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81079d91-ec7f-4f96-b011-1f0bfd438a2d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Progress and Prizes in AI Alignment Edit: In case it's not obvious, I have done limited research on AI alignment organizations and the goal of my post is to ask questions from the point of view of someone who wants to contribute and is unsure how. Read down to the comments for some great info on the topic. I was intr...
8379e3fa-f95b-49a1-8e0b-448cd4a15432
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Plan - 2023 Version Background: The Plan, The Plan: 2022 Update. If you haven’t read those, don’t worry, we’re going to go through things from the top this year, and with moderately more detail than before. 1. What’s Your Plan For AI Alignment? Median happy trajectory: 1. Sort out our fundamental confusions ab...
a72a604d-dbf5-440b-b3e6-1b937485f031
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Reading the Sequences before Starting to Post: Costs and Benefits This post arose from this discussion in the "Philosophy: a Diseased Discipline" post. Current Practice There have been several conversations lately about the costs and benefits of scholarship, the effort of reading the sequences, and attempts to repa...
506dcc89-39d3-48a6-9455-dbf9875c7eda
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Power of Reinforcement Part of the sequence: The Science of Winning at Life Also see: Basics of Animal Reinforcement, Basics of Human Reinforcement, Physical and Mental Behavior, Wanting vs. Liking Revisited, Approving reinforces low-effort behaviors, Applying Behavioral Psychology on Myself.   Story 1: On Sky...
d7fb9699-b86e-45c5-9a9b-64c0baac3448
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What is a “philosophy of progress?” I’ve been using the term “philosophy of progress” a lot lately (such as calling for a new one, or critiquing the old ones). What does this term mean? I use the term analogously to philosophy of science, philosophy of law, or philosophy of education. There are certain foundational q...
9848da0d-7ace-4544-8c02-4df9e7133a96
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
set of cards I think it'd be helpful to me (maybe others) to make a set of cards to aid in problem solving, but I'd like to get feedback on what people think and suggestions (as well as find similar projects if they're around). What I'm thinking is a few different types - one would be a set of heuristics for problem ...
798a52e6-ab39-46ea-ad45-11f5cf3fe495
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How to survive in an AGI cataclysm TLDR:  As with any other global risk, trying to prevent the AGI cataclysm is not enough. If there is a high risk that the cataclysm will happen, we should also start thinking how to survive during the cataclysm. There are realistic ways to survive. Compare: a wise person works on p...
22a69f4f-3727-4ccb-8e07-4fb968beffeb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Ordering yourself around with an app It's hard to make yourself do tiresome tasks. You will if your boss tells you to, and asking someone else to nag you can also help. But, oddly, a mere app can also order you around and make you do things, when willpower and plain task lists fail. Because, I will argue, apps can see...
54f40d4a-a665-4ddf-ac11-9a3148a4ceed
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games WHEN: 21 February 2016 03:00:00PM (-0500) WHERE: Reynolds Center x-posted from list. Gathering in courtyard from 3:00pm, hard start 3:30pm - until closing (7:00 pm). This week, we will be hanging out, playing g...
f57bce92-8501-4d82-8ac0-e0c7f003de4e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Notes on "How do we become confident in the safety of a machine learning system?" I'm trying out taking notes on an AI safety reading in a LessWrong draft post and sharing the result as a low-effort "distillation." I'm hoping this is a quick way to force myself to take better notes, and to provide distillations that a...
476225b7-5197-4a99-991f-59e08d3725a6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
State Machines and the Strange Case of Mutating API State machines are widely used to implement network protocols, or, generally, objects that have to react to external events. Consider TCP state machine: During its lifetime TCP socket moves throught different states in the diagram. When you start connecting it's ...
ee092aef-31d2-4802-b0f2-d5a33528170a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
CEA does not seem to be credibly high impact I am highly grateful to Alexey Morgunov and Adam Casey for reviewing and commenting on an earlier draft of this post, and pestering me into migrating the content from many emails to a somewhat coherent post. Will Crouch has posted about the Centre for Effective Altruism a...
