Datasets:
event_id stringclasses 611
values | date stringdate 2012-01-19 00:00:00 2026-09-23 00:00:00 | geoid int64 1k 78k | declared bool 2
classes | declared_via stringclasses 2
values | in_nhc_wind_radius float64 0 1 ⌀ | days_from_landfall int64 -400 180 | radiance_nw_cm2_sr float64 0 26.8k ⌀ | valid_pixels int64 0 295k | valid_pixel_share float64 0 1 | snow_excluded_share float64 0 1 | light_ratio float64 0 13.4k ⌀ | thin_night bool 2
classes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL012026 | 2025-05-11 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -400 | 1.666972 | 4,957 | 0.538863 | 0.000364 | 1.33703 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-12 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -399 | 4.049642 | 323 | 0.035113 | 0 | 3.248102 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-13 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -398 | 0.846795 | 8,911 | 0.968692 | 0 | 0.67919 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-14 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -397 | 1.479473 | 8,719 | 0.94782 | 0 | 1.186643 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-15 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -396 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-16 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -395 | 2.730915 | 1,711 | 0.185998 | 0.003697 | 2.190389 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-17 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -394 | 1.315671 | 4,408 | 0.479183 | 0.003531 | 1.055262 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-18 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -393 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-19 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -392 | 2.526231 | 2,115 | 0.229916 | 0.005051 | 2.026218 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-20 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -391 | 2.167953 | 7,409 | 0.805414 | 0.002718 | 1.738853 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-21 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -390 | 1.753684 | 6,776 | 0.736602 | 0.00529 | 1.40658 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-22 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -389 | 1.227531 | 6,283 | 0.683009 | 0 | 0.984567 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-23 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -388 | 1.081615 | 540 | 0.058702 | 0 | 0.867532 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-24 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -387 | 1.33157 | 1,516 | 0.164801 | 0 | 1.068014 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-25 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -386 | 2.605504 | 9,079 | 0.986955 | 0 | 2.0898 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-26 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -385 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-27 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -384 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-28 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -383 | 1.236404 | 9,192 | 0.999239 | 0 | 0.991684 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-29 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -382 | 1.511663 | 6,714 | 0.729862 | 0 | 1.212462 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-30 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -381 | 2.864038 | 9,007 | 0.979128 | 0 | 2.297163 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-05-31 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -380 | 0.959542 | 1,696 | 0.184368 | 0 | 0.769621 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-01 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -379 | 1.493534 | 9,199 | 1 | 0 | 1.197921 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-02 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -378 | 0.974207 | 2,650 | 0.288075 | 0 | 0.781384 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-03 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -377 | 1.751441 | 9,199 | 1 | 0 | 1.40478 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-04 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -376 | 4.205273 | 38 | 0.004131 | 0 | 3.372929 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-05 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -375 | 1.637256 | 3,144 | 0.341776 | 0 | 1.313196 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-06 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -374 | 1.077232 | 58 | 0.006305 | 0 | 0.864017 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-07 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -373 | 1.247717 | 8,861 | 0.963257 | 0.005303 | 1.000758 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-08 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -372 | 1.33579 | 8,304 | 0.902707 | 0.000589 | 1.071399 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-09 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -371 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-10 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -370 | 1.424525 | 8,475 | 0.921296 | 0.000334 | 1.142571 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-11 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -369 | 1.152957 | 1,005 | 0.109251 | 0 | 0.924754 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-12 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -368 | 0.416895 | 3,876 | 0.42135 | 0 | 0.33438 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-13 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -367 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-14 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -366 | 1.028068 | 6,395 | 0.695184 | 0.000306 | 0.824584 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-15 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -365 | 0.233324 | 37 | 0.004022 | 0 | 0.187143 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-16 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -364 | 0.567033 | 1,263 | 0.137298 | 0 | 0.454801 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-17 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -363 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-18 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -362 | 1.239715 | 4,364 | 0.474399 | 0 | 0.99434 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-19 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -361 | 1.200973 | 8,975 | 0.97565 | 0 | 0.963266 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-20 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -360 | 2.03283 | 8,055 | 0.875639 | 0.000544 | 1.630475 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-21 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -359 | 2.116886 | 8,244 | 0.896184 | 0.000544 | 1.697893 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-22 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -358 | 1.436168 | 8,927 | 0.970432 | 0 | 1.151909 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-23 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -357 | 1.166549 | 9,190 | 0.999022 | 0 | 0.935656 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-24 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -356 | 0.67589 | 2,598 | 0.282422 | 0 | 0.542112 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-25 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -355 | 1.829005 | 8,785 | 0.954995 | 0 | 1.466993 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-26 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -354 | 2.005696 | 2,827 | 0.307316 | 0 | 1.608711 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-27 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -353 | 1.857521 | 7,731 | 0.840417 | 0 | 1.489865 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-28 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -352 | 1.16648 | 3,299 | 0.358626 | 0 | 0.9356 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-06-29 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -351 | 0.202294 | 9 | 0.000978 | 0 | 0.162254 | true |
AL012026 | 2025-06-30 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -350 | 0.840432 | 2,267 | 0.24644 | 0 | 0.674087 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-01 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -349 | 2.534728 | 8,625 | 0.937602 | 0 | 2.033033 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-02 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -348 | 1.593906 | 4,237 | 0.460594 | 0 | 1.278426 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-03 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -347 | 0.621474 | 39 | 0.00424 | 0 | 0.498466 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-04 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -346 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-05 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -345 | 1.329022 | 9,182 | 0.998152 | 0 | 1.065971 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-06 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -344 | 1.53857 | 8,834 | 0.960322 | 0.000328 | 1.234043 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-07 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -343 | 2.104224 | 9,165 | 0.996304 | 0 | 1.687738 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-08 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -342 | 1.238888 | 8,416 | 0.914882 | 0.000233 | 0.993676 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-09 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -341 | 0.336371 | 45 | 0.004892 | 0 | 0.269793 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-10 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -340 | 0.66948 | 8,603 | 0.93521 | 0 | 0.536971 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-11 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -339 | 0.751927 | 8,945 | 0.972388 | 0 | 0.603099 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-12 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -338 | 1.059248 | 8,794 | 0.955973 | 0 | 0.849593 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-13 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -337 | 0.915525 | 8,967 | 0.97478 | 0 | 0.734317 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-14 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -336 | 0.612735 | 8,799 | 0.956517 | 0 | 0.491457 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-15 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -335 | 0.756483 | 8,903 | 0.967823 | 0 | 0.606754 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-16 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -334 | 0.960636 | 6,678 | 0.725948 | 0.000145 | 0.770499 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-17 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -333 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-18 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -332 | 2.183794 | 140 | 0.015219 | 0 | 1.751558 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-19 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -331 | 1.10202 | 8,819 | 0.958691 | 0.000221 | 0.883899 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-20 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -330 | 1.400612 | 3,867 | 0.420372 | 0.000496 | 1.123391 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-21 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -329 | 1.346146 | 8,313 | 0.903685 | 0 | 1.079706 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-22 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -328 | 1.900303 | 9,198 | 0.999891 | 0 | 1.524179 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-23 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -327 | 1.889017 | 9,199 | 1 | 0 | 1.515126 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-24 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -326 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-25 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -325 | 0.912785 | 900 | 0.097837 | 0 | 0.732119 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-26 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -324 | 0.375351 | 180 | 0.019567 | 0 | 0.301059 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-27 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -323 | 1.72603 | 9,199 | 1 | 0 | 1.3844 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-28 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -322 | 2.087603 | 9,199 | 1 | 0 | 1.674407 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-29 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -321 | 1.526528 | 9,193 | 0.999348 | 0 | 1.224384 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-30 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -320 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-07-31 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -319 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-01 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -318 | 1.385793 | 8,278 | 0.89988 | 0 | 1.111505 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-02 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -317 | 2.412266 | 9,148 | 0.994456 | 0 | 1.934809 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-03 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -316 | 1.958814 | 9,193 | 0.999348 | 0 | 1.571109 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-04 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -315 | 1.149585 | 9,199 | 1 | 0 | 0.922049 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-05 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -314 | 1.362738 | 9,054 | 0.984237 | 0 | 1.093013 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-06 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -313 | 1.539358 | 4,941 | 0.537124 | 0 | 1.234675 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-07 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -312 | 1.277493 | 8,850 | 0.962061 | 0.000109 | 1.024641 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-08 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -311 | 1.057281 | 8,989 | 0.977171 | 0 | 0.848015 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-09 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -310 | 0.746389 | 8,959 | 0.97391 | 0 | 0.598657 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-10 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -309 | 0.6354 | 8,742 | 0.950321 | 0 | 0.509636 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-11 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -308 | 0.644355 | 8,887 | 0.966083 | 0 | 0.516819 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-12 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -307 | 1.153003 | 8,766 | 0.95293 | 0 | 0.92479 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-13 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -306 | 1.43256 | 7,516 | 0.817045 | 0 | 1.149015 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-14 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -305 | 0.933578 | 9,001 | 0.978476 | 0 | 0.748796 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-15 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -304 | 1.03931 | 35 | 0.003805 | 0 | 0.833601 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-16 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -303 | 1.032921 | 8,164 | 0.887488 | 0.000119 | 0.828476 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-17 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -302 | 1.274651 | 8,928 | 0.97054 | 0.000435 | 1.022361 | false |
AL012026 | 2025-08-18 | 22,001 | false | null | null | -301 | 2.161651 | 7,146 | 0.776824 | 0.001087 | 1.733798 | false |
- Key figures
- What the data shows
- Irma has the largest sum of county outage peaks among these 672 storm events: 8.9 million.
