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20e0ae76-52b3-4cfe-98d5-b8af29fefd13
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Need help searching for a quote Hey, I'm trying to find a quote that I recall seeing in the sequences. It was a post by Eliezer, and near the end he made a statement to the effect that 'We don't always know what is right, but you should never physically harm someone in the course of a dispute. Argumentation is an acc...
f577f0bd-0a6c-4cee-99f6-8600c64d733a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why are young, healthy people eager to take the Covid-19 vaccine? Clearly a lot of people on LW want to take it ASAP. I strongly don't want that - to the point where I will most likely emigrate if it becomes obligatory in my country. Please help me understand what I'm missing. Here is my understanding: * As a young,...
9e865c2f-4b9b-465c-b6b1-24c1231424b6
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
The vulnerable world hypothesis The Vulnerable World Hypothesis Nick Bostrom Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford Abstract Scienti fic and technological progress might change people ’s capabilities or incentives in ways that would destabilize civiliza- tion. For example, advances in DIY biohacking tools m...
5adc752a-4f9c-419d-8d97-bc1a03ef785b
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Learning to Resolve Conflicts for Multi-Agent Path Finding with Conflict-Based Search 1  Introduction --------------- Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) is the problem of finding a set of conflict-free paths for a given number of agents on a given graph that minimizes the sum of costs or the makespan. Although MAPF is...
484f7e03-84cb-4c72-aaa6-6ae8426c84a8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Slightly known unknowns Inspired by What visionary project would you fund?, I'm wondering about whether there are known blank areas in our knowledge which might turn up surprising knowledge. Once upon a time, the sun was a mystery. People had a pretty good idea of its mass, and how much chemical energy would be neede...
9a7f0df0-9ad3-48a4-b138-b30e347bf3d9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
When training AI, we should escalate the frequency of capability tests Inspired by ideas from Lucius Bushnaq, David Manheim, Gavin Leech, Davidad. Any errors are mine. Cross-posted from my Substack. Compute, algorithms, and data form the AI triad—the main inputs for better AI.[1] AI uses compute to run algorithms th...
b4ef79e7-4afd-47ae-b93c-67e0f83acfa5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Guarded learning A putative new idea for AI control; index here. "Guarded learning" is a model for unbiased learning, the kind of learning where the AI has an incentive to learn its values, but not to bias the direction in which it learns. ---------------------------------------- The value-uncertain U Assume the A...
cb6f0463-b8c0-4623-9eb7-60adea888045
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Beware of Stephen J. Gould Followup to:  Natural Selection's Speed Limit and Complexity Bound If you've read anything Stephen J. Gould has ever said about evolutionary biology, I have some bad news for you.  In the field of evolutionary biology at large, Gould's reputation is mud.  Not because he was wrong.  Many hon...
d2a54edd-0fd4-4df8-b66b-731fc9a95a39
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
About Rationality Quotes ...so do these go to the main LW now, or do we keep them in Discussion? My vote would be "to the main LW", but since I both want to discuss this and would like to play with the "feature" that allows moving a thread from one to the other at some point:   Discuss.
1abdcfe4-bd38-4ee0-9b50-7135045fd7ca
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The case for becoming a black-box investigator of language models Interpretability research is sometimes described as neuroscience for ML models. Neuroscience is one approach to understanding how human brains work. But empirical psychology research is another approach. I think more people should engage in the analogou...
bfdc88a4-4f07-4b5a-ad25-4cd423075ef3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Use the Nato Alphabet I plan to extend this into a longer post, but for now I want to tell a story. I have a name that is pretty difficult for English speakers to just "know" the spelling of from the pronounciation. Recently I started using the Nato alphabet. It really greatly reduces the friction of e.g. communicat...
32838cca-82e2-427c-aa2e-a92993eb2b70
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What could be done with RNA and DNA sequencing that's 1000x cheaper than it's now? In How to Invent the Future Alan Kay proposes that a good way of inventing the feature is to take an exponential and project it into the feature. Afterwards it's useful to ask what can be done with the new capabilities. On important ex...
c3cf4ce9-60bd-4ef9-88ea-9f1fb5cea143
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
14 Ways ML Could Improve Informative Video *~30-minute brainstorm. I haven’t done ML engineering myself, but am an enthusiast.* ML systems are getting scarily good. I’m a fan of [online video for sharing information](https://quri.substack.com/p/why-does-academiaea-produce-so-few). Video is tougher to automate than te...
ba26c18c-b20c-4f6e-9b50-e1679a99fcd5
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Bayes' rule: Vector form %todo: This page conflates two concepts: (1) You can perform a Bayesian update on multiple hypotheses at once, by representing hypotheses via vectors; and (2) you can perform multiple Bayesian updates by multiplying by all the likelihood functions (and only normalizing once at the end). We sho...
