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27c3c511-c6d8-4e9e-b716-338dc54e39a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Thermodynamics of Death
by M.C. Price [Editor: This article is reprinted from Extropy #6, Summer 1990. Extropy was published by The Extropy institute]
First this little planet with its winds and ways, and then all the laws of mind and matter that restrain him. Then the planets about him, and at last out acros... |
8e9e412e-b5aa-48dd-806e-fc916059ca3d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Automating reasoning about the future at Ought
Ought’s [mission](https://ought.org/mission) is to automate and scale open-ended reasoning. Since wrapping up [factored evaluation experiments](https://ought.org/updates/2020-01-11-arguments) at the end of 2019, Ought has built [Elicit](http://elicit.org/) to automate the... |
cea058ca-fa99-41f7-8dcb-f1d51bd94f99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's the status of TDCS for improving intelligence?
I recently heard about transcranial direct current stimulation as a technology for improving memory and attention, and I thought it sounded like a great area to attempt some munchkin activity.
However, it seems like the science isn't very clear.
Does anyone have ... |
07787022-4436-4036-837c-d9f64b7c612d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Indicators Should We Watch to Disambiguate AGI Timelines?
(Cross-post from https://amistrongeryet.substack.com/p/are-we-on-the-brink-of-agi, lightly edited for LessWrong. The original has a lengthier introduction and a bit more explanation of jargon.)
No one seems to know whether transformational AGI is coming w... |
515e3b52-0422-4499-b491-dc598002a0ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA - Big Numbers
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA - Big Numbers
WHEN: 10 June 2015 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd Los Angeles, CA 90025
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in the lot out front or on the street n... |
c4c2f675-7ddf-4584-94f2-46da1bea5d65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Endurance
This post examines the virtue of endurance. It is meant mostly as an exploration of what other people have learned about this virtue, rather than as me expressing my own opinions about it, though I’ve been selective about what I found interesting or credible, according to my own inclinations. I wrot... |
f7b02f00-7e99-485b-add8-d8c77de7dd2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Fear the Reaper: Refuting Bostrom's Superintelligence Argument
I've put a preprint up on arXiv that this community might find relevant. It's an argument from over a year ago, so it may be dated. I haven't been keeping up with the field much since I wrote it, so I welcome any feedback especially on where the crux... |
62fd05d8-2f48-485a-a939-7db42a7328ea | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Don't Jump or I'll...
[Note: I am not a psychologist. I know next to nothing about mental illness and have never suffered from it myself. This story deals with suicide.]
The man stepped out onto the roof. The gray clouds above were illuminated not by the moon or stars, but by the light pollution of the city below. Ev... |
5ec02a63-8ab4-4db5-aa30-77f46c70ee6f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Learning Visuo-Haptic Skewering Strategies for Robot-Assisted Feeding.
1 Introduction
---------------
Realizing the full capabilities of assistive robots in the home, hospitals, or elderly care facilities remains challenging due to the dexterity required to complete many day-to-day tasks. Eating free-form meals is ... |
b666da06-0e6c-4496-b92e-b8b930c624fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Static Analysis As A Lifestyle
I’ve been watching French Top Chef (the best Top Chef, fight me) with my wife again, and I’m always impressed by how often the mentoring chefs, all with multiple michelin stars and years of experience, can just guess that a dish will work or that it will be missing something.
By far, wh... |
a21ada78-9139-403f-b4ff-6e8e5d5e2d8c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Could we tell the AI to do what's morally right?
This suggestion is not as simple as it seems because:
- Humanity does not agree on what is right or moral.
- We currently don't know how to make an AI reliably follow it (or, indeed, how to make an AI pursue *any* particular goal in a safe and reliable way).
Philosop... |
b3324b18-c116-4f6d-b18c-d8779c160f3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What could a policy banning AGI look like?
[Caveat lector: I know roughly nothing about policy!]
Suppose that there were political support to really halt research that might lead to an unstoppable, unsteerable transfer of control over the lightcone from humans to AGIs. What government policy could exert that politica... |
cce44429-50d8-4b46-993a-18bd63ce44ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Feedback Suffering?
