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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Nuclear Deterrence 101 (and why the US can't even hint at intervening in Ukraine) This is a linkpost for https://acoup.blog/2022/03/11/collections-nuclear-deterrence-101/  . I found it a very good read for explaining the strategy behind the decisions and signaling in this war. I was inspired to post it as a supplement...
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Three ways that "Sufficiently optimized agents appear coherent" can be false There has been a couple of recent posts suggesting that Eliezer Yudkowsky's [Sufficiently optimized agents appear coherent](https://arbital.com/p/optimized_agent_appears_coherent/) thesis does not seem useful because it's vacuously true: one ...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
was given a pc with Zorin 10 and I have no idea how to use this OS and want to convert to win02:56 cfhowlettDarkAlice, you have to ask zorin.  only ubuntu support here.02:56 DarkAliceBUT it tells me i need to have drive formatted for ntfs and they read system and logical02:56 DeathDealer./configure: line 2157: config....
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
. | 511 | 5184 | 6884 | 27.75† | 88.57 | 10† | 6884 | 83.5† | 6884 | 86.5† | 3628.85 | 169.68ׇ | 95.75† | †The coverages are averaged over c2670, c5315, c6288, and c7552. ‡The reduction is averaged over all except MIPS. Table 2. Comparison of trigger coverage (Cov. (%)) and test length of DETERRENT with rando...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Home | tinkering with Google's MapReduce (Current Research) We are seeing an advent of parallel processing in all kinds of computational models. The trend can be seen not only from the progress in cluster computational architectures, but also from the wide adoption of multi-core processors, to the extent that we can...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Go Down Topic: SkyNet (Read 1 time) previous topic - next topic skynet started with a single arduino. Fortunately, the authors used the String class and SkyNet was shortly found upside down, burning, in a ditch. As the arduino is a microcontroller and not a super computer maybe it need to aim a bit lower and ...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Troubles With CEV Part1 - CEV Sequence The CEV Sequence Summary: The CEV sequence consists of three posts tackling important aspects of CEV. It covers conceptual, practical and computational problems of CEV's current form. On What Selves Are draws on analytic philosophy methods in order to clarify the concept of Self,...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
[SEQ RERUN] Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult Today's post, Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult was originally published on 12 December 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > Simply having a good idea at the center of a group of people is not enough to prevent that group from becoming a cult. As long as the idea's ad...
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�𝑛1{s\in\mathbb{N}[K\_{0},K\_{1}\ldots K\_{n-1}]}italic\_s ∈ blackboard\_N [ italic\_K start\_POSTSUBSCRIPT 0 end\_POSTSUBSCRIPT, italic\_K start\_POSTSUBSCRIPT 1 end\_POSTSUBSCRIPT … italic\_K start\_POSTSUBSCRIPT italic\_n - 1 end\_POSTSUBSCRIPT ] s.t. ∀K∈ℕn:log⁡(Kn−1+4)r(K)≤r(αs(K))for-all𝐾superscriptℕ𝑛:subscript...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
this week in science. .. is death is destruction week science #385 to #160 - babuger (03/04/2013) [-] You are good! You are good! User avatar #439 to #385 - goobyman (03/04/2013) [-] not so difficult as there are about 20 artiles on each. User avatar #389 to #160 - margotka (03/04/2013) [-] good job goobyman, thanks ...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
('opentype')} @font-face {font-family: MJXc-TeX-math-BI; src: local('MathJax\_Math BoldItalic'), local('MathJax\_Math-BoldItalic')} @font-face {font-family: MJXc-TeX-math-BIx; src: local('MathJax\_Math'); font-weight: bold; font-style: italic} @font-face {font-family: MJXc-TeX-math-BIw; src /\*1\*/: url('https://cdnjs....
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
What Would I Do? Self-prediction in Simple Algorithms (This talk was given at a public online event on Sunday July 12th. Scott Garrabrant is responsible for the talk, Justis Mills edited the transcript.  If you're a curated author and interested in giving a 5-min talk, which will then be transcribed and edited, sign ...
