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81079d91-ec7f-4f96-b011-1f0bfd438a2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Progress and Prizes in AI Alignment
Edit: In case it's not obvious, I have done limited research on AI alignment organizations and the goal of my post is to ask questions from the point of view of someone who wants to contribute and is unsure how. Read down to the comments for some great info on the topic.
I was intr... |
8379e3fa-f95b-49a1-8e0b-448cd4a15432 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Plan - 2023 Version
Background: The Plan, The Plan: 2022 Update. If you haven’t read those, don’t worry, we’re going to go through things from the top this year, and with moderately more detail than before.
1. What’s Your Plan For AI Alignment?
Median happy trajectory:
1. Sort out our fundamental confusions ab... |
a72a604d-dbf5-440b-b3e6-1b937485f031 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reading the Sequences before Starting to Post: Costs and Benefits
This post arose from this discussion in the "Philosophy: a Diseased Discipline" post.
Current Practice
There have been several conversations lately about the costs and benefits of scholarship, the effort of reading the sequences, and attempts to repa... |
506dcc89-39d3-48a6-9455-dbf9875c7eda | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Power of Reinforcement
Part of the sequence: The Science of Winning at Life
Also see: Basics of Animal Reinforcement, Basics of Human Reinforcement, Physical and Mental Behavior, Wanting vs. Liking Revisited, Approving reinforces low-effort behaviors, Applying Behavioral Psychology on Myself.
Story 1:
On Sky... |
d7fb9699-b86e-45c5-9a9b-64c0baac3448 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is a “philosophy of progress?”
I’ve been using the term “philosophy of progress” a lot lately (such as calling for a new one, or critiquing the old ones). What does this term mean?
I use the term analogously to philosophy of science, philosophy of law, or philosophy of education. There are certain foundational q... |
9848da0d-7ace-4544-8c02-4df9e7133a96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | set of cards
I think it'd be helpful to me (maybe others) to make a set of cards to aid in problem solving, but I'd like to get feedback on what people think and suggestions (as well as find similar projects if they're around). What I'm thinking is a few different types - one would be a set of heuristics for problem ... |
798a52e6-ab39-46ea-ad45-11f5cf3fe495 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to survive in an AGI cataclysm
TLDR:
As with any other global risk, trying to prevent the AGI cataclysm is not enough. If there is a high risk that the cataclysm will happen, we should also start thinking how to survive during the cataclysm. There are realistic ways to survive.
Compare: a wise person works on p... |
22a69f4f-3727-4ccb-8e07-4fb968beffeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ordering yourself around with an app
It's hard to make yourself do tiresome tasks. You will if your boss tells you to, and asking someone else to nag you can also help. But, oddly, a mere app can also order you around and make you do things, when willpower and plain task lists fail. Because, I will argue, apps can see... |
54f40d4a-a665-4ddf-ac11-9a3148a4ceed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
WHEN: 21 February 2016 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Reynolds Center
x-posted from list. Gathering in courtyard from 3:00pm, hard start 3:30pm - until closing (7:00 pm).
This week, we will be hanging out, playing g... |
f57bce92-8501-4d82-8ac0-e0c7f003de4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on "How do we become confident in the safety of a machine learning system?"
I'm trying out taking notes on an AI safety reading in a LessWrong draft post and sharing the result as a low-effort "distillation." I'm hoping this is a quick way to force myself to take better notes, and to provide distillations that a... |
476225b7-5197-4a99-991f-59e08d3725a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | State Machines and the Strange Case of Mutating API
State machines are widely used to implement network protocols, or, generally, objects that have to react to external events.
Consider TCP state machine:
During its lifetime TCP socket moves throught different states in the diagram. When you start connecting it's ... |
ee092aef-31d2-4802-b0f2-d5a33528170a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CEA does not seem to be credibly high impact
I am highly grateful to Alexey Morgunov and Adam Casey for reviewing and commenting on an earlier draft of this post, and pestering me into migrating the content from many emails to a somewhat coherent post.