NB: Some of the terminology and concepts I used here are incompatible with my more recent work because this was written before I formalized my philosophy, but is dangerously close enough to them that it may cause confusion. Caveat lector.
In the future, the world may be filled with creatures ot... |
7b5d57c8-3add-4e54-b466-af940c84fd39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta Beginning of October Meetup - Productive Arguments
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta Beginning of October Meetup - Productive Arguments
WHEN: 12 October 2014 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 2388 Lawrenceville Hwy. Unit L. Decatur, GA 30033
This meetup we'll be talking about having productive ar... |
43cfe1c7-4860-49b0-956b-4978ab805d05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A workshop on Life Influences
We all have factors in our life that influence us but sometimes we don’t realise what they are. For example, an external influence in my life, is to live within the legal system of this country, which prevents me from completely being free from external consequence. An internal influenc... |
c1cd3ef3-4e5e-4c92-9365-374e87db8932 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Resist epistemic (and emotional) learned helplessness!
Antonio Pascuale-Leone talks about how to get over the end of a relationship. Alison Ledgerwood helps us understand how framing impacts our response to events. Both of these researchers present us with frameworks to structure the narrative of our own lives. The ke... |
bcd473b9-03c1-4487-82ed-9d871035682f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Perth, Australia: More Wrong
Discussion article for the meetup : Perth, Australia: More Wrong
WHEN: 23 August 2014 12:00:00PM (+0800)
WHERE: 43 Barrack St, Perth, Australia
Read some of the fundamental essays of Less Wrong, then discuss them at the pub.
Here's what you should read:
* What Do We Mean By ... |
6445e0f0-c9ed-4f67-88dd-bb52d78b2744 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Day in Utopia
[Crossposted from my blog at Habryka's suggestion; original post suggestion comes from Stuart Armstrong. This is my utopia which is designed for me; if this really bothers you, imagine that there are lots of other interesting cities doing things differently elsewhere. I am blatantly ignoring scientific... |
e6dce175-be50-4450-adee-51ad0f2503cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link Post] "Foundational Challenges in Assuring Alignment and Safety of Large Language Models"
We’ve recently released a comprehensive research agenda on LLM safety and alignment. This is a collaborative work with contributions from more than 35+ authors across the fields of AI Safety, machine learning, and NLP. Ma... |
52543fe0-8d49-40b4-9626-9340c673e56b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AGIs as collectives
*Note that I originally used the term* population AGI, *but changed it to* collective AGI *to match Bostrom's usage in* Superintelligence*.*
I think there’s a reasonably high probability that we will end up [training AGI in a multi-agent setting](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/BXMCgpktdiawT3... |
d7526976-ad99-4b6d-97c2-563f11635931 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Magna Alta Doctrina
Continuing topics from an earlier 2015 blog post, The Brain as a Universal Learning Machine, this new series will begin with updated distillations of deep learning's best learnings, then interweave brain (reverse)engineering, advanced simulation tech, crypto-economic mechanism design, and more, int... |
351e9f59-a06e-4a35-9ad6-ce3f2eae2ba4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | References & Resources for LessWrong
**A list of references and resources for LW**
---------------------------------------------
*Updated: 2011-05-24*
* **F** = Free
* **E** = Easy (adequate for a low educational background)
* **M** = Memetic Hazard (controversial ideas or works of fiction)
Summary
-------
***... |
e4a86949-a2f1-40cc-a600-f24d908f4527 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Thoughts on a "Sequences Inspired" PhD Topic
I currently work as an operations research team leader for a large organization (large organization, small team). For personal and professional reasons I won't post the details here in the public forum, but can provide some via PM on request. In about one to two years I exp... |
33d2076f-a1cf-43b3-9685-5180332daf0c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Escaping Locality
The local is what is near to you; what is easily seen and interacted with. In everyday life this is the language you speak, the cultural traditions you practice, the way problems are approached, and the field you work in among other things. The connotations associated with local are usually that of g... |
825269ec-28e2-4e93-94da-1913f35bd110 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brain blogger survey
Survey info
:
> I’m currently doing some research on brain bloggers. The first stage is a rather basic survey (below). This is open from today until Monday the 10th of January.
