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ee2e0040-1583-4599-ade9-bc1dd16ed94f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Epistemological Weight Class
On a certain level, most people have a general idea of who they should and should not debate, with regards to any given subject with which they are familiar. This sense is, essentially, an assessment of how hard it would be to win a debate with the given person on the given subject. This a... |
a4e81a90-3d5d-40e8-b687-77c03dc7b1e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Marriage Ceremony for Aspiring Rationalists
Recently, LWers Will Ryan and Divia Melwani (now Will and Divia Eden) were married, with Eliezer Yudkowsky officiating.
I've been to 40+ weddings in my lifetime, and this was my favorite ceremony yet. Here is the video, and below is the transcript of Eliezer's... what's i... |
6a7901ac-011b-4f6b-9d4a-9c28454be3ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London rationalish meetup - 2016-03-06
Discussion article for the meetup : London rationalish meetup - 2016-03-06
WHEN: 06 March 2016 02:00:00PM (+0000)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6AH
Did you know that in 2016, it's possible to set up a website with server, domain name and discu... |
dff7d2f7-eacf-4bd5-9f51-104b62de65af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beyond ELO: Rethinking Chess Skill as a Multidimensional Random Variable
Introduction
The traditional ELO rating system reduces a player's ability to a single scalar value E, from which win probabilities are computed via a logistic function of the rating difference. While pragmatic, this one-dimensional approach may ... |
1a952e36-227f-4379-b97f-9628a3cbb51b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [fiction] Our Final Hour
EtA: This is fictional, and symbolism; not a precise prediction. Feedback appreciated.
As intelligence is bottled and amplified, we'll all become very wealthy. Doing our job will mostly become about providing more training data for the AI – until it learns it well enough, and we can go home f... |
9fd306ed-068e-47d1-9e69-9cd544034331 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | GPT-4 Plugs In
GPT-4 Right Out of the Box
In some ways, the best and worst thing about GPT-4 was its cutoff date of September 2021. After that date it had no access to new information, and it had no ability to interact with the world beyond its chat window.
As a practical matter, that meant that a wide range of use ... |
ead97e86-9ad8-41c6-9610-13aba4ec4605 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Which areas of rationality are underexplored? - Discussion Thread
There seems to actually be real momentum behind this attempt as reviving Less Wrong. One of the oldest issues on LW has been the lack of content. For this reason, I thought that it might be worthwhile opening a thread where people can suggest how we can... |
e65e4e19-70c8-4868-a5e1-df07063d8d62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experiments as a Third Alternative
As a kid in elementary school, I was diagnosed with ADHD. I think the diagnostic process is dumb and unreliable, and so the fact that I was diagnosed seems like it should only count as weak evidence. But knowing what I know about myself and having read a few books about ADHD, my best... |
59385cd1-0511-4d72-8495-0b5ddb8547c9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Distributed Cooperation
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; directi... |
183e92cd-a9de-4535-acf9-93ce67e0d1e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Start an Upper-Room UV Installation Company?
While this post touches on biosecurity it's a personal post and I'm not speaking for my employer
If you want to prevent airborne spread of diseases you have a few options:
* Filter breath (masks, PAPRs)
* Replace the air (ventilation)
* Clean the air (filters, UV lig... |
ba93012e-d15c-4575-8845-54fdf398440e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Magic and the halting problem
It is clear that the Harry Potter book series is fairly popular on this site, e.g. the fanfiction. This fanfiction approaches the existence of magic objectively and rationally. I would suggest, however, that most if not all of the people on this site would agree that magic, as presented i... |
1e5b9419-6aab-42d8-a24f-578d071d4cf6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
*Katja Grace, Aug 4 2022*
AI Impacts just finished collecting data from a new survey of ML researchers, as similar to the [2016 one](https://aiimpacts.org/2016-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/) as practical, aside from a couple of new questions that seemed too interesti... |
5e541fb5-32bc-4025-a5e0-e3512b73c8fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] A gentle video introduction to game theory
In this article I invite LessWrong users to learn the very basic math of something that is useful to both our community's goal of making better thinkers as well as many of the unrelated discussions that we often have here. I also present resources for further study to... |
6028e9ad-937d-4d2f-91fe-fbed77d1d1a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Candyland is Terrible
Candyland seriously suffers from not being aimed at a coherent age: either you're old enough that you could instead play a game where you make choices, or you're young enough that the disappointment of getting a card that—out of nowhere—sends you nearly back to the beginning is crushing. Growing ... |
af005ffa-c9ea-4dde-8911-23bb4ac98bd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Science Doesn't Trust Your Rationality
Today's post, Science Doesn't Trust Your Rationality was originally published on 14 May 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> The reason Science doesn't always agree with the exact, Bayesian, rational answer, is that Science doesn't trust you to be rational.... |
adc47839-75fa-46ba-b353-8760f9db75d4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts
Supplementary Information
-------------------------
### Survey Content
We developed questions through a series of interviews with Machine Learning researchers. Our survey questions were as follows:
1. Three sets of questions eliciting HLMI predict... |
58ff5c14-2339-476b-82d6-5fb7132536c5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Why does (any particular) AI safety work reduce s-risks more than it increases them?