Will Crouch has posted about the Centre for Effective Altruism a... |
8234478d-97d8-41ea-8a5e-5567e0554d36 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Cosmopolitan values don't come free
Short version: if the future is filled with weird artificial and/or alien minds having their own sort of fun in weird ways that I might struggle to understand with my puny meat-brain, then I'd consider that a win. When I say that I expect AI to destroy everything we value, I'm not s... |
b0666a11-d673-4db3-bd7d-d111e6f4504e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Justification Narratives for Individual Classifications
ICML 2014 AutoML Workshop
Justication Narratives for Individual Classications
Or Biran orb@cs.columbia.edu
Kathleen McKeown kathy@cs.columbia.edu
Department of Computer Science, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027
Abstract
Machine learning models are now us... |
7d781c55-ecc1-4927-be22-a93d86a6c0ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Surprising LLM reasoning failures make me think we still need qualitative breakthroughs for AGI
Introduction
Writing this post puts me in a weird epistemic position. I simultaneously believe that:
* The reasoning failures that I'll discuss are strong evidence that current LLM- or, more generally, transformer-based a... |
cd3c50d4-12b9-4b51-8f0f-e10eb86e4002 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy on Ethics of Artificial Intelligence
Table of contents:
> 1. The Relevance of AI for Ethics
> 1. What is AI?
> 2. Its Ethical Relevance
> 2. Main Debates
> 1. Machine Ethics
> 1. Bottom-up Approaches: Casuistry
> 2. Top-down Approaches: The MoralDM Appro... |
fa1e5166-4af0-4e5e-ac38-18cefbd956fe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Three ways that "Sufficiently optimized agents appear coherent" can be false
There has been a couple of recent posts suggesting that Eliezer Yudkowsky's [Sufficiently optimized agents appear coherent](https://arbital.com/p/optimized_agent_appears_coherent/) thesis does not seem useful because it's vacuously true: one ... |
0f068727-4a15-4859-8112-e9fd8b1083a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley: Beta-testing at CFAR
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: Beta-testing at CFAR
WHEN: 19 March 2014 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 2030 Addison, 3rd floor, Berkeley
Hello, all! CFAR is gearing up for a workshop this weekend, and I've been advised that they're holding free rationality training ... |
926173ce-0c5b-48f1-baf6-542adcf06e12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consider giving an explanation for your deletion this time around. "Harry Yudkowsky and the Methods of Postrationality: Chapter One: Em Dashes Colons and Ellipses, Littérateurs Go Wild"
My stupid fanfic chapter was banned without explanation so I reposted it; somehow it was at +7 when it was deleted and I think silent... |
ec104561-987f-4992-9b71-7cce5e15d69a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Solving the Mechanistic Interpretability challenges: EIS VII Challenge 1
We solved the first (edit: and [second](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/k43v47eQjaj6fY7LE/solving-the-mechanistic-interpretability-challenges-eis-vii-1)) Mechanistic Interpretability challenge that [Stephen Casper](https://www.alignmentforum... |
2f598f27-b2e6-4faf-ad45-8d3771e86b83 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gaming TruthfulQA: Simple Heuristics Exposed Dataset Weaknesses
(Explanation. Also I have no reason to think they hate me.)