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[CLS]Scaling Laws and Interpretability of Learning from Repeated Data 1 Introduction --------------- ![](https://media.arxiv-vanity.com/render-output/7729780/x1.png) Figure 1: Experimental Setup. From a large original text dataset (left), we draw 90% of our desired training dataset in a non-repeated fashion, and 10%...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
Are (at least some) Large Language Models Holographic Memory Stores? *Cross-posted* [*from New Savanna*](https://new-savanna.blogspot.com/2023/10/are-at-least-some-large-language-models.html). That’s been on my mind for the last week or two, ever since my recent work on ChatGPT’s memory for texts [1]. On the other th...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Rationality Quotes With Attributions Hidden: from Mein Kampf to Men****x This thread has an experimental format for posting rationality quotes. Here is the format: For those posting quotes: Post the quote as usual, but not the author, original language translated from, or other information. That information is to be...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
The Pre-Historical Fallacy One fallacy that I see frequently in works of popular science -- and also here on LessWrong -- is the belief that we have strong evidence of the way things were in pre-history, particularly when one is giving evidence that we can explain various aspects of our culture, psychology, or persona...
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italic\_E ⊆ italic\_S. Since Q{}F=0subscriptsuperscript𝑄𝐹0Q^{F}\_{\{\}}=0italic\_Q start\_POSTSUPERSCRIPT italic\_F end\_POSTSUPERSCRIPT start\_POSTSUBSCRIPT { } end\_POSTSUBSCRIPT = 0, we also have Pf({})=0subscript𝑃𝑓0P\_{f}(\{\})=0italic\_P start\_POSTSUBSCRIPT italic\_f end\_POSTSUBSCRIPT ( { } ) = 0. Clearly Pf...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
No One Can Exempt You From Rationality's Laws Traditional Rationality is phrased in terms of social rules, with violations interpretable as cheating—as defections from cooperative norms. If you want me to accept a belief from you, you are obligated to provide me with a certain amount of evidence. If you try to get out...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
A Pathway to Fully Autonomous Therapists The field of psychology is coevolving with AI and people are increasingly using LLMs for therapy. I tried using the LLM Claude as a therapist for the first time a couple weeks ago. Now I consult it daily. Human therapists likely don’t have much time until they’re partly, or ful...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Japan AI Alignment Conference [Conjecture](https://www.conjecture.dev/) and [ARAYA](https://www.araya.org/en/) are hosting and organizing the first Japan AI Alignment Conference. The conference will take place in Tokyo, Japan on March 11 and 12. Details about the event can be found [here](https://jac2023.ai/). This ev...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Thou Art Godshatter Before the 20th century, not a single human being had an explicit concept of "inclusive genetic fitness", the sole and absolute obsession of the blind idiot god. We have no instinctive revulsion of condoms or oral sex. Our brains, those supreme reproductive organs, don't perform a check for reprodu...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Four Tips for Public Speaking TL;DR, I offered and promised in the Post Request Thread a guide to the four highest value tips I know for doing public speaking. Here they are, with explanations below: 1. Fortissimo! Don't apologize for talking 2. Know the first and last line of your comment before you open your mout...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Characterizing Real-World Agents as a Research Meta-Strategy Background Intuitively, the real world seems to contain agenty systems (e.g. humans), non-agenty systems (e.g. rocks), and ambiguous cases which display some agent-like behavior sometimes (bacteria, neural nets, financial markets, thermostats, etc). There’s ...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
Is there a 'time series forecasting' equivalent of AIXI? In the way that AIXI is an abstracted mathematical formalism for (very roughly) "*a program that maximizes the expected total rewards received from the environment*", what is the equivalent formalism for an abstracted next token predictor? Does this exist in th...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
