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16500ebf-3bb0-4ad6-9713-010a48ccba23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instrumental Rationality 4.3: Breaking Habits and Conclusion
[Instrumental Rationality Sequence 4.3/7]
[Part three of a three-part series of habits.]
[We go over three techniques for creating habits: Going Upstream and Substitution. Then we conclude the mini-sequence on habits]
Techniques: Breaking Habits :
While ... |
18b70d08-f65b-4c48-8390-4ed69593c6b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | August 2016 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out the ... |
9c1665fd-4933-41bd-8188-6c288eb101fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stupid Questions December 2016
This thread is for asking any questions that might seem obvious, tangential, silly or what-have-you. Don't be shy, everyone has holes in their knowledge, though the fewer and the smaller we can make them, the better.
Please be respectful of other people's admitting ignorance and don't m... |
5414bef6-424f-4bd6-b3a5-68deaa4e027b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Romance, misunderstanding, social stances, and the human LLM
1. Cross-sex friendships
========================
I saw [a tweet](https://twitter.com/uncatherio/status/1649182838754009089) recently that was talking about one of the possible conditions where (heterosexual) men and women have an easy time being “just frie... |
d2a356fe-64b8-4afb-a691-3768ecccf3a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Brief Overview of Machine Ethics
Earlier, I lamented that even though Eliezer named scholarship as one of the Twelve Virtues of Rationality, there is surprisingly little interest in (or citing of) the academic literature on some of Less Wrong's central discussion topics.
Previously, I provided an overview of formal... |
2bee5577-3ade-4916-bd68-f26dc9404e3f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Multi-Level Cause-Effect Systems
1 INTRODUCTION
---------------
In many scientific domains, detailed measurement is an indirect tool to construct and identify macro-level features of interest which are not yet fully understood. For example, climate science uses satellite images and radar data to understand large sc... |
ae56db19-9dea-41a5-8cb8-0a8227162a00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inverse reinforcement learning on self, pre-ontology-change
Inverse reinforcement learning is the challenge of constructing a value system that "explains" the behaviour of another agent. Part of the idea is to have algorithms deduce human observations from human behaviours.
It struck me that this could be used by the... |
b62fcb19-88fa-4967-9bf9-1ec37620f6c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Degree of duplication and coordination in projects that examine computing prices, AI progress, and related topics?
I have been noticing that an increasing number of organizations and researchers are looking into historical computing hardware prices, progress in AI systems, the relationship between hardware and AI prog... |
e4e1c4e3-f80f-45bb-ac88-cc7e589ab188 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | BHTV: Jaron Lanier and Yudkowsky
My Bloggingheads.tv interview with Jaron Lanier is up. Reductionism, zombies, and questions that you're not allowed to answer:
This ended up being more of me interviewing Lanier than a dialog, I'm afraid. I was a little too reluctant to interrupt. But you at least get a chance to... |
87543f81-02a8-4d40-9ed3-2b7535daf697 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Less Wrong traffic and new users -- and how you can help
This is a breakdown of Less Wrong's recent new user traffic, data sourced from the Less Wrong Google Analytics account.
