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my friend messaged me in short,

"HBD HBD HBD"
So
on his anniversary
I messaged him,

"HA HA HA" बीवी भी हक जताती है, माँ भी हक जताती है ,

शादी के बाद आदमी कश्मीर हो जाता है ।। Just the one new follower today found welcome tracked by https://t.co/4ET2OkTg14 2 people followed me today tracked by https://t.co/4ET2OkTg14 Just the one new follower today found welcome tracked by https://t.co/4ET2OkTg14 अगर कोई कहता है की #BurhanWani बंदूक
उठाने वाला अंतिम बंदा नहीं था तो वो
यह भूल रहा है कि #IndianArmy की तरफ से
भी यह अंतिम गोली नहीं थी. @zubinaahmad @riturathaur @sardanarohit बहुत ही बेहतरीन पंक्तिया हें । #TirangaInNITsrinagar tells us
why Kashmiris fears of abolish on Article 370 coz if it abolish, Bharat Tiranga will be wave on their homes शेर के पाँव में अगर काटा चूभ जाये तो उसका ये मतलब नहीं की अब जंगल मे कुत्तों का राज होगा..!!! अफवाह की भी हद होती है,अब लोग बोल रहे हैं
होली में प्रह्लाद की जगह कनहैया को बिठायेंगे,देश भक्त हुआ तो बच जायेगा। watch this https://t.co/Meaz95AF05 #KhalidSurrenders @ZubinaAhmad ये भड़वे @abpnewshindi जानते है
कि सहानुभुति उमड़ेगी.. India में
कुछ देशद्रोही है और बचे हुए बेवकूफ हें । @ZubinaAhmad After#FreedomOfExpression Now Waiting For JNU Students To Protest For #FreedomOfSexpression #BJPCountsCondoms #SexAndDrugsAtJNU @ZubinaAhmad JNU Students Use 3000Condoms Daily. 3000 Afzal
Guru's Die Daily. Sad! #BJPCountsCondoms #SexAndDrugsAtJNU @ZubinaAhmad JNU Students Use 3000Condoms Daily?Fir Har Ghar Se
Afzal Kaise Niklega? ;) #JNURow #BJPCountsCondoms
#SexAndDrugsAtJNU Lect:y do u hv Condoms in ur bag? Stu: AfzalB'day didn't found balloons. L:giv me few tomrw is Barkha's b'day #SexAndDrugsAtJNU @ZubinaAhmad @zubinaahmad ये lines पढ़ कर मन भा गया ,दीदी । अबे मौसम...!!
एक बात बता दे कि,,
स्वेटर रख दूँ या नहीं...??

ये रोज़-रोज़ की नौटंकी मुझे पसंद नहीं...!! अब ये अफवाह कौन फैला रहा है, कि डिटोल के ऐड में पोंछा लगाने के बाद जो दो कीटाणु रह जाते हैं उनमें से एक केजरीवाल और एक राहुल गान्धी है\| अब ये अफवाह कोंन फेला रहा हे की कम्पनी ने 251 का फोन इसलिए लॉन्च किया था ,की भारत में चुतियो की संख्या का पता चले #Freedom251 आजादी उनसे ली जाती है जो हमें
कैद करके रखें, गीदड़ कोंग्रेसियों
की इतनी औकात कहां जो शेरों
को पिंजरे में बंद कर सकें. #MarchForUnity #MarchForUnity शिक्षा भी कमाल की चीज़ है कम पढ़े लिखे देश की रक्षा कर रहे है और
PhD वाले देश के टुकड़े करने की कसमे
खा रहे है ! @ZubinaAhmad https://t.co/ZaXf3NcSiw watch this @sudhirchaudhary sir aapka location twitter pe (longitude and latitude ) publically show kr rha h ...turn off kr dijiye achchha rhega :) @sudhirchaudhary मैं आपसे पूरी तरह से सहमत हूँ । @zubinaahmad
please inform those saudi clerics that they will be repent on their statement @zubinaahmad @sudhirchaudhary आपकी रचनाएँ बेहतरीन हैं । धन्यवाद हम भक्त क्या हुए तुम तो देशद्रोही ही हो
गये, हमने मोदी को क्या चुना तुम विरोध
के लिये आतंकी को ही बाप बना बैठे !
#NoPlaceForTreason @zubinaahmad aap ye abusive sentences kiske liye use kr rhi ho? main smjha nhi ! @zubinaahmad Really Heart Touching @zubinaahmad @aapforindia @kushwahaprahla1 @sardanarohit @sudhirchaudhary @tarsemkpahi
really its unbelievable ....but anything can happen desh ke gaddaro ko goli maro saalo ko
desh ke gaddaro ko goli maro saalo ko #NoPlaceForTreason just reached 111 tweets ...it's awesome :-) :-) हमारे राष्ट्रनायक सुभाष चन्द्र बोष जी
को "तोजो का कुत्ता" कहने वाले गदार
वामपन्थी आज राष्ट्रभक्ति सिखला रहे
है। #ArrestTheTraitors भारत मे रहके पाकिस्तान जिंदाबाद के
नारे लगाना ठीक वैसा है,जैसे अपने
बाप के होतेहूए अपने पडोसी को अब्बाजान कहके पुकारना
#ArrestTheTraitors #StopAntiIndiaCampaign Prof.
Rizwan, JNU is nothing before our
great Motherland. We care damm for
it . If this incident was to happen in
Saudhi or Iran #JNU students would
have been beheaded in public.
#StopAntiIndiaCampaign Who said educated people in politics
may make a better India. JNU
peoples proves the idea is wrong.
#StopAntiIndiaCampaign An University In The Name Of
JawaharLalNehru today IsThe Hub
of AntiTerroristActivities Supported
By Rahul Gandhi
#StopAntiIndiaCampaign इनको पाकिस्तान मुर्दाबाद बोलने मॆ
तकलीफ होती है ..? ये कम्युनिस्ट देश पे
बोझ से ज्यादा कुछ नहीं। #CleanUpJNU Why Virat Kohli And Anushka Sharma Broke Up? https://t.co/mDNFHzuETt via @imParodyTimes गज़ब का देश है मेरा, जहा मौत सामने है ये जानते हुए भी लोग फ़ौज की नोकरी नहीं छोड़ते और कुछ लोग अखबार पढ़कर, देश छोड़नेे की बात करते है\| If u don't have gf/bf on valentines day, don't be so sad.
Remember there are so many people who don't have #HIV on #worlds_aids_day. ;-) जिंदगी भी विडियो गेम सी हो गयी है एक लैवल क्रॉस करो तो अगला लैवल और मुश्किल आ जाता हैं \| thanks TRAI for supporting #NetNeutrality , I hope that you all plan better for us .And please save the internet #ActuallyWhat IsLove in my opinion true love is sacrifice
and now I just remembered the song what is love ...:-) मिले क्योकि वो एक समाज का दोषी है।#सुप्रीम कोर्ट (part 3) इसलिए होती है की वो सच में अँधा है। क्योकि ये जरूरी नही की वो कानून के अंदर आये तभी उसे सजा मिले .... ..बल्कि इसीलिए सजा (part 2) अब जा कर मुझे ये समझ में आया की कानून के आँखों पर पट्टी इसलिए नही बंधी होती है की वो निष्पछ फैसला कर सके ..........बल्कि (part 1) Feeling sad https://t.co/Gs40Nh09gp अब जा कर मुझे ये समझ में आया की कानून (cont) https://t.co/k9ZBDwhVeu Hahaha
That's awesome https://t.co/05oSgRHW75 Hahahahha https://t.co/dEeXcH9xAd Shame shame https://t.co/mberANKDeh I totally agree https://t.co/eqbeT7Lw1J Issi baat ka to dukh h .. https://t.co/jG4EqFPXBM Don't let go the criminal because of errors in our judicial laws #NirbhayaCase "@AnupamPkher: 'इंसान' के जीवन में, सबसे
बड़ा गुरू 'वक्त' होता है . . .

क्योंकि 'वक्त' जो सिखाता है,
वो कोई सिखा नहीं सकता।:)" RT @aajtak: 'बदले में SMS के हमें फोन किया कर, दुनिया किसी गूंगे से कहानी नहीं सुनती'
https://t.co/ZzX8pG633C INDIA IS PLAYING GREAT . @TheNimitAgrawal I agree Happy Dewali . @hofrench I think this was intended for a different post? @hofrench (Can’t tell if you’re agreeing or disagreeing!) @hofrench ? Perhaps an unpopular opinion, but Bing’s (GPT-4-powered) search chatbot has been far more useful to me than ChatGPT itself “…the decision to conduct raids and detain staff from foreign companies has raised the spectre that Beijing will escalate hostage diplomacy if relations with the west deteriorate.” https://t.co/0tsiVuheWG @gwbstr @LyleJMorris @MichaelBCerny @PaulJHeer In other words, there are good theoretical reasons to expect that the hypothesis might be true. @gwbstr @LyleJMorris @MichaelBCerny @PaulJHeer It’s more than plausible that the main reasons Taiwanese people do not support de jure independence are linked to feeling threatened by China; to the extent the US presence decreases that perceived threat, we would expect support for independence to go up accordingly. @rzhongnotes It just keeps getting worse From @jjding99’s invaluable ChinAI newsletter, a translation of an in-depth comparison between Baidu’s Ernie and ChatGPT-4: “Ernie Bot was essentially beaten by GPT-4 in all aspects.” https://t.co/dz4B7bTO3N MSS think tank CICIR on lessons learned from the Ukraine war: “The US has used the Ukraine crisis to…strengthen its alliance system, stabilize its internal affairs, encircle Europe, and contain Russia, making it the biggest beneficiary of the crisis.” https://t.co/N8LcxiscR7 The American conversation about Taiwan is really starting to go off the rails https://t.co/T2ps4ER2O3 I recently learned that some ostensibly serious employers actually ask for SAT scores from mid-senior-level applicants and I just cannot Looking like it is time to start that Substack I’ve been noodling over @kiefer_nandez This is to my American number! These spam texts are getting weirder https://t.co/lprSJumzVL @naunihalpublic And those, yes @naunihalpublic I mean exiting has been hard too! But the challenges are much easier to handle when I'm not (in my case specifically) on the other side of the planet and 10k in flight tickets away from my primary support networks This was a key reason I left full-time academic work. For me, it wasn't worth the extreme distance from family and friends. “The U.S. government must be transparent about its knowledge of Chinese intelligence. If such information is not forthcoming—and scrutinized, debated, and challenged—there is a real prospect of another McCarthyite witch hunt.” https://t.co/RyyXyyc7TU @alorientalist I said nothing about it being badly written or full of mistakes. It was published in 2000 and much has changed since then. @spacer01 @Iron_Man_Actual One of many telling gems in that piece! @MikeFaganTaiwan The wording in the original wasn't specific about what was included, but amphibious in general refers to more than just transport vessels. 340 includes ships and submarines (not including maritime militia); 125 of those are surface combatants. https://t.co/hZfki3wJfK https://t.co/IfgFyAfLE7 None of this is to say that the PLA is confident it could succeed in a Taiwan invasion scenario (it is not), but it does drive home how much and how fast the PLA has upgraded its kit and personnel over the last 20 years. 8/8 6. Taiwan's forces were considered substantially more advanced -- no longer true 7/x 5. China only had ~70 amphibious ships (!) -- they're at around 340 vessels now 6/x https://t.co/hZfki3wJfK 4. "Most [PRC] soldiers [were] semiliterate peasants serving short tours of duty." No longer true, though it is the case that the PLA has struggled to retain the quality of personnel that it would prefer. 5/x 3. China had a very limited sealift capability -- definitely no longer true 4/x 2. PRC aircraft were not very capable -- also no longer true, 4th gen fighters make up most of the force now (though US still has a big edge here) 3/x 1. China's missiles were wildly inaccurate -- no longer true, CEPs are down to a few meters IIRC 2/x Rereading O'Hanlon's 2000 piece "Why China Cannot Conquer Taiwan" (even without American support) and finding it instructive to look at his reasoning and what has changed. 1/x https://t.co/g4mGuy2NwY “China views its vast trove of data as a strategic advantage…In practice, this means breaking data silos in the public sector, forming national databases in key industries, and establishing a market for transacting data assets.” https://t.co/gBez4Aiakv ICYMI, from @jessicacweiss: “In any society, there are people who go looking for a fight. But among the ranks of China’s top leaders, those people still appear to be less influential than those who recognize that it is better to win without fighting.” https://t.co/rTeCRKhtm4 “Taiwan now places emphasis on international relations that are more substantive than symbolic…Countries that can exert influence when something really happens in the Taiwan Strait are the focus of Taiwan’s current diplomacy.” https://t.co/Ul1uRnOy81 Keyu Jin, asked about the Uighurs’ plight: “This particular subject is something where I have so little information and I don’t know what’s going on and there’s so many different accounts….people should go take a look, then make a judgment on their own.” https://t.co/Nf77zkuKZY On CNKI: “‘It’s not like it’s been free and easy to use to begin with, we’ve always had trouble,’ [@vshih2] said, noting that the platform has embargoed ‘thousands of articles from foreign users’.” https://t.co/OpL7QQbHa5 “ByteDance is one of the most aggressive in executing a strategy known within the industry as ‘horse racing,’ where multiple teams are assigned to build the same product or feature with slight variations.” https://t.co/UH7ZjSK0EF “When asked how it approaches sensitive issues, [Baidu’s] bot said that it took into account the ‘relevant laws and moral standards’ when judging if a topic can be ‘openly discussed’.” https://t.co/gw2dELirih If we’re trying to assess China’s military capacities, this logic is…not it. Josh Hawley: “We pretty dramatically overestimated the strength of the Russian military. Don’t you think we’re dealing with a significantly more formidable adversary in China?”

