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The party's acceptance of Trump as its standard-bearer exposed further a set of divisions and tensions inside the GOP that will linger. Some of those divisions are among and between leaders and elites; others involve deeper disagreements between party leaders and the broader party voter base.
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I would like to thank Professors Carter and Kukla for their comments on an earlier draft of this lecture.
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Following the logic of a carbon tax implies that CO2 emissions should be subsidized when the SCC is negative.
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The sad fact is, there are plenty of newer brand-name cancer drugs that do not cure anyone, but just extend life for a few months, at costs of up to $90,000 per patient. Only the older but curative cancer drugs drugs that can cost as little as $3 per dose have become unavailable. Most of these drugs have no substitutes...
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That's where the poll data come in. A careful look at a recent major poll, the 2011 Beyond Red vs. Blue analysis from the Pew Research Center, explains why these governors sound like neo-libertarians but act like regular liberals.
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There still seems to be only three Osgoode students left to front the fight against Macleans/Steyn, so as they decline into almost comedic denial of their censorious tendencies, I propose that we rebrand them as "The Osgoodies".
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World warns of disaster if no debt deal done:
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From CEI: Adjunct Scholar Dana Joel Gattuso in the Washington Post on why e-waste recycling mandates are an expensive solution to an imaginary problem.
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The 1995 document raises 2016 questions about the State Department's actions in the subsequent United National IPCC Assessment Reports. What did they do? Where are the correspondence and instructions to change the science in all the IPCC Assessments? What is the Obama State Department doing to corrupt climate science t...
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A new US Senate report on the EPA: Fraud, Deceit and Secret Science
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The ship is in the Australian Search and Rescue region, 100 nautical miles east of the French base Dumont DUrville.
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Here is a graphic of West Australian rainfall note the sharp increase in the 1990s what caused that ?
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Chris Colose , an AGW advocate, attempted to criticize Richard Lindzen's demonstration that positive feedbacks cannot dominate . Well, the best thing he could do was to use some alternative graphs to argue that the current models underestimate the negative feedbacks by a factor of 2-3 rather than 5-7. This factor of 2-...
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Job creationas opposed to green job creationis the new North Star of the Obama administration, and Immelt is simply adjusting his sails accordingly.
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Similar values were noted in suburban North Seattle at Lake Forest Park.
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From there, we rolled on south and had lunch with James Delingpole . James writes a blog for the Telegraph which I would describe as witty, incisive, and acerbic and thats just how he is in person as well. He fed us to the brim with his patented cheese toasties in the old country house where he resides, and then led us...
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"(A) Documents 1-7 in the list you provided appear to be copies of confidential documents produced by The Heartland Institute and stolen by the Pacific Institutes Peter Gleick. The eighth document in your list, titled 2012 Heartland Climate Strategy, is not an authentic Heartland document or draft document. Peter Gleic...
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However, the output of direct heat by the enterprises and industries of humankind is large enough at an average of around 0.1-0.2 Watts per square meter of the Earth's surface, a range that I calculated a couple of years ago from data supplied by the US Energy Information Administration to account for around 0.1-0.2 Ce...
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Your right, I should have mentioned those elements that there are different reasons for the estimates coming down. But also, you got to point out that the people that read these reports, including the policy makers summary, what they are looking for is; how much warming do you expect in the next 100 years? How much per...
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The SSRC believes as long as the Sun continues its solar hibernation (a once every 206 year cold climate event) that we are on the precipice of a long term drop in global temperatures. It is entirely possible that the decades-long period of record global agricultural output that our world has enjoyed will soon be over,...
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In his excellent American Spectator article on "America's Ruling Class and the Perils of Revolution," Angelo Codevilla calls these two antagonistic and irreconcilable groups the ruling class and the country party. Although I agree with Codevilla's outline of the two groups, I prefer to characterize them as the progress...
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Investors can get spooked when government declares regulatory warfare on an industry, and the Waxman-Markey bill does just that.Consider the gross disparity between the refining industry??sshare of covered emissions (43%) under Waxman-Markey and its shareofemission allowances (2.5%).
