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We present a self-contained proof of the reflection principle for Brownian Motion. |
We study a continuous-time random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ in an environment of random conductances taking values in $(0,\infty)$. For a static environment, we extend the quenched local limit theorem to the case of a general speed measure, given suitable ergodicity and moment conditions on the conductances and on the sp... |
Given a sequence $(M_{n},Q_{n})_{n\ge 1}$ of i.i.d.\ random variables with generic copy $(M,Q) \in GL(d, \R) \times \R^d$, we consider the random difference equation (RDE) $$ R_{n}=M_{n}R_{n-1}+Q_{n}, $$ $n\ge 1$, and assume the existence of $\kappa >0$ such that $$ \lim_{n \to \infty}(\E{\norm{M_1 ... M_n}^\kappa}... |
We say that a random vector $X=(X_1,...,X_n)$ in $R^n$ is an $n$-dimensional version of a random variable $Y$ if for any $a\in R^n$ the random variables $\sum a_iX_i$ and $\gamma(a) Y$ are identically distributed, where $\gamma:R^n\to [0,\infty)$ is called the standard of $X. $ An old problem is to characterize those f... |
By viewing the $N$-simplex as the set of positions of $N-1$ ordered particles on the unit interval, the adjacent walk is the continuous time Markov chain obtained by updating independently at rate 1 the position of each particle with a sample from the uniform distribution over the interval given by the two particles ad... |
We derive high-dimensional scaling limits and fluctuations for the online least-squares Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) algorithm by taking the properties of the data generating model explicitly into consideration. Our approach treats the SGD iterates as an interacting particle system, where the expected interaction... |
We consider random right-angled Coxeter groups, $W_{\Gamma}$, whose presentation graph $\Gamma$ is taken to be an Erdős--Rényi random graph, i.e., $\Gamma\sim \mathcal{G}_{n,p}$. We use techniques from probabilistic combinatorics to establish several new results about the geometry of these random groups. |
We investigate the hypergroup property for the family of orthogonal polynomials associated with the deltoid curve in the plane, related to the A 2 root system. This provides also the same property for another family of polynomials related to the G 2 root system. |
We study a continuous time random walk on the $d$-dimensional lattice, subject to a drift and an attraction to large clusters of a subcritical Bernoulli site percolation. We find two distinct regimes: a ballistic one, and a subballistic one taking place when the attraction is strong enough. |
We study the limiting fluctuations of the number of sign and level-set clusters of the Gaussian free field on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \ge 3$, that are contained in a large domain. In dimension $d \ge 4$ we prove that the fluctuations are Gaussian at all non-critical levels, while in dimension $d=3$ we show that fluctuation... |
The article is devoted to the expansions of iterated Ito stochastic integrals based on generalized multiple Fourier series converging in the sense of norm in the space $L_2([t, T]^k),$ $k\in\mathbb{N}. $ The method of generalized multiple Fourier series for expansion and mean-square approximation of iterated Ito stocha... |
The star-shaped $\Lambda$-coalescent and corresponding $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot process where the $\Lambda$ measure has a single atom at unity are studied in this paper. The transition functions and stationary distribution of the $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot process are derived in a two-type model with mutation. |
We study a large class of critical two-dimensional Ising models, namely critical Z-invariant Ising models. Fisher [Fis66] introduced a correspondence between the Ising model and the dimer model on a decorated graph, thus setting dimer techniques as a powerful tool for understanding the Ising model. |
Hasegawa and Petz introduced the notion of dual statistically monotone metrics. They also gave a characterisation theorem showing that Wigner-Yanase-Dyson metrics are the only members of the dual family. |
The present paper extends the results on the ferromagnetic Dyson models from \cites{EFMV2024, JOP2025} to the near-critical and strongly interacting regimes. As part of our main result, we further establish Gaussian concentration bounds for the unique infinite-volume Gibbs measure throughout the entire supercritical r... |
Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are essentially modeled as randomly weighted sums, in which it is assumed that the... |
