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Resulting In A Significant Compression In Relative Valuation.
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� We previously estimated a smaller impact on production, assuming Harley would ship extra Sportsters, Dynas and V-Rods from its Kansas City plant.
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1) The integration of the Paper Mate/Parker writing instruments acquisition is moving faster than expected, showing a profit.
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In summary, while the best of the cycle is likely behind us, trading opportunities should exist ahead.
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Also adversely affecting the company' results in third-quarter 1998 was s a loan loss provision of $75 million; J.P.
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This will improve cash flows and lower production costs.
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Our `what's in the price' analysis suggests the market thinks DRI will earn $1.50-$2.00 in FY09, a scenario requiring >6% down comps and a collapse of margins to late `90s levels.
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The company enjoys an excellent reputation within the market place for client service and quality, and this is reflected in its market shares ranking within large corporate pension plans, including endowments and foundations.
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Specialty, helped by acquisitions, generated a 27% increase in sales during the quarter.
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Debt maturities remain manageable in the near term.
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We expect new Rx growth to moderate going forward, primarily because of tougher comparisons and secondarily because of competition � specifically, the entrance of J&J's Aciphex (3.6% share in July), the roll-out of AHP's Protonix (a strong 80bp gain to 1.3% in July) and late 2000/early 2001 introduction of generic Prilosec.
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Purchased power costs were $25.44 per Mwh in 3Q99 compared with $15.36 per MWh in 3Q98, a 66% increase.
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Valuation We are initiating coverage of Pall with a Hold rating.
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In our last quarterly earnings note we indicated that Merrill was coming out of its restructuring phase into a growth phase.
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Gross margin: As expected, DG' gross margin fell 24 basis points to 26.8% versus 27.0%.
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Against a softening aftermarket environment, we like Tenneco's recently implemented broad restructuring plan to realign capacity and reduce head count in its North American and European OE and aftermarket operations.
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EMC's 4Q05 results contained some ominous data points.
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� In the US trials, 81% of patients using imiquimod five times a week and 52% of those using imiquimod three times a week saw their sBCC clear.
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In terms of the product portfolio, the company attributes strong demand in the quarter to the Palacos G (a Gentamicin antibiotic-loaded bone cement for the second stage of a two stage revision) used in arthroplasty procedures.
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Management has expressed concern about other participants in the program using this program as a marketing tool, rather than as a philanthropic endeavor, with many participants charging for state and city filings while Intuit provided these services for free.
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In growth terms, this represents a 5% increase from the previous year, or a flat showing, excluding the $0.05 per share benefit from the elimination of goodwill amortization.
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Our 2007 EPS estimates are flat, as our expectation for NIM compression offsets these positives.
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A breakdown of Weyerhaeuser's sales and operating profit along with net income appears in Exhibit 2. Statistics on debt appear in Exhibit 3..
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Lifestyle, which includes brands such as JanSport, The North Face and Nautica, represents faster growth and higher margin opportunities for VF's future.
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The bulk of the capex is directed in the business segment of the market, of which twothirds is success driven - taken to mean the construction of local connectivity to the backbone network for enterprise customers.
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Given these statements, it appears that growth is likely to accelerate, and as such we are comfortable with our 20% growth estimate in earned premiums for 2002.
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APA will acquire 57.8 mmboe in proved reserves at a price of $22.50/boe.
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Specifically with respect to ROE, we are comfortable that not only will management realize its 12% goal in 2005, but based upon our analysis, we now consider a 15% level by 2008 to be potentially achievable.
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To meet our estimates, eBay needs to generate approximately 25 million listings per week for the remainder of the quarter.
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Exhibit 1. Amazon.com Active Customer Accounts and Unit Growth (In Millions).
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GZMO has two proprietary technology platforms; antigen discovery platform and SAGE.
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(See Chart 1.) Overall, we forecast a growth rate of 12% for the two-year period ending in 1999 and an 8% growth rate for 2000..
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Management is scheduled to hold a conf call beginning at 10am EST to discuss results.
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Erbitux studies in head/neck and lung cancer continue, but other tumor types do not appear to be a high priority.
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For now, we are forecasting only nominal growth in EBIT from the international segment..
