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We rate the shares of Lockheed Martin Corporation Buy/ Medium Risk (1M).
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If the company had used fair-value-based accounting using the Black-Scholes option valuation model, reported EPS would have been lower by $0.63, $0.38, and $0.26 respectively in fiscal 2002, 2001, and 2000.
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We believe that the firm's headcount reductions are in line with our estimate of $50 million in cost reductions, assuming about $50,000 per employee -- more in Europe, less elsewhere.
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We believe Noble Energy is wired for generating sustainable growth for both the near term and long term.
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However, we do not anticipate any major change in revenue trends for the second quarter, with the impact from the 17,000 layoffs, the sale of the wireless resale business and other asset divestitures starting to take effect in 3Q..
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Server and Server applications revenue grew 11% Y/Y.
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Net earnings in the quarter were $62.5 million versus $8.1 million in the prior-year quarter, or EPS of $0.87 diluted versus $0.11 a year ago.
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UST is in the process of appealing the $1.05 billion lower court judgment ($350 million jury verdict subject to statutory trebling) and will remain unable to repurchase stock or increase its dividend in excess of 5% per year until the claim is resolved.
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Below is a summary of our estimates of current leading carrier wireline capex forecasts:.
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Of the total debt, $7.26 bln is related to exchangeable notes.
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Our price target assumes CBE now trades at a 25% relative P/E discount to the S&P 500..
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As a reminder, OCD is a combination of JNJ's blood screening business and Eastman Kodak's clinical chemistry and immunoassay business, acquired in 1995.
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JPM had $704m of realized cash gains in 1H04 and we are forecasting $575m of cash gains for the remainder of the year.
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Capital spending is expected to come in around $1.3 billion, with the remainder of the cash (>$3.2 billion free cash flow) slated for further debt paydown.
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We value the operating portion of the company using the required return on assets for automotive companies, r(a).
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In our opinion, Costco may consider adding Fuji back in to the product line-up.
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we are increasing our PACMO/share view on Micron for the period to $0.34 (up 13% Q/Q) and our FQ4 EPS estimate for the quarter goes up to $0.14 (up 12% Q/Q) We are establishing our FY2007 forecast model on Micron.
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Nestle is the largest confection company globally, with an estimated CHf 10.6 billion in 2000.
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The real positive in the quarter was the growth inflows of $0.7 billion, which marks a turnaround in growth.
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As such, we look for GE to initiate an outlook of 10-15% (DBE 13%) which allows for some softening in commercial real estate markets and a tougher securitization environment.
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Tesco and METRO have already announced RFID roll-outs.
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Our lead indicators suggest the more discretionary consumer could remain a source of strength, benefiting Target.
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Pharmaceuticals: Generic Competition Dampens US Growth; Outlook Remains Mixed Pharma sales declined 2.2% (down 0.4% constant currency) to $5.755 billion.
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For ResCap, where the bulk of the HFI book is non-prime or prime non conforming, we assumed that provisions would run in the 4% range; but the allowance had already been built up to about 2.5% at the end of Q3, so we hit ResCap for an incremental 1.5% - or about $325 million on the $22b portfolio..
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The company's two main product lines are analog ICs and digital signal processors (DSPs), which enable consumer and industrial electronic equipment to process both analog and digital signals in real time.
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Accordingly, comp inventory is down more than 2-3% on a comparable store basis, indicating that Federated is well positioned for 1H:02.
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Housing starts are the primary driver for demand in this segment, and Deere expects starts to remain strong this year at 1.59 million vs. last year's 1.68 million.
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Golden West tends to rely on dividends as a capital management tool more so than share repurchases.
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Growth in business from Seagate (a 10% customer that experienced a 16% sequential increase in shipment of enterprise drives in Q4) was partially offset by the lingering effect of the inventory built in storage ICs during the first half of 2005, we believe.
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Countrywide's production sector contributed $942 million in pre-tax earnings, up 62% sequentially and 7% year over year.
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Indications are that the company expects to achieve the growth target even if the major adoption in Texas does not get funded.
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Gross profits will be offset by expenses in areas such as distribution and information systems related to the acquisition integration.
