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2f41dad0-19b6-4a54-ad05-1c12874f674a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Backwards View for Assessment
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Ross D. Shachter .Hld Davrd E. Heckerman
Stanford L. r11 versity
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'vluch aruficral Intelligence research focuses on the problem of deducrng the validit... |
0ac1efbd-ffd7-49bf-945e-d1782d89a4f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 248 Eliciting Latent Knowledge 2
hello and welcome to session 248
in the ai safety.com reading group
tonight we'll be continuing with
eliciting latent knowledge how to tell
if your eyes deceive you
this is still the first work of the
alignment research center by paul
cruziano ayakotra and maksu
and we are at this par... |
c79af677-dc2e-460b-8018-262d2b44bc9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Making Connections with ChatGPT: The Macksey Game
Cross-posted from New Savanna.
In my most recent piece for 3 Quarks Daily, Western Metaphysics is Imploding. Will We Raise a Phoenix from The Ashes? [Catalytic AI], I introduce what I’ve called The Macksey Game, named after my undergraduate teacher and mentor, Dick M... |
faa411fd-6f9c-4a71-9c7a-40054f5a1a57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #72: Denying the Future
The Future. It is coming.
A surprising number of economists deny this when it comes to AI. Not only do they deny the future that lies in the future. They also deny the future that is here, but which is unevenly distributed. Their predictions and projections do not factor in even what the AI... |
a3ce3ff6-d820-4420-afcc-3b5f91d26f0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Moral progress" vs. the simple passage of time
In Future-Proof Ethics, I talked about trying to "consistently [make] ethical decisions that look better, with hindsight after a great deal of moral progress, than what our peer-trained intuitions tell us to do."
I cited Kwame Anthony Appiah's comment that "common-sense... |
a7b17839-b646-4e0a-b4de-dbbf5b599b8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Formalizing Alignment
I just saw Jan Kulveit's Announcement of the Alignment of Complex Systems Research Group, and was very excited to see other people in the Alignment Space noticing a need for a formal theory of alignment of agents arranged in a hierarchy. I also think formalizing how agents can work together to cr... |
85f7cd41-b2cb-404d-a336-c3ffe8073a56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactuals are an Answer, Not a Question
I'm going to subtly contradict my last post on logical counterfactuals. I now think that raw or actually-consistent counterfactuals are just an especially useful model of what counterfactuals are as opposed to the be all and end all.
An Old Classic
You may have heard thi... |
4fd172e9-2eaa-4a94-b350-1f3558a931e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | “Cheating Death in Damascus” Solution to the Fermi Paradox
TL;DR: The Great Filter from the Fermi paradox could be escaped by choosing a random strategy. However, if all civilizations acted randomly, this could be the actual cause of the Fermi paradox. Using a meta-random strategy solves this.
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"Death in Damasc... |
05fe84d5-164a-46f6-9d9c-93244d12a1cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Watermarks: Signing, Branding, and Boobytrapping
This post is motivated by a popular conflation in the context of AI generation (such as the recent WSJ article about detecting "cheating") but this is applicable more generally.
There are many ways of marking ownership/provenance of a particular work, text, images, or... |
114f4eb5-a004-4b3e-9905-af5b16f6306f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causal inference for the home gardener
Note: This is meant to be an accessible introduction to causal inference. Comments appreciated.
Let’s say you buy a basil plant and put it on the counter in your kitchen. Unfortunately, it dies in a week.
So the next week you buy another basil plant and feed it a special powder... |
754c2b6e-0382-4ff0-a550-b193b72debc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why don't singularitarians bet on the creation of AGI by buying stocks?
With the recent stock market sale, I've been looking over stocks to see which seem to be worth buying. (As background information, I'm buying stocks to have fun and bet my beliefs. If you believe in the efficient market hypothesis, buying stocks a... |
5a28c4b1-9dad-477a-9843-14fc05d568e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ACI #3: The Origin of Goals and Utility
Goal and Utility are central ideas in the rational agent approach of AI, in which the meaning of intelligence is to achieve goals or, more explicitly, to maximize expected utility.