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The offset, however, is that higher interest rates negatively impact the value of their investments, placing pressure on reported book values.
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The one roadblock between the iPod and spectacular sales is that it works only on the Mac.
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SMserver: Manages the transmission of alphanumeric messages between mobile subscribers and external systems like pagers and voicemail systems.
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Self-help initiatives deliver more than $1.0 billion after-tax income per year.
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The agreement, under which Alcoa will acquire all outstanding shares of Reynolds Metals in a tax free stock-for-stock transaction, has an equity value of approximately $4.4 billion, or $70.89 per RLM share (based on AA' August 18 closing price).
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Using a multiple to growth ratio of around 1.5x times Yahoo!'s expected three year free cash growth rate of 30% points to a 2005 FCF multiple in the 45x range.
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Our price target is now $25, which assumes a multiple of 17 times our CY07 EPS, a 10% premium to the market.
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What is the sentiment of this news? Please choose an answer from negative, neutral, or positive.
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The OUS distribution agreement calls for MedImmune to manufacture and sell Synagis to Abbott at a price based upon end-user sales, and Abbott books all of the sales.
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What is the sentiment of this news? Please choose an answer from negative, neutral, or positive.
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CC's weaker-than-expected 1QF06 EPS results confirmed our belief that the company (1) remains early in its turnaround; (2) is expected to post choppy results in the near-term; and (3) faces an increasingly challenging competitive environment.
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If KMB achieves its "Global Strategic Plan" targets, we believe margins and returns will slowly improve.
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Nonperforming assets are at historically low levels.
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Segment operating profit was $75 million (7.5% margin), essentially flat versus a year ago.
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(See Figure 1.) Recognizing that severe weather in February along with war in March impacted consumer spending and were leading "excuses" during the quarter, it is interesting that our A.G.
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n n. Fifth Third reported a noisy fourth quarter, reporting $0.80 in EPS, $0.01 ahead of consensus and in line with our estimate.
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Progress in attracting successful marketers will be one of the catalysts we will look for in considering the level of earnings growth and expanded return on equity.
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Not least, our current expectations through FY2007 incorporate just over $100mm in US Endeavor sales, or one quarter.
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Regarding valuation for Valero, we attain our $60/share price target on Valero by applying a relative P/E multiple that is 55-60% of that of the S&P to our $6.05/share projection of mid-cycle EPS..
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WAG opened 371 net new stores (new stores less closures and relocations) for fiscal year 2005 and is planning to open 390 net new units in fiscal 2006 and this is of course far greater than any of its pharmacy peers.
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Yeda's license of the patent to third parties could result in product competition for ERBITUX* that might not otherwise occur.
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Arestin is an anti-infective drug acquired as part of the OraPharma acquisition, which was completed in February of 2003.
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Qwest's agreement with IBM provides it with a readily available source of engineering talent and an anchor tenant for its data centers (IBM occupies 25% of the gross space).
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On the other hand, the company is burdened with $18 billion in debt and we forecast negative earnings through 2007.
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While electronics are certainly cyclical, BNT is exposed to a growth segment that is highly dependent on new product introductions.
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5. The multi-family portfolio is in significantly better shape than it was at the beginning of the 1990s.
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Sales for 2000 are estimated at over $500 million, led by Quadrant.
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We believe this position is more likely to be consistent with a compromise necessary to get new healthy legislation in place, potentially removing one of the key overhangs on GSE shares.
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These numbers suggest two years of roughly 15% earnings growth.
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We think the central risk to the story will be flows in the ST� both equities and perhaps fixed income.
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This represents a 41% discount to the industry average P/E multiple for 2006E of around 17.5x.
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Our new December 2009 price target for IFF of $30 per share is derived by applying an 11.5x P/E multiple to our 2009 estimate of $2.60 and reflects an 8.1x '09 EV/EBITDA multiple.
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Formulation patents might protect Vasotec to a limited extent.
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(2) Eliminations /Other consists of the following: (a) the elimination of intercompany revenue and expense between intermodal and container shipping and between contract logistics and rail; (b) a portion of interest expense between container-shipping and the parent company; and other corporate expenses.