67% StumbleUpon
16% Google
5.4% Reddit
3.6% Hacker News
3% Harry Potter story
0.7% Facebook
0.3% Overcoming Bias
4% "The Long Tail"
The 1... |
ec34ede8-26b3-4552-82fd-b4ee8d234f22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Going Crazy and Getting Better Again
[Epistemic status: Processing after a long period of work and recovery, which is not yet over]
Background
Four years ago, I was in university. I was a casual rationalist, having been introduced by HPMOR, been active on rationalist tumblr, and then joined a loosely allied fiction ... |
6d498162-7a9f-4840-bc26-7e95251de106 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If I must eat meat, I eat pork
I became a vegetarian on Memorial Day 2014, or as I now call it, Meatmorial Day. I woke up to a text from a friend about how she was frustrated that more self-identified rationalists and effective altruists aren’t at least vegetarian if not vegan. I said it was a case of differing values... |
cc3b9da5-1bcc-46ae-8d3d-f3111337583b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Simple Unified Framework for Detecting Out-of-Distribution Samples and Adversarial Attacks
1 Introduction
---------------
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved high accuracy on many classification tasks,
e.g., speech recognition (Amodei et al., [2016a](#bib.bib1)), object detection (Girshick, [2015](#bib.bib9... |
d0836a8b-c7cb-49c1-b4fd-add3687188d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Book review] Who we are and how we got here
David Reich is a leading researcher in the field of ancient human genetics. In his book "Who we are and how we got here" (2018) he describes the latest discoveries in a field that is quickly rewriting the (pre)history books. The field is moving so fast that today, only thre... |
6ff66dc7-4693-4bc3-9c34-7ea93896a0b5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The Biggest Technological Leaps
*By Katja Grace, 9 January 2015*
Over thousands of years, humans became better at producing explosions. A weight of explosive that would have blown up a tree stump in the year 800 [could have](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_effectiveness_factor) blown up more than three tree st... |
fb759b3a-27d3-4ac7-ba34-007065bebad4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISafety.com – Resources for AI Safety
There are many resources for those who wish to contribute to AI Safety, such as courses, communities, projects, jobs, events and training programs, funders and organizations. However, we often hear from people that they have trouble finding the right resources. To address this, w... |
1ec2218a-2b0a-4d87-92fa-bf7ca0fc7f15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Summer Fellows Program
CFAR is running a free two-week program this September, aimed at increasing participant's ability to do technical research in AI alignment. Like the MIRI Summer Fellows Program which ran the past two years, this will include CFAR course material, plus content on AI alignment research and time... |
bea11500-9bca-432e-be95-579f1ac85921 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3213
Acceptability To be able to use something like relaxed adversarial training to verify a model, a necessary condition is having a good notion of acceptability. Paul Christiano describes the following two desiderata for any notion of acceptability : "As long as the model always behaves acceptably, and achie... |
a30d0ee0-e51c-4862-860d-9bcee2383e35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Pet Owners Can Help Wild Animals and The Environment
Many people talk about wild-animal suffering as if it is completely intractable, or as if it is inherently opposed to environmental conservation, or as if it’s impossible to know what effects our actions could possibly have on wild animals. But, in fact, there i... |
733fe73d-c63f-472c-a9f4-0f1b857e8ec5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Thoughts on yesterday’s UN Security Council meeting on AI
Firstly, it’s encouraging that AI is being [discussed](https://media.un.org/en/asset/k1j/k1ji81po8p) as a threat at the highest global body de... |
72f95dd3-14a8-42c5-a75b-55f5aad1e1e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to train your own "Sleeper Agents"
This post is a guide on how to replicate our "Sleeper Agents" work. I think it would be pretty valuable for someone to replicate our work on non-Anthropic models, which is not something we're likely to do ourselves.
For training a code vulnerability chain-of-thought backdoored m... |
9f70a446-29dd-4d08-ae17-f366df8827d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comparing Four Approaches to Inner Alignment
Early work on this was supported by CEEALAR and was finished during an internship at Conjecture under the mentorship of Adam Shimi.
Thank you to Evan Hubinger and Rohin Shah for answering some questions related to this post.
Epistemic Status: First palimpsest of many to c... |
7628580a-7025-44b1-9a84-032b5d8729d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 'simulator' framing and confusions about LLMs
Post status: pretty rough + unpolished, thought it might be worthwhile getting this out anyway
I feel like I've encountered various people having misunderstandings of LLMs that seem to be related to using the 'simulator' framing. I'm probably being horrendously uncharita... |
921ae2a1-a23f-4a4c-bc62-12803ef1942a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Implementing Decision Theory
I'm *implementing* decision theory, in Python. There are three parts to this:
1. An XML language for formally specifying decision theory dilemmas. It can express many dilemmas: Newcomb, Transparent Newcomb, Parfit's Hitchhiker, Death in Damascus, Smoking Lesion, Cosmic Ray, symmetric Pri... |
270798a7-95ef-4b9b-aa68-4aacc81d9e40 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | .
. |
2e29ca93-cf4e-47ff-bbf5-67643d292b0a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Possible Divergence in AGI Risk Tolerance between Selfish and Altruistic agents
TLDR: There is a conflict of interest between the interests of the currently living and the entirety of future generations with regarding AGI because the prospective benefits AGI could provide in the upsides (such as extreme longevity and... |
3b82c8ad-943e-4c10-8f52-f92cda4c047d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effective Altruism Summit 2014
In 2013, the Effective Altruism movement came together for a week-long Summit in the San Francisco Bay Area. Attendees included leaders and members from all the major effective altruist organizations, as well as effective altruists not affiliated with any organization. People shared stra... |
ca5f2443-b7ea-4145-81e0-526f459d90c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Metascience of the Vesuvius Challenge
The Vesuvius Challenge is a million+ dollar contest to read 2,000 year old text from charcoal-papyri using particle accelerators and machine learning. The scrolls come from the ancient villa town of Herculaneum, nearby Pompeii, which was similarly buried and preserved by the erupt... |
d3222fd8-6d0e-49aa-b8bb-caf06ed8f7f3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Aligning an optical interferometer with beam divergence control and continuous action space
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) demonstrates incredible success in simulated environments, surpassing a human expert in Atari [[14](#bib.bib1 "Playing atari with deep reinforcement learning")], che... |
20ce2f47-c6d4-49ee-90b2-fcbf6414c034 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wheat: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
After hearing conflicting advice from diet books and the medical community, I decided to look into wheat.
There are two sets of arguments against including wheat in the diet. First, wheat is a carbohydrate, and some people support low carbohydrate diets. Second, something migh... |
f137e2bf-8568-4ed7-a469-12679941d383 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the best "policy" approaches in worlds where alignment is difficult?
Can someone point me to some of the best resources on what kinds of policy/ strategy approaches seem the most wise in worlds where the technical alignment problem is very difficult (or simply unlikely to be solved if we continue down a "bus... |
10f99837-641b-468e-ba40-af5d71be7f29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra Contra the Social Model of Disability
Epistemic Status: First draft, written quickly because I have to pack for my brother's wedding and want to get this out while it's hot, or at least lukewarm.
Summary:
* This is a tedious, step-by-step rebuttal of Scott Alexander's recent post, Contra the Social Model of ... |
a9960bf6-3493-46e1-8d5b-b25b2b3816c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hope and False Hope
I'm trying to figure out why people don't want to really consider cryonics as an option. E.g., maybe they never really consider anything; maybe life sucks for them and they don't want to live; maybe they are afraid of future justice; maybe they are afraid of social punishment for doing weird stuff... |
9d545829-5780-4f6a-ab8c-7f864e2bcb7c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Cartesian agent
A Cartesian agent is an agent that's a separate system from the environment, linked by the [Cartesian boundary](https://arbital.com/p/1mt) across which passes sensory information and motor outputs. This is most commonly formalized by two distinct Turing machines, an 'agent' machine and an 'environment... |
1545b42c-4447-4778-a428-68594f4192d7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | No‑regret Learning in Dynamic Stackelberg Games.
No-Regret Learning in
Dynamic Stackelberg Games
Niklas Lauffer, Mahsa Ghasemi, Abolfazl Hashemi, Y agiz Savas, and Ufuk Topcu
Abstract — In a Stackelberg game , aleader commits to
a randomized strategy, and a follower chooses their best
strategy in response. We consider... |
cb6ede4d-276e-4ac9-bcbe-c733c50cf80e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Slate article on Efficient Charity (link)
From the article:
> Billions of dollars are given and spent on aid and development by individuals and companies each year. Despite this generosity, we simply do not allocate enough resources to solve all of the world's biggest problems. In a world fraught with competing claim... |
beec9939-7c09-485d-ac5e-5992299d8754 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid: Bill Gates and Vaccine Production
Vaccine production, and in particular vaccine production by Pfizer and Moderna, has languished for want of a few billion dollars, well within the budget of many individual philanthropists. It is an important fact about the world that none of them stepped up and fixed the proble... |
5ed051a6-1c5a-437e-b7ae-55872cbff588 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational Feed
===Highly Recommended Articles:
What Is Rationalist Berkleys Community Culture by Zvi Moshowitz - The original rationalist community mission was to save the world, not to be nice to each other. Sarah recently suggested the later is currently the actual goal. Zvi reinterprets this as sounding an alarm. T... |
c2976f24-1b56-4a26-9d9b-cff756a76ddd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | “Alignment Faking” frame is somewhat fake
I like the research. I mostly trust the results. I dislike the 'Alignment Faking' name and frame, and I'm afraid it will stick and lead to more confusion. This post offers a different frame.
