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Since this result uses the IPCC models themselves to ???calibrate?? the Levitus observations, it cannot be faulted for using a model that is ???too simple??. To the extent the average IPCC model mimics nature, the models themselves suggest the relatively weak ocean warming observed during 1955-1999 indicates relatively...
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But for the past two decades, beyond the farm gate, the controversy has been brewing. In fact, if my summer is any indication, it may be getting worse. So, herewith some reports from a few months on the front lines in the anti-GMO resurgence.
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The American economy is growing roughly twice as fast as Europe's. President Bush's re-election will put more pressure on EU leaders to consider adopting more business-friendly policies; it is evident that Bush's embrace of free, competitive markets, low taxes and light regulatory touch underpin the U.S.'s widening com...
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William of Ockham might explain this increase of Antarctic sea ice extent as an effect of the STH having cooled, just as the loss of Arctic sea ice has been explained as an effect of the NTH having warmed.
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Curb the excessive power and representation of environmentalists and bureaucrats in our government. End the sue-and-settle lawsuits between government agencies and radical environmentalist pressure groups. Cut agency budgets, especially the billions of dollars that EPA and other agencies give to anti-energy advocacy or...
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Additionally, our estimates of climate sensitivity using our and the four instrumental temperature records range from about 1.5C to 2.0C. These are on the low end of the estimates in the IPCCs Fourth Assessment Report . So, while we find that most of the observed warming is due to human emissions of , future warming ba...
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Once again we have numerous climate model results that deviate significantly from real-world measurements; and we see no improvement in this regard between the CMIP3 set of models and the newer and supposedly improved CMIP5 models. This is not what most rational people would call progress. References
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Methane From Fracking: Not the Monster Bill McKibben Sniffs Out
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Previous attempts to explain the global surface temperature cooling trend have relied more heavily on climate model results or a combination of modeling and observations, which may be better at simulating long-term impacts over many decades and centuries. This study relied on observations, which are better for showing ...
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The latest explanation from climate scientists is that Pacific trade winds have caused the planet to stop warming. Stronger winds in the last two decades may have forced warmer water deeper while bringing cooler water to the surface.
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d) Evidence shows that extreme rainfall events are becoming neither more frequent, or intense see here.
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They are in more than the usual disarray that afflicts parties out of the White House. Many members of their majority in the House of Representatives are out of step with the Republican leadership on issues ranging from Syria to defunding Obamacare.
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I havent quite figured out how they attribute a RE of 0.25 to MBH. It looks like it arises from various permutations and combinations of methods applied to the MBH network. However, if the network itself contains spurious regressors (bristlecones), none of the choices are really applicable. Their point is more that the...
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This huge unknown could alone be responsible for all global warming due a tiny 1-2% natural change in global cloud cover. Climate models conveniently assume clouds are a positive feedback that accelerates global warming, but this paper and many others show this is an unjustified assumption and that cloud feedback could...
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Discussing his job, at the time as a close associate of Gina McCarthy, the new EPA administrator, Beale revealed that he was there to come up with "specific proposals that could have been proposed either legislatively or things which could have been done administratively to kind of modify the capitalist system "
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Obviously, since 1996, the last 18 years has witnessed its normal wide variation in temperature swings but the overall linear trends are cooling for all three datasets, NOT WARMING as predicted.
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Instead of acknowledging any of this, EPA employs a"social cost of carbon" scheme that places arbitrary inflated costs on damages it claims result from alleged climate risks from using carbon-based fuels. It includes every imaginable and imaginary cost of using fossil fuels even absurd claims that its anti-energy plan ...
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A recent article in the British newspaper, The Register , reported on a study by scientists in Germany, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom, that was published in Nature Geoscience that concluded there was no scientific consensus to suggest the rate of the seas rise will accelerate dangerously.
