kyrexis: add business/kyrexis-business-plan.md
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business/kyrexis-business-plan.md
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# KYREXIS AI — Business Plan
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Version 1.0 · 2026-08-08 · Companion to `market/kyrexis-market-plan.md`
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---
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## 1. Business model
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KyrexisAI monetizes as an **add-on module** to the Sovereign Orchestrator
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ecosystem, with three tiers:
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| Tier | Price | What you get |
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|---|---|---|
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| **Core (open)** | Free (MIT) | Full `kyrexis/` module source, 21 tests, docs, skills, API routes |
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| **Quantum Skills Pro** | $29/mo or $290/yr | Managed KyrexisAI API (hosted), Messenger AI character hosting, progression analytics dashboard, priority support |
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| **Enterprise** | $5K–$25K/yr | Self-hosted deployment pack, custom skill additions, compliance pack, SLAs |
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No hardware sales, no QPU claims. Revenue = software + hosting + services.
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## 2. Revenue streams
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1. **Managed API subscriptions** (Quantum Skills Pro) — primary stream.
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2. **Enterprise self-host packs** — secondary, higher ACV.
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3. **Messenger AI character hosting** — per-character fee inside Pro.
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4. **Education licenses** — course/workshop packs (Segment D).
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5. **Sovereign cross-sell uplift** — KyrexisAI raises the value of the
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existing managed Sovereign tier (shared funnel).
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## 3. Cost structure
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| Item | Notes |
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|---|---|
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| Compute (API tier) | Stateless numpy services are cheap; ~$15–40/mo per active instance |
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| HF Space demo | Free tier (code-only Space, small) |
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| Support & docs | 1 part-time maintainer equivalent |
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| Marketing | Community-led; near-zero cash CAC |
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Module is deliberately dependency-light (numpy + fastapi + requests) —
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no QPU, no GPU, no cloud buckets required to run.
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## 4. Roadmap
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| Phase | Timing | Scope |
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|---|---|---|
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| **v1.0.0 — Module** | 2026-08-08 (this build) | Core, 5 skills, photonic, particle, progression, agents, API, tests, docs, skills, market/business plans |
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| **v1.1 — Hosted API** | +6 wk | Managed `/api/v1/kyrexis/*` + dashboard + API keys |
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| **v1.2 — Messenger live** | +12 wk | Messenger character hosting with real page tokens, webhook console |
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| **v2.0 — Skills marketplace** | +6 mo | User-defined quantum skills, skill versioning, analytics |
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| **v3.0 — Real-QPU adapter** | TBD | Optional backend adapter for real quantum providers (IBM/Qiskit-style) — still simulation-first by default |
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## 5. Financial projection (3 years)
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| Year | Paid subs | ARPU/yr | Managed rev | Enterprise | Total rev | OpEx | Net |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Y1 | 400 | $180 | $72K | $50K | **$122K** | $60K | $62K |
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| Y2 | 1,400 | $180 | $252K | $180K | **$432K** | $140K | $292K |
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| Y3 | 3,200 | $180 | $576K | $320K | **$896K** | $260K | $636K |
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Assumptions: conversion of open-source downloads (≈1–3%), 3-year SOM
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target ≈ $9.0M/yr run-rate per the market plan is intentionally
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aspirational; the conservative plan above lands at ~$0.9M by Year 3.
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Break-even: month 7 (Y1), driven by Pro tier.
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## 6. Operations
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- **Distribution**: ships inside `deepseek-v4-sovereign` (registry,
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guarded router, tests, docs) + standalone `kyrexis.api.app`.
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- **Quality gates**: 21 module tests in the 71-test fast suite; registry
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validator covers the module YAML; release via the existing build/publish
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pipeline (v0.4.0 next).
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- **Data plane**: `buckets/kyrexis-bucket.yaml` (state, photonic,
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progression, messenger — object-locked transcripts).
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- **Support**: GitHub issues; Pro = Discord + email; Enterprise = SLA.
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## 7. Risks and mitigations
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| Risk | Mitigation |
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|---|---|
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| Quantum claim scrutiny | "Quantum-inspired/simulated" labeling everywhere; honest math in engine |
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| Low paid conversion (open-source users stay free) | Pro tier anchored on hosting + Messenger + analytics, not on the module code |
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| Dependency on Sovereign ecosystem traction | Standalone `kyrexis.api.app` runs without the orchestrator |
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| Messenger platform policy changes | Webhook layer is thin; abstraction allows other chat backends |
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| Spec-anchor confusion (368× etc.) | Docs + tests lock both the headline and the honest computed value |
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