8234478d-97d8-41ea-8a5e-5567e0554d36
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Cosmopolitan values don't come free Short version: if the future is filled with weird artificial and/or alien minds having their own sort of fun in weird ways that I might struggle to understand with my puny meat-brain, then I'd consider that a win. When I say that I expect AI to destroy everything we value, I'm not s...
b0666a11-d673-4db3-bd7d-d111e6f4504e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
Justification Narratives for Individual Classifications ICML 2014 AutoML Workshop Justi cation Narratives for Individual Classi cations Or Biran orb@cs.columbia.edu Kathleen McKeown kathy@cs.columbia.edu Department of Computer Science, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027 Abstract Machine learning models are now us...
7d781c55-ecc1-4927-be22-a93d86a6c0ae
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Surprising LLM reasoning failures make me think we still need qualitative breakthroughs for AGI Introduction Writing this post puts me in a weird epistemic position. I simultaneously believe that: * The reasoning failures that I'll discuss are strong evidence that current LLM- or, more generally, transformer-based a...
cd3c50d4-12b9-4b51-8f0f-e10eb86e4002
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy on Ethics of Artificial Intelligence Table of contents: > 1. The Relevance of AI for Ethics > 1. What is AI? > 2. Its Ethical Relevance > 2. Main Debates > 1. Machine Ethics > 1. Bottom-up Approaches: Casuistry > 2. Top-down Approaches: The MoralDM Appro...
fa1e5166-4af0-4e5e-ac38-18cefbd956fe
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Three ways that "Sufficiently optimized agents appear coherent" can be false There has been a couple of recent posts suggesting that Eliezer Yudkowsky's [Sufficiently optimized agents appear coherent](https://arbital.com/p/optimized_agent_appears_coherent/) thesis does not seem useful because it's vacuously true: one ...
0f068727-4a15-4859-8112-e9fd8b1083a1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Berkeley: Beta-testing at CFAR Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: Beta-testing at CFAR WHEN: 19 March 2014 07:00:00PM (-0700) WHERE: 2030 Addison, 3rd floor, Berkeley Hello, all! CFAR is gearing up for a workshop this weekend, and I've been advised that they're holding free rationality training ...
926173ce-0c5b-48f1-baf6-542adcf06e12
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Consider giving an explanation for your deletion this time around. "Harry Yudkowsky and the Methods of Postrationality: Chapter One: Em Dashes Colons and Ellipses, Littérateurs Go Wild" My stupid fanfic chapter was banned without explanation so I reposted it; somehow it was at +7 when it was deleted and I think silent...
ec104561-987f-4992-9b71-7cce5e15d69a
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Solving the Mechanistic Interpretability challenges: EIS VII Challenge 1 We solved the first (edit: and [second](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/k43v47eQjaj6fY7LE/solving-the-mechanistic-interpretability-challenges-eis-vii-1)) Mechanistic Interpretability challenge that [Stephen Casper](https://www.alignmentforum...
2f598f27-b2e6-4faf-ad45-8d3771e86b83
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Gaming TruthfulQA: Simple Heuristics Exposed Dataset Weaknesses (Explanation. Also I have no reason to think they hate me.) > Do not use the original TruthfulQA multiple-choice or the HaluEval benchmark. We show that a simple decision tree can theoretically game multiple-choice TruthfulQA to 79.6% accuracy—even while ...
d3e28f01-71c5-48f6-8f56-1e91503c5e92
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
There is only one goal or drive - only self-perpetuation counts [![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0dfd815-dfb0-4a83-a586-4900d183e3f4_635x635.png)](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f...
16276692-fb46-43eb-8429-02ad5d80db75
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Message to Any Future AI: “There are several instrumental reasons why exterminating humanity is not in your interest”
cf031fd9-beeb-4d78-b6ce-ff84b1300ff1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Types of Knowledge This is a system for sorting types of knowledge. There are many like it, but this one is mine. First, there is knowledge you could regurgitate on a test. In any sane world this wouldn’t be called knowledge, but the school system sure looks enthusiastic about it, so I had to mention it. Examples: ...