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External security cameras coming to "real time crime center':
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Billionaire Elon Musk prances around as CEO or godfather of Tesla Motor Company manufacturing electrical cars, Solar City manufacturing solar panels to make electricity, and SpaceX manufacturing space rockets to launch satellites into orbit. These companies rarely make a profit, though they've made Musk a very rich man...
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Contrary to David Evans hypothesis I think that the cause of a decadal lag between solar change and climate response is to be found in the oceans, not the Sun. Seawater has a high heat capacity, and its deep. This mass of global ocean damps the climate response to solar input. It also stores and releases energy on long...
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"On Monday I asked, "What should we call people who care about climate change and clean energy?" A fantastic discussion ensued, up to 226 comments and counting -- thanks to everybody who weighed in, not only on the site, but on Facebook, Twitter, email, and "words spoken in my physical presence" (kids, ask your parents...
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This is not a real article, just an announcement: under the article Predictive landscapes, Nima Arkani-Hamed , a co-author of the paper and arguably the leader of current particle physics, gives a rather detailed explanation of his viewpoints and the really attractive features of these models. So I hope that this answe...
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The UN has been peddling sustainable development since its landmark conference in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. Don't buy any of it. It's a scam that, by denying the world's poorest people access to affordable energy and other natural resources as well as the tools of modern agriculture, will perpetuate global poverty and em...
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The production of biofuels may have led to at least 192,000 additional deaths and 6.7 million additional lost disability-adjusted life years in 2010. These estimates are conservative exceed the World Health Organisations estimates of the toll of death and disease for global warming. Thus, policies to stimulate biofuel ...
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Where does one start in unwinding all the fallacious assumptions implicit in this confused line of thinking? Why should the goal of climate policy be to make the world more "natural"? And why should anyone think "natural" is better than "artificial"? Why is it okay to force "massive changes" in how people live their li...
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CEI is a public policy organization committed to advancing the principles of free enterprise and limited government.
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As a result, during multidecadal periods when El Nio events dominate, like the period from the mid-1970s to the late 1990s, global surface temperatures and ocean heat content rise. In other words, global warming occurs. There is no way global warming cannot occur during a period when El Nio events dominate. But project...
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I'm now back home, having had an interesting couple of days in London.
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Conclusions: This research finds that past extreme warming and climate change were not CO2 caused - the empirical observations from the past don't support the IPCC's version of the AGW theory. Extended warming periods do happen naturally without human contribution. Natural warming can be very dramatic. Those are the gl...
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on Monday, April 13th, 2015 at 7:39 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
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Medieval Warm Period Project Was there a Medieval Warm Period? YES , according to data published by 1015 individual scientists from 584 research institutions in 44 different countries and counting! This issues Medieval Warm Period Record comes from Rumailiah River Floodplain , North-western Coast of Syria. To access th...
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As there has been no noticeable change in the rate of sea level rise since 2010, there is no evidence that the new figures claimed for Antarctica represent any significant increase.
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30 C the USDA measure heat zones in GDD above 30 C; for many plants this is significant for seed maturation, e.g. reed (Phragmites) requires at least some days reaching this temperature to mature viable seeds
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The television, radio and print ads, sponsored by the National Environment Trust, the Union of Concerned Scientists, and Physicians for Social Responsibility, are funded by an array of left-wing charitable foundations. The Turner Foundation, Pew Charitable Trusts, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, the John Merck Fund, and...
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Applying the Clean Air Act to carbon dioxide leads to "absurd results" -- regulatory consequences that conflict with and undermine congressional intent, as even EPA admits.
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Some Personal Thoughts on Yesterdays D.C. Circuit Greenhouse Gas Decision
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But the problem not arise last week. While the issue has only recently become acute, it has become acute because of accumulating failure during the AR5 assessment process, including errors and misrepresentations by IPCC in the assessments sent out for external review; the almost total failure of the academic climate co...
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"The right to compete and offer new options to customers should be beyond argument and unconditional; yet, as FCC notes at the beginning of the order, the local franchising process, which can impede competition with tangential and unrelated demands, has become a barrier to entry rather than a guarantor of competition."