The main way I think about the result is: it's about capability - the model exh... |
92e823c5-2539-4838-b691-26bd2e61ef7b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The possibility of an indefinite AI pause
tl;dr **An indefinite AI pause is a somewhat plausible outcome and could be made more likely if EAs actively push for a generic pause. I think an indefinite pause proposal is substantially worse than a brief pause proposal, and would probably be net negative. I recommend that... |
5f90ba73-933b-4f7e-85a9-7f83a3a20fd5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | REQ: Latin translation for HPMOR
If anyone can do non-wrong Latin, I could use a translation of the following for HPMOR. The original is supposed to be circa 1200.
No rescuer hath the rescuer.
No Lord hath the champion,
no mother and no father,
only nothingness above. |
7faec21b-98b7-4a0a-973f-14edc9312623 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Explainable Robotic Systems
As artificial agents, and especially socially interactive robots, enter human society, the demands for these agents to be transparent and explainable grow rapidly. When systems are able, for example, to explain how they made classifications or arrived at a decision, users are better able to... |
506b2b05-e8ad-4e0c-b8a2-c1884fc31f6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to reliably signal internal experience?
So my friends told me that they think I was being defeatist and not trying the best I could to do what I said I want to do.
So I shrugged, Akrasia, am I right? And take on more work toward my professed goals.
Almost immediately, I meet severe internal resistance. A gener... |
73ce941a-aa5a-4c85-a046-3d8e8844873a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne, practical rationality
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne, practical rationality
WHEN: 02 November 2012 07:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 55 walsh st west melbourne 3003 australia
Practical rationality. This meetup repeats on the 1st Friday of each month and is distinct from our social meetup ... |
8ce764a9-473d-4b4c-ab67-54a97069bfc4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Box inversion revisited
[Box inversion hypothesis](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TQwXPHfyyQwr22NMh/box-inversion-hypothesis/) is a proposed correspondence between problems with AI systems studied in approaches like [agent foundations](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/agent-foundations), and problems with AI ecosystems,... |
77735cbc-0881-4c58-91ab-9e9c309a82af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EU policymakers reach an agreement on the AI Act
On December 8, EU policymakers announced an agreement on the AI Act. This post aims to briefly explain the context and implications for the governance of global catastrophic risks from advanced AI. My portfolio on Open Philanthropy’s AI Governance and Policy Team includ... |
0e49eb90-489a-45d1-879c-9f8befae241a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes: March 2011
* Please post all quotes separately, so that they can be voted up/down separately. (If they are strongly related, reply to your own comments. If strongly ordered, then go ahead and post them together.)
* Do not quote yourself.
* Do not quote comments/posts on LW/OB.
* No more than ... |
7c203f84-4a83-452e-95d7-9d16345a8d03 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactuals as a matter of Social Convention
In my last post, I wrote that the counterfactuals in Transparent-Box Newcomb's problem were largely a matter of social convention. One point I overlooked for a long time was that formalising a problem like Newcomb's is tricker than it seems. Depending on how it is writt... |
547a7801-aa35-4395-9a2e-7d96c2332b16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dialectical Bootstrapping
"Dialectical Bootstrapping" is a simple procedure that may improve your estimates. This is how it works:
1. Estimate the number in whatever manner you usually would estimate. Write that down.
2. Assume your first estimate is off the mark.
3. Think about a few reasons why that could be. Wh... |
7f5ce908-79bd-43b3-a61a-3afa79582a39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI may attain human-level soon
This is an article in the new intro to AI safety series from AISafety.info. AISafety.info writes AI safety intro content. We'd appreciate any feedback.
The most up-to-date version of this article is on our website, along with 300+ other articles on AI existential safety.
The main compa... |
02c4d329-145b-4d52-a351-71a6ec9d6528 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's The Best Place to Look When You Have A Question About x?