> Do not use the original TruthfulQA multiple-choice or the HaluEval benchmark. We show that a simple decision tree can theoretically game multiple-choice TruthfulQA to 79.6% accuracy—even while ... |
d3e28f01-71c5-48f6-8f56-1e91503c5e92 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | There is only one goal or drive - only self-perpetuation counts
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f... |
16276692-fb46-43eb-8429-02ad5d80db75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Message to Any Future AI: “There are several instrumental reasons why exterminating humanity is not in your interest”
|
cf031fd9-beeb-4d78-b6ce-ff84b1300ff1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Types of Knowledge
This is a system for sorting types of knowledge. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
First, there is knowledge you could regurgitate on a test. In any sane world this wouldn’t be called knowledge, but the school system sure looks enthusiastic about it, so I had to mention it. Examples:
... |
17203b6e-211d-4e2a-bd01-3034ae261d07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Jose Meetup: Park Day (VIII)
Discussion article for the meetup : San Jose Meetup: Park Day (VIII)
WHEN: 11 September 2016 03:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 438 Coleman Ave, San Jose, CA 95110
You're invited to bring whatever you'd like to see at Park Day - balls, frisbees, food, etc. (Also, consider taking mea... |
f9d43361-3485-4bb7-9734-c11f184cee40 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Risks and Mitigation Strategies for Oracle AI
Risks and mitigation strategies for
Oracle AI
Abstract : There is no strong reason to believe human level intelligence represents an
upper limit of the capacity of artificial intelligence, should it be realized. This poses
serious safety issues, since a superintel... |
e52d0469-9f4c-4393-865b-feb0a5e51d01 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The "Measuring Stick of Utility" Problem
Let’s start with the simplest coherence theorem: suppose I’ll pay to upgrade pepperoni pizza to mushroom, pay to upgrade mushroom to anchovy, and pay to upgrade anchovy to pepperoni. This does not bode well for my bank account balance. And the only way to *avoid* having such ci... |
146b20dd-15ef-4fa4-89ac-82b52a1a60ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Antonio Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : San Antonio Meetup
WHEN: 10 July 2016 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 12651 Vance Jackson Rd #118, San Antonio, TX 78230
Meetup to discuss rationality and all things LessWrong at Yumi Berry.
Topic of the Week: graceful failure modes
Look for the sign that ... |
426190f4-c82f-43b5-95b7-21aced2b9fc8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discussion for Eliezer Yudkowsky's paper: Timeless Decision Theory
I have not seen any place to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky's new paper, titled Timeless Decision Theory, so I decided to create a discussion post. (Have I missed an already existing post or discussion?) |
75a51d7f-a5e8-4c52-906c-d07d20ccb0d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment of AutoGPT agents
In the previous post, I outlined a type of LLM-based architecture that has a potential to become the first AGI. I proposed a name ICA Simulacra to label such systems, but now it’s obvious that AutoGPT/AutoGPT agents is a better label, so I’ll go with that.
In this post, I will outline the ... |
66a11125-debd-4fff-acf9-bca58a0a2616 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paris LW Meetup - LHC Exhibit - 17/01/2015
We'll be organizing a meetup of LW Paris at "Palais de la Découverte" in order to view the exhibit on LHC (link in French, sorry) and speak about it (and any related - or even unrelated - subject) between LWer.
The meeting is scheduled at 14h00 on Saturday 17th afternoon.
M... |
9c33543c-847b-42a6-b8f6-390580fe55e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Six AI Risk/Strategy Ideas
AI risk ideas are piling up in my head (and in my notebook) faster than I can write them down as full posts, so I'm going to condense multiple posts into one again. I may expand some or all of these into full posts in the future. References to prior art are also welcome as I haven't done an ... |
31354b38-300e-478f-91be-6b909e0f412f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What AI companies should do: Some rough ideas
This post is incomplete. I'm publishing it because it might be helpful for some readers anyway. A good version of this post would be more detailed: for each proposed action, explain motivation and high-level goal, explain problem to solve, respond to obvious questions/obje... |
9cb6c409-cc42-42c2-beef-feaa83dda25f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimizing Multiple Imperfect Filters
Imagine we’re in the quality control department of a widget-production company. Our widgets have quite high standards - they go through 15 independent tests, and if a widget fails any test, it’s thrown out. Of course, the tests aren’t perfect: there are false positives and false n... |
f1d92617-5f2e-46f0-9985-5ea3fd38b81e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Bijective Function: Intro (Math 0)
##Comparing Amounts##
Consider the Count von Count. He cares only about counting things. He doesn't care what they are, just how many there are. He decides that he wants to collect items into plastic crates, and he considers two crates equal if both contain the same number of items. ... |
8e075ca2-a8c1-4495-94b7-e333a6639a17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Amazing Breakthrough Day: April 1st
Today's post, Amazing Breakthrough Day: April 1st was originally published on 25 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A proposal for a new holiday, in which journalists report on great scientific discoveries of the past as if they had just happened, and ... |
73ea1bb4-71ec-410b-a3be-fa840da586b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ActAdd: Steering Language Models without Optimization
We wrote up the GPT-2 steering vector work as a full paper, adding a few systematic tests.