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"This report confirms that exporting our natural gas will lead to some big winners and many big losers in our economy," Markey wrote in a statement posted online shortly after the release of the DOE report. "American consumers and manufacturers will be the losers, as exporting natural gas will increase domestic prices ...
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Another 15,000 smaller organisations are also required to register and could be expected to buy permits in the future. If they miss the September deadline, they face fines of 500.
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Why has nobody other than the IPCC been able to see the actual raw data collected by researchers which supposedly proves global warming is taking place? Simple: IPCC officials at the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit destroyed the underlying numbers after they'd created their alarmist graphs, so that n...
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14. "Nowhere," the Ehrlichs write, "could delegated delegation be more important and spare politicians more pain, than in areas of fundamental constraints," 308.
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Here is what an aerial view of the station and the point looks like at low tide of similar magnitude:
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Professor Turney said: The results here are quite startling and, importantly, they suggest sea levels will rise significantly higher than anticipated and that stabilizing global average temperatures at 2C above pre-industrial levels may not be considered a safe target as envisaged by the European Union and others. The ...
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"You would have thought the world was coming to an end last week after popular movie streaming service Netflix raised its prices by 60%. The company's customers took to blogs and social networks in revolt, threatening to cancel their subscriptions. However, between the cost of mailing DVDs and paying increased licensin...
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Novak reported that the studies are very pessimistic. The five assessments were conducted by the European Commission Directorate General for Energy, the International Energy Agency, the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration, and the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
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To be sure, the basic concept is not new. In 2006, a doctor named Mark Osterloh managed to get a proposition on the Arizona ballot to offer a $1 million prize for a voter in the state's upcoming primary or general election (those who voted in both would have two tickets, or chances at the prize) with the lottery winnin...
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As the air's CO 2 content rises, this spring wheat cultivar (and others) will likely display enhanced rates of photosynthesis, decreased rates of transpirational water loss, and increases in water-use efficiency, even under less-than-optimal soil moisture conditions. Thus, it should be able to better cope with periods ...
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China's president Xi Jinping (#1) did not come to New York.
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Galileos perfection of the telescope in 1609 allowed scientists to see sunspots for the first time. From 1610 A.D. to 1645 A.D., very few sunspots were seen, despite the fact that many scientists with telescopes were looking for them, and from 1645 to 1700 AD sunspots virtually disappeared from the sun (Fig. 1). During...
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There's been some personal tension between Mosher and Watts who have been friends in the past and I won't amplify it by mentioning any details. But while it's true that one must be careful not to apply adjustments incorrectly or selectively in order to push the data in a fixed direction, one must also honestly recogniz...
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According to a Price Waterhouse Coopers (PWC) report, world demand for energy is expected to rise by two-thirds between now and 2030. Consequently, energy firms in Europe must dramatically increase supply. However, they have been slow do to so because of the new emissions trading directive and uncertainty over future r...
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Or take Obamas decision to slash funding for the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository:
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So what do real-world observations say about the worldwide loss of species? Well in response to questions about species extinction, the World Conservation Union (IUCN) commissioned a book in 1992 to look into the matter. According to Simon, all the authors are ecologists who express concern abut the rate of extinction....
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They love their armies and fast cars, treat their own people like terrorists, and have betrayed our continent. They pay no attention to the most critical and fundamental needs and concerns of people who are jobless, poor, hungry, and at the mercy of diseases and the environment. They do not care that most of their peop...
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This appointment comes amid unprecedented demand from developing countries for World Bank support in their efforts to address development and climate change as interlinked challenges.
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There seems no end in sight to the long-term growth of seasonal Antarctic sea ice, reports RTCC (link below). This continues to baffle scientists, to quote the usual expression.
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If these findings hold true in humans, then a fathers diet and body composition at the time of conception is likely to affect his future childs health and risk of lifelong disease, said Tod Fullston, Ph.D., a researcher involved in the work from the Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology at the Robinson Institute, Rese...