* Stackoverflow for programming
* Perhaps UpToDate for medical stuff (but I'm not a doctor so I'm not sure)
* Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy for accessible but rigorous summaries of the philosophical literature on a given topic (though again I'm n... |
0e26d5c1-6571-4c5c-b7d2-f2b81a7ff8dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against the standard narrative of human sexual evolution
(This post is the beginning of a short sequence discussing evidence and arguments presented by Christopher Ryan and Cacilda Jethá's Sex at Dawn, inspired by the spirit of Kaj_Sotala's recent discussion of What Intelligence Tests Miss. It covers Part I: On the Or... |
2fa10ac4-cc02-4ac6-ab8c-bb9b89d45e25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] - ChatGPT discussion
This is a discussion post for ChatGPT.
I'll start off with some observations/implications:
* ChatGPT (davinci_003) seems a lot better/more user-friendly than davinci_002 was.
* The easy-to-use API probably means that many more people will interact with it.
* ChatGPT is a pretty good co... |
3add3d34-207d-492c-9a0f-8afb555cc5c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nearest unblocked strategy versus learning patches
Crossposted at Intelligent Agents Forum.
The nearest unblocked strategy problem (NUS) is the idea that if you program a restriction or a patch into an AI, then the AI will often be motivated to pick a strategy that is as close as possible to the banned strategy, very... |
a99a7008-e4f0-4f8d-a05e-324ad70a93cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | introducing: target stress
note: this concept is running on a predictive processing paradigm, approximately, but a fairly generalized version of said paradigm which seems obviously true.
target stress is the expectation of how much stress one is going to experience at a given time. a low target stress level is, for e... |
5392826f-c61c-41e4-88d4-e4523883ae6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 1L Attention - Eigenvalue Analysis [rough early thoughts]
in our previous video we
were able to analyze uh a one-layer
attention-only transformer
but it was kind of uh tedious or at
least it would be if we wanted to do it
really carefully because we were looking
at these really big matrices
and in this video i'd like ... |
55e3706c-06ba-47b6-b121-b142864b20f6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out?
*Click lower right to download or find on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, etc.*
> Adapted from an [old GiveWell blog post](https://blog.givewell.org/2015/07/08/has-violence-declined-when-large-scale-atrocities-are-systematically-include... |
8799e3bb-975a-46f3-a81b-31116e0a4e91 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Donations for 2016
The following explains where I plan to donate in 2016, with some of my thinking behind it. This year, I had $10,000 to allocate (the sum of my giving from 2015 and 2016, which I lumped together for tax reasons; although I think this was a mistake in retrospect, both due to discount rates and because... |
8510ddf1-4880-428e-8269-ea7cacd645c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SOMA - A story about Consciousness
SOMA has a great story. I like it so much that I made a story video compilation about it, containing only the best things. The video actually presents a coherent story, that somebody can enjoy without any prior knowledge, even though ~92.5% of the content has been cut.
I think it ha... |
f0227860-e85d-42b4-b3f7-890a8648535f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ritual as the only tool for overwriting values and goals
Updated on Jan 14, 2023 to address comments by kithpendragon, Richard_Kennaway, DonyChristie, Kaj Sotala and others.
Introduction
Here are two reasonable sentences:
1) “The brain makes predictions.”
2) “Rituals teach us values.”
You will probably grant me ... |
08606c5c-4ace-4183-9d43-5e41a90bd949 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LessWrong Hamburg - Diet
Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Hamburg - Diet
WHEN: 29 August 2014 07:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: hamburg, germany, fehnweg 4
After some extended summer break we continue our LessWrong meetup on Friday, August 29th at Fehnweg 4, 22415 Hamburg The meetup will start around ... |
fd8fc248-a8c3-45d8-ac5c-8398e2bb48d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Guide to SB 1047
We now likely know the final form of California’s SB 1047.
There have been many changes to the bill as it worked its way to this point.
Many changes, including some that were just announced, I see as strict improvements.
Anthropic was behind many of the last set of amendments at the Appropriations ... |
6f2006bc-d7f8-4ec6-ac87-c01aec0501a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Yudkowsky's Abridged Guide to Intelligent Characters
Some of you have likely seen this already, but for those of you who haven't, Eliezer recently finished a series of Tumblr posts on writing intelligent characters in fiction. It can be found at http://yudkowsky.tumblr.com/writing and is IMO worth a read. |
dc1b1031-1878-4191-8b05-b1105496b26f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Why aren't you freaking out about OpenAI? At what point would you start?