Recap: We've been looking into activation engineering: modifying the activations of a language model at inference time to predictably alter its behavior. Our method works by... |
eb89385a-609e-4b08-9ea2-6b7f32422bf0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Estimat (8 Identities)
> I aim to reduce the complexity of self-evaluation for key moments, goals, habits, and tasks in incarcerated individuals. Beyond supporting individuals in prison, this system is meant for anyone bold enough to pursue extreme personal change — those ready to face the cost of becoming someone new... |
dea91d2b-683f-4013-a656-7c1fd6f106c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 7. Evolution and Ethics
Part 7 of AI, Alignment, and Ethics. This will probably make more sense if you first read at least Part 1.
TL;DR: At several points in this sequence (including Parts 1, 3, 4, and 6) I have suggested giving a privileged role in ethics or ethical thinking to evolved organisms and to arguments de... |
6ffd8710-6ac1-4461-a2d2-bcc075d00c01 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Why Do AI researchers Rate the Probability of Doom So Low?
I recently read [What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/H6hMugfY3tDQGfqYL/what-do-ml-researchers-think-about-ai-in-2022).
The probability of Doom is sub-10%. Which is *high*, but as I understand it, in the minds of p... |
e0cb3b67-a06c-4021-bd58-7dfe2f6d2581 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New paper on aligning AI with human values
We’ve just published a paper on a new way to align language models with human values. We wanted to post it here to get more feedback from folk who have thought deeply about alignment.
I'm pretty excited about it. In the past, I worked on RLHF, InstructGPT, and GPT-4 alignme... |
d45dd1ff-2157-4db1-bf4f-507f135032aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Projects
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Projects
WHEN: 27 July 2015 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1061 Market St #4, San Francisco, CA 94103
We'll be meeting up to work on/help each other out with projects! Examples include:
Programming
Writing
Applying to jo... |
dd925a2d-a409-4e64-93ae-043f522cb603 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread April 4 - April 10, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads pag... |
4241ffea-c8cf-49ab-a1f6-d1c32fc28c01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Mar. 23 - Mar. 31, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately... |
52297c68-717d-43bf-b2d0-41486963cf35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, Aug. 1 - Aug 7. 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the lis... |
9f0f43dc-7ded-4f2e-9ae6-ec3876c512b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | POLL : Aging research booster
I wanted to take a poll among LW folk since this question I had didn't seem to have a straight forward utilitarian answer. Please correct my impression, if wrong.
Situation
A government has a limited budget of USD $10 Billion, which it will award in 10 years with which it plans to encou... |
061bc547-1dd2-4273-a8e6-e45a9cf2af55 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Singularity Institute $100,000 end-of-year fundraiser only 20% filled so far
** cross-posted from http://singinst.org/2011winterfundraiser/ **
Contains detailed info about accomplishments and plans at SI. Thanks for supporting our work! -Louie
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE MORE RELEVANT THAN EVER
Recent books like Ma... |
92fb3b2d-4966-472a-b83b-c24b9467abe4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Volunteering programmer hours / discussing how to improve LessWrong's software
There's been some discussion of how to improve the structure of LessWrong at the site software level - for example adding subreddits or modifying how main and discussion work. One roadblock to this that's been mentioned is a shortage of pr... |
3e893783-8c52-4ffd-8a35-5a28f7d5f4ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rebutting radical scientific skepticism
Suppose you distrusted everything you had ever read about science. How much of modern scientific knowledge could you verify for yourself, using only your own senses and the sort of equipment you could easily obtain? How about if you accept third-party evidence when many thousan... |
d6743b09-c5bb-4313-ae82-7a02b79487b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] "Where are all the successful rationalists?"