A sufficiently paranoid non-Friendly AGI might self-modify itself to become Friendly An AGI agent might learn that: 1. The creators are likely to terminate a confined agent who is hostile towards the creators 2. If the creators can prove that the agent is Friendly, the risk of termination is greatly reduced (perhaps...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Hello all! I'm back with chapter seven! Obviously, since this is a day later, I'm disregarding the previous AN. I don't even know when you can expect the next chapter, but definitely by this weekend. Soo, you can probably tell from the chapter title that this ain't gonna be good. So much thanks to nightmarehunter676, D...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Become a fan of Slashdot on Facebook Forgot your password? AI Games AI Systems Designing Games 47 AI Systems Designing Games Comments Filter: • AI winter (Score:5, Funny) by Moblaster (521614) on Wednesday January 02, 2013 @07:39PM (#42455987) The problem with this is that somebody will design some AI ...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Wednesday, July 29, 2015 Though this isn't as impressive because most handlers of a Tumblr account have likely achieved this as well, I'm very proud to say I've read nearly all of author John Green's work; I'm missing a short story he did for the compilation book "Let it Snow: Three Holiday Romances." Green's work, l...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Student competition for drafting a treaty on moratorium of large-scale AI capabilities R&D Campaign for AI safety has announced a competition for the drafting of an international treaty on moratorium of large-scale AI capabilities research and development. The competition is open to all students of law, philosophy, a...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Killing joke the death & resurrection show download mp3. Tabtight professional, free when you need it, VPN service. By on 06.01.2016 Killing joke the death & resurrection show download mp3 The xenomorph queen, having developed a uterus as a result of her genetic contamination with Ripley 8, gives birth to a xenomorp...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Archive for the ‘movie news’ Category I love Star Trek. I adore Godzilla. The two of them combined? In anime form? Not as much. I mean, I liked Guyver: Bio-Booster and Yu-Gi-Oh!, so I know that anime can be cool. In the anime world, ANYTHING can happen, and this is both its great appeal and its downfall. Sometimes, it...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
[CLS]Imitation Learning by Estimating Expertise of Demonstrators. 1 Introduction --------------- Reinforcement learning provides a powerful and general framework for tasks such as autonomous vehicles, assistive robots, or conversation agents, by optimizing behavior with respect to user-specified reward functions. H...
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Robert Downey Jr. admits 'Guardians of the Galaxy' is the best Marvel movie robert-downey-jr-guardians-of-the-galaxy.jpgIron Man himself can admit that he isn't the coolest Avenger in town anymore. Robert Downey Jr. has come out to say that he considers "Guardians of the Galaxy" to be the best Marvel movie, and even h...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Why Rationalists Shouldn't be Interested in Topos Theory ,, I spent a lot of the last two years getting really into categorical logic (as in, using category theory to study logic), because I'm really into logic, and category theory seemed to be able to provide cool alternate foundations of mathematics. Turns out it d...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Movie of the Week: ALIEN³ (1992) David Fincher directs Sigourney Weaver, Charles Dance and Charles S. Dutton in this continuation of the Ripley story where sci-fi’s hardiest final girl crash lands on a derelict prison with her old foe lurking even closer than usual. If doing this blog over the last few year is eviden...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
 oipapio ios - AWS Cognito Get Session does not confirm the user on success So some weird stuff is happening when using the AWS Cognito SDK to attempt to authenticate users and log them in.Here is the login code.AWSCognitioIdentityUser* user = [mainPool getCurrentUser][[user getSession:finalAccountName password:_pas...