- Milton's sum of county outage peaks ranks fifth: 3.7 million.
- After Maria, night-light brightness took 121 days to return to the usual range in the typical county.
- After Irma, the typical county reached 90% of customers restored in 53 hours.
- 44 of 672 storm events are tropical cyclones or typhoons.
- Irma has the largest sum of county outage peaks among these 672 storm events: 8.9 million.
- Coverage
- Versions
- Research use
- Method
- Validation
- Limits and appropriate use
- Imagery
- Files and fields
- Example use
- Sources and attribution
- How to cite
- Changes
- Access and contact
Storm Blackout and Restoration
Not for real-time emergency response or for any decision about one address or property.
Not in this download, free through the API: lights-out videos for most storms, storm-path videos for hurricanes and tropical storms, forecast maps and satellite loops. Get a free key at https://heimdallresearch.com/go/signup
Night light data: NASA Black Marble (VNP46A2, VJ146A2), courtesy of NASA LAADS DAAC. Roman et al. (2018), DOI 10.1016/j.rse.2018.03.017.
Utility outage data: EAGLE-I / ORNL, Figshare DOI 10.6084/m9.figshare.24237376 (CC BY 4.0).
Customer estimates: U.S. Energy Information Administration Form EIA-861 and U.S. Census Bureau county housing unit estimates (public domain).
Declarations, boundaries and tracks: OpenFEMA, U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files and NOAA NHC best tracks (public domain).
Not for real-time emergency response or for any decision about one address or property. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind.
County records for 672 FEMA-declared U.S. storms with landfall or incident dates from 2012-01-14 to 2026-08-11: NASA Black Marble night light by county and night, and reported power outages and restoration times from DOE EAGLE-I utility records where they exist.
The catalog lists 672 storms in storms.csv. 658 have night-light numbers:
611 by county and 47 by tribal area. 477 have
an outage run on EAGLE-I, and 464 of these have records for at least one county.
Every storm without numbers keeps its row, with a reason code in night_light_reason or outage_reason.
Night light is the county mean of NASA Black Marble daily radiance over valid pixels, one night per row in
county_daily.csv, with a per-county summary in county_summary.csv. Each storm is measured with one product,
named in product. Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms; this release gives no
conversion between them.
The outage columns come from EAGLE-I county customers out (Figshare DOI 10.6084/m9.figshare.24237376) for the declared counties of each storm, in a 45-day window from each county's impact date.
47 storms were declared for a tribal area with no county named. They ship as tribal-area
rows (tribal_area_summary.csv, tribal_area_daily.csv) and county context rows (region_role is
county_context). County rows for tribal-area storms are context: they describe the whole county, not the tribal
area, and tribal nations are sovereign areas. The share fields say how much of each county lies inside the area.
An empty cell means the value was not measured. It is never written as 0. A column that can be empty for more
than one reason has a reason column beside it, and docs/DATA_DICTIONARY.md says for every column when it is
empty and why.
Key figures
- Storms in the catalog: 672
- Storms with night-light numbers: 658
- Storms with an outage run: 477
- Counties and county equivalents with night light: 3,194
- Storm-county rows with utility records in the window: 10,260
- Median peak customers out over storm-county rows with reason ok: 1,766
- Median hours to 90% restored, storm-county rows where it was measured: 30.2 hours
What the data shows
Irma has the largest sum of county outage peaks among these 672 storm events: 8.9 million.
Among these 672 storm events, Irma (AL112017) has the largest sum of county peak customers out: 8,867,374 across 329 counties with a numeric peak. Each county contributes its own peak. Those peaks are not one simultaneous count of customers out.
If you are comparing these storm events, this shows the scale of Irma's county peaks. It is not an outage feed for one day and not a figure for one address.
import pandas as pd
u = pd.read_csv("data/utility_by_county.csv")
x = u.assign(p=pd.to_numeric(u.peak_customers_out, errors="coerce")).dropna(subset=["p"])
g = x.groupby("event_id").p.agg(["sum","count"]).sort_values("sum", ascending=False)
print(len(pd.read_csv("data/storms.csv")), g.index[0], int(g.iloc[0]["sum"]), int(g.iloc[0]["count"]))
Milton's sum of county outage peaks ranks fifth: 3.7 million.
Milton (AL142024) sums to 3,736,269 peak customers across 51 counties (5th largest sum). Each county contributes its own peak.
Milton is a Florida landfall in this package. Compare its summed peaks with the other storm events in this table.
import pandas as pd
u = pd.read_csv("data/utility_by_county.csv")
x = u.assign(p=pd.to_numeric(u.peak_customers_out, errors="coerce")).dropna(subset=["p"])
g = x.groupby("event_id").p.agg(["sum","count"]).sort_values("sum", ascending=False)
print(int(g.loc["AL142024","sum"]), int(g.loc["AL142024","count"]), list(g.index).index("AL142024")+1)
After Maria, night-light brightness took 121 days to return to the usual range in the typical county.
For Maria (AL152017), the median of days_to_normal is 121 days across 46 counties with a value. This column is satellite night-light brightness.
Grid restoration hours and satellite night-light recovery answer different questions on the same storm. Maria's night-light timing sits in Puerto Rico and USVI context in this package.
import pandas as pd
c = pd.read_csv("data/county_summary.csv")
d = pd.to_numeric(c[c.event_id=="AL152017"].days_to_normal, errors="coerce").dropna()
print(int(d.median()), int(d.size))
After Irma, the typical county reached 90% of customers restored in 53 hours.
For Irma, the median county hours to 90 percent restored is 52.9 hours (280 counties with a numeric value).
If you need both clocks on Irma, read this next to the Maria night-light finding. Utility restoration timing and night-light timing are not the same measure.
import pandas as pd
u = pd.read_csv("data/utility_by_county.csv")
h = pd.to_numeric(u[u.event_id=="AL112017"].hours_to_90pct_restored, errors="coerce").dropna()
print(round(float(h.median()),1), int(h.size))
44 of 672 storm events are tropical cyclones or typhoons.
These 672 storm events include 36 with kind tropical and 8 with kind typhoon (44 together). Kind tropical includes hurricanes. Other counts: severe storms 347, floods 186, tornadoes 24, ice storms 21, winter storms 21, snowstorms 20, straight-line wind 6, coastal storms 3.
If you expected only hurricanes, check this first. Severe storms and floods are the two largest counts. Kind tropical includes hurricanes.
import pandas as pd
s = pd.read_csv("data/storms.csv")
u = pd.read_csv("data/utility_by_county.csv")
x = u.assign(p=pd.to_numeric(u.peak_customers_out, errors="coerce")).dropna(subset=["p"])
print(len(s), s.kind.isin(["tropical", "typhoon"]).sum(), s.kind.value_counts().to_dict(), list(x.groupby("event_id").p.sum().nlargest(3).index))
Coverage
| Publisher | Heimdall Research |
| Version | 1.2 |
| Released | 2026-10-10 |
| Version DOI | 10.5281/zenodo.23010005 |
| Concept DOI | 10.5281/zenodo.23010004 (all versions) |
| License | CC BY 4.0 |
| Web page | https://heimdallresearch.com/data/storm-blackout/ |
| Period | 2012-01-14 to 2026-08-11 (672 storms) |
| Resolution | County by day, and tribal area by day for tribal declarations |
| Update cadence | This catalog runs through 2026-08-11. New storms are not added on a schedule. |
Versions
| Version | Where published |
|---|---|
| 1.0 | Kaggle |
| 1.1 | Kaggle |
| 1.2 | Zenodo, Kaggle, Hugging Face (first version on Zenodo and Hugging Face) |
Versions 1.0 and 1.1 were published on Kaggle only and have no Zenodo DOI. Version 1.2 is the first version on Zenodo and Hugging Face.
Spatial units:
| area | period | storms | counties | tribal_areas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States, Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands, with Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands and American Samoa as storm rows only | 2012-01-14 to 2026-08-11 | 672 | 3,194 | 28 |
Research use
Questions the tables can answer, each with the table and columns it uses, and what the tables leave open: docs/RESEARCH_USE.md.