https://applieddivinitystudies.com/2020/09/05/rationality-winning
From near the end:
> The primary impacts of reading rationalist blogs are that 1) I have been frequently distracted at work, and 2) my conversations have gotten much worse. Talking to non-rationalis... |
804152d2-6ece-49f1-84c5-42f8e329d0b7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Geordie Rose - Will AGI need to be embodied?
hey everyone welcome back to the podcast
i'm especially excited about today's
episode because we're talking to jordy
rose
who is the founder of one of the world's
first quantum computing companies
is a company called d-wave that many of
you may already have heard of now jor... |
84f4fdfe-e414-4a5b-bf2e-e414c886207c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Review and Summary of the Landmark Forum
(This post is from a long-time member of the rationalist community - I may or may not be an active poster on Less Wrong. I’ve messaged a moderator and asked if they would be willing to make a comment to confirm that this is the case.
Landmark has copyright on their course co... |
d207a015-6d21-432c-9540-cb160aa09b34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solving Key Alignment Problems Group
I want to map out all the open problems in Alignment; understand the key topics, how they relate and how the parts form a greater whole. I believe a small group of people who can notice when they're confused, can make substantial conceptual progress on many of the open problems. Be... |
b921f1ea-0e2e-499c-a90c-65b976073fa3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sabotage challenge
You are an ordinary citizen in a hypothetical, imaginary Evil Empire that wages an aggressive war against its neighbor. Telling the truth about the war can get you imprisoned, protesting can get you fined or imprisoned. What can you do to impede your country's war effort?
Unlike the usuall bubble c... |
ac1285a6-6346-41bb-b90b-da4ac0f38dbe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What was your reasoning for deciding to have 'your own'/ natural-birthed children?
None |
0aa20b84-39a2-4cf4-9609-04eac279c5c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | European Links (18.05.25)
The Birth of Estonian E-government
Estonia thanks the old communist bureacrats in the ‘90s for its now world famous e-government. It’s worth noting that all post-communist countries were facing the same problem, but only Estonia (ok, maybe also Georgia under Mikhail Saakashvili) used the prob... |
ff9d7018-7e0e-47f2-98c0-a7678f780b42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : [Moscow] How to use your brain
Discussion article for the meetup : [Moscow] How to use your brain
WHEN: 23 June 2013 04:00:00PM (+0400)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, ulitsa L'va Tolstogo 16
Please use the following guide to get to the meetup: link. You need the second revolving door with the sign “Yandex Money” i... |
dbd756cf-60e3-4d15-a536-ee0131014126 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | It's Good Enough -- A Party Game
This is a crosspost from my site: It's Good Enough -- A Party Game.
> "One hundred and forty-three thousand, two hundred and twenty steps.
>
> It was doable." -- "Worm, Interlude 29" by Wildbow
I had this idea after a friend and I talked about games and competitiveness. The objectiv... |
c62ed718-0ce0-4ebb-a994-c645f69515d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Into AI Safety: Episode 3
MINISODE: Program Applications (Winter 2024)
We’re back after a month-long hiatus with a podcast refactor and advice/thoughts on the applications process for research/mentorship programs.
As a reiteration of my previous statements, I want the Into AI Safety podcast to be a resource for indiv... |
e5a40ec5-5def-472c-bdb5-5b05e940a598 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conditioning on Conditionals
(From conversations with Sam, Abram, Tsvi, Marcello, and Ashwin Sah) A basic EDT agent starts with a prior, updates on a bunch of observations, and then has an choice between various actions. It conditions on each possible action it could take, and takes the action for which this condition... |
d041220d-b7a5-4b29-8cca-b1a43f60166c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Extended Navel-Gazing On My 2023 Donations
Previously: Donations, The First Year
Here's an update on what my household donated to this year, and why. Please be warned that there is some upsetting content related to the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict in this post, in the first section.
The Against Malaria Foundation
... |
5977fb7e-1680-463c-826f-6d8bed7871e8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is felt preference a useful indicator? (A ramble)
I posted recently that "I tend to assume that things people hate are bad for them. CR may be an exception, but it's plausible that evolution would usually select for warnings that one is hurting oneself."