We prove existence of a stochastic flow of diffeomorphisms generated by SDEs with drift in $L^q_t C^{0, \alpha}_x$ for any $q \in [2, \infty)$ and $\alpha \in (0, 1)$. This result is achieved using a Zvonkin-type transformation for the SDE. |
We formulate the MFG limit for $N$ interacting agents with a common noise as a single quasi-linear deterministic infinite-dimensional partial differential second order backward equation. We prove that any its (regular enough) solution provides an $1/N$-Nash-equilibrium profile for the initial $N$-player game. |
We prove that a sum of random matrices generated by a $\psi$-mixing Markov chain has similar spectral properties to a Gaussian matrix with the same mean and covariance structure. This nonasymptotic universality principle enables sharp concentration inequalities when combined with recent advances in the Gaussian litera... |
A class of stochastic processes, called "weak Dirichlet processes", is introduced and its properties are investigated in detail. This class is much larger than the class of Dirichlet processes. |
We describe a universal transition mechanism characterizing the passage to an annealed behavior and to a regime where the fluctuations about this behavior are Gaussian, for the long time asymptotics of the empirical average of the expected value of the number of random walks which branch and annihilate on ${\mathbb Z}^... |
We study a method, Extra Chance Generalized Hybrid Monte Carlo, to avoid rejections in the Hybrid Monte Carlo method and related algorithms. In the spirit of delayed rejection, whenever a rejection would occur, extra work is done to find a fresh proposal that, hopefully, may be accepted. |
We consider Poisson's equation for quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) and we exploit the special transition structure of QBDs to obtain its solutions in two different forms. One is based on a decomposition through first passage times to lower levels, the other is based on a recursive expression for the deviati... |
In this short note, we find an equivalent combinatorial condition only involving finite sums under which a centered Gaussian random vector with multinomial covariance matrix satisfies the Gaussian product inequality (GPI) conjecture. These covariance matrices are relevant since their off-diagonal elements are negative... |
This small note yields a sufficient condition for the short range dependence of measurable stationary infinitely divisible moving average random fields with $d$--dimensional index space. Here, the short/long range dependence concept in borrowed from the paper of Kulik and Spodarev (2021). |
We provide a new exponential concentration inequality for <br>First Passage Percolation valid for a wide class of edge times distributions. This improves and extends a result by Benjamini, Kalai and Schramm which gave a variance bound for Bernoulli edge times. |
This paper shows the equivalence class definition of graphons hinders a direct development of dynamics on the graphon space, and hence proposes a state-driven approach to obtain dynamic graphons. The state-driven dynamic graphon model constructs a time-index sequence of the permutation-invariant probability measures o... |
We investigate a class of topological monoids with a suitable family of characters which we call Feller topological monoids. We extend the classical notion of subordinators to subordinators on Feller topological monoids. |
We investigate the genealogical structure of general critical or subcritical continuous-state branching processes. Analogously to the coding of a discrete tree by its contour function, this genealogical structure is coded by a real-valued stochastic process called the height process, which is itself constructed as a l... |
In this paper, we study a stochastic parabolic problem involving a nonlocal diffusion operator associated with nonlocal Robin-type boundary conditions. The stochastic dynamics under consideration are driven by a mixture of a classical Brownian and a fractional Brownian motions with Hurst index $H\in(\frac{1}{2}, 1). |
We prove that every two-player non-zero-sum Borel game with lower-semi-continuous payoffs admits a subgame-perfect $\ep$-equilibrium. This result complements Example 3 in Solan and Vieille (2003), which shows that a subgame-perfect $\ep$-equilibrium need not exists when the payoffs are not lower-semi-continuous. |
A conjecture of Benjamini & Schramm from 1996 states that any finitely generated group that is not a finite extension of Z has a non-trivial percolation phase. Our main results prove this conjecture for certain groups, and in particular prove that any group with a non-trivial homomorphism into the additive group o... |