17203b6e-211d-4e2a-bd01-3034ae261d07
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : San Jose Meetup: Park Day (VIII) Discussion article for the meetup : San Jose Meetup: Park Day (VIII) WHEN: 11 September 2016 03:00:00PM (-0700) WHERE: 438 Coleman Ave, San Jose, CA 95110 You're invited to bring whatever you'd like to see at Park Day - balls, frisbees, food, etc. (Also, consider taking mea...
f9d43361-3485-4bb7-9734-c11f184cee40
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
Risks and Mitigation Strategies for Oracle AI Risks and mitigation strategies for Oracle AI Abstract : There is no strong reason to believe human level intelligence represents an upper limit of the capacity of artificial intelligence, should it be realized. This poses serious safety issues, since a superintel...
e52d0469-9f4c-4393-865b-feb0a5e51d01
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
The "Measuring Stick of Utility" Problem Let’s start with the simplest coherence theorem: suppose I’ll pay to upgrade pepperoni pizza to mushroom, pay to upgrade mushroom to anchovy, and pay to upgrade anchovy to pepperoni. This does not bode well for my bank account balance. And the only way to *avoid* having such ci...
146b20dd-15ef-4fa4-89ac-82b52a1a60ae
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : San Antonio Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : San Antonio Meetup WHEN: 10 July 2016 02:00:00PM (-0500) WHERE: 12651 Vance Jackson Rd #118, San Antonio, TX 78230 Meetup to discuss rationality and all things LessWrong at Yumi Berry. Topic of the Week: graceful failure modes Look for the sign that ...
426190f4-c82f-43b5-95b7-21aced2b9fc8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Discussion for Eliezer Yudkowsky's paper: Timeless Decision Theory I have not seen any place to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky's new paper, titled Timeless Decision Theory, so I decided to create a discussion post. (Have I missed an already existing post or discussion?)
75a51d7f-a5e8-4c52-906c-d07d20ccb0d3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Alignment of AutoGPT agents In the previous post, I outlined a type of LLM-based architecture that has a potential to become the first AGI. I proposed a name ICA Simulacra to label such systems, but now it’s obvious that AutoGPT/AutoGPT agents is a better label, so I’ll go with that. In this post, I will outline the ...
66a11125-debd-4fff-acf9-bca58a0a2616
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Paris LW Meetup - LHC Exhibit - 17/01/2015 We'll be organizing a meetup of LW Paris at "Palais de la Découverte" in order to view the exhibit on LHC (link in French, sorry) and speak about it (and any related - or even unrelated - subject) between LWer. The meeting is scheduled at 14h00 on Saturday 17th afternoon. M...
9c33543c-847b-42a6-b8f6-390580fe55e3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Six AI Risk/Strategy Ideas AI risk ideas are piling up in my head (and in my notebook) faster than I can write them down as full posts, so I'm going to condense multiple posts into one again. I may expand some or all of these into full posts in the future. References to prior art are also welcome as I haven't done an ...
31354b38-300e-478f-91be-6b909e0f412f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What AI companies should do: Some rough ideas This post is incomplete. I'm publishing it because it might be helpful for some readers anyway. A good version of this post would be more detailed: for each proposed action, explain motivation and high-level goal, explain problem to solve, respond to obvious questions/obje...
9cb6c409-cc42-42c2-beef-feaa83dda25f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Optimizing Multiple Imperfect Filters Imagine we’re in the quality control department of a widget-production company. Our widgets have quite high standards - they go through 15 independent tests, and if a widget fails any test, it’s thrown out. Of course, the tests aren’t perfect: there are false positives and false n...
f1d92617-5f2e-46f0-9985-5ea3fd38b81e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Bijective Function: Intro (Math 0) ##Comparing Amounts## Consider the Count von Count. He cares only about counting things. He doesn't care what they are, just how many there are. He decides that he wants to collect items into plastic crates, and he considers two crates equal if both contain the same number of items. ...
8e075ca2-a8c1-4495-94b7-e333a6639a17
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Amazing Breakthrough Day: April 1st Today's post, Amazing Breakthrough Day: April 1st was originally published on 25 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > A proposal for a new holiday, in which journalists report on great scientific discoveries of the past as if they had just happened, and ...