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� Maintain Underweight: Kodak trades at a FY07E EV / Clean EBITDA multiple of 7.1x.
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CNP subsequently sold its investment in the cable television company to TWX, and received TWX common and preferred stock as a portion of the consideration for the sale.
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The transaction has been approved by the Principal board of directors and is expected to close in 3Q04, subject to regulatory approval.
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While UOP acq has been accretive to Spec Mat margins, we don't believe investors will pay for the upside of Spec Mat biz in FY07 even if continued margin expansion is realized.
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This is consistent with management's comments at the investor day that roll rates are improving.
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AM Best Upgrade We anticipate that a potential AM Best upgrade will have a positive long term benefit to independent channel sales, particularly life & annuity products.
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Details of Chiron's 3Q upside surprise were revealed yesterday.
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Quarterly Preview � Overview Distribution of Estimates The following charts show the distribution of analysts' estimates for Paychex, for both earnings and revenue, as reported by First Call and as of December 12, 2006.
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We have initiated coverage of Fiserv, Inc., with an Accumulate rating.
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SBC has taken several initiatives to enhance its competitiveness in the enterprise data market.
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2,000 Surrenders 1,500 Individual Variable Flows($ Millions) Deposits Net Flows 1,204 1,181 Morgan Stanley Estimate.
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We are leaving our estimates unchanged, reiterating our BUY rating and leaving our price target unchanged.
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Lowe's has exceeded expectations by a comfortable margin in recent quarters and, in several instances, raised guidance.
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International EBITDA of $253 million was better than the $176 million we expected.
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Management has stated a target business mix of 50% digital/50% print going forward.
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PCNA lapped a tough comparison to the prior year quarter when volumes grew 4%.
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Gross margin of 7.33% for the August quarter was up 3 bps sequentially and 63 bps year over year and was 17 bps below our estimate of 7.50%.
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That said, we are positive that integrating best of available product offerings will lead pervasive penetration of Adobe products..
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Since Dillard's competitors will fight to assure that Dillard's does not obtain an advantage, the cooperation DDS receives from vendors might be more superficial than substantive.
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Amevive sales were $9.3M (versus our $8.5M estimate) and royalties were $13M (versus our $15.7M estimate).
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Our strategy for estimating the company's current capital position focuses on the company's fair value of common equity.
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New Management Blood The company went through a significant management transition in the latter half of 2003.
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We expect some of this upside to translate into improved margins.
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The presence of switching costs has also been the linchpin of Intuit's suite of small business products and services.
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These trends could exacerbate an already-tough Cross-Media comparison and a seasonal slowdown in Europe during August.
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(We tend to think that the variability in HAR's valuation reflects changes in growth expectations rather than differences of view in the base-year level of profitability, as HAR has established a strong track record of meeting or beating long-range earnings targets.).
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billion a year ago and 2.6% from $581 billion at the end of 4Q02.
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In retrospect, it appears the decision to alter this goal in 1996 was a serious error.
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This transaction is very additive to SNV's footprint in that part of Atlanta.
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It was just working from too low a base such that consolidation with like sized firms was a non-starter against the giants of Warner and Pfizer.
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We expect Industrials to continue to pick-up as we enter a seasonally strong first-half, potentially benefiting Analog Devices given its large exposure to this segment (35-40% of sales).
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Longer term, we expect the neuroscience business to be rejuvenated by late-stage pipeline products Asenapine (anti-psychotic) and to a much lesser extent Org 50081 (hot flashes).
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The real upset this quarter was the disappointing operating margin, which resulted from a series of unexpected operating expenses.
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Assuming LMGA & AWE spins this year, T plans to do Broadband IPO later this year, followed by dividend of Consumer tracker (also this year), then spin of Communications Services Segment (Business Services + Consumer tracker) in 2002 leaving T holders with Broadband 12-18 months from now.
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Our full-year gross margin expectation now is 90.2%, compared to our previous forecast of 90.1%.
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Net income rose 30.4% to $162.7 million, or $0.60 per share on a diluted basis.