Method
- Storms:
storms.csvlists FEMA-declared hurricanes, tropical storms, typhoons, winter storms, severe storms and floods.storms.landfallis the UTC date of the first HURDAT2 landfall on a U.S. state (the first on a territory when there was none on a state). For FEMA-numbered storms it is the incident begin date.storms.sourcegives the source of each date. A FEMA disaster that is the same storm as an NHC storm, with the same landfall date, states, declared counties and outage records, has no row of its own: its number is inalso_known_asof the NHC storm. The NHC storm's night-light rows are kept, because their impact dates come from the track. - Declared counties: a county is declared when the storm's major disaster declaration names it. For tropical storms it is also declared when the storm's emergency declaration names it, matched by year and storm name in the declaration title. A title that names two storms counts for both.
declared_viasays which. A county named in both ismajor_disaster. - Night light: NASA Black Marble daily radiance (VNP46A2 on Suomi NPP, VJ146A2 on NOAA-20), dataset DNB_BRDF-Corrected_NTL. The gap-filled dataset is not read. A pixel is valid when it has a value, Mandatory_Quality_Flag is 0, the cloud mask says confident clear and Snow_Flag is 0. County radiance for a night is the sum of radiance over the county's valid pixels, from every tile it touches, divided by the number of those pixels. It is empty when there is no valid pixel.
- One product per storm: the baseline and the nights after the storm come from the same satellite, and
productnames it. - Boundaries: Census cartographic boundary file cb_2024_us_county_500k for counties, cb_2020_us_county_500k for the eight Connecticut counties, and cb_2024_us_aiannh_500k for tribal areas. The file hashes are in
census_boundaries_manifest.json. - Summary: each county has an impact date from the HURDAT2 track (first date within 250 km, or the date of closest approach), or the catalog landfall date. Clear nights are smoothed with a 5-night rolling median and compared with the county's own range before the storm, giving
status,days_to_50anddays_to_normal. - Outage: EAGLE-I county customers out for the declared counties of each storm, in a 45-day window from each county's impact date. The window ends earlier at the next FEMA storm in the county (
outage_window_end_reason). Readings that hold more than one collection snapshot are flagged and replaced before peaks, customer-hours and restore hours are taken. Restore times count hours from the peak until customers out stay at or below 50% and 10% of the peak for 6 hours. Outage method v2. A reporting drop is one 15-minute step that cuts the outage by more than 25% of the county peak and lands at or below 10% of the previous reading. When that low spell lasts the 6-hour sustain and the feed does not return to at least half the pre-drop reading within 12 hours, the restore hours that the spell would have set are empty with reasonreporting_drop, andreporting_dropis true. Customer-hours stop at that step (customer_hours_reason). If the feed returns within 12 hours, those readings are skipped and the hours are read from the series after the return. No restoration time is filled in. A reading at the start or end of a county series has only the reading beside it. The spike rule looks at both sides, so it leaves that reading in place. When setting it to the reading beside it makes the recomputed peak match the published peak, the restore hours are read from that series. Where the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak, the restore hours are empty with reasonpeak_mismatchand the peak is left as published. - Customers: EIA-861 customers by state and utility, split across counties by Census housing units, for the EIA year nearest the storm (
customers_source). - Empty values: a value that was not measured is left empty, with a reason column where there can be more than one reason. It is never written as 0.
Intended use: Comparing reported outages and restoration times across counties and storms, and studying how county night light changes after a storm.
Not intended for: Real-time emergency response, any decision about a single address or property, or statements about a tribal area drawn from county rows.
Validation
| Check | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Release gates | Every rule in the dataset spec holds on every row of every table: filled and unique keys, joins between tables, a reason for every empty value that has more than one reason, one product per storm, thin_night for 1 to 19 valid pixels, declared_via empty exactly when the county is not declared, and radiance empty exactly when there is no valid pixel. |
release/datasets/storm_blackout.yaml |
| Counts in this text | Every count in the README, the changelog and the limits is read from the tables when the package is built. The build stops when one differs from the release plan. | release/checks/storm_blackout_numbers.py |
| Rows carried from the per-storm files | Every row of every per-storm file in the final cut is in the tables, storm by storm, and the statewide county files of the tribal declarations are not. | pipelines/storm_blackout/test_catalog_tables.py (heimdall-data) |
| Night light recomputed from the night-light table | 20 storms (tropical, winter, severe storm and flood, Connecticut, Puerto Rico, tribal-area and late-2025 storms) were derived again from the night-light table. Every summary and nightly value equals the tables within a relative 1e-9, apart from the values the publication rules leave empty. | pipelines/storm_blackout/test_catalog_tables.py (heimdall-data) |
| Outage recomputed from the EAGLE-I file | The outage columns of 5 counties (Lee, Charlotte and Orange in Florida for Ian; Ponce and Mayagüez in Puerto Rico for Fiona) were computed again from the published EAGLE-I 2022 file and equal the tables exactly. | pipelines/storm_blackout/test_catalog_tables.py (heimdall-data) |
| Night light against reported outages | County mean darkness (dark_county_mean) does not separate counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.515 over 418 storms and 5,841 counties, 95% interval 0.482 to 0.547 from resampling storms. The interval includes 0.5, which is chance. Lit-pixel radiance drop (dark_lit_ratio) separates counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.559 over 287 storms and 3,611 counties, 95% interval 0.511 to 0.605 from resampling storms. Change in the share of unlit lit-mask pixels (dark_lit_share) separates counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.566 over 287 storms and 3,611 counties, 95% interval 0.513 to 0.615 from resampling storms. An AUC of 0.5 is a coin flip. Per-storm scores for 477 storms are in validation.csv, pooled scores in validation_pooled.csv, and scores with whole groups of states held out in validation_holdout.csv. FEMA DR-4466 is recorded on AL112019 in storms.also_known_as and has no validation row. |
validation.csv, validation_pooled.csv, validation_holdout.csv; pipelines/storm_blackout/county_day/validation.py (heimdall-data) |
Limits and appropriate use
- Night light is related to electricity service but is a different quantity. Generators can restore light before the grid does, and damaged or empty buildings can stay dark after power returns.
status,days_to_50anddays_to_normalcome from night light alone. Scored against reported outages, the result is weak. County mean darkness (dark_county_mean) does not separate counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.515 over 418 storms and 5,841 counties, 95% interval 0.482 to 0.547 from resampling storms. The interval includes 0.5, which is chance. Lit-pixel radiance drop (dark_lit_ratio) separates counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.559 over 287 storms and 3,611 counties, 95% interval 0.511 to 0.605 from resampling storms. Change in the share of unlit lit-mask pixels (dark_lit_share) separates counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.566 over 287 storms and 3,611 counties, 95% interval 0.513 to 0.615 from resampling storms. An AUC of 0.5 is a coin flip. Use the utility columns for outage size and restoration time. - Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms; this release gives no conversion between them. 500 storms use VNP46A2 and 158 use VJ146A2 (
product). Compare radiance within a storm, or between storms on the same product. - County rows for tribal-area storms are context: they describe the whole county, not the tribal area, and tribal nations are sovereign areas. The share fields say how much of each county lies inside the area. The 47 tribal declarations have no county list, so they have tribal-area rows and overlapping-county context rows only and are absent from
county_summary.csvandcounty_daily.csv. Their outage and customer columns are empty: EAGLE-I reports counties (no_county_outage_record) and EIA-861 customer counts are by county (no_county_customer_count). Outage records for the overlapping counties of 41 of these storms are intribal_context_utility_by_county.csv, as context. - Henri (AL082021) lists MA in
statesbecause of FEMA EM-3566-MA, an emergency declaration for the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe that names no county. Its 14 Massachusetts rows incounty_summary.csvare measured but not declared (reasoniscounty_not_declared), and the tribal area, which lies in Barnstable and Bristol counties, is not measured for this storm. thin_regionis True for a tribal area with fewer than 20 pixels on its tiles.thin_nightis True for a county or area night with 1 to 19 valid pixels. Both keep the value as measured, and such values are noisy.- 14 storms have no night-light numbers: 3 have a storm window that starts before the VNP46A2 record begins on 2012-01-19 (
before_nasa_record), and 11 are in Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands or American Samoa, which the county boundary file does not cover (territory_not_in_county_boundaries). - 195 storms have no outage run: 117 predate the public EAGLE-I county series, which starts 2014-11-01 (
no_utility_record_before_2014). 30 fall in a year with no published EAGLE-I file (no_published_year). 41 are tribal declarations with no county named (no_county_outage_record). 7 are in territories EAGLE-I does not cover (territory_not_in_eaglei). - 13 storms have an outage run but no county with EAGLE-I records in the window, so none of their
utility_by_county.csvrows hasreasonok: AL152017, DR-4227, DR-4271, DR-4275, DR-4296, DR-4306, DR-4311, DR-4327, DR-4388, DR-4571, DR-4609, DR-4649, DR-4805. Their rows giveno_utility_recordorno_rows_in_window, and their outage columns are empty. - The 6 late-2025 storms (DR-4901, DR-4902, DR-4903, DR-4905, DR-4906, DR-4907) have an outage window that ends 31 December 2025, the last day of the published EAGLE-I record (
window_noteiswindow_cut_at_source_end).outage_window_end_daygives the planned window for these storms, and their records stop earlier. - Customer-hours for counties in both version 1.1 and this table: Matthew (AL142016) sums to 140,943,783.1 in version 1.1 and 140,435,077.7 here (70 of 181 counties differ); Irma (AL112017) sums to 595,686,772.4 in version 1.1 and 586,489,025.7 here (144 of 379 counties differ).