3a14fd1e-1a3f-4b6d-a9e1-46551cc9adbb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Tips/tricks/notes on optimizing investments I've been optimizing various aspects of my investment setup recently, and will write up some tips and tricks that I've found in the form of "answers" here. Others are welcome to share their own here if they'd like. (Disclaimer: I’m not a lawyer, accountant, or investment adv...
c0455c0c-97a6-4e92-b47a-9668eb5a679e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Announcing a new colloquium series and fellows program The Machine Intelligence Research Institute is accepting applicants to two summer programs: a three-week AI robustness and reliability colloquium series (co-run with the Oxford [Future of Humanity Institute](https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/)), and a two-week fellows prog...
6dc2f152-b72d-48d5-ad48-9440701c45f0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
OpenAI's CBRN tests seem unclear This blogpost was written in a personal capacity and statements here do not necessarily reflect the views of any of my employer. > OpenAI says o1-preview can't meaningfully help novices make chemical and biological weapons. Their test results don’t clearly establish this. Before laun...
eff55943-6837-45c9-a235-12c4606bc22e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How much does consumption affect production? A ewe for a ewe In a discussion with Benquo over his recent suffering-per-calorie estimates I learned that there have been a few different proponents of incorporating short term elasticities into such estimates. But do empirical short term elasticities really improve our es...
7737dc62-673d-43e0-96a0-01d630bf1cb8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Some quick thoughts on "AI is easy to control" There are many things I feel like the post authors miss, and I want to share a few thoughts that seem good to communicate. I'm going to focus on controlling superintelligent AI systems: systems powerful enough to solve alignment (in the CEV sense) completely, or to kill ...
ed7d6d73-09ac-4240-95a4-6fa65e421c77
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Yet Another Covid Risk Calculator https://thomaswc.com/crisk.html There are many covid risk calculators online.  Some express your risk in arbitrary units, some give you your probability of getting infected, and some tell you how likely you are to die if you get infected.  Mine calculates both of those last two thing...
31130b24-ae36-4ad6-aeda-6c092dd2dd64
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Value of Information Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Value of Information WHEN: 24 May 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: National Portrait Gallery We'll be congregating at the courtyard of the National Portrait Gallery from 3:00 - 3:30 until closing, to talk about value...
9f53a571-a9d6-406b-8955-a01a39a7eb87
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Unsolved Problems in Philosophy Part 1: The Liar's Paradox Graham Priest discusses The Liar's Paradox for a NY Times blog. It seems that one way of solving the Liar's Paradox is defining dialethei, a true contradiction. Less Wrong, can you do what modern philosophers have failed to do and solve or successfully dissolv...
613f54e1-5a99-46e7-801f-afd020255bd1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Simplified Anthropic Doomsday Here is a simplified version of the Doomsday argument in Anthropic decision theory, to get easier intuitions. Assume a single agent A exists, an average utilitarian, with utility linear in money. Their species survives with 50% probability; denote this event by S. If the species survives...
84dce84c-3f91-4f80-bf4a-fff54a03bc85
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
On how various plans miss the hard bits of the alignment challenge *This post has been recorded as part of the LessWrong Curated Podcast, and can be listened to on* [*Spotify*](https://open.spotify.com/episode/6cDwctrmpWW6UNEKTT3Vvf?si=7T7SaHNCQ9axzL4D-crPQw)*,* [*Apple Podcasts*](https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
1efe020a-9061-43c1-9193-da00c5ce8dfa
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
AGISF adaptation for in-person groups This past semester,[HAIST](https://haist.ai/) and[MAIA](https://www.mitalignment.org/) (the Harvard and MIT AI safety student groups) ran an adapted version of Richard Ngo's [AGI Safety Fundamentals alignment](https://www.agisafetyfundamentals.com/ai-alignment-curriculum) curricul...