We give an invariance principle for very general additive functionals of conditioned Bienaym{é}-Galton-Watson trees in the global regime when the offspring distribution lies in the domain of attraction of a stable distribution, the limit being an additive functional of a stable L{é}vy tree. This includes the case when... |
We consider signal reconstruction from the norms of subspace components generalizing standard phase retrieval problems. In the deterministic setting, a closed reconstruction formula is derived when the subspaces satisfy certain cubature conditions, that require at least a quadratic number of subspaces. |
Competing urns refers to the random experiment where m balls are dropped, randomly and independently, into urns 1,...,n. Formally, we have a random map $\sigma$ from {1,...,m} to {1,...,n} with the $\sigma(i)$'s i.i.d. With $x_j$ the indicator of the event that at least $t_j$ balls land in urn j (for some threshol... |
We prove a new Donsker's invariance principle for independent and identically distributed random variables under the sub-linear expectation. As applications, the small deviations and Chung's law of the iterated logarithm are obtained. |
We consider a random tree and introduce a metric in the space of trees to define the ``mean tree'' as the tree minimizing the average distance to the random tree. When the resulting metric space is compact we have laws of large numbers and central limit theorems for sequence of independent identically distribu... |
The rapidly growing hedge fund industry has provided individual and institutional investors with new investment vehicles and styles of management. It has also brought forward a new form of performance contract: hedge fund managers receive incentive fees which are typically a fraction of the fund net asset value (NAV) ... |
In this paper, we consider a Hard-Core $(HC)$ model with two spin values on Cayley trees. The conception of alternative Gibbs measure is introduced and translational invariance conditions for alternative Gibbs measures are found. |
The zero-truncated Poisson distributions are certain discrete probability distributions whose supports are the set of positive integers, which are also known as the conditional Poisson distributions or the positive Poisson distributions. In this paper, we introduce the r-truncated degenerate Poisson random variable wi... |
Ciesielski's isomorphism between the space of alpha-Hölder continuous functions and the space of bounded sequences is used to give an alternative proof of the large deviation principle for Wiener processes with values in Hilbert space. |
Models for generating simple graphs are important in the study of real-world complex networks. A well established example of such a model is the erased configuration model, where each node receives a number of half-edges that are connected to half-edges of other nodes at random, and then self-loops are removed and mul... |
Regular $g$-measures are discrete-time processes determined by conditional expectations with respect to the past. One-dimensional Gibbs measures, on the other hand, are fields determined by simultaneous conditioning on past and future. |
We establish numerical methods for solving the martingale optimal transport problem (MOT) - a version of the classical optimal transport with an additional martingale constraint on transport's dynamics. We prove that the MOT value can be approximated using linear programming (LP) problems which result from a discr... |
We observe stationary random tessellations $X=\{\Xi_n\}_{n\ge1}$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$ through a convex sampling window $W$ that expands unboundedly and we determine the total $(k-1)$-volume of those $(k-1)$-dimensional manifold processes which are induced on the $k$-facets of $X$ ($1\le k\le d-1$) by their intersections w... |
Reaction networks are commonly used within the mathematical biology and mathematical chemistry communities to model the dynamics of interacting species. These models differ from the typical graphs found in random graph theory since their vertices are constructed from elementary building blocks, i.e., the species. |
The last success problem is an optimal stopping problem that aims to maximize the probability of stopping on the last success in a sequence of independent $n$ Bernoulli trials. In the classical setting where complete information about the distributions is available, Bruss~\cite{B00} provided an optimal stopping policy... |
For multiparticle finite-state action evolutions, we prove that the observation $ \sigma $-field admits a resolution involving a third noise which is generated by a random variable with uniform law. The Rees decomposition from the semigroup theory and the theory of infinite convolutions are utilized in our proofs. |