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47% of US jobs under threat from computerization according to Oxford study September 24, 2013 Jobs involving cognitive tasks are among those under threat, according to the study (Photo: Shutterstock/Gualtiero Boffi) Image Gallery (4 images) Almost 47 percent of US jobs could be computerized within one or two deca...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
/S. From d⋆= (1−γ)ρ(I−γPπ⋆)−1we can derive d⋆as follows: d⋆(sj 0) =8 (2 +γ)S, d⋆(sj 1) =8γ(1−γ) (2−γ)(2 + γ)S∈1−γ S,4(1−γ) S , d⋆(sj ⊕) =γ(1 21{vj=−1}+ (1 2+δ) 1{vj= 1}) 2(1−γ)·d⋆(sj 1), d⋆(sj ⊖) =γ(1 21{vj= 1}+ (1 2−δ) 1{vj=−1}) 2(1−γ)·d⋆(sj 1), d⋆(s−1) = 0. This allows us to construct the behavior distribution µ0a...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
[CLS]Caribbean Chocolates Tablo reader up chevron Caribbean Chocolates Snow was falling heavily, covering the pavement in white, blowing across the street, in flurries. Slush formed heaps in the gutters and pavement edges, as soft flakes touched the windows of those eye catching, ultra promotional, choc a bloc disp...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
Google Just Bought A Swarm Of Satellites To Make Maps Way Better Google Just Bought a Swarm of Satellites To Make Maps Way Better Today, Skybox Imaging announced it's being bought by Google for a cool $US500 million in cash. Known for its high-resolution satellite imagery and video, Skybox's fleet of satellites could...
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Can You Beat a Robot at the Game of Poker? Carnegie Mellon and Facebook Say No Simple Robot Image With Poker Themed Background The latest sign that Skynet is about to come online and the robots are about to take over comes to us not via the military or healthcare.  No, this time, the robots have come for our poker. ...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
What the Universe Wants: Anthropics from the POV of Self-Replication Meta: Once again I'm trying to submit this to my "personal page" and not the front page, but I really have no idea who will actually see it. Here's a pretty simple idea I hadn't heard yet anywhere in science or science fiction. It's likely I'm not t...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Spoiler-Free Review: The Stanley Parable At Ben Pace’s recommendation, I recently played The Stanley Parable. Ben considers the game Tier 1.5. On reflection I consider this Tier 2. If you can spare the $15 for a short game, it’s Worth It to play. If there’s one game I’ve played that needs to be played blind, this is ...
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What They Showed: Zack Snyder took to the stage to officially announce the follow-up to “Man of Steel,” but he revealed that it wouldn’t be just another sequel. Batman would be there, and the director strongly hinted that the heroes won’t be seeing eye-to-eye. The audience was then treated to a logo combining the ...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
[CLS]Follow TV Tropes Normal Fish in a Tiny Pond Go To Desidarius Erasmus, Dutch Philosopher (1466-1536), and paraphrased by many others A character who, in their own reality/universe, is fairly normal, if not underpowered. They'd be a Mook or Red Shirt back home, or someone fairly low key. Or maybe back home they...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
.002-07:002017-10-05T00:18:51.768-07:00"How Will You Pay for the Pony?""You might find Clinton's question intuitively reasonable. If you promise to fight for big things, then you should draw a detailed road map to the treasure chest that will fund them all. After all, the money has to come from somewhere.<br />"But wha...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Self-Similarity Experiment Summary: Some of the people on earth who are most similar to you are likely your own person moments from other points in time. Your degree of similarity to them informs (though I haven’t worked out how) what the density is of you-like computation in the universe. This question is interesting...
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.g. [Iterated Distillation and Amplification](https://ai-alignment.com/iterated-distillation-and-amplification-157debfd1616)) as well as practical advances (e.g. [Deep RL From Human Preferences](https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.03741)) prior to ARC’s founding.[[5]](#fnxebtp4b28zt) We're not aware of any equally significant a...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Figuring out what Alice wants, part II This post continues the analysis started in the previous post. Here I will present some examples of algorithms operating in certain environments, seeing how the model certain things, and using that to conclude facts about their preferences/goals/reward functions. I'll be looking...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
shouted, leaping over the Barricades towards the docking umbilical. Several soldiers rushed out of them and looked straight to the SPARTANS and hesitated to fire. Bad move. Ajax was running too fast to shoot them effectively now, he leapt straight in, smacking the butt of his shotgun into ones skull, crushing it then ...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
[CLS] Seconds: Show Hide | Joins: Show Hide | View raw #rockbox log for 2009-11-05 00:00:23kugelrasher: I can't delete the 2nd PlainBigAA (for e200) theme 00:00:41kugelI guess the guy got like 4 mails now 00:01:00 Join AaronM [0] ( 00:03:29 Quit Casainho (Remote closed the connection) 00:03:52Stephen__arent they d...