ERROR: type should be string, got "https://t.co/FJrfS3TODo @NeysunM “Go see for yourself” This interview did not make me especially interested in reading the book tbh For me this was “endogeneity” @rzhongnotes Same! No. I feel like I, as an elder millennial, am sitting right on top of a generational chasm in opinions about TikTok. (In other words I love it, might even be mildly obsessed, but I also recognize it can be very problematic.) Will be interesting to see how all the joint venture and study away sites in China end up responding - my sense is they haven’t fully grappled with this change yet. “The problem with the “who lost China” debate of the 1950s was not that the Senate got the answer wrong…but rather that it was a bad question to begin with.” https://t.co/9BmnqAd8vC “For many Chinese students, Taiwan is just a jumping-off point for other opportunities outside of Asia. Many do not want to go back to China — it is too hard to find a job these days — so they hope to move to the United States, United Kingdom, or Europe.” https://t.co/bLsCdWkrER @rzhongnotes Fair but I enjoy the existence of this possibility nonetheless Wait On a Taiwan conflict: “American defence officials say they might see unambiguous signs of imminent war, such as stockpiling of blood supplies, only a fortnight ahead.” https://t.co/JV7TdtQ7VH “Ukraine was an opportunity the military leadership wanted to seize” - sounds from this report like the PLA wants tech over the training they so badly need. https://t.co/wA6wDjNpFn https://t.co/L8SLdE8Vop .@cfmeyskens reminds us: “Seemingly only by quashing Chinese sympathy for the United States do contemporary CCP leaders think they can fulfill their longstanding political mission of overcoming China’s century of humiliation.” https://t.co/BBk2Vja0Fg 👇 True, but at the same time, the appetite among business leaders to get back to normal with China is underappreciated. “…if Chinese decision-makers once believed that a first-tier economy was too big to sanction, this past year has been disconcerting.” https://t.co/pA2nxPvjN6 @fatbits But for flight circuit breakers I would have been there as well @yaling_jiang ❤️ Spoiler: I never did return https://t.co/WPpBrxnkyx Casual racism from a sitting Mississippi state legislator: https://t.co/JmhVQVjKIy @gnrosenberg I am having steak in Reykjavik and intend to remain in blissful ignorance of whatever online nonsense I missed tyvm @gnrosenberg Here for this subtweet even if I do not know its intended target Have been wondering about this @damienics My reaction exactly All this over a balloon. 🎈 “18. Your stunning and ruinous surroundings make you suspect that the apocalypse is near, has happened, or is currently happening, though nobody seems able to name why things are the way they are.” https://t.co/MSJBGnSlMh @georgelazenby Oh that is absolutely in the mix This detail makes me wonder if this is truly an unusual change or if someone is leaking to fire up nascent China hawks: “This type of activity is not unprecedented…but the difference this time is the balloon is staying over the U.S. longer than usual.” https://t.co/eX3MbrlZNe “Minihan, Cotton and McCaul are correctly reading the Great-Power-Competition room. Biden's team prefers to deny that they've furnished the room in such a fashion.” https://t.co/sAadjbmtfj Translation may go away as a selling point for analysts but I suspect it will take longer than we think. Plus, the corpus of Chinese-language texts is enormous (& partially offline), so curation + interpretation like @ZichenWanghere provides will remain crucial. “Washington’s endgame for this conflict has always been hazy. Does it seek to compel specific changes in Beijing’s behavior, or challenge the Chinese system itself?” https://t.co/J7JTOA9D9T @thian_un We didn’t get through the whole season sadly RIP Tweetbot https://t.co/znIUNIRrpt @thian_un Loved watching this with you! @alexanderchee Gay powers at maximum! @OutInNatSec Do tell @joelight Are you in dc now?? Life update: I am moving to DC in two weeks. Would love to meet up with any China folks who will be in town! 兔年快乐！ I am once again begging students and analysts alike to refrain from starting your essays with \"Since ancient times...\" https://t.co/CQu7LGiEfA @gnrosenberg Entirely fair @gnrosenberg Well tbh I’m not sure what defines this dimension? I pair them but otherwise chaos reigns @gnrosenberg Uhh I guess I’m chaotic good on this 😮😁🌈 Looks like most of the original reports in Chinese media have been disappeared: https://t.co/7FpITXFAxk Yicai reports that these claims were in error; supposedly they refer to an applet being built into the State Council's shipment tracking platform (货运行程宝). https://t.co/yAIMCvSgPo Apparently the platform was built partly to speed up vaccine delivery: https://t.co/Kw7Ym0SomH @HongyuYang14 Absolutely. Also doesn’t map onto left-right in China in the same way as elsewhere, but still… Will never forget the conference I attended in Beijing ~2012 where a speaker asked for a show of hands from people who believed climate change was real. Less than half the room raised their hands. @donweinland Yea not sure - landlord told me building had been sold and demolition was imminent last May, but who knows @donweinland Huh I thought they were supposed to have demolished the complex on the right (my old apartment!) 👇 @alexanderchee I would read the %#+ out of this Useful corrective thread on some of the commonly held (especially in China, now) assumptions about Omicron’s severity and the trajectory of SARS-CoV-2’s evolution Now where have I heard this sentiment before? 🤔 @chenchenzh I said the same so many times! Thankfully not on television tho \"If there is one issue that both sides seem to agree on, it is that the government is hurting its credibility by not providing reliable data on the extent of Covid outbreaks and deaths across the country.\" https://t.co/1bVKvcl0mf \"...just weeks ago, analysts, Unhedged included, assumed the zero-Covid exit would be phased in. We were all wildly wrong.\" https://t.co/V5MbL5ytag Lab-leak conspiracy theories about Covid aren't going away anytime soon, especially with Republicans in control of the House: https://t.co/LksoAbWYoL “…to the neoliberal university, a tenured professor is just some jerk taking up a valuable adjunct line…Imagined meritocracies mean little to extractive institutions.” https://t.co/X7qsInn7ev \"A doctor at Shanghai No 10 Hospital said staff had been instructed by the city’s health commission to limit Covid diagnoses. 'We are advised to label most cases as respiratory infection,' the doctor said.\" https://t.co/USXMR5F6US Immensely saddened by the loss of @blakehounshell. In addition to being a friend, he took a chance on me right out of college and gave me my first regular writing opportunity for @ForeignPolicy. I’m glad so many others also came to appreciate his talents: https://t.co/tKlKRFt5w8 I will be forever startled at how quickly DC elites let Pottinger recover his reputation after working for Trump I do wonder how long this will last...the mood in Europe is changing very quickly, though recession fears are indeed a major factor. \"Beijing’s main ploy is to attempt to reassure European counterparts that it is willing to use the closeness of its relationship with Moscow to restrain Putin from resorting to the use of nuclear weapons, Chinese and European officials say.\" https://t.co/mPUdQGcSOt U.S. Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel says the US is in discussions with South Korea on semiconductor restrictions; South Korean trade ministry says no such discussions are taking place. https://t.co/vNpIEhgRDv ICYMI: Leaked notes from an internal meeting indicate China's CDC \"was told that almost 250 million people in China—roughly 18% of the population—may have caught COVID-19 in the first 20 days of December.\" https://t.co/X6x93WrWTG @DenisonBe @ryancbriggs Happy to come up with some suggestions! I’m traveling through the weekend but if you shoot me a DM to remind me I’ll get back to you next week @dr_tey I think of it more as refusing to offer administrators useful information via that kind of categorization. I want them to focus on the content and nuance in the letter. @dr_tey I used to put a note in the letter that I make a policy of either not doing it at all or giving all students the same rank (depending on what the form requires) @pstAsiatech @CSIS I didn’t make a claim about which applications they were being trained for? ICYMI: Really fascinating interview with @CSIS's Greg Allen on semiconductors and US national security. \"On the Biden administration, this policy is really about training AI models in data centers and supercomputing facilities.\" https://t.co/gdihbgKtpU @HopkinsIT Took me about a month of waiting, too I’m having flashbacks to the first New York and Italy outbreaks @AGhiselliChina I’m quite new to it but seems like a port of the journalism spaces on Twitter for the moment. Mastodon in bio ofc In case we all end up on Post: https://t.co/0iJEr7dvjn So many folks in my Shanghai network now testing positive for the first time @profandrewm But she’s right that the underlying data will still be there, no? @profandrewm She’s not really focused on effectiveness in that thread Contact-tracing apps are (probably) going away, but: @1NRSmith So sorry to hear this. “More than half of Chinese say they will put off travel abroad, for periods from several months to more than a year, even if borders re-opened tomorrow.” Fear of infection and of quarantine on return top the reasons. https://t.co/xn5JSsNcDn “Tesla did not respond to repeated requests for comment.” https://t.co/h5Xu7QqPxF .⁦@evefairbanks⁩ has the smartest take on Twitter’s fall that I’ve seen. “Twitter has also been magic. The jokey mood around Twitter’s failure…may be a way to temporarily push aside the breathtaking awareness of this complementary truth.” https://t.co/aC17CK3LyW “But just yesterday, suddenly, I’m not afraid anymore…When they shouted out ‘Xi Jinping, step down,’ I suddenly felt it didn’t matter anymore. I can report this thing…If they aren’t afraid to say it, then I’m also not afraid to type it.” https://t.co/ksj5nou7t3 @AGhiselliChina @B_Herscovitch @CourtneyFung Was working on a Chinese influence project down under and justified watching for research ¯\\_(ツ)_/¯ @AGhiselliChina @B_Herscovitch @CourtneyFung I enjoyed it! Hearing similarly. We need to be careful not to equate signals that the move away from zero-Covid has started*, often at the top (which I still think is the case) and an actual easing of burdens for people living through this (which is going to take a long while). “'It’s a bit like a gaydar,' one former EU diplomat quipped about developing an aptitude for detecting Chinese spies. 'Hard to explain, but once you know, it gets easier.'\" https://t.co/k22bjceIGq Wait, now they're more or less denying that long-Covid even exists? \"There are no confirmed sequelae of COVID-19, at least not yet evidence of sequelae\" https://t.co/CZU0RRCB71 Some very good points from @gwbstr's newly reactivated newsletter, especially 1) that no one can agree on what \"decoupling\" means and 2) the US doesn't have much of a leg to stand on when it argues that \"data privacy\" is a core value. https://t.co/0zfpYcoOkk @rzhongnotes Sigh. So sorry you’re going through this. Link: https://t.co/Z20EfMIKkI \"二十世纪八十年代末九十年代初，国际国内发生严重政治风波，世界社会主义出现严重曲折...在这个决定党和国家前途命运的重大历史关头，江泽民同志带领党的中央领导集体，紧紧依靠全党全军全国各族人民，旗帜鲜明坚持四项基本原则，维护国家独立、尊严、安全、稳定...\" Lightly edited machine translation from the Xinhua obituary of Jiang's death: \"In the late 1980s...[a] serious political crisis occurred at home...Jiang Zemin...clearly adhered to the four basic principles to safeguard national independence, dignity, security and stability.\" A severely under-appreciated point. Tsinghua alumni: \"We believe that Tsinghua University should initiate a survey of workers’ living conditions or allow faculty and students to conduct their own surveys and allocate a certain amount of resources to housing workers.\" https://t.co/ugvnDyhMMt Peking University students: \"We believe that the reason for the recurrence of these situations is that without mandatory orders linking epidemic preparedness to the appointment and removal of officials, it is difficult to enforce them seriously.\" https://t.co/ugvnDyhMMt I think this is far from clear. https://t.co/cKkRpsEwuJ Tonight is a reminder that the 老百姓 are worth rooting for. @JurassicDunk @yungkitty404 You’re quite mistaken if you think this involves only a couple hundred people https://t.co/POK8Yl4ohx Even my extremely apolitical WeChat feed is seeing these https://t.co/YdbEfORiZp Years of belief in China that Covid should not be allowed to run rampant, coupled with lackadaisical approaches to masking + vaccinations, make me skeptical that we’ll see the end of zero-Covid soon. We have to remember that many Chinese still support it. But time will tell. 6/6 I suspect there’s no easy way to answer that question, even with Beijing’s resources. 6/x So as usual, this is not just a simple story of the Chinese people opposing an authoritarian government. In addition to well-known concerns about hospital capacity, Beijing needs to weigh public sentiment on both sides here. Is fear of the virus or rage at lockdowns stronger? 5/x …namely, many, many Chinese have been very happy with zero-Covid; @alecash effectively highlighted this for @thechinaproj earlier this month: https://t.co/19lqeMIqF2 4/x There’s an understandable tendency for English-language media to focus on resistance to draconian policies in China, but that can obscure important parts of what is actually happening… 3/x As we’ve been seeing in places like Shijiazhuang and Zhengzhou, fear of the virus is plausibly just as strongly a part of public sentiment as anger about “unscientific” lockdown policies. 2/x Let’s talk about China’s zero-Covid predicament. There’s lots of excitement abroad that the protests around the country might be generating a make-or-break point for the policy in Beijing, but that seems too simplistic a take to me. 1/x Beijing Daily: \"Supermarkets have sufficient stock and supplies are stable!\""

Time to go buy groceries, Beijingers.