My understanding is that most AI safety work that plausibly reduces some s-risks may reduce extinction risks as well, and I'm thinking that some futures where we go extinct because of AI (especially with a single AI taking over) would... |
2e68c39a-d1f3-4674-beb4-e9a9dabd2af0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Which of these arguments for x-risk do you think we should test?
I will be running a large survey to find out which arguments for caring about existential risk get people hooked and which don’t. As there are many such arguments, I’d appreciate feedback on which ones to prioritize message testing through [this form](h... |
bea302e7-6c9a-4aaa-bb90-f8879bba5980 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AI Alignment Overview: Ensuring Artificial Intelligence Behaves
A s AI becomes more powerful it's likely
to solve some of humanity's most
difficult challenges because we're too
slow in processing we don't have the
massive scales of data or just areas
where we shouldn't venture, but what if
AI's goals are different let... |
cf8e2bbe-09b4-4c4d-bd99-0642281a0821 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Social Anxiety Isn’t About Being Liked
There's this popular idea that socially anxious folks are just dying to be liked. It seems logical, right? Why else would someone be so anxious about how others see them?
Show tweet
And yet, being socially anxious tends to make you less likeable…they must be optimizing poorly, b... |
3b5c35f0-ea91-4709-91c6-57108a48615f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A fictional AI law laced w/ alignment theory
I have envisioned what AI laws could potentially look like, and I believe they should incorporate a substantial amount of alignment theory. I think the AI governance community could find my idea valuable and relevant to their discussions and initiatives.
Act of Artific... |
39fc03e2-7ca2-445c-88bc-0037fda332a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An interview with Danica Remy on protecting the Earth from asteroids.
Danica Remy is the President of the B612 Foundation, an organization dedicated to protecting Earth from asteroid impacts, and we recently interviewed her on the Futurati Podcast.
She makes the provocative claim that asteroid impacts are the one m... |
79d9a943-245b-4685-b019-cc385a7ca609 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Assortative Mating And Autism
Introduction
Assortative mating is when similar people marry and have children. Some people worry about assortative mating in Silicon Valley: highly analytical tech workers marry other highly analytical tech workers. If highly analytical tech workers have more autism risk genes than the ... |
8392d82d-05fd-4218-9df8-4c08b77c1bd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Want to work on US emerging tech policy? Consider the Horizon Fellowship.
Applications are now open for the 2025 Horizon Fellowship cohort
What do you get?
* The fellowship program will fund and facilitate placements for 1-2 years in full-time US policy roles at executive branch offices, Congressional offices, and t... |
57ebad55-0c38-4afe-b208-4328353dbc4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EA Reflections on my Military Career
Four years ago, I commissioned as an Officer in the UK's Royal Navy. I had been engaging with EA for four years before that and chose this career as a coherent part of my impact-focused career plan, and I stand by that decision.
Early next year, I will leave the Navy. This article... |
cd2f3565-e656-465e-98e2-70230ea84a5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Cowpox of Doubt
I remember hearing someone I know try to explain rationality to his friends.
He started with “It’s important to have correct beliefs. You might think this is obvious, but think about creationists and homeopaths and people who think the moon landing was a hoax.” And then further on in this vein.