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At the end of 2000, Verizon had DSL equipment in 1,850 of its central offices, a 60% average loop qualification rate, and 28.6 million qualified access lines.
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February, down 22% from 215,100 January, but up 3% from the Q403 average.
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We see considerable synergy between the CF and PAH franchises and we see the foray into CF as a start of a new, long-term growth driver.
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Given the company's operating leverage, slight margin or revenue changes have a material impact on EPS.
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This is consistent with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 4.2-4.7x.
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The company's debt totaled $395 million at September 30, 2005 (comprised of $96.1 million in short term debt and $298.9 million in long term debt), down from $443 million at June 30, 2005.
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In general, the agricultural economies are not healthy..
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Pro forma for the sale of the French division, management stated that book equity will rise by $400 million and net debt-to-capitalization will drop to 41%, a level with which the company is comfortable.
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Such web sites could be for informational purposes only or, much more likely, a driver of e-commerce.
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China as well as Japan have been key markets for unit expansion (approximately 400 stores in Taiwan and China), and we expect unit growth to continue to develop in these markets.
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Figure 2: Cable, Entertainment & satellite company valuations (US$, subscriber data in 000's except per sub data).
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Underwriting Results--The North American property-casualty insurance operations combined ratio rose to 103.5% for the fourth quarter 1997 from 101.4% in the 1996 period.
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However, guidance for total EBITDA for 2006 was cut from $526-540 million to $500-513.
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In addition, we expect Hartford to start to generate increasing levels of excess capital going forward, and capital management will become an increasing theme.
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and 2005, due primarily to lower expected revenues from Dilaudid CR and Vicodin CR.
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In fact, one of the better performing parts of Lucent's wireline business has been the resale of Juniper IP routers which carries significantly lower margins than Lucent's core businesses.
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There could be some pricing pressure in the oil service industry toward the end of the year.
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We do not see these decisions and settlements as relevant to our analysis because they largely occurred before the initial announcement and finalization of the National Settlement..
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its server products (approximately 24% of total revenue).
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Regardless, the new revenue would be classified as "new deferred subscription revenue." We believe that the recurring nature of CA's revenue is likely to be at least as dependable as that for most software companies.
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Risks: Risks to our $49 target price on Allegheny Energy's shares are: (1) Introduction of carbon legislation that requires incremental coal plant investment, (2) a decline in the forward natural gas price curve and investor selling, and (3) supercritical coal plants do not reach targeted utilization levels..
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The industry outperformed the S&P 500 index 80% of the time in October during the last 20 years and produced a positive absolute return 90% of the time with 1987 and 1997 as the only two years that the industry produced negative returns..
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Therefore, our forecasted 2008 US sales for Epogen and Aranesp of $2.6bil and $643mm, respectively would be at risk (See Figure 1 for a breakdown of 2008 sales of Aranesp).
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Scouring through each of the remaining three quarters of the year, we are estimating mid- to upper-teens year-over-year EPS growth (adjusting 4Q to compare results on a comparable week basis as this year has one less week versus last year) levels that remain above-average and above the current multiple accorded to the equity by the market.
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Our understanding is that a data room was made available for the XOM package in 2004 for what we expect to be around 1/2 of XOM's current production in the region - around 48,000 BOE/d.
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The DIS shares currently trade at 9.5 times enterprise value to our 2006 EBITDA estimate, versus an 8.8 times multiple for the company's entertainment peers.
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Delphi is the world's largest manufacturer of automotive components, including electronic systems, engine components, chassis products, climate control systems, interior and occupant protection products, and steering systems.
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Ford's expectations assume that volume and mix remain constant, which we think is an overly optimistic assumption.
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Mylan's generic of JNJ's Duragesic (fenantyl patch) has been the bright spot, riding an unexpected semi-exclusivity position (Sandoz markets an authorized generic) since approval in late January.
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In addition to mandated divestitures, we believe ABS will likely choose to close underperforming units, particularly in Philadelphia, where ASC operates numerous older, smaller, less productive stores in which it has not invested in recent years.
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Professional services that are offered include training, consulting and conversion services.
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Univision Communications is a premier Spanish-language media company.
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