- County pixels are placed half a pixel off: the first longitude and latitude of each tile are read as a pixel centre, where the file gives the tile's west and north edge. This release does not measure how many pixels land in a different county or how much county mean radiance would change. The numbers are kept as they are.
- Connecticut uses the eight 2020 counties; the 2024 file has nine planning regions. The storm records, the declared lists and the customer table use the old counties.
- Hurricane Eta stays as two rows. AL292020 is the NHC storm, and DR-4588 is FEMA's North Carolina disaster declaration titled Tropical Storm Eta. Every county declared for DR-4588 is also declared for AL292020. In those counties AL292020 dates the impact from the track, one day after the FEMA incident begin date that DR-4588 uses, so their night-light and outage values for those counties differ.
storms.csvtherefore has one row more than it has distinct storms. Count Eta once when counting storms. - Bedford city, Virginia (51515) is declared but is not in the boundary file; it is listed in
declared_unmatched. That table holds 4 rows, all for 51515: AL062018, AL182012, DR-4072, DR-4644. Their outage rows inutility_by_county.csvhave an emptycounty. in_nhc_wind_radiusis filled for the 34 storms with a HURDAT2 34-knot wind radius on file. Empty means no radius is on file for the storm. It does not mean the county was outside the radius.- EAGLE-I coverage is incomplete in early years and in some states, and
customers_totalis an estimate: each state's EIA-861 customer count split across counties by Census housing units. Where the peak is above the estimate the peak is published as reported, and the share is empty with a reason. - Where the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak, the restore hours are empty with reason
peak_mismatchand the peak is left as published. - The word outage still names night-light states: the
statusvalueno_measurable_outage, the columnsoutage_min_ratioandoutage_min_day, and the reason codeno_outage_measured. They describe the night-light series and say nothing about reported outages. valid_pixel_shareandsnow_excluded_sharehave different bases (all county pixels, and pixels with a finite radiance), so the two can add to more than 1.
Imagery
Before-and-after night-light pictures are not in this release.
Files and fields
| File | Description | Bytes | SHA-256 |
|---|---|---|---|
data/storms.csv (CSV) |
One row per storm, including the storms that have no night-light numbers or no outage run | 151569 | 7869fd3f500efa21... |
data/storms.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 26268 | |
data/county_summary.csv (CSV) |
One row per storm and county with night light (method v3), with the outage columns joined from utility_by_county | 19794023 | 05cfaadf0babcffd... |
data/county_summary.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 2099754 | |
data/county_daily.csv (CSV) |
One row per storm, county and night | 3050422877 | 1c508796720c2c72... |
data/county_daily.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 707570364 | |
data/utility_by_county.csv (CSV) |
Outage columns, one row per storm with an outage run and declared county | 2216098 | b2135c8d659f9fe5... |
data/utility_by_county.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 416483 | |
data/declared_unmatched.csv (CSV) |
Declared counties with no row in the boundary file, kept with a reason | 740 | 35d865cd7c7d20fe... |
data/declared_unmatched.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 2181 | |
data/tribal_area_summary.csv (CSV) |
One row per tribal declaration storm and tribal area, the area FEMA named | 17113 | 61e2fc5eb0d5ccc2... |
data/tribal_area_summary.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 14623 | |
data/tribal_area_daily.csv (CSV) |
One row per tribal declaration storm, tribal area and night | 3347545 | 6de49dbfa55b71a7... |
data/tribal_area_daily.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 823762 | |
data/tribal_area_counties.csv (CSV) |
The counties each tribal area overlaps, with the overlap as a share of each. Slivers are left out | 7565 | fc2437a3053be82e... |
data/tribal_area_counties.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 8475 | |
data/tribal_context_county_summary.csv (CSV) |
Night-light summary of each county a tribal area overlaps, for the tribal declaration storms. Context rows for the whole county | 43881 | 33c410315abb5e4e... |
data/tribal_context_county_summary.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 20560 | |
data/tribal_context_county_daily.csv (CSV) |
One row per tribal declaration storm, overlapping county and night. Context rows for the whole county | 11276567 | 3f878b1154efbbd6... |
data/tribal_context_county_daily.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 3076213 | |
data/tribal_context_utility_by_county.csv (CSV) |
Outage columns of each county a tribal area overlaps, for the tribal declaration storms. Context rows for the whole county | 32155 | 3ff741c11d86f961... |
data/tribal_context_utility_by_county.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 18794 | |
data/validation.csv (CSV) |
Night light against reported outages, one row per storm and night-light measure, for the storms with an outage run | 160389 | b9f51e93b2f45982... |
data/validation.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 18936 | |
data/validation_pooled.csv (CSV) |
Night light against reported outages pooled over storms, one row per measure and scope | 6402 | f4ab57337e90d386... |
data/validation_pooled.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 5489 | |
data/validation_holdout.csv (CSV) |
Pooled AUC on each fold of a grouped holdout that keeps whole groups of states together | 1100 | 110ee8f1abbf4b67... |
data/validation_holdout.parquet (Parquet) |
Same rows, columnar format | 2139 | |
docs/RESEARCH_USE.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 12256 | cf96342b309ea8ee... |
docs/questions/q1.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 4585 | ae2c853b39fed10b... |
docs/questions/q2.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 8221 | 34687eb82074c110... |
docs/questions/q3.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 5112 | f80bf24a8df830f7... |
docs/questions/q4.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 3084 | aff8029461c39c05... |
docs/questions/q5.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 3357 | bc9ba8eb6b395274... |
docs/questions/q6.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 3383 | f2f2745f977f5184... |
docs/questions/q7.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 2202 | 51b1f4657e8310da... |
docs/questions/q8.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 1830 | e92d5e1a7481bf6f... |
docs/questions/irma-largest-summed-county-outage-peak.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 1595 | 2d216bf1f583a748... |
docs/questions/milton-summed-county-outage-peak.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 1318 | 7306e2ccbc908b5d... |
docs/questions/maria-median-days-to-normal-night-light.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 1305 | ed7e0c01d2734dbc... |
docs/questions/irma-median-hours-to-90-percent-restored.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 1203 | 2d6cfdf61a40b1d3... |
docs/questions/storms-1-2-by-kind-and-top-peaks.md |
Research-use notes built from the tables | 1434 | ec397543c69ee6c8... |
On Zenodo downloads, nested paths are flattened: data/foo.csv appears as data__foo.csv. On Kaggle the CSV files sit at the top level: foo.csv.
Also in this package: CHANGELOG.md, LIMITS.md, docs/DATA_DICTIONARY.md.