A... |
5b813d82-9ec2-4713-8533-7ef2ba2d73bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the leftover questions of metaethics?
lukeprog gave a list of metaethics questions here:
> What does moral language mean? Do moral facts exist? If so, what are they like, and are they reducible to natural facts? How can we know whether moral judgments are true or false? Is there a connection between making a... |
38545693-30a9-4f64-8fe1-7374e348445a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cheap food causes cooperative ethics
Nobody has ever fought a war over the oxygen in the air because there's plenty of oxygen to go around. We fight over things that are scarce and valuable. Historically, most wars have been fought over land and people. If you win you get to force your subjects to collect raw material... |
a01bf172-43b3-4653-99ff-c1a0020fd845 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moloch: optimisation, "and" vs "or", information, and sacrificial ems
Go read Yvain/Scott's Meditations On Moloch. It's one of the most beautiful, disturbing, poetical look at the future that I've ever seen.
Go read it.
Don't worry, I can wait. I'm only a piece of text, my patience is infinite.
De-dum, de-dum.
You... |
26a478c7-0478-4f16-a9d2-02780ee2a5d6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Closure
A [set](https://arbital.com/p/3jz) $S$ is _closed_ under an [operation](https://arbital.com/p/3h7) $f$ if, whenever $f$ is fed elements of $S$, it produces another element of $S$. For example, if $f$ is a trinary operation (i.e., a function of three arguments) then "$S$ is closed under $f$" means "if $x, y, z ... |
332f4166-38cd-4dfb-a0f3-8ffe3018b567 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could you please share a tool to help with reasoning or make better decisions?
From the book Rationality A to Z, the general understanding of Lean( is an interactive theorem prover), Intuitive Interactive Bayes' Theorem Visualization tool(example: https://allenkim67.github.io/bayes-demo/).
I assumed that there should... |
6ab65207-57d0-4a5a-b681-89d9766dca03 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notice When People Are Directionally Correct
I started watching Peter Zeihan videos last year.
He shares a lot of interesting information, although he seems to have a very strong bias towards doom and gloom.
One thing in particular stood out to me as completely absurd: his claim that global trade is going to collaps... |
0c6af578-0da5-4486-9db3-7434b86ee73f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is AI alignment a purely functional property?
In some recent discussions I have realized that there is a quite a nasty implied disagreement about whether AI alignment is a functional property or not, that is if your personal definition of whether an AI is "aligned" is purely a function of its input/output behavior ir... |
df42d622-3b1a-446a-b8e5-c55e11b3b338 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probabilistic Blue-Eyed Islanders
A puzzle: what happens in the blue-eyed islanders puzzle if we allow a small probability p for each each person to make a mistake each night? Assume that the probability of a mistake is the same for each and is common knowledge, the islanders are all ideal Bayesian reasoners, and let'... |
192952fa-491e-4c96-af99-2e6367e82229 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We are misaligned: the saddening idea that most of humanity doesn't intrinsically care about x-risk, even on a personal level
In the article But What Would the End of Humanity Mean for Me?, James Hamblin writes
> Get out of here. I have a hundred thousand things I am concerned about at this exact moment. Do I serious... |
9e05f9b9-c8b1-4c43-b9f9-8b2db97174d5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Visualizing and Understanding Convolutional Networks
1 Introduction
---------------
Since their introduction by (LeCun et al., [1989](#bib.bib17)) in the early 1990’s, Convolutional
Networks (convnets) have demonstrated excellent performance at
tasks such as hand-written digit classification and face
detection. In ... |
4edb3ac5-bb7b-4de1-a47f-e24341ed074f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #93]: The Precipice we’re standing at, and how we can back away from it
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been... |
3d6f72d5-6ed8-4833-ab19-3c8a6c956725 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cat Sustenance Fortification
We got cats a few months ago, which is overall very nice. Julia set them up with automatic dispensers for food and water which reduces how often we need to get things for them, and keeps them from begging. Except recently:
* One cat (Nyx) has figured out how to knock over the food disp... |
07994723-e336-483b-ac8e-f4368b78ce20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yudkowsky vs Hanson on FOOM: Whose Predictions Were Better?