>
> By ‘brain bloggers’ I mean bloggers who write about the stuff that goes in people’s heads, whatever we think thi... |
5f33e488-2815-45e1-a17c-ff847e8ffd2e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Which counterfactuals should an AI follow?
*Thanks to Rebecca Gorman for her help with this post.*
In the past, I've talked about [counterfactual incentives](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/67a8C6KsKn2NyW2Ry/counterfactual-control-incentives). In that, the agent was motivated to maximise not an actual reward, but th... |
c7cffb48-7979-4fee-a154-5409b441ee98 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Minimizing global catastrophic and existential risks from emerging technologies through international law
[View the paper “Minimizing Global Catastrophic and Existential Risks from Emerging Technologies Through International Law”](https://gc... |
d13b342a-8c34-435b-882b-9ccb712976d6 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post24
This post is a short empirical research note about training away scheming behavior (which we’ll define as the propensity to take long-term power-seeking actions when the AI thinks it can get away with it). We study two broad categories of ways to attempt to train away scheming behavior. First, you can adver... |
de4fc890-8b6b-4d2d-b310-a76a2d723dcf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Example decision theory problem: "Agent simulates predictor"
Some people on LW have expressed interest in what's happening on the decision-theory-workshop mailing list. Here's an example of the kind of work we're trying to do there.
In April 2010 Gary Drescher proposed the "Agent simulates predictor" problem, or ASP,... |
b234a559-67c7-4616-8a96-2c95fea7b72a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help your rivals when they are numerous
Suppose you are playing a game of chess. Chess is a zero-sum bipolar game. Anything your opponent wins is something you lose, and vice versa. If a trade becomes available then you should take if the benefit to you is greater than the benefit to your opponent. If the benefit to y... |
b7548083-c04e-4436-9aa1-5714fae233e8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | September 2012 Newsletter
| |
| --- |
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|
| |
| --- |
| September 2012 Newsletter |
Greetings from the Executive Director
| |
| --- |
|
August was a busy month for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Thanks to our successful summer fundraiser, we are running full steam ahead on all fronts: [Singula... |
0408cf93-9d89-4fe6-953f-5e1be0bfdb59 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Daimons
Summary:
A daimon is a process in a distributed computing environment that has a fixed resource budget and core values that do not permit:
* modifying those core values
* attempting to increase the resources it uses beyond the budget allocated to it
* attempting to alter the budget itself
This conce... |
ab544b95-5dbf-4c00-b32f-daa9c9e6a616 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some Preliminary Notes on the Promise of a Wisdom Explosion
This post is one-half of my third-prize winning entry for the AI Impacts Essay Competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy. It proposes a "wisdom explosion" as an alternative to an intelligence explosion that is safer from the standpoint of differe... |
c28ab5ad-6e2e-45d9-aa1a-3d08435d554b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Worrisome misunderstanding of the core issues with AI transition
This post is triggered by “Generative AI dominates Davos discussions as companies focus on accuracy” (CNBC) and “AI has a trust problem — meet the startups trying to fix it” (Sifted).
It's just remarkable (and worrying) how business leaders and journali... |
5dcb1737-3964-477a-baa0-bcd6aae7b0b9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | 2012 Robin Hanson comment on “Intelligence Explosion: Evidence and Import”
The 2013 anthology [*Singularity Hypotheses: A Scientific and Philosophical Assessment*](https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-642-32560-1) (edited by Eden, Moor, Soraker, and Steinhart) included short responses to some articles. The res... |
67a0a026-537c-4f8d-ab07-bb6aac91f3c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI o1
It's more capable and better at using lots of inference-time compute via long (hidden) chain-of-thought.
OpenAI pages: Learning to Reason with LLMs, o1 System Card, o1 Hub
Tweets: Sam Altman, Noam Brown, OpenAI
Discussion: https://www.transformernews.ai/p/openai-o1-alignment-faking
"METR could not conf... |
e311a83c-40e1-42f2-bd2c-9e2b0aa04ca7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC: Short Talks
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC: Short Talks
WHEN: 20 July 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC
We will be meeting in the Kogod Courtyard to take turns presenting short (~10-20 minute) lectures on random topics.