Fields
storms
One row per storm, including the storms that have no night-light numbers or no outage run
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
name |
string | Storm name or FEMA declaration title | |
kind |
string | Storm type from the NHC record or the FEMA incident type | |
landfall |
date | UTC date of the first HURDAT2 landfall on a U.S. state (the first on a territory when there was none on a state). For FEMA-numbered storms, the FEMA incident begin date | |
landfall_time_utc |
string | UTC time of that landfall, HH:MM | |
first_impact_date |
date | UTC date the storm centre first came within 250 km of a county in the table, when that is two or more days before landfall. The baseline nights end before it | |
states |
string | Declared states and territories, space separated | |
source |
string | Where the landfall date and time come from | |
night_light_unit |
string | county: night light by county. tribal_area: night light by tribal area, for a tribal declaration with no county named | |
night_light_reason |
string | Why the storm has no night-light numbers. before_nasa_record: the storm window starts before the VNP46A2 record begins on 2012-01-19. territory_not_in_county_boundaries: Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands or American Samoa, which the county boundary file does not cover | |
product |
string | Night-light product the storm is measured with: VNP46A2 (Suomi NPP) or VJ146A2 (NOAA-20). One product per storm. Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms | |
outage_reason |
string | Why the storm has no county outage run. no_utility_record_before_2014: before the public EAGLE-I county series starts on 2014-11-01. no_published_year: no EAGLE-I file is published for the year. no_county_outage_record: a tribal declaration that names no county. territory_not_in_eaglei: a territory EAGLE-I does not cover | |
window_note |
string | window_cut_at_source_end: the 45-day outage window runs past 31 December 2025, the last day of the published EAGLE-I record, so records stop there | |
also_known_as |
string | FEMA disaster numbers for the same storm that have no row of their own, space separated (for example DR-4466 on Imelda, AL112019). Each such declaration names the same counties on the same date, and its outage records are the same |
county_summary
One row per storm and county with night light (method v3), with the outage columns joined from utility_by_county
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
county |
string | County name | |
state |
string | State or territory postal code | |
declared |
boolean | True when FEMA declared the county for this storm | |
declared_via |
string | The declaration that names the county: major_disaster, or emergency for a tropical storm's emergency declaration. A county named in both is major_disaster | |
in_nhc_wind_radius |
boolean | True when the county lies inside the NHC 34-knot wind radius of the storm, False when it lies outside | |
product |
string | Night-light product the storm is measured with: VNP46A2 (Suomi NPP) or VJ146A2 (NOAA-20). One product per storm. Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms | |
baseline_radiance |
number | nW/cm²/sr | Median radiance of the clear baseline nights before the storm |
baseline_nights |
integer | Clear nights in the baseline | |
baseline_source |
string | event_window: baseline nights before the storm. prior_year: the same season a year earlier, used when the nights before the storm were too few. insufficient: no baseline | |
post_obs_nights |
integer | Nights with usable pixels after the landfall date | |
median_valid_pixel_share |
number | Median share of usable pixels after the landfall date | |
status |
string | What the night-light series did. It is not a detected power outage. light_drop: smoothed light fell below the county's normal range soon after impact. no_measurable_outage: observed, no such fall (the name keeps an old use of the word outage for a night-light state). cloud_obscured: not observed until late and normal by then. low_signal: too noisy to judge. insufficient_data: too few nights | |
outage_min_ratio |
number | Lowest smoothed light ratio after impact (a night-light value despite the name) | |
outage_min_day |
integer | days | Day of that lowest ratio, counted from impact_date |
days_to_50 |
integer | days | Days from impact until smoothed light was back at or above 50% of baseline |
days_to_50_reason |
string | Why days_to_50 is empty. never_below_50: a light_drop status, but light never fell below 50%. not_back_to_50_in_window: fell below 50% and did not return. no_outage_measured: observed, no light drop found (a night-light state despite the name). not_observed_cloud, not_observed_too_few_nights: the county was not observed. not_measurable_low_signal: its light is too noisy to judge | |
days_to_normal |
integer | days | Days from impact until smoothed light was back in the county's normal range |
days_to_normal_reason |
string | Why days_to_normal is empty. not_back_to_normal_in_window: a light_drop status that did not return to normal. The other codes are as in days_to_50_reason | |
recovery_uncertain |
boolean | True when a gap of 5 or more days without a clear night comes just before days_to_normal | |
window_end_day |
integer | days | Last day of the night-light window, counted from impact_date |
window_end_reason |
string | window: the full window. data_end: the stored nights stop earlier. next_storm:DR-number: the next FEMA storm in the county | |
impact_date |
date | Date the storm reached the county, day 0 of the window | |
impact_source |
string | How impact_date was chosen. track_within_250km: first UTC date the HURDAT2 track came within 250 km of the county. track_closest_approach: the track never came that close, so the date of closest approach. catalog_landfall: storms.landfall | |
clear_nights_pre |
integer | Clear nights before impact | |
clear_nights_post |
integer | Clear nights after impact | |
method_version |
string | Night-light method version | |
source_night_light |
string | Layer marker | |
post_days_window |
integer | days | Days after the landfall date covered by stored nights |
available |
boolean | True when utility records cover this county's window | |
reason |
string | Utility availability. ok: records in the window. no_rows_in_window: rows that year but none in the window. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows for the county that year. county_not_declared: the outage run reads declared counties only. no_utility_record_before_2014, no_published_year: the storm-level outage_reason, for a storm with no outage run | |
source |
string | utility_records when the county has EAGLE-I rows in the window, otherwise none | |
peak_customers_out |
number | Peak customers out reported in EAGLE-I, taken after readings that hold more than one collection snapshot are replaced (see flagged_readings). A replaced reading is an interpolated value that was not measured | |
peak_reason |
string | Why peak_customers_out is empty: no_utility_record. reason gives the cause (for example county_not_declared) | |
peak_customers_out_raw |
number | Highest reading in the window as the EAGLE-I year file records it, before any filter | |
flagged_readings |
integer | Readings in the window that held more than one collection snapshot and were replaced. 0 when none | |
peak_share_out |
number | peak_customers_out divided by customers_total | |
peak_share_reason |
string | Why peak_share_out is empty. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. no_customers_total: customers_total is empty and customers_reason says why. peak_above_customer_estimate: the peak is above the customer estimate | |
customer_hours_out |
number | customer-hours | Customer-hours out in the window from impact_date, or up to a reporting drop when customer_hours_reason is reporting_drop |
hours_to_50pct_restored |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 50% of the peak for 6 hours |
hours_to_50pct_reason |
string | Why hours_to_50pct_restored is empty. not_restored_in_window: still above half the peak at the end. no_customers_out: the peak is 0. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
hours_to_90pct_restored |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 10% of the peak for 6 hours |
hours_to_90pct_reason |
string | Why hours_to_90pct_restored is empty. not_restored_in_window: still above 10% of the peak at the end. no_customers_out: the peak is 0. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
hours_under_1pct_customers |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 1% of customers_total for 6 hours |
hours_under_1pct_reason |
string | Why hours_under_1pct_customers is empty. never_above_1pct: the outage never passed 1% of customers. not_under_1pct_in_window: still above 1% at the end. no_customers_total, peak_above_customer_estimate or no_utility_record: nothing to measure against. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
coverage_gap |
boolean | True when the utility series has a gap longer than 6 hours after the peak | |
customers_total |
number | customers | Estimated electric customers in the county: the state's EIA-861 customer count split across counties by Census housing units |
customers_reason |
string | Why customers_total is empty. eia861_territory_incomplete, no_housing_units: the estimate could not be made for this county. outage_exceeds_*: the peak, after flagged readings are replaced, is above the estimate. The peak is published as reported, and the suffix says which other customer counts it also exceeds. no_outage_row: the county has no outage row, and the estimate comes with the outage run | |
estimate_exceeded_in_other_storm |
boolean | True when this county's peak was above its customer estimate in another storm of the catalog. The share here then rests on an estimate that may be too low | |
customer_hours_reason |
string | reporting_drop: the integral stops at a one-step collapse of the utility feed. The tail of the window is not counted | |
reporting_drop |
boolean | True when a restore hour is empty because the utility feed fell in one 15-minute step and did not come back. The answer to give is: The utility's outage feed stopped reporting for this county partway through, so a restoration time cannot be given. |
county_daily
One row per storm, county and night
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
date |
date | Night of observation (the UTC date of the product file) | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
declared |
boolean | True when FEMA declared the county for this storm. Same value as county_summary.declared | |
declared_via |
string | The declaration that names the county: major_disaster, or emergency for a tropical storm's emergency declaration. A county named in both is major_disaster | |
in_nhc_wind_radius |
boolean | True when the county lies inside the NHC 34-knot wind radius of the storm, False when it lies outside | |
days_from_landfall |
integer | days | Days since storms.landfall (negative before). Stored nights reach back about 400 days where a prior-year baseline was read |
radiance_nw_cm2_sr |
number | nW/cm²/sr | Mean radiance over the valid pixels that night: the sum of radiance over valid pixels divided by their number |
valid_pixels |
integer | pixels | Valid pixels that night: a value, Mandatory_Quality_Flag 0, confident clear and no snow |
valid_pixel_share |
number | valid_pixels as a share of all pixels in the area | |
snow_excluded_share |
number | Snow pixels as a share of pixels with a finite radiance. A different base from valid_pixel_share, so the two can add to more than 1 | |
light_ratio |
number | radiance_nw_cm2_sr divided by baseline_radiance of the summary row | |
thin_night |
boolean | True when the night has 1 to 19 valid pixels. The radiance is kept as measured and is noisy |
utility_by_county
Outage columns, one row per storm with an outage run and declared county
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
county |
string | County name | |
state |
string | State or territory postal code | |
declared |
boolean | True: the outage run reads declared counties only | |
available |
boolean | True when utility records cover this county's window | |
reason |