TLDR
Starting in 2008, Robin Hanson and Eliezer Yudkowsky debated the likelihood of FOOM: a rapid and localized increase in some AI's intelligence that occurs because an AI recursively improves itself.
As Yudkowsky summarizes his position:
> I think that, a... |
d5a48331-f2c9-4f34-9b7f-cff79309487a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Which personalities do we find intolerable?
TLDR: I suspect that we will generally be intolerant of other people’s personalities when:
1. We are on the culturally decided “right” side of a particular trait.
2. And the other person is on the “wrong” side of that same trait.
I have no real evidence beyond anecdotes ... |
ea5dd8fe-79ac-4e67-8ed1-a4374eb89a95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Literacy Rates Haven't Fallen By 20% Since the Department of Education Was Created
On the heels of Donald Trump’s election and his promises to end the Department of Education, you may have seen claims like these spreading around X.
Source
This claim is based on two datapoints. First, is the literacy rate of around 9... |
5b0a04df-8652-4f95-8712-96141c222c66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What celebration is
I’m back! And to celebrate being back, I shall discuss celebrating. I actually have not much idea why people celebrate things the way they do, but the practice has many interesting features.
Stylized facts about celebrating stuff:
1. It generally happens at the beginnings and ends of differenti... |
8d08ace9-6101-4e95-9e76-325d3645adac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Best shot at immortality?
What looks, at the moment, as the most feasible technology that can grant us immortality (e.g., mind uploading, cryonics)?
I posed this question to a fellow transhumanist and he argued that cryonics is the answer, but I failed to grasp his explanation. Besides, I am still struggling to learn... |
1343abf0-de24-4b05-991a-f732bf0c51ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcement: Learning Theory Online Course
The application deadline for the course has now passed. We received a very promising number of submissions! Feel free to continue discussion in the comments below.
Hey everyone! Gergely and Kōshin here from ALTER and Monastic Academy, respectively. We are excited to announc... |
f23f71dc-c0f3-46d5-b93c-b63f68793598 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | European Community Weekend 2014 retrospective
So finally - with two weeks distance to the first European LessWrong Community Weekend - we want to share the organizers’ perception of the event, including a short overview of what went well, what did not and what exceeded our expectations.
First and foremost we thank al... |
967d7e1e-415d-4317-b767-d29cd20a2603 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Goal-directedness: exploring explanations
*This is the first post in my Effective-Altruism-funded project aiming to deconfuse goal-directedness. Comments are welcomed. All opinions expressed are my own, and do not reflect the attitudes of any member of the body sponsoring me.*
In my [preliminary post](https://www.les... |
495b9e56-5427-42fd-a5e5-b287929400db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Media Diet: Cultivating Voice, Deliberate Action, and Alive Time
Content Consumption Versus Production
My present consumption versus production ratio is not well balanced, I consume ridiculously more media and content than what I produce.(1) So! I am changing that :)
I think content consumption is a necessary part of... |
54b49bfb-e5d3-4e87-be57-f5ff95db331d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Superintelligence Reading Group 3: AI and Uploads
*This is part of a weekly reading group on [Nick Bostrom](http://www.nickbostrom.com/)'s book, [Superintelligence](http://www.amazon.com/Superintelligence-Dangers-Strategies-Nick-Bostrom/dp/0199678111). For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far... |
0cd2f195-84a3-451d-990d-09538dc9071d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Trying to better understand futarchy
I'm trying to work out exactly what instruments should be traded for the purposes of a futarchy.
Let the decision be whether to adopt some proposal C; our options are C or ~C. In particular, we wish to know which of EV|C or EV|~C is larger, where EV is expected-value utility accor... |
c8453e05-8a3f-4d65-99e7-7c083209da57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley: Weekly goals
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: Weekly goals
WHEN: 22 January 2014 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2030 Addison, 3rd Floor, Berkeley, CA
Hello all, at today's meetup I'd like to start experimenting with an accountability practice other meetup groups have tried: Keeping a list... |
61e45565-5dfc-4f23-a721-0d4c73edd4f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West Los Angeles - Resolutions
Discussion article for the meetup : West Los Angeles - Resolutions
WHEN: 18 December 2013 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Suite 312, Los Angeles, CA 90064
When: 7:00pm Wednesday, December 18.
Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welco... |
765c3794-ecc6-4b6b-8a46-5f5026218578 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Emergent Social Learning via Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning
Introduction
------------
Social learning—learning by observing the behavior of other agents in the same environment—enables both humans and animals to discover useful behaviors that would be difficult to obtain through individual exploration, and adap... |
27ae69c3-d3df-4666-8be9-c9d288a9ec43 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #151]: How sparsity in the final layer makes a neural net debuggable
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[thi... |
6a937335-6d88-478f-ad4c-c8946d116094 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Insights from 'The Strategy of Conflict'
Cross-posted from my blog.
I recently read Thomas Schelling's book 'The Strategy of Conflict'. Many of the ideas it contains are now pretty widely known, especially in the rationalist community, such as the value of Schelling points when coordination must be obtained without c... |
b128da65-8e76-4528-849f-84c5b41bbd4b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could auto-generated troll scores reduce Twitter and Facebook harassments?
There's been a lot of discussion in the last few yeas on the problem of hateful behaviour on social media such as Twitter and Facebook. How can this problem be solved? Twitter and Facebook could of course start adopting stricter policies toward... |
5b5058d0-6686-4b61-9fc6-737703320b55 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | CSS for pixeley images
CSS for pixeley images
----------------------
have you even been consuming pixel art, such as the great webcomic [Unicorn Jelly](http://unicornjelly.com), but been upset that on modern monitors you have to either suffer seeing either a really small version of the comic or a blurry zoomed-in ve... |
d27173b2-964a-4379-adf9-f092c4deb9b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there any rigorous work on using anthropic uncertainty to prevent situational awareness
/ deception?
AI systems up to some high level of intelligence plausibly need to know exactly where they are in space-time in order for deception/"scheming" to make sense as a strategy.
This is because they need to know:
1) wha... |
6f952593-d36a-48c0-bcdb-db9a8482b6af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memory Decoding Journal Club: Structure and function of the hippocampal CA3 module
Join Us for the Memory Decoding Journal Club!
A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
This time, we’re diving into a groundbreaking paper:
"Structure and function of the hippocampal CA3 module"... |
ae3ac3f9-dfac-43f8-87f4-37b6ed7479c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who wants to be invited to the LW Metamodern dialogue?
I want to start a metamodern dialogue. Ideally, it will lead to a Metamodern handshake (or many of them), ie, we figure out how to help local people and systems get even more of what they selfishly want by aiming also at helping avert the meta-crisis, participatin... |
54702e5a-50b6-48cd-b400-5e6a9e80cfb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The I Ching Series (2/10): How should I prioritize my career-building projects?
Note: See comments for my actual writings in response to I Ching Hexagram interpretations. This main post is for meta-reflection on the experiment.
The Rules:
* No divination-related questions.
* I will do ten I Ching sessions, about... |
3f130390-43d9-472e-a0d5-e337ef288a5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Developmental Thinking Shout-out to CFAR
Preamble
Before I make my main point, I want to acknowledge that curriculum development is hard. It's even harder when you're trying to teach the unteachable. And it's even harder when you're in the process of bootstrapping. I am aware of the Kahneman inside/outside curriculum... |
832f1c20-283c-4159-a47e-0ac96c91c5eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality and Spirituality - Summary and Open Thread
I've noticed that there has recently been a lot of interest in spirituality, ritual and meaning within the rationality community. I could highlight the discussions of Jordan Peterson (SSC, SSC Follow Up, Put A Num On It), Valentine's recent posts (Fake Frameworks,... |
bd10a4d8-e31c-465d-92a8-b07a1113c4ea | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are some good books about AGI safety?
*[The Alignment Problem](https://brianchristian.org/the-alignment-problem/)* (2020) by Brian Christian is a comprehensive overview of challenges that come with aligning AI systems.