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Suppose it's the year 1910. Could anyone forecast the iPhone and all the technology that underlies and surrounds it? Can anyone forecast today the iPhone equivalent in 2110?
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You may clearly see these things in the movie. They couldn't really fake movies well at that time. Why would you doubt it? Some people want to protest against a bullet that goes through both bodies. But what's so shocking about it? When one body is behind another, and it clearly was from that angle (it is not too unlik...
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Goklany: How Fossil Fuels Save Humanity from Nature and Nature from Humanity
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Here is a radar image around 6 PM for the Seattle area. A beautiful example of rain shadowing east of the Olympics!
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Newspaper headlines claim that sea levels are rising twice as fast as before.
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means. There are 3 groups that have done this independently (CRU, NOAA and
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So in fact, according to Phil Jones (who strongly believes in the AGW hypothesis) there is nothing unusual about the recent warming either. It is not statistically different from two earlier modern periods of warming. Since these warming periods were before the modern rise in CO2, greenhouse gases cannot have been resp...
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In brief response, Maneja et al. write that the swimming kinematics in Atlantic herring larvae that had survived to 34-dph were "unaffected by extremely elevated levels of seawater p CO 2 , indicating that at least some larvae in the population are resilient to ocean acidification." And in further commenting on their f...
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"The sunlight scattered by clouds can heat the surface," said Kassianov. "We all know that we can still get sunburned on cloudy days. This explains why."
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In a book on Brazil written in 1961, you can read "If people are to have better jobs and make enough money so that they may have better homes and food and clothes, Brazil must develop her resources and expand her industries. Areas like the Amazon Valley, and much of the interior, must be fully explored. Already, new mi...
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28 But I say to you that every one who looks at a woman lustfully has already committed adultery with her in his heart
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The maneuvering for the RNC vote bears consideration. Florida Governor Charlie Crist expressed a wish for Jim Greer, his state party's chair, to assume the national job as of January 2009. Like Crist, Greer is a moderate. Conservatives are prepared to push for an alternative, such as Michael Steele, the African-America...
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Recently, on my way to lunch, I passed a fountain filled with young ladies in bikinis. The poster on the side announced that this was all about global warming. Not that I don't enjoy scantily dressed and pretty ladies, but as I pulled my coat tighter and my hat further down, I felt more sorry than impressed.
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The four Colombian researchers report that comparisons with previous studies showed the reef at La Azufrada to have returned to "pre-disturbance (1979) levels of coral cover within a 10-year period after the 1982-83 El Nio, which caused 85% mortality," and that, subsequently, "the effects of the 1997-98 El Nio, indicat...
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3) A Statistical Model for Tornado Intensity by James Elsner, Thomas Jagger & Ian Elsner.
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It is interesting to note that although several studies have indicated that Atlantic Ocean hurricanes of the past few decades have been no more numerous than they were in prior cooler periods -- see Tropical Cyclones (Atlantic Ocean - Global Warming Effects) in our Subject Index -- in this special case , where extra wa...
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So far this year, the northeast US has been record cold, with by far the driest snow on record. The ratio of snow to precipitation has been double thelong termaverage.
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Geophysical Research Letters abstract 1999 J. Feynman,A. Ruzmaikin High energy cosmic rays may influence the formation of clouds and thus impact weather and climate. Due to systematic solar wind changes, the intensity of cosmic rays incident on the magnetopause has decreased markedly during this century. The pattern of...
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A careful scientist keeps his head down. But Bill was completely fearless nonetheless. I never saw the like of it. That said, he was a kind and generous man, whom I learned much from. He too did not live to see the public vindication he deserved. When was the last monster hurricane that made landfall on the continental...
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Pat Michaels, "Energy Tax Blacks Out Many Lives in Europe," Boston Herald, August 17, 2003.