What goal or utility function should an AI choose? This question is meaningless in the rational ... |
d57c80f7-7f5c-4589-a2d8-d40cb0dfb1b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Australian-ish Online Hangout July
Discussion article for the meetup : Australian-ish Online Hangout July
WHEN: 16 July 2016 07:30:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: Canberra ACT
EDIT: Changed the day to Saturday. https://www.facebook.com/events/281081835576888/
Hey guys, I’ve dropped the ball on these but it’s back! Te... |
e20abce7-49e7-4e2d-bea6-6a64f2028f8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham NC/Triangle Area: Cognitive Biases and Where to Find Them + games!
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham NC/Triangle Area: Cognitive Biases and Where to Find Them + games!
WHEN: 29 August 2013 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 420 West Geer St., Durham NC 27701
We'll do a minidiscussion on cognitive bi... |
a73a9ba7-9657-4677-b392-891dddc105c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memory is Everything
I have found (there is some (evidence)[http://mentalfloss.com/article/52586/why-do-our-best-ideas-come-us-shower] to suggest this) that showers are a great place to think. While I am taking a shower I find that I can think about things in a whole new perspective and it's very refreshing. Well tod... |
dd8cbf5a-bfce-4d3b-9993-54db5db4e1cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distinctions in Types of Thought
Epistemic status: speculative
For a while, I’ve had the intuition that current machine learning techniques, though powerful and useful, are simply not touching some of the functions of the human mind. But before I can really get at how to justify that intuition, I would have to start ... |
41f28449-aa4a-4a9e-8c07-b6a07325cba3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Video: What is Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality
So a friend of mine took over running MALcon in Denver this year. She asked me to do a presentation on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. I said ok and put together the following little talk. It's about 25 minutes. I tried to cover what rationality i... |
a1a343d8-e379-487b-bd9d-780246a4b57f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | (Structural) Stability of Coupled Optimizers
*This post is part of my* [*hypothesis subspace*](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/H3xEgE7bPGKvucfQk) *sequence, a living collection of proposals I'm exploring at* [*Refine.*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5uiQkyKdejX3aEHLM/how-to-diversify-conceptual-alignment-the-model-behin... |
8aaf9d40-8ce5-4865-8352-c5faf8d03194 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Ego, Reincarnation, Consciousness and The Universe
(Note, I am not actually sure that this post fits in very well around here. I wrote this for my personal site, sort of intended for a different audience and I'm probably retreading old ground. Let me know if this is out of place.)
I posit that there is no rea... |
8b15461e-c12c-4eb1-9d7b-c6b59c23b97f | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Custers & Aarts have a paper in the July 2 Science called "The Unconscious Will: How the pursuit of goals operates outside of conscious awareness". It reviews work indicating that people's brains make decisions and set goals without the brains' "owners" ever being consciously aware of them.
A famous early study is Lib... |
2d675870-8440-42d8-a636-aca4ca990669 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Less Wrong and non-native English speakers
Hello Less Wrongers.
I'm still relatively new to the LW community, but I would like to share with you a few comments and ideas for making LW a better place for non-native English speakers.
There are two classes of people among non-native English speakers (of course, those b... |
da943a3a-7796-4957-82a2-bb7f79dfe46b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality, Cryonics and Pascal's Wager
This has been covered by Eliezer on OB, but I the debate will work better with the LW voted commenting system, and I hope I can add something to the OB debate, which I feel left the spectre of Pascalian religious apology clinically dead but not quite information theoretically d... |
dfd459ea-26ce-42d9-b0a0-9481c62eee08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Discussion] How Broad is the Human Cognitive Spectrum?
Epistemic Status
Discussion question.
Related Posts
* Where The Falling Einstein Meets The Rising Mouse (Slatestarcodex)
* The range of human intelligence (AI Impacts)
Preamble: Why Does This Matter?
This question is important for building intuitions ... |
07a66083-37c1-45d4-b9aa-2c4649a59591 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is going on in the world?