We consider coherent sublinear expectations on a measurable space, without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure. By considering a decomposition of the space in terms of the supports of the measures representing our sublinear expectation, we give a simple construction, in a quasi-sure sense, of th... |
A random walk is a basic stochastic process on graphs and a key primitive in the design of distributed algorithms. One of the most important features of random walks is that, under mild conditions, they converge to a stationary distribution in time that is at most polynomial in the size of the graph. |
We study homogeneous quantum Lévy processes and fields with independent additive increments over a noncommutative *-monoid. These are described by infinitely divisible generating state functionals, invariant with respect to an endomorphic injective action of a symmetry semigroup. |
In this paper we investigate explicit numerical approximations for stochastic differential delay equations (SDDEs) under a local Lipschitz condition by employing the adaptive Euler-Maruyama (EM) method. Working in both finite and infinite horizons, we achieve strong convergence results by showing the boundedness of th... |
We will investigate a random mass splitting model and the closely related random walk in a random environment (RWRE). The heat kernel for the RWRE at time t is the mass splitting distribution at t. |
Our objective is to explore random walks on the general linear group, constrained to a specific domain, with a primary focus on establishing the conditioned local limit theorem. This paper marks the initial stride toward achieving this goal, specifically entailing the construction of a novel entity -- the target harmo... |
We consider the family of multiplicative Brownian motions $G_{\lambda,\tau}$ on the general linear group introduced by Driver-Hall-Kemp. They are parametrized by the real variance $\lambda\in \mathbb{R}$ and the complex covariance $\tau \in \mathbb{C}$ of the underlying elliptic Brownian motion. |
We determine the distributions of lengths of runs in random sequences of elements from a totally ordered set (total order) or partially ordered set (partial order). In particular, we produce novel formulae for the expected value, variance, and probability generating function (PGF) of such lengths in the case of an arb... |
For certain random variables that arise as limits of functionals of random finite trees, we obtain precise asymptotics for the logarithm of the right-hand tail. Our results are based on the facts |
The spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process (Barton, Etheridge and Véber, 2010) can be seen as a generalised Voter Model with configuration space $M^{R^d}$, where M is the set of probability measures on some space K. Such processes are usually studied thanks to a dual process that describes the genealogy of a sample... |
The solution of Poisson's equation plays a key role in constructing the martingale through which sums of Markov correlated random variables can be analyzed. In this paper, we study two different representations for the solution in countable state space, one based on regenerative structure and the other based on an... |
In this paper we fill a gap in the literature by providing exact and explicit expressions for the correlation of general Hawkes processes together with its intensity process. Our methodology relies on the Poisson imbedding representation and on recent findings on Malliavin calculus and pseudo-chaotic representation fo... |
We extend a recently developed method to solve semi-linear PDEs to the case of a degenerated diffusion. Being a pure Monte Carlo method it does not suffer from the so called curse of dimensionality and it can be used to solve problems that were out of reach so far. |
In [CGN12], we proved that the renormalized critical Ising magnetization fields $\Phi^a:= a^{15/8} \sum_{x\in a\, \Z^2} \sigma_x \, \delta_x$ converge as $a\to 0$ to a random distribution that we denoted by $\Phi^\infty$. The purpose of this paper is to establish some fundamental properties satisfied by this $\Phi^\in... |
Schramm-Loewner evolution (SLE$_\kappa$) is classically studied via Loewner evolution with half-plane capacity parametrization, driven by $\sqrt{\kappa}$ times Brownian motion. This yields a (half-plane) valued random field $\gamma = \gamma (t, \kappa; \omega)$. |
The stochastic sandpile model (SSM) is a generalisation of the standard Abelian sandpile model (ASM), in which topplings of unstable vertices are made random. When unstable, a vertex sends one grain to each of its neighbours independently with probability $p \in (0,1)$. |
We study the directed last-passage percolation model on the planar integer lattice with nearest-neighbor steps and general i.i.d. weights on the vertices, outside the class of exactly solvable models. In a previous paper we constructed stationary cocycles and Busemann functions for this model. |