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was that?" Dissatisfaction, "I don't like what the fork is going on around here." Incompetence, "He's a fork-off." Dismissal, "Why don't you go outside and play 'hide and go fork yourself?'" I'm sure you can think of many more examples. With all of these multi-purpose applications, how can anyone be offended when use ...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
[CLS]Black Widow (2021) Quick Synopsis: It’s a marvel action film. Do you need to know anything else? So, this is it, the first Marvel film in two years. Perhaps more importantly, the first one since cinemas reopened. So in summary, there’s a lot riding on this. I actually saw this the day of release, first screening...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
This is already your second chance Cross-posted from Substack. I. And the sky opened, and from the celestial firmament descended a cube of ivory the size of a skyscraper, lifted by ten thousand cherubim and seraphim. And the cube slowly landed among the children of men, crushing the frail metal beams of the Golden G...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
get into this crazy business? Heather Hale 2:58 Oh, gosh, people always ask your breaking story. And you probably know, well is anyone we all have like five times do we have to break back in and you know, you can never rest on your laurels. And so I don't even know which one you know Alex Ferrari 3:12 The first one....
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this protocol, the feedback provider is provided with (i.e., can be defined in terms of) the details of each particular task but the agent has no access to which task it is acting in except via feedback. For example, if the optimal policy is known, the agent designer could use the optimal policy in the feedback provid...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
and projects down further to make M′∗lo. Now, projections preserve or contract distances, and M∗lo is the projection of M∗, and M′∗lo is the projection of M′∗, and M∗ and M′∗ are only ϵ2 apart, so M∗lo and M′∗lo are only ϵ2 apart, and Mlo lies above M∗lo. Now, we can invoke Lemma 14 to craft a M′lo that's above M′∗lo...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
pants off. 00:05:53(chirping) (speaking indistinctly) Sir, it's not the little bird doing that,.. old crow. 00:06:04(laughing) (laughing) What's there to do when it rains on spring break? 00:06:29(man laughing) (woman) TOTALLY. HE'LL ENJOY IT. 00:06:38(laughing) I need to get a picture. 00:06:43(laughing) THIS IS... (...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
[CLS]Stuart Russell – AI: The Story So Far – CSRBAI 2016 good morning everybody and welcome to the colloquium series so I'm really excited for today's lineup of distinguished speakers starting with professor Stuart Russell the professor of computer science and the Smith is a professor in engineering here at the Univer...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
these grassroots individuals, these individuals know that they'll be safe when the military pulls out and that they are left there. Then it's a possibility that looting and rioting begin, um, you know, uh, harm may come to these individuals when they're just trying to provide sustenance and survivability to these peop...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Newsletter #23 Highlights **[Visual Reinforcement Learning with Imagined Goals](https://bair.berkeley.edu/blog/2018/09/06/rig/)** *(Vitchyr Pong and Ashvin Nair)*: This is a blog post explaining a paper by the same name that I covered in [AN #16](https://mailchi.mp/f2950ed2ac4b/alignment-newsletter-16). It'...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Confessions of an Abstraction Hater I've written about the cost of abstraction before. Once you are in the IT industry for couple of decades and once you've read couple of millions lines on legacy code you become healthily suspicious of any kind of abstraction. Not that we can do without abstraction. We need it to be ...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
the Giga Press was a mistake the giga press Tesla decided to use large aluminum castings ("gigacastings") for the frame of many of its vehicles, including the Model Y and Cybertruck. This approach and the "Giga Press" used for it have been praised by many articles and youtube videos, repeatedly called revolutionary an...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
[CLS]aoimidori: (Default) [personal profile] aoimidori This is a (slightly) epic entry about the (more than slightly) epic friendship of one Lee Hyukjae and one Kim Junsu. And no, sadly, I'm not writing this because I lost a bet or whatever. I actually thought against writing this entry considering I know next to noth...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Open Thread, November 23-30, 2013 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
comScore Shane Black Says His Predator Is Inventive Sequel Not Reboot | The Mary Sue The Mary Sue Shane Black Says His Predator Will Be A Super-Cool Sequel, Not A Reboot But...but I'm already at the chopper! Shane Black has clarified reports that he will be rebooting the 1987 Predator, saying his addition to the fr...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
What might be learned from the COVID-19 buying patterns? Clearly this is not related to the disease or how to navigate it. I was in one of the area supermarkets this afternoon to pick up a few items and had a couple of thoughts. First, if people are truly convinced there will be a lock down so they do need all the i...