The book that first made the case to the public is Nick Bostrom’s *[Superintelligence](https:/... |
9482e9e4-5fe1-439f-9fcb-56ca94454424 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Learning Data-Driven Objectives to Optimize Interactive Systems
1 Introduction
---------------
Interactive systems play an important role in assisting users in a wide range of tasks (Argelaguet et al., [2016](#bib.bib2); Kiseleva et al., [2016](#bib.bib17); Li et al., [2016](#bib.bib22); Williams et al., [2016](#bi... |
515c6431-722b-45d6-bc12-078c65897fb4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Always know where your abstractions break
General relativity plus quantum field theory can describe almost everything in the universe. There are a few exceptions like cosmic expansion and black holes but to human beings confined to a single solar system, fundamental physics is (for all practical purposes) a solved pro... |
563cb73d-164a-49d3-a0d2-0becdd323945 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 31 Laws of Fun
So this is Utopia, is it? Well
I beg your pardon, I thought it was Hell.
-- Sir Max Beerholm, verse entitled
In a Copy of More's (or Shaw's or Wells's or Plato's or Anybody's) Utopia
This is a shorter summary of the Fun Theory Sequence with all the background theory left out - just the... |
8e6dbb93-1e42-49b4-91f8-7fc815779b94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Much Data From a Sequencing Run?
Cross-posted from my NAO Notebook.
Manufacturers often give optimistic estimates for how much data their systems produce, but performance in practice can be pretty different. What have we seen at the NAO?
We've worked with two main sample types, wastewater and nasal swabs, but Si... |
7b3c73b2-6d83-4e42-bb53-c73f7ab7ddd8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Canberra: Many Worlds + Paranoid Debating
Discussion article for the meetup : Canberra: Many Worlds + Paranoid Debating
WHEN: 27 June 2014 06:00:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: 108 North Road, Acton, ACT
First, I will give a brief presentation about the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics, talking about wh... |
37fcced1-e4d4-4cdb-bd6a-23ca0112643a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Canberra: Meta-meetup + meditation
Discussion article for the meetup : Canberra: Meta-meetup + meditation
WHEN: 28 March 2014 06:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: ANU Arts Centre
Our first regular meetup will have two parts: firstly, we will be discussing what we want to get out of meetups, what sort of things we wou... |
28faf5ee-bb64-4aad-b5ed-6edbf204a6e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington D.C.: Parkour (Backup: Task Management)
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington D.C.: Parkour (Backup: Task Management)
WHEN: 14 September 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: U.S. Navy Memorial
Weather permitting, we will meet at the Navy Memorial (south on 8th St from the Portrait Gallery, be... |
0aa13304-4446-4540-a95c-36b6788fd33d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Find the Frontiers of Knowledge
This article is based on my lecture at Topos House, San Francisco on February 29, 2020. It was originally published on SamoBurja.com. You can access the original here.
Not all fields of knowledge exist yet. If you tried to study biochemistry in 1820, you’d have a lot of trouble:... |
df3e8719-1f6b-4bea-b5b9-44bd187d9e19 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Aligning AI to Human Values means Picking the Right Metrics
![]()\*\*\*From time to time, the Partnership may curate research and ideas that might be of interest to our community, including from PAI Fellows or other voices. The views, information, and opinions expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and ... |
b65ad817-4bec-4ddf-a904-f2c9f269de43 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Stable Pointers to Value III: Recursive Quantilization
This is a very loose idea.
In Stable [Pointers to Value II](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1762), I pointed at a loose hierarchy of approaches in which you try to get rid of the wireheading problem by revising the feedback loop to remove the incentive to wi... |
8c734afa-a9b8-4eef-bfc6-cf9453b1dec3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deciding what to study at undergraduate level
I'm a high school senior from Europe and in a few months I'll be heading to university.
I have a keen interest in the human body. As such, I would like to work in emerging interdisciplinary fields, such as stem cell transplantation and suspended animation.
I could go on... |
5ca28b63-3bb8-4a65-a199-3f4ba1c40299 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Is Death?
This article is an excerpt from the book 'The Future Loves You'.
Summary of the article by Grok:
> The article "What Is Death?" by Ariel Zeleznikow-Johnston explores the evolving definition of death in light of medical advancements. Historically, death was straightforward—cessation of breathing and he... |
ed7af149-6400-4bf9-86cd-72de921c3c47 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Podcast: How not to waste a billion dollars (on your clinical trial), with Meri Beckwith on Development & Research
I hosted Meri Beckwith, CEO of Lindus Health, on my podcast Development & Research. Meri founded Lindus after being a clinical trial patient—because he was astounded at how badly clinical drug trials were... |
4c25ca12-2d87-46e7-af5e-a818e9edc046 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Oracle AGI - How can it escape, other than security issues? (Steganography?)