c175c3b8-2b6d-40ac-b03a-b0c03cfecbfc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Cross-post] Is the Fermi Paradox due to the Flaw of Averages? [This article is copy-pasted from the Lumina blog, very lightly edited for LessWrong.] Where is everybody? — Enrico Fermi The omnipresence of uncertainty is part of why making predictions and decisions is so hard. We at Lumina advocate treating  uncertai...
ef427aab-9f8d-439c-a329-e60b380c69cb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What are intuitive ways for presenting certainty/confidence in continuous variable inferences (i.e. numerical predictions)? I enjoy the idea of thinking in probabilities, and also, as part of my job, I have to deal with the hellish task of figuring out how to present probabilities to people in a simple way. It seems ...
63f7fb35-623a-4966-b487-dd518a73a2f3
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Relevant limited AI It is an open problem to propose a [limited AI](https://arbital.com/p/5b3) that would be [relevant](https://arbital.com/p/2s) to the [value achievement dilemma](https://arbital.com/p/2z) - an agent cognitively constrained along some dimensions that render it much safer, but still able to perform so...
67e429e5-b301-4252-bb16-8e6a9343ec2b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Would a Misaligned SSI Really Kill Us All? Preamble Honest question. * Some clarification on terms: SSI: Strongly Superhuman Intelligence * Misaligned: for the purposes of this question an AI  is misaligned if it is indifferent to human welfare and wellbeing. * An SSI that was actively malicious would also be...
be699509-c4e8-4cbb-9b90-ed0ff77c534d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Total Nano Domination Followup to:  Engelbart: Insufficiently Recursive The computer revolution had cascades and insights aplenty.  Computer tools are routinely used to create tools, from using a C compiler to write a Python interpreter, to using theorem-proving software to help design computer chips.  I would not ye...
725878ec-306b-4642-9d7d-9c31f8352faf
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
How is reinforcement learning possible in non-sentient agents? *(Probably a stupid nooby question that won't help solve alignment)* **Suppose you implement a goal in an AI through a reinforcement learning system. Why does the AI really "care" about this goal? Why does it obey? It does because it is punished and/o...
95edc5b1-443a-40f4-ade4-a4320782fa54
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : (Improv?) games meetup Discussion article for the meetup : (Improv?) games meetup WHEN: 28 July 2013 03:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: National Portrait Gallery courtyard, Washington, DC 20001, USA We'll be meeting to do improv games! However, because I will not actually be there and I'm not sure anyone (including...
5affcf7d-c714-4f4e-b442-af3ea229889e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
An Anchoring Experiment The experiment is closed, for the results look here. In recent discussion I have expressed an opinion that anchoring may, for some quantitative questions, cause the answer to lie further away from the correct value than the anchor itself. For concreteness, let's suppose that the correct value ...
329b509e-ca52-4f28-8f1a-3f792896fdcf
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[POLL] Do You Feel Oppressed? At Reason Rally a couple of months ago, we noticed that a lot of atheists there seemed to be there for mutual support - because their own communities rejected atheists, because they felt outnumbered and threatened by their peers; the rally was a way for them to feel part of an in-group. ...
67471ddd-f410-4abb-9eb3-bb0bf916f2f3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Entrepreneurship ETG Might Be Better Than 80k Thought Summary 1. In 2014, Ryan Carey at 80k estimated that YCombinator-backed startup founders averaged $2.5M/year 2. I repeat his analysis, and find that this number is now substantially higher: $3.8-9.9M/year 3. When this amount is discounted by 12%/year (average S&...
84da061f-fd0b-44c2-bc59-903e71686043
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Less Wrong Israel Meetup: How Modern Math Is Different Discussion article for the meetup : Less Wrong Israel Meetup: How Modern Math Is Different WHEN: 28 April 2015 07:00:00PM (+0300) WHERE: Google, Electra Tower, 98 Yigal Alon Street, Tel Aviv, Israel On Tuesday, April 28, Anatoly Vorobey will be speakin...
4b36102b-0772-4600-aef0-3c9ec3c033ee
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Common failure modes in habit formation > In one project, 256 members of a health-insurance plan were invited to classes stressing the importance of exercise. Half the participants received an extra lesson on the theories of habit formation (the structure of the habit loop) and were asked to identify cues and rewards ...