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United States of America From eRepublik Official Wiki (Redirected from USA) Jump to: navigation, search Bahasa IndonesiaIcon-Indonesia.png Flag of USA   Coat of Arms of USA On the map General rank 33 Country power 438 Anthem Danger Zone Motto In Publius We Trust Capital District of Columbia Alliance Apollo Language ...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Quantum cat-stencil interference projection? What is this? Sorry I don't hang around here much. I keep meaning to. You're still the ones I come to when I have no clue at all what a quantum-physics article I come across means though. http://io9.com/heres-a-photo-of-something-that-cant-be-photographed-1678918200 So. U...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
Pre-registering a study This post is my [pre-registration](https://www.acf.hhs.gov/opre/blog/2022/08/pre-registering-studies-what-it-how-do-you-do-it-and-why#:~:text=Pre%2Dregistration%20is%20the%20practice,submitting%20it%20to%20a%20registry.) of a study I will be running to continue the exploratory work I started [h...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
5 New Feelings Concerning Hack Codes That Willpower Turn Your Globe Inverted You need to have to pick the files to erase or even modify, and also then kind “removed, unchanged, or not known file” in the proper carton. For any sort of other codes, you can opt for “rar” or “ff” to browse for related codes. Going Here I...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
How will the world respond to "AI x-risk warning shots" according to reference class forecasting? My conception of an ["AI x-risk warning shot"](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hLKKH9CM6NDiJBabC/what-are-the-most-plausible-ai-safety-warning-shot-scenarios) is an event that signals the potential for impending AI x-risk...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
2023 Prediction Evaluations It is that time of the year. One must ask not only whether predictions were right or wrong, whether one won or lost, but what one was and should have been thinking, whether or not good decisions were made, whether the market made sense. The main subject will be the 2023 ACX Predictions, wh...
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of contract.  Right now, the Carbine deal is on hold.  He offered three million for the King, but only if we have the amount of spare parts he wants.”  The last part was a lie, and she knew it.  But it was her job to make the deal, and if that little push was what was needed to get the deal closed?  She would do it a...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Progress links digest, 2023-08-09: US adds new nuclear, Katalin Karikó interview, and more Opportunities * New Limit (longevity tech) is hiring for data scientists in computational biology (via @brian_armstrong) * Anton Howes has “an idea for a paper that ought to radically revise the currently prevailing Crafts est...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Probably tell your friends when they make big mistakes Big mistakes = Doing something that is actively harmful or useless by their own lights and values, i.e. doesn't help them achieve their life goals. (Not: Doing something that isn't in line with your values and goals.) A lot of people think that others in the EA-i...
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with a loss landscape that lies in between the two loss functions, as shown by the gray curve. 4 The Proposed A2r (Attention-to-Rationale) Framework ------------------------------------------------------ ![](https://media.arxiv-vanity.com/render-output/7627357/x4.png) Figure 6: Our proposed rationalization architec...
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awestover/filtering-for-misalignment
id: post631 Produced as part of the SPAR program (fall 2023) under the mentorship of Nina Rimsky. Introduction Given recent advances in the AI field, it’s highly likely LLMs will be increasingly used to make decisions that have broad societal impact — such as resume screening, college admissions, criminal justice, etc...