Let's suppose we have an AGI running on a perfectly physically isolated computer that may be misalligned. It only communicates with select humans through a perfectly secure text channel.
How can such an AGI escape?
While don't think that ... |
d394d69d-f6a2-44df-a27b-9d698d9988ba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Draft report on AI timelines
*Note from* [*Aaron*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/aarongertler)*: I found this well after it was posted on* [*LessWrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KrJfoZzpSDpnrv9va/draft-report-on-ai-timelines) *and cross-posted it here with Ajeya's permission. She won't necessarily b... |
d16a30f3-decb-4104-9990-006d77daf156 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Big Berkeley Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Big Berkeley Meetup
WHEN: 18 April 2012 06:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 2011 Shattuck Ave, Berkeley, CA
WHEN: 18 April 2012 06:30:00PM WHERE: 2011 Shattuck Ave, Berkeley, CA This will be a joint dinner with the MPHD seminar folks. We'll meet at Biryani Hous... |
700ac619-a902-470d-b533-03e16cefe5d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Fundamental Question - Rationality computer game design
> I sometimes go around saying that the fundamental question of rationality is Why do you believe what you believe?
>
> -- Eliezer in Quantum Non-Realism
I was much impressed when they finally came out with a PC version of DragonBox, and I got around to tes... |
fff299f6-f1e8-4bdb-9e70-55f85acca1b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Maps and Blueprint; the Two Sides of the Alignment Equation
Tl;dr
In this post, I will introduce two conceptual tools I found useful when thinking about (or introducing people to) AI alignment. Namely, I introduce the distinction between Maps and Blueprints (part 1), describe (what I call) the Two Sides of the “Alignm... |
30742f7a-870d-4c7e-bd06-f1b737d7e9ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What epistemic hygiene norms should there be?
The wiki entry for Epistemic Hygiene defines the term as:
Epistemic hygiene consists of practices meant to allow accurate beliefs to spread within a community and keep less accurate or biased beliefs contained. The practices are meant to serve an analogous purpose to norm... |
75def964-afe1-4227-b2e0-23029f7af9c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MrBeast's Squid Game Tricked Me
I recently watched Squid Game—both the original Netflix series and MrBeast's real life version. Then I watched every video I could find about how MrBeast's Squid Game was made. I was surprised to learn that MrBeast used a whole bunch of CGI (computer-generated imagery). I had taken its ... |
d2fd41ac-0f2d-493a-97e1-3c5cbf621c9d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Air-gapping evaluation and support
*This blog post was written fast to communicate a concept I think is important. I may edit this post for legibility later.*
I think evaluation and support mechanisms should be somewhat “[air-gapped](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_gap_(networking)),” or isolated, in their informat... |
f22030a3-ccf4-4aea-8b54-b55a3b7939a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is anyone working on formally verified AI toolchains?
Not talking about solving alignment, but preventing stuff like "we solved alignment but we died anyways because of a race condition." |
b42b39c6-4243-4fdd-9f04-2deadf82785f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unrolling social metacognition: Three levels of meta are not enough.
Disclaimer: This post was written time-boxed to 2 hours because I think LessWrong can still understand and improve upon it; please don't judge me harshly for it.
Summary: I am generally dismayed that many people seem to think or assume that only thr... |
17b5b2d0-5362-4380-b331-0562afd4ce7f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | real life sample: why am I so scarred of roller coasters
I currently visit a theme park with some friends. There I noticed that I am highly afraid of rides that involve heights and fast moving like roller coasters. We rode a few of them, and of course nothing happened, as it is supposed to be a lot of fun. But for me ... |
6feffa85-f68c-4cc7-9c3f-a600047a5a5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The AI, the best human advisor
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
All my ideas on reduced impact AI follow the same format: some restriction to ensure a reduced impact (I generally use something like "could a future AI detect this one existed"?) and some "trick" to allow a way of still achieving a larger... |
d97fa3c9-5a2b-4913-b6e9-32482e03cdfb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consider Applying to the Future Fellowship at MIT
Update 2022-11-11: given the collapse of FTX and the resignation of the FTX Future Fund team this fellowship does not look like it's happening.