Here’s a list of alternative high level narratives about what is importantly going on in the world—the central plot, as it were—for the purpose of thinking about what role in a plot to take:
* The US is falling apart rapidly (on the scale of years), as evident in US politics departing ... |
6412d735-d8d6-44a2-99db-af2ca8649948 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Future of Humanity Institute is hiring a project manager
https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/project-manager/
Applications are invited for a full-time Research Project Manager with the Future of Humanity Institute (FHI) at the University of Oxford. The post is fixed-term for 18 months from the date of appointment.
Reportin... |
04c3db2c-4d6b-406c-8ea2-05caaabb9449 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | JSTOR gives public access to pre-1870 publications
JSTOR is a massive online archive of academic journals, virtually all of which were behind a subscription wall. (JSTOR's been quite arbitrary about locking up its content; some of the papers it hosts are available at no cost elsewhere. For example, these papers from t... |
eb14253b-76b6-44e5-b74d-cf8dd5c4e8b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humble Charlie
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61cd5e0f-ef0d-490e-ad2e-653fadd8e49d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prosocial manipulation
There is an axis of social calculativeness: whether your speech and social actions were carefully designed for particular outcomes, versus being instinctive responses to the situation.
This is related to an axis of honesty: whether your words represent your actual state. I suppose because the w... |
54dcb08b-50ef-491a-8dbb-893e02920509 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s December 2013 Newsletter
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[Machine Intelligence Research Institute](http://intelligence.org)
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| Dear friends,We’re still experimenting with our new, ultra-brief newsletter style. Please tell us what you think of it, by rep... |
cd94fc1b-4426-418a-bce2-ca31d049b316 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to get mRNA after J&J
The viral vector vaccines (J&J, AstraZeneca) are much better than nothing, even against Delta. But they're also substantially worse than what you get from the mRNA ones (Pfizer and Moderna), especially the single-shot J&J (study, NYT). People who got J&J could likely benefit from an mRNA shot... |
bef80357-09d6-41d0-a625-1b14e2a217ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Error and Terror: Are We Worrying about the Wrong Risks?
I would be happy to get feedback on this article, originally posted by the IEET:
When people worry about the dark side of emerging technologies, most think of terrorists or lone psychopaths with a death wish for humanity. Some future Ted Kaczynski might acqu... |
01385c63-f497-4b23-8b26-a988c93bd216 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread: March 2009
Here is our monthly place to discuss Less Wrong topics that have not appeared in recent posts. |
baca0739-e301-4903-9003-36c7a28054c7 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1749
This post is primarily an excerpt from “ Acceptability Verification: a Research Agenda ” that I think is useful enough on its own such that I’ve spun it off into its own post. The central idea of this section in the original agenda document is to understand the necessary desiderata for doing precursor che... |
a8886d52-d1e5-4149-bdc6-b52a5f3f8de3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Co-operative Utilitarianism
Donald Regan's masterful (1980) Utilitarianism and Co-operation raises a problem for traditional moral theories, which conceive of agents as choosing between external options like 'push' or 'not-push' (options that are specifiable independently of the motive from which they are performed). ... |
dfec444b-ed58-41fa-9534-94bfd4af977f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are AI timelines?
In AI forecasting, the term "AI timelines" is used informally to refer to the [predicted amount of time](/?state=5633&question=When%20do%20experts%20think%20human-level%20AI%20will%20be%20created%3F) until AI reaches a particular milestone, such as [artificial general intelligence](/?state=2374&... |
7ed0d9e4-1d02-4080-af32-4b8bd559ec4c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Benefits of "micro-tracking" for personal health measurements?
I'm interested in understanding the benefits of what I call "micro-tracking" for their health: tracking information such as diet, heart rate, exercise routine, etc. at a granularity finer than a day.
Starting last year, and likely expanding further into t... |
dadd57a5-6d97-4910-a20e-73f68dd4ee1f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four Types of Disagreement
Epistemic status: a model I find helpful to make sense of disagreements and, sometimes, resolve them.
Update: I should mention that this model is loosely based on things I've read elsewhere. There are many sources dividing "types of claims" into facts, values and policy. I'm not sure where ... |
77a501d7-0219-4803-8c3c-9ff7507f1e42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to type Aleksander Mądry's last name in LaTeX
1. Type “Madry”.
2. Realize that the a has a little tail that you need to include.
3. That’s a feature of the Polish alphabet called an ogonek.
4. You type it in LaTeX like so: M\k{a}dry.
5. You get the error “Command \k unavailable in encoding OT1”.
6. That’s be... |
da0a0f66-567e-45d7-ba00-c15e0a84e952 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Did AI pioneers not worry much about AI risks?