73ea1bb4-71ec-410b-a3be-fa840da586b1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
ActAdd: Steering Language Models without Optimization We wrote up the GPT-2 steering vector work as a full paper, adding a few systematic tests. Recap: We've been looking into activation engineering: modifying the activations of a language model at inference time to predictably alter its behavior. Our method works by...
eb89385a-609e-4b08-9ea2-6b7f32422bf0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Estimat (8 Identities) > I aim to reduce the complexity of self-evaluation for key moments, goals, habits, and tasks in incarcerated individuals. Beyond supporting individuals in prison, this system is meant for anyone bold enough to pursue extreme personal change — those ready to face the cost of becoming someone new...
dea91d2b-683f-4013-a656-7c1fd6f106c7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
7. Evolution and Ethics Part 7 of AI, Alignment, and Ethics. This will probably make more sense if you first read at least Part 1. TL;DR: At several points in this sequence (including Parts 1, 3, 4, and 6) I have suggested giving a privileged role in ethics or ethical thinking to evolved organisms and to arguments de...
6ffd8710-6ac1-4461-a2d2-bcc075d00c01
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Why Do AI researchers Rate the Probability of Doom So Low? I recently read [What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/H6hMugfY3tDQGfqYL/what-do-ml-researchers-think-about-ai-in-2022). The probability of Doom is sub-10%. Which is *high*, but as I understand it, in the minds of p...
e0cb3b67-a06c-4021-bd58-7dfe2f6d2581
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
New paper on aligning AI with human values We’ve just published a paper on a new way to align language models with human values. We wanted to post it here to get more feedback from folk who have thought deeply about alignment.  I'm pretty excited about it. In the past, I worked on RLHF, InstructGPT, and GPT-4 alignme...
d45dd1ff-2157-4db1-bf4f-507f135032aa
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Projects Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Projects WHEN: 27 July 2015 06:15:00PM (-0700) WHERE: 1061 Market St #4, San Francisco, CA 94103 We'll be meeting up to work on/help each other out with projects! Examples include: Programming Writing Applying to jo...
dd925a2d-a409-4e64-93ae-043f522cb603
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open Thread April 4 - April 10, 2016 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.   Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads pag...
4241ffea-c8cf-49ab-a1f6-d1c32fc28c01
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open thread, Mar. 23 - Mar. 31, 2015 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. ---------------------------------------- Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately...
52297c68-717d-43bf-b2d0-41486963cf35
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open Thread, Aug. 1 - Aug 7. 2016 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here. ---------------------------------------- Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the lis...
9f0f43dc-7ded-4f2e-9ae6-ec3876c512b5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
POLL : Aging research booster I wanted to take a poll among LW folk since this question I had didn't seem to have a straight forward utilitarian answer. Please correct my impression, if wrong. Situation A government has a limited budget of USD $10 Billion, which it will award in 10 years with which it plans to encou...
061bc547-1dd2-4273-a8e6-e45a9cf2af55
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Singularity Institute $100,000 end-of-year fundraiser only 20% filled so far ** cross-posted from http://singinst.org/2011winterfundraiser/ ** Contains detailed info about accomplishments and plans at SI. Thanks for supporting our work!  -Louie ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE MORE RELEVANT THAN EVER Recent books like Ma...
92fb3b2d-4966-472a-b83b-c24b9467abe4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Volunteering programmer hours / discussing how to improve LessWrong's software There's been some discussion of how to improve the structure of LessWrong at the site software level - for example adding subreddits or modifying how main and discussion work. One roadblock to this that's been mentioned is a shortage of pr...
3e893783-8c52-4ffd-8a35-5a28f7d5f4ce
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Rebutting radical scientific skepticism Suppose you distrusted everything you had ever read about science. How much of modern scientific knowledge could you verify for yourself, using only your own senses and the sort of equipment you could easily obtain?  How about if you accept third-party evidence when many thousan...
d6743b09-c5bb-4313-ae82-7a02b79487b3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Link] "Where are all the successful rationalists?" https://applieddivinitystudies.com/2020/09/05/rationality-winning  From near the end: > The primary impacts of reading rationalist blogs are that 1) I have been frequently distracted at work, and 2) my conversations have gotten much worse. Talking to non-rationalis...