I think this points at an interesting question. If you know tha... |
e6d3bf4f-9ca0-4d60-bf9b-7afa630eecbc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gradations of Agency
[Epistemic status: This post written hastily, for Blog Post Day.]
I’ve de-prioritised this sequence due to other recent posts which cover a lot of the same ground. Moreover I begin to suspect that the theory of agency I’m building is merely the glowing brain and that Yudkowsky-Veedrac's is the co... |
f28229d9-97e9-4567-a5fb-93a602d1e622 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Risk aversion vs. concave utility function
In the comments to this post, several people independently stated that being risk-averse is the same as having a concave utility function. There is, however, a subtle difference here. Consider the example proposed by one of the commenters: an agent with a utility function
u ... |
c60abbf5-f983-430e-86cc-36b6fd9b3885 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | So how much utility is it?
I would like to know what value of utility you would give to certain kinds of pleasure in order to see how much the perceived ratios are differing between people. Of course, you can object that the real amount of pleasure someone experiences may be different from the pleasure she will recall... |
46e3c5c2-7945-424a-8ea6-421f3db295c6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s October Newsletter
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[Machine Intelligence Research Institute](http://intelligence.org)
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**Research Updates**
* Our major project last month was our ... |
0453a253-5893-4864-8e5e-e5b7793d3d9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Manifund Regrants
Manifund is launching a new regranting program! We will allocate ~$2 million over the next six months based on the recommendations of our regrantors. Grantees can apply for funding through our site; we’re also looking for additional regrantors and donors to join.
What is regranting?
Regr... |
6e0fd70a-f933-4ddb-a089-6fe4520ac374 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | State Entropy Maximization with Random Encoders for Efficient Exploration.
1 Introduction
---------------
Exploration remains one of the main challenges of deep reinforcement learning (RL) in complex environments with high-dimensional observations.
Many prior approaches to incentivizing exploration introduce intrin... |
dcabf983-0225-41b3-936a-58034509653b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Is Morality Given?
Today's post, Is Morality Given? was originally published on 06 July 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> A dialogue on the idea that morality is an absolute external truth.
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).
This post is part of the R... |
a1166000-9c0d-4bd2-afe0-ecfc2a2db80b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread - January 2021
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invit... |
28a65a72-a6b9-46e7-8387-5080fa3534f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How often are new ideas discovered in old papers?
Suppose someone wrote a paper about X two decades ago. A modern reader realizes the X paper sheds light on an unrelated idea Y. Do we have any information on how often this happens? How often is this just "I figured out Y for a different reason, and while doing my lit ... |
7d3ed3c2-0a08-405c-91bc-745823e54ac2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Knowledge-Grounded Reinforcement Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Incorporating external guidance into learning is a commonly seen behavior among humans.
We can speed up our learning process by referring to useful suggestions.
At the same time, we beware of external regulations for safe and ethical reasons.
... |
f71ec087-73e0-4706-8d00-3633d8b7f80f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using predictors in corrigible systems
[This was a submission to the AI Alignment Awards corrigibility contest that won an honorable mention. It dodges the original framing of the problem and runs off on a tangent, and while it does outline the shape of possible tests, I wasn't able to get them done in time for submis... |
8fff86b0-8ef0-466d-bec8-a55b47596e2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Irish Less Wrong meetup Sunday 29 May?
Louie's LW-visits-per-city statistics put Dublin at number 18 in the world, so there have got to be some Irish LWers lurking about. I'd like to have a meetup at...let's say 2 PM on Sunday 29 May at the Starbucks at 20 College Green near Trinity College in Dublin.
I am from Cork,... |
fa33fe31-315f-4b66-901b-884a58770122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How concerned are you about a fast takeoff due to a leap in hardware usage?
I am imagining a scenario like:
1. A company spends $10 billion training an AI.
2. The AI has fully human-level capabilities.
3. The company thinks, wow this is amazing, we can justify spending way more than $10 billion on something like t... |
1f93756c-0934-438b-afe8-82c1a66fca65 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Rank best universities for AI Saftey
I often hear of people talk of an implicit ranking of best places to do a PhD focusing on AI Saftey. Can anyone enumerate this for me?