It's seems noteworthy just how little the AI pioneers from the 40s-80s seemed to care about AI risk. There is no obvious reason why a book like "Superintelligence" wasn't written in the 1950s, but for some reason that didn't happen... any thoughts on why this was the case... |
3b11801b-16a6-4c65-a2ce-5709cf513702 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #58] Mesa optimization: what it is, and why we should care
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxp... |
2a7c3776-9d12-4832-ac20-2536aa63b7f8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Modal logic
Modal logic is a [https://arbital.com/p/formal_system](https://arbital.com/p/formal_system) in which we expand [https://arbital.com/p/-propositional_calculus](https://arbital.com/p/-propositional_calculus) with two new operators meant to represent necessity ($\square$) and possibility ($\diamond$).%%note:T... |
86b6bb6a-9213-40a8-bb93-7a85b71e66c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Fun and Games
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Fun and Games
WHEN: 09 November 2015 06:15:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 1597 Howard St. San Francisco, CA
We'll be meeting to hang out and play games! Please bring your own games: I have Dominion, Ticket to Ride, and Avalo... |
e0127aa6-8103-41f4-b014-12db61ecd60e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wiki edits by spambots
We seem to have at least one bot editing the Less Wrong Wiki. Is this something that could easily be fixed by instituting a karma requirement for wiki editing? |
813ad44c-b198-4dee-81df-affb90503658 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting Frontier Language Model Agent Capabilities
This work was done as part of the MATS Program - Summer 2024 Cohort.
Paper: link
Website (with interactive version of Figure 1): link
Executive summary
Figure 1: Low-Elicitation and High-Elicitation forecasts for LM agent performance on SWE-Bench, Cybench, ... |
ce2b91a5-a7f4-425c-8354-1c78b351c422 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Proposal for AI Alignment: Using Directly Opposing Models
The following text proposes a potential solution to the AI alignment problem. I am sharing it here as I have not come across any major issues with the proposed approach, such as those faced by the AI Stop button or the unworkable schemes outlined in the AGI R... |
e1d74044-6364-4842-90b0-4afb19e2b682 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Do AI companies make their safety researchers sign a non-disparagement clause?
Among AI companies that employ AI alignment/policy researchers (e.g. DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, Conjecture), which companies make such researchers sign a non-disparagement clause?
Also, what are the details of such non-disparagement cla... |
08934a26-9f08-44a6-8bc0-b27bc8318330 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The peril of ignoring emotions
Related to: Luminosity Sequence, Unknown Knowns,
Let me introduce you to a hypothetical high school student, Sally. She’s smart and pretty and outgoing, and so are her friends. She considers herself a modern woman, sexually liberated, and this is in line with the lifestyle her friends ... |
0330de61-fde8-4e37-a7e0-02e215ffff6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rules for Epistemic Warfare?
In partisan contests of various forms, dishonesty, polarization, and groupthink are widespread. Political warfare creates societal collateral damage: it makes it harder for individuals to arrive at true beliefs on many subjects, because their social networks provide strong incentive to pro... |
824707ec-9334-4382-af9a-d31cd7331b2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EPF Lausanne, ML related MSc programs
By Kyle Matoba
This article is part of a series of articles on different European master's programs related to artificial intelligence and machine learning.
Let me preface this writeup by saying that I did not do a master’s degree at EPFL and unfortunately, I have no special ins... |
18ff31e5-8d0d-4049-9933-bbc3a948db22 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Sequential Extensions of Causal and Evidential Decision Theory
1 Introduction
---------------
In artificial-intelligence problems
an agent interacts sequentially with an environment
by taking actions and receiving percepts [[RN10](#bib.bibx16)].
This model is *dualistic*:
the agent is distinct from the environment.... |
a8141810-a945-4ac9-834a-86cd6592516b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Geoffrey Miller on Research and Politics in Psychology
Part 2 of our conversation with Dr. Miller.