We consider $N$ bosons in a box in $\mathbb {R}^d$ with volume $N/\rho$ under the influence of a mutually repellent pair potential. The particle density $\rho\in (0,\infty)$ is kept fixed. |
We prove the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for a discrete time financial market where trading is subject to proportional transaction cost and the asset price dynamic is modeled by a family of probability measures, possibly non-dominated. Using a backward-forward scheme, we show that when the market consists of ... |
In this paper, we study the well-posedness and regularity of non-autonomous stochastic differential algebraic equations (SDAEs) with nonlinear, locally Lipschitz and monotone (2) coefficients of the form (1). The main difficulty is the fact that the operator A(.) is non-autonomous, i. |
We prove that under fairly general conditions properly rescaled determinantal random point field converges to a generalized Gaussian random process. |
We study a random graph model which is a superposition of the bond percolation model on $Z^d$ with probability $p$ of an edge, and a classical random graph $G(n, c/n)$. We show that this model, being a {\it homogeneous} random graph, has a natural relation to the so-called "rank 1 case" of {\it inhomogeneous} ... |
We introduce a rate balance principle for general (not necessarily Markovian) stochastic processes. Special attention is given to processes with birth and death like transitions, for which it is shown that for any state $i$, the rate of two consecutive transitions from $i-1$ to $i+1$, coincides with the corresponding ... |
The empirical measure of an interacting particle system is a purely atomic random probability measure. In the limit as the number of particles grows to infinity, we show for McKean-Vlasov systems with common noise that this measure becomes absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure for almost all times, al... |
All (in)homogeneous bond percolation models on the square, triangular, and hexagonal lattices belong to the same universality class, in the sense that they have identical critical exponents at the critical point (assuming the exponents exist). This is proved using the star-triangle transformation and the box-crossing ... |
We give a systematic development of the application of matrix norms to rapid mixing in spin systems. We show that rapid mixing of both random update Glauber dynamics and systematic scan Glauber dynamics occurs if any matrix norm of the associated dependency matrix is less than 1. |
We establish the exponential ergodic property in a weighted total variation distance of continuous-state branching processes with immigration in random environments with competition and catastrophes, under a Lyapunov-type condition and other mild assumptions. The proof is based on a Markov coupling process along with ... |
A hyperlink is a finite set of non-intersecting simple closed curves in $\mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^3$. Let $R$ be a compact set inside $\mathbf{R}^3$. |
This paper surveys the results of recent collaborations with Eric Derbez and with Takashi Hara, which show that intergrated super-Brownian excursion (ISE) arises as the scaling limit of both lattice trees and the incipient infinite percolation cluster, in high dimensions. A potential extension to oriented percolation ... |
We investigate here a generalized construction of spherical wavelets/needlets which admits extra-flexibility in the harmonic domain, i.e., it allows the corresponding support in multipole (frequency) space to vary in more general forms than in the standard constructions. We study the analytic properties of this system... |
Using the Kleisi category of the Giry monad the deterministic existential and universal quantifiers are generalized to incorporate nondeterminism. These probabilistic quantifiers are quantified over the points of the category which are probability measures. |
We give a simple proof of the moment-indeterminacy of the sequence $(n!)^t$ for $t > 2,$ using Lin's condition. Under a logarithmic self-decomposability assumption, the method conveys to power sequences defined as the rising factorials of a given Bernstein function, and to more general infinitely divisible mome... |
We give a simple non-analytic proof of Biggins' theorem on martingale convergence for branching random walks. |
We prove edge universality for a general class of correlated real symmetric or complex Hermitian Wigner matrices with arbitrary expectation. Our theorem also applies to internal edges of the self-consistent density of states. |