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"Social responsibility" activists want universities and pension funds to eliminate fossil fuel companies from their investment portfolios. They plan to spotlight their demands on "Global Divestment Day," February 13-14. Their agenda is misguided, immoral, lethal and racist.
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OK, one can't make an experiment that would prove or disprove that the two subsystems were entangled. After all, there is a simpler explanation. One may measure observables that obviously exist, e.g. the two spins separately, and the choice "which measurement we make" already implies whether the state will be entangled...
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It makes you wonder how many colleges are doing their most fundamental job: teaching students to think and question, rather than merely to parrot politically correct mantras and whether they are preparing students to become intelligent, informed, active members in a functioning democratic society.
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In some cases, the water-use efficiency increases caused by atmospheric CO2 enrichment are spectacularly high. De Luis et al. (1999) , for example, demonstrated that alfalfa plants subjected to atmospheric CO2 concentrations of 700 ppm had water-use efficiencies that were 2.6 and 4.1 times greater than those displayed ...
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Senator Browns comments expose the Greens and his leadership as shallow and cynical; willing to peddle political propaganda in the face of a natural disaster , Senator Abetz said. ( source )
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Heartland President Joseph L. Bast opens the January-February 2009 issue of The Heartlander with thoughts on President George W. Bush's departure from office, the inauguration of President Barack Obama, and a few key public policy issues: the credit crisis, health care, and global warming.This issue also offers:a quick...
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U.S. Senate. Roy Blunt MO (202-224-5721); John Hoven ND (-2551); John Thune SD (-2321); Lamar Alexander TN (-4944); Chuck Grassley (-3744).
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What, then, are the functions of government in this system of natural liberty? Adam Smith assigned a small, but what he considered essential, set of responsibilities to the political authority:
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The great man-made global warming debate is entering an interesting phase, as early snow blankets much of Britain. If this winter is anything like as cold and long as last year??s, my postbag will soon be bulging with cries for help.
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To paraphrase our fearless leader, that's all stupid shit.
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While politicians prepare a grand bargain on emissions limits that future politicians are unlikely to obey, a new generation of American nuclear scientists has produced designs for better reactors. Crucially, these new designs may finally overcome the most fundamental obstacle to the success of nuclear power: high cost...
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Gardelle et al . conclude by stating that their measurements "confirm an anomalous mass balance in the Karakoram region and indicate that the contribution of Karakoram glaciers to sea-level rise was -0.01 mm/year for the period from 1999 to 2008," or "0.05 mm/year lower than suggested before." As for how this complete ...
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According to the most bloated alarmist numbers, sea level is currently rising 3 mm/year.But from 1930 to 1948, sea level rose almost 9 mm/ year.
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Mr. Paulson also maintains that the carbon tax is vital to persuading China to curb its emissions. This claim is crucial, because U.S. emission controls can have only a trivial direct effect on global climate. Since 2005, U.S. emissions have fallen while those of the developing countries have soared. Developing country...
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on Thursday, April 15th, 2010 at 8:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
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Overall, the results of this study support the hypothesis that published temperature data are contaminated with nonclimatic influences that add up to a net warming bias, and that efforts should be made to properly quantify these effects.
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THE reasonable thing to expect would be a modest cold event, followed by a warming event (DO Event), followed by significant cooling (Bond Event). And what have we had? A modest cold event in The Little Ice Age (with volcanoes, even), followed by a warming event into 1998, followed by a sleepy sun and the start of sign...
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Ethanol is also bad for the environment. Science magazine published an article last year by Timothy Searchinger of Princeton University, among others, that concluded that biofuels cause deforestation, which speeds climate change. The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration noted in July 2007 that the etha...
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Finally, let me note that CEI attended all eleven days of the Kyoto conference as an officially registered non-governmental organization. Fred Smith wrote daily commentaries that enjoyed wide distribution in the U.S. via e-mail and fax.