(For newcomer... |
37c8431e-1e78-4a5b-aba9-5550789afe5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can we rely on business as usual to get us to the future?
We make decisions based upon our expectations of the future going 10 to 20 years out. However we don't have good systematic ways of making predictions. We rely on pundits and experts in their fields, which might ignore changes in other fields.
We are currently... |
23ab3ea4-fb47-4a20-9e15-bbc6b63213ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : DC Special Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : DC Special Meetup
WHEN: 03 July 2011 01:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Washington Mall, Washington, DC
NOTE: We will be moving around, but intend to stay in the mall area. PM me for contact information.
Since our regular host is out of town, we're holding a spe... |
5bdc139a-0edd-49a8-972c-4271c8423012 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Disentangling arguments for the importance of AI safety
Note: my views have shifted significantly since writing this post. I now consider items 1, 2, 3, and 6.2 to be different facets of one core argument, which I call the "second species" argument, and which I explore in depth in this report. And I don't really think... |
a99ffac1-b7f8-428e-8afb-55b3c69b9a67 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Oct. 03 - Oct. 09, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the ... |
86b68952-a292-4183-bbb2-f25b2f8afa30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Broken Screwdriver and other parables
previously: The Parable Of The Fallen Pendulum
The Broken Screwdriver
> Alice: Hey Bob, I need something to put this screw in the wall.
>
> Bob: OK, here's a screwdriver.
Alice starts trying to hammer a screw in using the butt of the screwdriver.
> Alice: I think this scr... |
67f5a3a5-5fcf-478f-b6b8-48952e16d9c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recursively Self-Improving Human Intelligence
There's plenty of discussion about recursive self-improvement for AGIs, and self-improvement for ourselves, but I haven't come across (in memory) anything that specifically combines the two concepts. Arguably, increasing rationality skills would be recursive, but can anyo... |
5b637024-e311-4819-b034-b5671c12b3c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate
Today's post, Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate was originally published on 20 March 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The atheist/libertarian/technophile/sf-fan/early-adopter/programmer/etc crowd, aka "the nonconformist cluster", seems to be stunningly bad at coordina... |
28bec988-afc6-42e3-b48a-3d49c8927429 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Whole number
A **whole number** is an intuitive concept of a number that is not [fractional](https://arbital.com/p/). There are three different definitions of the whole numbers, whose usage depends heavily on the author:
1. The [natural numbers](https://arbital.com/p/45h).
2. The natural numbers and [https://arbital... |
4f4f3d1c-051e-4853-b5fb-6dc7a50a5d1e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Investigating the role of agency in AI x-risk
In a previous post, I introduced a framework for applying scenario planning to AI x-risk. My colleagues at Convergence followed up with posts defining and analyzing predictions about timelines to TAI. In this post, I examine a different parameter: agency.
1. Executive... |
23cd345a-637d-4e15-9bab-4e969bf31e21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Existential Risk Reduction Career Network
Interested in donating to existential risk reduction efforts? Would you like to exchange career information with like-minded others? Then you should consider the Existential Risk Reduction Career Network! ("X Risk Network" for those short on time.) From the front page of the w... |
0a718f9b-0563-42f5-85f3-d1cfc370d7fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Ben Garfinkel - Superhuman AI and the future of democracy and government
hey everyone jeremy here welcome back to
the towards data science podcast i'm
really excited about today's episode
because we're going to be taking on a
lot of long-termist sort of
forward-looking
and semi-futuristic topics related to ai
and the ... |
9b0f5b8f-73d3-48d7-a949-1564907bab63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Bay City Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Bay City Meetup
WHEN: 19 August 2016 01:25:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 2010 5th St, Bay City, MI
Potential Bay City Meetup
Comment below if you're interested
Discussion article for the meetup : Bay City Meetup |
4e84b55b-31c9-433e-985e-5d23bdef71eb | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Last night, about 225 people gathered for songs and stories. In the
spirit of putting in a ridiculous amount of effort to keep doing
normal things in abnormal times, a group of friends built a platform
where we could listen together, and sing together, as we do every
year. This was the biggest gathering Bucket Brigade... |
0664cb1d-dfa7-4677-b541-8c1270c55149 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | List: value-alignment subjects
### Safety paradigm for advanced agents
- [Advanced Safety](https://arbital.com/p/2l)
- [Advanced agents](https://arbital.com/p/2c)
- [Efficient agents](https://arbital.com/p/6s)
- [https://arbital.com/p/1cv](https://arbital.com/p/1cv)
- [Omni Test](https://arbital.com/p/2x... |
79974f66-42f9-4bce-9318-4ae2ed26310b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How many people in the Bay Area are infected with Covid-19 as of the end of 2/29/2020?