ERROR: type should be string, got "https://t.co/jZt5pmTCt9 @gwbstr Oh, yea, you’re right. That’ll teach me to fire off a tweet too quickly I do miss Taiwan dreadfully @crushspread Yea, people are ignoring all the problems with definition of “cases” and attribution of deaths, etc etc. Easier, but wrong, to take official stats at face value We aren’t talking enough about how odd these stats are. If we take Omicron mortality rate to be about 0.3% (controlling for vaccination status, see https://t.co/7LCwoVOrIq), we should be seeing hundreds of deaths in Guangdong alone. @se_parkinson Following @pxpcxrn7 A few other notable changes went public around the same time Feel this very viscerally; I moved to Shanghai in 2017 and left in 2020. "

ERROR: type should be string, got "https://t.co/m3x51ucSlS https://t.co/cpW998tafz An important point: \"After nearly two years of duelling rhetoric from afar, [Bali] was a chance for both men to assess, in person, the other’s changes since the last time they met, in 2017—adjustments in tone, urgency, confidence, and vulnerability.\" https://t.co/5612wwYnQG It is…fascinating how many people think I need an explanation for this @JElkobi More, true, but not actually sophisticated in most cases Some Chinese websites are truly like windows into a lost internet era https://t.co/5HsXbKTAep Europe is really wrestling with itself over the China question these days Still hoping against hope the Twitter ship won’t go down, but in case it does: @ehundman@mastodon.sdf.org. Please comment with your handle if you’d like to stay connected there! @maggiewittlin @scottjshapiro Maggie. @yzilber Yes it’s an interesting dynamic to watch, like seeing the lurkers come to the fore Suzhou incoming https://t.co/Iw8E8XCBct Now a Pangoal fellow?? https://t.co/lHANNDORvo @rzhongnotes I’m so sorry 😔 @dhnexon Just getting started and still skeptical of the mastodon thing but I’m @ehundman@mastodon.sdf.org (have found if you’re on a non-adjacent server you have to search the full address to find people, and sometimes it takes a minute) @time_137 @gwbstr Yea that’s my favored hypothesis for the moment And even Baidu https://t.co/MYjNkynrrB And now Sanya municipality https://t.co/h3Y5sBgfjZ And now Xinjiang influencers https://t.co/2nw12b4t85 Strange that this morning amidst the chaos of Msk’s Twitter, the promoted tweets in my feed are suddenly for Chinese provinces and universities. Current “dark season” mood @alexanderchee I forgot about this but now remember doing the same! \"'I used to buy bubble tea at full price without blinking an eye,' said Chen, 24. 'Now I only go to those cafés providing [discount] vouchers.'” https://t.co/U72MO32Gbo “When you see an indication of reopening, local investors react to that very quickly and very strongly...It’s a very different angle from international investors, who are still looking at this as a market with too many unknowns.\" https://t.co/xewNGdQpa6 \"Now, truth can be sometimes a nebulous concept...\" Immigrant silver linings: accidentally bought heavy cream for my coffee and my mornings have never been more decadent “The geopolitical competition can actually be helpful…the U.S. doing more [on climate] can lead China to do more.\" https://t.co/r7gEVLTfhn A generally good dive into Taiwan's situation from @brhodes. Interesting that Tsai has so enthusiastically adopted the DC line about TSMC/semiconductors, calling Taiwan's dominance in the sector its \"silicon shield.\" https://t.co/ummNHCd3wB @niubi Got check says months within taking office but we shall see @danaedholakia Yea, I'm hoping the reporting is just thin here “The market is cherry-picking facts in search of any sign of zero-Covid relaxation...The bottom line to understand China policy is, the higher prominence attached to a specific policy is, the more sophisticated manoeuvre such a policy exit would require.” https://t.co/M0xQfV61xc The relevant quote: \"Beijing is planning to launch a vaccination campaign later this year for vulnerable groups, aiming for 95% of people aged 60 or above to receive two doses, some of the people said.\" One thing that has been puzzling me about this WSJ report: why is there no mention of boosters in the vaccination campaign? Chinese vaccines need to be boosted to offer solid protection (in line with mRNA vaccines) against severe disease. https://t.co/DAB2m1lxcO HBR, 2021: \"If foreign companies in China send a significant portion of their China-based production to the US while tariffs continue to be a dominant decoupling tool under the Biden administration, the impact on revenues and profits could be severe.\" https://t.co/et3cFFYwhU @DrLiuCao Thank you! \"The country will still move aggressively to stamp out even small outbreaks...People will still need to use health codes on their phones to access public spaces, and travelers entering the country will face quarantines and rounds of Covid tests.\" https://t.co/DAB2m1lxcO Canada: \"...an undisclosed senior government official..., who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter, told The Globe and Mail that many people in government don’t realize how difficult cooperating with China will be.\" https://t.co/s6IKIFSa6y Hive mind: any recommendations for a VPN to tunnel into* China for research? Haven't needed one in a while! Wait, did people not think this would (almost) inevitably be the case? It’s a direct consequence of the way the Party operates @lnachman32 I was thinking the same but have no idea how to select a server? Fascinating @Truman518000 Pretty much @GabrielCorsetti The well-reported discussions referred specifically to business executives The rumors about zero-Covid are fascinating but so far I see nothing at all that is concrete except the moves toward easing quarantines for business executives traveling in … am I missing something? @rzhongnotes The mood in Europe is changing very quickly tbh @profmusgrave The texts are truly extraordinary @rzhongnotes Done @rzhongnotes It’s almost like even (former?) journalists can fall prey to motivated reasoning 🤔 Oh okay then: “The HKMA has said that senior executives attending the financial summit can opt to leave Hong Kong—on a private jet—if they test positive.” https://t.co/Ogm0EEHfXo @alexanderchee Loooove @chenchenzh @david__moser Yea, if that’s all, not a big deal @KendrickKuotes @Journal_IS @DrJLHazelton @Pearson_ink Send me a copy please! 👇 This is interesting too: \"China’s State Administrator Market Regulator (SAMR) has shown a willingness to disrupt tech mergers and acquisitions...Because Beijing cannot respond to the US in kind, it may rely on nationalistic indigenization campaigns to save face at home.\" .@rhodium_group on Biden's semiconductor controls: \"Beijing has few retaliatory options. Restrictions on critical inputs like rare earths would only accelerate diversification efforts and hurt exports at a time when China’s economy is already struggling.\" https://t.co/MhFfn5Z0ny @guysflavortown Totally agree that the military (and Navy in particular) are stretched thinner than they should be but that is just as much a matter of mismatched goals as it is of funding Not a Republican in the WSJ opinion pages arguing we need more military spending to \"put American hard power in Mr. Xi’s path before it is too late\" on the basis of uncritically citing the Heritage Foundation's assessments that the US military is \"weak.\" https://t.co/DlKdGvTK5Y And Andy Rothman, contrary to almost all other reads of the Party Congress and Xi, expects Xi to be \"pragmatic\" on the economy, \"primarily because...pragmatism has made China rich and kept the Party in power over the last few decades.\" https://t.co/hkI4dvt9xL \"Wall Street’s most vocal bull\" Marko Kolanovic expects both growth recovery and gradual easing of Covid controls in China soon (it is not clear why, exactly) https://t.co/ZDds31BJc7 .⁦@Bkerrychina⁩ on ⁦@alexjoske⁩’s new book Spies and Lies: “He describes a world my own observations don’t validate, and one I find hard to believe actually exists.” https://t.co/FraCw6R0Se @gwbstr I have questions @gwbstr Oh boy \"...in China, average scores on standardized admissions tests for those accepted into its military academies over the past few years fell well below those accepted into the most well-regarded universities.\" https://t.co/EjBTlJStDP Good news for business types wanting to get back into China more easily: six national regulators jointly \"asked local authorities to facilitate multinational companies’ executives, technicians and their families to travel into China.\" https://t.co/y7x4VnAXhi Jeorg Wuttke: \"We have to get away from the idea that China’s policy is still basically tailored to economic growth.\" https://t.co/dndlxDgEmQ Wow: The Biden admin's semiconductor rules \"'have halved the number of available candidates for senior positions in chipmakers and toolmakers', said a Shanghai-based headhunter.\" https://t.co/ikuoQCyXUw This could be great, and mucosal vaccines are indeed thought to be more effective at preventing infection. Though I'd always heard Chinese traditionally favored injections as the most effective medicine. “The family motto has always been: ‘Keep a fast junk in the harbour with gold bars and a second set of papers’. The modern equivalent would be a private jet, a couple of passports and foreign bank accounts.” https://t.co/UfVME8xnws https://t.co/UfVME8xnws Party Congress fallout: \"Hong Kong equities are at 13-year lows. The offshore renminbi has cratered too. HK’s drop was more than triple the fall in the two mainland benchmarks...This all points to panic among overseas investors.\" https://t.co/l7QpLI8MAE “…the growing competition between the U.S. and China has actually made American citizenship more attractive to many families.” https://t.co/u880ADpeVM @rzhongnotes hugs Found in Helsinki https://t.co/1RCTNA4PzH More or less precisely my read of the refocus on security @chenchenzh Yes if that lesson hadn’t already been learned, it had better be clear now @BrianTHart Yep, they had ample opportunity to get him out before the journalists came in if health was the only issue at play @profandrewm I agree that is an important data point but I remain not entirely convinced by the illness scenario @jeeeberts @BeijingPalmer This is technically true, but my sense is that tones are often linked to gestures such that they might be visibly identifiable. Lifting the head for a 2nd tone, that sort of thing “There’s been a lot about the premier-as-savior talk — that these officials could stay around and push back against Xi, but obviously that’s not going to happen.” https://t.co/qfEB8fzuCD Official media running with the illness scenario. Convincing! https://t.co/REc4j78Ltq Beware of certainty from analysts with very little information Tectonic shifts afoot this weekend in China We know almost nothing so far, but:"

1) I don’t find the sudden positive Covid result scenario plausible.

2) Hu looks obviously in distress, whether due to illness or terror, impossible to say.