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In addition, ignore the fact that there have been more all-time U.S. cold records than heat records since the 1940s. And don't believe your lyin' eyes that tell you regarding that "extreme weather" we've been warned about that no category 3-5 hurricanes have struck the U.S. coast since October 2005, setting a century-l...
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Before finalizing its response to the Court, EPA must figure out how recent statutory changes in EPA's responsibility regarding fuel economy and renewable fuel standards would affect the setting of auto emission standards for carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases--a possible outcome of Mass v. EPA.
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Lake Powell (Arizona and Utah) provides a good proxy for western slope snowfall, because much of the snow in Wyoming, Colorado, Utah and Northwestern New Mexico drains into the lake via the Colorado, Green and San Juan Rivers. The lake currently contains more than 4.5 trillion gallons of water and is 490 feet deep at t...
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In a very long sentence, the two researchers write that "extreme temperatures (i) can be avoided (e.g. by accelerating hatching, by moving within the egg, by cooling the egg by enhanced rates of evaporation, or by hysteresis in rates of heating versus cooling); (ii) can be tolerated (e.g. by entering diapause, by produ...
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Solar physicists from several major US sun-watching labs announced last year that they believe based on decades-long trends of declining sunspot activity and other indicators that the current sunspot cycle may be the last one for a long time, and that a "Maunder Minimum" like that seen in the 17th and 18th centuries is...
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Who would have thoughtit seems that the largest mammal of North America, Ovibos moschatus or Musk Ox (actually, a big big kind of sheep) really does like it hot, even if its usually found around Canada and Greenland: to the point of disappearing from Europe, Asia and Alaska in the late XIX/early XX century due to clima...
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If psychologists want to be taken seriously, and want psychology to be called a science, they need to elect a director who knows what science is.
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But most troubling of all, according to the UN report in 2005, is that the largest public health problem created by the accident is the damaging psychological impact to a lack of accurate information as negative self-assessments of health, belief in a shortened life expectancy, lack of initiative, and dependency on ass...
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I downloaded the tide data for the outlet of the Thames, Sheerness for that day from the UK National Oceanography center . Times are local to the station, +1 GMT.
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To chal- lenge against wind power in rural areas are based on the visual experience, ie, they frfular landscape, or str experience of the landscape is probably obvious from many of those affected. The aesthetic dimension is often brushed aside by nringen as taste. No. Now chal- lenge out in settlements is growing and t...
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However, significant barriers impede the transfer of existing and future technologies, and thus the improvement of overall economic conditions. One of the most important is lack of economic freedommarked by restrictions on personal choice, voluntary exchange and open markets The prospect of simultaneously reducing pove...
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natural thermostats, including clouds, which can trap heat, turn up the temperature or reflect sunlight and help cool the planet. So why is none of this reflected in the modelling? It is situating the appreciation again.
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The early estimates of polar bear abundance are a guess. There is no data at all for the 1950-60s. Nothing but guesses. We are sure the populations were being negatively affected by excess harvest (e.g., aircraft hunting, ship hunting, self-killing guns, traps, and no harvest limits). The harvest levels were huge and g...
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Clinton began her remarks at the National Clean Energy Summit by laying out the problems climate change is already causing today, including extreme weather and droughts. the most consequential, urgent, sweeping collection of challenges we face, she said. No matter what deniers say.
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The current 11-year peak in solar action is the weakest seen for a long time, and it may presage a lengthy quiet period. Previously, historical records suggest that such periods have been accompanied by chilly conditions on Earth.
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The Wiki that describes Degree Days is not too bad (at least for now, but since Ive connected it to Global Warming watch out for the AGW Langoliers to start chewing on it):
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Video: Climate realism in a Texas elementary school; "If there's global warming, there must have been global cooling follow this logic "
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So there is only one remaining sentence in my post to which Schmidt might be objecting:
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WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON ABOVE 5000 FEET.
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2014: The host of MSNBCs The Ed Show promoted Soviet-style re-education for climate skeptic politicians by conducting an on-air poll on the question Should climate-denying Republicans be forced to take a basic earth science course?
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Until such time as an independent inquiry actually addresses these concerns in a thorough and, yes, unbiased manner, Climategate will remain an open wound in the side of climate science.