----------------------------------------
Are you interested in doing a PhD or Masters on something altruistic? The MIT Medi... |
5e6d08b3-978c-4501-b68e-3fddec54ca41 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Improving Robustness of Machine Translation with Synthetic Noise
1 Introduction
---------------
Machine Translation (MT) systems have been shown to exhibit severely degraded performance when presented with translation of out-of-domain or noisy data (Luong and Manning, [2015](#bib.bib12); Sakaguchi et al., [2016](#b... |
ba55f738-c2d8-4f3f-88c5-de448102e269 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value learning: ultra-sophisticated Cake or Death
Many mooted AI designs rely on "value loading", the update of the AI’s preference function according to evidence it receives. This allows the AI to learn "moral facts" by, for instance, interacting with people in conversation ("this human also thinks that death is bad ... |
5be3612b-4ba2-46c7-8566-66d354b21209 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Monthly Meta: Common Knowledge
One of my favourite aspects of Less Wrong is that we've created a community where it is easier for us to communicate with each other because we have a shared understanding of certain concepts. A large amount of highly quality content has been posted to the site since it started, so I thi... |
23cfd7d4-66f0-4127-97f8-9ca18f58076d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gems from the Wiki: Do The Math, Then Burn The Math and Go With Your Gut
During the LessWrong 1.0 Wiki Import we (the LessWrong team) discovered a number of great articles that most of the LessWrong team hadn't read before. Since we expect many others to also not have have read these, we are creating a series of the b... |
1e463be1-14c7-49bd-80cf-27caf0d48cf6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mirrors and Paintings
Followup to: Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps, Invisible Frameworks
Background: There's a proposal for Friendly AI called "Coherent Extrapolated Volition" which I don't really want to divert the discussion to, right now. Among many other things, CEV involves pointing an AI at humans and sayi... |
27c4898d-13c9-4161-8ff9-50e8d8262fb2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | EU’s AI ambitions at risk as US pushes to water down international treaty (linkpost)
From [EU’s AI ambitions at risk as US pushes to water down international treaty – EURACTIV.com](https://www.euractiv.com/section/artificial-intelligence/news/eus-ai-ambitions-at-risk-as-us-push-to-water-down-international-treaty/) (Ju... |
cc0de3b1-599c-4a18-9407-eab6204b844a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Historical Examples of Opposition to Technological Progress
This is a brief overview of historical examples of public opposition to technological progress.
SOCIAL MOVEMENTS
Luddites
* Luddism was an English movement active between 1811-1816.
* “The Luddite movement emerged during the harsh economic climate of t... |
95124784-b6ac-40d4-b919-cacd0cc89c05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Functional silence: communication that minimizes change of receiver's beliefs
I just thought of this concept and I'd like to know if it is new or useful.
"Functional silence" is communication intended to carry as little information as possible. It intends for the beliefs of listeners to be changed as little as possib... |
580a1ad4-9467-4045-b381-58540ce285c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Austin Less Wrong Meetup, Saturday April 23rd, 12:00 Noon
This is the second meeting of the group that met in Waco last weekend. Meeting will be at the Starbucks on the corner of 15th and San Antonio, at 12:00 Noon on Saturday. This Starbucks has its own parking, and there are additional public parking options in the ... |
f18c601a-c0c1-49d8-bd86-6007ebccb743 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Oracle design as de-black-boxer.
This paper introduces an interpreter for learning algorithms, for the purpose of clarifying what is happening inside the algorithm.
The interpreter, Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), gives the human user some idea of the important factors going into the learning ... |
de2401e5-51c6-4ba1-bbe5-f2de644398f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Improvement for pundit prediction comparisons
[EDIT: SimonM pointed out a possibly-fatal flaw with this plan: it would probably discourage more pundits from joining the prediction-making club at all, and adding to that club is a higher priority than comparing the members more accurately.]
Stop me if you've heard this... |
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