This paper is mainly concerned with the large deviation principle of the fractional McKean-Vlasov stochastic reaction-diffusion equation defined on R^n with polynomial drift of any degree. We first prove the well-posedness of the underlying equation under a dissipative condition, and then show the strong convergence o... |
We will develop some elements in stochastic analysis in the Wasserstein space $\mathbb{P}_2(M)$ over a compact Riemannian manifold $M$, such as intrinsic It$ô$ formulae, stochastic regular curves and parallel translations along them. We will establish the existence of parallel translations along regular curves, or sto... |
In this paper we review and compare the numerical evaluation of those probability distributions in random matrix theory that are analytically represented in terms of Painlevé transcendents or Fredholm determinants. Concrete examples for the Gaussian and Laguerre (Wishart) beta-ensembles and their various scaling limit... |
For basic discrete probability distributions, $-$ Bernoulli, Pascal, Poisson, hypergeometric, contagious, and uniform, $-$ $q$-analogs are proposed. |
We consider stochastic PDEs on the $d$-dimensional torus with fractional Laplacian of parameter $\rho\in(0,2]$, quadratic nonlinearity and driven by space-time white noise. These equations are known to be locally subcritical, and thus amenable to the theory of regularity structures, if and only if $\rho > d/3$. |
We study the problem of pathwise stochastic optimal control, where the optimization is performed for each fixed realisation of the driving noise, by phrasing the problem in terms of the optimal control of rough differential equations. We investigate the degeneracy phenomenon induced by directly controlling the coeffic... |
For a Borel set $A$ and a stationary Poisson point process $\eta_t$ in $\mathbb R^d$ of intensity $t>0$, the Poisson-Delaunay approximation $ A_{\eta_t}$ of $A$ is the union of all Delaunay cells generated by $\eta_t$ with center in $A$. It is shown that $\lambda_d(A_{\eta_t})$ is an unbiased estimator for $\lambda... |
Semi-Levy process is an additive process with periodically stationary increments. In particular, it is a generalization of Levy process. |
We consider the two dimensional version of a drainage network model introduced by Gangopadhyay, Roy and Sarkar, and show that the appropriately rescaled family of its paths converges in distribution to the Brownian web. We do so by verifying the convergence criteria proposed by Fontes, Isopi, Newman and Ravishankar. |
We prove anti-concentration results for polynomials of independent random variables with arbitrary degree. Our results extend the classical Littlewood-Offord result for linear polynomials, and improve several earlier estimates. |
Consider critical percolation in two dimensions. Under the condition that there are k disjoint alternating black and white arms crossing the annulus A(l,n), we prove a central limit theorem and variance estimates for the winding angles of the arms (as n\rightarrow \infty, l fixed). |
We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. |
This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t} dt+v(\theta_{t})S_{t} dB_{t}, \] where $B=(B_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is a Brownian motion... |
In one and two dimensions, the first-passage time for a diffusing particle in the presence of a radial potential flow to hit a sphere, conditioned on actually hitting the sphere, is independent of the sign of the drift. Moreover, the first-passage distribution for an inward (negative) drift is identical to the first-p... |
We establish well-posedness results for multidimensional non degenerate $\alpha$-stable driven SDEs with time inhomogeneous singular drifts in $\mathbb{L}^r-{\mathbb B}_{p,q}^{-1+\gamma}$ with $\gamma<1$ and $\alpha$ in $(1,2]$, where $\mathbb{L}^r$ and ${\mathbb B}_{p,q}^{-1+\gamma} $ stand for Lebesgue and Besov s... |
We give an asymptotic formula for the single site height distribution of Abelian sandpiles on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ as $d \to \infty$, in terms of $\mathsf{Poisson}(1)$ probabilities. We provide error estimates. |
This paper introduces a Markov process inspired by the problem of quasicrystal growth. It acts over dimer tilings of the triangular grid by randomly performing local transformations, called {\em flips}, which do not increase the number of identical adjacent tiles (this number can be thought as the tiling energy). |
For a one-dimensional Wiener process with stochastic resetting ${\cal X}(t)$, obtained from an underlying Wiener process $X(t),$ we study the statistical properties of its first-passage time through zero, when starting from $x>0,$ and its first-passage area, that is the random area enclosed between the time axis and... |
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