I want to know your estimate for how many people you think currently have it within the San Francisco Bay Area. Not how many people who have been measured to have it, since our measurement is garbage. Answers can be given as a distr... |
a9732df2-070e-49d2-b107-03e18bc20688 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/agentmodels | Tutorial: Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs | Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs
---
layout: chapter
title: Reinforcement learning techniques
description: Max-margin and linear programming methods for IRL.
status: stub
is_section: false
hidden: true
---
- Could have appendix discussing Apprenticeship Learning ideas in Abbeel and Ng in more detail.
|
18391666-c7fb-441e-a1a7-85042706b804 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interview with Matt Freeman
An interview with Matt Freeman, co-founder of the Guild of the ROSE, an organization for rationalist community and education. Topics discussed include:
* The motivation and vision behind creating the Guild.
* What might be possible with consistent rationality training inside a community ... |
84479de9-8e0d-4b77-a2bf-13604f4c0356 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #155]: A Minecraft benchmark for algorithms that learn without reward functions
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look thr... |
2c5a0496-9849-4121-b682-3a5b46bbccb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Austin, TX TCDS Experiment
Discussion article for the meetup : Austin, TX TCDS Experiment
WHEN: 18 February 2012 01:30:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 21st & Speedway, Austin TX
The Austin, TX meetup is in a new location for just this week; we'll be meeting in CBA 4.342 on Saturday the 18th at 1:30 PM. We're going to ... |
8bd097fb-c452-4180-bf5a-5a42767c6b26 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Instantiating an agent with GPT-4 and text-davinci-003
*[Meta-note: This post is extremely long, because I've included raw transcripts of LLM output interspersed throughout. These are enclosed in code blocks for ease of reading. I've tried to summarize and narrate what's happening outside of the code blocks, so you do... |
3ca5608a-f97b-42e7-ba1d-7ab775d44559 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is compute governance?
This is an article in the featured articles series from AISafety.info. AISafety.info writes AI safety intro content. We'd appreciate any feedback.
The most up-to-date version of this article is on our website, along with 300+ other articles on AI existential safety.
Compute governance is... |
8dfa26df-ea8a-4b80-a983-5835e2ced724 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Certificates of Impact [Paul Christiano; Link]
Paul proposes that we could create a market for certificates of impact. The certificates would be created whenever someone does something that has a positive impact in the world. |
b2dab595-c5bb-4d58-bb11-21cfab1ba35d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neutrality
Midjourney, “infinite library”
I’ve had post-election thoughts percolating, and the sense that I wanted to synthesize something about this moment, but politics per se is not really my beat. This is about as close as I want to come to the topic, and it’s a sidelong thing, but I think the time is right.
It’... |
28432c59-ccd7-4e34-ba4a-7db40fa76f29 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | What longtermist projects would you like to see implemented?
**My team (Rethink Priorities’ General Longtermism Team) is aiming to incubate 2-3 longtermist projects in 2023. I’m currently collecting a longlist of project ideas**, which we’ll then research and evaluate, with the aim of kicking off the strongest project... |
d4a5dbe4-94cb-427e-8630-b5cd2cdda466 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Full Automation is Unlikely and Unnecessary for Explosive Growth
Summary
Forecasts of explosive growth from advanced AI often assume that AI will fully automate human labor. But there are a variety of compelling objections to this assumption. For example, regulation could prevent the automation of some tasks, or consu... |
22e47e94-a4d2-467f-8f21-0b6c15bd8cfc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does Claude Prioritize Some Prompt Input Channels Over Others?
