.csv
scorer.py

Evaluation

Run predictions on tester.csv
Score with scorer.py

License

MIT

Structural Note

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability.
The sample demonstrates the geometry.
Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables

• 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns
• Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis
• Real-time coherence monitoring
• Early warning before cascade events
• Collapse surface and recovery window modeling
• Integration and implementation support

Small samples reveal structure.
Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration

Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains.

For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture:
team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable.
Governance determines whether it propagates.

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