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id
string
context
string
step_unit
string
pressure_t0
float64
pressure_t1
float64
pressure_t2
float64
pressure_t3
float64
buffer_t0
float64
buffer_t1
float64
buffer_t2
float64
buffer_t3
float64
lag_t0
float64
lag_t1
float64
lag_t2
float64
lag_t3
float64
coupling_t0
float64
coupling_t1
float64
coupling_t2
float64
coupling_t3
float64
cross_step
int64
notes
string
label_cascade_state
int64
GRID-0001
Normal load. Adequate reserve margin. Fast response dispatch.
hours
0.22
0.26
0.28
0.3
0.86
0.84
0.82
0.8
0.18
0.2
0.22
0.24
0.3
0.34
0.36
0.38
0
stable grid
0
GRID-0002
Peak demand rising. Reserve margin narrowing. Response timely.
hours
0.34
0.4
0.44
0.46
0.78
0.74
0.72
0.7
0.22
0.24
0.26
0.28
0.34
0.38
0.4
0.42
0
recoverable stress
0
GRID-0003
Heatwave spike. Reserve thin. Dispatch delay. Transmission coupling tight.
hours
0.48
0.6
0.72
0.84
0.7
0.6
0.46
0.34
0.28
0.44
0.66
0.84
0.42
0.58
0.74
0.88
2
lock-in forming
1
GRID-0004
Generator outage plus demand surge. Slow frequency response.
hours
0.52
0.64
0.76
0.88
0.66
0.54
0.4
0.28
0.32
0.54
0.74
0.88
0.5
0.66
0.8
0.9
2
frequency instability
1
GRID-0005
Transmission constraint escalates. Reserve depleted. Cascading trips.
hours
0.56
0.7
0.82
0.92
0.62
0.5
0.34
0.22
0.36
0.6
0.82
0.92
0.56
0.72
0.88
0.94
1
early crossing
1
GRID-0006
Load shedding initiated early. Reserve restored. Coupling reduced.
hours
0.44
0.52
0.5
0.48
0.72
0.76
0.78
0.8
0.3
0.26
0.22
0.2
0.46
0.44
0.4
0.38
0
intervention holds
0
GRID-0007
Multiple unit outages. Dispatch backlog. Grid tightly coupled.
hours
0.5
0.62
0.78
0.9
0.68
0.56
0.38
0.26
0.28
0.5
0.76
0.9
0.48
0.64
0.82
0.92
1
system-wide stress
1
GRID-0008
Demand spike managed with fast ramping reserves.
hours
0.46
0.58
0.6
0.56
0.66
0.62
0.68
0.7
0.4
0.34
0.28
0.24
0.52
0.5
0.46
0.42
0
recovery path
0
GRID-0009
Reserve exhausted. Delayed response. High interconnect dependency.
hours
0.58
0.72
0.86
0.94
0.6
0.48
0.32
0.2
0.34
0.62
0.86
0.94
0.58
0.74
0.9
0.96
2
blackout lock-in
1

What this repo does

This dataset tests whether a model can detect a power grid stress cascade forming over time and predict whether blackout lock-in occurs by the final step.

Core quad

pressure
buffer
lag
coupling

Prediction target

label_cascade_state

Row structure

One row represents a short time window (t0–t3) of grid stress conditions including demand pressure, reserve buffer margin, response lag, and interconnect coupling tightness. The label marks whether cascade lock-in (blackout formation) is reached by t3.

Files

data/train.csv
data/tester.csv
scorer.py

Evaluation

Run predictions on tester.csv
Score with scorer.py

License

MIT

Structural Note

This dataset identifies a measurable coupling pattern associated with systemic instability.
The sample demonstrates the geometry.
Production-scale data determines operational exposure.

What Production Deployment Enables

• 50K–1M row datasets calibrated to real operational patterns
• Pair, triadic, and quad coupling analysis
• Real-time coherence monitoring
• Early warning before cascade events
• Collapse surface and recovery window modeling
• Integration and implementation support

Small samples reveal structure.
Scale reveals consequence.

Enterprise & Research Collaboration

Clarus develops production-scale coherence monitoring infrastructure for critical systems across healthcare, finance, infrastructure, and regulatory domains.

For dataset expansion, custom coherence scorers, or deployment architecture:
team@clarusinvariant.com

Instability is detectable.
Governance determines whether it propagates.

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