3) The below timing of Hu’s removal leaves open the political retaliation scenario. “One data point [Trump admin] officials considered suspicious: Chinese graduate students who entered the US on an educational visa to study English or other humanities subjects, but soon switched to…robotics or other technology-related fields.” https://t.co/C2mPvzIudr Jaw-dropping, especially at such a scripted event @gwbstr @Alice_E_Cho right now. Sigh. @gwbstr @Alice_E_Cho (And therefore need clearances that are hard to get after a long time abroad) @gwbstr @Alice_E_Cho Partially disagree here. The vast majority of professional China-focused positions in the US right are defense-facing, based on my recent job search. A very smart point 👇 Please ignore the advancing grey New headshot just dropped https://t.co/Xvjp6bhEvw Biden's "escalation also marks a final break with decades of US foreign policy that assumed China’s global integration would tame its rise as a great power." https://t.co/zbKlINS2d0 @gwbstr @rorrydaniels Personally I think you were right, at least in part: hyping the “new cold war” up helped bring it (a bad outcome) closer to reality. But plenty of blame to go around for that. @gwbstr Been thinking about this a lot lately. Tricky bit is the clock-is-ticking folks might end up changing China’s calculus and moving the ground under the China analysts. Gaming out multiple scenarios absolutely makes sense. @yuenyuenang Always! But not in Shanghai, alas Come to think of it, I’m not sure I ever even opened the thing Just realized that during the three years I lived in Shanghai, I never once used my oven to cook https://t.co/MTkmrM6o6P Strong prison vibes around this quarantine center Shanghai is building on an island in the middle of the Huangpu https://t.co/3Kk4hPERDN It's an appealing (nationalist) narrative, and Ryan is right that it's becoming more common, but it won't be borne out until the American chattering classes can more directly grapple with their own country's challenges and mistakes. "All three of China’s main [electric vehicle] upstarts — Nio Inc., Xpeng Inc. and Li Auto Inc. — have tried to buy chips via these unauthorized agents, middlemen who...don't have permission from the original chipmakers to distribute their product." https://t.co/qzWio2R09T "After Mr. Xi’s efforts to make China less reliant on foreign technologies, the country is now able to make about 26% of the semiconductors it needs, up from 13% in 2017, according to...consulting firm International Business Strategies." https://t.co/mN9QDRP3hb SCMP reporting big changes for China's leadership: "As many as four top positions on the Politburo Standing Committee could change hands and nearly half the Central Committee will be replaced." https://t.co/jxM9P07DF5 "...the bottom line is that technology that can be used for military hypersonics was funded by U.S. taxpayers, through the U.S. government, and ended up in China." https://t.co/C6U5mkI06w Odd timing for a comment like this: "Blinken said China had made a 'fundamental decision that the status quo was no longer acceptable, and that Beijing was determined to pursue reunification on a much faster timeline.'” https://t.co/fg6jeQtCRg 👇 Could have been. Sigh @wjhurst Time zones made it impossible for me to listen live so I am awaiting the full report. But I would not be at all surprised by a harder line overall! This could have substantially more aggressive, tbh @julianku @SpokespersonCHN 一直不够理想 indeed A truly chauvinistic (and wildly incorrect) take: “The international image of China is determined by China alone.” It me @alexanderchee @annehelen Very upset this doesn’t ship to Europe 😢 Bold, coming from a political analyst in Beijing: “We’re still not in an era where the economy and society totally obey [Xi]…The strains and tensions between politics and economics in the next five years will be more serious than the previous decade.” https://t.co/E5sjZkmMt7 Biden's team has a "strategic mindset that cannot help but influence future China tech policy. US officials have focused intently on possible threats, imposed disproportionate measures, downplayed the complications, & strong-armed others into compliance" https://t.co/J7JTOAre1r “‘Since ancient times, the weather was Chinese farmers’ biggest worry,’ says the farmer, who was forced to close his 600 mu (100 acre) tree and plant nursery in Jinhua this year…’Now our biggest risk is government policy.’” https://t.co/7MXK6hhy2u https://t.co/7MXK6hhy2u Pretty fascinating interview with one of the architects of zero-Covid. The problems aren’t with the policy, he says, but with management and localities’ implementation. Also when the policy might ease is not a question of science, but a question for the government. Yep. Though this has, of course, gotten worse in Covid @MaryGao Have long been confused about this too! @rzhongnotes Forgot about this iconic photo @yzilber I don’t think the logics keeping it in place are all the same in Macau, tho I don’t know the island that well “Emmanuel Macron called it ‘problematic’ that China-US rivalry so dominates geopolitics, because it ‘incites’ China to dismiss universal values as a tool of American power.” https://t.co/fY6aISLJmt "This is very difficult. Most people are not willing to give up their US passports.” “'We do have [US passport holders] in our company, in some of the most important positions,' the executive said, calling them a 'core weapon' for developing technology. 'We need to find a way for these people to continue working for our company.'" https://t.co/wnjjjQRwLc @changrybirds @chenchenzh Lots of reasons but primarily that it overstates the coherence and penetration of Xi’s supposedly wholly Marxist-Leninist theories Lots of talk about how America has shifted pandemic risk management to individuals’ shoulders but this is something else @chenchenzh Yep, it is an appealing narrative to a certain kind of pundit, sadly. I think he’s right on the narrow point I shared, found him much less convincing on the larger argument. Wow: "Cathay Pacific does not expect to return to normal levels of flying for at least another two years...The airline plans to resume its pre-pandemic capacity in full by the end of 2024 or early 2025." https://t.co/yrksiRqq2Q Kevin Rudd: "Using what Western audiences might see as obscure, theoretical mumbo jumbo, Xi has communicated...a crystal-clear message: China is much more powerful than it ever was, and he intends to use this power to change the course of history." https://t.co/XSxVUSc2qc Orville Schell reflects on Taiwan's path, past and future, and adds this depressing tidbit: "As an expression making the rounds in Beijing chillingly puts it, Xi wants to: 'Keep the island, but not keep the people' (留岛不留人民)." https://t.co/McegK3P2uM Tai Ming Cheung: "To Xi and other Chinese leaders, the external arena today is more volatile and threatening than even during the dark and isolated Cold War days of bitter Sino-Soviet and SinoU.S. rivalry in the 1950s and 1960s." https://t.co/l6QWlyxbVC @macastel3 @theChinaDude I am on the pessimistic side on this in general, but I see no signs of serious easing anytime in the near future .@theChinaDude highlights a 仲音 commentary on Covid-zero that offers no indications it will ease: "we must...strengthen our confidence & patience when it comes to epidemic prevention & control policies, overcome paralysis, war-weariness, wishful thinking" https://t.co/EJ101Ngzed oic https://t.co/HD5iS3SNlS @vshih2 Yep @saiint @AnnaMeierPS https://t.co/cVgfPhyRON @AnnaMeierPS Would just note that public personas are often quite constrained, though of course one is liable for how one chooses to craft such a persona @AnnaMeierPS I find a lot of your takes quite valuable, but I’ll be honest, the “a person’s website tells us what kind of person they are” take is not among those Autumn in Finland https://t.co/KFsuTrtpUX Have heard of multiple compound lockdowns and hotel quarantines in the past 12 hours alone “A ride no one wants to take” indeed @gwbstr I tend to agree. But in retrospect have more sympathy for the Chinese skepticism @sarahplusone @Ivan_4D I suppose, but so is the whole relationship (which I fully support) @sarahplusone @Ivan_4D But you can do that without the sanction of another state! @GarthGreenwell As a painter, writer, and reader: you do! I have a vivid memory of being part of an American academic delegation ~2015 in a room with a group of Chinese scholars, who asked us if Americans were really interested in helping China develop. We earnestly (naïvely?) insisted yes. The Chinese scholars scoffed. @I_Weiwei I am partial to “Dodo” No thank you one March 2020 was quite enough Notably: not just American companies. Any companies that use American IP to make chips Classic Friday news dump. A very big deal, “more comprehensive” than Trump’s attack on Huawei: “Companies will no longer be allowed to supply advanced computing chips, chip-making equipment and other products to China unless they receive a special license” https://t.co/Ui4taotxHx Obviously I will also be naming my future dog Mapo Doufu @Ivan_4D Oh sure, "performative" probably sounded more dismissive than I am. "Symbolic" is better and I am certainly not one to discount the importance of symbols @Ivan_4D Very different when there is a concrete benefit, but for many of these couples, there isn’t @Ivan_4D But why perform it for a state that you are not a citizen of @TheresaBoersma Certainly possible, but I think there is something deeper and more performative going on I get that in some cases this has concrete benefits, but still, I have questions: “…couples are eager to solemnize their commitment in the eyes of the state – even if it’s not their state.” https://t.co/ESzaYnVu1M I'm torn on whether this number is high or low. I tend to think it is low in comparison to the 76% who agree Taiwan needs to reduce its economic independence on China. “You have a lot more influence when you’re providing the loan...than when you’re begging for repayment.” "China finds itself in an uncomfortable position, a geopolitical giant that now holds significant sway over the financial futures of many nations but is also owed huge sums of money that may never be repaid in full." https://t.co/5EckzOTLQi Of Taiwanese businesses, only(?) "39% of respondents either 'strongly agreed' or 'somewhat agreed' with the statement: 'There will be some sort of military conflict in U.S.-China relations in the next five years.'" https://t.co/SRO5lVFSKu "...a lack of willingness by local governments to innovate policies carries severe economic costs. Highlighting them may well be the most consequential effect of recent lockdowns in China." https://t.co/xYTaO3qWnY "The view is we need to lengthen the amount of time Taiwan can hold out on its own...That’s how you avoid China picking the low-hanging fruit of its ‘fait accompli’ strategy." https://t.co/rbYpC8pOOu “Venture capitalists and private equity groups unicorn hunting in China tech have to keep politics at the forefront of their investment decisions though. ‘…If you don’t have insight on policy trends, you’re investing in the dark.’” https://t.co/Xa7SQ07naA @ricswi I never said it was unexpected? Essentially Hikvision products in camouflage, it seems: “Almost every Taiwanese distributor of Chinese security equipment manufacturers have rolled out own-branded products best described as ‘Chinese-made products in a Taiwanese shell.’” https://t.co/d1nPQwEbjM Not for that much longer, I imagine, after these new rules go into effect: “There is hardly a semiconductor on the planet today that is not made with American tools or designed with software that originated in the United States.” https://t.co/ioakVDbFKg @HealthLGBTQ Right?? Extremely niche take: strong Herman Kahn energy in this tweet *transfer, sigh Unlike Pfizer, which secured a local partner and planned to keep its intellectual property in a production deal that Chinese regulators never approved, Moderna was reportedly “pressed” to transducer its mRNA IP as a condition of selling in China. https://t.co/StR0ly5FOx Interesting that this remains (for the moment?) a partisan issue: "“Committee Republicans are concerned that U.S diplomats could be, or have been, pressured to surrender intelligence while detained” in Covid quarantine while in China. https://t.co/2awohQMtFQ "President Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act could exclude brands with virtually any Chinese content from EV tax credits. That has made Europe even more attractive to China’s BEV brands, but the feeling isn’t yet mutual.' https://t.co/MW374Fgget Oh "The percentage of those who said they had 'no confidence' in Xi to do the 'right thing regarding world affairs' was 87% in South Korea in 2022, up from 29% in 2015. In Britain, the figure increased to 70% in 2022 from 44% in 2014." https://t.co/0xjNK6pYGY @davekartunen Exactly Yikes: "Today’s China reminds some Western diplomats of Japan in the 1920s and 1930s." https://t.co/yCtlpxRBye @unoqualcunque Not at all clear -- that's likely one of the big barriers to lifting Covid-zero Strikes me as a very noisy, if still interesting, signal China’s Road Not Taken: @JulianGewirtz writes of how today’s China was not inevitable: “Whereas during the 1980s China’s rulers had considered many forms of liberalization and modernization, now they recommitted themselves to a…more authoritarian path.” https://t.co/YihnbEXD5I Club kids will find a way: "dance-starved Beijingers ... organise ruins parties far from the gaze of pandemic workers and of 'big whites', the guards who enforce covid rules while swaddled in white protective overalls." https://t.co/qKOUSETv7O "As of Friday, cities under some form of Covid restrictions accounted for 25% of gross domestic product, down from 28% a week earlier, according to Goldman Sachs." https://t.co/S0eFcG7APQ @BioShannon It took weeks to get an appointment to show them my documents here, and apparently will take 3-4 more for them to open the account. And more weeks to get the “strong identity verification” that most online systems use here! Never ceases to amaze how impossible banking is as an immigrant (tho yes, China is a standout in this respect) If he only knew the amount of handwringing there has been about masculinity in the PLA What’s up with Belgium? @manyapan 🤞 Wild to think that I am old enough to remember this site’s founding. But it is well worth subscribing! "Unfortunately for the yuan...Exports seem very likely to lose further momentum. Europe is on the brink of a nasty recession. US consumer confidence, which tends to have a big impact on Chinese export growth, has been on a steep downtrend since early 2022" https://t.co/EtgyA5W4JN “‘For Hong Kong’s international credibility, it is shot to pieces,’ said David Webb, a longtime corporate governance activist in Hong Kong…’What happens the next time there is a health threat?’” https://t.co/miu13qfVeO My recent job hunt bore this out: “Several China scholars say that recent administrations, Congress and big think-tanks are much less interested these days in more nuanced views that do not fit the narrative that Washington and Beijing are adversaries.”