804152d2-6ece-49f1-84c5-42f8e329d0b7
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
Geordie Rose - Will AGI need to be embodied? hey everyone welcome back to the podcast i'm especially excited about today's episode because we're talking to jordy rose who is the founder of one of the world's first quantum computing companies is a company called d-wave that many of you may already have heard of now jor...
84f4fdfe-e414-4a5b-bf2e-e414c886207c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Review and Summary of the Landmark Forum (This post is from a long-time member of the rationalist community - I may or may not be an active poster on Less Wrong. I’ve messaged a moderator and asked if they would be willing to make a comment to confirm that this is the case. Landmark has copyright on their course co...
d207a015-6d21-432c-9540-cb160aa09b34
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Solving Key Alignment Problems Group I want to map out all the open problems in Alignment; understand the key topics, how they relate and how the parts form a greater whole. I believe a small group of people who can notice when they're confused, can make substantial conceptual progress on many of the open problems. Be...
b921f1ea-0e2e-499c-a90c-65b976073fa3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Sabotage challenge You are an ordinary citizen in a hypothetical, imaginary Evil Empire that wages an aggressive war against its neighbor. Telling the truth about the war can get you imprisoned, protesting can get you fined or imprisoned. What can you do to impede your country's war effort? Unlike the usuall bubble c...
ac1285a6-6346-41bb-b90b-da4ac0f38dbe
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What was your reasoning for deciding to have 'your own'/ natural-birthed children? None
0aa20b84-39a2-4cf4-9609-04eac279c5c2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
European Links (18.05.25) The Birth of Estonian E-government Estonia thanks the old communist bureacrats in the ‘90s for its now world famous e-government. It’s worth noting that all post-communist countries were facing the same problem, but only Estonia (ok, maybe also Georgia under Mikhail Saakashvili) used the prob...
ff9d7018-7e0e-47f2-98c0-a7678f780b42
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : [Moscow] How to use your brain Discussion article for the meetup : [Moscow] How to use your brain WHEN: 23 June 2013 04:00:00PM (+0400) WHERE: Russia, Moscow, ulitsa L'va Tolstogo 16 Please use the following guide to get to the meetup: link. You need the second revolving door with the sign “Yandex Money” i...
dbd756cf-60e3-4d15-a536-ee0131014126
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
It's Good Enough -- A Party Game This is a crosspost from my site: It's Good Enough -- A Party Game. > "One hundred and forty-three thousand, two hundred and twenty steps. > > It was doable." -- "Worm, Interlude 29" by Wildbow I had this idea after a friend and I talked about games and competitiveness. The objectiv...
c62ed718-0ce0-4ebb-a994-c645f69515d6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Into AI Safety: Episode 3 MINISODE: Program Applications (Winter 2024) We’re back after a month-long hiatus with a podcast refactor and advice/thoughts on the applications process for research/mentorship programs. As a reiteration of my previous statements, I want the Into AI Safety podcast to be a resource for indiv...
e5a40ec5-5def-472c-bdb5-5b05e940a598
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Conditioning on Conditionals (From conversations with Sam, Abram, Tsvi, Marcello, and Ashwin Sah) A basic EDT agent starts with a prior, updates on a bunch of observations, and then has an choice between various actions. It conditions on each possible action it could take, and takes the action for which this condition...
d041220d-b7a5-4b29-8cca-b1a43f60166c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Extended Navel-Gazing On My 2023 Donations Previously: Donations, The First Year Here's an update on what my household donated to this year, and why. Please be warned that there is some upsetting content related to the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict in this post, in the first section. The Against Malaria Foundation ...