string | Utility availability. ok: records in the window. no_rows_in_window: rows that year but none in the window. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows for the county that year | |
source |
string | utility_records when the county has EAGLE-I rows in the window, otherwise none | |
peak_customers_out |
number | Peak customers out reported in EAGLE-I, taken after readings that hold more than one collection snapshot are replaced (see flagged_readings). A replaced reading is an interpolated value that was not measured | |
peak_reason |
string | Why peak_customers_out is empty: no_utility_record. reason gives the cause (for example county_not_declared) | |
peak_customers_out_raw |
number | Highest reading in the window as the EAGLE-I year file records it, before any filter | |
flagged_readings |
integer | Readings in the window that held more than one collection snapshot and were replaced. 0 when none | |
peak_share_out |
number | peak_customers_out divided by customers_total | |
peak_share_reason |
string | Why peak_share_out is empty. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. no_customers_total: customers_total is empty and customers_reason says why. peak_above_customer_estimate: the peak is above the customer estimate | |
customer_hours_out |
number | customer-hours | Customer-hours out in the window from impact_date, or up to a reporting drop when customer_hours_reason is reporting_drop |
hours_to_50pct_restored |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 50% of the peak for 6 hours |
hours_to_50pct_reason |
string | Why hours_to_50pct_restored is empty. not_restored_in_window: still above half the peak at the end. no_customers_out: the peak is 0. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
hours_to_90pct_restored |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 10% of the peak for 6 hours |
hours_to_90pct_reason |
string | Why hours_to_90pct_restored is empty. not_restored_in_window: still above 10% of the peak at the end. no_customers_out: the peak is 0. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
hours_under_1pct_customers |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 1% of customers_total for 6 hours |
hours_under_1pct_reason |
string | Why hours_under_1pct_customers is empty. never_above_1pct: the outage never passed 1% of customers. not_under_1pct_in_window: still above 1% at the end. no_customers_total, peak_above_customer_estimate or no_utility_record: nothing to measure against. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
coverage_gap |
boolean | True when the utility series has a gap longer than 6 hours after the peak | |
customers_total |
number | customers | Estimated electric customers in the county: the state's EIA-861 customer count split across counties by Census housing units |
customers_reason |
string | Why customers_total is empty. eia861_territory_incomplete, no_housing_units: the estimate could not be made for this county. outage_exceeds_*: the peak, after flagged readings are replaced, is above the estimate. The peak is published as reported, and the suffix says which other customer counts it also exceeds | |
estimate_exceeded_in_other_storm |
boolean | True when this county's peak was above its customer estimate in another storm of the catalog. The share here then rests on an estimate that may be too low | |
outage_window_end_day |
integer | days | Last day of the outage window, counted from impact_date: 45, or earlier at the next FEMA storm in the county |
outage_window_end_reason |
string | window: the full 45 days. next_storm:DR-number: the next FEMA storm in the county | |
window_note |
string | window_cut_at_source_end: the 45-day outage window runs past 31 December 2025, the last day of the published EAGLE-I record, so records stop there | |
customers_source |
string | EIA-861 customer table and year used for customers_total | |
customer_hours_reason |
string | reporting_drop: the integral stops at a one-step collapse of the utility feed. The tail of the window is not counted | |
reporting_drop |
boolean | True when a restore hour is empty because the utility feed fell in one 15-minute step and did not come back. The answer to give is: The utility's outage feed stopped reporting for this county partway through, so a restoration time cannot be given. |
declared_unmatched
Declared counties with no row in the boundary file, kept with a reason
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
declared_via |
string | The declaration that names the county | |
reason |
string | merged_county_not_in_boundaries: the county was merged into another and the boundary file no longer has it. not_in_boundaries: no such county in the boundary file. outside_storm_states: in the boundary file, but its state is not in the storm's states | |
note |
string | What happened to the county |
tribal_area_summary
One row per tribal declaration storm and tribal area, the area FEMA named
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
region_scheme |
string | Boundary set of the area: us-aiannh-2024, the Census 2024 American Indian, Alaska Native and Native Hawaiian areas file | |
region_id |
string | Census area code, 4 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
region_name |
string | Census area name | |
state |
string | State postal code of the declaration | |
region_role |
string | tribal_area: the row describes the tribal area FEMA named | |
declared_via |
string | major_disaster: FEMA filed tribal declarations as major disasters | |
thin_region |
boolean | True when the area has fewer than 20 pixels on its tiles. Its numbers are kept and are noisy | |
product |
string | Night-light product the storm is measured with: VNP46A2 (Suomi NPP) or VJ146A2 (NOAA-20). One product per storm. Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms | |
baseline_radiance |
number | nW/cm²/sr | Median radiance of the clear baseline nights before the storm |
baseline_nights |
integer | Clear nights in the baseline | |
baseline_source |
string | event_window: baseline nights before the storm. prior_year: the same season a year earlier, used when the nights before the storm were too few. insufficient: no baseline | |
post_obs_nights |
integer | Nights with usable pixels after the landfall date | |
median_valid_pixel_share |
number | Median share of usable pixels after the landfall date | |
status |
string | What the night-light series did. It is not a detected power outage. light_drop: smoothed light fell below the county's normal range soon after impact. no_measurable_outage: observed, no such fall (the name keeps an old use of the word outage for a night-light state). cloud_obscured: not observed until late and normal by then. low_signal: too noisy to judge. insufficient_data: too few nights | |
outage_min_ratio |
number | Lowest smoothed light ratio after impact (a night-light value despite the name) | |
outage_min_day |
integer | days | Day of that lowest ratio, counted from impact_date |
days_to_50 |
integer | days | Days from impact until smoothed light was back at or above 50% of baseline |
days_to_50_reason |
string | Why days_to_50 is empty. never_below_50: a light_drop status, but light never fell below 50%. not_back_to_50_in_window: fell below 50% and did not return. no_outage_measured: observed, no light drop found (a night-light state despite the name). not_observed_cloud, not_observed_too_few_nights: the county was not observed. not_measurable_low_signal: its light is too noisy to judge | |
days_to_normal |
integer | days | Days from impact until smoothed light was back in the county's normal range |
days_to_normal_reason |
string | Why days_to_normal is empty. not_back_to_normal_in_window: a light_drop status that did not return to normal. The other codes are as in days_to_50_reason | |
recovery_uncertain |
boolean | True when a gap of 5 or more days without a clear night comes just before days_to_normal | |
window_end_day |
integer | days | Last day of the night-light window, counted from impact_date |
window_end_reason |
string | window: the full window. data_end: the stored nights stop earlier. next_storm:DR-number: the next FEMA storm in the county | |
impact_date |
date | Date the storm reached the county, day 0 of the window | |
impact_source |
string | How impact_date was chosen. track_within_250km: first UTC date the HURDAT2 track came within 250 km of the county. track_closest_approach: the track never came that close, so the date of closest approach. catalog_landfall: storms.landfall | |
clear_nights_pre |
integer | Clear nights before impact | |
clear_nights_post |
integer | Clear nights after impact | |
method_version |
string | Night-light method version | |
source_night_light |
string | Layer marker | |
post_days_window |
integer | days | Days after the landfall date covered by stored nights |
outage_reason |
string | no_county_outage_record: EAGLE-I reports counties, so there is no outage record for a tribal area | |
peak_customers_out |
number | Peak customers out. No source reports it for a tribal area | |
customer_hours_out |
number | customer-hours | Customer-hours out. No source reports it for a tribal area |
customers_total |
number | customers | Electric customers in the area. EIA-861 counts are by county |
customers_reason |
string | no_county_customer_count: EIA-861 customer counts are by county | |
peak_share_out |
number | Share of customers out at the peak | |
peak_share_reason |
string | no_county_customer_count: there is no customer count for the area |
tribal_area_daily
One row per tribal declaration storm, tribal area and night
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
region_scheme |
string | Boundary set of the area: us-aiannh-2024, the Census 2024 American Indian, Alaska Native and Native Hawaiian areas file | |
region_id |
string | Census area code, 4 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
date |
date | Night of observation (the UTC date of the product file) | |
declared_via |
string | major_disaster, as in tribal_area_summary | |
days_from_landfall |
integer | days | Days since storms.landfall (negative before). Stored nights reach back about 400 days where a prior-year baseline was read |
radiance_nw_cm2_sr |
number | nW/cm²/sr | Mean radiance over the valid pixels that night: the sum of radiance over valid pixels divided by their number |
valid_pixels |
integer | pixels | Valid pixels that night: a value, Mandatory_Quality_Flag 0, confident clear and no snow |
valid_pixel_share |
number | valid_pixels as a share of all pixels in the area | |
snow_excluded_share |
number | Snow pixels as a share of pixels with a finite radiance. A different base from valid_pixel_share, so the two can add to more than 1 | |
light_ratio |
number | radiance_nw_cm2_sr divided by baseline_radiance of the summary row | |
thin_night |
boolean | True when the night has 1 to 19 valid pixels. The radiance is kept as measured and is noisy |
tribal_area_counties
The counties each tribal area overlaps, with the overlap as a share of each. Slivers are left out
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
area_id |
string | Census area code, as region_id | |
area_name |
string | Census area name | |
county_geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits | |
county_name |
string | County name | |
county_namelsad |
string | County name with its legal description (for example Coconino County) | |
state_fips |
string | State FIPS code, 2 digits | |
overlap_km2 |
number | km² | Area of the overlap |
overlap_share_of_county |
number | Overlap as a share of the county's area: how much of the county lies inside the tribal area | |
overlap_share_of_tribal_area |
number | Overlap as a share of the tribal area's area |
tribal_context_county_summary
Night-light summary of each county a tribal area overlaps, for the tribal declaration storms. Context rows for the whole county
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
context_for_region_id |
string | region_id of the tribal area the county row is context for | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
region_role |
string | county_context: the row describes the whole county, as context for the tribal area | |
overlap_share_of_county |
number | Overlap as a share of the county's area: how much of the county lies inside the tribal area | |