Epistemic Status: I am not an AI researcher, I'm a Psych student. Strong confidence in data collection, moderate confidence in some interpretations, quite weak in others. Based on 60 chat sessions across 6 experimental setup conditions. Data was so strong ... |
7d5f08b7-47cb-472a-b658-a299222989ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | One Chance (a short flash game)
http://www.newgrounds.com/portal/view/555181
It needn't take more than 10 minutes to play, though it might if you nail-bite about your choices. I'm curious about the LW response, although I might be underwhelmed by lack of interest. |
b122d558-320c-4127-9229-e5852bedb3fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Constructability: Plainly-coded AGIs may be feasible in the near future
Charbel-Raphaël Segerie and Épiphanie Gédéon contributed equally to this post.
Many thanks to Davidad, Gabriel Alfour, Jérémy Andréoletti, Lucie Philippon, Vladimir Ivanov, Alexandre Variengien, Angélina Gentaz, Simon Cosson, Léo Dana and Diego D... |
38194c21-6ea5-4940-825b-637125745f20 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Tarbell Fellowship 2024 - Applications Open (AI Journalism)
*The*[*Tarbell Fellowship*](https://www.tarbellfellowship.org/) *is accepting applications until October 15th.*[*Apply here*](https://forms.gle/Ve6hS5xULcZhfNPC8)*.*
 use to think about LessWrong 2.0 and what we’re trying to accomplish. While it does not capture everything important, it does capture much and explains a little how our disparate-seeming projects can combine into a single coheren... |
8be4d33e-ad57-4cf4-9c6f-b34e15fe03fa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Aligning Recommender Systems as Cause Area
by Ivan Vendrov and Jeremy Nixon
*Disclaimer: views expressed here are solely our own and not those of our employers or any other organization.*
---
>
> *Most recent conversations about the future focus on the point where technology surpasses human capability. But t... |
28477fff-c526-43d0-9eac-ec6f1e0e0755 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prioritizing COVID-19 interventions & individual donations
NOTE: The COVID-19 funding landscape is evolving rapidly, and we are making updates to reflect new developments and revised donation recommendations. Please check the EA Forum version of this post for the latest information.
Authors: Catherine Olsson and Ian ... |
52deae4e-ba55-46e5-9530-bfe2fdc5552b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why startup founders have mood swings (and why they may have uses)
(This post was collaboratively written together with Duncan Sabien.)
Startup founders stereotypically experience some pretty serious mood swings. One day, their product seems destined to be bigger than Google, and the next, it’s a mess of incohere... |
0846f818-401c-486a-968c-bb7050fa3538 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Expected Pain Parameters
A problem I sometimes have is that someone will suggest that I do something uncomfortable - physically or emotionally, whichever - and they'll acknowledge that it's not going to feel good.
And then they won't follow up by explaining exactly how much and in what way it's supposed to hurt, let ... |
8e9a7f5e-ff55-487d-bab2-a13ab34ab26d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What math should I learn?
I am studying physics and like math. I just finished courses in mathematical logic and probality theory and attended courses in calculus and linear algebra. I intend to learn theoretical informatics next semester. Any more suggestions for interesting mathematics? I started algebra this semest... |
2202ecd7-eafc-466e-9282-ef954b0461aa | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post167
Can you tell when an LLM is lying from the activations? Are simple methods good enough? We recently published a paper investigating if linear probes detect when Llama is deceptive. Abstract: AI models might use deceptive strategies as part of scheming or misaligned behaviour. Monitoring outputs alone is in... |
d371b1c7-808e-483a-9e6a-11ab6ab4ccd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scooby Doo and Secular Humanism [link]
A great column by Chris Sims at the Comics Alliance.
Excerpt:
> Because that's the thing about Scooby-Doo: The bad guys in every episode aren't monsters, they're liars.
>
> I can't imagine how scandalized those critics who were relieved to have something that was mild enough t... |
d6420e47-56d5-4efb-89ec-d7fa1f4e71c7 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "As I understand it, Lent is a holiday where we celebrate the scientific method by changing exactly one variable in our lives for 40 days. This seems like a convenient Schelling point for rationalists to adopt, so:
What variable are you going to change for the next 40 days?