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Our 2002 estimate of $3.15 (new GAAP) contemplates continued weak capital markets income, good expense controls, a declining net interest margin and slightly higher net charge-offs.
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FCC strongly suggested it would apply access charges to Internet-based phone-tophone connections, but not those accessed by computer.
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Robinson settled the three lawsuits in 2003, and it recorded a charge of $4.3 million ($0.02 per share) during Q4 2002..
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neutral
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The company continues to benefit from lower interest expense due to debt reduction.
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The company's three operating units are Travel Related Services (TRS), American Express Financial Advisors (AEFA), and American Express Bank (AEB).
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Gross margin is conservatively projected at 36.7%, vs. 37.5% in the June quarter and 37.2% last year..
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California is emerging from several years of a slow economy.
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What is the sentiment of this news? Please choose an answer from negative, neutral, or positive.
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We do not view such a discount as warranted, as it implies that F&F companies are significantly less defensive than staples..
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2) McKessonHBOC is reviewing all aspects of HBOC's business.
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Jude continues to execute on all fronts, with excellent operating fundamentals across most of the major businesses.
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What is the sentiment of this news? Please choose an answer from negative, neutral, or positive.
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Avaya to Report on July 25, 2005, at 5:00 PM EST. We expect sales to be in line around $1.25 billion but believe there is risk to our EPS estimate of $0.13.
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We believe this is a 6-12 month opportunity for Nvidia.
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With a high annual cost basis of around $110 million, Motorola will clearly have to cut costs to minimize the negative impact on margins and profitability.
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In particular, results from 38 evaluable indolent NHL patients documented that approximately 24% or 9 patients had objective responses, with 6 responses (out of 14 or 43%) at the final dose selected.
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neutral
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For F2004, we are projecting 3% sales growth for perfusion products to $231 million.
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OXY projects its sales this year of Ethylene Dichloride (EDC), one of its key chemical products, to be the lowest in 10 years.
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This profit was mainly attributed to extraordinary gains, specifically a reduction in loss reserves for discontinued products.
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Sunoco's trading department already does this on a regular basis to minimize feedstock costs.
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Almost all of the recurring revenue stream is attributable to remote processing services, which generally have five-year contracts and typically do not begin to generate revenue until services begin (8 -12 months from contract signing)..
| 1
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A Few Silver Linings Tyco reported FQ4 EPS of $0.48 excluding unusual items.
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Symantec signed 376 contracts worldwide each worth more than $300,000, including 99 worth more than $1 million during the quarter.
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What is the sentiment of this news? Please choose an answer from negative, neutral, or positive.
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While California opened at 70%, within management's target range of 70%75%, this was on the low end of the range, which we continue to find troubling.
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The deal will be financed by proceeds from previously announced Northwood pulp mill sale (initial net cash proceeds of $150 million), free cash flow and $200-250 million of short-term debt.
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Re-launch of Enbrel franchise: Increased penetration and broader indications to drive Enbrel sales.
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Rating and Price Target History for: Andrew Corp. (ANDW) as of 07-26-2006.
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RBC Capital Markets has provided Apartment Investment and Management Company with non-securities services in the past 12 months.
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(4) CB's 2003 guidance of $4.60-$5.00 per share assumes a leveling off of D&O and E&O claim activity in Chubb Specialty, however, in our view, this may be aggressive given the current unfavorable trends in the market.
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This influx of generic competition is expected to stifle pharmaceutical sales growth down from the current double-digit level to the mid- to low single digit level.
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JKHY has been building various capabilities to attack the upstream market over the last year or so.
| 1
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� While SWY trades at a low earnings multiple (9.2 X 2004), we continue to avoid the shares due to risks in the distressed sale of Dominick's, other possible acquisition "work-outs" and secular pressure on the supermarket channel.
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The bank is clearly gaining market share in many key areas.
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We are unable to assess the merits of the action or potential outcomes, but note that in 2000, Coca-Cola agreed to pay $192.5 million to settle a similar suit that included approximately 2,000 plaintiffs.
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The mid-point is in line with the company's past five year average sequential growth rate of 5%, excluding the outlier in 2001.
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