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The inference is that climate model predictions should be used to drive global energy policy. This is the simple linear model of scientism, that has been resoundingly debunked particularly for a complex problem like climate change.
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What I find interesting about this map is the way the warmth is concentrated on and around nearly point sources. That one inland and North East from Seattle is a real hot spot. Those sources look to be largely the urban growth areas (with, perhaps, some very localized UHI impacts on small rural locations). There is a g...
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THE ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION IS NOT A FORCED COMPONENT OF THE CLIMATE MODELS
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Police and courts to secure each citizens life, liberty and property from domestic thieves and bandits, and to adjudicate the disputes that might arise among men;
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www.couriermail.com .au/...antarctic-runway/story-fn6ck4a4-...
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"Wind power," the study reports, "is the second most expensive. It costs nearly 6 cents more per KWH." The study puts these additional costs in context: "The average cost of electricity to U.S. consumers in 2012 was 9.84 cents per KWH, including the cost of transmission and distribution of electricity. This means a new...
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Researchers Gabriel Vecchi and Brian Soden (from GDFL and the University of Miami respectively) examined how anthropogenic global warming may, at least according to climate models, alter the environment of the tropical Atlantic and thus possibly tropical cyclone statistics there as well. Recall that it is the tropical ...
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I note also that Jeff ID states in the thread you mentioned: Even though I am certain this is one hundred percent correct, this changes little about the climate story. What it does do is make one wonder how math skilled individuals still refuse to acknowledge it.
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This article is an attempt to describe some of the early results from the Antarctic reconstruction recently published on the cover of Nature which demonstrated a warming trend in the Antarctic since 1956. Actual surface temperatures in the Antarctic are hard to come by with only about 30 stations prior to 1980 recorded...
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In the case of science, the motive is supposed to be the continued advancement of knowledge. In practice, scientists ARE motivated by that common goal, but they also have pressure from money, the future ease of publication, acceptance by peers, and in the case of climate science easy fame.
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Whether the threats are short-term (hurricanes, floods and blizzards), intermediate (droughts) or long-term (warm or cool eras), preparation must be specific and regional in scale, for the perils vary widely by geographic location and a nation's state of technological advancement. If governments prepare properly for na...
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Replication is more difficult than the "follow the money" narrative behind the attacks on the integrity of Mr. Soon and other skeptical scientists. But for those seeking truth, it is the only analysis worth conducting.
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An unseasonably cold weather system will move through the Northern Rockies tonight into Tuesday morning. Snow levels are expected to drop to around 6000 feet, leading to light snow accumulations over the higher terrain. Those planning to venture into the back country should be prepared for light snow and temperatures 1...
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They focus on every weather event, declare it to be the worst ever, and ignore every place else in the world.The NorthernHemispherehas been experiencing record snow cover, so they focus on a lack of snow in Chicago (which is about to get a blizzard.) The Greenland Ice Sheet has a couple of hours above freezing, and the...
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The direct warming effect of doubling the CO2 in the air is generally agreed to be little more than 1 C. However climate models produce exaggerated warming forecasts by assuming that strongly positive or amplifying temperature feedbacks, such as the increased capacity of warmer air to carry water vapour, a greenhouse g...
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But neither henor Iare much swayed by this rose tinted view: "More likely is that the level of ambition for Cancun will be reduced further with no more than a package of agreements negotiated and all the tough stuff put back until next year. Or 2013. Or 2014," Vidals concludes. That, he says, would be "the nightmare sc...
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Heat waves occurred with high frequency in the 1930s, and these remain the most severe heat waves in the U.S. historical record (see Figure 1). Many years of intense drought (the Dust Bowl) contributed to these heat waves by depleting soil moisture and reducing the moderating effects of evaporation.
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Like Fred, I've stuck mostly to the data. Here's the data Fred relies upon, with the trends over the whole interval from 1979 to the latest available:
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At least 12 states will have to impose 40% to 48% reductions. Those states now get 50% to 96% of their electricity from coal, and nearly all their electricity from coal and natural gas. Further complicating matters, even replacing coal-fired units with natural gas turbines is highly restricted under the plan.