Topics include:
1. Why did psych departments hire social psychologists in the sixties?
2. What do romance novels know that psych departments don't?
3. Why don't psych departments seem to produce useful knowledge in p... |
3fe883d6-ce64-46b9-9504-6c5ddd739faa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Optimism, Hope, and Trust
This post examines the virtues of hope, optimism, and trust. It is meant mostly as an exploration of what other people have learned about these virtues, rather than as me expressing my own opinions about them, though I’ve been selective about what I found interesting or credible, acc... |
3b5e8165-6d97-414b-b9d6-272e2ab7cb68 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advice in fighting depression?
My girlfriend suffers serious depression. She has sleep disorder, anorexia, chronic pain, problems to concentrate, low selfesteem, daily low mood, listlessness and is very indecisive. On the other side she considers herself very happy apart from the "depression periods" and we have a gre... |
f8e20a69-d3db-4ea3-8bf5-760b93d483a3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Plausibly, almost every powerful algorithm would be manipulative
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; ... |
25f519a3-9829-40dd-95b9-ae68e189a422 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | We Ran an AI Timelines Retreat
**TL;DR:**
----------
UCLA EA ran an AI timelines retreat for community members interested in pursuing AI safety as a career. Attendees sought to form inside views on the future of AI based on an object-level analysis of current AI capabilities.
We highly recommend other university gro... |
16a02769-1adb-4a2d-93f7-239cb0079edd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Why I Moved from AI to Neuroscience, or: Uploading Worms
This post is shameless self-promotion, but I'm told that's probably okay in the Discussion section. For context, as [some of you are aware](/lw/88g/whole_brain_emulation_looking_at_progress_on_c/54l6), I'm aiming to model C. elegans based on systematic high-thro... |
564260c7-7668-4770-be0d-47994c655a1f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Useful Habits Repository
Repositories are awesome, and we should have more of them.
I recently completed BJ Fogg's Tiny Habits, and it's a pretty lightweight way to install new habits (recommended). However, I realized I could use a better repository of useful habits.
So, please use this thread to suggest habits tha... |
5230a7de-eab7-4ddf-b7ce-8a2b08d45a7d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Abbots Bromley Horn Dance History
If you see the Abbots Bromley horn dance performed in the US (Revels, Pinewoods, etc) it typically looks something like:
(youtube)
Note the serious and mildly "spooky" setting, and the use of Robinson's tune.
Compare to how it's done in Abbots Bromley itself:
(youtube)
Note t... |
48786f7a-7e61-4051-8403-78f04a6bafbf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | For ELK truth is mostly a distraction
Epistemic Status: Pretty confident in the central conclusions, and very confident in the supporting claims from meta-logic. Any low confidence conclusions are presented as such. NB: I give an intentionally revisionary reading of what ELK is (or should be) about. Accordingly, I ass... |
947b1576-df4c-407e-a53d-a36dfad845d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modelling Model Comparisons
Define a model as a set of objects and their relationships. For example, when discussing a model of music, "notes" would be the objects and a possible relationship would be "harmony". [Technically, the objects would be (frequency, volume, time), and from their you could define the relations... |
6f6c3e37-eb16-4d06-ab93-f7c49eb4b107 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Integral vs differential ethics, continued
I've talked earlier about integral and differential ethics, in the context of population ethics. The idea is that the argument for the repugnant conclusion (and its associate, the very repugnant conclusion) is dependent on a series of trillions of steps, each of which are int... |
20c5e05d-0d0b-4249-93e3-d205f16005fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Voting Results for the 2023 Review
The votes are in for the 2023 Review!
6,264 posts were written in 2023
662 of them were nominated.
209 of them got at least one review, and a positive review-vote total.
50 of them shall be displayed in the Best of LessWrong, Year 2023.