overlap_share_of_tribal_area |
number | Overlap as a share of the tribal area's area | |
county |
string | County name | |
state |
string | State or territory postal code | |
in_nhc_wind_radius |
boolean | As in county_summary | |
product |
string | Night-light product the storm is measured with: VNP46A2 (Suomi NPP) or VJ146A2 (NOAA-20). One product per storm. Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms | |
baseline_radiance |
number | nW/cm²/sr | Median radiance of the clear baseline nights before the storm |
baseline_nights |
integer | Clear nights in the baseline | |
baseline_source |
string | event_window: baseline nights before the storm. prior_year: the same season a year earlier, used when the nights before the storm were too few. insufficient: no baseline | |
post_obs_nights |
integer | Nights with usable pixels after the landfall date | |
median_valid_pixel_share |
number | Median share of usable pixels after the landfall date | |
status |
string | What the night-light series did. It is not a detected power outage. light_drop: smoothed light fell below the county's normal range soon after impact. no_measurable_outage: observed, no such fall (the name keeps an old use of the word outage for a night-light state). cloud_obscured: not observed until late and normal by then. low_signal: too noisy to judge. insufficient_data: too few nights | |
outage_min_ratio |
number | Lowest smoothed light ratio after impact (a night-light value despite the name) | |
outage_min_day |
integer | days | Day of that lowest ratio, counted from impact_date |
days_to_50 |
integer | days | Days from impact until smoothed light was back at or above 50% of baseline |
days_to_50_reason |
string | Why days_to_50 is empty. never_below_50: a light_drop status, but light never fell below 50%. not_back_to_50_in_window: fell below 50% and did not return. no_outage_measured: observed, no light drop found (a night-light state despite the name). not_observed_cloud, not_observed_too_few_nights: the county was not observed. not_measurable_low_signal: its light is too noisy to judge | |
days_to_normal |
integer | days | Days from impact until smoothed light was back in the county's normal range |
days_to_normal_reason |
string | Why days_to_normal is empty. not_back_to_normal_in_window: a light_drop status that did not return to normal. The other codes are as in days_to_50_reason | |
recovery_uncertain |
boolean | True when a gap of 5 or more days without a clear night comes just before days_to_normal | |
window_end_day |
integer | days | Last day of the night-light window, counted from impact_date |
window_end_reason |
string | window: the full window. data_end: the stored nights stop earlier. next_storm:DR-number: the next FEMA storm in the county | |
impact_date |
date | Date the storm reached the county, day 0 of the window | |
impact_source |
string | How impact_date was chosen. track_within_250km: first UTC date the HURDAT2 track came within 250 km of the county. track_closest_approach: the track never came that close, so the date of closest approach. catalog_landfall: storms.landfall | |
clear_nights_pre |
integer | Clear nights before impact | |
clear_nights_post |
integer | Clear nights after impact | |
method_version |
string | Night-light method version | |
source_night_light |
string | Layer marker | |
post_days_window |
integer | days | Days after the landfall date covered by stored nights |
tribal_context_county_daily
One row per tribal declaration storm, overlapping county and night. Context rows for the whole county
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
context_for_region_id |
string | region_id of the tribal area the county row is context for | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
region_role |
string | county_context: the row describes the whole county, as context for the tribal area | |
date |
date | Night of observation (the UTC date of the product file) | |
days_from_landfall |
integer | days | Days since storms.landfall (negative before). Stored nights reach back about 400 days where a prior-year baseline was read |
radiance_nw_cm2_sr |
number | nW/cm²/sr | Mean radiance over the valid pixels that night: the sum of radiance over valid pixels divided by their number |
valid_pixels |
integer | pixels | Valid pixels that night: a value, Mandatory_Quality_Flag 0, confident clear and no snow |
valid_pixel_share |
number | valid_pixels as a share of all pixels in the area | |
snow_excluded_share |
number | Snow pixels as a share of pixels with a finite radiance. A different base from valid_pixel_share, so the two can add to more than 1 | |
light_ratio |
number | radiance_nw_cm2_sr divided by baseline_radiance of the summary row | |
thin_night |
boolean | True when the night has 1 to 19 valid pixels. The radiance is kept as measured and is noisy |
tribal_context_utility_by_county
Outage columns of each county a tribal area overlaps, for the tribal declaration storms. Context rows for the whole county
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
context_for_region_id |
string | region_id of the tribal area the county row is context for | |
geoid |
string | County FIPS code, 5 digits. Read as text to keep the leading zero | |
region_role |
string | county_context: the row describes the whole county, as context for the tribal area | |
overlap_share_of_county |
number | Overlap as a share of the county's area: how much of the county lies inside the tribal area | |
overlap_share_of_tribal_area |
number | Overlap as a share of the tribal area's area | |
state |
string | State or territory postal code | |
available |
boolean | True when utility records cover this county's window | |
reason |
string | Utility availability, as in utility_by_county | |
source |
string | utility_records when the county has EAGLE-I rows in the window, otherwise none | |
peak_customers_out |
number | Peak customers out reported in EAGLE-I, taken after readings that hold more than one collection snapshot are replaced (see flagged_readings). A replaced reading is an interpolated value that was not measured | |
peak_reason |
string | Why peak_customers_out is empty: no_utility_record. reason gives the cause (for example county_not_declared) | |
peak_customers_out_raw |
number | Highest reading in the window as the EAGLE-I year file records it, before any filter | |
flagged_readings |
integer | Readings in the window that held more than one collection snapshot and were replaced. 0 when none | |
peak_share_out |
number | peak_customers_out divided by customers_total | |
peak_share_reason |
string | Why peak_share_out is empty. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. no_customers_total: customers_total is empty and customers_reason says why. peak_above_customer_estimate: the peak is above the customer estimate | |
customer_hours_out |
number | customer-hours | Customer-hours out in the window from impact_date, or up to a reporting drop when customer_hours_reason is reporting_drop |
hours_to_50pct_restored |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 50% of the peak for 6 hours |
hours_to_50pct_reason |
string | Why hours_to_50pct_restored is empty. not_restored_in_window: still above half the peak at the end. no_customers_out: the peak is 0. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
hours_to_90pct_restored |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 10% of the peak for 6 hours |
hours_to_90pct_reason |
string | Why hours_to_90pct_restored is empty. not_restored_in_window: still above 10% of the peak at the end. no_customers_out: the peak is 0. no_utility_record: no EAGLE-I rows. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
hours_under_1pct_customers |
number | hours | Hours from the peak until customers out stayed at or below 1% of customers_total for 6 hours |
hours_under_1pct_reason |
string | Why hours_under_1pct_customers is empty. never_above_1pct: the outage never passed 1% of customers. not_under_1pct_in_window: still above 1% at the end. no_customers_total, peak_above_customer_estimate or no_utility_record: nothing to measure against. reporting_drop: a one-step collapse of the feed is what crossed the threshold. peak_mismatch: the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak | |
coverage_gap |
boolean | True when the utility series has a gap longer than 6 hours after the peak | |
customers_total |
number | customers | Estimated electric customers in the county: the state's EIA-861 customer count split across counties by Census housing units |
customers_reason |
string | Why customers_total is empty, as in utility_by_county | |
estimate_exceeded_in_other_storm |
boolean | True when this county's peak was above its customer estimate in another storm of the catalog. The share here then rests on an estimate that may be too low | |
outage_window_end_day |
integer | days | Last day of the outage window, counted from impact_date: 45, or earlier at the next FEMA storm in the county |
outage_window_end_reason |
string | window: the full 45 days. next_storm:DR-number: the next FEMA storm in the county | |
customers_source |
string | EIA-861 customer table and year used for customers_total | |
customer_hours_reason |
string | reporting_drop: the integral stops at a one-step collapse of the utility feed. The tail of the window is not counted | |
reporting_drop |
boolean | True when a restore hour is empty because the utility feed fell in one 15-minute step and did not come back. The answer to give is: The utility's outage feed stopped reporting for this county partway through, so a restoration time cannot be given. |
validation
Night light against reported outages, one row per storm and night-light measure, for the storms with an outage run
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
event_id |
string | NHC storm identifier (for example AL092022) or FEMA disaster number (DR-4901) | |
measure |
string | Night-light measure scored: dark_county_mean, dark_lit_ratio or dark_lit_share | |
n_high |
integer | Declared counties with 10% or more of customers out at the peak and a value of the measure | |
n_low |
integer | Declared counties with under 1% of customers out at the peak and a value of the measure | |
auc |
number | Chance that a high-outage county is darker than a low-outage county on the measure. 0.5 is chance | |
se_hanley_mcneil |
number | Standard error of auc (Hanley-McNeil) | |
ci_low |
number | Lower end of the 95% interval for auc | |
ci_high |
number | Upper end of the 95% interval for auc | |
p_unadjusted |
number | Two-sided p-value of the Mann-Whitney test between high-outage and low-outage counties, so a reversed storm can count | |
p_holm |
number | p_unadjusted after the Holm step-down correction over the scored storms of the measure | |
reason |
string | Why auc is empty: fewer than 3 high counties, fewer than 3 low counties, or both | |
product |
string | Night-light product the storm is measured with: VNP46A2 (Suomi NPP) or VJ146A2 (NOAA-20). One product per storm. Radiance from different products should not be compared between storms | |
state_group |
string | The states joined to the storm's states through storms they share, space-separated. Storms with the same state_group sit in the same holdout fold |
validation_pooled
Night light against reported outages pooled over storms, one row per measure and scope
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
measure |
string | Night-light measure scored | |
scope |
string | Storms pooled: all, product:, kind:tropical_cyclone, kind:other, or year: | |
n_storms |
integer | Storms with at least one scored county in the scope | |
n_counties |
integer | Storm-county rows scored, high and low together | |
auc |
number | Pooled chance that a high-outage county is darker than a low-outage county. 0.5 is chance | |
ci_hm_low |
number | Lower end of the Hanley-McNeil 95% interval, counties treated as independent | |
ci_hm_high |
number | Upper end of the Hanley-McNeil 95% interval | |
ci_boot_low |
number | Lower end of the 95% interval from resampling whole storms. The headline uses this interval | |
ci_boot_high |
number | Upper end of the 95% interval from resampling whole storms |
validation_holdout
Pooled AUC on each fold of a grouped holdout that keeps whole groups of states together