[Yudkowsky writes](https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1446562238848847877):
>
> the "OpenAI" launch trashed humanity's chances of survival... Nobody involved with OpenAI's launch can reasonably have been said to have done anything else of... |
bcf202f4-6ceb-453f-8772-809e7ffb418f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on "Operation Make Less Wrong the single conversational locus", Month 1
About a month ago, Anna posted about the Importance of Less Wrong or Another Single Conversational Locus, followed shortly by Sarah Constantin's http://lesswrong.com/lw/o62/a_return_to_discussion/
There was a week or two of heavy-activit... |
f56a95ad-4541-4c48-9f22-5ae898c69fb0 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Hello! I'm a big fan of your work. Your perspectives on issues, while I may not always agree with them, are always insightful; thank you for helping make the world a more interesting place. I'm interested in learning Lisp and Vim, as it's been recommended many times by writers I find interesting. While I won't be able... |
e5a3ff39-d992-41b4-8fa7-4fdeff60bdf7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What’s the weirdest way to win this game?
You and three other people draw cards from a deck and hold them to your foreheads (so that everyone else can see your card, but you can't). You all guess the suits of your own cards simultaneously. You all win if *at least one* person guesses correctly.
You can all agree on a... |
ca187fd3-817a-4117-af7d-70d9316c4c69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stanovich, 'The Robot's Rebellion' (mini-review)
The jacket text for Keith Stanovich's The Robot's Rebellion sums up the book well:
> The idea that we might be robots is no longer the stuff of science fiction; decades of research in evolutionary biology and cognitive science have led many esteemed scientists to the c... |
c24c3571-c9d7-446e-bcf4-9c981ce2538e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Mindcrime
summary: 'Mindcrime' is [https://arbital.com/p/18k](https://arbital.com/p/18k)'s suggested term for the moral catastrophe that occurs if a [machine intelligence](https://arbital.com/p/2c) contains enormous numbers of [conscious beings trapped inside its code](https://arbital.com/p/18j).
This could happen a... |
036ead50-cae6-407d-9a44-15bb8501b510 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decoupling vs Contextualising Norms
One of the most common difficulties faced in discussions is when the parties involved have different beliefs as to what the scope of the discussion should be. In particular, John Nerst identifies two styles of conversation as follows :
* Decoupling norms: It is considered eminentl... |
3894f958-e15a-44b5-bc94-769d6acac918 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Values Form a Shifting Landscape (and why you might care)
Huge thanks to Veronika Žolnerčíková for drawing the pictures for this post. I am also grateful to the people who provided feedback on various versions of the text.
Comment on the epistemic status of this text: The model described here is oversimplified, but I... |
5cc5bf18-664e-4f4f-9c98-daf59eeff04c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The bullseye framework: My case against AI doom
Introduction:
I’ve written quite a few articles casting doubt on several aspects of the AI doom narrative. (I’ve starting archiving them on my substack for easier sharing). This article is my first attempt to link them together to form a connected argument for why I fin... |
45b8c303-8b71-4f15-a398-bb57379d474a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why abortion looks more okay to us than killing babies
Some thoughts that I don't remember anyone expressing on LW.