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://t.co/lFF7Tmormb You know you’ve been watching China too long when a bust in this dream of a bookstore (see full thread!) looks at first glance like a 大白 China nerds: What are your favorite books (or reports) on EU-China relations? Agree, and I will support anyone who does. But as I have good reason to know, that middle is an increasingly uncomfortable position to be in while exchanges wither and each side hardens their views of the other. Very dangerous: “During a visit to Australia last month…John Bolton said that even if [Trump] didn't make a comeback, it was ‘a near certainty’ that the 2024 Republication presidential nominee would move to recognise Taiwan as an independent country.” https://t.co/kUlNcL6HMw Hu Xijin perhaps getting tired of Covid-zero policies too? “The people must trust the state, but the state must also trust the understanding of the people.” https://t.co/MN3YFGwqFK @ncNewsReader Very minimal @lu12121212 Harsh but fair Remarkable how quickly Taiwan’s political cachet in the US expanded Somehow I'd missed that the PRC decided to sanction the CEOs of Raytheon and Boeing on the basis of their \"involvement\" in the latest arms sale to Taiwan: https://t.co/SSV8AGv5tF \"Insurers have raised prices by 67% on average for political risk coverage linked to China...Insurers are underwriting new policies, but 'cautiously and selectively' in China and have reduced their capacity for Taiwan exposure.\" https://t.co/oZLsV2iJM9 .⁦@joshchin⁩ “One of our most surprising discoveries in working on state surveillance was how unconcerned the Party seemed to be with our reporting…If anything, Beijing seemed to embrace this notion that it was all-seeing.” https://t.co/xmoxn26m4C Covid really brought this dynamic to the fore \"Now the final stage has begun: An official forgetting. As with the Cultural Revolution of the 1960s, Tiananmen in 1989 and other violent campaigns since, the party is moving to erase traces of its actions in Xinjiang from history.\" https://t.co/KFjgQmQoAv Worth remembering amidst concerns Chinese scientists are returning home from US labs: \"U.S. officials and experts say most Chinese scientists who immigrate to the U.S. remain here — and many have made significant contributions to U.S. defense technology.\" https://t.co/mEEOtJRIBc Not great as worries about a Taiwan conflict persist. \"Barring a decision by Xi to overturn the age limits, it is likely that no one with operational expertise will remain on the new\" Central Military Commission. https://t.co/ZtpV24MMo2 Darwin: \"Mr. Dummett said the U.S. and Australian militaries keep using the port, suggesting they have no serious security worries. The U.S. is building a new fuel depot nearby.\" https://t.co/z7Y15M3NJb \"The Biden administration already has used the Defense Production Act and other authorities to invest nearly $200 million...to increase the U.S. capacity to process rare earth elements, such as neodymium.\" https://t.co/fA78Ofd81l Sad: \"Cathay Pacific is a shadow of its former self as a result. Hong Kong has lost its position as a global hub and will struggle to regain it because other hubs have taken advantage of it.\" https://t.co/1N5bhuaqNj \"A security committee in southwest China warned local cadres, 'Don’t simplistically equate \"nothing has gone wrong\" with \"nothing will go wrong,\"' adding, 'At every moment always act as if we’re walking on thin ice, as if on the edge of an abyss.'\" https://t.co/2kfmX1m0pF Republicans against ESG: “How is it again that you can discourage investment in American energy when you own, or when you’re controlling board seats, of an American energy company, but you’re pushing it offshore to a Chinese energy company?” https://t.co/BSDTd2T5DG \"Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi has said Beijing could invoke its Anti-Secession Law to seek reunification with Taiwan, in an escalation of rhetoric over the self-ruled island.\" https://t.co/t8EIN1t2Ax The GT on \"a paradox faced by South Korea: the country can't decouple from the US in terms of semiconductor technologies, but neither can it reduce reliance on China's huge market.\" https://t.co/gu1R8EZwSd This was certainly my conclusion Merics: China's “'securitization of everything' extends beyond Xi’s tenure and will continue to define China’s domestic and international behavior until there is a substantial ideological shift.\" https://t.co/RLZwDvx0PJ \"Faced with falling birth rates, authorities in Anhui are gearing up to remove bans on unmarried women having children.\" https://t.co/GjQ3wQkDob \"Local governments in Hubei, Anhui, Shanxi provinces and the Ningxia Hui autonomous region issued notices in April to local hospitals to limit their use of medical and testing equipment to those produced domestically.\" https://t.co/2H1tl78R3z \"...what would happen if supply chains and financial flows between the US and China were cut off tomorrow? What’s the day-one plan?\" https://t.co/2iwxtgI938 \"Unlike in the West — where, politically, robots are viewed with suspicion for their potential to supplant unskilled manufacturing workers — in China, the rise of automation is seen as central to the country’s future growth.\" https://t.co/8FdmLrh08g \"The appeal of a perfectly engineered society is real. How far the model spreads will depend not just on Mr. Xi’s ambitions and performance but on how well the world’s democracies deal with the same set of challenges.\" https://t.co/ax3k7Dy7MC \"'Why do I dare not upgrade my house and my car, even if I have the money?' she said. 'Everything is unknown.'\" https://t.co/fxgLy9q0XO “In one example documented by Chinese media, a police ‘service’ station in Madrid tracked down a man wanted in China for environmental pollution and had him sit down for a video call w/ public security agents & a prosecutor from China’s Zhejiang province.” https://t.co/TqvaoBjAMx @MariaRepnikova I mean I think it is going to remain exceedingly difficult for years, at least Absolutely agree - so many people have set markers like this for the end of zero-Covid and they have continued to be wrong. \"But it is a mistake to look at what Xi is doing this week through the prism of China-Russia bilateral ties alone. Over the past two decades, the Chinese have invested heavily in a policy that builds strong ties with Beijing’s Central Asian neighbors.\" https://t.co/pHh8VubZ0D @GJosephRoche @nyushanghai Thank you! I’ve heard very good things @Schwarz_Michael That’s great to hear! I’ll circle back once I’m settled @katharintai @nyushanghai Berlin is definitely happening soon - will shoot you a note when I make a plan! @GilbertGravis A pet peeve of mine as well, though of course such moves are also intensely personal for most @China_Digital I’ll reach out once I’m settled! Would love to chat about this. @rauaut Thanks! @SPCmonitor @nyushanghai Me too! I miss it. In my new role I’ll of course be continuing my work on China’s politics and foreign policy, as well as starting some new work on China’s technology sector and economic policies. Professional update: like so many others, I’m leaving academia. I’ve resigned my position at @nyushanghai & am excited to say I’ve accepted a Senior China Analyst role with the China Office of Finnish Industries in Helsinki. Please reach out with tips or connections in the area! “Talk of the ‘political properties’ (政治属性) of science popularization is a salient reminder that…the CCP has regarded science…as intimately inter braided with political claims to truth as a source of political power.” https://t.co/Q8fKLOFILr “The nearly three dozen Chinese cities under some form of lockdown represent one-third of China’s entire economic output.” https://t.co/5yT53dFsSg Identifying + studying these phenomena pose huge empirical challenges - especially in China - but doing so can also expand our understanding of crucial phenomena like China's military effectiveness, civil-military relations, foreign policy, & even center-local relations. 8/8 As we've seen in the Russian invasion of Ukraine, assessments of a country's military power will often mislead if we focus on hardware and spending at the expense of the human side of the military organization: training, morale, leadership, motivation. 7/x My data are, of course, incomplete - evident censorship means I can't tell how common refusals to serve are in the PLA. But even knowing it is a concern for leaders has implications for how we should analyze the PLA's likely performance in, say, a China-Taiwan conflict. 6/x (On insubordination happening at multiple levels of the military organization, see, e.g., https://t.co/I1dYRNlUOs. On the multiple potential motivations for such insubordination, see, e.g., my work with @se_parkinson https://t.co/cEvakKQXcx.) 5/x Existing research shows insubordination happens at all levels of military orgs & has many motivations beyond fear of suffering, so this consistency in Chinese reporting on PLA deserters indicates such reports are restricted; desertion, in other words, is a concern for leaders 4/x I find that mainland reporting on this phenomenon is remarkably consistent, typically asserting (1) that only young, inexperienced soldiers desert; (2) that such soldiers all fear hardships and fatigue (怕苦怕累); and (3) that punishments are always severe and varied. 3/x Titled \"Fearing Hardships and Fatigue? Refusals to Serve in China's Military, 2009-2018,\" the piece draws on a new database I have developed of over 200 publicly reported cases of soldiers in the PLA who refused to fulfill their service obligations. https://t.co/QSG91PXl4v 2/x Years ago while I was speaking on military insubordination, a commenter argued that such disobedience must be impossible in China. Today, I have an article out in the Journal of Contemporary China showing that is wrong: disobedience does indeed occur in China's military! 1/x @rzhongnotes I knew I recognized that look Thread: @jerometenk @JohnHolbein1 I’m sure there are others but this is the one I use https://t.co/vquV27CkUc @jerometenk @JohnHolbein1 I have used IFTTT for this for years to great effect! The program I found sends liked links to Instapaper Quite a change for anyone familiar with 田子坊 *was just, ugh Some of these takes are absolutely wild. Not a single one of these actions was Pelosi’s own. https://t.co/HTjh1Zy47W @dhnexon @profptj No but sounds right up my alley! Sure is something to watch, in real time, so many analysts realize that the boundaries of what defines a “crisis” are blurry, contested, and often only agreed upon well after the fact. If this is borne out, looks like the fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis may be a go... One of the world’s preeminent experts on China’s military and foreign policy, on China’s response to Pelosi’s visit: A handful of direct flights are now being allowed into Beijing, after a ban of over two years. https://t.co/IDradiyfzI “Work family” Thread: solid evidence against the Wuhan lab-leak conspiracy theories is now published in a @ScienceMagazine paper that has survived multiple rounds of (reportedly highly critical) peer review. @rzhongnotes A friend was telling me they make some with thicker paper for mixed media now? @AaronLecklider @brianbhalley We love to see it Useful thread assessing a possible Pelosi visit against the context of the 1995-96 Taiwan Strait crisis Should probably note also that this comment was made in the context of calling for “peaceful reunification” between the mainland and Taiwan. Wild story about a bored Chinese housewife gaming Wikipedia: “The content she wrote is of high quality and the entries were interconnected, creating a system that can exist on its own…Zhemao single-handedly invented a new way to undermine Wikipedia.” https://t.co/qGnUHIv6RI https://t.co/73feF76pWA What’s going on with investment in China: shot; chaser. https://t.co/AiXre6nzzG https://t.co/1FNYihjowU Love this take; I always struggle to explain why fluency is such a strange concept to someone who has been studying a language long enough to know it very well. Both in the sense that lockdowns are a brutal blunt-force tool against this virus, and in the sense that interest has waned, allowing Shanghai authorities to do this much more quietly than last time. Extremely disheartening “Mr. Wray said the FBI is opening a new counterintelligence investigation into China roughly every 12 hours. Mr. McCallum said MI5 was running seven times as many investigations into suspicious Chinese activity now as it was in 2018.” https://t.co/9wYivFm0nd @AOHSUsometimesY Whenever it feels comfortable! Took me ten days or so after round 2 (round 1 involved double pneumonia so took much longer) “Li Houchen, a blogger and podcaster, compared Shanghai residents to easily startled birds, on edge because they had exhausted their ability to cope with stress.” https://t.co/W8tWl7vmf1 Now do more flights @profmusgrave American expats: both, interchangeably, depending on context Useful yes, also ramps expectations to be always available to coworkers and bosses up to 110% .⁦@MichaelSchuman⁩ on his truly Kafkaesque experience with getting back into China: “when it comes to China, optimism is a dangerous thing.” https://t.co/6SQyJzMumR @AGhiselliChina Interesting. We haven’t gotten an update yet Anecdotal confirmation: https://t.co/4WlCWG2ZDA Rumors swirling that Shanghai is no longer requiring PU letters for those aiming to enter China on a work visa. See, e.g., https://t.co/bpbh0fPHpY “It’s definitely motivated us, being locked down at school for 40 days. We were able to focus on studying.” https://t.co/tG9FCZv8oA Now this is interesting: “KMT Chairman Eric Chu decried those who call them pro-China. ‘We are mislabelled by some people, some media says we are a pro-China party - it's totally wrong. We are a pro-U.S. party, forever,’ he said, speaking in English.” https://t.co/LzH4IlSNd8 ICYMI: “Amazon will close its Chinese ebook store next year, marking the latest retreat as western technology companies scale back operations in the world’s largest consumer market.” https://t.co/l8TBIbQMM6 “The Biden administration says Xi’s techno-authoritarianism, military muscle-flexing & efforts to subvert the rules-based int’l order require immediate attention. But that urgency is betrayed by a lopsided policy that refuses direct contact w/Xi’s China.” https://t.co/6XCB9dusqm https://t.co/tgaeoSY1B9 “A ruthless, battle-hardened revolutionary and nationalist, [Deng] backed those reforms that promised to make one-party rule…work better…Still, when re-read in 2022, his speech on the reform of party and state leadership sounds like a cry of dissent.” https://t.co/rWhhFjr2ZT https://t.co/1fNW62zspa .@BillKirbyHBS: “The question is not if, but when and how, China will begin to ‘live with COVID-19’…The problem is that under China’s stifling political climate, this notion cannot be uttered, let alone debated.” https://t.co/hVLi4mVAHf @joelight Sounds auspicious to me! “New satellite imagery reviewed by The Wall Street Journal shows that after several years of work in the Jiangnan Shipyard in Shanghai, China’s third carrier, known as a Type 003, may be afloat in coming weeks or even days.” But planes for it aren’t ready. https://t.co/d14BxbsHx6 “There is downside for Xi from zero-Covid but the question is, is it meaningful and what’s the practical impact?” https://t.co/4DsZUv7O0O .@SusannahCPatton’s view from Australia: “China is already winning throughout much of Asia on both the economic and diplomatic fronts, and nothing the United States is doing seems likely to change that.” https://t.co/2AvFQ64pOr “Multiple sources in the Canadian Forces and the federal government tell Global News that Chinese jets are repeatedly ‘buzzing’ a Canadian surveillance plane that is part of a United Nations mission over international waters.” https://t.co/ErKNZmNsEc https://t.co/qt4AONVJLW “We did not find indications of influence of Chinese administrators on Dutch politics…Nevertheless, there is a deliberate drive to step up party building efforts, particularly in those European countries w/a larger number & size of Chinese-invested firms” https://t.co/CzRgsdRydT 👏 @rzhongnotes: “Chinese people are not a monolith. Their speech may be censored, but they remain far from unified in the way they consume news, form opinions on societal issues and think about the future of their country, to say nothing of the world...” https://t.co/xmlcPv5PiT @StevenStashwick Not sure why both can’t have a zero-sum view; this isn’t an either-or situation. And I don’t think many would agree that the US would be happy operating under any form of PRC preponderance .⁦@PeterBeinart⁩: “Even more worrying is the Biden administration’s approach to China, which sees Beijing primarily as a threat to American global supremacy and thus defines relations with the world’s other superpower in largely zero-sum terms.” https://t.co/Ej67rcr5wB “‘Unlike Wuhan, Shanghai never declared a lockdown, so there is no “ending the lockdown”’, said censorship directives issued to media on Tuesday.” https://t.co/P09X06RiT5 “U.S. authorities are ready to implement a ban on imports from China's Xinjiang region when a law requiring it becomes enforceable later in June.” https://t.co/WSTE8YiS7w “The cost of the effort alone, estimated at 200 billion yuan ($30.1 billion), is about equal to the gross domestic product of Estonia…That’s only 0.2% of China’s 2021 output, but could rise to 1.8% if smaller cities follow suit.” https://t.co/i9LeIzBAOZ “‘The United States doesn’t have a significant presence in the Pacific at all,’ said @AnnaPowles, a senior lecturer in security studies…‘I’m always shocked that in Washington they think they have a significant presence when they just don’t.’” https://t.co/6NTF73wbbl “When you are coding, you are also writing comments and setting up names for the variables. Which developer, while writing code, would like to be thinking whether their code could trigger the list of sensitive words?” https://t.co/eV40dQjL7U “Since the start of 2022, there has been a marked uptick in China’s Foreign Ministry and the country’s cybersecurity firms calling out alleged US cyberespionage. Until now, these allegations have been a rarity.” https://t.co/aiGhCGmUs9 Another big incursion into Taiwan’s ADIZ. “So far in 2022 Taiwan has reported 465 incursions, a near 50% increase on the same period last year. The sheer number of sorties has put the air force under immense pressure.” https://t.co/sOwaQrkblv “The end of Shanghai’s lockdown does not mean returning to pre-COVID ways of living."