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How can one literally buy time (from x-risk) with money? This post talks about types of projects that can buy us more time to work on AI alignment. But like, I am just definitely not going to pivot to working on any of those projects right now. What pre-existing projects could someone donate money to, right now? (This...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
In Phase 1 of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, the origin story for Thor helped setup the villain and main plot of The Avengers. A key to the pseudo-science involved in making the otherworldly stuff in Thor and The Avengers work was the character of Dr. Erik Selvig played by Stellan Skarsgård, a mentor of Natalie Portman...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
[LINK] Fraud Case Seen as a Red Flag for Psychology Research An article in the NYT's about everyone's favourite messy science, you know the one we sometimes rely on to provide a throwaway line as we pontificate wisely about biases? ;) > A well-known psychologist in the Netherlands whose work has been published widely...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
HPMOR Anniversary Guide   [1] Intro To everyone running an anniversary party, thank you. Someone had to overcome the bystander effect, and today it seems like that’s you. I’m glad you did, and I expect your guests will be too. This guide aims to give you some advice and inspiration as well as coordinate. The Basic...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Why Real Men Wear Pink "Fashion is a form of ugliness so intolerable we have to alter it every six months." -- Oscar Wilde For the past few decades, I and many other men my age have been locked in a battle with the clothing industry. I want simple, good-looking apparel that covers my nakedness and maybe even makes m...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
X-MEN DAYS OF FUTURE PAST: Simon Kinberg On The Ending Scene And A 'Final Goodbye' For The Original Cast X-Men Days of Future Past writer Simon Kinberg, in an in depth interview with THR, reveals the original plans for the films ending, working with a large cast and Wolverines more supporting role. Plus, the writer di...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Framing Practicum: Stable Equilibrium This is a framing practicum post. We’ll talk about what a stable equilibrium is, how to recognize stable equilibria in the wild, and what questions to ask when you find one. Then, we’ll have a challenge to apply the idea. Today’s challenge: come up with 3 examples of stable equil...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Meetup : West LA Meetup 08-23-2011 Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup 08-23-2011 WHEN: 23 August 2011 07:00:00PM (-0700) WHERE: 10800 West Pico Blvd, Suite 312, Los Angeles, CA 90064 When: 7pm - 9pm August 23th. Where: The Westside Pavillion - on the bridge, which connects Nordstrom 3rd floor with ...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Question: MIRI Corrigbility Agenda MIRI's reading list on corrigbility seems out dated, and I can't find a centralised list Does anyone have, or know of, one? As a side note, has MIRI stopped updating their reading list? It seems like that's the case. EDIT: Links given in the comment section to do with corrigibil...
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StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info
What are the differences between AGI, transformative AI, and superintelligence? These terms are all related attempts to define AI capability milestones—roughly, "the point at which AI gets truly smart"—but with different meanings: - **AGI** stands for "[artificial general intelligence](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A...
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In addition, the de facto purge by intimidation of many Party of Regions deputies from the Rada gave the Freedom Party greater weight in parliament than its 10% of the seats would otherwise provide. Freedom Party members proudly posted a video of themselves beating the director of Ukrainian state television for broadca...
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Kyle1668/dclm-dedup-25B-ai-scifi-docs
AWD #569: One Way Ticket One Way Ticket Summary: A few days after that dreadful 'Leap of Faith' but /before/ they discovered the Arpay a few weeks later, things on board the Erol were starting to look bad. The crew is stranded in the middle of no where with no way home and slim hope of finding the Rally Point. But, the...
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9c79ff5b-017e-41c7-b177-0440996f80a5
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
Self Improvement - All encompassing vs. Focused p.p1 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 12.0px Helvetica} p.p2 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 12.0px Helvetica; min-height: 14.0px} Lately I've been identifying a lot of things about myself that need improvement and thinking about ways to fix them. This po...
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