Reviews
Exactly 100 people wrote reviews,... |
66ef5ef9-281a-42de-b939-68325adc5d4f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | "The Bitter Lesson", an article about compute vs human knowledge in AI
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: no... |
aeaf35ff-0018-447f-a71a-d81c05a44d8f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Theoretical tools for understanding and aiding dynamic decision making
This paper includes a very handy review of theoretical tools that help with dynamic decision-making:
> Dynamic decisions arise in many applications including military, medical, management, sports, and emergency situations. During the past 50 years... |
a6bdc42f-2a98-4bae-9315-230e1e7a60c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Article review] Artificial Intelligence, Values, and Alignment
In January, DeepMind released a paper by Iason Gabriel called Artificial Intelligence, Values, and Alignment (author’s summary here; Rohin Shah's summary here). Here’s the abstract:
> This paper looks at philosophical questions that arise in the context ... |
5acce60e-ba0b-4fa3-a7df-03fa15d4b0cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : MIRIx Tel-Aviv
Discussion article for the meetup : MIRIx Tel-Aviv
WHEN: 18 July 2014 09:00:00AM (+0300)
WHERE: Tel Aviv Makers Insurgence, Studio 106 (Third Floor), 45 Kibbutz Galuyot Street, Tel-Aviv, Israel
We will be holding a MIRIx workshop on July 18th, 2014, at the Tel-Aviv Makers Insurgence. If you'... |
a274d634-9501-4286-b14d-8945f11c4830 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetup: Turku
This summary was posted to LW Main on October 9th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Lund: 19 October 2015 06:00PM
* Stockholm: 15 October 2015 03:00PM
* Suzhou Meet-up: 28 October 2015 07:35PM
* Turku Meetup ... |
f6be56d6-9ca7-4783-95a7-99040cd7371b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Roadmap for Robust End-to-End Alignment
1 Introduction
---------------
As they are becoming more capable and ubiquitous, algorithms are raising numerous concerns, including fairness, privacy, filter bubbles, addiction, job displacement or even existential risks [[74](#bib.bib74), [85](#bib.bib85)]. It has been ar... |
8a7068d3-8e9c-4621-9a39-89ef1f7ba82e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Free Tutoring in Math/Programming
I enjoy teaching, and I'd like to do my bit for the Less Wrong community. I've tutored a few people on the #lesswrong IRC channel in freenode without causing permanent brain damage. Hence I'm extending my offer of free tutoring from #lesswrong to lesswrong.com.
I offer tutoring in th... |
bf2f67fd-6c87-4b07-8b0c-0fb748e7dddd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deceptive AI ≠ Deceptively-aligned AI
Tl;dr: A “deceptively-aligned AI” is different from (and much more specific than) a “deceptive AI”. I think this is well-known and uncontroversial among AI Alignment experts, but I see people getting confused about it sometimes, so this post is a brief explanation of how they diff... |
ff00baef-c1a9-4256-98ce-e9932d68482e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Character alignment
When I introspect on why I do not kill more people, I find it has not very much to do with my goals. Mostly my goals would not be furthered by murder and some goals, like staying out of prison would be endangered, but if I just took the option seriously it wouldn't surprise me if murder would occas... |
e24e3fbd-c150-48a2-bf96-b3b20308d3a2 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Optimism bias is well-known. Here are some examples. It's conventional to answer the question "How are you doing?" with "well", regardless of how you're actually doing. Why?
People often believe that it's inherently good to be happy, rather than thinking that their happiness level should track the actual state of affa... |
4ce7841a-72e0-46da-a746-1910239a972c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Science, Engineering, and Uncoolness; Here and Now, Then and There
[Feel free to read this poor little unrigorous and unsourced post in JK Simmons' voice. That is entirely optional and you are of course free to read it in any voice you like; I only thought it might be interesting in the light of what is mentioned in t... |
eb656aa4-5c64-44cd-82d9-705fad5e8db8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Another way our brains betray us
This appeared in the news yesterday.
http://www.alternet.org/media/most-depressing-discovery-about-brain-ever?paging=off
> It turns out that in the public realm, a lack of information isn’t the real problem. The hurdle is how our minds work, no matter how smart we think we are. We wa... |
661fda2f-baec-4976-b544-d96ab4e18755 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | After uploading your consciousness...