Some banking clerks said they will have to wear full hazmat suits and face shields as they start facing the public from Wednesday.” https://t.co/WiWNHA17hs @AGhiselliChina If Beijing continues on the current trend of improvement I’d bet a lot that it will be used as an example of zero-COVID working .⁦@vshih2: “Li’s consistent support for less red tape & more policy support for business has struck a note of assurance…His consistent agenda certainly contrasts w/…at times unpredictable policies emanating from the party leading groups chaired by Xi” https://t.co/QIDWCUUIOS Big caveat: “…residents across the megacity of 25 million are not yet been allowed to move freely…In mid-May, Shanghai announced its three-phase plan for businesses to fully reopen and life to return to ‘normal’ by the end of June.” https://t.co/N6SU0ecYMD “One of my sources reported that even after campus-climate surveys continued to yield alarming results, an administrator confessed to him, ‘Why would I want to improve morale? I want these people to leave.’” https://t.co/jGRlm4GqSv “After seeing even the most affluent residents in her high-end apartment compound begging for food, she said she realized that in today’s China, even basic essentials can’t be guaranteed.” https://t.co/oKpKPpS95h It’s almost as if pandemic management is not the point @wjhurst @niubi Agree - I think the Shanghai experience solidified the commitment to zero-Covid, come what may https://t.co/CruSyfASZj FT waxing lyrical about “Beijing’s increasingly frantic efforts to oppose US-led blocs, which it blames for global conflict and tension.” https://t.co/m0mtw3LBEt “The tendency is to see events in Africa as part of a great-power game… [but] African politicians dislike being patronised…African leaders want it understood that they often have no option but to deal with China, which they do with their eyes open.” https://t.co/7Gtugd0OkL The choice to use the Monroe Doctrine as analogue here is both inapt and full of unfortunate colonial connotations https://t.co/RT0N02GSh3 @xuholland At reducing mortality, they are. But that isn't the only relevant metric. “China has not approved any mRNA vaccines, the most effective kind, essentially because the only two versions available are Western-made…national security is now a concern, scientific sources report, w/ leaders anxious about dependency on a foreign drug.” https://t.co/oU9a9JEnyY “Taiwanese news outlets have run headlines like ‘Shanghai Nightmare Scares Beijingers’ and ‘Fleeing Shanghai! People Cannot Get a Ticket to Leave Even if They Pay Five Times More.’ Taiwan’s government called the Chinese lockdowns ‘cruel.’” https://t.co/GHZJYh2chc “China’s push for a more self-sufficient economy, in short, has not been entirely successful in its own terms…The resulting muddle has left China neither much of a force in global finance nor protected from movements in markets beyond its control.” https://t.co/bRYXEArFKZ US official: “China is the one country that has the intention, as well as the economic, technological, military and diplomatic means to advance a different vision of international order. We are competing w/China over the trajectory of international order.” https://t.co/9kUHQswrm0 I’m a bit surprised these discussions hadn’t already been ongoing: “U.S. officials are already discussing to what extent they could replicate the economic penalties and the military aid deployed in defense of Ukraine in the event of a conflict over Taiwan” https://t.co/7KSrmxRKem @brianhioe @niubi Slightly shocking that Chengxin is running with this, though he did recently take up a position in Macao @CameronWEF 😬 Finally, Beijing's choice to forcefully reassert control over Shanghai seems likely to hasten trends towards centralization in Chinese politics. Central-local politics will remain contentious, but there will likely be less freedom for localities to experiment moving forward. 5/5 And while evidence about elite politics is, as always, scant, there are intriguing signals that factions are forming along pandemic control lines. Some like Li Keqiang seem to be pushing for easing control (see https://t.co/m8dkwjm6fT); others appear to want to double down. 4/x The way this has played out has some important implications: given that Shanghai is serving, for many, as evidence that a more targeted approach to outbreaks failed, zero-Covid in China is likely to be with us for a long time yet. 3/x In short, I argue that disagreements in the CCP - some the traditional Shanghai-Beijing divisions, some more specifically focused on zero-Covid -- played an underappreciated role in short-circuiting Shanghai's response to the Omicron outbreak. 2/x My take on (some of) the reasons Shanghai's lockdown was so shambolic is up @9DashLine! I argue that Beijing's intervention at the last minute had an underappreciated role -- there is more to the story than Shanghai simply being unprepared. https://t.co/CruSyfASZj More evidence emerging that there are factions emerging in Beijing around preferences for easing back on zero-Covid measures vs continuing as before: https://t.co/m8dkwjm6fT @LaJiaoWangZi Not sure how you think you can spin a threat to cut off his microphone if he said a certain word as anything but explicit censorship Likely planned before Biden’s remarks on Taiwan but still noteworthy that it’s being emphasized: “The PLA Eastern Theater Command recently…conduct[ed] a joint alert patrol and realistic combat exercises in and above the waters around the island of Taiwan” https://t.co/VAvQovo90J More convergence between the US and China, this time in ordinary kids learning to navigate censorship Ahem. @chowleen 😍 Somehow I continue to be surprised by just how thin-skinned so many Chinese nationalists are https://t.co/W5URh4kKOh @StevenJXU1 I have no idea what this sentence means. Ahem Two quick thoughts:
1) It’s no longer convincing to portray this as a gaffe.
2) This comment was made in the context of a comparison with Ukraine - what exactly is it that makes Taiwan so different for Biden? Admin will argue TRA etc; I’m not convinced. https://t.co/NvmqGPYd7l @alexanderchee @rche_types Have had it twice now but yes focus is totally shot, and specifically have the word finding thing @wjhurst Certainly seems to be the current trajectory @278406 那餐馆里、商店里的员工呢？好像这两块都不包括他们 Cannot imagine what life is like for restaurant workers and delivery drivers forced to work in closed loops as Shanghai “reopens” https://t.co/hQBWjQ5VJY @profmusgrave Being near family and friends got much more important; academia doesn’t seem able to offer that even in the medium term so 🫠 @yoko_not I’m so sorry 😕 “Bing censors politically sensitive Chinese names over time, that their censorship spans multiple Chinese political topics, consists of at least two languages…and applies to different world regions, including China, the United States, and Canada.” https://t.co/qp42fKve4v Schools “scraping by with whatever they can, as far as resources and planning and emotional energy (are concerned)” sounds about right https://t.co/c8uhcBfNFL @kon47058216 @Dali_Yang Many are in their own apartments or living with family in the lockdown. @Dali_Yang I thought the metric for no community transmission was no cases outside of quarantine centers? @niubi 政治挂帅 indeed Perhaps unsurprisingly, the conservative fixation on a China threat is being further institutionalized at Hudson: https://t.co/JOYS3gIBiC Many residents have left but let’s remember, too, that Beijing has refused to admit most of the people (not least international students) who have been begging to get into China since March 2020 @rzhongnotes Truly bizarre contortions of thought she’s coming up with. Not hard to see the motivation Kevin Rudd asks what many are wondering: “The big question is whether Mr. Xi has gotten China’s underlying policy direction badly wrong—and if so, if he is willing and able to change course.” https://t.co/0oZ9fSBGyC A study in understatement: “Fu Linghui, an official at China’s statistics bureau, said Monday that the challenges facing the economy have exceeded expectations.” https://t.co/d7frV4GX1E "A growing number of liberal-minded scholars in China are concerned that zero COVID has also provided a fresh blueprint for a state that, once when the pandemic is over, will seek to control every facet of people’s lives." https://t.co/gqx0yagiam Only in locked-down Shanghai would anyone ever think “It must be so nice to live in the news.” https://t.co/p5aPCCqDdd Quite the transition from xenophobia to homophobia in this screed @rzhongnotes The pundits’ style of gloating at the expense of people still suffering really is not a good look @Poppersghost @wdguy Exactly. @RudyakMarina https://t.co/Tu0W2afg6v @Curiosity_Given Totally, no other states treat immigrants like crap @Poppersghost @wdguy Lot of flippancy going around these days A partially flipped lecture approach worked very well for me a year ago, and totally failed this semester @extrashot7 1) I am not in Shanghai. 2) Having a different opinion is not the same as having privilege (or lack thereof). But this is no longer productive so I’m going to disengage. @gnrosenberg This one is odd but also somewhat correct?! @extrashot7 To not be locked in their homes indefinitely? Pretty sure ordinary Chinese expect that as well. @extrashot7 Ah yes, the Shanghainese, notoriously underprivileged. I don’t see any foreigners complaining about anything locals aren’t. Both are being brutalized. @wdguy But why should foreigners have been able to foresee this when Chinese apparently couldn’t? The post makes little sense, at best Lots of bizarre takes about foreigners in Shanghai the past few days. Why are Chinese allowed to be frustrated when foreign residents aren’t’? https://t.co/PyIHUT30BB Not a fun time to be living between China and the US - RMB fluctuations are adding to all the usual pandemic uncertainties https://t.co/shQfSVuFpL CNN’s David Culver on leaving Shanghai: “The folks I spoke with seemed to have reached the same conclusion: the time they had invested in China's financial hub no longer mattered. It was time to pull out, cut your losses.” https://t.co/ZAChMtv0eH @AGhiselliChina Have had the same, many just see a Chinese affiliation and block, I think. Was called an apologist just yesterday! 👇 Can confirm Heard a (reliably sourced) story about this just today - a Chinese traveler’s reason for leaving the country was deemed nonessential by border control agents and not only were they not allowed to fly, their passport got clipped and invalidated. My current read is that this is due to a combination of all manpower being hoovered up to deal with testing and movement controls with the fact that forcing Chinese aunties to do anything is a terrifying prospect The US also stopped issuing passports earlier in the pandemic, but officials never tried to justify it as a virus control measure, to the best of my recollection. (That pause was ostensibly due to personnel limitations at State.) @Dali_Yang Thanks, Dali! Agreed re partial opening and herd immunity, but the specifics of the metrics previously offered are nonetheless helpful in the context of a piece I’m writing. Anyone remember which Chinese officials have offered specific benchmarks for reopening borders and/or easing back on zero-Covid? I remember seeing metrics like herd immunity, increased hospital capacity, & better treatments but cannot for the life of me find the relevant articles @cszabla More "elite CCP politics relevant to high-level US policy," I think, not just national security @rzhongnotes I scarfed a Kind bar before my first meeting ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Good morning to everyone except the person who has time for this Can see the entrance to my rowhouse complex on the left here. Unbelievable. The crucial question, of course - which @jordanschnyc noted here - is how long the requisite openness for this kind of study will persist. Only true for a narrow view of “CCP-watching,” I think. There are relatively few (outside the classified world) who specialize in reading the tea leaves of elite politics, but one reason for that is there have been so many other interesting arenas to study in Chinese politics. @AnnaMeierPS And hiring+promotion committees in the US mostly do the same work the REF does in the UK, alas @macastel3 😞 hang in there This is absolutely wild “The Chinese metropolis used to feel like a global city, similar to London, she says. But after more than 50 days of lockdown, Ms Wang has begun researching ways to leave. ‘Now we realise, Shanghai is still China’s Shanghai,’ she says.” https://t.co/2G3VDFbYt5 Shanghai police officer: “Stop asking me why, there is no why.” https://t.co/oU0HDCHVQ3 @evefairbanks So excited for this! Congrats!! @pwnallthethings Lol I teach this example in my methods class One more week left in the semester and I am totally depleted, nothing left to give. And my to-do list just keeps getting longer @NeysunM @MichaelBCerny Oh I wasn’t judging, I’m just certain some amount of quarantine will be in place for a very long time This Xinhua piece is a journey, from the requisite attacks on biased NYT coverage, to citing a Harvard report (?) saying that 90% of Chinese support the party, to highlighting the "cave dwelling on the Loess Plateau" where Edgar Snow chatted with Mao. https://t.co/8Bau7x6UtS @NeysunM If you're unwilling to accept any quarantine at all it will indeed be years, no question @tressiemcphd The phrase “religious idolatry of American exceptionalism” articulates better than I ever could my own understanding of the sources of so many ostensibly baffling dynamics in US politics @miket_32 @Chri5tianGoebel @ScrapyProject Dad jokes are a staple of teaching, this is known @miket_32 @Chri5tianGoebel @ScrapyProject These would be really helpful if you're willing to share. Though it's an open question how much R I remember from grad school...haven't had occasion to use it since! @ChinaLawTransl8 @niubi @CarlMinzner @TGTM_Official Reactions to GTM seem quite relevant to the politics of promoting Chinese language learning abroad, though I agree the connection to influence more broadly is not entirely clear @niubi @CarlMinzner @ChinaLawTransl8 @TGTM_Official And the enormous difficulty of getting foreign students or dependents into the country @CarlMinzner @ChinaLawTransl8 @niubi @TGTM_Official I tend cynical on these questions, but I don't think this is that far-fetched -- certainly I think the wing of the Party that sees no need to remain open to the world is one reason the zero-COVID and border closure policies became so entrenched. @CarlMinzner @ChinaLawTransl8 @niubi @TGTM_Official The 2020 rebranding of Hanban/Confucius Institute Headquarters to the Center for Language Education and Cooperation is an important data point here, I think: https://t.co/OKbqh27jUw @williamnee @niubi @ChinaLawTransl8 @CarlMinzner @TGTM_Official Many of them were lost to the dieoff of blogs more broadly, IIRC @ChinaLawTransl8 @CarlMinzner @niubi @TGTM_Official Oh agreed, I think the politics of what is being translated are the actual bugbear for the powers that be. But the "translation" aspect seems to be magnifying those concerns - don't see the same level of vitriol for things like China Neican etc etc @ChinaLawTransl8 @CarlMinzner @niubi @TGTM_Official Not sure about this - they fund teaching Mandarin, sure (although from what I hear about hanban that interest has waned) but few in China actually believe many foreigners can reach true proficiency @Chri5tianGoebel Amazing, thank you!! https://t.co/s7dbyPcFs1 @luor1212 https://t.co/5QkzS6aJKC @luor1212 Was talking about how to avoid such a replay Asia shouldn’t be further militarized @katharintai No longer worth it for many, and it’s only getting worse “A replay of the Ukraine tragedy” in Asia, I wonder what this could refer to 🤔🫠 https://t.co/T3zwrUe5cz @rzhongnotes The grift is strong with this one By my read the answer has been clear for years Xinhua and the powers that be in Beijing once again proving they can’t read the room Reupping this for the Monday crowd - any suggestions would be appreciated! "One described how she and her 5-month old daughter spent nearly a week sleeping on the floor of Pudong Airport, running out of food...'With what I have faced, let me just go back to my country and do something there.'" https://t.co/fILNY9DHBn Best books or syllabi or online courses on web scraping, ideally with some focus on Chinese-language data? @sarahplusone Ginger freezes very well! @zhidongpimao Largely due to restrictive definitions of “symptomatic” At some point we need to revisit questions about false positives on Chinese tests, given the sheer number being administered @gnrosenberg I once went on a date with a bartender who, hearing that I was getting my PhD, made a point emphasize that he could have gotten into med school but decided he didn’t want to. We didn’t have another date. Over and over in my WeChat moments https://t.co/aDGQyq4WKV @StephenMcDonell Yup “In the past few days, neighbours start to denounce each other…Some days it was about who didn’t get a PCR test, other times it was about who tried to sneak out for food…neighbours even start to call the police when they see someone getting downstairs.” https://t.co/8r1DjpM02S Apparently the Chinese Academy of Sciences no longer subscribes to CNKI, citing increased prices.
https://t.co/aBOnECsYGS https://t.co/FbLuWECpCW If this is true, it is seriously worrying, given all the other resonances the Ukraine conflict has with a potential Taiwan scenario This is extremely helpful, especially for junior scholars “…other parts of the White House and the administration sometimes try to frame proposals as pushing back against China so that they can get them through the NSC more quickly.” https://t.co/EZJWNLJRjP “Biden’s strategy…should be counted a success if the US prevents the forcible takeover of Taiwan, keeps a robust military presence in Asia, maintains its alliance system, leads in key 21st-century tech, and exercises more influence than other countries.” https://t.co/P2yMnyHo97 Would be surprised if they have much more capacity to mobilize for this: “The target will require officials to accelerate COVID testing and the transfer of positive cases to quarantine centres.” https://t.co/sPzhN46lRs https://t.co/FjnQE6MJtM “Alx from Xijiang” really telling on himself here https://t.co/YAHN7lkBY6 @chontang Interesting that you presume to know the contents of a conversation that happened literally on the other side of the planet The author has clearly never had a migrant delivery worker beg her for a good review so they could afford to survive Sorry but this is a pretty blinkered view of pre-lockdown Shanghai https://t.co/PWUk51VL8i 👇 @1NRSmith People being confined in a subway? Time to update the auto-notifications, guys https://t.co/sDY3YRXLO9 China’s “choice now is between a redoubled vaccination campaign alongside an exit wave that could, according to some models, kill 2m people, or indefinite isolation and repeated curfews.” https://t.co/t7AMOU8Cw6 @dr_tey Zotero Shanghai: “‘We know that we can’t count on the government any more,’ says Ms Wang. But, she adds, ‘The people here are capable and brilliant.’” https://t.co/0Qc4ulDKjQ LOL @SuparnaChaudhry Who among us hasn’t had this craving tbh “There is now a longer-term question about the fate of Shanghai…Following the lockdown, the city risks losing its special status, either because it has alienated many of its residents or because the central leadership can tolerate less autonomy.” https://t.co/eXDcYJRXxr “Compared to individuals vaccinated w/ Pfizer-BioNTech, recipients of Sinovac-CoronaVac and Sinopharm were 2.37…and 1.62…times more likely to be infected w/COVID-19 respectively, while individuals vaccinated with Moderna were 0.42…times less likely to develop severe disease.” More likely the center got spooked as case numbers rose, but I’ve also been hearing a lot of blame placed on Beijing’s intervention @macastel3 Agreed. “Local officials in other parts of the country now get the message that they should always move ahead of the curve by imposing “snap lockdowns” and mass testing…As such, China could enter a period of frequent and localised lockdowns.” https://t.co/Cz1iGK7DX9 I’m rather biased (ahem: https://t.co/PQIN2F9viL) but @EuroJournIR has been publishing a lot of truly fascinating IR work over the past few years. Can’t wait to read this. Longish thread detailing a colleague’s experiences with the lockdown in Shanghai so far: @tony_zy Sure, this is my point - the sign is a symptom of other issues that deserve more energy and attention. But certainly I can see how it reads differently when you’re feeling targeted and (even more than usually) threatened. @tony_zy You’ll find no disagreement from me that racism is a problem + NYC/US should be more welcoming to immigrants, but criticizing language usage on a sign seems a strange molehill to die on if those are your priorities, and even as an example it doesn’t support your expansive claims. @yzilber Hence me finding it strange that someone would take offense on behalf of the language, or whatever is going on here Also the inset positioning suggests an accidental deletion/typo but ymmv This will absolutely be the same for academia @rzhongnotes 有可能？？？ ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ @rzhongnotes Saw this the other night and literally had no idea what they were trying to say beyond, possibly, 你好 pronounced “ni hai”? Found a new slide for my interpretive methods lecture https://t.co/4TBJxBqYGj Thanks to @QiLiyan and @_KarenHao for taking a stab at this. “In China, ‘we just don’t know what the true number of deaths [from COVID] is.’” https://t.co/f9E9zaIMug @EleanorKonik Spiritfarer! “The Internet is strewn with pitfalls