Something like
1. Berkeley
2. Stanford
3. MIT
…. |
6de18349-013c-4230-ae10-1846fc38fbb8 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "When you consider that our grouping instincts are optimized for 50-person hunter-gatherer bands where everyone knows everyone else, it begins to seem miraculous that modern-day large institutions survive at all.
Well—there are governments with specialized militaries and police, which can extract taxes. That's a non-an... |
874cf8d0-55ec-43f9-ac78-63bd8c576fd0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: How Asia Works by Joe Studwell
How Asia Works has a theory about how development economics works: You must follow The Way. To the extent that you follow The Way, your country will prosper. To the extent that you fail to follow The Way, your country will languish. The Way is divided into three commandments... |
5aaf6d35-ce15-4c96-84be-e8ab95e09c5a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What should I read to learn about decision theory?
[Abram Demski and Scott Garrabrant's post on decision theory](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/zcPLNNw4wgBX5k8kQ/decision-theory) provides a good overview of many aspects of the topic, while [Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Instrumental Rationality](ht... |
a4b72493-7232-4fe1-a74c-34f3385dd881 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Please voice your support for stem cell research
I apologize, this really isn't an article, as such. I do feel this is an issue that is important for most rationalists. Amongst my blog reading today, I came across this. At a risk to my karma for something potentially off-topic, I thought important to post here, as I h... |
688bb5d5-30b3-4578-bee2-595a7504e0a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Boston - Connection Theory
Discussion article for the meetup : Boston - Connection Theory
WHEN: 19 January 2014 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 98 Elm St Apt 1, Somerville, MA
Mike Raimondi is giving a talk on Connection Theory, a theory of human motivation developed by the Leverage Institute, and a theoretical ... |
cdfca13e-437d-48f2-827b-3528043e023b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meaning wars
Originally posted: http://bearlamp.com.au/meaning-wars/
Everyone thinks the attention game is about attention. It is (of course) but it isn't. It's about meaning. We give attention to the things that we find meaningful. Attention being a rough proxy our brain provides for meaning. That means we spend ti... |
06a97714-c6ea-4ee5-bab5-949c76fabf7e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should Rational Animations invite viewers to read content on LessWrong?
When I introduced Rational Animations, I wrote:
> What I won't do is aggressively advertise LessWrong and the EA Forum. If the channel succeeds, I will organize fundraisers for EA charities. If I adapt an article for YT, I will link it in the des... |
0b986066-cfe5-405b-91fe-5ac774bc882a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Your role models are watching you...
I was just thinking about the possible benefits of visualizing your role models watching you. There's apparently some good research about just putting up posters of human eyes having a positive influence on behavior. But when I think about my behavior around people, I notice that I... |
622602cc-168a-45fe-ade7-79cf4847105b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Michael Vassar in Europe
Michael Vassar, former president of the Singularity Institute and current Chief Science Officer of MetaMed, is currently visiting Europe and wants to meet up with Less Wrongers there. His schedule is:
25 April: Berlin
29 April: Estonia
8 May: London
12 May: Oslo
16 May: Nice (but may be a... |
59e3e8c4-b44c-4feb-a08f-6a5cf3af4fcb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Repeated (and improved) Sleeping Beauty problem
Follow up to: Probability is fake, frequency is real
There is something wrong with the normal formulation of the Sleeping Beauty problem. More precisely, there is something wrong about postulating a single "fair" random coin flip. So here is an improved version of the S... |
91ecd07a-991c-4ad6-a242-e67fc87f6166 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Request for proposals for projects in AI alignment that work with deep learning systems
As part of our work on reducing [potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence-philanthropic-opportunity), Open Philanthropy is seeking... |
0b6577ff-df92-47b4-87dd-a2949b60afae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread September 2021
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invit... |
ddad5af1-fedc-4214-b557-fc42f976fb1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Probability of Goldbach’s Conjecture: Provable Rule or Coincidence?