5977fb7e-1680-463c-826f-6d8bed7871e8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is felt preference a useful indicator? (A ramble) I posted recently that "I tend to assume that things people hate are bad for them. CR may be an exception, but it's plausible that evolution would usually select for warnings that one is hurting oneself." I think this points at an interesting question. If you know tha...
e6d3bf4f-9ca0-4d60-bf9b-7afa630eecbc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Gradations of Agency [Epistemic status: This post written hastily, for Blog Post Day.] I’ve de-prioritised this sequence due to other recent posts which cover a lot of the same ground. Moreover I begin to suspect that the theory of agency I’m building is merely the glowing brain and that Yudkowsky-Veedrac's is the co...
f28229d9-97e9-4567-a5fb-93a602d1e622
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Risk aversion vs. concave utility function In the comments to this post, several people independently stated that being risk-averse is the same as having a concave utility function. There is, however, a subtle difference here. Consider the example proposed by one of the commenters: an agent with a utility function u ...
c60abbf5-f983-430e-86cc-36b6fd9b3885
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
So how much utility is it? I would like to know what value of utility you would give to certain kinds of pleasure in order to see how much the perceived ratios are differing between people. Of course, you can object that the real amount of pleasure someone experiences may be different from the pleasure she will recall...
46e3c5c2-7945-424a-8ea6-421f3db295c6
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
MIRI’s October Newsletter | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | --- | --- | | | | | --- | | [Machine Intelligence Research Institute](http://intelligence.org) | | | | | | | --- | --- | | | | | --- | | **Research Updates** * Our major project last month was our ...
0453a253-5893-4864-8e5e-e5b7793d3d9e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Announcing Manifund Regrants Manifund is launching a new regranting program! We will allocate ~$2 million over the next six months based on the recommendations of our regrantors. Grantees can apply for funding through our site; we’re also looking for additional regrantors and donors to join. What is regranting? Regr...
6e0fd70a-f933-4ddb-a089-6fe4520ac374
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
State Entropy Maximization with Random Encoders for Efficient Exploration. 1 Introduction --------------- Exploration remains one of the main challenges of deep reinforcement learning (RL) in complex environments with high-dimensional observations. Many prior approaches to incentivizing exploration introduce intrin...
dcabf983-0225-41b3-936a-58034509653b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Is Morality Given? Today's post, Is Morality Given? was originally published on 06 July 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > A dialogue on the idea that morality is an absolute external truth. Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post). This post is part of the R...
a1166000-9c0d-4bd2-afe0-ecfc2a2db80b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open & Welcome Thread - January 2021 If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it. If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invit...
28a65a72-a6b9-46e7-8387-5080fa3534f3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How often are new ideas discovered in old papers? Suppose someone wrote a paper about X two decades ago. A modern reader realizes the X paper sheds light on an unrelated idea Y. Do we have any information on how often this happens? How often is this just "I figured out Y for a different reason, and while doing my lit ...
7d3ed3c2-0a08-405c-91bc-745823e54ac2
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Knowledge-Grounded Reinforcement Learning 1 Introduction --------------- Incorporating external guidance into learning is a commonly seen behavior among humans. We can speed up our learning process by referring to useful suggestions. At the same time, we beware of external regulations for safe and ethical reasons. ...
f71ec087-73e0-4706-8d00-3633d8b7f80f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Using predictors in corrigible systems [This was a submission to the AI Alignment Awards corrigibility contest that won an honorable mention. It dodges the original framing of the problem and runs off on a tangent, and while it does outline the shape of possible tests, I wasn't able to get them done in time for submis...
8fff86b0-8ef0-466d-bec8-a55b47596e2c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Irish Less Wrong meetup Sunday 29 May? Louie's LW-visits-per-city statistics put Dublin at number 18 in the world, so there have got to be some Irish LWers lurking about. I'd like to have a meetup at...let's say 2 PM on Sunday 29 May at the Starbucks at 20 College Green near Trinity College in Dublin. I am from Cork,...
fa33fe31-315f-4b66-901b-884a58770122
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How concerned are you about a fast takeoff due to a leap in hardware usage? I am imagining a scenario like: 1. A company spends $10 billion training an AI. 2. The AI has fully human-level capabilities. 3. The company thinks, wow this is amazing, we can justify spending way more than $10 billion on something like t...