(I am really annoyed I didn't think of this y... |
81273d55-a7e1-4c67-b94a-521d5c4d9718 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Persuasion Tools: AI takeover without AGI or agency?
*[epistemic status: speculation]*
*Crossposted from* [*LessWrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qKvn7rxP2mzJbKfcA/persuasion-tools-ai-takeover-without-agi-or-agency)
> I'm envisioning that in the future there will also be systems where you can input any concl... |
c4004e80-3a5d-40a2-b80b-26b0574f9fc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality-ish Meetups Showcase: 2019-2021
These events were run bi-weekly by myself as a tired and burnt out university student, and I didn't spend too much time on the event descriptions at the time so they're a bit sparse. At this point, the meetups were not yet explicitly rationalist-coded, and so it wasn't a pri... |
4fece405-bc09-4c8f-bba7-e57944c215bf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Achilles Heel Hypothesis for AI
Pitfalls for AI Systems via Decision Theoretic Adversaries
----------------------------------------------------------
This post accompanies a new [paper related to AI alignment](https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.05418). A brief outline and informal discussion of the ideas is presented her... |
5928e355-903c-4a97-b3e8-e1b368632297 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Migration Announcement
The votes are in, and of the eligible 376 voters, 102 voted to Migrate and 15 voted to archive. With 87% in favor, we’re going ahead with the transition, which will begin tomorrow (3/22) at 6pm Pacific time. Trike will take a snapshot of the database, transfer it to us, and we’ll begin the da... |
5db638b8-f5b2-4c7e-ba54-4f69cb5728dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are good ice breaker questions for meeting people in this community?
I was praising the Petrov Day event and saying I liked the Icebreaker app.
parsley said:
> icebreaker.video allows users to use their own questions. I didn't have the time to come up with my own, so I just resorted to the boilerplate ones prov... |
8a3a1a08-f256-455e-a452-1eeefae6deee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #28: Center for AI Safety 2023 Year in Review
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe here to receive future versions.
As 2023 comes to a close, we want to thank you for your continued support for A... |
c48523eb-faca-462e-ac2e-51ab0ab9d2b6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Well-ordered set
A **well-ordered set** is a [https://arbital.com/p/-540](https://arbital.com/p/-540) $(S, \leq)$, such that for any nonempty subset $U \subset S$ there is some $x \in U$ such that for every $y \in U$, $x \leq y$; that is, every nonempty subset of $S$ has a least element.
Any finite totally ordered se... |
2433337d-e70d-40a8-a94a-d92fa52e60b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationalists Should Learn Lock Picking
To be clear, I'm not suggesting a widespread movement within rationalism to begin skilling up and stealing things to fund X-risk research. I promise.
What I am suggesting is that I found the first ~3-5 hours of learning to pick locks (which I did from sheer boredom) to be valuab... |
8c2d6659-2b76-4aec-bee5-8de9ad2d4a1d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Robust Self-Supervised Audio-Visual Speech Recognition
1 Introduction
---------------
With the recent development of supervised neural models [hinton\_2012, amodei16deepspeech], the performance of automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems has improved significantly, achieving human parity [xiong2016humanparity] or... |
2df828e6-a227-4c5f-9b57-610b822dacd2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections on My Own Missing Mood
Life on Earth is incredibly precious. Even a tiny p(DOOM) must be taken very seriously. Since we cannot predict the future, and since in a debate we should be epistemically humble, we should give our interlocutors the benefit of the doubt. Therefore, even if on my inside view p(DOOM)... |
cb2e2cf3-b6bf-4db4-9602-9bb24db2cf67 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A model of UDT with a concrete prior over logical statements
I've been having difficulties with constructing a toy scenario for AI self-modification more interesting than [Quirrell's game](/lw/e4e/an_angle_of_attack_on_open_problem_1/), because you really want to do expected utility maximization of some sort, but curr... |
cd427c54-210e-4376-b672-adc69ac60d77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scale Was All We Needed, At First
This is a hasty speculative fiction vignette of one way I expect we might get AGI by January 2025 (within about one year of writing this). Like similar works by others, I expect most of the guesses herein to turn out incorrect. However, this was still useful for expanding my imaginati... |
36f03023-0cc6-4331-846b-a5adab0709da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unfriendly Natural Intelligence
Related to: UFAI, Paperclip maximizer, Reason as memetic immune disorder
A discussion with Stefan (cheers, didn't get your email, please message me) during the European Community Weekend Berlin fleshed out an idea I had toyed around with for some time:
If a UFAI can wreak havoc by dri... |
0afcd194-80c8-43a5-8d3c-4f89b0834233 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cognitive Style Tends To Predict Religious Conviction (psychcentral.com)
http://psychcentral.com/news/2011/09/21/cognitive-style-tends-to-predict-religious-conviction/29646.html
> Participants who gave intuitive answers to all three problems [that required reflective thinking rather than intuitive] were one and a hal... |
066da38c-868d-48ac-9b36-d334a1b14797 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Urbana-Champaign: Seeking advice
Discussion article for the meetup : Urbana-Champaign: Seeking advice
WHEN: 30 November 2014 02:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 206 S. Cedar St, Urbana, IL
Sometimes, one might even say usually, other people know more than me. This is great, because then they can give me advice.
