id string | context string | step_unit string | pressure_t0 float64 | pressure_t1 float64 | pressure_t2 float64 | pressure_t3 float64 | buffer_t0 float64 | buffer_t1 float64 | buffer_t2 float64 | buffer_t3 float64 | lag_t0 float64 | lag_t1 float64 | lag_t2 float64 | lag_t3 float64 | coupling_t0 float64 | coupling_t1 float64 | coupling_t2 float64 | coupling_t3 float64 | cross_step int64 | notes string | label_cascade_state int64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CL-0001 | Market stable. Competitors quiet. Program milestones on track. Partner commitments flexible. | quarters | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.8 | 0.18 | 0.2 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.3 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0 | stable landscape | 0 |
CL-0002 | Competitor announces early data. Internal review starts quickly. Differentiation buffer intact. | quarters | 0.34 | 0.4 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.7 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.4 | 0.42 | 0 | recoverable pressure | 0 |
CL-0003 | Competitor readout raises efficacy bar. Investor pressure rises. Strategy decision delayed. | quarters | 0.48 | 0.6 | 0.72 | 0.84 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.44 | 0.66 | 0.84 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.88 | 2 | delay compounding | 1 |
CL-0004 | Payer narrative shifts. Trial redesign needed. Governance lag increases. Partner coupling tight. | quarters | 0.52 | 0.64 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 0.4 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.54 | 0.74 | 0.88 | 0.5 | 0.66 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2 | cross t1-t2 | 1 |
CL-0005 | Multiple competitors release strong data. Valuation compresses. Funding options narrow. | quarters | 0.56 | 0.7 | 0.82 | 0.92 | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.6 | 0.82 | 0.92 | 0.56 | 0.72 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 1 | early crossing | 1 |
CL-0006 | Differentiation plan executed early. Trial endpoints sharpened. Partnership optionality preserved. | quarters | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.5 | 0.48 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.4 | 0.38 | 0 | intervention holds | 0 |
CL-0007 | Competitive pressure rises. Board decision delayed. Vendor commitments lock. Strategic coupling tight. | quarters | 0.5 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 0.9 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.5 | 0.76 | 0.9 | 0.48 | 0.64 | 0.82 | 0.92 | 1 | optionality loss | 1 |
CL-0008 | Competitor readout at t1 but rapid pivot restores differentiation buffer. | quarters | 0.46 | 0.58 | 0.6 | 0.56 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.52 | 0.5 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 0 | recovery path | 0 |
CL-0009 | Program continues under shrinking differentiation. Decisions slow. Funding tight. Deprioritization locks in. | quarters | 0.58 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.2 | 0.34 | 0.62 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.9 | 0.96 | 2 | deprioritization lock-in | 1 |
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