| Field | Type | Unit | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
fold |
integer | Fold number | |
states |
string | States in the fold, space-separated | |
n_storms |
integer | Storms in the fold | |
measure |
string | Night-light measure scored | |
auc |
number | Pooled AUC over the fold's storms. 0.5 is chance |
Example use
import pandas as pd
# Read codes as text so the leading zeros stay.
text = {"geoid": str, "region_id": str, "context_for_region_id": str}
storms = pd.read_csv("data/storms.csv")
# Key figure: storms with night-light numbers (night_light_reason is empty).
print(storms["night_light_reason"].isna().sum())
summary = pd.read_csv("data/county_summary.csv", dtype=text)
print(summary[summary["declared"]].groupby("product")["event_id"].nunique())
# county_daily.csv is large, so read only the columns needed.
# One product per storm: compare radiance within a storm.
daily = pd.read_csv("data/county_daily.csv", dtype=text,
usecols=["event_id", "date", "geoid", "radiance_nw_cm2_sr"])
ian = daily[daily["event_id"] == "AL092022"]
print(ian.groupby("date")["radiance_nw_cm2_sr"].median().head())
API:
GET /v1/storms
GET /v1/storms/{event_id}
GET /v1/storms/{event_id}/counties/{fips}
GET /v1/storms/{event_id}/files
Sources and attribution
| Input | Role | Terms |
|---|---|---|
| NASA Black Marble VNP46A2 collection 2 (VIIRS on Suomi NPP), DOI 10.5067/VIIRS/VNP46A2.002 | Night light | NASA Earth science data use policy (free and open). Cite Roman, M.O. et al. (2018), NASA's Black Marble nighttime lights product suite, Remote Sensing of Environment 210, 113-143, DOI 10.1016/j.rse.2018.03.017 |
| NASA Black Marble VJ146A2 collection 2 (VIIRS on NOAA-20), DOI 10.5067/VIIRS/VJ146A2.002 | Night light, storms measured with NOAA-20 | NASA Earth science data use policy (free and open). Cite Roman et al. (2018) as above |
| EAGLE-I county outage records, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Figshare DOI 10.6084/m9.figshare.24237376) | Customers out, customer-hours and restore times (2014-11-01 onward) | CC BY 4.0 |
| FEMA disaster declarations (OpenFEMA) | Which storms, counties and tribal areas are included, incident begin dates, and declared_via |
Public domain |
| U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files cb_2024_us_county_500k, cb_2020_us_county_500k and cb_2024_us_aiannh_500k (2020 and 2024 vintages) | County, Connecticut 2020 county and tribal-area boundaries. Hashes in census_boundaries_manifest.json | Public domain |
| NOAA National Hurricane Center best tracks: HURDAT2 Atlantic (hurdat2-1851-2025-091226.txt) and Northeast and North Central Pacific (hurdat2-nepac-1949-2025-092926.txt) | Landfall dates and times, county impact dates, 34-knot wind radii. Files in nhc_files_manifest.json | Public domain |
| U.S. Energy Information Administration Form EIA-861 detailed data files, https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia861/ | Customers by state and utility, the base of customers_total | Public domain |
| U.S. Census Bureau county housing unit estimates (vintages 2020 and 2024) | Splits state customer counts across counties | Public domain |
How to cite
Heimdall Research (2026). Storm Blackout and Restoration (Version 1.2) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23010005 Concept DOI https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23010004.
@misc{storm_blackout_1_2,
author = {Heimdall Research},
title = {Storm Blackout and Restoration},
year = {2026},
version = {1.2},
publisher = {Zenodo},
doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23010005},
url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23010005}
}
Also cite the upstream sources listed above.
Changes
- Corrects version 1.1: the public table published the EAGLE-I file peak, including readings that hold more than one collection snapshot, and this table replaces those readings and a single-reading spike before the peak, with the file value kept in
peak_customers_out_raw, Irma (AL112017) summed county peaks are 12,625,936 in version 1.1 and 8,867,374 here, Miami-Dade is 1,777,800 in version 1.1 and 898,340 here (customers_total 1,142,022.3, raw 1,777,800, flagged_readings 4), Milton (AL142024) summed county peaks are 3,803,866 and 3,736,269, and median hours to 90% restored are 37 and 52.875 for Irma and 6.75 and 58.75 for Milton. Counties listed in version 1.1 and absent from this table were undeclared (county_summary.reasoniscounty_not_declared), or the storm hasoutage_reasonno_utility_record_before_2014. Each of the 31 storms is indocs/CHANGES_FROM_1.1.md. - Version 1.2 is the storm catalog: 672 FEMA-declared storms with landfall or incident dates from 2012-01-14 to 2026-08-11. Every storm has a row in
storms.csv, with a reason code where it has no night-light numbers or no outage run. It follows version 1.1, the last public version. - Night light for 658 storms: 611 by county and 47 by tribal area. 14 storms have none: 3
before_nasa_recordand 11territory_not_in_county_boundaries. - An outage run for 477 storms, 464 of them with EAGLE-I records for at least one county. 195 storms have no outage run: 117
no_utility_record_before_2014, 30no_published_year, 41no_county_outage_recordand 7territory_not_in_eaglei. - 47 tribal declarations: no county list; tribal-area rows and overlapping-county context only.
- A FEMA disaster that is the same storm as an NHC storm is not a separate row. Its number is in
storms.also_known_asand the storm is counted once: AL112019 is also DR-4466 (Imelda, Texas). - Customer-hours for counties in both version 1.1 and this table: Matthew (AL142016) sums to 140,943,783.1 in version 1.1 and 140,435,077.7 here (70 of 181 counties differ); Irma (AL112017) sums to 595,686,772.4 in version 1.1 and 586,489,025.7 here (144 of 379 counties differ).
- The 6 late-2025 storms (DR-4901, DR-4902, DR-4903, DR-4905, DR-4906, DR-4907) have an outage window that ends 31 December 2025, the last day of the published EAGLE-I record (
window_noteiswindow_cut_at_source_end). - One product per storm (500 VNP46A2, 158 VJ146A2), named in
storms.productandcounty_summary.product. Radiance incounty_daily.csvis the mean over valid pixels. - Declared counties of tropical storms now include the counties named in the storm's emergency declaration (
declared_viaisemergency). - New tables:
declared_unmatched,tribal_area_summary,tribal_area_daily,tribal_area_counties,tribal_context_county_summary,tribal_context_county_daily,tribal_context_utility_by_county. - Columns added. storms:
night_light_unit,night_light_reason,product,outage_reason,window_note,also_known_as. county_summary:declared_via,in_nhc_wind_radius,product,reporting_drop,customer_hours_reason. county_daily:declared_via,in_nhc_wind_radius,valid_pixels,thin_night. utility_by_county:outage_window_end_day,outage_window_end_reason,window_note,customers_source,reporting_drop,customer_hours_reason. - Outage method v2. A one-step collapse of the utility feed (more than 25% of the county peak, to at most 10% of the previous reading, inside one 15-minute interval) is not a restoration. When the low spell lasts the 6-hour sustain and the feed does not return to at least half the pre-drop reading within 12 hours, the affected restore hours are empty with reason
reporting_drop. A return within 12 hours is skipped and the hours are read from the later readings. Customer-hours stop at the step. - Where the 15-minute series does not reproduce the published peak, the restore hours are empty with reason
peak_mismatchand the peak is left as published. validation.csvhas one row per storm and night-light measure, with 1,431 rows for 477 storm ids. Tablesvalidation_pooledandvalidation_holdouthold the pooled scores and the scores with whole groups of states held out. County mean darkness (dark_county_mean) does not separate counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.515 over 418 storms and 5,841 counties, 95% interval 0.482 to 0.547 from resampling storms. The interval includes 0.5, which is chance. Lit-pixel radiance drop (dark_lit_ratio) separates counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.559 over 287 storms and 3,611 counties, 95% interval 0.511 to 0.605 from resampling storms. Change in the share of unlit lit-mask pixels (dark_lit_share) separates counties with large outages from counties with small ones: pooled AUC 0.566 over 287 storms and 3,611 counties, 95% interval 0.513 to 0.615 from resampling storms.
Access and contact
Access: download the files here, or use the same data through the Heimdall Research API and MCP server (heimdallresearch.com).
The tables in this package are open under CC BY 4.0. API and MCP access with a free key is free until 2026-12-31.
Corrections and questions: https://heimdallresearch.com/contact/collaborate/.
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