4746a78d-9132-4a99-a18e-107956a506ad
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Devil You Know A short story set in the EVE Universe.  The air was thick with smoke and shit. It smelled like oil and rot, rust and decay and desperation. Between the market and the river lay the slums. Between the tank farms and the market stalls rose a shantytown of ill fortunes and shattered dreams. Young peop...
f948686e-db7a-4eb2-b36a-f5f41e604b9d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
AI Summer Harvest Trending metaphor ================= I've noticed that AI Notkilleveryonists have begun appealing to a new(?) metaphor of an **AI Summer Harvest.** Here's the FLI open letter *Pause Giant AI Experiments:* > Humanity can enjoy a flourishing future with AI. Having succeeded in creating powerful AI s...
36e0dc2c-c945-4919-892d-c60f4c802752
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Forecasting Newsletter: February 2022 Highlights * The FTX foundation will potentially give out millions in forecasting * Insight Predictions and Futuur have real-money prediction markets on the invasion of Ukraine * At least $444k paid out in over the counter bets on the invasion of Ukraine Index * Thoughts on ...
552a8662-cc95-45e8-9f79-e6585730d052
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
ChatGPT and Bing Chat can't play Botticelli Botticelli is a guessing game similar to Twenty Questions. It's a simple game that I sometimes play with my 7 year-old daughter. I tried to get ChatGPT and Bing Chat to play Botticelli with me, but neither tool could do it. How to play Botticelli Description of the game ...
00008357-f694-4923-8641-971011f67b54
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What should be reified? I've said elsewhere, I think the sticking point of a lot of important questions is just this question: what should be reified? Another way to say this is: what are our ontological and axiological commitments? This is basically a cold take in many of my circles, but certainly not elsewhere, and ...
df3fcc0a-112a-4367-9b1f-9e91a3f1bcc0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
link to a Feynman video (and a 2nd (distantly related) video) Video presentation from 1963 at Cornell. Character of Physical Law #2 The Relation of Mathematics to Physics. This may be the best one of all the Feynman videos. He explains how physicists do mathematics and distinguishes how physicists do math from how ma...
7ebaa73c-ac3c-42ca-9a02-8ddcbf3b5015
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Assume long serving politicians are rationally maximizing their careers Imagine you had no idea how to ride a bull, and you encountered a bull rider. The rider is swinging his free arm and body wildly, at apparent random. Surely hugging the bulls back and moving less is better. You would immediately think the man is c...
eeef106b-d73f-4576-933a-306e3d411b4a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A way of specifying utility functions for UDT The original UDT post defined an agent's preferences as a list of programs it cares about, and a utility function over their possible execution histories. That's a good and general formulation, but how do we make a UDT agent care about our real world, seeing as we don't kn...
0d22ff2a-ff85-4d46-84b4-b2cf7e4c62dd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is Cryonics Possible for Theists? I expect to have a conversation soon with my parents about cryonics. My parents are both professional scientists, but are vaguely religious. They certainly aren't fundamentalists; they are pro-choice, pro-gay rights, think "intelligent design" is nuts, etc. My father is less religious...
f8f754d8-b0fd-4977-b287-9d1e7c35c6b0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The lost millennium Note: This post is speculative, and you should take the claims in it with a grain of salt. Throughout human history, we know that economic growth, for which population growth was a good proxy under Malthusian conditions, has accelerated many times. Indeed, we can see this just by extrapolating cur...
9375093e-fe02-424b-b74c-e40f4bef1d5e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Miriam Yevick on why both symbols and networks are necessary for artificial minds Miriam Yevick was a mathematician who [corresponded with physicist David Bohm in the 1950s](https://www.google.com/books/edition/David_Bohm_Causality_and_Chance_Letters/wWCwDgAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=Miriam+Yevick&pg=PA2&printsec=frontcove...
f61e9ea0-3de8-48c7-86a3-4d3e1f16d235
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Function: Physical metaphor Many functions can be visualized as physical mechanisms of wheels and gears, that take their inputs on conveyor belts, manipulate them (using mechanical sensors and tools), and produce an output which is placed on an outgoing conveyor belt. ![A binary function](http://i.imgur.com/lKxAXcK.p...
d632be75-5e55-4e3d-91c3-0ccd1f65245a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Subjective Anticipation and Death tldr; It is incoherent to talk about a "you" which stretches through time.  Instead, we should think of a series of similar mind-moments. Once upon a time, there was a little boy, who answered to the name Lucas Sloan and was scared of dying. I too answer to the name Lucas Sloan, and ...