The Internet demands caution”

(From Beijing the past few days, supposedly) @DreyerChina @JeremiahJenne Already removed, alas Already taken down. https://t.co/SwpN9COZUV If I make it back to Shanghai in the fall this will be the very first set of purchases I make. @chenchenzh Wild to me how often I have to remind people that China is Very Big and that much policy implementation is devolved to localities - they can only see an all-powerful center @vshih2 Yea, doesn’t seem like they have a lot of time left to get logistics fixed… @gadyepstein Ah, fair enough. Would certainly be interesting to trace back and see when outsiders first started to seriously pick up on it - IIRC it happened a fair bit after this, but not certain of that. @gadyepstein Seems I’m blocked, but assuming this is the thread on the Qiushi piece, I don’t see much new there? Certainly not re Taiwan, and not even really the stuff about regional primacy post-2049. @HarveyZZed That is certainly one factor, as I’ve already noted @profandrewm Is this officially true across the board? Have only seen scattered indicators @profandrewm But I still don’t buy a claim that Shanghai has only had one (1) serious case, obviously @profandrewm The reported numbers do make much more sense if “confirmed” only counts x-ray-detectable pneumonia I believe this is the first confirmation of rumors that Shanghai was to be Beijing’s test case for relaxing zero-COVID: “Before the latest outbreak, Mr. Xi and other top officials saw Shanghai as a model for China’s long-term goal of living with the virus” https://t.co/kp045rWRud @gnrosenberg Chain blocking is your friend @naunihalpublic Endlessly frustrating that ManuscriptCentral is able to fool my password manager into thinking that every journal is the same login, even though the passwords are all created separately These numbers, for instance, are quite literally incredible, even for Omicron: “Of the total cases, more than 127,000 were asymptomatic and only one had developed serious illness, Wu said.” https://t.co/G5zTT4WqAJ How to ensure Shanghai’s already scary, labyrinthine quarantine process gets even more terrifying: make province-level governments compete to offload responsibility for sick people. “It’s hard to find the line between being supportive of struggling students and just giving up entirely on academic rigor.” https://t.co/kuxVsinhbe @s_vortherms Yea that makes sense to me - nowhere else does this kind of dragnet testing so consistently that I’m aware of. But I have also seen hints that the definition of asymptomatic might be unusually broad, perhaps including most cases that elsewhere would be sub-hospitalization. This is clearly not entirely due to the supposed mildness of Omicron variants, but a lot of other things could be going on Has anyone done a deep dive on the mix of definitional, methodological, and reporting issues that result in Shanghai’s wildly disproportionate number of reported asymptomatic cases? @donweinland @Jacob_T_Gunter 🤣 @Jacob_T_Gunter Did he actually post this? @MareikeOhlberg 😅 @kmichaelwilson The only argument I made was that Shun Rin, a serious apologist, expressed some frustration with zero COVID @XinWei57337546 One lightly critical tweet does not erase everything he’s said and done in the past @xuchuanmei I didn’t ask for advice. And it is absolutely wild that you’d assume I know nothing about how China is grappling with the pandemic Six hours later he thought better of it, sort of https://t.co/STZSgKqxjx @donweinland Nope. My suspicion is spring 2022 Shanghai is going to be a bellwether, though I’m not yet certain for what Even serious apologists are now willing to express some frustration with zero-COVID https://t.co/WqPijUVkE2 @leonard08509599 Very much so! @leonard08509599 Agreed re reviewers, it’s doubly frustrating because I work so hard to be constructive when I review. @leonard08509599 I won’t be identifying the journal until the article is available online @RudyakMarina @MareikeOhlberg Oh agreed. That’s a main reason I posted about the process for this one! @RudyakMarina @MareikeOhlberg Simple: those with the power to change the incentives that push us to publish in this system aren’t doing so. There are collective action issues and other complexities but that is the heart of the issue. @randybesco Tho I organize my own revisions based on higher-level summaries of reviewer’s comments @randybesco Entire comments, for sure. The more thoroughly you address feedback, the better The vicissitudes of academic publishing: I finally got a paper accepted at a top China journal after five years of work, three desk rejections, and one reviewer (who demonstrably had not read the paper) deeming it"unsalvageable" and unsuitable for publication. Very flattered: Psychology Today covered my work on military disobedience and its relevance to what we see happening in the Russian military of late. https://t.co/ISwcyoK8VT “There’s a very easy formula to become successful…It’s simply to praise the Chinese government, to praise China and talk about how great China is and how bad the West is.” https://t.co/zPmhy2lUbY “Replacement orderlies at Shanghai Donghai said they were required to sleep in the same room as Covid-positive patients in dirty conditions that attracted mice. Some have since gone on strike.” https://t.co/q45w3WQ6nJ Ukraine restarted Taiwan’s conversation about its defense, but political will for big changes still seems lacking: “Moves under discussion in Taiwan are still far from the kind of major revamp that some experts…say is needed to upgrade Taiwan’s military.” https://t.co/tWPsmzxTMV Downstream of a mutual lack of trust: “China’s Foreign Ministry has lodged a formal complaint with Australia after two Chinese students were questioned & deported when they arrived in Sydney for not disclosing their military training while at university.” https://t.co/FnXCyLmP2s @sarahplusone I should also clarify that I mostly mean the numbers of cases being reported don’t seem in line with the indicators I’m seeing - not trying to imply a huge amount of deaths are somehow being hidden. @sarahplusone Thanks, but I’m aware of the rules; this isn’t the only indication I’m referring to (and no doubt there is more than one such center!). But I haven’t seen enough to really be confident with a general assessment in any case. Scattered indicators are all I’ve got! Indications are piling up that the Shanghai outbreak is substantially worse than it appears @arkellogg @AASAsianStudies Well sure, but I'd distinguish between combat experience and realistic training. You're right that Taiwan's forces have little access to the former, but the latter they can (and do) pursue, including live-fire drills. https://t.co/USCKw7VRVo @arkellogg @AASAsianStudies Why is it impossible to have "real military training"? Honestly love it when academics suddenly decide to switch registers in their writing - “no flow, no dough!” https://t.co/GXzCH4jyag “‘The economy is one area where local officials can say, “I’m politically loyal and I support you, but some of the policies haven’t been going very well,”’ says Joseph Fewsmiith.” https://t.co/eRZcLuB3Sl Jude Blanchette: “…the more powerful Xi becomes and the more direct authority he exerts over Beijing’s foreign policy, the more adverse the outcomes are for China’s long-term strategic interests.” https://t.co/HxUn1cTSwc Interesting to see how broad-based unhappiness about Shanghai’s lockdown measures is https://t.co/uBj66gfEs6 Absolutely agree. This dynamic, ironically, may be restraining Beijing insofar as they understand American pressure would get far worse if reactionaries come fully to the fore in US politics. @AlexDukalskis Very good in coffee though! @jmchatwin Following! Jury is still out on whether China can handle this Omicron outbreak quickly, but stories like these continue to accumulate @miket_32 Ah sorry was reading too quickly. Good hunting! @miket_32 Worth checking - one they’ve published with a dataset many scholars are willing to share that data Interesting that, after what many called a questionable push towards an all-volunteer military, Taiwanese legislators from both sides of the aisle are calling for a return to longer mandatory training periods. https://t.co/i22pFsUZAi An absolute game changer “For Mr Putin, the invasion of Ukraine is…a war on the West, and China is the most powerful partner that Russia can see. If Mr Putin is willing to strengthen China as a champion against America, Chinese experts see opportunities.” https://t.co/gXL06jHxjJ “Reports of Paxlovid’s approval drew angry comments about its foreign origins, such as one asking: ‘900,000 Americans died from covid, is this medicine any good?’” https://t.co/QqdATCjQi1 “If you’re suggesting in the Chinese system right now that it was not smart to get that close to Russia, you’re in effect criticizing the leader.” https://t.co/mmYQTmcRVa https://t.co/fYiTUdtKxy @dbessner Hard for me to agree with this while teaching on Mao’s foreign policy these past few weeks! @niubi Was wondering the same thing “One of the worst effects of this war is going to be deep and long-lasting Russian isolation from the west. I believe, however, that Putin and the siloviki (though not many in the wider elites) welcome this isolation.” https://t.co/5xdI9wOumg https://t.co/h4Km48yhJm @jamestwotree May or may not have in fact said something very close to this Literally had to pause teaching Zoom class tonight because my TV mysteriously turned itself on so the semester is going great so far Overheard my coffeeshop in a tiny American town at the edge of the world: "We really shouldn't be that involved with China. Those international corporations over there taking advantage of cheap labor, their days should be limited." Hu Wei could very well be right here, but we should not overrate the reach of his analysis in Beijing. There’s no apparent official sanction for it, and even if he does have officials’ ears, many other analyses the US would like far less are no doubt circulating as we speak. China looking to divert flights from Shanghai amid big Omicron outbreak: “The diversion may last for as long as six weeks, and could come into force as soon as mid-March, though it is still under consideration…The move won’t affect cargo flights.” https://t.co/D013aGfRKm “Bank workers told Reuters they have already taken a suitcase to the office to prepare for potential lockdowns, while a manager at an international school in Shanghai said he had been asked by his employers to stockpile two weeks of supplies in his office” https://t.co/ANkjb1oXOA “A slogan coursing through Taiwanese social media is ‘Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow!’…To Taiwanese, the parallels between what Mr Putin is doing to Ukraine and what Xi Jinping might do to Taiwan are glaring.” https://t.co/bvsmdPnDbp “China, far from being able to act decisively on the world stage, suffers from a chronic leadership void that leaves it paralyzed to act in the face of global crises.” https://t.co/S5SW6gDEoi @profmusgrave https://t.co/IZMObjlG9M @gnrosenberg “Just asking questions” @gnrosenberg Not as big, but internationalization plays in here too @Strat122 I would certainly not plan on any project that can’t succeed without fieldwork at this point @NeysunM I think of them mostly as an excuse for policies both sides preferred anyway (which is why I am more pessimistic than most about how soon they will be lifted) I remain saddened by the loss of person-to-person exchanges and wholeheartedly agree that the ill effects are myriad, but let's not fool ourselves that this is just about COVID controls. The deterioration in the relationship began well before the pandemic. On the changed research environment in China: Weird week to be teaching about the Sino-Soviet split tbh Jeff Bader: “And if you listen to administration officials, they will acknowledge, they don’t have a trade policy. They don’t have a trade policy towards China. They don’t have a trade policy towards Asia. They don’t have a trade policy globally.” https://t.co/21ne2FtBj5 “Chinese financial institutions have been less keen on the idea of banking Russian clients than their political leaders are.” https://t.co/qvQRPlak2v https://t.co/mame9ysgmk @mikeygow @samuel_wade I def do not recommend email notifications on the watch - too overwhelming Insightful point. I think this is right 👇 Follow me down this terrifying rabbit hole of blind nationalism and groupthink amongst a group of Chinese migrants in Australia (h/t @niubi) Beijing probably feeling pretty good about having pushed Unionpay so hard right about now “Singapore is increasingly the first port of call for American and European officials visiting the region. Some see it as a Vienna for the 21st century—the natural place for antagonists in Asia’s growing Great Game to meet.” https://t.co/l1hT8IYMK0 “In China today, surveillance ‘is where the money is,’ says CNAS’s Rasser. ‘If you look at how much the Chinese state is pouring into this, this is where the revenue growth is.’” https://t.co/RynGeE6pUl Climate, viruses, disruptive tech, etc: “Framing the China threat as irredeemably antagonistic, as many ‘political realists’ are currently doing, misses the reality that both countries—to prosper and even to survive—must cooperate as well as compete.” https://t.co/AZ0tDJpCh4 .