First let's get this out of the way: life does not "begin at birth". As far as life can be said to "begin" anywhen, it begins at conception. Moreover, the child's intellectual abilities, self-awareness ... |
b6255736-35be-4c7d-9439-1811ded6181c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Austin LW meetup notes: The FTX Affair
This article is a writeup of the conversation at a meetup hosted by Austin Less Wrong on Saturday, November 19, 2022. The topic was the collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange and its implications. There were a total of 28 participants, although people came and went throughou... |
6d9a6bd6-c1c9-46fb-9f8d-5adf0fdd7765 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Of pumpkins, the Falcon Heavy, and Groucho Marx: High-Level discourse structure in ChatGPT
Kevin Roose’s New York Times article, The Brilliance and Weirdness of ChatGPT, included an example in which Keith Wynroe prompted ChatGPT to explain AI Alignment in the manner of guy whose thoughts are distracted by his magnific... |
66a0c6e7-d3e3-422f-bfd4-56e10d7e1256 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | TSR #4 Value Producing Work
**This is part of a series of posts where I call out some ideas from the latest edition of The Strategic Review (written by Sebastian Marshall), and give some prompts and questions that I think people might find useful to answer. I include a summary of the most recent edition, but it's not ... |
900ba022-d5fb-408c-97bc-7004d16390f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Historic trends in transatlantic passenger travel
The speed of human travel across the Atlantic Ocean has seen at least seven discontinuities of more than ten years’ progress at past rates, two of which represented more than one hundred years’ progress at past rates: Columbus’ second journey, and the first non-stop tr... |
92ec12ce-6618-44f9-8586-c4aaf89bd678 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Munich Meetup in October
Discussion article for the meetup : Munich Meetup in October
WHEN: 29 October 2016 04:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Cafe Anna, Gabelsbergerstraße 69, Munich
Hello all, new month, new LW meeting. After the nice meeting last month we had an idea of discussing cognitive biases in conspiracy ... |
795c2efb-17d8-4572-b8e1-ac03782f504a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : RTLW (Durham), LOCATION CHANGED: Cognitive Load and Decision Fatigue, or, Can You Defrag Your Brain?
Discussion article for the meetup : RTLW (Durham), LOCATION CHANGED: Cognitive Load and Decision Fatigue, or, Can You Defrag Your Brain?
WHEN: 15 May 2014 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 2411 N. Roxboro St., Durh... |
068567df-0ff1-4bdc-8287-d89fc976a201 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Reframing superintelligence _ Eric Drexler _ EA Global - London 2018-by Centre for Effective Altruism-video_id MircoV5LKvg-date 20190314
# Eric Drexler Reframing Superintelligence - EA Forum
\_When people first began to discuss advanced artificial intelligence, existing AI was rudimentary at best, and we had to reply... |
9eef67da-f6c3-4a99-abe3-a4e7b1cda4af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, February 2011
We're getting late with these ...
This thread is for the discussion of Less Wrong topics that have not appeared in recent posts and are too short or inchoate even for a discussion post. If a discussion gets unwieldy, celebrate by turning it into a top-level post. |
8b5944ef-8976-4d06-ab78-f9c7cfbc69b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hearsay, Double Hearsay, and Bayesian Updates
Application of: How Much Evidence Does It Take?
(trigger warning: some description of domestic violence)
Summary: I discuss the strengths and weaknesses of one way that the American legal system tries to assess and cope with the unreliability of certain kinds of evidence... |
8c409a1a-d056-4e01-95e6-1b1f5ebc698e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Close the Gates to an Inhuman Future: How and why we should choose to not develop superhuman general-purpose artificial intelligence
This is a revised version of a paper I put out late last year (including a new table about capabilities lacking in current AI and how we might get them.)
Interested in reactions and pot... |
78b5e92a-1bd5-40cf-971d-f02a0079c0af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 3
Discussion article for the meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 3
WHEN: 02 March 2015 06:30:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: Paul G. Allen Center, 185 Stevens Way, Seattle, Washington 98195
Location is the UW CSE building, room 503. Facebook event: https://w... |
83448a9e-95db-4d95-87c9-4a2125620fd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where can I learn about algorithmic transformation of AI prompts?
TL;DR: How do you build a fancy chatbot like ChatGPT/Bard/etc from a plain LLM system, and how could I learn how to do this?
I'm trying to learn more about AI. Naturally, I need to actually play around with it and get my hands dirty, the same as I woul... |
ed51279b-b17e-4265-9be6-b990ab751446 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Is "brittle alignment" good enough?
I'm new here, so I apologize if this is a common question, or if I'm using the wrong terms, or the wrong framework for approaching this. I also apologize if this post is badly structured. When I talk about alignment, it feels like so many of the ideas have rapidly branching dependen... |
c6658d5d-5160-408d-95c5-32017ac9b465 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hidden universal expansion: stopping runaways
We have a new paper out, presenting the 'aestivation hypothesis'. It's another attempt to reconcile the fact that cosmic expansion seems very easy, yet we see no trace of any alien group doing it.