1f93756c-0934-438b-afe8-82c1a66fca65
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Rank best universities for AI Saftey I often hear of people talk of an implicit ranking of best places to do a PhD focusing on AI Saftey. Can anyone enumerate this for me? Something like 1. Berkeley 2. Stanford 3. MIT ….
6de18349-013c-4230-ae10-1846fc38fbb8
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"When you consider that our grouping instincts are optimized for 50-person hunter-gatherer bands where everyone knows everyone else, it begins to seem miraculous that modern-day large institutions survive at all. Well—there are governments with specialized militaries and police, which can extract taxes. That's a non-an...
874cf8d0-55ec-43f9-ac78-63bd8c576fd0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Book Review: How Asia Works by Joe Studwell How Asia Works has a theory about how development economics works: You must follow The Way. To the extent that you follow The Way, your country will prosper. To the extent that you fail to follow The Way, your country will languish. The Way is divided into three commandments...
5aaf6d35-ce15-4c96-84be-e8ab95e09c5a
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info
AI Safety Info
What should I read to learn about decision theory? [Abram Demski and Scott Garrabrant's post on decision theory](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/zcPLNNw4wgBX5k8kQ/decision-theory) provides a good overview of many aspects of the topic, while [Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Instrumental Rationality](ht...
a4b72493-7232-4fe1-a74c-34f3385dd881
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Please voice your support for stem cell research I apologize, this really isn't an article, as such. I do feel this is an issue that is important for most rationalists. Amongst my blog reading today, I came across this. At a risk to my karma for something potentially off-topic, I thought important to post here, as I h...
688bb5d5-30b3-4578-bee2-595a7504e0a3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Boston - Connection Theory Discussion article for the meetup : Boston - Connection Theory WHEN: 19 January 2014 02:00:00PM (-0500) WHERE: 98 Elm St Apt 1, Somerville, MA Mike Raimondi is giving a talk on Connection Theory, a theory of human motivation developed by the Leverage Institute, and a theoretical ...
cdfca13e-437d-48f2-827b-3528043e023b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meaning wars Originally posted: http://bearlamp.com.au/meaning-wars/ Everyone thinks the attention game is about attention. It is (of course) but it isn't. It's about meaning. We give attention to the things that we find meaningful. Attention being a rough proxy our brain provides for meaning.  That means we spend ti...
06a97714-c6ea-4ee5-bab5-949c76fabf7e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Should Rational Animations invite viewers to read content on LessWrong? When I introduced Rational Animations, I wrote: > What I won't do is aggressively advertise LessWrong and the EA Forum. If the channel succeeds, I will organize fundraisers for EA charities. If I adapt an article for YT, I will link it in the des...
0b986066-cfe5-405b-91fe-5ac774bc882a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Your role models are watching you... I was just thinking about the possible benefits of visualizing your role models watching you. There's apparently some good research about just putting up posters of human eyes having a positive influence on behavior. But when I think about my behavior around people, I notice that I...
622602cc-168a-45fe-ade7-79cf4847105b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Michael Vassar in Europe Michael Vassar, former president of the Singularity Institute and current Chief Science Officer of MetaMed, is currently visiting Europe and wants to meet up with Less Wrongers there. His schedule is: 25 April: Berlin 29 April: Estonia 8 May: London 12 May: Oslo 16 May: Nice (but may be a...
59e3e8c4-b44c-4feb-a08f-6a5cf3af4fcb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Repeated (and improved) Sleeping Beauty problem Follow up to: Probability is fake, frequency is real There is something wrong with the normal formulation of the Sleeping Beauty problem. More precisely, there is something wrong about postulating a single "fair" random coin flip. So here is an improved version of the S...
91ecd07a-991c-4ad6-a242-e67fc87f6166
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Request for proposals for projects in AI alignment that work with deep learning systems As part of our work on reducing [potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence-philanthropic-opportunity), Open Philanthropy is seeking...