@joannachiu: “It’s as if nuance on China has become taboo in D.C. There is often no pushback whatsoever when leading politicians talk as if the two countries are already at war.” https://t.co/8KFHJ4DhWw @gwbstr Yep, he contradicts himself on that point I personally don’t find the thread’s conclusion terribly compelling; Chen conflates capacity for fighting multiple conflicts with capacity to devote strategic attention in two regions. Also ignores a range of potential downstream consequences that wouldn’t be to China’s benefit. https://t.co/wPM7a7FdrY “China’s policy that researchers must submit vulnerabilities to the Ministry of Industry+Information Technology creates an incredibly valuable pipeline of…capabilities for the state. [It] effectively bought at least $4 million worth of research for free” https://t.co/adLV4g2muy “The persistence of mainstream and readily accessible scholarly discourse that departs from the party line—especially amid such a carefully-scripted and momentous year for the CCP—should complicate our understanding of the…Chinese political landscape.” https://t.co/j1Fz0rw9UM (From a research professor in law at Taiwan’s Academia Sinica) Thread on the unpopularity of military service in Taiwan: “A military that can’t cast off the shadow of the [authoritarian] KMT or acknowledge an independent, democratic Taiwan won’t be able to fight or gain the support of the people. This is what Americans don’t understand.” “While Beijing thought it was manipulating Russia for its own counter-U.S. agenda, Russia was manipulating China in a much more vigorous and realistic way…people have to question the competence of the Chinese intelligence gathering, esp. in and on Russia. https://t.co/JSYBxlUV0B “Officials…have been tasked since January with exploring adjustments to Covid-19 control policies that can eventually be presented to China’s top leadership, according to a person with knowledge of the pandemic discussions in Beijing.” https://t.co/j4ZT08nUiE “For those who find themselves with ties to both countries, we’ve entered a stage of incredible loss. The dissolution of the relationship hits us in uniquely excruciating ways. Families are cut off, academic and career plans ruined.” https://t.co/BpexWoD4db “‘Internationally recognized countries, if they can so easily be invaded like this, then couldn’t Taiwan be too, without any reason?’ said Chang Ya-chu, a 21-year-old medical student in Taipei.” https://t.co/sJyaAohXgh “This is already a paranoid time, marked by speeches from Communist Party bosses about the need to protect national security from hostile foreign forces in all aspects of life. It has just got worse.” https://t.co/r6gVFGFv6s Mearsheimer to @IChotiner re: what US Ukraine policy should be: "We should be pivoting out of Europe to deal with China in a laser-like fashion, number one. And, number two, we should be working overtime to create friendly relations with the Russians." https://t.co/Fp4OjM1zp8 “The political excuse for China’s increasing isolation comes from Marx: capitalism, largely ported into China by foreigners, is a transitional stage to socialism. Now…capitalism has gone far enough.” https://t.co/xIR5hBdgIu “For Cai, the anti-sissy campaign may not be intentionally targeting the LGBT community, but the authorities’ use of pejorative labels such as ‘sissy’ is nevertheless stirring hatred toward sexual minorities.” https://t.co/4HiiUfqWD0 “Other Weibo users were bemused. ‘If I only browsed Weibo,’ wrote the user @____26156, ‘I would have believed that it was the United States that had invaded Ukraine.’” https://t.co/6D20joc20i These bans are not mentioned in the piece at all, and the structural causes of precarity and insecurity among academics are barely raised. Smh Many problems with this piece, but for now I’ll just note that it is wild to argue self-censorship is one of the biggest problems with the American academy even as state legislators attempt to ban entire classes of speech from classrooms. https://t.co/KriOCm2W11 @JohnHolbein1 Make sure to demand a different paper entirely @alexanderchee I am all for adjusting masking measures based on transmission + hospitalization numbers, but not requiring vaccination checks is just insane to me @rzhongnotes The reviews for this game alone have me tempted to buy a PS5 "American officials heard language from their Chinese counterparts that was consistent with harder lines the Chinese had been voicing in public, which showed that a more hostile attitude had become entrenched, according to the American accounts." https://t.co/EiZvQ0iS2O People have been platforming this all day and so far as I can ascertain it is just entirely untrue. https://t.co/EP5g2r44VV @clary_co Yea she’s way off base on this, as on many other things of late. Discussing this talk on US-China rapprochement + the 50th anniversary of the Shanghai Communiqué felt quite optimistic in the current climate, but was also a useful reminder of how quickly things can change. (Not to mention, great questions from students always brighten my day!) https://t.co/gHI7pOKNkE Lots of disaster to go around these days but I’m really struggling to wrap my mind around the scale of what is happening in HK Interesting dive into how the confluence of a maturing market, increased demand, and restrictions on game licenses are leading to a wave of higher-quality Chinese-produced games: “The rise of prestige Chinese games” https://t.co/YCJgguffUX The hunger for a familiar Cold War framework in DC is very real and will cause no end of trouble “While serving on the Senate Armed Services Committee, [Jeff] Sessions came to believe that some Chinese students attended American universities to gather information valuable to Beijing, according to former…officials who worked on the China Initiative.” https://t.co/9kSBrX8z9q Important similarities with the way conservative Texans drive textbook content across the US, for instance https://t.co/QWxAWxLDLf @DenisonBe @BrendanNyhan I (and many others) have been making this point re: Confucius Institutes for years .@BrendanNyhan hits the nail on the head here - this isn’t just about movies. https://t.co/dvxIZOsYAd Let’s not conflate “can’t” and “won’t” - Chinese studios are willing to forego sales in the US market, Hollywood isn’t, so far. That may change. @Guan_Wang921 Seems like there’s plenty of focus available for Russia and very little for China I am no Russia hand, but the praise I’ve been seeing for the Biden team’s handling of the Ukraine crisis stands in stark contrast to criticisms of their inability to do much of anything with regard to China policy @gnrosenberg I am a long-standing Garamond stan, didn’t realize I had been canceled! @john_schuessler @IdeanSalehyan Second this recommendation @WonkVJ My rule for years was if they could cause trouble for me - even if just an annoying swarm on here - I’d block them without hesitation. If they were harmless, I’d just mute @BadChinaTake Reminds me of this take Yup same @Prof_BearB @Goodereadermike @Goodereader The Remarkable 2 is really great I am struggling to understand why this would get greenlighted when vaccines can’t, but this is still a very good thing @Paul_Kreitman I only sort of see how it could do that? Clearly you’re not alone though 👇👇👇 @AOHSUsometimesY Maybe if I got very lucky with reviewers, but probably not @AOHSUsometimesY @andybliu @tobitac @cfmeyskens I wouldn’t say it is mainstream no @AOHSUsometimesY @tobitac @andybliu @cfmeyskens Looks like the eponymous Bradley Thayer (I don’t know him) https://t.co/wMwVgS5v8e @StochasticStat1 I said exactly nothing about a vaccine-only strategy, so kindly take your disingenuous nonsense elsewhere. Just wild how much cognitive dissonance is required to both support a no-holds-barred approach to controlling COVID and, nonetheless, make excuses for Beijing not approving highly effective foreign vaccines. Anyone hoping for free movement into China is going to be waiting a while, it seems https://t.co/nhj094gWJl This merits my periodic reminder that Beijing still refuses to approve foreign-made mRNA vaccines ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ “Though the cameras will be on…Olympians to write their athletic stories, it’s still corporate money and lobbying power that does the talking to state interests, be they American or Chinese.” https://t.co/CfB0i1W52g @SuparnaChaudhry @IntOrgJournal Congrats!!! Extremely cursed handout A depressing sign of the times in HK -- academic precarity is made so much worse when employment depends on securing a visa. @mgerrydoyle These idiots Was never super popular in China anyway but not a good sign… @henrysgao Unhappy but his view on women was rather overdetermined I think @henrysgao A bit early for that, no? @cfmeyskens @dikaioslin @TelStratLLC @eramash Absolutely. Doubly striking given his early experiences with rural China and poverty - could have gone another direction, seems to me @AChopinhauer In context reads like he’s being drunk and jovial, but without the Chinese original and more context about the personalities present, hard to tell for sure @cfmeyskens @dikaioslin @TelStratLLC @eramash I mean, there are good reasons he was able to get to his position and some of his early anthropological writing is fascinating, but yea, point taken @dikaioslin @TelStratLLC @eramash He really doesn’t come across well. And I love the woman warning him about what would happen if this transcript went public Zhou Enlai, to his credit (?), repeatedly intervened with the caveat that such a trade should be voluntary for the women concerned. @msmelissan Truly cringe @samuel_wade A proposal which was reportedly hilarious, “particularly among the women.” @eramash My jaw literally dropped at times “Dr. Kissinger: The Chairman has fixed the idea so much in my mind that I’ll certainly use it at my next press conference. (Laughter)” 13/13

Source: Department of State Office of the Historian https://t.co/kcgNKfHHTb “…Chairman Mao: You know, the Chinese have a scheme to harm the United States, that is, to send ten million women to the United States and impair its interests by increasing its population.” 12/x “Chairman Mao: They are only on stage. In reality if there is a fight you would flee very quickly and run into underground shelters.

Miss Wang: If the minutes of this talk were made public, it would incur the public wrath on behalf of half the population.” 11/x Discussion continues for a while, and Mao circles back yet again:

“Chairman Mao: We have so many women in our country that don’t know how to fight.

Miss Tang: Not necessarily. There are women’s detachments.” 10/x “Chairman Mao: If we ask them to go I think they would be willing.

Prime Minister Chou: Not necessarily.

Chairman Mao: That’s because of their feudal ideas, big nation chauvinism.

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