5a3c3514-690f-449d-afaa-b118480cd5ef
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Master-Slave Model of Human Preferences [This post is an expansion of my previous open thread comment, and largely inspired by Robin Hanson's writings.] In this post, I'll describe a simple agent, a toy model, whose preferences have some human-like features, as a test for those who propose to "extract" or "extrapol...
320065de-2cac-418f-ab9e-804d4e92088c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Test of the Bene Gesserit Jessica didn't say what she felt, only what her son needed to hear. "Paul…," Jessica said it with love, "You are going to die. But remember you are a duke's son. Do not dishonor Leto with your passing." Jessica whirled and strode from the room with a swish of her skirt. The door closed with ...
c9a8175b-7ac7-4f97-bc5c-ad696e63f514
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Pyramid And The Garden I. A recent breakthrough in pseudoscience: the location of the Great Pyramid of Giza encodes the speed of light to seven decimal places. This is actually true. The speed of light in a vacuum is 299,792,458 meters per second. The coordinates of of the Great Pyramid are 29.9792458° N, 31.134...
c08a56f6-b012-4d42-bba8-72a129605e67
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Detecting Genetically Engineered Viruses With Metagenomic Sequencing This represents work from several people at the NAO. Thanks especially to Dan Rice for implementing the duplicate junction detection, and to @Will Bradshaw  and @mike_mclaren for editorial feedback. Summary If someone were to intentionally cause a ...
c4fef993-32c6-4192-a86e-0395df1e6bd0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Peril of the Great Leaks (written with ChatGPT) Context: I had an idea of a thought I wanted to spread but decided to make it via chatgpt. The full prompt can be found in the comments below. In less than three years, the world will be a very different place. Thanks to the rise of large language models (LLMs), hac...
668e64a2-01fc-41f5-9d0c-56b6604b212b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Current safety training techniques do not fully transfer to the agent setting TL;DR: We are presenting three recent papers which all share a similar finding, i.e. the safety training techniques for chat models don’t transfer well from chat models to the agents built from them. In other words, models won’t tell you how...
214d4ebd-c9c2-4d6e-8555-03088966c9c4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[LINK] Meteorologists are Epistemically Rational Nate Silver of the New York Times's political prediction blog fivethirtyeight has posted an excerpt of his upcoming book on predictions in various disciplines, The Signal and the Noise.  The excerpt describes how meteorologists, in contrast to prognosticators in other d...
5cc1c7b3-ceef-4c8b-b3b7-75706c3283df
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Zagreb Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : Zagreb Meetup WHEN: 07 September 2013 05:00:00PM (+0200) WHERE: Stupnička 14, Zagreb, Croatia Meetup will start with open discussion, but we have prepared some exercises and games to play :) Discussion article for the meetup : Zagreb Meetup
56e81166-7ee1-4538-be14-5966f43ea7bf
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is valuing life undervaluing it? People often object to human life having a value placed on it, explicitly or implicitly. (I’m told there are good reasons, apparently to do with dignity, compassion, holism, souls and me being sick and inhuman, but I must admit they seem incoherent to me – if anyone would like to expla...
45f0c6e1-40ee-4ae9-99f3-caf4325034e9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Still Not in Charge Epistemic Status: Speed premium, will hopefully flesh out more carefully in future Previously: Why I Am Not in Charge A brief update about my exchange with Scott from this past week. After Scott Alexander wrote a post about why WebMD is terrible and it would be good but impossible to put me in c...
84039186-d872-4edc-bc7e-4d4c4cf7a159
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
AI alignment and wolfram physics AI alignment and wolfram physics -------------------------------- [wolfram physics](https://writings.stephenwolfram.com/2020/04/finally-we-may-have-a-path-to-the-fundamental-theory-of-physics-and-its-beautiful/) is a project by [stephen wolfram](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bMYtE...
1a7f19ad-d239-4b3a-bd9e-6ca1418130bb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Brief Break I've been feeling burned on Overcoming Bias lately, meaning that I take too long to write my posts, which decreases the amount of recovery time, making me feel more burned, etc. So I'm taking at most a one-week break.  I'll post small units of rationality quotes each day, so as to not quite abandon you.  ...