Imagine in the future, there is a technique that can upload your consciousness to a new container, either a biological body or digital space. Once we think of this scenario, we always feel that we are switched to a new body with our mind unchanged. I don't know the best possible w... |
df475c45-357c-414b-a4e1-5c2715b94ebc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Explaining Impact Markets
Let’s say you’re a billionaire. You want to have a flibbleflop, so you post a prize:
> Make a working flibbleflop — $1 billion.
There begins a global effort to build working flibbleflops, and you see some teams of brilliant people starting to work on flibbleflop engineering. But it doesn’t ... |
6e4ab4c5-582b-41de-8580-d53d35885882 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How do we align humans and what does it mean for the new Conjecture's strategy
*Divide and conquer*
Roman maxim (maybe[[1]](#fneen67lrkfai))
*Democracy is the worst form of Government except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.*
Winston Churchill
Introduction
============
Recent... |
bdc6d247-8a59-4082-97db-0037454802be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A Critique of AI Takeover Scenarios
**Introduction**
----------------
In this article I will provide a brief critique of the way an ‘AI takeover scenario’ is typically presented in EA discourse. I originally wanted this piece to be more comprehensive, but owing to time constraints I have focused on three recent artic... |
273a2826-e0b3-42b1-80e4-49b3653396b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Faith and Fate: Limits of Transformers on Compositionality
I thought it'd be especially interesting to get critiques/discussion from the LW crowd, because the claims here seem antithetical to a lot of the beliefs people here have, mostly around just how capable and cognizant transformers are/can be.
The au... |
aa8969cf-87b1-4f6a-8ba8-6d2f95e762de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knowledge, manipulation, and free will
Thanks to Rebecca Gorman for co-developing this idea
On the 26th of September 1983, Stanislav Petrov observed the early warning satellites reporting the launch of five nuclear missiles towards the Soviet Union. He decided to disobey orders and not pass on the message to higher c... |
fc948ee9-aab1-418b-ac1c-6ddd8b88e8d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Alignment Newsletter #9: 06/04/18
Highlights
Playing hard exploration games by watching YouTube (Yusuf Aytar, Tobias Pfaff et al): There are many YouTube videos demonstrating how to play levels of eg. Montezuma's Revenge. Can we use these demonstrations to solve the hard exploration tasks in Atari? One challenge i... |
349e5d74-c945-4a0f-8f11-9ae577f8492f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Sign homomorphism (from the symmetric group)
The sign [homomorphism](https://arbital.com/p/47t) is given by sending a permutation $\sigma$ in the [https://arbital.com/p/-497](https://arbital.com/p/-497) $S_n$ to $0$ if we can make $\sigma$ by multiplying together an even number of [transpositions](https://arbital.com/... |
8c6d9072-fbb2-46ea-bd23-33d2c7edfa1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to Oxford University Rationality Community
Once per term or so we have a big event, like a talk on noticing confusion, a double crux workshop, or a discussion about common knowledge.
[Will write more here later.] |
3a3bbeaf-dd05-4f18-8fb9-3fc5206681e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to LW Philadelphia
biweekly meetings downtown
google group / mailing list |
d1fc0b17-8bed-4e61-b335-f060ef7700a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self compassion
Imagine a time when you were feeling guilt-wracked. Maybe a time you hurt a friend badly. Maybe a time you tried to do get some important work done, and found you couldn't, and this kicked off a failure spiral leading to a deep depression. Maybe some other time: the important thing is to load into memo... |
fe7fc45f-9d31-4824-abeb-21fa8710ec28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #111: Giving Us Pause
Events in AI don’t stop merely because of a trade war, partially paused or otherwise.
Indeed, the decision to not restrict export of H20 chips to China could end up being one of the most important government actions that happened this week. A lot of people are quite boggled about how America ... |
ef04211d-3631-48bd-a7cc-4e74cdcb9ee8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Ghosts in the Machine
Today's post, Ghosts in the Machine was originally published on 17 June 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> There is a way of thinking about programming a computer that conforms well to human intuitions: telling the computer what to do. The problem is that the computer isn... |
06b6ca85-55df-4845-8d81-8db58e6e8000 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Test meetup please ignore
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore
WHEN: 27 March 2017 11:18:40AM (-0700)
WHERE: antartica
sorry
Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore |
ca8a0839-7e16-4e39-bda8-836c36c60487 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning Written Hindi From Scratch
An exercise to learn written Hindi just from written text. I did this a year ago and copied this from my notes. Sorry if it's a bit rough.