Let... |
7d064a79-3843-40f4-a9cf-2b5497d6bf05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | PRISM: Perspective Reasoning for Integrated Synthesis and Mediation (Interactive Demo)
Hello all. I’d like to share a new paper, PRISM: Perspective Reasoning for Integrated Synthesis and Mediation. The central idea is to tackle AI alignment challenges by systematically representing and reconciling the range of human m... |
ccc3f73f-0fee-40b9-b462-b2bd5f5737a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Five Main Muscles for a Full Range of Natural Movement, Dynamic Alignment & Balance.
Epistemic status. Full confidence. The anatomy is easily verifiable. Working towards fully utilising these muscles has changed my life. My story here.
For a less wordy introduction to the anatomy try here: The 5 Main Muscles Mad... |
1016a258-0a28-4b46-8126-a2d23ff18556 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Remember that to value something infinitely is usually to give it a finite dollar value
Just an occasional reminder that if you value something so much that you don’t want to destroy it for nothing, then you’ve got to put a finite dollar value on it. Things just can’t be infinitely more important than other things, in... |
e11ecac2-bbae-4279-a9cb-3df8df7d1b9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don’t Fear The Filter
There’s been a recent spate of popular interest in the Great Filter theory, but I think it all misses an important point brought up in Robin Hanson’s original 1998 paper on the subject.
The Great Filter, remember, is the horror-genre-adaptation of Fermi’s Paradox. All of our calculations say tha... |
6ef6ee2b-c15f-4366-aa5e-68fad8e5e53a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Leaving Google, Joining the Nucleic Acid Observatory
In 2017 I rejoined Google to earn money to donate. At the time I thought earning to give was probably not where I could have the most impact, but I wasn't able to find other options that were a good fit for me personally. Over the last five years a few things have c... |
81069b58-8050-4c8b-8425-147ebce8eeb4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tell Your Rationalist Origin Story... at Less Wrong
(A beta version of Less Wrong is now live, no old posts imported as yet. Some of the plans for what to do with Less Wrong relative to OB have been revised by further discussion among Robin, Nick, and myself, but for now we're just seeing what happens once LW is up -... |
dc9d975d-189e-4ff9-9c9d-3884f6ea95ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on the Autobiography of Malcolm X
The Autobiography of Malcolm X isn't just an important historical document, but skillful storytelling about the investigation of a mystery: why are white people like that?
In his description of his early life, he seems to clearly show that “imitating white privilege folkways” i... |
3fef78d5-8773-4cba-a805-f2f2a3b2c151 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 1L Attention - Theory [rough early thoughts]
in our previous video we talked about what's
basically the simplest model bearing any
resemblance to a transformer you could imagine:
the zero layer transformer. But now we're ready
to go and graduate to a more complex model, the
one layer attention-only transformer... |
a50c4a6c-9d42-489c-b4ea-ac18dbc5e674 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #35
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter.
This week we don't have any explicit highlights, but remember to treat the sequences as though they were highlighted!
Techni... |
de6d94ef-d05c-4129-adfb-e793608d6ad0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to East Bay Thursday Dinner [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
How f... |
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