60cba42a-bf3c-416e-bf39-41779b06a4ef
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Source of Karma I was thinking the other day it would be interesting to know something about the karma I was getting. Particularly the quality, to the extent that is possible to assess. I suspect everyone would prefer to have those they respect up voting posts and comments but that type of transparency might not be d...
0a7d82cd-988b-4628-bbc0-217805278530
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Rational Feed: Last Week's Community Articles and Some Recommended Posts ===Highly Recommended Articles: Slack by Zvi Moshowitz - You need slack in your life. Slack lets you explore and invest. If you don't have slack you can't relax or uphold your morals. Fight hard to maintain your slack and don't let people or thi...
e48c2b31-a790-4d37-823e-8ef5ba6ddbee
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Refine: An Incubator for Conceptual Alignment Research Bets I’m opening an incubator called Refine for conceptual alignment research in London, which will be hosted by Conjecture. The program is a three-month fully-paid fellowship for helping aspiring independent researchers find, formulate, and get funding for new co...
f6e73b90-7ae2-419a-bb61-a6ad7c56abde
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Weekly LW Meetups This summary was posted to LW Main on July 3rd. The following week's summary is here. Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in: * Australian Less Wrong Mega Meetup #2: 17 July 2015 07:00PM * Australia-wide Mega-Camp!: 17 July 2015 07:00PM * Hamburg : 17 July 2015 06:30PM * O...
0a04b81f-a4b5-43b3-8e9c-38d02f97573e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
D&D.Sci Scenario Index There have been a lot of D&D.Sci scenarios, but there's a lot of variance between them in complexity and quality.  Some are more difficult, and might not be a good place to start, while others are much simpler - some were very good, while others on reflection didn't flow quite right.   Unfortun...
57b74e7d-a057-4ca0-b7cd-c68cf4a38db1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Contact with reality (Cross-posted from Hands and Cities) In thought experiments descended from Nozick’s classic “experience machine,” you consider how being plugged into a machine that generates the experience of a certain kind of life (generally, a very pleasant one) compares with some alternative. Such comparisons...
3a649894-a7eb-4028-8565-9192e82c781b
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
AXRP Episode 6 - Debate and Imitative Generalization with Beth Barnes [Google Podcasts link](https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9heHJwb2RjYXN0LmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz/episode/NGY3ZTBiMzgtYWM5Ny00NDZmLTgxZmQtOTc1M2VhMGVkMzQz) This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Pod...
94fad763-eda4-4e8c-a3cd-c0ee4e1d545e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Worldly Positions archive, briefly with private drafts I realized it was hard to peruse past Worldly Positions posts without logging in to Tumblr, which seemed pretty bad. So I followed Substack’s instructions to import the archives into world spirit sock stack. And it worked pretty well, except that SUBSTACK ALSO PUB...
2cec6ee4-a125-4ff3-946e-ba0586fd770f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
TSR #5 The Nature of Operations **This is part of a series of posts where I call out some ideas from the latest edition of The Strategic Review (written by Sebastian Marshall), and give some prompts and questions that I think people might find useful to answer. I include a summary of the most recent edition, but it's ...
a71e0a08-a001-462c-a938-1ea519af57a0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
SSC Meetups Everywhere 2018 Scott over at SlateStarCodex is running another round of "SSC Meetups Everywhere" and since currently a record-high of 80+ meetups are registered for the coming month, I figured we should help people find their nearest meetup, and make them aware of the opportunity. As part of that, we are ...
605a029d-6813-4fe9-9471-7e619688e2cc
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
The Hidden Complexity of Wishes > > "I wish to live in the locations of my choice, in a physically healthy, uninjured, and apparently normal version of my current body containing my current mental state, a body which will heal from all injuries at a rate three sigmas faster than the average given the medical technolo...