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The authors also find a remarkable correlation between solar rotational signals, cloud height, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation , which may represent yet another mechanism by which small changes in solar activity can be amplified to large changes in climate. Other amplification mechanisms include via ocean oscillation...
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The Carbon Tax/Cap-and-Trade Royal Rumble
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Czech president tells UN to stay out of economics and science
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Short answer, data to date says no. There has been no acceleration the rate of sea level rise. Sea level has been rising for centuries. But the rate of the rise has not changed a whole lot. Both tidal stations and satellites show no increase in the historic rate of sea level rise, in either the short or long term. Fig....
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MANY environmentalists dont believe we should be growing rice in Australia. I disagree. Rice suits a land of drought or flooding rains. Unlike almonds, grapes and other perennial crops, rice doesnt need water every year. Its an annualcrop that can be planted onlywhen there is an excess of water.
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With the trend removed from Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperatures, two things SHOULD appear when they are then compared to the NINO3.4 data. The Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperature anomalies should temporarily dip below the scaled NINO3.4 data starting in 1982 and in 1991 as the Rest-of-the-World data cools ...
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I am sure that by now, all of you are aware of the hacking incident which recently took place at the University of East Anglias Climatic Research Unit (CRU). This was a criminal act. Over 3,000 emails and documents were stolen. The identity of the hacker or hackers is still unknown.
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One of the many crises that overwhelmed David Paterson's brief, hapless term as governor of New York was a surge in Medicaid costs. Every recent New York governor has tried but failed to rein in Medicaid. Yet Paterson's opportunity to address the problem appeared promising. Government spending had to be cut during the ...
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The global-mean surface air temperature anomaly for 1998
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30 Apr 1935 Do The Martians Exist? LONDON, March 23.
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"Moments after her son finished practicing with his fifth-grade tackle football team, Beth Sparks examined his scuffed and battered helmet for what she admitted was the first time. She looked at the polycarbonate shell and felt the foam inside before noticing a small emblem on the back that read, "MEETS NOCSAE STANDARD...
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We conclude that the first explanation offered by Santer et al. provides the most parsimonious explanation for the divergence between surface and lower troposphere temperature trends, based on recent research suggestive of biases in the surface temperature record. Our findings suggest that the supposed reconciliation o...
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Less well known is the bill's boosting of appliance efficiency standards, despite the fact that items like top-loading washing machines have already been ruined by the stringent standards currently in effect. (That's Consumer Reports ' assessment, not mine.)
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Styf et al . report that (1) "the rate of yolk consumption per day, as a measure of embryonic development rate, significantly increased with temperature," that (2) lower pH "had no effect on development rate," that (3) "pH had no effect on heart rate," that (4) "there was no interaction between pH and temperature," tha...
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But not in climatology; being a charlatan hack seems to be de rigueur.
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13 Tech Environmental, Inc., "Progress in Reducing Ozone Exceedance Days in Ten Major U.S. Cities (1987-1999)," October 1999, report produced for the Foundation for Clean Air Progress, Washington, D.C.
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I (and actually we) have often been accused of promoting conspiracy theories in climate science. Its meant to be an automatic disqualifier of tAV opinions, which from the large number of us who gather here, are shared in some part by much of the public.
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Warmies never learn. They seize on inconvenient/unpleasant weather and claim will make it permanent/worse. Then, when their predictions fail spectacularly, which they always do, its because people expect the wrong thing. Flimflam Flannery claimed several of Australias major cities would be out of water and abandoned ye...
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EPA Estimates Its Greenhouse Gas Restrictions Would reduce global Temperature by No More Than 0.006 of a Degree in 90 Years
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For all the post-Cold War talk about the decline of the state, there is at least one domain where the state is in expansion, and it is the sea. And for all the talk about a Great Game in Central Asia, it is worth keeping in mind that more than 30 percent of the world's oil and 50 percent of the world's natural gas is p...
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John: Been a mongrel, Brian, yes. First Climategate made us all look like a bunch of crooks. Then Copenhagen made us look like a bunch of stupid crooks. And
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