The idea is that civilizations expand rapidly, but then 'go to sleep', whil... |
9faaa68c-d673-4f1f-b640-dd635e6afdd3 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1877
(Thanks to Ajeya Cotra and Ryan Greenblatt for comments.) I’m pretty interested in adversarial training as an ingredient in alignment schemes. The basic setup for adversarial training is that instead of your AI being trained on rewards on random episodes, it’s trained on rewards from episodes that are som... |
f14d39e9-acfe-4d22-8b4f-81a255f557ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moral Robots: Making sense of robot ethics. News aggregator
|
a3c203a4-fc5f-4a30-aec7-9b34eb9d7340 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Safety Strategy - A new organization for better timelines
Very few organizations are focused on AI Strategy. This will be a mix between governance, onboarding, and alignment plans. The goal is to assemble a team who can navigate the path of all three of these, finding optimal ways to steer forward in the coming yea... |
5aca23f9-cc67-4225-8996-e40c9cef371e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Shorter version of report on existential risk from power-seeking AI
I've edited my report on existential risk from power-seeking AI into a shorter version (less than half the length), available here. The shorter version is forthcoming in "Essays on Longtermism," from Oxford University Press, edited by Jacob... |
711230bd-a1d4-45b7-97dc-32f14a6f981b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can we secure more research positions at our universities for x-risk researchers?
Has anyone had experience with this? Is anyone working on this?
Reading this and this give me reason to think that it could be more impactful for some x-risk researchers to have research positions at universities.
However:
* Univ... |
db9f9c3e-4aea-4c6d-931f-9e55fe9b2f9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Language models can generate superior text compared to their input
There’s a frequent misconception that assumes that a large language model will never achieve superhuman text creation ability because such models try to create texts that are maximally unsurprising. This article will explain why that assumption is wron... |
103ac639-f277-492e-be02-49ced1a95571 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Not convinced? Explore the arguments.
You’ve heard about existential risks from AI, but you’re not convinced. Maybe you think that AGI is far-off or downright impossible, that misaligned AGI wouldn’t pose a major threat, or that alignment is easy. Maybe you think worries about existential risk distract from AI’s more ... |
4383a43d-6db4-4d02-9f27-9276fb56ab3b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Algorithms for Verifying Deep Neural Networks
Algorithms for Verifying Deep Neural Networks
Changliu Liu
Carnegie Mellon University
cliu6@andrew.cmu.eduTomer Arnon
Stanford University
tarnon@stanford.eduChristopher Lazarus
Stanford University
clazarus@stanford.edu
Christopher Strong
Stanford University
castrong@stanfo... |
fc193bcd-860a-4c25-b616-12a51d0d05f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Power vs Precision
I've written a couple of posts (1,2) about General Semantics and precision (IE, non-equivocation). These posts basically argue for developing superpowers of precision. In addition, I suspect there are far more pro-precision posts on LessWrong than the opposite (although most of these would be about ... |
6b61b479-2e16-4629-8181-66aa29d9254f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Flip Flops, part 1 of ∞
> When they change their minds it’s called “flip flopping”, when we do it it’s called “updating on evidence”.
As a rationalist, it bugs me to no end that changing one’s mind is considered a sin for politicians when it should count as a great virtue for everyone. I don’t know if it helped or hu... |
b0260eaa-e04c-47e6-b415-6650e5dac9c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Evidence of Fabricated Data in a Vitamin C trial by Paul E Marik et al in CHEST
Link:
* This Scattrd Corn: Evidence of Fabricated Data in a Vitamin C trial by Paul E Marik et al in CHEST
The trial paper:
* Hydrocortisone, Vitamin C, and Thiamine for the Treatment of Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock - CHEST
... |
6f8f45df-aa5b-411c-b836-c789daa4471e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Link: Paul Graham on intelligence vs determination
Paul Graham of Y-Combinator on picking winners-at-life:
Paul Graham spills: Why some companies get his cash and others don't
> What's most essential for a successful startup?
> The founders. We've learned in the six years of doing Y Combinator to look at the founders... |
9f214793-a50a-4fa4-9e2c-f1e536cfc0cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | That cat: not dead and alive
I've read through the Quantum Physics sequence and feel that I managed to understand most of it. But now it seems to me that the Double Slit and Schrodinger's cat experiments are not described quite correctly. So I'd like to try to re-state them and see if anybody can correct any misunders... |
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