5d5fa9ec-891a-42ae-84a6-7bd415d289d7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is Claude a mystic? There's an odd tendency for large language models such as Claude to output spiritual meta content if they run long enough. See, for example, some LLM outputs selected by Repligate (LLM content starts in 2024), and Worldspider outputs selected by John Pressman. One thing that is unclear is how cons...
ae1fb6be-23c6-4d19-bd7a-33e1a0b095d6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Foot-Chording Chords As part of my rhythm stage setup, I have four pedals which I primarily use for heel-toe drumming. When playing mandolin, or holding a baby, however, I can instead use these pedals to play bass notes or chords. I tell it what key and mode I'm in, and then can choose one of the four chords I'm most ...
ee73c9b5-cfb1-448c-a5c5-1cdb552a98d7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : HPMOR/Other media discussion Discussion article for the meetup : HPMOR/Other media discussion WHEN: 02 March 2015 06:15:00PM (-0800) WHERE: 1061 Market St #4, San Francisco, CA 94103 This is the first meetup of the month and is therefore the Schelling meetup: If you want to come once a month, now's the tim...
e1a3f6e6-5c65-45d4-8e9e-26f2e7577952
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Paper: Discovering novel algorithms with AlphaTensor [Deepmind] The authors apply an AlphaZero-like algorithm to discover new matrix multiplication algorithms. They do this by turning matrix multiplication into a one-player game, where the state represents how far from correct the current output is, moves are algorith...
109c104b-7d9f-4bf9-a3c2-e90f4d05a8d6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Amoeba roles in tech In the past couple of years, I’ve found myself roles that are defined by their lack of definition. It’s the kind of role that lets you add value in ways that don’t fit neatly into tech’s boxes, where there’s room for more undirectedness and using your curiosity as a battering ram. Depending on whe...
5e4b6fc2-d55c-41d8-918f-c7b4901a96a9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Writing Russian and Ukrainian words in Latin script I wanted to figure out how to properly write Russian and Ukrainian words using the Latin alphabet, but it turns out there are dozen different standards for Russian and half a dozen different standards for Ukrainian. My original plan was to post two short algorithms ...
9709a282-8596-4480-bbb9-e608a3e7cb26
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Tetherware #1: The case for humanlike AI with free will In this post, I argue that more humanlike AI with greater autonomy and freedom isn’t just easier to align with our values; it could also help reduce economic inequality, foster mutual collaboration and accountability, and simply make living with AI more enjoyable...
9b957ba9-ce52-4ffe-a861-5356a3d7ed3a
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
John Ridgway on safety-critical systems ![John Ridgway portrait](http://intelligence.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/John_Ridgway_w680.jpg)John Ridgway studied physics at the University of Newcastle Upon Tyne and Sussex University before embarking upon a career in software engineering. As part of that career he worked ...
da4f9206-2018-4919-835b-56431fb8529b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Resolving von Neumann-Morgenstern Inconsistent Preferences I consider the problem of resolving preferences that are inconsistent under the von Neumann-Morgenstern axioms into consistent preferences. For preferences over deterministic options, I model inconsistent preferences as directed graphs, and the resolution as s...
766eae02-ddb9-4847-941f-dde20b7c6c57
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Results from the language model hackathon We ran a black box investigation hackathon (original post) with 7 projects submitted by 15 participants. Here we share some of the results (with permission). In summary: * GPT-3 is less truthful when it is prompted to also be friendly. * Soliciting harmful advice is a very ...
660d84e9-e941-465e-84de-74a8a951980a
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
clarifying formal alignment implementation clarifying formal alignment implementation ------------------------------------------ one thing i think bears clarification for the purpose of how i intend to save the world using [AI aligned to formal goals](formal-alignment.html) is that i think giving an AI a model of th...
70b2cdf7-a315-4a26-8de4-1793969aa168
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Defensiveness as hysterical invisibility Sometimes people get defensive. That is, Alice tells Bob, "You have property X", and then Bob tenses his muscles, moves rigidly, pretends to not be bothered, and denies that he has property X, or changes the subject, or asks Alice why she thinks he's X (perhaps in a tenser / h...
2a5066c3-4bd6-442d-960e-0aceb881d85d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Category (mathematics) A **category** consists of a collection of objects with morphisms between them. A morphism $f$ goes from one object, say $X$, to another, say $Y$, and is drawn as an arrow from $X$ to $Y$. Note that $X$ may equal $Y$ (in which case $f$ is referred to as an [https://arbital.com/p/-endomorphism](h...
12821e02-55b9-4a01-92bc-c0d7659eb0b7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Frontier AI Risk Management Framework: Bridging the Gap Between Current AI Practices and Established Risk Management We (SaferAI) propose a risk management framework which we think should improve substantially upon existing Frontier Safety Frameworks if followed. It introduces and borrows a range of practice and con...