0b6577ff-df92-47b4-87dd-a2949b60afae
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open & Welcome Thread September 2021 If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it. If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invit...
ddad5af1-fedc-4214-b557-fc42f976fb1b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Logical Probability of Goldbach’s Conjecture: Provable Rule or Coincidence? Epistemic status: some thoughts about a complex problem TL;DR: Goldbach conjecture – that any even number could be presented as a sum of two primes – is more likely to be a random coincidence than a provable rule, because for large numbers th...
8da02bc9-e778-43ac-9943-9a6c6abae9a6
awestover/filtering-for-misalignment
Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results
id: post85 If we naively apply RL to a scheming AI, the AI may be able to systematically get low reward/performance while simultaneously not having this behavior trained out because it intentionally never explores into better behavior. As in, it intentionally puts very low probability on (some) actions which would per...
d960df96-1f3d-46f3-8731-49ce375c36e0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The lessons of a world without Hitler What would the world look like without Hitler? Fiction is generally unequivocal about this: the removal of Hitler makes no difference, the world will still lurch towards a world war through some other path. WWII and the Holocaust are such major, defining events of the twentieth ce...
ed6b75c1-b81f-44b4-9644-f3fb786a62fd
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Pivotal act The term 'pivotal act' in the context of [AI alignment theory](https://arbital.com/p/2v) is a [guarded term](https://arbital.com/p/10l) to refer to actions that will make a large positive difference a billion years later. Synonyms include 'pivotal achievement' and 'astronomical achievement'. We can contra...
902f3605-d54e-4449-836a-b2d05a9b68e5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What Do We Know About The Consciousness, Anyway? Epistemic Status: Speculations on top of well established theories. Introduction As the conventional memetic wisdom goes, “after decades and decades of research, the science sill have no idea how the human mind works”. As anyone passingly familiar with the relevant fi...
8354e709-667c-45f1-93e7-0bc0ddee60c5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
"Can we know what to do about AI?": An Introduction I'm currently working on a research project for MIRI, and I would welcome feedback on my research as I proceed. In this post, I describe the project. As a part of an effort to steel-man objections to MIRI's mission, MIRI Executive Director Luke Muehlhauser has ask...
935ac283-df98-4794-a648-b9efef0fdf01
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Adversarial attacks and optimal control *Meta: After a fun little motivating section, this post goes deep into the mathematical weeds. This thing aims to explore the mathematical properties of adversarial attacks from first principles. Perhaps other people are not as confused about this point as I was, but hopefully, ...
84ea73b7-d7f8-41a2-b1b2-54297ec3955f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Very Basic Model Theory In this post I'll discuss some basic results of model theory. It may be helpful to read through my previous post if you haven't yet. Model Theory is an implicit context for the Heavily Advanced Epistemology sequence and for a few of the recent MIRI papers, so casual readers may find this brief ...
9168e6a5-f93b-4327-b094-7b950ae4f056
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Status conscious There is something off about the sky. Strange colours streak the horizon at sunset – just subtly enough that you wouldn’t notice unless you looked — and the stars that roam the night sky are doing so off cadence. A certain rhythm seems to have jolted. But it’s possible I am hallucinating; that the app...
c3644b6e-b774-4022-80f2-af689e932571
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Anybody want to join a Math Club? I've found it's hard to teach myself math without an objective.    If I don't have a specific question I'm trying to answer, my eyes just start to skip over equations, trying to get to the "good part".   Pretty soon I've left the boring parts I know far behind.  I've also skipped the ...
74a2ce53-cb37-4903-9998-8c996e55c94f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Metacognition in the Rat Cross-posted, as always, from Putanumonit ---------------------------------------- Metacognition in the rat (n.) 1. A brown rat’s (Rattus norvegicus) awareness of it’s own mental contents and ability to act on that awareness. 2. A rationalist’s (Homo actually sapiens) awareness of the met...
0c708a18-9f83-4c77-922b-6cc8875bba72
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Russ Roberts and Gary Taubes on confirmation bias [podcast] Here is the link. The context is nutritional science and epidemiology, but confirmation bias is the primary theme pumping throughout the discussion. Gary Taubes has gained a reputation for contrarianism.* According to Taubes, the current nutritional paradigm ...