I recently had a discussion with an Indian friend in my dorm about languages. He made the argument that logographic languages like Chinese are ... |
b23813f7-27ed-414e-8db9-ec34a7cc9e1f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reducing the risk of catastrophically misaligned AI by avoiding the Singleton scenario: the Manyton Variant
This post does not try to add to the discussion about aligning an AGI/ASI to all human values but will rather focus on a smaller, arguably fundamental, subset of human values: prosocial behaviour.
(Note: with m... |
ff7768e4-4a2c-4e16-886e-b740cb608470 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Counterfactual Induction
One of the first attempts at defining counterfactuals was the conjecture that .mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; wor... |
b0312010-434f-48ca-a9ba-088248d759a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Passages I Highlighted in The Letters of J.R.R.Tolkien
All quotes, unless otherwise marked, are Tolkien's words as printed in The Letters of J.R.R.Tolkien: Revised and Expanded Edition. All emphases mine.
Machinery is Power is Evil
Writing to his son Michael in the RAF:
> [here is] the tragedy and despair of all ma... |
8c717d62-4970-4405-adaf-3465450ffbba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Crypto 'oracle protocols' for AI alignment with real-world data?
Quick question re. the intersection of EA, AI, and crypto:
Apart from the concept of an '[AI Oracle](https://nickbostrom.com/papers/oracle.pdf)' (from Nick Bostrom), has anyone in EA written about a quite different kind of oracle: [oracle protocols](h... |
a1fd3474-4df5-42dc-819e-4d00eb959383 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can you escape Heat Death with MWI?
The universe is running down - there are only so many sources of negentropy that can be used for the work of life and intelligence. But thermodynamics is a statistical process, an average of a great many small processes. The standard model of MWI makes a certain hash of statistics -... |
5a8d868c-f60b-467f-8238-8d1e9dccb2d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How far is AGI?
The ability to complete sequences is equivalent to prediction. The way GPT-3 completes sequences is it that it predicts what the next token will be and then it outputs the prediction. You can use the same model on images.
In general, the agent, based on all of its input data up to some point, tries to... |
56755ec0-e664-4395-90c7-04c02802093b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Response to "What does the universal prior actually look like?"
These are my thoughts on [this](https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2016/11/30/what-does-the-universal-prior-actually-look-like/) post of Paul Christiano. I claim "malign" models do not form the bulk of the Solomonoff prior.
> Suppose that we use the un... |
f5ab521a-bcb3-4652-9578-6a213f71ea0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contaminated by Optimism
Followup to: Anthropomorphic Optimism, The Hidden Complexity of Wishes
Yesterday, I reprised in further detail The Tragedy of Group Selectionism, in which early biologists believed that predators would voluntarily restrain their breeding to avoid exhausting the prey population; the given excu... |
37198470-3f5a-4d97-a99d-eb8c9a2587ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Old post/writing on optimization daemons?
I'm having trouble locating an old post about optimization daemons that I know I read at one point. I believe it was written by Eliezer. It featured a lot of visual imagery of the daemon steering the path of the model through parameter-space by e.g. forcing it through narrow p... |
46c157dc-f26b-40ff-bd4c-00aec799bc1e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attainable Utility Preservation: Concepts
Appendix: No free impact
What if we want the agent to single-handedly ensure the future is stable and aligned with our values? AUP probably won’t allow policies which actually accomplish this goal – one needs power to e.g. nip unaligned superintelligences in the bud. AUP aims ... |
515ffc94-aa37-4205-9cee-31e253438bff | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Etzioni 2016 survey
Oren Etzioni surveyed 193 AAAI fellows in 2016 and found that 67% of them expected that ‘we will achieve Superintelligence’ someday, but in more than 25 years.
Details
=======
Oren Etzioni, CEO of the Allen Institute for AI,[1](https://aiimpacts.org/etzioni-2016-survey/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-... |
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