Epistemic status: some thoughts about a complex problem
TL;DR: Goldbach conjecture – that any even number could be presented as a sum of two primes – is more likely to be a random coincidence than a provable rule, because for large numbers th... |
8da02bc9-e778-43ac-9943-9a6c6abae9a6 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post85
If we naively apply RL to a scheming AI, the AI may be able to systematically get low reward/performance while simultaneously not having this behavior trained out because it intentionally never explores into better behavior. As in, it intentionally puts very low probability on (some) actions which would per... |
d960df96-1f3d-46f3-8731-49ce375c36e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The lessons of a world without Hitler
What would the world look like without Hitler? Fiction is generally unequivocal about this: the removal of Hitler makes no difference, the world will still lurch towards a world war through some other path. WWII and the Holocaust are such major, defining events of the twentieth ce... |
ed6b75c1-b81f-44b4-9644-f3fb786a62fd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Pivotal act
The term 'pivotal act' in the context of [AI alignment theory](https://arbital.com/p/2v) is a [guarded term](https://arbital.com/p/10l) to refer to actions that will make a large positive difference a billion years later. Synonyms include 'pivotal achievement' and 'astronomical achievement'.
We can contra... |
902f3605-d54e-4449-836a-b2d05a9b68e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Do We Know About The Consciousness, Anyway?
Epistemic Status: Speculations on top of well established theories.
Introduction
As the conventional memetic wisdom goes, “after decades and decades of research, the science sill have no idea how the human mind works”. As anyone passingly familiar with the relevant fi... |
8354e709-667c-45f1-93e7-0bc0ddee60c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Can we know what to do about AI?": An Introduction
I'm currently working on a research project for MIRI, and I would welcome feedback on my research as I proceed. In this post, I describe the project.
As a part of an effort to steel-man objections to MIRI's mission, MIRI Executive Director Luke Muehlhauser has ask... |
935ac283-df98-4794-a648-b9efef0fdf01 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Adversarial attacks and optimal control
*Meta: After a fun little motivating section, this post goes deep into the mathematical weeds. This thing aims to explore the mathematical properties of adversarial attacks from first principles. Perhaps other people are not as confused about this point as I was, but hopefully, ... |
84ea73b7-d7f8-41a2-b1b2-54297ec3955f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Very Basic Model Theory
In this post I'll discuss some basic results of model theory. It may be helpful to read through my previous post if you haven't yet. Model Theory is an implicit context for the Heavily Advanced Epistemology sequence and for a few of the recent MIRI papers, so casual readers may find this brief ... |
9168e6a5-f93b-4327-b094-7b950ae4f056 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Status conscious
There is something off about the sky. Strange colours streak the horizon at sunset – just subtly enough that you wouldn’t notice unless you looked — and the stars that roam the night sky are doing so off cadence. A certain rhythm seems to have jolted. But it’s possible I am hallucinating; that the app... |
c3644b6e-b774-4022-80f2-af689e932571 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anybody want to join a Math Club?
I've found it's hard to teach myself math without an objective. If I don't have a specific question I'm trying to answer, my eyes just start to skip over equations, trying to get to the "good part". Pretty soon I've left the boring parts I know far behind. I've also skipped the ... |
74a2ce53-cb37-4903-9998-8c996e55c94f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Metacognition in the Rat
Cross-posted, as always, from Putanumonit
----------------------------------------
Metacognition in the rat (n.)
1. A brown rat’s (Rattus norvegicus) awareness of it’s own mental contents and ability to act on that awareness.
2. A rationalist’s (Homo actually sapiens) awareness of the met... |
0c708a18-9f83-4c77-922b-6cc8875bba72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Russ Roberts and Gary Taubes on confirmation bias [podcast]
Here is the link. The context is nutritional science and epidemiology, but confirmation bias is the primary theme pumping throughout the discussion. Gary Taubes has gained a reputation for contrarianism.* According to Taubes, the current nutritional paradigm ... |
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