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?The global temperature ?savings? of the Kerry-Lieberman bill is astoundingly small?0.043 C (0.077 F) by 2050 and 0.111 C (0.200 F) by 2100. In other words, by century?s end, reducing U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 83% will only result in global temperatures being one-fifth of one degree Fahrenheit less than they wou...
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Much like the U.S. Historical Climatology Network database (see our Temperature Record of the Week feature), these temperature reconstructions derived from limnological data from pristine mountain lakes in Europe support the tenet of our Editorial of 1 July 2000 , i.e., that "there has been no global warming for the pa...
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As I mentioned, our satellite temperatures are validated with radioson data, they're independent of the radioson data, this just shows our own calculations of monthly global temperature anomalies from the satellite from '79 through '94. Based from 97 radioson locations in the Northern Hemisphere and you can see they tr...
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Parameters NST=506, Nph=514, Dmin=334 km, Rmss=0.65 sec, Gp= 25,
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Brian: Senator Wong, thanks for joining us and may I add how lovely you look tonight.
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We found that two key physical processes, which were often overlooked in previous process models, were actually essential for accurately describing whether sea ice loss is reversible, said Eisenman, a professor of climate dynamics at Scripps Oceanography. One relates to how heat moves from the tropics to the poles and ...
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Early on in my statements about Climategate, I became aware that my statements were looked upon very unfavorably by some scientists, particularly those that were vocal advocates of the IPCC and UNFCCC policies. As an example, Peter Webster related a conversation at a professional meeting in 2010 with a young scientist ...
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Sachdev makes some provoking points e.g. that he had to explain basics of condensed matter physics to some string theorists using the same caricatures as he's using, approximately speaking, for the kids in the kindergarten. ;-)
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Removing the series of assumptions about cost savings from emission trading, the cost of complying with the protocol increases from $7 billion in 2010 to $53 billion and permit prices increase from $14 to $193 per ton of CO2.
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James K. Glassman: Dr. Baliunas, we've heard that temperatures have increased on Earth over the last century. Were temperatures stable before that?
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"Abu Dhabi will host the first Eye on Earth Summit on December 12-15 2011, in partnership with the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). The summit will focus on the issue of greater access to environmental and societal data."
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This could wreck the Governments present strategy, as this new gas capacity will be vital as coal power is progressively withdrawn via the Large Combustion Plants Directive and nuclear capacity closed.
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According to Crane, the first inkling of a problem (we should have seen it coming) turned up in 2007, when TXU was forced into the hands of private equity by a firestorm over planned coal-fired plants. My recollection is that TXU simultaneously misread the markets for coal, gas, power and capital and fully deserved its...
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In setting the stage for their most interesting study, the authors say "many scientists believe that a warmer climate will result in elevated summer temperatures and more frequent and intense heat waves," and that "according to some predictions, heat-related mortality is expected to increase considerably as global temp...
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The best governments can do is "help people have the children they do want." Since low fertility correlates with education, we could stop the government-subsidized promotion of a university education for all. A college degree doesn't prepare people for specific jobs, but rather gives employers an idea of their intellig...
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johanna on April 27, 2015 at 5:19 pm
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That is incoherent. How exactly did ExxonMobil and other fossil energy companies "deceive" the public about climate change risk, according to the RICO 20? In their September 2015 letter to Obama, Lynch, and Holdren, Shukla et al. invoke the "merchants of doubt' literature as the smoking gun that justifies a federal inv...
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While the certainty isn't enough for a formal discovery, it's being claimed that the signal is equivalent to 3+ standard deviations or so, about 99.8% confidence level. The expected background was \(0.7\) events.
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CEI advises EPA not to adopt its Endangerment Proposal as a final rule. The science presented in the proposal and TSD is highly selective, ignoring the research, arguments, and assessments of so-called climate skeptics. EPA may regard the skeptics as quibblers or worse, but ignoring an argument does not refute it. Abse...
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