2fbf4bcc-e87f-4c05-9ebf-18749530bd60
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
To Be Born in a Bag Written by Tom Ireland & published by Asimov Press. The womb is a remarkable organ — a muscular, pear-shaped chamber that supports the transformation of a tiny cluster of dividing cells into an entirely new person. All humans begin their lives in this sturdy chamber. At least for now. Several re...
96e91de1-7d87-4ae4-ac80-7cfd42cfcf51
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Powering Through vs Working Around Lately, I’ve been musing on the nature of self-improvement in general.  When I notice that something I’ve been doing-- be it mental or physical, the next immediate chain of thought is “Okay, how do I improve my life now, knowing this phenomena exists?”  In doing so, I’ve recently rea...
0dc2075a-a2f6-4f33-8070-1a168504cb78
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Covid 10/21: Rogan vs. Gupta I finally got my booster shot yesterday. I intended to get it three weeks ago, but there was so much going on continuously that I ended up waiting until I could afford to be knocked out for a day in case that happened, and because it’s always easy to give excuses for not interacting with s...
bfe6339a-a632-48fa-9582-6e9938966358
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
D&D.Sci Dungeonbuilding: the Dungeon Tournament This is an entry in the 'Dungeons & Data Science' series, a set of puzzles where players are given a dataset to analyze and an objective to pursue using information from that dataset. Complexity Rating: 3/5 STORY The Dungeon Tournament is held regularly, calling dunge...
3e9b0269-c7a4-418b-8f4c-86929ba31e6f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Intransitive Preferences You Can't Pump In the usual argument of money-pumping we take an agent with preferences A>B, B>C and C>A. Then we offer it to exchange C+$1 for B, then B+$1 for A, and finally A+$1 for C. Now the agent paid $3 and ended up where it started. The assumption here is that not only does this agent...
822a6052-5aef-4474-b0aa-db033cb3d7c6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The commercial incentive to intentionally train AI to deceive us We have all experienced application programs telling us something we did not want to hear, e.g., poor financial status, or results of design calculations outside practical bounds. While we may feel like shooting the messenger, applications are treated as...
5a7f54f3-8158-4734-9cca-0748cd5d6e8e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
It's time to worry about online privacy again As we all know, if you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear. Nobody cares about your private life. You are not an important geopolitical target. Nobody's going to spy on you to know what weird pornography you watch.  And so, around 2015, people gave up on online...
b8c69c7e-5512-4f8c-a9ca-da9973797e07
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"A comment I made on social media last year about why MIRI cares about making progress on decision theory:We aren't working on decision theory in order to make sure that AGI systems are decision-theoretic, whatever that would involve. We're working on decision theory because there's a cluster of confusing issues here (...
388d633c-ba48-4676-ad6c-d7b2204dc4c8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Disincentives for participating on LW/AF I was in a research retreat recently with many AI alignment researchers, and found that the vast majority of them do not participate (post or comment) on LW/AF or participate to a much lesser extent than I would prefer. It seems important to bring this up and talk about whether...
de854312-598a-48c4-ae44-df97a9b21f8f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup WHEN: 10 May 2016 07:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: 269 Pearl St Manchester NH 03104 The eighteenth NH meet-up is Tuesday, 5/10, in Manchester, NH at 7 pm at a private residence. Light refreshments will be provided. Have you read Ration...
cf97614f-12ed-4055-ad28-1b1bacc3ba44
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What are beliefs you wouldn't want (or would feel apprehensive about being) public if you had (or have) them? Update: Beliefs that are about the world in general, and not about yourself in particular (ie. things you don't want to say about yourself)
d5c094f6-e9c0-431d-a3f6-00e7ad2e53de
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Ways of being with you Suppose you want to get in touch with your care for someone, or to feel empathy for them. One way is to imagine what it is like to be them, looking out of their eyes and feeling what they are feeling. For instance, if your friend did something frustrating, you might imagine the experience of cho...
d8d34efb-41e8-4e49-a6c7-9171cc9502d6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Gemini 2.5 Pro: From 0506 to 0605 Google recently came out with Gemini-2.5-0605, to replace Gemini-2.5-0506, because I mean at this point it has to be the companies intentionally fucking with us, right? > Google: Our updated Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview continues to excel at coding, helping you build more complex web apps....